Opinion Poll by Sociopol for STIRIPESURSE.RO, 27 February–5 March 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 34.0% 32.1–36.0% 31.6–36.5% 31.1–37.0% 30.2–38.0%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 33.0% 31.1–34.9% 30.6–35.5% 30.1–36.0% 29.3–36.9%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.4–13.8% 10.1–14.2% 9.6–14.9%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.1%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 118 109–127 107–130 105–132 101–136
Partidul Național Liberal 69 114 106–123 103–126 102–128 98–132
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 41 37–47 35–48 34–50 32–52
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 21 17–24 16–25 16–26 14–28
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 0 0–19 0–22 0–22 0–23
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 16 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–24

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.3% 99.7%  
102 0.3% 99.4%  
103 0.5% 99.1%  
104 1.0% 98.6%  
105 1.0% 98%  
106 1.0% 97%  
107 2% 96%  
108 3% 94%  
109 2% 91%  
110 3% 89%  
111 4% 86%  
112 5% 82%  
113 4% 77%  
114 5% 74%  
115 5% 69%  
116 7% 64%  
117 6% 57%  
118 5% 51% Median
119 5% 46%  
120 5% 41%  
121 6% 36%  
122 4% 30%  
123 4% 25%  
124 3% 21%  
125 4% 19%  
126 3% 14%  
127 2% 11%  
128 1.3% 8%  
129 1.2% 7%  
130 2% 6%  
131 1.1% 4%  
132 0.9% 3%  
133 0.5% 2%  
134 0.3% 1.3%  
135 0.2% 0.9%  
136 0.2% 0.7%  
137 0.3% 0.5%  
138 0.1% 0.2%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.8%  
98 0.3% 99.6%  
99 0.4% 99.4%  
100 0.7% 99.0%  
101 0.7% 98%  
102 1.2% 98%  
103 2% 96%  
104 2% 95%  
105 3% 93%  
106 3% 90%  
107 3% 87%  
108 4% 85%  
109 4% 81%  
110 5% 76%  
111 5% 72%  
112 5% 66%  
113 6% 61%  
114 5% 55% Median
115 6% 49%  
116 5% 43%  
117 5% 38%  
118 5% 33%  
119 5% 28%  
120 4% 23%  
121 4% 19%  
122 3% 15%  
123 3% 12%  
124 2% 10%  
125 1.5% 7%  
126 1.2% 6%  
127 1.0% 4%  
128 1.1% 3%  
129 0.7% 2%  
130 0.6% 2%  
131 0.4% 1.0%  
132 0.2% 0.6%  
133 0.1% 0.4%  
134 0.1% 0.3%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100% Last Result
31 0.1% 99.9%  
32 0.5% 99.7%  
33 0.9% 99.3%  
34 2% 98%  
35 3% 97%  
36 4% 94%  
37 6% 90%  
38 8% 85%  
39 8% 77%  
40 10% 69%  
41 10% 59% Median
42 9% 49%  
43 10% 40%  
44 6% 29%  
45 8% 23%  
46 4% 15%  
47 4% 11%  
48 2% 7%  
49 2% 4%  
50 1.4% 3%  
51 0.5% 1.4%  
52 0.6% 1.0%  
53 0.1% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.5% 99.8%  
15 1.5% 99.3%  
16 3% 98%  
17 6% 94%  
18 10% 88%  
19 13% 78%  
20 14% 65%  
21 13% 51% Last Result, Median
22 12% 37%  
23 10% 25%  
24 6% 15%  
25 4% 9%  
26 2% 5%  
27 1.3% 2%  
28 0.6% 1.1%  
29 0.3% 0.5%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Median
1 0% 41%  
2 0% 41%  
3 0% 41%  
4 0% 41%  
5 0% 41%  
6 0% 41%  
7 0% 41%  
8 0% 41%  
9 0% 41%  
10 0% 41%  
11 0% 41%  
12 0% 41%  
13 0% 41%  
14 0% 41%  
15 0% 41%  
16 0.2% 41%  
17 0% 40%  
18 9% 40%  
19 26% 32%  
20 0.4% 6% Last Result
21 0.3% 5%  
22 4% 5%  
23 1.0% 1.2%  
24 0% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 0% 51%  
5 0% 51%  
6 0% 51%  
7 0% 51%  
8 0% 51%  
9 0% 51%  
10 0% 51%  
11 0% 51%  
12 0% 51%  
13 0% 51%  
14 0% 51%  
15 0% 51%  
16 2% 51% Median
17 11% 49%  
18 14% 38% Last Result
19 10% 24%  
20 7% 14%  
21 4% 7%  
22 2% 4%  
23 1.0% 2%  
24 0.5% 0.6%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 194 100% 185–203 182–205 180–207 176–211
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 187 99.7% 174–198 171–200 170–202 165–206
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 140 185 99.6% 173–196 171–199 168–201 165–205
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 176 91% 165–189 162–192 160–194 156–198
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 174 87% 163–183 160–186 158–188 154–192
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 164 47% 152–176 150–178 148–181 144–185
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 166 55% 154–177 151–180 148–181 145–185
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 156 16% 145–167 142–170 141–173 136–176
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 153 8% 142–164 139–166 136–168 132–172
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 145 0.4% 133–156 130–159 128–161 124–164
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 110 143 0.4% 131–155 129–158 127–160 123–164
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 135 0% 125–145 123–148 121–151 117–154
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 125 0% 114–138 112–141 110–142 106–147
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 124 0% 112–136 110–138 107–140 104–144
Partidul Național Liberal 69 114 0% 106–123 103–126 102–128 98–132
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 52 0% 39–63 38–64 36–66 34–69

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.3% 99.8%  
176 0.2% 99.5%  
177 0.2% 99.3%  
178 0.3% 99.1%  
179 0.5% 98.7%  
180 0.9% 98%  
181 1.1% 97%  
182 2% 96%  
183 1.2% 94%  
184 1.3% 93%  
185 2% 92%  
186 3% 89%  
187 4% 86%  
188 3% 81%  
189 4% 79%  
190 4% 75%  
191 6% 70%  
192 5% 64% Median
193 5% 59%  
194 5% 54%  
195 6% 49%  
196 7% 43%  
197 5% 36%  
198 5% 31%  
199 4% 26%  
200 5% 23%  
201 4% 18%  
202 3% 14%  
203 2% 11%  
204 3% 9%  
205 2% 6%  
206 1.0% 4%  
207 1.0% 3%  
208 1.0% 2%  
209 0.5% 1.4%  
210 0.3% 0.9%  
211 0.3% 0.6%  
212 0.1% 0.3%  
213 0.1% 0.2%  
214 0.1% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100% Last Result
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0.1% 99.8%  
165 0.3% 99.7% Majority
166 0.5% 99.4%  
167 0.5% 98.9%  
168 0.4% 98%  
169 0.5% 98%  
170 1.3% 98%  
171 2% 96%  
172 2% 95%  
173 1.3% 92%  
174 1.3% 91%  
175 2% 90%  
176 4% 88%  
177 3% 84%  
178 2% 81%  
179 3% 79%  
180 4% 76%  
181 3% 72%  
182 5% 69%  
183 3% 64%  
184 2% 61%  
185 4% 59%  
186 5% 55%  
187 5% 50%  
188 3% 45%  
189 4% 43%  
190 4% 39%  
191 4% 35%  
192 4% 31% Median
193 4% 27%  
194 3% 23%  
195 3% 20%  
196 4% 17%  
197 3% 13%  
198 2% 10%  
199 2% 8%  
200 2% 6%  
201 1.2% 4%  
202 0.9% 3%  
203 0.9% 2%  
204 0.4% 1.2%  
205 0.3% 0.8%  
206 0.2% 0.5%  
207 0.2% 0.3%  
208 0.1% 0.2%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0.1% 100%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.1% 99.8%  
164 0.1% 99.7%  
165 0.4% 99.6% Majority
166 0.6% 99.3%  
167 0.7% 98.7%  
168 0.6% 98%  
169 0.6% 97%  
170 2% 97%  
171 2% 95%  
172 2% 93%  
173 2% 90%  
174 2% 88%  
175 2% 86%  
176 4% 84% Median
177 4% 80%  
178 4% 75%  
179 2% 71%  
180 3% 69%  
181 4% 66%  
182 5% 62%  
183 4% 57%  
184 2% 53%  
185 4% 51%  
186 5% 47%  
187 6% 42%  
188 2% 36%  
189 3% 34%  
190 3% 31%  
191 5% 28%  
192 3% 23%  
193 2% 20%  
194 2% 18%  
195 3% 15%  
196 3% 12%  
197 2% 9%  
198 2% 7%  
199 1.2% 6%  
200 1.4% 5%  
201 0.9% 3%  
202 0.9% 2%  
203 0.5% 1.3%  
204 0.3% 0.9%  
205 0.2% 0.6%  
206 0.2% 0.4%  
207 0.1% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0.1% 100%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.8%  
155 0.1% 99.7%  
156 0.2% 99.7%  
157 0.5% 99.4%  
158 0.6% 98.9%  
159 0.6% 98%  
160 0.5% 98%  
161 0.9% 97%  
162 2% 96%  
163 2% 95%  
164 2% 93%  
165 1.3% 91% Majority
166 2% 89%  
167 3% 87%  
168 3% 85%  
169 2% 82%  
170 3% 80%  
171 4% 76%  
172 5% 72%  
173 4% 67%  
174 3% 63%  
175 4% 60%  
176 6% 56% Median
177 6% 50%  
178 5% 44%  
179 3% 39%  
180 3% 36%  
181 4% 33%  
182 4% 29%  
183 3% 25%  
184 2% 22%  
185 2% 20%  
186 3% 18%  
187 4% 16%  
188 1.4% 12%  
189 2% 10%  
190 1.1% 9%  
191 2% 8%  
192 2% 6%  
193 1.1% 4%  
194 0.9% 3%  
195 0.4% 2%  
196 0.5% 2%  
197 0.4% 1.1%  
198 0.3% 0.7%  
199 0.2% 0.4%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.2% 99.8%  
154 0.2% 99.6%  
155 0.2% 99.4%  
156 0.4% 99.1%  
157 0.6% 98.7%  
158 0.9% 98%  
159 1.2% 97%  
160 1.1% 96%  
161 1.5% 95%  
162 2% 93%  
163 2% 92%  
164 2% 90%  
165 3% 87% Majority
166 3% 84%  
167 4% 81%  
168 4% 78%  
169 4% 73%  
170 4% 69%  
171 5% 65% Median
172 5% 60%  
173 5% 56%  
174 5% 50%  
175 5% 45%  
176 6% 40%  
177 4% 34%  
178 4% 30%  
179 4% 26%  
180 4% 22%  
181 3% 18%  
182 3% 14%  
183 3% 12%  
184 2% 9%  
185 2% 7%  
186 1.4% 5%  
187 1.3% 4%  
188 0.8% 3%  
189 0.7% 2%  
190 0.5% 1.3%  
191 0.3% 0.9%  
192 0.2% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0.1% 0.2%  
195 0.1% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.2% 99.8%  
144 0.3% 99.6%  
145 0.4% 99.3%  
146 0.6% 98.9%  
147 0.7% 98%  
148 1.0% 98%  
149 1.2% 97%  
150 2% 95%  
151 2% 94%  
152 3% 92%  
153 3% 89%  
154 2% 86%  
155 3% 84% Median
156 3% 81%  
157 4% 78%  
158 4% 74%  
159 4% 70%  
160 4% 67%  
161 4% 63%  
162 4% 59%  
163 4% 55%  
164 4% 51%  
165 4% 47% Majority
166 4% 43%  
167 4% 39%  
168 4% 35%  
169 3% 30%  
170 3% 27%  
171 3% 24%  
172 3% 21%  
173 3% 18%  
174 3% 15%  
175 3% 13%  
176 2% 10%  
177 2% 8%  
178 1.5% 6%  
179 1.2% 5%  
180 0.9% 4%  
181 0.9% 3%  
182 0.7% 2%  
183 0.5% 1.2%  
184 0.3% 0.8%  
185 0.2% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.8%  
144 0.2% 99.7%  
145 0.3% 99.5%  
146 0.5% 99.3%  
147 0.6% 98.8%  
148 0.8% 98%  
149 1.1% 97%  
150 1.0% 96%  
151 1.4% 95%  
152 2% 94%  
153 2% 92%  
154 2% 90%  
155 2% 88%  
156 3% 86%  
157 3% 83%  
158 3% 80%  
159 3% 77%  
160 3% 74%  
161 4% 71%  
162 4% 67%  
163 4% 63%  
164 4% 59%  
165 5% 55% Majority
166 4% 51%  
167 4% 47%  
168 5% 43%  
169 4% 38%  
170 4% 35%  
171 4% 31% Median
172 3% 28%  
173 4% 24%  
174 3% 21%  
175 3% 17%  
176 3% 14%  
177 2% 11%  
178 2% 9%  
179 2% 7%  
180 2% 5%  
181 1.1% 4%  
182 0.6% 2%  
183 0.7% 2%  
184 0.4% 1.2%  
185 0.3% 0.7%  
186 0.2% 0.5%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0.1% 99.8%  
136 0.2% 99.7%  
137 0.3% 99.5%  
138 0.4% 99.2%  
139 0.6% 98.8%  
140 0.7% 98%  
141 1.1% 98%  
142 1.5% 96%  
143 1.5% 95%  
144 2% 93%  
145 2% 92%  
146 2% 90%  
147 3% 87%  
148 3% 85%  
149 4% 82%  
150 4% 78%  
151 4% 74%  
152 5% 70%  
153 5% 66%  
154 4% 61%  
155 5% 57% Median
156 5% 52%  
157 5% 47%  
158 5% 42%  
159 4% 37%  
160 4% 33%  
161 4% 29%  
162 3% 25%  
163 3% 22%  
164 3% 19%  
165 3% 16% Majority
166 2% 14%  
167 2% 11%  
168 2% 9%  
169 2% 7%  
170 1.1% 5%  
171 1.1% 4%  
172 0.6% 3%  
173 0.8% 3%  
174 0.6% 2%  
175 0.4% 1.1%  
176 0.2% 0.7%  
177 0.2% 0.4%  
178 0.1% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100% Last Result
129 0.1% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0.3% 99.8%  
132 0.2% 99.6%  
133 0.6% 99.4%  
134 0.4% 98.8%  
135 0.4% 98%  
136 0.9% 98%  
137 0.5% 97%  
138 2% 97%  
139 0.9% 95%  
140 2% 94%  
141 1.4% 92%  
142 3% 90%  
143 3% 87%  
144 3% 85%  
145 3% 82%  
146 3% 79%  
147 5% 76%  
148 2% 72%  
149 6% 70%  
150 2% 64%  
151 6% 61% Median
152 3% 56%  
153 5% 52%  
154 5% 47%  
155 5% 42%  
156 5% 36%  
157 5% 32%  
158 4% 27%  
159 4% 23%  
160 2% 19%  
161 3% 17%  
162 2% 14%  
163 2% 12%  
164 2% 10%  
165 2% 8% Majority
166 1.5% 6%  
167 1.4% 5%  
168 0.9% 3%  
169 0.7% 2%  
170 0.5% 2%  
171 0.3% 1.1%  
172 0.3% 0.8%  
173 0.1% 0.4%  
174 0.1% 0.3%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100% Last Result
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.9%  
123 0.2% 99.8%  
124 0.2% 99.6%  
125 0.5% 99.4%  
126 0.6% 98.9%  
127 0.6% 98%  
128 1.0% 98%  
129 0.8% 97%  
130 2% 96%  
131 2% 94%  
132 2% 93%  
133 2% 91%  
134 3% 89%  
135 2% 86%  
136 3% 83%  
137 2% 80%  
138 3% 78%  
139 3% 75%  
140 4% 71%  
141 4% 67%  
142 5% 63%  
143 4% 59%  
144 3% 55%  
145 5% 52%  
146 3% 47%  
147 6% 44%  
148 2% 38%  
149 6% 36%  
150 2% 30%  
151 4% 29% Median
152 3% 24%  
153 2% 21%  
154 4% 19%  
155 2% 15%  
156 4% 13%  
157 2% 9%  
158 2% 7%  
159 1.2% 5%  
160 1.0% 4%  
161 0.6% 3%  
162 0.9% 2%  
163 0.3% 1.3%  
164 0.5% 1.0%  
165 0.1% 0.4% Majority
166 0.2% 0.4%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0.1% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.8%  
123 0.2% 99.7%  
124 0.3% 99.4%  
125 0.5% 99.2%  
126 0.6% 98.6%  
127 1.0% 98%  
128 1.2% 97%  
129 2% 96%  
130 2% 94%  
131 3% 92%  
132 2% 90%  
133 4% 87%  
134 3% 84%  
135 3% 81% Median
136 3% 78%  
137 3% 75%  
138 5% 72%  
139 3% 67%  
140 5% 64%  
141 3% 59%  
142 5% 56%  
143 4% 51%  
144 4% 46%  
145 3% 42%  
146 4% 39%  
147 4% 35%  
148 3% 31%  
149 4% 29%  
150 2% 24%  
151 4% 22%  
152 1.5% 18%  
153 4% 17%  
154 2% 13%  
155 3% 11%  
156 1.1% 8%  
157 2% 7%  
158 1.0% 5%  
159 1.5% 4%  
160 0.6% 3%  
161 0.8% 2%  
162 0.4% 1.4%  
163 0.4% 1.0%  
164 0.3% 0.6%  
165 0.2% 0.4% Majority
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0.1% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100% Last Result
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.2% 99.8%  
117 0.2% 99.6%  
118 0.3% 99.4%  
119 0.5% 99.0%  
120 0.6% 98.5%  
121 1.0% 98%  
122 1.3% 97%  
123 2% 96%  
124 2% 94%  
125 2% 92%  
126 3% 90%  
127 3% 87%  
128 3% 85%  
129 4% 81%  
130 5% 77%  
131 5% 73%  
132 5% 68%  
133 5% 63%  
134 6% 58%  
135 5% 52% Median
136 6% 47%  
137 4% 42%  
138 6% 38%  
139 4% 33%  
140 5% 29%  
141 3% 24%  
142 4% 21%  
143 3% 17%  
144 3% 14%  
145 2% 11%  
146 2% 9%  
147 2% 7%  
148 0.6% 5%  
149 2% 5%  
150 0.3% 3%  
151 1.3% 3%  
152 0.2% 1.4%  
153 0.6% 1.2%  
154 0.2% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.4%  
156 0.1% 0.3%  
157 0% 0.2%  
158 0.1% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.2% 99.8%  
106 0.2% 99.7%  
107 0.3% 99.5%  
108 0.4% 99.2%  
109 0.9% 98.8%  
110 0.9% 98%  
111 1.2% 97%  
112 2% 96%  
113 2% 94%  
114 2% 92%  
115 3% 90%  
116 4% 87%  
117 3% 83%  
118 3% 80% Median
119 4% 77%  
120 4% 73%  
121 4% 69%  
122 4% 65%  
123 4% 61%  
124 3% 57%  
125 5% 55%  
126 5% 50%  
127 4% 45%  
128 2% 41%  
129 3% 39%  
130 5% 36%  
131 3% 31%  
132 4% 28%  
133 3% 24%  
134 2% 21%  
135 3% 19%  
136 4% 16%  
137 2% 12%  
138 1.3% 10%  
139 1.3% 9%  
140 2% 8%  
141 2% 5%  
142 1.3% 4%  
143 0.5% 2%  
144 0.4% 2%  
145 0.5% 2%  
146 0.5% 1.1%  
147 0.3% 0.6%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0.1% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100% Last Result
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.2% 99.8%  
104 0.3% 99.6%  
105 0.5% 99.3%  
106 0.6% 98.8%  
107 0.8% 98%  
108 1.1% 97%  
109 1.2% 96%  
110 1.4% 95%  
111 2% 94%  
112 2% 92%  
113 3% 89%  
114 3% 86%  
115 3% 84%  
116 3% 81%  
117 3% 78%  
118 4% 75%  
119 4% 72%  
120 4% 68%  
121 5% 64%  
122 4% 59%  
123 4% 56%  
124 4% 52%  
125 3% 48%  
126 3% 45%  
127 4% 41%  
128 4% 37%  
129 3% 33%  
130 3% 29% Median
131 3% 26%  
132 4% 23%  
133 3% 19%  
134 3% 16%  
135 3% 14%  
136 3% 10%  
137 2% 8%  
138 1.2% 6%  
139 1.1% 4%  
140 1.0% 3%  
141 0.8% 2%  
142 0.6% 2%  
143 0.4% 1.0%  
144 0.2% 0.6%  
145 0.2% 0.4%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.8%  
98 0.3% 99.6%  
99 0.4% 99.4%  
100 0.7% 99.0%  
101 0.7% 98%  
102 1.2% 98%  
103 2% 96%  
104 2% 95%  
105 3% 93%  
106 3% 90%  
107 3% 87%  
108 4% 85%  
109 4% 81%  
110 5% 76%  
111 5% 72%  
112 5% 66%  
113 6% 61%  
114 5% 55% Median
115 6% 49%  
116 5% 43%  
117 5% 38%  
118 5% 33%  
119 5% 28%  
120 4% 23%  
121 4% 19%  
122 3% 15%  
123 3% 12%  
124 2% 10%  
125 1.5% 7%  
126 1.2% 6%  
127 1.0% 4%  
128 1.1% 3%  
129 0.7% 2%  
130 0.6% 2%  
131 0.4% 1.0%  
132 0.2% 0.6%  
133 0.1% 0.4%  
134 0.1% 0.3%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0.2% 99.9%  
34 0.4% 99.7%  
35 0.6% 99.3%  
36 1.4% 98.7%  
37 1.4% 97%  
38 3% 96%  
39 3% 93%  
40 4% 90%  
41 5% 85%  
42 5% 81%  
43 5% 76%  
44 4% 71%  
45 4% 67%  
46 3% 62%  
47 3% 59%  
48 1.5% 56% Last Result
49 2% 54%  
50 1.5% 53%  
51 1.2% 51%  
52 1.4% 50%  
53 2% 49%  
54 2% 47%  
55 3% 45%  
56 4% 41%  
57 4% 37% Median
58 5% 33%  
59 5% 28%  
60 5% 23%  
61 4% 18%  
62 4% 14%  
63 3% 10%  
64 2% 7%  
65 2% 5%  
66 1.1% 3%  
67 0.8% 2%  
68 0.6% 1.3%  
69 0.3% 0.7%  
70 0.2% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations