Opinion Poll by CURS for STIRIPESURSE.RO, 27 April–8 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 39.0% 37.1–40.9% 36.6–41.5% 36.1–42.0% 35.2–42.9%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 25.0% 23.4–26.8% 22.9–27.3% 22.5–27.7% 21.7–28.6%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 7.0–11.5%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 8.0% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.1–10.3%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
PRO România 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 138 128–148 125–153 123–156 120–163
Partidul Național Liberal 69 88 81–96 79–100 78–103 75–107
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 31 0–35 0–37 0–38 0–40
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 28 24–32 23–34 22–35 21–37
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 20 18–25 17–26 16–27 15–29
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–24
PRO România 0 0 0 0 0 0

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.2% 99.7%  
121 0.5% 99.5%  
122 0.6% 99.0%  
123 1.1% 98%  
124 1.0% 97%  
125 2% 96%  
126 2% 95%  
127 2% 93%  
128 3% 91%  
129 2% 88%  
130 3% 85%  
131 3% 83%  
132 4% 80%  
133 5% 76%  
134 3% 70%  
135 5% 67%  
136 5% 61%  
137 5% 57%  
138 6% 52% Median
139 6% 46%  
140 5% 40%  
141 5% 35%  
142 4% 30%  
143 3% 26%  
144 4% 23%  
145 3% 19%  
146 2% 16%  
147 2% 13%  
148 2% 12%  
149 1.4% 9%  
150 1.1% 8%  
151 0.9% 7%  
152 0.6% 6%  
153 1.1% 5%  
154 0.5% 4% Last Result
155 0.7% 4%  
156 0.7% 3%  
157 0.2% 2%  
158 0.2% 2%  
159 0.6% 2%  
160 0.2% 1.4%  
161 0.2% 1.2%  
162 0.2% 1.1%  
163 0.4% 0.9%  
164 0.1% 0.5%  
165 0.1% 0.3% Majority
166 0.1% 0.3%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.7%  
75 0.4% 99.5%  
76 0.5% 99.2%  
77 1.2% 98.7%  
78 1.3% 98%  
79 3% 96%  
80 3% 94%  
81 4% 91%  
82 6% 87%  
83 6% 81%  
84 5% 75%  
85 5% 70%  
86 5% 65%  
87 5% 61%  
88 6% 55% Median
89 8% 49%  
90 6% 42%  
91 8% 36%  
92 7% 28%  
93 5% 22%  
94 3% 17%  
95 3% 13%  
96 1.3% 10%  
97 1.3% 9%  
98 1.3% 7%  
99 0.7% 6%  
100 1.4% 5%  
101 0.9% 4%  
102 0.5% 3%  
103 0.7% 3%  
104 0.6% 2%  
105 0.3% 1.2%  
106 0.2% 0.8%  
107 0.2% 0.6%  
108 0.1% 0.4%  
109 0.1% 0.3%  
110 0% 0.2%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100%  
1 0% 87%  
2 0% 87%  
3 0% 87%  
4 0% 87%  
5 0% 87%  
6 0% 87%  
7 0% 87%  
8 0% 87%  
9 0% 87%  
10 0% 87%  
11 0% 87%  
12 0% 87%  
13 0% 87%  
14 0% 87%  
15 0% 87%  
16 0% 87%  
17 0% 87%  
18 0% 87%  
19 0% 87%  
20 0% 87%  
21 0% 87%  
22 0% 87%  
23 0% 87%  
24 0% 87%  
25 0% 87%  
26 0% 87%  
27 2% 87%  
28 5% 86%  
29 10% 80%  
30 12% 70% Last Result
31 12% 59% Median
32 11% 47%  
33 11% 36%  
34 9% 25%  
35 6% 16%  
36 3% 9%  
37 3% 6%  
38 2% 3%  
39 0.9% 2%  
40 0.5% 0.8%  
41 0.2% 0.3%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
21 1.1% 99.5%  
22 2% 98%  
23 4% 96%  
24 6% 93%  
25 9% 87%  
26 11% 78%  
27 12% 67%  
28 12% 55% Median
29 13% 43%  
30 10% 30%  
31 8% 21%  
32 4% 13%  
33 3% 8%  
34 3% 5%  
35 1.3% 3%  
36 0.7% 1.4%  
37 0.3% 0.7%  
38 0.2% 0.4%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.4% 99.9%  
15 1.3% 99.5%  
16 2% 98%  
17 4% 96%  
18 11% 93%  
19 14% 82%  
20 19% 69% Median
21 10% 50% Last Result
22 10% 40%  
23 9% 30%  
24 11% 21%  
25 4% 10%  
26 3% 6%  
27 1.1% 3%  
28 1.2% 2%  
29 0.4% 0.8%  
30 0.3% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Median
1 0% 46%  
2 0% 46%  
3 0% 46%  
4 0% 46%  
5 0% 46%  
6 0% 46%  
7 0% 46%  
8 0% 46%  
9 0% 46%  
10 0% 46%  
11 0% 46%  
12 0% 46%  
13 0% 46%  
14 0% 46%  
15 0% 46%  
16 0.1% 46%  
17 9% 45%  
18 10% 36% Last Result
19 12% 26%  
20 7% 14%  
21 3% 7%  
22 2% 4%  
23 0.8% 1.4%  
24 0.4% 0.6%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 174 88% 164–184 159–187 156–189 149–192
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România 174 166 55% 155–177 152–184 151–189 147–196
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 166 55% 155–177 152–184 151–189 147–196
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 166 57% 153–176 148–178 144–180 138–184
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 144 4% 136–159 134–164 132–168 128–174
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 153 9% 142–164 136–167 131–168 125–172
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 146 0.6% 135–157 128–160 123–161 116–165
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 146 0.2% 132–155 125–157 121–159 116–162
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 137 0.3% 127–147 125–153 124–157 120–163
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 138 0.3% 128–148 125–153 123–156 120–163
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 139 0% 125–148 118–150 114–152 108–155
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 125 0% 113–137 105–139 100–141 92–145
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 117 0% 107–130 105–134 104–138 100–144
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 118 0% 102–126 95–128 91–130 87–134
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 109 0% 101–118 99–122 97–126 94–132
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 96 0% 86–109 84–113 82–116 80–121
Partidul Național Liberal 69 88 0% 81–96 79–100 78–103 75–107
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 34 0% 20–52 0–54 0–55 0–57

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0.1% 99.8%  
147 0.1% 99.7%  
148 0.1% 99.7%  
149 0.4% 99.5%  
150 0.2% 99.1%  
151 0.2% 98.9%  
152 0.2% 98.8%  
153 0.6% 98.6%  
154 0.2% 98%  
155 0.2% 98%  
156 0.7% 98%  
157 0.7% 97%  
158 0.5% 96% Last Result
159 1.1% 96%  
160 0.6% 95%  
161 0.9% 94%  
162 1.1% 93%  
163 1.4% 92%  
164 2% 90%  
165 2% 88% Majority
166 2% 86%  
167 3% 84% Median
168 4% 81%  
169 3% 77%  
170 4% 74%  
171 5% 70%  
172 5% 65%  
173 6% 60%  
174 6% 54%  
175 5% 48%  
176 5% 43%  
177 5% 39%  
178 3% 33%  
179 5% 30%  
180 4% 24%  
181 3% 20%  
182 3% 17%  
183 2% 15%  
184 3% 12%  
185 2% 9%  
186 2% 7%  
187 2% 5%  
188 1.0% 4%  
189 1.1% 3%  
190 0.6% 2%  
191 0.4% 0.9%  
192 0.2% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0.1% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0.2% 99.8%  
147 0.3% 99.7%  
148 0.5% 99.4%  
149 0.6% 98.9%  
150 0.7% 98%  
151 1.4% 98%  
152 2% 96%  
153 2% 94%  
154 2% 93%  
155 3% 91%  
156 3% 88%  
157 3% 85%  
158 4% 82%  
159 3% 79%  
160 5% 76%  
161 3% 71%  
162 4% 68%  
163 4% 64%  
164 5% 60%  
165 4% 55% Majority
166 4% 51% Median
167 6% 47%  
168 5% 42%  
169 4% 36%  
170 5% 32%  
171 3% 27%  
172 4% 24%  
173 3% 20%  
174 2% 17% Last Result
175 3% 15%  
176 1.4% 12%  
177 1.1% 11%  
178 1.0% 10%  
179 0.9% 9%  
180 1.3% 8%  
181 0.5% 7%  
182 0.4% 6%  
183 0.4% 6%  
184 0.9% 5%  
185 0.6% 4%  
186 0.5% 4%  
187 0.2% 3%  
188 0.2% 3%  
189 0.4% 3%  
190 0.7% 2%  
191 0.1% 2%  
192 0.1% 2%  
193 0.6% 2%  
194 0.3% 0.9%  
195 0% 0.6%  
196 0.1% 0.6%  
197 0.3% 0.4%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0.2% 99.8%  
147 0.3% 99.6%  
148 0.5% 99.4%  
149 0.6% 98.9%  
150 0.7% 98%  
151 1.4% 98%  
152 2% 96%  
153 2% 94%  
154 2% 93%  
155 3% 91%  
156 3% 88%  
157 3% 85%  
158 4% 82%  
159 3% 78%  
160 5% 76%  
161 3% 71%  
162 4% 68%  
163 4% 64%  
164 5% 60%  
165 4% 55% Majority
166 4% 51% Median
167 6% 47%  
168 5% 41%  
169 4% 36%  
170 5% 32%  
171 3% 27%  
172 4% 24%  
173 3% 20%  
174 2% 17% Last Result
175 3% 15%  
176 1.4% 12%  
177 1.1% 11%  
178 1.0% 10%  
179 0.9% 9%  
180 1.3% 8%  
181 0.5% 6%  
182 0.4% 6%  
183 0.4% 6%  
184 0.9% 5%  
185 0.6% 4%  
186 0.5% 4%  
187 0.2% 3%  
188 0.2% 3%  
189 0.4% 3%  
190 0.7% 2%  
191 0.1% 2%  
192 0.1% 2%  
193 0.6% 1.5%  
194 0.3% 0.9%  
195 0% 0.6%  
196 0.1% 0.6%  
197 0.3% 0.4%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0.1% 99.9%  
136 0.1% 99.8%  
137 0.1% 99.8%  
138 0.2% 99.6%  
139 0.2% 99.4%  
140 0.2% 99.2% Last Result
141 0.3% 99.0%  
142 0.5% 98.7%  
143 0.5% 98%  
144 0.7% 98%  
145 0.5% 97%  
146 0.7% 97%  
147 0.6% 96%  
148 0.5% 95%  
149 0.9% 95%  
150 0.6% 94%  
151 0.8% 93%  
152 1.1% 93%  
153 2% 91%  
154 1.0% 90%  
155 1.5% 89%  
156 2% 87%  
157 3% 85%  
158 3% 82%  
159 3% 80%  
160 5% 76%  
161 4% 72%  
162 4% 68%  
163 4% 64%  
164 4% 61%  
165 4% 57% Majority
166 4% 54%  
167 4% 50% Median
168 6% 46%  
169 4% 41%  
170 4% 37%  
171 5% 33%  
172 5% 28%  
173 5% 23%  
174 4% 18%  
175 3% 14%  
176 3% 10%  
177 2% 7%  
178 1.4% 6%  
179 1.3% 4%  
180 0.8% 3%  
181 0.8% 2%  
182 0.4% 1.3%  
183 0.3% 0.9%  
184 0.3% 0.6%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0.1% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.2% 99.8%  
128 0.2% 99.6% Last Result
129 0.3% 99.4%  
130 0.6% 99.0%  
131 0.5% 98%  
132 1.1% 98%  
133 1.2% 97%  
134 2% 95%  
135 3% 93%  
136 2% 90% Median
137 5% 88%  
138 4% 83%  
139 4% 79%  
140 8% 75%  
141 4% 67%  
142 6% 64%  
143 4% 58%  
144 5% 54%  
145 3% 50%  
146 4% 47%  
147 4% 42%  
148 5% 38%  
149 4% 33%  
150 3% 30%  
151 3% 27%  
152 2% 24%  
153 2% 21%  
154 2% 19%  
155 2% 17%  
156 1.4% 15%  
157 2% 13%  
158 1.2% 11%  
159 2% 10%  
160 1.0% 9%  
161 0.7% 8%  
162 0.9% 7%  
163 0.8% 6%  
164 0.9% 5%  
165 0.6% 4% Majority
166 0.5% 4%  
167 0.6% 3%  
168 0.3% 3%  
169 0.4% 2%  
170 0.3% 2%  
171 0.5% 2%  
172 0.4% 1.1%  
173 0.2% 0.7%  
174 0.2% 0.5%  
175 0.1% 0.3%  
176 0.1% 0.2%  
177 0.1% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.8%  
124 0.2% 99.8%  
125 0.5% 99.6%  
126 0.3% 99.0%  
127 0.2% 98.8%  
128 0.3% 98.6%  
129 0.3% 98%  
130 0.3% 98%  
131 0.4% 98%  
132 0.2% 97%  
133 0.7% 97%  
134 0.6% 96%  
135 0.7% 96%  
136 0.5% 95%  
137 0.4% 95% Last Result
138 0.7% 94%  
139 0.8% 94%  
140 1.2% 93%  
141 1.1% 92%  
142 1.1% 90%  
143 2% 89%  
144 2% 88%  
145 2% 85%  
146 3% 83%  
147 4% 80% Median
148 5% 76%  
149 4% 72%  
150 5% 68%  
151 5% 63%  
152 4% 59%  
153 5% 54%  
154 6% 50%  
155 4% 44%  
156 4% 40%  
157 3% 36%  
158 5% 33%  
159 5% 28%  
160 4% 23%  
161 3% 20%  
162 2% 17%  
163 2% 14%  
164 3% 12%  
165 2% 9% Majority
166 2% 7%  
167 2% 5%  
168 1.1% 3%  
169 0.9% 2%  
170 0.4% 1.3%  
171 0.3% 0.9%  
172 0.3% 0.6%  
173 0.1% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0.3% 99.8%  
116 0.1% 99.6%  
117 0% 99.4%  
118 0.3% 99.4%  
119 0.6% 99.1%  
120 0.1% 98%  
121 0.1% 98%  
122 0.7% 98%  
123 0.4% 98%  
124 0.2% 97%  
125 0.2% 97%  
126 0.5% 97%  
127 0.6% 96%  
128 0.9% 96%  
129 0.4% 95%  
130 0.4% 94%  
131 0.5% 94%  
132 1.3% 93%  
133 0.9% 92%  
134 1.0% 91%  
135 1.1% 90%  
136 1.4% 89%  
137 3% 88%  
138 2% 85% Last Result
139 3% 83% Median
140 4% 80%  
141 3% 76%  
142 5% 73%  
143 4% 68%  
144 5% 64%  
145 6% 58%  
146 4% 53%  
147 4% 49%  
148 5% 45%  
149 4% 40%  
150 4% 36%  
151 3% 32%  
152 5% 29%  
153 3% 24%  
154 4% 21%  
155 3% 18%  
156 3% 15%  
157 3% 12%  
158 2% 9%  
159 2% 7%  
160 2% 6%  
161 1.4% 4%  
162 0.7% 2%  
163 0.6% 2%  
164 0.5% 1.1%  
165 0.3% 0.6% Majority
166 0.2% 0.3%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0.1% 99.8%  
116 0.2% 99.6%  
117 0.2% 99.4%  
118 0.3% 99.2%  
119 0.3% 98.8% Last Result
120 0.8% 98.6%  
121 0.4% 98%  
122 0.6% 97%  
123 0.6% 97%  
124 0.5% 96%  
125 1.0% 96%  
126 0.7% 95%  
127 0.6% 94%  
128 0.8% 93%  
129 0.8% 93%  
130 0.7% 92%  
131 0.9% 91%  
132 0.8% 90%  
133 2% 89%  
134 1.5% 88%  
135 2% 86%  
136 1.2% 85%  
137 3% 83%  
138 2% 81%  
139 4% 78%  
140 4% 75%  
141 4% 70%  
142 3% 66%  
143 4% 63%  
144 4% 60%  
145 4% 55%  
146 4% 51%  
147 5% 47% Median
148 6% 42%  
149 4% 36%  
150 5% 32%  
151 5% 27%  
152 4% 22%  
153 4% 18%  
154 4% 14%  
155 2% 10%  
156 2% 8%  
157 1.4% 5%  
158 1.1% 4%  
159 1.1% 3%  
160 0.6% 2%  
161 0.5% 1.2%  
162 0.2% 0.7%  
163 0.2% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.3%  
165 0.1% 0.2% Majority
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.8%  
120 0.2% 99.7%  
121 0.4% 99.4%  
122 0.7% 99.0%  
123 0.7% 98%  
124 2% 98%  
125 1.5% 96%  
126 2% 95%  
127 4% 92%  
128 3% 89%  
129 4% 86%  
130 4% 82%  
131 4% 78%  
132 4% 74%  
133 4% 70%  
134 4% 67%  
135 5% 63%  
136 4% 58% Median
137 7% 54%  
138 5% 48%  
139 5% 43%  
140 8% 38%  
141 4% 30%  
142 6% 27%  
143 3% 21%  
144 2% 18%  
145 3% 15%  
146 2% 13%  
147 1.2% 11%  
148 0.9% 10%  
149 1.2% 9%  
150 0.7% 8%  
151 0.7% 7%  
152 0.8% 6%  
153 0.8% 5%  
154 0.4% 4%  
155 0.3% 4%  
156 0.7% 4%  
157 0.6% 3%  
158 0.4% 2%  
159 0.7% 2%  
160 0.2% 1.4%  
161 0.2% 1.2%  
162 0.4% 1.0%  
163 0.1% 0.6%  
164 0.1% 0.5%  
165 0.1% 0.3% Majority
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.2% 99.7%  
121 0.4% 99.5%  
122 0.6% 99.1%  
123 1.1% 98%  
124 1.0% 97%  
125 2% 96%  
126 2% 95%  
127 2% 93%  
128 3% 91%  
129 2% 88%  
130 3% 85%  
131 3% 83%  
132 4% 80%  
133 5% 76%  
134 3% 70%  
135 5% 67%  
136 5% 61%  
137 5% 57%  
138 6% 52% Median
139 6% 46%  
140 5% 40%  
141 5% 35%  
142 4% 30%  
143 3% 26%  
144 4% 23%  
145 3% 19%  
146 2% 16%  
147 2% 14%  
148 2% 12%  
149 1.4% 10%  
150 1.1% 8%  
151 0.9% 7%  
152 0.6% 6%  
153 1.1% 5%  
154 0.5% 4% Last Result
155 0.7% 4%  
156 0.7% 3%  
157 0.2% 2%  
158 0.2% 2%  
159 0.6% 2%  
160 0.2% 1.4%  
161 0.2% 1.2%  
162 0.2% 1.1%  
163 0.4% 0.9%  
164 0.1% 0.5%  
165 0.1% 0.3% Majority
166 0.1% 0.3%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0.3% 99.8%  
109 0.2% 99.4%  
110 0.1% 99.2%  
111 0.4% 99.1%  
112 0.4% 98.7%  
113 0.4% 98%  
114 0.7% 98%  
115 0.7% 97%  
116 0.2% 97%  
117 1.2% 96%  
118 0.7% 95%  
119 0.7% 94%  
120 0.4% 94% Last Result
121 0.9% 93%  
122 1.0% 92%  
123 0.6% 91%  
124 0.7% 91%  
125 0.7% 90%  
126 1.2% 90%  
127 1.2% 88%  
128 2% 87%  
129 2% 86%  
130 3% 83%  
131 3% 81%  
132 4% 78%  
133 3% 75%  
134 3% 72%  
135 5% 69%  
136 4% 64%  
137 4% 60%  
138 4% 56%  
139 5% 52% Median
140 5% 47%  
141 4% 41%  
142 6% 38%  
143 5% 31%  
144 5% 27%  
145 5% 21%  
146 3% 16%  
147 3% 13%  
148 3% 10%  
149 2% 7%  
150 1.2% 5%  
151 1.1% 4%  
152 1.0% 3%  
153 0.5% 2%  
154 0.3% 1.2%  
155 0.4% 0.9%  
156 0.2% 0.5%  
157 0.1% 0.3%  
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.8%  
92 0.3% 99.8%  
93 0.3% 99.5%  
94 0.1% 99.2%  
95 0.7% 99.0%  
96 0.2% 98%  
97 0.1% 98%  
98 0.3% 98%  
99 0.1% 98%  
100 0.7% 98%  
101 0.2% 97%  
102 0.3% 97%  
103 0.7% 96%  
104 0.6% 96%  
105 0.4% 95%  
106 0.3% 95%  
107 0.5% 94%  
108 0.2% 94%  
109 0.4% 94%  
110 0.9% 93%  
111 0.8% 92%  
112 0.7% 92%  
113 2% 91%  
114 1.2% 89%  
115 1.5% 88%  
116 2% 86%  
117 2% 84% Last Result
118 3% 82%  
119 3% 79% Median
120 5% 76%  
121 4% 71%  
122 4% 67%  
123 5% 64%  
124 5% 59%  
125 5% 54%  
126 3% 49%  
127 4% 45%  
128 3% 41%  
129 3% 38%  
130 4% 34%  
131 4% 30%  
132 3% 27%  
133 3% 24%  
134 4% 21%  
135 3% 17%  
136 3% 14%  
137 2% 12%  
138 3% 9%  
139 2% 7%  
140 2% 5%  
141 1.1% 3%  
142 0.9% 2%  
143 0.5% 1.4%  
144 0.3% 0.9%  
145 0.2% 0.5%  
146 0.1% 0.3%  
147 0.1% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0.3% 99.6%  
101 0.4% 99.3%  
102 0.5% 98.9%  
103 0.6% 98%  
104 1.5% 98%  
105 2% 96%  
106 2% 95%  
107 3% 93%  
108 3% 89% Last Result, Median
109 4% 86%  
110 4% 82%  
111 5% 78%  
112 5% 72%  
113 5% 67%  
114 3% 63%  
115 4% 59%  
116 4% 56%  
117 2% 52%  
118 3% 49%  
119 6% 46%  
120 2% 40%  
121 2% 37%  
122 6% 35%  
123 5% 29%  
124 1.2% 24%  
125 3% 23%  
126 4% 20%  
127 1.2% 16%  
128 1.2% 14%  
129 3% 13%  
130 2% 11%  
131 0.6% 9%  
132 1.5% 8%  
133 1.2% 7%  
134 0.8% 6%  
135 0.3% 5%  
136 0.6% 4%  
137 1.0% 4%  
138 0.3% 3%  
139 0.2% 2%  
140 0.7% 2%  
141 0.5% 2%  
142 0.1% 1.1%  
143 0.2% 1.0%  
144 0.5% 0.8%  
145 0.1% 0.3%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0.1% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0.1% 99.7%  
87 0.3% 99.6%  
88 0.2% 99.3%  
89 0.4% 99.1%  
90 0.3% 98.7%  
91 0.9% 98%  
92 0.5% 97%  
93 1.3% 97%  
94 0.6% 96%  
95 1.1% 95%  
96 0.5% 94%  
97 0.4% 93%  
98 0.7% 93%  
99 0.4% 92% Last Result
100 1.1% 92%  
101 0.7% 91%  
102 0.5% 90%  
103 0.8% 90%  
104 0.8% 89%  
105 0.6% 88%  
106 0.6% 88%  
107 1.0% 87%  
108 1.1% 86%  
109 1.5% 85%  
110 3% 83%  
111 3% 81%  
112 3% 78%  
113 5% 74%  
114 4% 70%  
115 4% 66%  
116 4% 62%  
117 4% 58%  
118 5% 54%  
119 5% 48% Median
120 6% 44%  
121 6% 38%  
122 5% 32%  
123 5% 27%  
124 5% 22%  
125 5% 17%  
126 3% 12%  
127 3% 9%  
128 2% 6%  
129 1.1% 4%  
130 1.0% 3%  
131 0.9% 2%  
132 0.4% 1.3%  
133 0.3% 0.9%  
134 0.2% 0.6%  
135 0.1% 0.4%  
136 0.1% 0.2%  
137 0.1% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100% Last Result
91 0.1% 100%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.8%  
94 0.3% 99.7%  
95 0.5% 99.4%  
96 0.6% 98.9%  
97 1.2% 98%  
98 2% 97%  
99 2% 95%  
100 3% 93%  
101 4% 91%  
102 3% 87%  
103 5% 83%  
104 6% 79%  
105 4% 73%  
106 5% 69%  
107 6% 64%  
108 5% 58% Median
109 6% 53%  
110 5% 47%  
111 7% 42%  
112 6% 35%  
113 6% 30%  
114 4% 24%  
115 3% 20%  
116 4% 17%  
117 3% 13%  
118 1.1% 11%  
119 1.4% 9%  
120 1.1% 8%  
121 1.2% 7%  
122 1.1% 6%  
123 0.7% 5%  
124 0.6% 4%  
125 0.4% 3%  
126 0.6% 3%  
127 0.5% 2%  
128 0.7% 2%  
129 0.2% 1.2%  
130 0.3% 1.0%  
131 0.1% 0.7%  
132 0.4% 0.7%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 0.5% 99.5%  
81 0.6% 99.0%  
82 1.3% 98%  
83 1.3% 97%  
84 2% 96%  
85 3% 94%  
86 2% 91%  
87 3% 90% Last Result
88 4% 86% Median
89 5% 82%  
90 4% 77%  
91 5% 73%  
92 6% 67%  
93 4% 61%  
94 3% 58%  
95 3% 54%  
96 2% 51%  
97 3% 49%  
98 2% 46%  
99 4% 43%  
100 4% 40%  
101 3% 35%  
102 5% 32%  
103 4% 27%  
104 3% 23%  
105 3% 20%  
106 3% 17%  
107 2% 14%  
108 2% 13%  
109 2% 11%  
110 1.3% 9%  
111 1.4% 7%  
112 0.7% 6%  
113 1.1% 5%  
114 0.7% 4%  
115 0.4% 3%  
116 0.5% 3%  
117 0.7% 2%  
118 0.3% 2%  
119 0.2% 1.5%  
120 0.6% 1.2%  
121 0.2% 0.6%  
122 0.1% 0.4%  
123 0.2% 0.3%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.7%  
75 0.4% 99.5%  
76 0.5% 99.2%  
77 1.2% 98.7%  
78 1.3% 98%  
79 3% 96%  
80 3% 94%  
81 4% 91%  
82 6% 87%  
83 6% 81%  
84 5% 75%  
85 5% 70%  
86 5% 65%  
87 5% 61%  
88 6% 55% Median
89 8% 49%  
90 6% 42%  
91 8% 36%  
92 7% 28%  
93 5% 22%  
94 3% 17%  
95 3% 13%  
96 1.3% 10%  
97 1.3% 9%  
98 1.3% 7%  
99 0.7% 6%  
100 1.4% 5%  
101 0.9% 4%  
102 0.5% 3%  
103 0.7% 3%  
104 0.6% 2%  
105 0.3% 1.2%  
106 0.2% 0.8%  
107 0.2% 0.6%  
108 0.1% 0.4%  
109 0.1% 0.3%  
110 0% 0.2%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0% 94%  
6 0% 94%  
7 0% 94%  
8 0% 94%  
9 0% 94%  
10 0% 94%  
11 0% 94%  
12 0% 94%  
13 0% 94%  
14 0% 94%  
15 0% 94%  
16 0% 94%  
17 0% 94%  
18 0.4% 94%  
19 2% 94%  
20 2% 92%  
21 0.9% 90%  
22 0.5% 89%  
23 0.4% 88%  
24 0.2% 88%  
25 0.1% 88%  
26 0% 87%  
27 0% 87%  
28 1.3% 87%  
29 5% 86%  
30 5% 81%  
31 5% 76% Median
32 7% 70%  
33 7% 64%  
34 6% 56%  
35 4% 50%  
36 2% 46%  
37 2% 43%  
38 1.3% 42%  
39 0.8% 40%  
40 0.4% 40%  
41 0.2% 39%  
42 0.1% 39%  
43 0% 39%  
44 0.4% 39%  
45 1.4% 38%  
46 2% 37%  
47 4% 34%  
48 5% 31% Last Result
49 6% 26%  
50 6% 20%  
51 4% 15%  
52 3% 10%  
53 3% 8%  
54 2% 5%  
55 1.5% 3%  
56 0.6% 1.2%  
57 0.3% 0.6%  
58 0.1% 0.3%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations