Opinion Poll by CURS for STIRIPESURSE.RO, 3–10 January 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 40.4% 38.5–42.3% 37.9–42.9% 37.4–43.3% 36.5–44.3%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 25.9% 24.3–27.7% 23.8–28.2% 23.4–28.7% 22.6–29.5%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.1–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 6.7% 5.9–7.8% 5.6–8.1% 5.4–8.4% 5.0–9.0%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 5.8% 5.0–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.6–7.4% 4.2–7.9%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 4.8% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.3–6.7%
PRO România 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 152 142–161 138–163 135–165 130–169
Partidul Național Liberal 69 98 90–105 87–107 85–109 81–112
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 32 28–37 27–38 26–39 24–42
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 0 0 0–28 0–29 0–31
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 22 18–25 17–26 16–27 15–30
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–24
PRO România 0 0 0 0 0 0

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.1% 99.7%  
129 0.1% 99.7%  
130 0.2% 99.5%  
131 0.2% 99.4%  
132 0.4% 99.1%  
133 0.4% 98.8%  
134 0.4% 98%  
135 0.6% 98%  
136 0.9% 97%  
137 0.8% 97%  
138 0.8% 96%  
139 1.1% 95%  
140 2% 94%  
141 2% 92%  
142 2% 90%  
143 3% 88%  
144 3% 85%  
145 5% 82%  
146 3% 77%  
147 4% 74%  
148 4% 70%  
149 5% 66%  
150 5% 61%  
151 6% 56%  
152 5% 50% Median
153 5% 45%  
154 4% 40% Last Result
155 5% 36%  
156 5% 32%  
157 5% 27%  
158 4% 22%  
159 4% 18%  
160 3% 14%  
161 3% 12%  
162 2% 9%  
163 2% 7%  
164 1.3% 5%  
165 1.1% 3% Majority
166 0.6% 2%  
167 0.6% 1.5%  
168 0.3% 0.9%  
169 0.3% 0.6%  
170 0.1% 0.3%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8%  
81 0.2% 99.6%  
82 0.2% 99.5%  
83 0.4% 99.2%  
84 0.6% 98.8%  
85 0.9% 98%  
86 1.3% 97%  
87 1.3% 96%  
88 2% 95%  
89 2% 92%  
90 3% 90%  
91 4% 87%  
92 4% 82%  
93 4% 78%  
94 6% 74%  
95 6% 67%  
96 7% 62%  
97 4% 55%  
98 8% 51% Median
99 6% 43%  
100 5% 37%  
101 7% 32%  
102 6% 26%  
103 3% 20%  
104 5% 17%  
105 4% 12%  
106 2% 9%  
107 2% 6%  
108 1.4% 4%  
109 0.7% 3%  
110 0.6% 2%  
111 0.5% 1.2%  
112 0.2% 0.7%  
113 0.2% 0.5%  
114 0.1% 0.3%  
115 0.1% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.2% 99.9%  
24 0.3% 99.6%  
25 1.0% 99.3%  
26 3% 98%  
27 5% 96%  
28 5% 90%  
29 5% 85%  
30 8% 80%  
31 19% 72%  
32 10% 53% Median
33 8% 43%  
34 7% 35%  
35 9% 28%  
36 8% 18%  
37 4% 10%  
38 3% 6%  
39 1.2% 3%  
40 1.1% 2%  
41 0.5% 1.0%  
42 0.3% 0.6%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0% 6%  
4 0% 6%  
5 0% 6%  
6 0% 6%  
7 0% 6%  
8 0% 6%  
9 0% 6%  
10 0% 6%  
11 0% 6%  
12 0% 6%  
13 0% 6%  
14 0% 6%  
15 0% 6%  
16 0% 6%  
17 0% 6%  
18 0% 6%  
19 0% 6%  
20 0% 6%  
21 0% 6%  
22 0% 6%  
23 0% 6%  
24 0% 6%  
25 0% 6%  
26 0% 6%  
27 0.6% 6%  
28 2% 6%  
29 2% 4%  
30 1.1% 2% Last Result
31 0.4% 0.8%  
32 0.2% 0.4%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0% 100%  
14 0.2% 99.9%  
15 0.5% 99.8%  
16 2% 99.2%  
17 4% 97%  
18 7% 94%  
19 9% 87%  
20 13% 78%  
21 13% 65% Last Result
22 14% 51% Median
23 12% 37%  
24 9% 25%  
25 7% 16%  
26 4% 9%  
27 3% 5%  
28 1.3% 2%  
29 0.6% 1.1%  
30 0.3% 0.5%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 61% 100% Median
1 0% 39%  
2 0% 39%  
3 0% 39%  
4 0% 39%  
5 0% 39%  
6 0% 39%  
7 0% 39%  
8 0% 39%  
9 0% 39%  
10 0% 39%  
11 0% 39%  
12 0% 39%  
13 0% 39%  
14 0% 39%  
15 0% 39%  
16 0% 39%  
17 0.7% 39%  
18 9% 38% Last Result
19 12% 29%  
20 7% 16%  
21 5% 9%  
22 3% 5%  
23 1.1% 2%  
24 0.5% 0.8%  
25 0.2% 0.3%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România 174 185 98% 173–195 169–197 166–198 157–201
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 185 98% 173–195 169–197 166–198 157–201
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 160 30% 151–170 149–174 147–177 143–182
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 159 25% 149–169 145–171 141–173 134–177
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 153 7% 143–163 141–166 139–170 135–177
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 152 3% 142–161 138–163 135–165 130–169
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 152 3% 141–161 138–163 135–165 130–169
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 138 0.3% 129–150 126–153 125–156 121–163
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 119 131 0% 122–141 120–145 117–149 114–156
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 127 0% 117–139 115–143 114–146 111–155
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 126 0% 116–137 113–140 110–143 106–146
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 121 0% 112–129 110–135 107–139 104–147
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 119 0% 110–127 107–129 106–131 100–136
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 105 0% 96–119 94–122 92–126 89–136
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 104 0% 94–116 92–119 89–121 85–125
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 98 0% 91–107 89–114 87–119 84–126
Partidul Național Liberal 69 98 0% 90–105 87–107 85–109 81–112
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 0 0% 0–22 0–29 0–31 0–47

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.8%  
157 0.2% 99.7%  
158 0.3% 99.5%  
159 0.2% 99.2%  
160 0.1% 98.9%  
161 0.1% 98.8%  
162 0.1% 98.7%  
163 0.2% 98.6%  
164 0.3% 98%  
165 0.5% 98% Majority
166 0.8% 98%  
167 0.9% 97%  
168 0.8% 96%  
169 1.2% 95%  
170 1.0% 94%  
171 1.1% 93%  
172 1.4% 92%  
173 1.4% 90%  
174 1.5% 89% Last Result
175 3% 88%  
176 4% 84%  
177 4% 80%  
178 4% 76%  
179 5% 71%  
180 4% 67%  
181 3% 63%  
182 3% 60%  
183 2% 57%  
184 3% 55% Median
185 5% 52%  
186 5% 47%  
187 6% 42%  
188 6% 35%  
189 6% 29%  
190 4% 24%  
191 3% 20%  
192 2% 17%  
193 2% 14%  
194 2% 12%  
195 2% 10%  
196 2% 9%  
197 2% 6%  
198 2% 4%  
199 1.2% 2%  
200 0.5% 1.3%  
201 0.4% 0.8%  
202 0.2% 0.4%  
203 0.1% 0.2%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.8%  
157 0.2% 99.7%  
158 0.3% 99.5%  
159 0.2% 99.2%  
160 0.1% 98.9%  
161 0.1% 98.8%  
162 0.1% 98.7%  
163 0.2% 98.6%  
164 0.3% 98%  
165 0.5% 98% Majority
166 0.8% 98%  
167 0.9% 97%  
168 0.8% 96%  
169 1.2% 95%  
170 1.0% 94%  
171 1.1% 93%  
172 1.4% 92%  
173 1.4% 90%  
174 1.5% 89% Last Result
175 3% 88%  
176 4% 84%  
177 4% 80%  
178 4% 76%  
179 5% 71%  
180 4% 67%  
181 3% 63%  
182 3% 60%  
183 2% 57%  
184 3% 55% Median
185 5% 52%  
186 5% 47%  
187 6% 42%  
188 6% 35%  
189 6% 29%  
190 4% 24%  
191 3% 20%  
192 2% 17%  
193 2% 14%  
194 2% 12%  
195 2% 10%  
196 2% 9%  
197 2% 6%  
198 2% 4%  
199 1.2% 2%  
200 0.5% 1.3%  
201 0.4% 0.8%  
202 0.2% 0.4%  
203 0.1% 0.2%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.3% 99.7%  
144 0.3% 99.4%  
145 0.6% 99.1%  
146 0.6% 98.5%  
147 1.1% 98%  
148 1.3% 97%  
149 2% 95%  
150 2% 93%  
151 3% 91%  
152 3% 88% Median
153 4% 86%  
154 4% 82%  
155 5% 78%  
156 5% 73%  
157 5% 68%  
158 4% 64% Last Result
159 5% 60%  
160 5% 55%  
161 6% 50%  
162 5% 44%  
163 5% 39%  
164 4% 34%  
165 4% 30% Majority
166 3% 26%  
167 5% 23%  
168 3% 18%  
169 3% 15%  
170 2% 12%  
171 2% 10%  
172 2% 8%  
173 1.1% 6%  
174 0.8% 5%  
175 0.8% 4%  
176 0.9% 3%  
177 0.6% 3%  
178 0.4% 2%  
179 0.4% 2%  
180 0.4% 1.2%  
181 0.2% 0.9%  
182 0.2% 0.6%  
183 0.1% 0.5%  
184 0.1% 0.3%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0.1% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100% Last Result
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.2% 99.8%  
134 0.2% 99.6%  
135 0.1% 99.4%  
136 0.1% 99.3%  
137 0.3% 99.2%  
138 0.4% 98.9%  
139 0.3% 98.5%  
140 0.5% 98%  
141 0.4% 98%  
142 0.5% 97%  
143 0.6% 97%  
144 0.6% 96%  
145 0.8% 96%  
146 0.8% 95%  
147 1.4% 94%  
148 1.5% 93%  
149 3% 91%  
150 2% 89%  
151 3% 86%  
152 3% 83% Median
153 4% 80%  
154 4% 76%  
155 5% 72%  
156 5% 67%  
157 5% 62%  
158 4% 58%  
159 5% 54%  
160 5% 49%  
161 6% 44%  
162 5% 38%  
163 4% 33%  
164 4% 29%  
165 4% 25% Majority
166 3% 21%  
167 5% 18%  
168 2% 13%  
169 3% 11%  
170 2% 8%  
171 2% 6%  
172 1.4% 4%  
173 0.8% 3%  
174 0.6% 2%  
175 0.5% 2%  
176 0.5% 1.1%  
177 0.3% 0.6%  
178 0.1% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0.1% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0% 100%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.2% 99.7%  
135 0.2% 99.6%  
136 0.4% 99.4%  
137 0.5% 99.0%  
138 0.9% 98%  
139 1.1% 98%  
140 1.1% 96% Last Result
141 2% 95%  
142 2% 93%  
143 3% 91%  
144 3% 88%  
145 2% 84%  
146 4% 82%  
147 4% 78%  
148 3% 74%  
149 6% 71%  
150 4% 65%  
151 4% 60%  
152 4% 56% Median
153 5% 53%  
154 4% 47%  
155 5% 43%  
156 5% 38%  
157 4% 33%  
158 3% 29%  
159 4% 25%  
160 4% 21%  
161 4% 17%  
162 3% 13%  
163 2% 11%  
164 2% 8%  
165 0.9% 7% Majority
166 1.1% 6%  
167 0.8% 5%  
168 0.7% 4%  
169 0.6% 3%  
170 0.6% 3%  
171 0.3% 2%  
172 0.3% 2%  
173 0.2% 1.4%  
174 0.2% 1.2%  
175 0.2% 1.0%  
176 0.3% 0.8%  
177 0.1% 0.5%  
178 0.2% 0.4%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0.1% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.1% 99.7%  
129 0.1% 99.7%  
130 0.2% 99.5%  
131 0.2% 99.4%  
132 0.4% 99.1%  
133 0.4% 98.8%  
134 0.4% 98%  
135 0.6% 98%  
136 0.9% 97%  
137 0.8% 97%  
138 0.8% 96%  
139 1.1% 95%  
140 2% 94%  
141 2% 92%  
142 2% 90%  
143 3% 88%  
144 3% 85%  
145 5% 82%  
146 3% 77%  
147 4% 74%  
148 4% 70%  
149 5% 66%  
150 5% 61%  
151 6% 56%  
152 5% 50% Median
153 5% 45%  
154 4% 40% Last Result
155 5% 36%  
156 5% 32%  
157 5% 27%  
158 4% 22%  
159 4% 18%  
160 3% 14%  
161 3% 12%  
162 2% 9%  
163 2% 7%  
164 1.3% 5%  
165 1.1% 3% Majority
166 0.6% 2%  
167 0.6% 1.5%  
168 0.3% 0.9%  
169 0.3% 0.6%  
170 0.1% 0.3%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.1% 99.7%  
129 0.1% 99.6%  
130 0.1% 99.6%  
131 0.2% 99.4%  
132 0.4% 99.2%  
133 0.4% 98.8%  
134 0.6% 98%  
135 0.5% 98%  
136 0.7% 97%  
137 0.8% 97%  
138 1.3% 96%  
139 1.4% 94%  
140 2% 93%  
141 3% 91%  
142 3% 89%  
143 4% 86%  
144 4% 83%  
145 3% 79%  
146 4% 77%  
147 4% 72%  
148 3% 68%  
149 6% 65%  
150 4% 59%  
151 4% 54%  
152 4% 50% Median
153 5% 46%  
154 4% 41%  
155 5% 37%  
156 5% 32%  
157 4% 27%  
158 3% 23%  
159 4% 20%  
160 4% 16%  
161 4% 12%  
162 3% 8%  
163 2% 6%  
164 1.5% 4%  
165 0.7% 3% Majority
166 0.8% 2%  
167 0.4% 1.3%  
168 0.3% 0.8%  
169 0.3% 0.5%  
170 0.1% 0.3%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.2% 99.8%  
121 0.3% 99.6%  
122 0.3% 99.4%  
123 0.8% 99.1%  
124 0.6% 98%  
125 1.0% 98%  
126 2% 97%  
127 2% 95%  
128 2% 93%  
129 4% 91%  
130 3% 87% Median
131 4% 84%  
132 5% 81%  
133 3% 75%  
134 5% 73%  
135 6% 68%  
136 3% 61%  
137 4% 58% Last Result
138 5% 54%  
139 3% 50%  
140 6% 47%  
141 3% 41%  
142 5% 38%  
143 4% 33%  
144 3% 29%  
145 4% 27%  
146 3% 22%  
147 4% 19%  
148 3% 15%  
149 2% 12%  
150 2% 10%  
151 2% 8%  
152 1.2% 7%  
153 1.0% 5%  
154 0.9% 4%  
155 0.5% 3%  
156 0.5% 3%  
157 0.4% 2%  
158 0.3% 2%  
159 0.4% 2%  
160 0.2% 1.3%  
161 0.2% 1.1%  
162 0.2% 0.9%  
163 0.2% 0.6%  
164 0.1% 0.4%  
165 0.1% 0.3% Majority
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0.1% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.2% 99.8%  
114 0.2% 99.7%  
115 0.5% 99.5%  
116 0.4% 99.0%  
117 1.2% 98.6%  
118 0.9% 97%  
119 1.4% 97% Last Result
120 2% 95%  
121 3% 93%  
122 2% 91%  
123 4% 88%  
124 4% 85%  
125 4% 81%  
126 5% 77%  
127 4% 72%  
128 4% 68%  
129 7% 64%  
130 4% 56% Median
131 5% 53%  
132 6% 47%  
133 3% 41%  
134 5% 38%  
135 7% 33%  
136 3% 26%  
137 4% 23%  
138 4% 20%  
139 2% 16%  
140 4% 14%  
141 2% 11%  
142 1.3% 9%  
143 1.4% 8%  
144 0.8% 6%  
145 0.9% 5%  
146 0.7% 4%  
147 0.4% 4%  
148 0.5% 3%  
149 0.4% 3%  
150 0.4% 2%  
151 0.4% 2%  
152 0.2% 2%  
153 0.3% 1.4%  
154 0.3% 1.0%  
155 0.1% 0.7%  
156 0.2% 0.6%  
157 0.1% 0.4%  
158 0% 0.3%  
159 0.1% 0.3%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.2% 99.8%  
111 0.4% 99.6%  
112 0.5% 99.2%  
113 1.2% 98.7%  
114 2% 98%  
115 2% 96%  
116 2% 94%  
117 2% 91%  
118 2% 90%  
119 2% 88%  
120 2% 86% Median
121 3% 83%  
122 4% 80%  
123 6% 76%  
124 6% 71%  
125 6% 65%  
126 5% 58%  
127 5% 53%  
128 3% 48%  
129 2% 45%  
130 3% 43%  
131 3% 40%  
132 4% 37%  
133 5% 33%  
134 4% 29%  
135 4% 24%  
136 4% 20%  
137 3% 16%  
138 1.5% 12% Last Result
139 1.4% 11%  
140 1.4% 10%  
141 1.1% 8%  
142 1.0% 7%  
143 1.2% 6%  
144 0.8% 5%  
145 0.9% 4%  
146 0.8% 3%  
147 0.5% 2%  
148 0.3% 2%  
149 0.2% 2%  
150 0.1% 1.4%  
151 0.1% 1.3%  
152 0.1% 1.2%  
153 0.2% 1.1%  
154 0.3% 0.8%  
155 0.2% 0.5%  
156 0.1% 0.3%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.2% 99.8%  
106 0.3% 99.6%  
107 0.6% 99.3%  
108 0.4% 98.7% Last Result
109 0.6% 98%  
110 0.6% 98%  
111 0.6% 97%  
112 0.6% 96%  
113 1.3% 96%  
114 2% 95%  
115 2% 93%  
116 3% 91%  
117 2% 88%  
118 2% 86%  
119 2% 83%  
120 2% 81% Median
121 3% 79%  
122 4% 75%  
123 6% 72%  
124 6% 66%  
125 7% 60%  
126 6% 53%  
127 5% 47%  
128 3% 42%  
129 2% 39%  
130 3% 37%  
131 3% 34%  
132 4% 31%  
133 4% 27%  
134 4% 23%  
135 4% 19%  
136 4% 15%  
137 3% 11%  
138 1.0% 8%  
139 1.1% 7%  
140 1.1% 6%  
141 1.0% 5%  
142 0.9% 4%  
143 0.9% 3%  
144 0.7% 2%  
145 0.4% 1.1%  
146 0.4% 0.7%  
147 0.2% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0.1% 100%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.2% 99.8%  
104 0.3% 99.6%  
105 0.5% 99.3%  
106 0.7% 98.8%  
107 0.8% 98%  
108 0.7% 97%  
109 0.9% 97%  
110 2% 96%  
111 3% 94%  
112 3% 92%  
113 5% 89%  
114 5% 83%  
115 6% 78%  
116 5% 72%  
117 4% 67%  
118 5% 63%  
119 4% 58%  
120 3% 54% Last Result, Median
121 4% 51%  
122 4% 47%  
123 6% 42%  
124 6% 36%  
125 6% 30%  
126 5% 24%  
127 5% 19%  
128 3% 14%  
129 2% 12%  
130 1.1% 9%  
131 0.7% 8%  
132 0.7% 8%  
133 0.6% 7%  
134 0.7% 6%  
135 0.8% 6%  
136 0.9% 5%  
137 0.6% 4%  
138 0.7% 3%  
139 0.5% 3%  
140 0.3% 2%  
141 0.2% 2%  
142 0.1% 2%  
143 0.2% 1.4%  
144 0.1% 1.2%  
145 0.2% 1.1%  
146 0.3% 0.9%  
147 0.2% 0.6%  
148 0.1% 0.4%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0.1% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100% Last Result
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0.3% 99.7%  
101 0.2% 99.4%  
102 0.2% 99.1%  
103 0.3% 98.9%  
104 0.4% 98.7%  
105 0.7% 98%  
106 1.1% 98%  
107 1.5% 96%  
108 1.3% 95%  
109 2% 94%  
110 2% 92%  
111 3% 90%  
112 3% 87%  
113 5% 84%  
114 6% 78%  
115 6% 73%  
116 5% 67%  
117 4% 62%  
118 6% 58%  
119 4% 52%  
120 3% 48% Median
121 4% 45%  
122 5% 41%  
123 6% 36%  
124 6% 30%  
125 6% 24%  
126 5% 18%  
127 5% 13%  
128 2% 8%  
129 2% 6%  
130 1.0% 4%  
131 0.6% 3%  
132 0.6% 2%  
133 0.4% 2%  
134 0.4% 1.3%  
135 0.4% 0.9%  
136 0.2% 0.5%  
137 0.2% 0.3%  
138 0.1% 0.1%  
139 0.1% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.2% 99.8%  
89 0.4% 99.5%  
90 0.5% 99.2%  
91 0.9% 98.6%  
92 1.4% 98%  
93 1.3% 96%  
94 2% 95%  
95 2% 93%  
96 3% 90%  
97 3% 87%  
98 4% 85% Median
99 5% 81%  
100 3% 76%  
101 6% 73%  
102 5% 66%  
103 3% 61%  
104 5% 59%  
105 4% 54%  
106 3% 50%  
107 3% 47%  
108 3% 44%  
109 2% 40%  
110 3% 39%  
111 3% 35%  
112 3% 32%  
113 4% 29%  
114 4% 25%  
115 3% 21%  
116 4% 18%  
117 2% 14% Last Result
118 2% 12%  
119 2% 10%  
120 1.1% 8%  
121 0.9% 7%  
122 1.1% 6%  
123 0.9% 5%  
124 0.5% 4%  
125 0.5% 3%  
126 0.3% 3%  
127 0.3% 2%  
128 0.4% 2%  
129 0.2% 2%  
130 0.3% 2%  
131 0.2% 1.3%  
132 0.1% 1.1%  
133 0.3% 1.0%  
134 0.1% 0.7%  
135 0.1% 0.7%  
136 0.2% 0.5%  
137 0.1% 0.3%  
138 0.1% 0.2%  
139 0.1% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0.2% 99.7%  
86 0.4% 99.5%  
87 0.4% 99.0% Last Result
88 0.7% 98.7%  
89 0.7% 98%  
90 0.8% 97%  
91 1.3% 97%  
92 2% 95%  
93 2% 94%  
94 3% 92%  
95 3% 89%  
96 3% 87%  
97 3% 84%  
98 4% 81% Median
99 5% 76%  
100 3% 71%  
101 6% 68%  
102 5% 62%  
103 3% 57%  
104 5% 54%  
105 4% 48%  
106 3% 44%  
107 3% 41%  
108 3% 38%  
109 2% 35%  
110 3% 33%  
111 3% 30%  
112 3% 26%  
113 4% 23%  
114 4% 19%  
115 2% 15%  
116 4% 13%  
117 2% 9%  
118 1.4% 7%  
119 2% 6%  
120 0.9% 4%  
121 0.6% 3%  
122 0.9% 2%  
123 0.5% 1.3%  
124 0.3% 0.8%  
125 0.2% 0.5%  
126 0.1% 0.3%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.8%  
84 0.3% 99.6%  
85 0.5% 99.2%  
86 0.7% 98.7%  
87 1.0% 98%  
88 2% 97%  
89 2% 95%  
90 3% 93%  
91 4% 91%  
92 4% 87%  
93 4% 83%  
94 6% 79%  
95 6% 73%  
96 6% 67%  
97 4% 61%  
98 8% 57% Median
99 6% 49% Last Result
100 5% 43%  
101 7% 39%  
102 5% 32%  
103 3% 26%  
104 5% 24%  
105 4% 18%  
106 2% 15%  
107 3% 12%  
108 2% 10%  
109 0.8% 8%  
110 0.8% 8%  
111 0.6% 7%  
112 0.4% 6%  
113 0.5% 6%  
114 0.6% 5%  
115 0.5% 5%  
116 0.3% 4%  
117 0.4% 4%  
118 0.5% 3%  
119 0.6% 3%  
120 0.4% 2%  
121 0.4% 2%  
122 0.2% 2%  
123 0.4% 1.4%  
124 0.2% 1.0%  
125 0.2% 0.8%  
126 0.1% 0.6%  
127 0.1% 0.5%  
128 0.1% 0.3%  
129 0.1% 0.2%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8%  
81 0.2% 99.6%  
82 0.2% 99.5%  
83 0.4% 99.2%  
84 0.6% 98.8%  
85 0.9% 98%  
86 1.3% 97%  
87 1.3% 96%  
88 2% 95%  
89 2% 92%  
90 3% 90%  
91 4% 87%  
92 4% 82%  
93 4% 78%  
94 6% 74%  
95 6% 67%  
96 7% 62%  
97 4% 55%  
98 8% 51% Median
99 6% 43%  
100 5% 37%  
101 7% 32%  
102 6% 26%  
103 3% 20%  
104 5% 17%  
105 4% 12%  
106 2% 9%  
107 2% 6%  
108 1.4% 4%  
109 0.7% 3%  
110 0.6% 2%  
111 0.5% 1.2%  
112 0.2% 0.7%  
113 0.2% 0.5%  
114 0.1% 0.3%  
115 0.1% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Median
1 0% 43%  
2 0% 43%  
3 0% 43%  
4 0% 43%  
5 0% 43%  
6 0% 43%  
7 0% 43%  
8 0% 43%  
9 0% 43%  
10 0% 43%  
11 0% 43%  
12 0% 43%  
13 0% 43%  
14 0% 43%  
15 0% 43%  
16 0% 43%  
17 0% 43%  
18 9% 43%  
19 12% 34%  
20 7% 22%  
21 5% 15%  
22 3% 11%  
23 1.1% 8%  
24 0.5% 7%  
25 0.2% 6%  
26 0.1% 6%  
27 0% 6%  
28 0.9% 6%  
29 2% 5%  
30 0.9% 4%  
31 0.3% 3%  
32 0.2% 2%  
33 0.1% 2%  
34 0% 2%  
35 0% 2%  
36 0% 2%  
37 0% 2%  
38 0% 2%  
39 0% 2%  
40 0% 2%  
41 0% 2%  
42 0% 2%  
43 0% 2%  
44 0.1% 2%  
45 0.7% 2%  
46 0.3% 1.1%  
47 0.4% 0.8%  
48 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations