Opinion Poll by IMAS, 1–28 February 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 29.4% 27.6–31.3% 27.1–31.8% 26.7–32.3% 25.8–33.2%
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 28.6% 26.8–30.5% 26.3–31.0% 25.9–31.5% 25.1–32.4%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 11.2% 10.0–12.6% 9.7–13.0% 9.4–13.3% 8.8–14.0%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 10.6% 9.4–11.9% 9.1–12.3% 8.8–12.7% 8.3–13.3%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 4.6% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 69 105 98–113 96–114 94–116 91–120
Partidul Social Democrat 154 103 95–110 93–112 91–113 88–117
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 40 35–45 34–46 33–48 31–50
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 38 33–43 32–44 31–45 29–48
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 21 18–25 17–26 16–27 15–29
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0–19 0–20 0–20 0–22

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.2% 99.8%  
91 0.3% 99.6%  
92 0.4% 99.3%  
93 0.8% 98.8%  
94 1.1% 98%  
95 2% 97%  
96 2% 95%  
97 2% 93%  
98 3% 91%  
99 3% 88%  
100 5% 84%  
101 5% 80%  
102 7% 75%  
103 6% 68%  
104 6% 62%  
105 7% 56% Median
106 7% 49%  
107 7% 42%  
108 6% 35%  
109 5% 29%  
110 5% 24%  
111 4% 19%  
112 4% 14%  
113 3% 10%  
114 3% 7%  
115 2% 5%  
116 1.1% 3%  
117 0.7% 2%  
118 0.6% 2%  
119 0.3% 0.9%  
120 0.3% 0.6%  
121 0.1% 0.3%  
122 0.1% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.8%  
88 0.3% 99.6%  
89 0.4% 99.4%  
90 0.7% 98.9%  
91 0.8% 98%  
92 1.4% 97%  
93 2% 96%  
94 2% 94%  
95 3% 92%  
96 3% 89%  
97 5% 85%  
98 5% 81%  
99 6% 75%  
100 7% 70%  
101 7% 63%  
102 6% 56%  
103 7% 50% Median
104 6% 43%  
105 7% 37%  
106 6% 30%  
107 5% 24%  
108 5% 19%  
109 4% 14%  
110 3% 10%  
111 2% 7%  
112 2% 5%  
113 1.2% 3%  
114 0.8% 2%  
115 0.6% 1.5%  
116 0.4% 0.9%  
117 0.2% 0.5%  
118 0.1% 0.3%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0.1% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
31 0.4% 99.7%  
32 1.0% 99.3%  
33 2% 98%  
34 3% 97%  
35 4% 94%  
36 7% 89%  
37 8% 82%  
38 10% 74%  
39 10% 63%  
40 12% 53% Median
41 9% 42%  
42 9% 32%  
43 7% 24%  
44 5% 17%  
45 4% 11%  
46 3% 7%  
47 2% 4%  
48 1.4% 3%  
49 0.5% 1.2%  
50 0.4% 0.7%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 0.4% 99.7%  
30 0.9% 99.3%  
31 2% 98%  
32 3% 97%  
33 4% 93%  
34 6% 89%  
35 9% 82%  
36 10% 74%  
37 12% 64%  
38 11% 52% Median
39 10% 41%  
40 8% 31%  
41 7% 22%  
42 6% 16%  
43 4% 10%  
44 3% 6%  
45 2% 4%  
46 1.0% 2%  
47 0.6% 1.1%  
48 0.2% 0.5%  
49 0.1% 0.3%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 0.6% 99.8%  
16 2% 99.1%  
17 4% 97%  
18 7% 94%  
19 10% 86%  
20 13% 76%  
21 15% 63% Last Result, Median
22 14% 49%  
23 12% 35%  
24 9% 23%  
25 6% 14%  
26 4% 8%  
27 2% 4%  
28 1.1% 2%  
29 0.5% 0.9%  
30 0.2% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 73% 100% Median
1 0% 27%  
2 0% 27%  
3 0% 27%  
4 0% 27%  
5 0% 27%  
6 0% 27%  
7 0% 27%  
8 0% 27%  
9 0% 27%  
10 0% 27%  
11 0% 27%  
12 0% 27%  
13 0% 27%  
14 0% 27%  
15 0% 27%  
16 0% 27%  
17 8% 27%  
18 9% 20% Last Result
19 5% 10%  
20 3% 5%  
21 1.4% 2%  
22 0.5% 0.9%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 209 100% 202–217 200–219 199–221 195–224
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 206 100% 194–213 191–215 189–217 185–220
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 188 100% 180–196 178–198 176–200 173–204
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 184 99.5% 173–192 171–194 168–196 164–199
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 171 88% 164–180 162–183 160–185 156–189
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 169 78% 162–178 160–181 158–183 154–186
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 167 64% 157–175 154–178 152–179 149–182
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 165 53% 156–173 152–175 150–177 147–180
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 150 2% 142–159 140–162 138–164 134–168
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 145 0.1% 137–153 134–156 132–157 128–161
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 141 0% 132–148 129–150 127–152 123–156
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 131 0% 123–142 121–144 119–146 116–150
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 127 0% 119–135 116–137 114–139 111–142
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 110 0% 102–120 100–124 98–126 95–129
Partidul Național Liberal 69 105 0% 98–113 96–114 94–116 91–120
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 42 0% 37–58 35–60 34–62 32–64

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 100%  
188 0% 100%  
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0.1% 99.9%  
193 0.1% 99.9%  
194 0.1% 99.8%  
195 0.2% 99.7%  
196 0.4% 99.5%  
197 0.6% 99.1%  
198 0.8% 98.5%  
199 1.2% 98%  
200 2% 97%  
201 2% 95%  
202 3% 93%  
203 4% 90%  
204 5% 86% Median
205 5% 81%  
206 6% 76%  
207 7% 70%  
208 6% 63%  
209 7% 57%  
210 6% 50%  
211 7% 44%  
212 7% 37%  
213 6% 30%  
214 5% 25%  
215 5% 19%  
216 3% 15%  
217 3% 11%  
218 2% 8%  
219 2% 6%  
220 1.4% 4%  
221 0.8% 3%  
222 0.7% 2%  
223 0.4% 1.1%  
224 0.3% 0.6%  
225 0.2% 0.4%  
226 0.1% 0.2%  
227 0.1% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 99.9%  
183 0.1% 99.9%  
184 0.1% 99.8%  
185 0.3% 99.7%  
186 0.3% 99.4%  
187 0.5% 99.1%  
188 0.6% 98.6%  
189 0.9% 98%  
190 1.3% 97%  
191 1.2% 96%  
192 2% 95%  
193 2% 93%  
194 2% 91%  
195 3% 89%  
196 3% 86%  
197 3% 84%  
198 3% 81%  
199 3% 78%  
200 3% 75%  
201 3% 72%  
202 4% 68%  
203 4% 65%  
204 6% 61% Median
205 5% 55%  
206 6% 50%  
207 6% 44%  
208 5% 39%  
209 6% 33%  
210 5% 27%  
211 5% 22%  
212 4% 17%  
213 3% 13%  
214 3% 10%  
215 2% 7%  
216 1.4% 5%  
217 1.1% 3%  
218 0.7% 2%  
219 0.6% 1.3%  
220 0.3% 0.7%  
221 0.2% 0.4%  
222 0.1% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0.2% 99.8%  
173 0.3% 99.6%  
174 0.4% 99.3%  
175 0.6% 99.0%  
176 1.0% 98%  
177 1.2% 97%  
178 2% 96%  
179 2% 94%  
180 3% 92%  
181 4% 90%  
182 5% 86%  
183 5% 81% Median
184 5% 76%  
185 6% 71%  
186 5% 65%  
187 6% 59%  
188 6% 53%  
189 6% 46%  
190 6% 40%  
191 6% 34%  
192 5% 29%  
193 4% 23%  
194 4% 19%  
195 4% 15%  
196 2% 11%  
197 3% 9%  
198 2% 6%  
199 1.4% 5%  
200 1.1% 3%  
201 0.7% 2%  
202 0.5% 1.4%  
203 0.3% 0.9%  
204 0.3% 0.6%  
205 0.1% 0.3%  
206 0.1% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.1% 99.8%  
164 0.2% 99.7%  
165 0.2% 99.5% Majority
166 0.5% 99.3%  
167 0.7% 98.8%  
168 0.7% 98%  
169 1.1% 97%  
170 1.1% 96%  
171 2% 95%  
172 2% 93%  
173 2% 91%  
174 3% 90%  
175 3% 87%  
176 3% 84%  
177 3% 81%  
178 3% 77%  
179 4% 74%  
180 4% 70%  
181 5% 66%  
182 5% 61%  
183 5% 56% Median
184 5% 50%  
185 6% 45%  
186 5% 39%  
187 6% 35%  
188 5% 29%  
189 4% 23%  
190 5% 19%  
191 3% 14%  
192 3% 11%  
193 2% 8%  
194 2% 6%  
195 1.5% 4%  
196 0.8% 3%  
197 0.7% 2%  
198 0.4% 1.0%  
199 0.2% 0.6%  
200 0.2% 0.4%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0.1% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100% Last Result
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.2% 99.8%  
156 0.3% 99.7%  
157 0.3% 99.4%  
158 0.6% 99.1%  
159 0.8% 98%  
160 1.0% 98%  
161 1.4% 97%  
162 2% 95%  
163 3% 93%  
164 3% 91%  
165 4% 88% Majority
166 5% 84% Median
167 5% 79%  
168 7% 74%  
169 6% 67%  
170 6% 61%  
171 5% 55%  
172 6% 50%  
173 5% 43%  
174 5% 38%  
175 5% 33%  
176 4% 29%  
177 5% 24%  
178 4% 20%  
179 3% 15%  
180 3% 13%  
181 3% 10%  
182 2% 7%  
183 1.5% 5%  
184 1.1% 4%  
185 0.8% 3%  
186 0.6% 2%  
187 0.4% 1.1%  
188 0.3% 0.8%  
189 0.2% 0.5%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0.1% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100% Last Result
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.2% 99.8%  
154 0.3% 99.7%  
155 0.4% 99.4%  
156 0.6% 99.0%  
157 0.8% 98%  
158 0.9% 98%  
159 2% 97%  
160 2% 95%  
161 3% 93%  
162 4% 90%  
163 4% 87%  
164 5% 83% Median
165 6% 78% Majority
166 6% 72%  
167 5% 67%  
168 6% 61%  
169 6% 56%  
170 5% 49%  
171 6% 44%  
172 6% 38%  
173 5% 33%  
174 5% 28%  
175 5% 23%  
176 3% 18%  
177 3% 15%  
178 3% 12%  
179 2% 9%  
180 2% 7%  
181 1.3% 5%  
182 1.2% 4%  
183 1.0% 3%  
184 0.7% 2%  
185 0.4% 1.2%  
186 0.3% 0.8%  
187 0.2% 0.4%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.8%  
148 0.2% 99.8%  
149 0.3% 99.6%  
150 0.3% 99.2%  
151 0.5% 98.9%  
152 1.0% 98%  
153 1.5% 97%  
154 1.0% 96%  
155 1.1% 95%  
156 2% 94%  
157 2% 92%  
158 2% 89%  
159 2% 88%  
160 4% 86%  
161 4% 81%  
162 3% 77%  
163 4% 74%  
164 5% 69%  
165 5% 64% Majority
166 5% 59% Median
167 6% 54%  
168 7% 48%  
169 6% 41%  
170 5% 36%  
171 4% 30%  
172 6% 26%  
173 4% 20%  
174 4% 16%  
175 3% 13%  
176 3% 10%  
177 2% 7%  
178 2% 5%  
179 1.1% 3%  
180 0.9% 2%  
181 0.5% 1.3%  
182 0.3% 0.8%  
183 0.2% 0.5%  
184 0.1% 0.3%  
185 0.1% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.8%  
146 0.1% 99.7%  
147 0.3% 99.6%  
148 0.3% 99.4%  
149 0.8% 99.1%  
150 1.1% 98%  
151 1.1% 97%  
152 1.1% 96%  
153 1.5% 95%  
154 1.5% 94%  
155 2% 92%  
156 3% 90%  
157 3% 88%  
158 5% 84%  
159 3% 80%  
160 4% 77%  
161 4% 73%  
162 4% 68%  
163 5% 64%  
164 6% 59% Median
165 6% 53% Majority
166 6% 47%  
167 5% 41%  
168 5% 36%  
169 6% 31%  
170 4% 25%  
171 5% 21%  
172 4% 16%  
173 3% 12%  
174 3% 9%  
175 2% 6%  
176 1.3% 4%  
177 0.9% 3%  
178 0.7% 2%  
179 0.6% 1.3%  
180 0.3% 0.8%  
181 0.2% 0.5%  
182 0.1% 0.3%  
183 0.1% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.8%  
134 0.2% 99.7%  
135 0.4% 99.5%  
136 0.5% 99.1%  
137 0.8% 98.6%  
138 1.1% 98%  
139 1.4% 97%  
140 2% 95%  
141 3% 93%  
142 3% 91%  
143 4% 88%  
144 4% 84%  
145 5% 80% Median
146 6% 74%  
147 5% 69%  
148 7% 64%  
149 5% 56%  
150 5% 51%  
151 6% 46%  
152 4% 41%  
153 5% 36%  
154 4% 31%  
155 4% 27%  
156 4% 23%  
157 3% 19%  
158 3% 16%  
159 3% 13%  
160 2% 10%  
161 2% 7%  
162 1.4% 5%  
163 1.1% 4%  
164 0.9% 3%  
165 0.6% 2% Majority
166 0.4% 1.4%  
167 0.4% 1.0%  
168 0.2% 0.6%  
169 0.2% 0.4%  
170 0.1% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.2% 99.7%  
129 0.4% 99.5%  
130 0.5% 99.1%  
131 0.7% 98.6%  
132 0.9% 98%  
133 1.3% 97%  
134 2% 96%  
135 2% 94%  
136 2% 92%  
137 3% 90%  
138 3% 87%  
139 4% 85%  
140 4% 81%  
141 5% 77%  
142 5% 72%  
143 5% 67%  
144 6% 61%  
145 6% 56% Median
146 6% 50%  
147 5% 43%  
148 7% 38%  
149 5% 31%  
150 5% 26%  
151 5% 21%  
152 3% 17%  
153 4% 14%  
154 2% 10%  
155 2% 7%  
156 2% 5%  
157 1.1% 4%  
158 0.9% 2%  
159 0.6% 2%  
160 0.3% 0.9%  
161 0.3% 0.6%  
162 0.1% 0.3%  
163 0.1% 0.2%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1% Majority
166 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0.1% 100%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.8%  
123 0.2% 99.7%  
124 0.3% 99.5%  
125 0.4% 99.2%  
126 0.6% 98.9%  
127 0.8% 98%  
128 1.1% 97%  
129 1.5% 96%  
130 2% 95%  
131 3% 93%  
132 3% 90%  
133 3% 87%  
134 4% 85%  
135 5% 80%  
136 4% 76%  
137 5% 71%  
138 5% 67%  
139 5% 62%  
140 6% 57%  
141 5% 50% Median
142 6% 45%  
143 6% 39%  
144 7% 33%  
145 5% 26%  
146 5% 21%  
147 4% 16%  
148 3% 12%  
149 3% 9%  
150 2% 7%  
151 1.4% 5%  
152 1.0% 3%  
153 0.8% 2%  
154 0.6% 2%  
155 0.3% 0.9%  
156 0.3% 0.6%  
157 0.2% 0.3%  
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100% Last Result
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.2% 99.8%  
116 0.3% 99.6%  
117 0.5% 99.3%  
118 0.7% 98.9%  
119 0.9% 98%  
120 1.3% 97%  
121 2% 96%  
122 2% 94%  
123 3% 92%  
124 4% 90%  
125 4% 85%  
126 6% 82% Median
127 5% 76%  
128 5% 70%  
129 6% 65%  
130 5% 59%  
131 5% 54%  
132 6% 50%  
133 5% 44%  
134 5% 38%  
135 4% 33%  
136 3% 29%  
137 4% 26%  
138 3% 22%  
139 3% 18%  
140 3% 15%  
141 2% 12%  
142 2% 10%  
143 2% 8%  
144 2% 6%  
145 1.0% 5%  
146 1.3% 4%  
147 0.8% 2%  
148 0.6% 2%  
149 0.4% 1.0%  
150 0.2% 0.6%  
151 0.1% 0.4%  
152 0.1% 0.3%  
153 0.1% 0.2%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100% Last Result
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.2% 99.8%  
111 0.3% 99.6%  
112 0.4% 99.3%  
113 0.6% 98.9%  
114 0.8% 98%  
115 1.2% 97%  
116 1.4% 96%  
117 2% 95%  
118 3% 93%  
119 2% 90%  
120 4% 88%  
121 4% 84%  
122 4% 80%  
123 5% 76%  
124 6% 71%  
125 5% 65%  
126 7% 60% Median
127 6% 52%  
128 6% 46%  
129 7% 40%  
130 5% 34%  
131 5% 29%  
132 5% 24%  
133 4% 19%  
134 4% 14%  
135 3% 10%  
136 2% 7%  
137 2% 5%  
138 0.9% 3%  
139 0.8% 3%  
140 0.7% 2%  
141 0.3% 1.0%  
142 0.3% 0.7%  
143 0.1% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100% Last Result
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.2% 99.7%  
95 0.3% 99.5%  
96 0.6% 99.3%  
97 0.7% 98.7%  
98 1.4% 98%  
99 1.5% 97%  
100 2% 95%  
101 3% 93%  
102 3% 90%  
103 4% 87%  
104 5% 83%  
105 6% 78% Median
106 6% 72%  
107 6% 66%  
108 5% 60%  
109 5% 55%  
110 5% 50%  
111 5% 45%  
112 5% 40%  
113 4% 35%  
114 4% 31%  
115 3% 27%  
116 2% 24%  
117 2% 22%  
118 3% 19%  
119 4% 16%  
120 3% 13%  
121 2% 10%  
122 1.4% 8%  
123 1.5% 7%  
124 2% 5%  
125 1.0% 4%  
126 0.7% 3%  
127 0.9% 2%  
128 0.4% 1.0%  
129 0.2% 0.6%  
130 0.2% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.3%  
132 0.1% 0.2%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.2% 99.8%  
91 0.3% 99.6%  
92 0.4% 99.3%  
93 0.8% 98.8%  
94 1.1% 98%  
95 2% 97%  
96 2% 95%  
97 2% 93%  
98 3% 91%  
99 3% 88%  
100 5% 84%  
101 5% 80%  
102 7% 75%  
103 6% 68%  
104 6% 62%  
105 7% 56% Median
106 7% 49%  
107 7% 42%  
108 6% 35%  
109 5% 29%  
110 5% 24%  
111 4% 19%  
112 4% 14%  
113 3% 10%  
114 3% 7%  
115 2% 5%  
116 1.1% 3%  
117 0.7% 2%  
118 0.6% 2%  
119 0.3% 0.9%  
120 0.3% 0.6%  
121 0.1% 0.3%  
122 0.1% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.1% 99.9%  
32 0.3% 99.8%  
33 0.8% 99.4%  
34 1.2% 98.7%  
35 3% 97%  
36 4% 95%  
37 5% 90%  
38 7% 85%  
39 6% 78%  
40 9% 72% Median
41 7% 62%  
42 7% 55%  
43 6% 48%  
44 5% 42%  
45 4% 38%  
46 3% 34%  
47 2% 31%  
48 1.4% 30% Last Result
49 0.7% 28%  
50 1.0% 28%  
51 0.9% 27%  
52 2% 26%  
53 2% 24%  
54 3% 22%  
55 3% 20%  
56 3% 17%  
57 3% 14%  
58 2% 10%  
59 2% 8%  
60 2% 6%  
61 1.3% 4%  
62 1.1% 3%  
63 0.6% 1.5%  
64 0.4% 0.8%  
65 0.2% 0.5%  
66 0.1% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations