Opinion Poll by Sociopol for România TV, 28 May–8 June 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 40.0% 38.0–42.0% 37.5–42.6% 37.0–43.1% 36.1–44.0%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 18.0% 16.6–19.7% 16.1–20.1% 15.8–20.6% 15.1–21.4%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 16.9% 15.5–18.5% 15.1–19.0% 14.8–19.4% 14.1–20.2%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
PRO România 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.3% 1.8–4.7%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 144 137–150 135–153 134–155 130–158
Partidul Național Liberal 69 64 59–70 57–72 56–73 55–77
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 61 55–66 54–68 53–69 50–72
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 25 21–29 20–30 19–31 18–33
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 18 15–21 14–22 13–23 12–25
PRO România 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0 0 0 0

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0% 100%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.2% 99.8%  
130 0.3% 99.6%  
131 0.3% 99.3%  
132 0.5% 99.0%  
133 1.0% 98.5%  
134 1.4% 98%  
135 2% 96%  
136 3% 94%  
137 3% 91%  
138 5% 88%  
139 5% 83%  
140 5% 78%  
141 6% 73%  
142 6% 67%  
143 8% 61%  
144 7% 53% Median
145 9% 46%  
146 7% 38%  
147 8% 31%  
148 6% 23%  
149 4% 17%  
150 4% 13%  
151 3% 10%  
152 2% 7%  
153 1.5% 5%  
154 1.0% 4% Last Result
155 1.1% 3%  
156 0.7% 2%  
157 0.3% 0.9%  
158 0.2% 0.6%  
159 0.1% 0.4%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 99.8%  
55 0.6% 99.5%  
56 2% 99.0%  
57 2% 97%  
58 2% 95%  
59 3% 93%  
60 4% 90%  
61 9% 86%  
62 12% 77%  
63 9% 65%  
64 8% 56% Median
65 6% 48%  
66 10% 42%  
67 7% 32%  
68 7% 25%  
69 5% 18% Last Result
70 3% 13%  
71 3% 9%  
72 2% 6%  
73 2% 4%  
74 0.8% 2%  
75 0.5% 1.4%  
76 0.4% 0.9%  
77 0.3% 0.6%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.3% 99.8%  
51 0.6% 99.5%  
52 1.0% 98.9%  
53 2% 98%  
54 3% 96%  
55 4% 93%  
56 7% 90%  
57 6% 83%  
58 8% 77%  
59 8% 68%  
60 9% 60%  
61 9% 51% Median
62 9% 42%  
63 7% 33%  
64 7% 25%  
65 5% 18%  
66 4% 14%  
67 3% 9%  
68 2% 6%  
69 1.4% 4%  
70 1.0% 2%  
71 0.7% 1.5%  
72 0.4% 0.8%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0% 99.7%  
9 0% 99.7%  
10 0% 99.7%  
11 0% 99.7%  
12 0% 99.7%  
13 0% 99.7%  
14 0% 99.7%  
15 0% 99.7%  
16 0% 99.7%  
17 0% 99.7%  
18 0.6% 99.7%  
19 2% 99.1%  
20 3% 97% Last Result
21 6% 94%  
22 8% 89%  
23 12% 80%  
24 12% 68%  
25 14% 56% Median
26 12% 42%  
27 10% 30%  
28 8% 20%  
29 6% 12%  
30 3% 7%  
31 2% 4%  
32 0.9% 2%  
33 0.4% 0.7%  
34 0.2% 0.3%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.8% 99.7%  
13 2% 99.0%  
14 5% 97%  
15 9% 92%  
16 13% 83%  
17 14% 70%  
18 17% 56% Median
19 14% 40%  
20 11% 26%  
21 7% 15% Last Result
22 5% 8%  
23 2% 4%  
24 0.9% 2%  
25 0.4% 0.7%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România 174 169 80% 162–176 160–178 158–179 155–182
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 169 80% 162–175 160–178 158–179 154–182
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 168 77% 162–175 159–177 157–178 154–182
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 168 77% 162–175 159–177 157–178 154–182
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 150 0.4% 143–157 142–159 140–161 136–164
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 150 0.4% 143–157 142–159 140–161 136–164
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 144 0% 137–150 135–153 134–155 130–158
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 143 0% 136–150 134–152 133–154 130–157
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 143 0% 136–150 134–152 133–154 130–157
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 125 0% 119–133 117–134 115–136 112–139
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 125 0% 119–133 117–134 115–136 112–139
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 107 0% 101–114 99–116 97–118 94–121
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 107 0% 101–114 99–116 97–118 94–121
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 82 0% 76–88 75–90 74–92 71–95
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 82 0% 76–88 75–90 74–92 71–95
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 64 0% 59–70 57–72 56–73 55–77
Partidul Național Liberal 69 64 0% 59–70 57–72 56–73 55–77
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 61 0% 55–66 54–68 53–69 50–72

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.2% 99.7%  
155 0.3% 99.5%  
156 0.5% 99.3%  
157 0.8% 98.8%  
158 1.2% 98%  
159 1.4% 97%  
160 2% 95%  
161 3% 94%  
162 3% 91%  
163 4% 88%  
164 4% 84%  
165 6% 80% Majority
166 7% 73%  
167 7% 66%  
168 7% 60%  
169 7% 52% Median
170 8% 45%  
171 6% 38%  
172 7% 32%  
173 5% 25%  
174 5% 19% Last Result
175 4% 14%  
176 3% 10%  
177 2% 7%  
178 2% 5%  
179 0.9% 3%  
180 0.8% 2%  
181 0.6% 1.4%  
182 0.3% 0.8%  
183 0.2% 0.5%  
184 0.1% 0.3%  
185 0.1% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.2% 99.7%  
155 0.3% 99.5%  
156 0.5% 99.2%  
157 0.8% 98.8%  
158 1.2% 98%  
159 1.4% 97%  
160 2% 95%  
161 3% 94%  
162 3% 91%  
163 4% 88%  
164 4% 84%  
165 6% 80% Majority
166 7% 73%  
167 7% 66%  
168 7% 60%  
169 7% 52% Median
170 8% 45%  
171 6% 38%  
172 7% 32%  
173 5% 24%  
174 5% 19% Last Result
175 4% 14%  
176 3% 10%  
177 2% 7%  
178 2% 5%  
179 0.9% 3%  
180 0.8% 2%  
181 0.6% 1.4%  
182 0.3% 0.7%  
183 0.2% 0.5%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0.1% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.2% 99.6%  
155 0.4% 99.4%  
156 0.7% 99.0%  
157 1.1% 98%  
158 1.0% 97% Last Result
159 1.5% 96%  
160 2% 95%  
161 3% 93%  
162 4% 90%  
163 4% 86%  
164 6% 83%  
165 8% 77% Majority
166 7% 69%  
167 9% 62%  
168 7% 53% Median
169 8% 47%  
170 6% 39%  
171 6% 33%  
172 5% 27%  
173 5% 21%  
174 5% 16%  
175 3% 12%  
176 3% 8%  
177 2% 6%  
178 1.4% 4%  
179 1.0% 2%  
180 0.5% 1.5%  
181 0.3% 1.0%  
182 0.3% 0.6%  
183 0.2% 0.4%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0.1% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.2% 99.6%  
155 0.4% 99.4%  
156 0.7% 99.0%  
157 1.1% 98%  
158 1.0% 97%  
159 1.5% 96%  
160 2% 95%  
161 3% 93%  
162 4% 90%  
163 4% 86%  
164 6% 83%  
165 8% 77% Majority
166 7% 69%  
167 9% 62%  
168 7% 53% Median
169 8% 47%  
170 6% 39%  
171 6% 33%  
172 5% 27%  
173 5% 21%  
174 5% 16%  
175 3% 12%  
176 3% 8%  
177 2% 6%  
178 1.4% 4%  
179 1.0% 2%  
180 0.5% 1.5%  
181 0.3% 1.0%  
182 0.3% 0.6%  
183 0.2% 0.4%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0.1% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.8%  
135 0.1% 99.7%  
136 0.2% 99.6%  
137 0.4% 99.4% Last Result
138 0.5% 99.1%  
139 0.7% 98.6%  
140 1.3% 98%  
141 1.4% 97%  
142 2% 95%  
143 3% 93%  
144 4% 90%  
145 4% 86%  
146 7% 82%  
147 6% 75%  
148 7% 69%  
149 6% 62%  
150 7% 56% Median
151 9% 49%  
152 6% 40%  
153 7% 34%  
154 6% 27%  
155 5% 21%  
156 4% 16%  
157 3% 12%  
158 3% 10%  
159 2% 7%  
160 1.4% 4%  
161 1.1% 3%  
162 0.7% 2%  
163 0.5% 1.2%  
164 0.2% 0.7%  
165 0.2% 0.4% Majority
166 0.1% 0.3%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.8%  
135 0.1% 99.7%  
136 0.2% 99.6%  
137 0.4% 99.4%  
138 0.5% 99.1%  
139 0.7% 98.6%  
140 1.3% 98%  
141 1.4% 97%  
142 2% 95%  
143 3% 93%  
144 4% 90%  
145 4% 86%  
146 7% 82%  
147 6% 75%  
148 7% 69%  
149 6% 62%  
150 7% 56% Median
151 9% 49%  
152 6% 40%  
153 7% 34%  
154 6% 27%  
155 5% 21%  
156 4% 16%  
157 3% 12%  
158 3% 10%  
159 2% 7%  
160 1.4% 4%  
161 1.1% 3%  
162 0.7% 2%  
163 0.5% 1.2%  
164 0.2% 0.7%  
165 0.2% 0.4% Majority
166 0.1% 0.3%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0% 100%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.2% 99.8%  
130 0.3% 99.6%  
131 0.3% 99.4%  
132 0.5% 99.0%  
133 1.0% 98.5%  
134 1.4% 98%  
135 2% 96%  
136 3% 94%  
137 3% 92%  
138 5% 88%  
139 5% 84%  
140 5% 79%  
141 6% 73%  
142 6% 67%  
143 8% 61%  
144 7% 53% Median
145 9% 47%  
146 7% 38%  
147 8% 31%  
148 6% 23%  
149 4% 17%  
150 4% 14%  
151 3% 10%  
152 2% 7%  
153 1.5% 5%  
154 1.0% 4% Last Result
155 1.1% 3%  
156 0.7% 2%  
157 0.4% 1.0%  
158 0.2% 0.6%  
159 0.1% 0.4%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0% 100%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.2% 99.7%  
130 0.3% 99.5%  
131 0.6% 99.2%  
132 0.8% 98.6%  
133 0.9% 98%  
134 2% 97%  
135 2% 95%  
136 3% 93%  
137 4% 90%  
138 5% 86% Last Result
139 5% 81%  
140 7% 75%  
141 6% 68%  
142 8% 62%  
143 7% 55% Median
144 7% 48%  
145 7% 40%  
146 7% 34%  
147 6% 27%  
148 4% 20%  
149 4% 16%  
150 3% 12%  
151 3% 9%  
152 2% 6%  
153 1.4% 5%  
154 1.2% 3%  
155 0.8% 2%  
156 0.5% 1.2%  
157 0.3% 0.7%  
158 0.2% 0.5%  
159 0.1% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.2% 99.7%  
130 0.3% 99.5%  
131 0.6% 99.2%  
132 0.8% 98.6%  
133 0.9% 98%  
134 2% 97%  
135 2% 95%  
136 3% 93%  
137 4% 90%  
138 5% 86%  
139 5% 81%  
140 7% 75%  
141 6% 68%  
142 8% 62%  
143 7% 55% Median
144 7% 48%  
145 7% 40%  
146 7% 34%  
147 6% 27%  
148 4% 20%  
149 4% 16%  
150 3% 12%  
151 3% 9%  
152 2% 6%  
153 1.4% 5%  
154 1.2% 3%  
155 0.8% 2%  
156 0.5% 1.2%  
157 0.3% 0.7%  
158 0.2% 0.5%  
159 0.1% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.2% 99.8%  
112 0.3% 99.7%  
113 0.4% 99.4%  
114 0.6% 99.0%  
115 1.0% 98%  
116 1.5% 97%  
117 3% 96% Last Result
118 3% 93%  
119 4% 90%  
120 5% 86%  
121 7% 82%  
122 6% 75%  
123 7% 69%  
124 8% 62%  
125 7% 53% Median
126 7% 46%  
127 6% 40%  
128 7% 34%  
129 6% 27%  
130 5% 21%  
131 3% 17%  
132 3% 13%  
133 3% 10%  
134 2% 7%  
135 1.4% 5%  
136 1.2% 4%  
137 1.0% 2%  
138 0.5% 1.4%  
139 0.4% 0.9%  
140 0.2% 0.5%  
141 0.1% 0.3%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.2% 99.8%  
112 0.3% 99.7%  
113 0.4% 99.4%  
114 0.6% 99.0%  
115 1.0% 98%  
116 1.5% 97%  
117 3% 96%  
118 3% 93%  
119 4% 90%  
120 5% 86%  
121 7% 82%  
122 6% 75%  
123 7% 69%  
124 8% 62%  
125 7% 53% Median
126 7% 46%  
127 6% 40%  
128 7% 34%  
129 6% 27%  
130 5% 21%  
131 3% 17%  
132 3% 13%  
133 3% 10%  
134 2% 7%  
135 1.4% 5%  
136 1.2% 4%  
137 1.0% 2%  
138 0.5% 1.4%  
139 0.4% 0.9%  
140 0.2% 0.5%  
141 0.1% 0.3%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.1% 99.7%  
94 0.2% 99.6%  
95 0.4% 99.4%  
96 0.5% 99.0%  
97 1.0% 98.5%  
98 1.2% 97%  
99 2% 96%  
100 3% 95%  
101 4% 92%  
102 4% 88%  
103 4% 84%  
104 6% 80%  
105 10% 74%  
106 7% 64%  
107 7% 57% Median
108 8% 49%  
109 9% 41%  
110 6% 32%  
111 5% 27%  
112 5% 22%  
113 4% 17%  
114 4% 12%  
115 3% 9%  
116 2% 6%  
117 2% 4%  
118 0.9% 3%  
119 0.6% 2%  
120 0.4% 1.0%  
121 0.3% 0.6%  
122 0.2% 0.4%  
123 0.1% 0.2%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.1% 99.7%  
94 0.2% 99.6%  
95 0.4% 99.4%  
96 0.5% 99.0%  
97 1.0% 98.5%  
98 1.2% 97%  
99 2% 96%  
100 3% 95%  
101 4% 92%  
102 4% 88%  
103 4% 84%  
104 6% 80%  
105 10% 74%  
106 7% 64%  
107 7% 57% Median
108 8% 49%  
109 9% 41%  
110 6% 32% Last Result
111 5% 27%  
112 5% 22%  
113 4% 17%  
114 4% 12%  
115 3% 9%  
116 2% 6%  
117 2% 4%  
118 0.9% 3%  
119 0.6% 2%  
120 0.4% 1.0%  
121 0.3% 0.6%  
122 0.2% 0.4%  
123 0.1% 0.2%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 0.2% 99.7%  
72 0.6% 99.5%  
73 1.3% 98.9%  
74 2% 98%  
75 3% 96%  
76 3% 93%  
77 3% 90%  
78 4% 87%  
79 6% 83%  
80 12% 77%  
81 10% 65%  
82 10% 55% Median
83 7% 46%  
84 5% 39%  
85 6% 33%  
86 6% 28%  
87 7% 22%  
88 5% 15%  
89 3% 10%  
90 2% 6%  
91 1.0% 4%  
92 1.1% 3%  
93 0.7% 2%  
94 0.7% 1.4%  
95 0.3% 0.7%  
96 0.2% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 0.2% 99.7%  
72 0.6% 99.5%  
73 1.3% 98.9%  
74 2% 98%  
75 3% 96%  
76 3% 93%  
77 3% 90%  
78 4% 87%  
79 6% 83%  
80 12% 77%  
81 10% 65%  
82 10% 55% Median
83 7% 46%  
84 5% 39%  
85 6% 33%  
86 6% 28%  
87 7% 22%  
88 5% 15%  
89 3% 10%  
90 2% 6% Last Result
91 1.0% 4%  
92 1.1% 3%  
93 0.7% 2%  
94 0.7% 1.4%  
95 0.3% 0.7%  
96 0.2% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 99.8%  
55 0.6% 99.5%  
56 2% 99.0%  
57 2% 97%  
58 2% 95%  
59 3% 93%  
60 4% 90%  
61 9% 86%  
62 12% 77%  
63 9% 65%  
64 8% 56% Median
65 6% 48%  
66 10% 42%  
67 7% 32%  
68 7% 25%  
69 5% 18%  
70 3% 13%  
71 3% 9%  
72 2% 6%  
73 2% 4%  
74 0.8% 2%  
75 0.5% 1.4%  
76 0.4% 0.9%  
77 0.3% 0.6%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 99.8%  
55 0.6% 99.5%  
56 2% 99.0%  
57 2% 97%  
58 2% 95%  
59 3% 93%  
60 4% 90%  
61 9% 86%  
62 12% 77%  
63 9% 65%  
64 8% 56% Median
65 6% 48%  
66 10% 42%  
67 7% 32%  
68 7% 25%  
69 5% 18% Last Result
70 3% 13%  
71 3% 9%  
72 2% 6%  
73 2% 4%  
74 0.8% 2%  
75 0.5% 1.4%  
76 0.4% 0.9%  
77 0.3% 0.6%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100% Last Result
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.3% 99.8%  
51 0.6% 99.5%  
52 1.0% 98.9%  
53 2% 98%  
54 3% 96%  
55 4% 93%  
56 7% 90%  
57 6% 83%  
58 8% 77%  
59 8% 68%  
60 9% 60%  
61 9% 51% Median
62 9% 42%  
63 7% 33%  
64 7% 25%  
65 5% 18%  
66 4% 14%  
67 3% 9%  
68 2% 6%  
69 1.4% 4%  
70 1.0% 2%  
71 0.7% 1.5%  
72 0.4% 0.8%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations