Opinion Poll by Avangarde, 24 November–7 December 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 46.0% 43.6–48.4% 42.9–49.1% 42.3–49.7% 41.2–50.9%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 23.0% 21.0–25.1% 20.5–25.7% 20.0–26.3% 19.1–27.3%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 13.0% 11.5–14.8% 11.1–15.3% 10.7–15.7% 10.0–16.6%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 5.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.6% 3.6–6.9% 3.2–7.5%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 5.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.6% 3.6–6.9% 3.2–7.5%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 4.0% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.4% 2.8–5.7% 2.4–6.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 164 155–172 152–175 149–177 145–181
Partidul Național Liberal 69 82 75–89 72–91 71–93 68–97
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 46 41–52 39–54 37–56 35–59
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 18 14–22 13–23 12–24 11–26
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–21

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.8%  
144 0.2% 99.7%  
145 0.2% 99.5%  
146 0.3% 99.3%  
147 0.5% 99.0%  
148 0.6% 98.6%  
149 0.6% 98%  
150 0.9% 97%  
151 1.1% 96%  
152 1.2% 95%  
153 2% 94%  
154 2% 92% Last Result
155 2% 90%  
156 3% 88%  
157 3% 85%  
158 4% 82%  
159 4% 78%  
160 5% 74%  
161 5% 69%  
162 5% 64%  
163 6% 59%  
164 5% 53% Median
165 6% 48% Majority
166 5% 42%  
167 6% 36%  
168 5% 30%  
169 5% 25%  
170 4% 20%  
171 4% 16%  
172 3% 13%  
173 2% 10%  
174 2% 7%  
175 2% 5%  
176 1.1% 4%  
177 0.8% 3%  
178 0.7% 2%  
179 0.4% 1.4%  
180 0.3% 0.9%  
181 0.2% 0.6%  
182 0.1% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.2% 99.7%  
68 0.4% 99.5%  
69 0.4% 99.1% Last Result
70 1.0% 98.7%  
71 0.8% 98%  
72 2% 97%  
73 2% 95%  
74 3% 93%  
75 3% 90%  
76 4% 87%  
77 5% 83%  
78 6% 78%  
79 7% 72%  
80 7% 65%  
81 6% 59%  
82 7% 52% Median
83 6% 45%  
84 7% 39%  
85 5% 32%  
86 6% 27%  
87 5% 21%  
88 4% 17%  
89 3% 13%  
90 2% 9%  
91 2% 7%  
92 1.4% 5%  
93 1.1% 3%  
94 0.7% 2%  
95 0.6% 2%  
96 0.4% 1.0%  
97 0.2% 0.6%  
98 0.2% 0.4%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.9%  
35 0.3% 99.7%  
36 0.7% 99.4%  
37 1.3% 98.7%  
38 1.4% 97%  
39 2% 96%  
40 3% 94%  
41 5% 90%  
42 5% 86%  
43 6% 81%  
44 9% 75%  
45 10% 66%  
46 8% 57% Median
47 10% 49%  
48 9% 39%  
49 8% 30%  
50 5% 22%  
51 4% 16%  
52 4% 12%  
53 2% 8%  
54 2% 6%  
55 2% 4%  
56 1.0% 3%  
57 0.8% 2%  
58 0.4% 1.0%  
59 0.3% 0.6%  
60 0.2% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100%  
10 0.2% 99.9%  
11 0.6% 99.8%  
12 2% 99.1%  
13 4% 97%  
14 6% 94%  
15 10% 87%  
16 12% 77%  
17 14% 66%  
18 13% 51% Median
19 12% 39%  
20 9% 27%  
21 6% 17% Last Result
22 5% 11%  
23 3% 6%  
24 2% 4%  
25 1.0% 2%  
26 0.5% 0.9%  
27 0.2% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Median
1 0% 12%  
2 0% 12%  
3 0% 12%  
4 0% 12%  
5 0% 12%  
6 0% 12%  
7 0% 12%  
8 0% 12%  
9 0% 12%  
10 0% 12%  
11 0% 12%  
12 0% 12%  
13 0% 12%  
14 0% 12%  
15 0% 12%  
16 0.1% 12%  
17 4% 12%  
18 4% 8% Last Result
19 2% 4%  
20 1.0% 2%  
21 0.5% 0.9%  
22 0.2% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 211 100% 201–219 197–221 194–223 189–226
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 148 1.4% 140–157 137–160 135–163 131–167
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 148 1.4% 140–157 137–160 135–163 131–167
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 146 0.3% 137–155 135–157 132–159 128–163
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 146 0.3% 137–155 134–157 132–159 127–163
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 130 0% 122–140 119–143 117–145 114–150
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 119 129 0% 120–136 117–140 115–142 111–145
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 101 0% 93–111 91–115 89–118 86–123
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 101 0% 93–111 91–115 89–118 86–123
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 100 0% 92–108 90–110 88–112 84–116
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 100 0% 92–108 90–110 88–112 84–116
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 83 0% 76–94 74–97 72–100 69–106
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 83 0% 76–94 74–97 72–100 69–105
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 82 0% 75–89 72–91 71–93 68–97
Partidul Național Liberal 69 82 0% 75–89 72–91 71–93 68–97
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 0 0% 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–21

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0% 100% Last Result
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 99.9%  
186 0.1% 99.9%  
187 0.1% 99.8%  
188 0.1% 99.7%  
189 0.2% 99.6%  
190 0.2% 99.4%  
191 0.4% 99.2%  
192 0.4% 98.8%  
193 0.4% 98%  
194 0.7% 98%  
195 0.7% 97%  
196 0.8% 97%  
197 1.1% 96%  
198 1.0% 95%  
199 2% 94%  
200 2% 92%  
201 2% 90%  
202 3% 88%  
203 3% 86%  
204 3% 83%  
205 3% 79%  
206 4% 76%  
207 5% 72%  
208 6% 67%  
209 5% 62%  
210 5% 57% Median
211 6% 51%  
212 7% 45%  
213 5% 39%  
214 5% 34%  
215 6% 28%  
216 5% 23%  
217 4% 18%  
218 4% 14%  
219 3% 10%  
220 2% 8%  
221 2% 6%  
222 1.2% 4%  
223 1.0% 3%  
224 0.6% 2%  
225 0.4% 1.2%  
226 0.3% 0.7%  
227 0.2% 0.4%  
228 0.1% 0.3%  
229 0.1% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0.1% 99.8%  
131 0.2% 99.6%  
132 0.3% 99.4%  
133 0.4% 99.1%  
134 0.7% 98.6%  
135 0.8% 98%  
136 1.1% 97%  
137 2% 96%  
138 2% 95%  
139 2% 93%  
140 3% 90%  
141 4% 87%  
142 4% 84%  
143 5% 80%  
144 5% 75%  
145 6% 70%  
146 5% 64% Median
147 6% 58%  
148 5% 52%  
149 6% 47%  
150 5% 41%  
151 5% 36%  
152 5% 31%  
153 4% 26%  
154 4% 22%  
155 3% 18%  
156 3% 15%  
157 2% 12%  
158 2% 10% Last Result
159 2% 8%  
160 1.2% 6%  
161 1.1% 5%  
162 0.9% 4%  
163 0.6% 3%  
164 0.6% 2%  
165 0.5% 1.4% Majority
166 0.3% 1.0%  
167 0.2% 0.7%  
168 0.2% 0.5%  
169 0.1% 0.3%  
170 0.1% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0.2% 99.7%  
131 0.2% 99.6%  
132 0.3% 99.4%  
133 0.5% 99.0%  
134 0.7% 98.6%  
135 0.8% 98%  
136 1.1% 97%  
137 2% 96%  
138 2% 94%  
139 2% 93%  
140 3% 90%  
141 4% 87%  
142 4% 84%  
143 5% 80%  
144 5% 75%  
145 6% 70%  
146 5% 63% Median
147 6% 58%  
148 5% 52%  
149 6% 47%  
150 5% 41%  
151 5% 35%  
152 5% 31%  
153 4% 26%  
154 4% 22%  
155 3% 18%  
156 3% 15%  
157 2% 12%  
158 2% 10%  
159 2% 8%  
160 1.2% 6%  
161 1.1% 5%  
162 0.9% 4%  
163 0.6% 3%  
164 0.5% 2%  
165 0.5% 1.4% Majority
166 0.3% 0.9%  
167 0.2% 0.7%  
168 0.2% 0.5%  
169 0.1% 0.3%  
170 0.1% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.8%  
126 0.1% 99.8%  
127 0.1% 99.7%  
128 0.2% 99.5%  
129 0.3% 99.3%  
130 0.4% 99.0%  
131 0.6% 98.6%  
132 0.7% 98%  
133 1.0% 97%  
134 1.2% 96%  
135 1.5% 95%  
136 2% 94%  
137 2% 92%  
138 3% 90%  
139 3% 87%  
140 4% 84% Last Result
141 4% 80%  
142 4% 75%  
143 6% 71%  
144 5% 65%  
145 7% 60%  
146 6% 53% Median
147 6% 48%  
148 5% 42%  
149 6% 37%  
150 5% 31%  
151 4% 26%  
152 4% 21%  
153 4% 17%  
154 3% 13%  
155 2% 10%  
156 2% 8%  
157 1.4% 6%  
158 1.3% 4%  
159 0.9% 3%  
160 0.7% 2%  
161 0.6% 2%  
162 0.4% 1.1%  
163 0.3% 0.7%  
164 0.1% 0.4%  
165 0.1% 0.3% Majority
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.8%  
126 0.1% 99.8%  
127 0.1% 99.6%  
128 0.2% 99.5%  
129 0.3% 99.3%  
130 0.4% 99.0%  
131 0.6% 98.6%  
132 0.7% 98%  
133 1.0% 97%  
134 1.2% 96%  
135 1.5% 95%  
136 2% 94%  
137 2% 92%  
138 3% 90%  
139 3% 87%  
140 4% 83%  
141 4% 80%  
142 4% 75%  
143 6% 71%  
144 5% 65%  
145 7% 60%  
146 6% 53% Median
147 6% 48%  
148 5% 42%  
149 6% 37%  
150 5% 31%  
151 4% 26%  
152 4% 21%  
153 4% 17%  
154 3% 13%  
155 2% 10%  
156 2% 8%  
157 1.4% 6%  
158 1.3% 4%  
159 0.9% 3%  
160 0.6% 2%  
161 0.5% 2%  
162 0.4% 1.0%  
163 0.3% 0.7%  
164 0.1% 0.4%  
165 0.1% 0.3% Majority
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.2% 99.7%  
114 0.3% 99.5%  
115 0.6% 99.2%  
116 0.9% 98.6%  
117 1.0% 98%  
118 1.4% 97%  
119 2% 95%  
120 2% 94%  
121 2% 92%  
122 2% 90%  
123 3% 88%  
124 3% 86%  
125 4% 83%  
126 5% 79%  
127 6% 74%  
128 7% 68% Median
129 7% 61%  
130 8% 53%  
131 6% 46%  
132 6% 39%  
133 5% 33%  
134 3% 28%  
135 3% 24%  
136 3% 21%  
137 2% 19% Last Result
138 2% 17%  
139 2% 14%  
140 3% 12%  
141 2% 9%  
142 2% 7%  
143 1.5% 6%  
144 1.1% 4%  
145 0.7% 3%  
146 0.7% 2%  
147 0.4% 2%  
148 0.3% 1.1%  
149 0.2% 0.8%  
150 0.1% 0.6%  
151 0.1% 0.5%  
152 0.1% 0.3%  
153 0.1% 0.2%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.8%  
110 0.2% 99.7%  
111 0.3% 99.5%  
112 0.4% 99.3%  
113 0.6% 98.9%  
114 0.7% 98%  
115 0.9% 98%  
116 1.2% 97%  
117 1.3% 96%  
118 2% 94%  
119 2% 92% Last Result
120 2% 90%  
121 3% 88%  
122 3% 85%  
123 4% 82%  
124 4% 78%  
125 5% 74%  
126 5% 70%  
127 7% 64%  
128 7% 58% Median
129 8% 50%  
130 8% 43%  
131 6% 35%  
132 6% 29%  
133 5% 23%  
134 3% 18%  
135 3% 15%  
136 2% 12%  
137 2% 10%  
138 2% 8%  
139 1.3% 6%  
140 1.2% 5%  
141 1.2% 4%  
142 0.8% 3%  
143 0.7% 2%  
144 0.4% 1.1%  
145 0.3% 0.7%  
146 0.2% 0.4%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.2% 99.7%  
86 0.3% 99.6%  
87 0.4% 99.3%  
88 0.6% 98.8%  
89 1.0% 98%  
90 1.2% 97%  
91 2% 96%  
92 2% 94%  
93 3% 92%  
94 4% 90%  
95 4% 86%  
96 5% 82%  
97 6% 77%  
98 5% 72%  
99 5% 66%  
100 7% 61% Median
101 6% 55%  
102 5% 49%  
103 5% 43%  
104 6% 38%  
105 5% 33%  
106 4% 28%  
107 3% 24%  
108 3% 21%  
109 3% 17%  
110 3% 14%  
111 2% 12%  
112 2% 10%  
113 2% 8%  
114 1.0% 6%  
115 1.1% 5%  
116 0.8% 4%  
117 0.7% 3%  
118 0.7% 3%  
119 0.4% 2%  
120 0.4% 2%  
121 0.4% 1.2%  
122 0.2% 0.8%  
123 0.2% 0.6%  
124 0.1% 0.4%  
125 0.1% 0.3%  
126 0.1% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.2% 99.7%  
86 0.3% 99.5%  
87 0.4% 99.3%  
88 0.6% 98.8%  
89 1.0% 98%  
90 1.3% 97%  
91 2% 96%  
92 2% 94%  
93 3% 92%  
94 4% 89%  
95 4% 86%  
96 5% 82%  
97 6% 77%  
98 5% 72%  
99 5% 66%  
100 7% 61% Median
101 6% 55%  
102 5% 49%  
103 5% 43%  
104 6% 38%  
105 5% 32%  
106 4% 28%  
107 3% 24%  
108 3% 20% Last Result
109 3% 17%  
110 3% 14%  
111 2% 11%  
112 2% 10%  
113 2% 8%  
114 1.0% 6%  
115 1.1% 5%  
116 0.8% 4%  
117 0.7% 3%  
118 0.7% 3%  
119 0.4% 2%  
120 0.4% 2%  
121 0.4% 1.2%  
122 0.2% 0.8%  
123 0.2% 0.6%  
124 0.1% 0.4%  
125 0.1% 0.2%  
126 0.1% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.8%  
84 0.2% 99.6%  
85 0.4% 99.4%  
86 0.6% 99.0%  
87 0.8% 98%  
88 1.1% 98%  
89 1.5% 97%  
90 2% 95%  
91 2% 93%  
92 3% 91%  
93 4% 88%  
94 4% 84%  
95 5% 80%  
96 6% 75%  
97 6% 69%  
98 6% 63%  
99 6% 57%  
100 7% 52% Median
101 6% 45%  
102 6% 39%  
103 5% 33%  
104 6% 28%  
105 5% 22%  
106 4% 17%  
107 3% 13%  
108 3% 11%  
109 2% 8%  
110 2% 6%  
111 1.0% 4%  
112 0.8% 3%  
113 0.7% 2%  
114 0.4% 1.4%  
115 0.3% 1.0%  
116 0.2% 0.6%  
117 0.2% 0.4%  
118 0.1% 0.3%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.1% Last Result
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.7%  
84 0.2% 99.6%  
85 0.4% 99.4%  
86 0.6% 99.0%  
87 0.8% 98%  
88 1.1% 98%  
89 1.5% 97%  
90 2% 95% Last Result
91 2% 93%  
92 3% 91%  
93 4% 88%  
94 4% 84%  
95 5% 80%  
96 6% 75%  
97 6% 69%  
98 6% 63%  
99 6% 57%  
100 7% 52% Median
101 6% 45%  
102 6% 38%  
103 5% 33%  
104 6% 28%  
105 5% 22%  
106 4% 17%  
107 3% 13%  
108 3% 11%  
109 2% 8%  
110 2% 6%  
111 1.0% 4%  
112 0.8% 3%  
113 0.7% 2%  
114 0.4% 1.3%  
115 0.3% 0.9%  
116 0.2% 0.6%  
117 0.2% 0.4%  
118 0.1% 0.2%  
119 0.1% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.6%  
70 0.5% 99.3%  
71 0.7% 98.8%  
72 1.1% 98%  
73 2% 97%  
74 2% 96%  
75 3% 94%  
76 3% 91%  
77 4% 88%  
78 4% 84%  
79 6% 79%  
80 5% 73%  
81 6% 68%  
82 6% 62% Median
83 6% 55%  
84 6% 49%  
85 5% 43%  
86 6% 38%  
87 4% 32%  
88 4% 28%  
89 4% 24%  
90 3% 20%  
91 3% 17%  
92 2% 14%  
93 2% 12%  
94 1.4% 10%  
95 2% 9%  
96 1.2% 7%  
97 1.2% 6%  
98 0.9% 5%  
99 1.0% 4%  
100 0.5% 3%  
101 0.5% 2%  
102 0.5% 2%  
103 0.4% 1.4%  
104 0.3% 1.1%  
105 0.2% 0.8%  
106 0.2% 0.5%  
107 0.1% 0.3%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.6%  
70 0.6% 99.3%  
71 0.7% 98.8%  
72 1.1% 98%  
73 2% 97%  
74 2% 96%  
75 3% 94%  
76 3% 91%  
77 4% 88%  
78 4% 84%  
79 6% 79%  
80 5% 73%  
81 6% 68%  
82 6% 62% Median
83 6% 55%  
84 6% 49%  
85 5% 43%  
86 6% 38%  
87 4% 32% Last Result
88 4% 28%  
89 4% 23%  
90 3% 20%  
91 3% 17%  
92 2% 14%  
93 2% 12%  
94 1.4% 10%  
95 2% 9%  
96 1.2% 7%  
97 1.2% 6%  
98 0.9% 5%  
99 1.0% 4%  
100 0.5% 3%  
101 0.5% 2%  
102 0.5% 2%  
103 0.3% 1.4%  
104 0.3% 1.0%  
105 0.2% 0.7%  
106 0.2% 0.5%  
107 0.1% 0.3%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.2% 99.7%  
68 0.4% 99.5%  
69 0.4% 99.1%  
70 1.0% 98.7%  
71 0.8% 98%  
72 2% 97%  
73 2% 95%  
74 3% 93%  
75 3% 90%  
76 4% 87%  
77 5% 83%  
78 6% 78%  
79 7% 72%  
80 7% 66%  
81 6% 59%  
82 7% 53% Median
83 6% 45%  
84 7% 39%  
85 5% 32%  
86 6% 27%  
87 5% 21%  
88 4% 17%  
89 3% 13%  
90 2% 9%  
91 2% 7%  
92 1.4% 5%  
93 1.2% 3%  
94 0.7% 2%  
95 0.6% 2%  
96 0.4% 1.1%  
97 0.2% 0.7%  
98 0.2% 0.5%  
99 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.2% 99.7%  
68 0.4% 99.5%  
69 0.4% 99.1% Last Result
70 1.0% 98.7%  
71 0.8% 98%  
72 2% 97%  
73 2% 95%  
74 3% 93%  
75 3% 90%  
76 4% 87%  
77 5% 83%  
78 6% 78%  
79 7% 72%  
80 7% 65%  
81 6% 59%  
82 7% 52% Median
83 6% 45%  
84 7% 39%  
85 5% 32%  
86 6% 27%  
87 5% 21%  
88 4% 17%  
89 3% 13%  
90 2% 9%  
91 2% 7%  
92 1.4% 5%  
93 1.1% 3%  
94 0.7% 2%  
95 0.6% 2%  
96 0.4% 1.0%  
97 0.2% 0.6%  
98 0.2% 0.4%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Median
1 0% 12%  
2 0% 12%  
3 0% 12%  
4 0% 12%  
5 0% 12%  
6 0% 12%  
7 0% 12%  
8 0% 12%  
9 0% 12%  
10 0% 12%  
11 0% 12%  
12 0% 12%  
13 0% 12%  
14 0% 12%  
15 0% 12%  
16 0.1% 12%  
17 4% 12%  
18 4% 8%  
19 2% 4%  
20 1.0% 2%  
21 0.5% 1.0%  
22 0.2% 0.5%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0% 0.2%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations