Opinion Poll by Sociopol for România TV, 22–26 June 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 41.0% 38.9–43.1% 38.4–43.7% 37.9–44.2% 36.9–45.2%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 20.0% 18.3–21.7% 17.9–22.2% 17.5–22.7% 16.7–23.5%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 14.0% 12.6–15.5% 12.2–16.0% 11.9–16.4% 11.2–17.1%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 12.0% 10.7–13.5% 10.3–13.9% 10.0–14.3% 9.5–15.0%
PRO România 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.1% 4.0–6.4% 3.8–6.6% 3.4–7.2%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 4.0% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.3% 2.9–5.5% 2.6–6.0%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.9% 0.4–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 136 129–145 127–147 124–149 121–152
Partidul Național Liberal 69 66 61–72 59–74 58–76 55–79
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 46 42–52 40–53 39–55 36–57
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 40 35–45 34–46 33–47 31–50
PRO România 0 16 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–23
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 13 11–16 10–17 9–18 8–20
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0 0 0 0

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.8%  
120 0.2% 99.8%  
121 0.4% 99.6%  
122 0.3% 99.2%  
123 0.6% 98.9%  
124 1.0% 98%  
125 0.8% 97%  
126 1.3% 96%  
127 3% 95%  
128 2% 93%  
129 3% 91%  
130 4% 88%  
131 4% 83%  
132 6% 79%  
133 7% 73%  
134 6% 66%  
135 6% 60%  
136 7% 55% Median
137 5% 48%  
138 5% 43%  
139 5% 38%  
140 6% 34%  
141 3% 27%  
142 4% 24%  
143 4% 20%  
144 4% 16%  
145 3% 12%  
146 4% 9%  
147 0.8% 5%  
148 2% 5%  
149 1.2% 3%  
150 0.3% 2%  
151 0.3% 1.3%  
152 0.5% 1.0%  
153 0.1% 0.5%  
154 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
155 0.2% 0.3%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 99.8%  
55 0.3% 99.6%  
56 0.6% 99.3%  
57 1.0% 98.6%  
58 2% 98%  
59 2% 96%  
60 3% 93%  
61 5% 90%  
62 6% 85%  
63 7% 79%  
64 8% 72%  
65 9% 64%  
66 9% 55% Median
67 8% 46%  
68 8% 39%  
69 7% 31% Last Result
70 6% 24%  
71 3% 18%  
72 5% 14%  
73 3% 10%  
74 2% 6%  
75 2% 4%  
76 1.1% 3%  
77 0.7% 2%  
78 0.3% 1.0%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.2% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.1% 99.9%  
36 0.3% 99.8%  
37 0.5% 99.5%  
38 1.1% 99.0%  
39 2% 98%  
40 2% 96%  
41 3% 94%  
42 6% 90%  
43 8% 84%  
44 11% 76%  
45 9% 65%  
46 9% 56% Median
47 9% 47%  
48 8% 37%  
49 6% 29%  
50 7% 23%  
51 5% 16%  
52 4% 11%  
53 3% 7%  
54 2% 4%  
55 1.1% 3%  
56 0.6% 1.5%  
57 0.4% 0.9%  
58 0.2% 0.5%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.5% 99.7%  
32 1.2% 99.2%  
33 2% 98%  
34 3% 96%  
35 6% 93%  
36 5% 87%  
37 10% 82%  
38 11% 72%  
39 9% 61%  
40 11% 52% Median
41 10% 41%  
42 9% 31%  
43 6% 23%  
44 6% 16%  
45 4% 10%  
46 2% 6%  
47 2% 4%  
48 1.2% 2%  
49 0.5% 1.2%  
50 0.4% 0.7%  
51 0.2% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100% Last Result
1 0% 54%  
2 0% 54%  
3 0% 54%  
4 0% 54%  
5 0% 54%  
6 0% 54%  
7 0% 54%  
8 0% 54%  
9 0% 54%  
10 0% 54%  
11 0% 54%  
12 0% 54%  
13 0% 54%  
14 0% 54%  
15 0% 54%  
16 10% 54% Median
17 15% 44%  
18 11% 29%  
19 9% 17%  
20 4% 8%  
21 2% 4%  
22 1.2% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.7%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.6% 99.9%  
9 2% 99.3%  
10 7% 97%  
11 12% 90%  
12 16% 78%  
13 17% 62% Median
14 16% 45%  
15 13% 28%  
16 8% 16%  
17 4% 8%  
18 2% 4%  
19 1.0% 2%  
20 0.3% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România 174 186 100% 177–194 175–196 173–198 170–201
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 176 95% 167–186 165–188 163–190 159–194
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 165 55% 157–175 155–178 153–179 150–183
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 165 55% 157–175 155–178 153–179 150–183
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 152 4% 144–162 142–164 140–166 136–170
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 152 4% 144–162 142–164 140–166 136–170
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 147 0.2% 137–155 134–157 133–159 129–162
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 126 0% 118–135 116–137 114–139 111–142
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 126 0% 118–135 116–137 114–139 111–142
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 119 0% 112–127 110–129 108–131 104–136
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 119 0% 112–127 110–129 108–131 104–136
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 112 0% 105–121 103–123 101–125 98–128
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 112 0% 105–121 103–123 101–125 98–128
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 79 0% 73–86 72–88 70–90 67–93
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 79 0% 73–86 72–88 70–90 67–93
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 66 0% 61–72 59–74 58–76 55–79
Partidul Național Liberal 69 66 0% 61–72 59–74 58–76 55–79
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 46 0% 42–52 40–53 39–55 36–57

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
166 0% 100%  
167 0.1% 99.9%  
168 0.1% 99.9%  
169 0.2% 99.8%  
170 0.2% 99.6%  
171 0.3% 99.3%  
172 0.8% 99.0%  
173 1.1% 98%  
174 1.3% 97% Last Result
175 2% 96%  
176 2% 94%  
177 2% 92%  
178 4% 90%  
179 3% 86%  
180 3% 83%  
181 4% 80%  
182 3% 76%  
183 5% 73%  
184 6% 68%  
185 7% 63%  
186 7% 56%  
187 6% 49%  
188 7% 43%  
189 7% 36%  
190 6% 30%  
191 5% 23%  
192 4% 19% Median
193 4% 15%  
194 3% 11%  
195 2% 8%  
196 2% 6%  
197 1.4% 5%  
198 1.3% 3%  
199 0.7% 2%  
200 0.3% 1.2%  
201 0.4% 0.9%  
202 0.2% 0.5%  
203 0.1% 0.2%  
204 0.1% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.8%  
159 0.2% 99.7%  
160 0.3% 99.5%  
161 0.6% 99.2%  
162 0.7% 98.6%  
163 0.7% 98%  
164 2% 97%  
165 1.2% 95% Majority
166 2% 94%  
167 3% 92%  
168 3% 89%  
169 4% 86%  
170 6% 83%  
171 3% 77%  
172 5% 74%  
173 8% 68%  
174 4% 60% Last Result
175 6% 56%  
176 4% 50% Median
177 4% 46%  
178 5% 42%  
179 4% 38%  
180 3% 33%  
181 4% 31%  
182 3% 26%  
183 3% 24%  
184 3% 21%  
185 4% 17%  
186 3% 13%  
187 2% 10%  
188 3% 8%  
189 2% 5%  
190 1.2% 3%  
191 0.7% 2%  
192 0.4% 1.3%  
193 0.3% 0.9%  
194 0.3% 0.7%  
195 0.1% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0.1% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.2% 99.7%  
150 0.3% 99.5%  
151 0.9% 99.3%  
152 0.4% 98%  
153 1.1% 98%  
154 1.4% 97%  
155 1.2% 95%  
156 3% 94%  
157 3% 91%  
158 4% 88% Last Result
159 3% 84%  
160 4% 80%  
161 6% 76%  
162 6% 70%  
163 6% 65%  
164 4% 59%  
165 6% 55% Median, Majority
166 5% 49%  
167 4% 44%  
168 6% 40%  
169 5% 35%  
170 4% 30%  
171 2% 26%  
172 6% 23%  
173 3% 18%  
174 2% 15%  
175 3% 13%  
176 3% 10%  
177 0.7% 7%  
178 3% 6%  
179 0.8% 3%  
180 0.9% 2%  
181 0.4% 2%  
182 0.5% 1.1%  
183 0.1% 0.6%  
184 0.2% 0.5%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0% 0.2%  
187 0.1% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.2% 99.7%  
150 0.3% 99.5%  
151 0.9% 99.3%  
152 0.4% 98%  
153 1.1% 98%  
154 1.4% 97%  
155 1.2% 95%  
156 3% 94%  
157 3% 91%  
158 4% 88%  
159 3% 84%  
160 4% 80%  
161 6% 76%  
162 6% 70%  
163 6% 65%  
164 4% 59%  
165 6% 55% Median, Majority
166 5% 49%  
167 4% 44%  
168 6% 40%  
169 5% 35%  
170 4% 30%  
171 2% 26%  
172 6% 23%  
173 3% 18%  
174 2% 15%  
175 3% 13%  
176 3% 10%  
177 0.7% 7%  
178 3% 6%  
179 0.8% 3%  
180 0.9% 2%  
181 0.4% 2%  
182 0.5% 1.1%  
183 0.1% 0.6%  
184 0.2% 0.5%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0% 0.2%  
187 0.1% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0.1% 99.8%  
136 0.2% 99.7%  
137 0.3% 99.5% Last Result
138 0.5% 99.2%  
139 0.8% 98.7%  
140 1.0% 98%  
141 1.1% 97%  
142 2% 96%  
143 3% 94%  
144 3% 91%  
145 3% 88%  
146 5% 85%  
147 5% 80%  
148 5% 75%  
149 6% 71%  
150 6% 64%  
151 6% 58%  
152 5% 52% Median
153 4% 48%  
154 5% 43%  
155 5% 38%  
156 5% 33%  
157 4% 28%  
158 4% 24%  
159 4% 20%  
160 2% 16%  
161 4% 14%  
162 2% 10%  
163 2% 8%  
164 2% 6%  
165 2% 4% Majority
166 0.9% 3%  
167 0.6% 2%  
168 0.5% 1.3%  
169 0.4% 0.9%  
170 0.2% 0.5%  
171 0.1% 0.3%  
172 0.1% 0.2%  
173 0.1% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0.1% 99.8%  
136 0.2% 99.7%  
137 0.3% 99.5%  
138 0.5% 99.2%  
139 0.8% 98.7%  
140 1.0% 98%  
141 1.1% 97%  
142 2% 96%  
143 3% 94%  
144 3% 91%  
145 3% 88%  
146 5% 85%  
147 5% 80%  
148 5% 75%  
149 6% 71%  
150 6% 64%  
151 6% 58%  
152 5% 52% Median
153 4% 48%  
154 5% 43%  
155 5% 38%  
156 5% 33%  
157 4% 28%  
158 4% 24%  
159 4% 20%  
160 2% 16%  
161 4% 14%  
162 2% 10%  
163 2% 8%  
164 2% 6%  
165 2% 4% Majority
166 0.9% 3%  
167 0.6% 2%  
168 0.5% 1.3%  
169 0.4% 0.9%  
170 0.2% 0.5%  
171 0.1% 0.3%  
172 0.1% 0.2%  
173 0.1% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.2% 99.7%  
129 0.1% 99.5%  
130 0.5% 99.4%  
131 0.4% 98.9%  
132 0.9% 98%  
133 0.8% 98%  
134 3% 97%  
135 0.7% 94%  
136 3% 93%  
137 3% 90%  
138 2% 87%  
139 3% 85%  
140 6% 82%  
141 2% 77%  
142 4% 74%  
143 5% 70%  
144 6% 65%  
145 4% 60%  
146 5% 56%  
147 6% 51%  
148 4% 45%  
149 6% 41%  
150 6% 35%  
151 6% 30%  
152 4% 24% Median
153 3% 20%  
154 4% 16% Last Result
155 3% 12%  
156 3% 9%  
157 1.2% 6%  
158 1.4% 5%  
159 1.1% 3%  
160 0.4% 2%  
161 0.9% 2%  
162 0.3% 0.7%  
163 0.2% 0.5%  
164 0.1% 0.3%  
165 0.1% 0.2% Majority
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.2% 99.8%  
111 0.4% 99.5%  
112 0.3% 99.1%  
113 0.7% 98.8%  
114 1.3% 98%  
115 1.4% 97%  
116 2% 95%  
117 2% 94%  
118 3% 92%  
119 4% 89%  
120 4% 85%  
121 5% 81%  
122 6% 77%  
123 7% 70%  
124 7% 64%  
125 6% 57% Median
126 7% 51%  
127 7% 44%  
128 6% 37%  
129 5% 32%  
130 3% 27%  
131 4% 24%  
132 3% 20%  
133 3% 17%  
134 4% 14%  
135 2% 10%  
136 2% 8%  
137 2% 6%  
138 1.3% 4% Last Result
139 1.1% 3%  
140 0.8% 2%  
141 0.3% 1.0%  
142 0.2% 0.7%  
143 0.2% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.2% 99.8%  
111 0.4% 99.5%  
112 0.3% 99.1%  
113 0.7% 98.8%  
114 1.3% 98%  
115 1.4% 97%  
116 2% 95%  
117 2% 94%  
118 3% 92%  
119 4% 89%  
120 4% 85% Last Result
121 5% 81%  
122 6% 77%  
123 7% 70%  
124 7% 64%  
125 6% 57% Median
126 7% 51%  
127 7% 44%  
128 6% 37%  
129 5% 32%  
130 3% 27%  
131 4% 24%  
132 3% 20%  
133 3% 17%  
134 4% 14%  
135 2% 10%  
136 2% 8%  
137 2% 6%  
138 1.3% 4%  
139 1.1% 3%  
140 0.8% 2%  
141 0.3% 1.0%  
142 0.2% 0.7%  
143 0.2% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.2% 99.8%  
104 0.2% 99.6%  
105 0.3% 99.4%  
106 0.4% 99.2%  
107 0.6% 98.8%  
108 0.8% 98%  
109 1.1% 97%  
110 2% 96%  
111 2% 94%  
112 4% 92%  
113 4% 88%  
114 5% 84%  
115 7% 79%  
116 6% 72%  
117 6% 66%  
118 5% 59%  
119 6% 54% Median
120 4% 47%  
121 6% 43%  
122 6% 37%  
123 6% 31%  
124 6% 25%  
125 3% 19%  
126 4% 16%  
127 4% 11%  
128 2% 8% Last Result
129 1.3% 5%  
130 1.0% 4%  
131 0.6% 3%  
132 0.6% 2%  
133 0.5% 2%  
134 0.3% 1.4%  
135 0.4% 1.1%  
136 0.2% 0.7%  
137 0.2% 0.5%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.2% 99.8%  
104 0.2% 99.6%  
105 0.3% 99.4%  
106 0.4% 99.2%  
107 0.6% 98.8%  
108 0.8% 98%  
109 1.1% 97%  
110 2% 96% Last Result
111 2% 94%  
112 4% 92%  
113 4% 88%  
114 5% 84%  
115 7% 79%  
116 6% 72%  
117 6% 66%  
118 5% 59%  
119 6% 54% Median
120 4% 47%  
121 6% 43%  
122 6% 37%  
123 6% 31%  
124 6% 25%  
125 3% 19%  
126 4% 16%  
127 4% 11%  
128 2% 8%  
129 1.3% 5%  
130 1.0% 4%  
131 0.6% 3%  
132 0.6% 2%  
133 0.5% 2%  
134 0.3% 1.4%  
135 0.4% 1.1%  
136 0.2% 0.7%  
137 0.2% 0.5%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.2% 99.8%  
98 0.3% 99.6%  
99 0.5% 99.3%  
100 0.8% 98.8%  
101 0.7% 98%  
102 1.2% 97%  
103 2% 96%  
104 2% 94%  
105 3% 92%  
106 4% 89%  
107 4% 86%  
108 6% 82%  
109 7% 76%  
110 7% 69%  
111 6% 62%  
112 8% 57% Median
113 7% 48%  
114 7% 42%  
115 3% 35%  
116 5% 31%  
117 5% 26% Last Result
118 4% 21%  
119 4% 18%  
120 3% 14%  
121 3% 11%  
122 2% 9%  
123 2% 6%  
124 2% 5%  
125 1.0% 3%  
126 0.8% 2%  
127 0.6% 1.3%  
128 0.2% 0.7%  
129 0.2% 0.5%  
130 0.1% 0.3%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.2% 99.8%  
98 0.3% 99.6%  
99 0.5% 99.3% Last Result
100 0.8% 98.8%  
101 0.7% 98%  
102 1.2% 97%  
103 2% 96%  
104 2% 94%  
105 3% 92%  
106 4% 89%  
107 4% 86%  
108 6% 82%  
109 7% 76%  
110 7% 69%  
111 6% 62%  
112 8% 57% Median
113 7% 48%  
114 7% 42%  
115 3% 35%  
116 5% 31%  
117 5% 26%  
118 4% 21%  
119 4% 18%  
120 3% 14%  
121 3% 11%  
122 2% 9%  
123 2% 6%  
124 2% 5%  
125 1.0% 3%  
126 0.8% 2%  
127 0.6% 1.3%  
128 0.2% 0.7%  
129 0.2% 0.5%  
130 0.1% 0.3%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.2% 99.7%  
68 0.6% 99.5%  
69 0.8% 98.9%  
70 1.0% 98%  
71 2% 97%  
72 3% 95%  
73 4% 92%  
74 3% 88%  
75 5% 85%  
76 7% 80%  
77 10% 74%  
78 6% 63%  
79 8% 57% Median
80 8% 49%  
81 8% 41%  
82 5% 33%  
83 6% 28%  
84 5% 22%  
85 4% 17%  
86 4% 12%  
87 2% 9%  
88 3% 7%  
89 1.2% 4%  
90 0.7% 3%  
91 0.7% 2%  
92 0.5% 1.2%  
93 0.3% 0.7%  
94 0.2% 0.5%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.2% 99.7%  
68 0.6% 99.5%  
69 0.8% 98.9%  
70 1.0% 98%  
71 2% 97%  
72 3% 95%  
73 4% 92%  
74 3% 88%  
75 5% 85%  
76 7% 80%  
77 10% 74%  
78 6% 63%  
79 8% 57% Median
80 8% 49%  
81 8% 41%  
82 5% 33%  
83 6% 28%  
84 5% 22%  
85 4% 17%  
86 4% 12%  
87 2% 9%  
88 3% 7%  
89 1.2% 4%  
90 0.7% 3% Last Result
91 0.7% 2%  
92 0.5% 1.2%  
93 0.3% 0.7%  
94 0.2% 0.5%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 99.8%  
55 0.3% 99.6%  
56 0.6% 99.3%  
57 1.0% 98.6%  
58 2% 98%  
59 2% 96%  
60 3% 93%  
61 5% 90%  
62 6% 85%  
63 7% 79%  
64 8% 72%  
65 9% 64%  
66 9% 55% Median
67 8% 46%  
68 8% 39%  
69 7% 31%  
70 6% 24%  
71 3% 18%  
72 5% 14%  
73 3% 10%  
74 2% 6%  
75 2% 4%  
76 1.1% 3%  
77 0.7% 2%  
78 0.3% 1.0%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.2% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 99.8%  
55 0.3% 99.6%  
56 0.6% 99.3%  
57 1.0% 98.6%  
58 2% 98%  
59 2% 96%  
60 3% 93%  
61 5% 90%  
62 6% 85%  
63 7% 79%  
64 8% 72%  
65 9% 64%  
66 9% 55% Median
67 8% 46%  
68 8% 39%  
69 7% 31% Last Result
70 6% 24%  
71 3% 18%  
72 5% 14%  
73 3% 10%  
74 2% 6%  
75 2% 4%  
76 1.1% 3%  
77 0.7% 2%  
78 0.3% 1.0%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.2% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.1% 99.9%  
36 0.3% 99.8%  
37 0.5% 99.5%  
38 1.1% 99.0%  
39 2% 98%  
40 2% 96%  
41 3% 94%  
42 6% 90%  
43 8% 84%  
44 11% 76%  
45 9% 65%  
46 9% 56% Median
47 9% 47%  
48 8% 37% Last Result
49 6% 29%  
50 7% 23%  
51 5% 16%  
52 4% 11%  
53 3% 7%  
54 2% 4%  
55 1.1% 3%  
56 0.6% 1.5%  
57 0.4% 0.9%  
58 0.2% 0.5%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations