Opinion Poll by CURS for STIRIPESURSE.RO, 23 June–1 July 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 37.4% 35.5–39.3% 35.0–39.9% 34.5–40.3% 33.7–41.3%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 24.3% 22.6–26.0% 22.2–26.5% 21.8–26.9% 21.0–27.8%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 12.1% 10.9–13.5% 10.5–13.9% 10.3–14.2% 9.7–14.9%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 8.1% 7.1–9.2% 6.8–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.1–10.4%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 5.1% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.0%
PRO România 0.0% 5.1% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.0%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 129 121–138 119–141 117–142 113–146
Partidul Național Liberal 69 84 77–91 76–93 74–95 71–98
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 42 37–47 36–48 35–49 33–52
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 28 24–32 23–33 22–34 21–36
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 17 14–21 14–22 13–22 12–24
PRO România 0 17 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–24
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0 0–17 0–18 0–19

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.8%  
113 0.2% 99.7%  
114 0.4% 99.4%  
115 0.3% 99.1%  
116 0.7% 98.7%  
117 1.0% 98%  
118 1.4% 97%  
119 1.5% 96%  
120 3% 94%  
121 2% 91%  
122 4% 89%  
123 4% 85%  
124 4% 81%  
125 4% 76%  
126 7% 73%  
127 6% 66%  
128 7% 60%  
129 3% 53% Median
130 6% 49%  
131 5% 43%  
132 6% 38%  
133 4% 32%  
134 5% 28%  
135 4% 23%  
136 5% 20%  
137 3% 14%  
138 3% 11%  
139 2% 9%  
140 1.4% 7%  
141 2% 6%  
142 1.0% 3%  
143 0.6% 2%  
144 0.7% 2%  
145 0.4% 1.0%  
146 0.2% 0.6%  
147 0.2% 0.4%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0.1% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 0.4% 99.6%  
72 0.3% 99.2%  
73 0.8% 98.9%  
74 1.2% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 3% 95%  
77 3% 92%  
78 4% 90%  
79 6% 85%  
80 5% 79%  
81 8% 74%  
82 8% 67%  
83 6% 59%  
84 9% 53% Median
85 7% 44%  
86 6% 37%  
87 7% 31%  
88 5% 24%  
89 3% 19%  
90 4% 15%  
91 3% 11%  
92 2% 8%  
93 2% 6%  
94 0.9% 3%  
95 0.8% 3%  
96 0.8% 2%  
97 0.2% 0.9%  
98 0.3% 0.7%  
99 0.2% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.2% 99.9%  
33 0.6% 99.6%  
34 1.2% 99.1%  
35 2% 98%  
36 4% 96%  
37 5% 92%  
38 7% 88%  
39 10% 81%  
40 8% 71%  
41 12% 63%  
42 11% 51% Median
43 10% 40%  
44 7% 30%  
45 7% 23%  
46 6% 16%  
47 4% 10%  
48 2% 6%  
49 2% 4%  
50 1.0% 2%  
51 0.5% 1.1%  
52 0.3% 0.7%  
53 0.2% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
21 1.0% 99.5%  
22 2% 98.5%  
23 4% 97%  
24 8% 93%  
25 9% 85%  
26 9% 76%  
27 16% 67%  
28 13% 51% Median
29 11% 38%  
30 9% 27%  
31 7% 18%  
32 4% 11%  
33 3% 7%  
34 2% 4%  
35 0.8% 2%  
36 0.5% 0.9%  
37 0.2% 0.4%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 1.0% 99.6%  
13 3% 98.6%  
14 7% 95%  
15 12% 88%  
16 15% 77%  
17 16% 62% Median
18 14% 46%  
19 12% 31%  
20 8% 19%  
21 5% 10% Last Result
22 3% 6%  
23 1.2% 2%  
24 0.7% 1.1%  
25 0.2% 0.4%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100% Last Result
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0% 56%  
4 0% 56%  
5 0% 56%  
6 0% 56%  
7 0% 56%  
8 0% 56%  
9 0% 56%  
10 0% 56%  
11 0% 56%  
12 0% 56%  
13 0% 56%  
14 0% 56%  
15 0% 56%  
16 0.8% 56%  
17 16% 56% Median
18 13% 40%  
19 13% 27%  
20 6% 13%  
21 4% 7%  
22 2% 3%  
23 0.8% 1.3%  
24 0.4% 0.5%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 0% 7%  
5 0% 7%  
6 0% 7%  
7 0% 7%  
8 0% 7%  
9 0% 7%  
10 0% 7%  
11 0% 7%  
12 0% 7%  
13 0% 7%  
14 0% 7%  
15 0% 7%  
16 2% 7%  
17 3% 6%  
18 2% 3% Last Result
19 0.7% 1.0%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 172 84% 162–182 161–185 159–187 156–191
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 171 79% 161–181 159–183 157–186 152–189
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România 174 168 67% 158–177 155–179 153–180 148–184
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 157 17% 148–167 146–169 144–171 139–175
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 154 9% 146–164 144–167 142–169 138–174
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 153 6% 145–163 142–165 140–167 136–171
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 144 0.4% 135–154 133–157 132–159 128–164
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 143 0.1% 134–152 132–155 130–157 126–160
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 140 0% 130–150 127–151 125–153 121–156
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 130 0% 122–140 120–143 118–145 115–150
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 129 0% 121–138 119–140 116–143 113–146
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 126 0% 119–136 116–139 115–141 112–146
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 125 0% 118–134 115–137 113–139 110–142
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 102 0% 94–111 93–114 91–117 88–122
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 101 0% 94–109 92–111 90–113 87–117
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 85 0% 78–93 76–97 75–100 72–104
Partidul Național Liberal 69 84 0% 77–91 76–93 74–95 71–98
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 42 0% 37–49 36–56 35–59 33–63

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.2% 99.8%  
155 0.2% 99.7%  
156 0.4% 99.5%  
157 0.5% 99.2%  
158 0.8% 98.6% Last Result
159 1.3% 98%  
160 1.3% 97%  
161 3% 95%  
162 2% 92%  
163 3% 90%  
164 3% 86%  
165 5% 84% Majority
166 2% 79%  
167 9% 77%  
168 4% 68%  
169 4% 64%  
170 4% 60%  
171 6% 56% Median
172 4% 50%  
173 5% 46%  
174 3% 41%  
175 4% 38%  
176 6% 34%  
177 4% 28%  
178 4% 24%  
179 3% 21%  
180 3% 18%  
181 3% 15%  
182 3% 12%  
183 2% 9%  
184 2% 7%  
185 1.2% 5%  
186 1.1% 4%  
187 0.7% 3%  
188 0.9% 2%  
189 0.6% 2%  
190 0.2% 0.9%  
191 0.3% 0.7%  
192 0.2% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0.1% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.8%  
151 0.2% 99.7%  
152 0.1% 99.6%  
153 0.2% 99.4%  
154 0.4% 99.2%  
155 0.5% 98.8%  
156 0.6% 98%  
157 0.9% 98%  
158 1.2% 97%  
159 2% 96%  
160 2% 94%  
161 3% 92%  
162 3% 89%  
163 4% 86%  
164 3% 82%  
165 5% 79% Majority
166 3% 74%  
167 9% 71%  
168 4% 63%  
169 4% 58%  
170 4% 54%  
171 6% 50% Median
172 4% 44%  
173 4% 40%  
174 3% 36%  
175 4% 33%  
176 5% 29%  
177 3% 23%  
178 3% 20%  
179 3% 17%  
180 3% 14%  
181 3% 11%  
182 3% 9%  
183 1.4% 6%  
184 1.1% 5%  
185 0.8% 3%  
186 0.8% 3%  
187 0.5% 2%  
188 0.7% 1.3%  
189 0.3% 0.6%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0.1% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
143 0% 100%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0.1% 99.8%  
147 0.1% 99.8%  
148 0.2% 99.6%  
149 0.2% 99.4%  
150 0.3% 99.2%  
151 0.4% 98.9%  
152 0.5% 98.5%  
153 0.9% 98%  
154 1.0% 97%  
155 1.3% 96%  
156 2% 95%  
157 2% 93%  
158 2% 91%  
159 2% 89%  
160 3% 87%  
161 3% 83%  
162 4% 80%  
163 5% 77%  
164 5% 72%  
165 4% 67% Majority
166 5% 63%  
167 5% 59%  
168 7% 54%  
169 4% 47%  
170 5% 43%  
171 5% 38%  
172 6% 32%  
173 4% 26%  
174 4% 22% Last Result, Median
175 4% 18%  
176 4% 14%  
177 2% 11%  
178 3% 8%  
179 2% 6%  
180 1.3% 4%  
181 0.7% 2%  
182 0.6% 2%  
183 0.3% 1.0%  
184 0.3% 0.7%  
185 0.2% 0.4%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.8%  
139 0.2% 99.7%  
140 0.3% 99.5%  
141 0.5% 99.2%  
142 0.5% 98.7%  
143 0.6% 98%  
144 1.2% 98%  
145 1.3% 96%  
146 2% 95%  
147 2% 93%  
148 2% 91%  
149 3% 89%  
150 3% 85%  
151 5% 82%  
152 4% 77%  
153 5% 74%  
154 7% 69%  
155 5% 62%  
156 5% 56%  
157 5% 52% Median
158 4% 46%  
159 4% 42%  
160 5% 38%  
161 4% 33%  
162 4% 29%  
163 4% 25%  
164 4% 21%  
165 2% 17% Majority
166 3% 14%  
167 3% 11%  
168 3% 9%  
169 1.3% 6%  
170 1.1% 5%  
171 1.2% 4%  
172 0.5% 2%  
173 0.7% 2%  
174 0.5% 1.1% Last Result
175 0.2% 0.5%  
176 0.2% 0.3%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0.1% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
138 0.2% 99.7%  
139 0.4% 99.5%  
140 0.5% 99.1%  
141 0.6% 98.6%  
142 1.0% 98%  
143 1.5% 97%  
144 2% 95%  
145 3% 94%  
146 2% 91%  
147 5% 88%  
148 4% 84%  
149 6% 80%  
150 5% 74%  
151 5% 69%  
152 5% 64%  
153 5% 58%  
154 4% 53% Median
155 5% 49%  
156 5% 44%  
157 4% 39%  
158 5% 35%  
159 5% 30%  
160 3% 26%  
161 4% 22%  
162 4% 19%  
163 3% 15%  
164 2% 12%  
165 2% 9% Majority
166 2% 7%  
167 1.4% 6%  
168 1.2% 4%  
169 1.2% 3%  
170 0.6% 2%  
171 0.3% 1.4%  
172 0.3% 1.1%  
173 0.2% 0.8%  
174 0.1% 0.6%  
175 0.1% 0.5%  
176 0.1% 0.3%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.2% 99.8%  
135 0.1% 99.7%  
136 0.3% 99.5%  
137 0.2% 99.2%  
138 0.4% 99.0%  
139 0.7% 98.6%  
140 0.8% 98%  
141 1.0% 97%  
142 2% 96%  
143 2% 94%  
144 2% 93%  
145 3% 90%  
146 3% 87%  
147 5% 84%  
148 4% 79%  
149 6% 75%  
150 6% 69%  
151 6% 63%  
152 6% 58%  
153 5% 52%  
154 4% 47% Median
155 5% 43%  
156 5% 38%  
157 4% 33%  
158 4% 29%  
159 4% 25%  
160 3% 21%  
161 3% 18%  
162 3% 14%  
163 3% 11%  
164 2% 8%  
165 2% 6% Majority
166 1.3% 4%  
167 0.8% 3%  
168 0.6% 2%  
169 0.7% 2%  
170 0.3% 0.9%  
171 0.2% 0.6%  
172 0.2% 0.4%  
173 0.1% 0.2%  
174 0.1% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
125 0% 100%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.2% 99.8%  
128 0.3% 99.6%  
129 0.3% 99.3%  
130 0.6% 99.0%  
131 0.7% 98%  
132 1.3% 98%  
133 2% 96%  
134 3% 94%  
135 2% 92%  
136 4% 89%  
137 4% 86%  
138 4% 82% Last Result
139 4% 78%  
140 6% 74%  
141 5% 68%  
142 5% 62%  
143 4% 57% Median
144 7% 53%  
145 5% 46%  
146 5% 41%  
147 4% 37%  
148 5% 33%  
149 5% 28%  
150 4% 23%  
151 3% 20%  
152 3% 17%  
153 2% 13%  
154 2% 11%  
155 2% 9%  
156 2% 7%  
157 1.3% 5%  
158 1.0% 4%  
159 0.9% 3%  
160 0.5% 2%  
161 0.4% 1.5%  
162 0.3% 1.1%  
163 0.2% 0.8%  
164 0.2% 0.6%  
165 0.1% 0.4% Majority
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0.1% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0.1% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.8%  
125 0.2% 99.7%  
126 0.2% 99.6%  
127 0.3% 99.4%  
128 0.6% 99.0%  
129 0.5% 98%  
130 0.9% 98%  
131 1.2% 97%  
132 2% 96%  
133 3% 94%  
134 3% 92%  
135 3% 89%  
136 4% 86%  
137 4% 82%  
138 5% 78%  
139 4% 73%  
140 7% 69%  
141 6% 62%  
142 5% 56%  
143 4% 51% Median
144 6% 47%  
145 5% 40%  
146 5% 35%  
147 4% 31%  
148 5% 27%  
149 4% 22%  
150 3% 18%  
151 3% 15%  
152 3% 12%  
153 2% 9%  
154 2% 7%  
155 2% 6%  
156 1.4% 4%  
157 0.9% 3%  
158 0.6% 2%  
159 0.5% 1.3%  
160 0.3% 0.7%  
161 0.2% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.3%  
163 0.1% 0.2%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1% Majority
166 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0.1% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.8%  
120 0.2% 99.7%  
121 0.3% 99.5%  
122 0.2% 99.3%  
123 0.6% 99.1%  
124 0.9% 98%  
125 0.7% 98%  
126 1.1% 97%  
127 1.2% 96%  
128 2% 95%  
129 2% 93%  
130 3% 91%  
131 3% 88%  
132 3% 85%  
133 3% 82%  
134 4% 79%  
135 4% 76%  
136 6% 72%  
137 4% 66%  
138 3% 62%  
139 5% 59%  
140 4% 54%  
141 6% 50%  
142 4% 44%  
143 4% 40%  
144 4% 36%  
145 9% 32%  
146 2% 23% Median
147 5% 21%  
148 3% 16%  
149 3% 14%  
150 2% 10%  
151 3% 8%  
152 1.3% 5%  
153 1.3% 3%  
154 0.8% 2% Last Result
155 0.5% 1.4%  
156 0.4% 0.8%  
157 0.2% 0.5%  
158 0.2% 0.3%  
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.2% 99.9%  
114 0.2% 99.7%  
115 0.4% 99.5%  
116 0.5% 99.2%  
117 0.7% 98.6%  
118 0.7% 98%  
119 2% 97%  
120 2% 96%  
121 3% 94%  
122 3% 91%  
123 3% 88%  
124 6% 85%  
125 6% 78%  
126 3% 72%  
127 5% 69%  
128 6% 63% Last Result
129 5% 57% Median
130 4% 52%  
131 6% 48%  
132 6% 42%  
133 5% 36%  
134 5% 31%  
135 4% 26%  
136 3% 21%  
137 3% 18%  
138 2% 15%  
139 2% 13%  
140 3% 11%  
141 2% 8%  
142 1.5% 7%  
143 1.3% 5%  
144 1.0% 4%  
145 0.7% 3%  
146 0.5% 2%  
147 0.4% 2%  
148 0.2% 1.1%  
149 0.3% 0.9%  
150 0.2% 0.6%  
151 0.2% 0.5%  
152 0.1% 0.3%  
153 0.1% 0.2%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0.1% 100%  
110 0% 99.9% Last Result
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.2% 99.7%  
113 0.3% 99.6%  
114 0.4% 99.3%  
115 0.6% 98.9%  
116 0.8% 98%  
117 1.0% 97%  
118 0.9% 96%  
119 2% 95%  
120 2% 93%  
121 3% 91%  
122 4% 88%  
123 3% 84%  
124 7% 80%  
125 7% 74%  
126 4% 67%  
127 6% 63%  
128 6% 57%  
129 5% 51% Median
130 4% 46%  
131 6% 42%  
132 6% 36%  
133 5% 30%  
134 5% 25%  
135 4% 20%  
136 3% 16%  
137 3% 13%  
138 2% 10%  
139 2% 8%  
140 2% 7%  
141 1.2% 5%  
142 1.0% 4%  
143 1.0% 3%  
144 0.5% 2%  
145 0.5% 1.1%  
146 0.2% 0.6%  
147 0.2% 0.4%  
148 0.1% 0.2%  
149 0.1% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.2% 99.7%  
112 0.5% 99.5%  
113 0.4% 99.0%  
114 0.7% 98.6%  
115 1.1% 98%  
116 2% 97%  
117 1.4% 95% Last Result
118 3% 93%  
119 2% 90%  
120 5% 88%  
121 4% 82%  
122 6% 79%  
123 5% 73%  
124 7% 68%  
125 4% 61%  
126 6% 56% Median
127 6% 50%  
128 6% 44%  
129 5% 38%  
130 4% 33%  
131 4% 29%  
132 3% 25%  
133 5% 22%  
134 3% 16%  
135 2% 14%  
136 2% 11%  
137 2% 9%  
138 1.5% 7%  
139 1.3% 6%  
140 1.0% 4%  
141 0.8% 3%  
142 0.7% 2%  
143 0.4% 2%  
144 0.4% 1.3%  
145 0.2% 0.9%  
146 0.2% 0.7%  
147 0.1% 0.4%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0.1% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.8%  
109 0.1% 99.7%  
110 0.4% 99.6%  
111 0.4% 99.2%  
112 0.6% 98.8%  
113 0.7% 98%  
114 1.0% 97%  
115 1.5% 96%  
116 3% 95%  
117 2% 92%  
118 4% 91%  
119 3% 87%  
120 6% 84%  
121 4% 78%  
122 6% 74%  
123 6% 68%  
124 8% 62%  
125 5% 55%  
126 6% 50% Median
127 6% 44%  
128 6% 38%  
129 5% 32%  
130 4% 27%  
131 4% 23%  
132 3% 19%  
133 5% 16%  
134 2% 11%  
135 2% 9%  
136 2% 7%  
137 2% 5%  
138 1.0% 3%  
139 1.0% 3%  
140 0.5% 2%  
141 0.3% 1.1%  
142 0.3% 0.7%  
143 0.2% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.8%  
88 0.2% 99.6%  
89 0.4% 99.4%  
90 0.6% 99.0%  
91 1.3% 98%  
92 2% 97%  
93 2% 96%  
94 4% 94%  
95 3% 90%  
96 4% 87%  
97 5% 83%  
98 6% 78%  
99 5% 72%  
100 6% 67%  
101 9% 61% Median
102 7% 52%  
103 5% 45%  
104 6% 41%  
105 5% 35%  
106 5% 30%  
107 4% 25%  
108 3% 21% Last Result
109 3% 18%  
110 3% 15%  
111 2% 12%  
112 2% 9%  
113 2% 8%  
114 2% 6%  
115 0.9% 5%  
116 0.7% 4%  
117 0.7% 3%  
118 0.5% 2%  
119 0.4% 2%  
120 0.5% 1.2%  
121 0.1% 0.7%  
122 0.1% 0.6%  
123 0.1% 0.4%  
124 0.1% 0.3%  
125 0.1% 0.2%  
126 0.1% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.2% 99.7%  
87 0.3% 99.5%  
88 0.4% 99.2%  
89 0.5% 98.8%  
90 1.1% 98% Last Result
91 2% 97%  
92 2% 96%  
93 3% 94%  
94 4% 91%  
95 4% 87%  
96 4% 83%  
97 6% 79%  
98 7% 73%  
99 5% 67%  
100 7% 62%  
101 9% 55% Median
102 7% 46%  
103 5% 39%  
104 6% 34%  
105 5% 28%  
106 5% 23%  
107 3% 18%  
108 3% 15%  
109 3% 12%  
110 3% 9%  
111 2% 7%  
112 1.4% 5%  
113 0.9% 3%  
114 1.1% 2%  
115 0.4% 1.3%  
116 0.4% 0.9%  
117 0.2% 0.5%  
118 0.2% 0.3%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.2% 99.6%  
73 0.6% 99.4%  
74 0.9% 98.8%  
75 1.2% 98%  
76 3% 97%  
77 2% 94%  
78 4% 92%  
79 5% 88%  
80 5% 83%  
81 7% 79%  
82 8% 72%  
83 5% 64%  
84 8% 59% Median
85 7% 50%  
86 6% 43%  
87 7% 38% Last Result
88 5% 31%  
89 3% 25%  
90 5% 22%  
91 3% 18%  
92 2% 14%  
93 3% 12%  
94 1.3% 9%  
95 2% 8%  
96 1.2% 6%  
97 0.7% 5%  
98 1.0% 4%  
99 0.6% 3%  
100 0.6% 3%  
101 0.7% 2%  
102 0.4% 1.5%  
103 0.4% 1.0%  
104 0.1% 0.6%  
105 0.1% 0.5%  
106 0.1% 0.4%  
107 0.1% 0.3%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 0.4% 99.6%  
72 0.3% 99.2%  
73 0.8% 98.9%  
74 1.2% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 3% 95%  
77 3% 92%  
78 4% 90%  
79 6% 85%  
80 5% 79%  
81 8% 74%  
82 8% 67%  
83 6% 59%  
84 9% 53% Median
85 7% 44%  
86 6% 37%  
87 7% 31%  
88 5% 24%  
89 3% 19%  
90 4% 15%  
91 3% 11%  
92 2% 8%  
93 2% 6%  
94 0.9% 3%  
95 0.8% 3%  
96 0.8% 2%  
97 0.2% 0.9%  
98 0.3% 0.7%  
99 0.2% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.2% 99.9%  
33 0.4% 99.7%  
34 0.9% 99.3%  
35 1.5% 98%  
36 3% 97%  
37 4% 94%  
38 6% 90%  
39 9% 84%  
40 8% 75%  
41 11% 67%  
42 10% 56% Median
43 10% 46%  
44 7% 37%  
45 7% 30%  
46 6% 23%  
47 4% 17%  
48 2% 14% Last Result
49 2% 11%  
50 1.2% 9%  
51 0.6% 8%  
52 0.8% 8%  
53 0.6% 7%  
54 0.6% 6%  
55 0.5% 6%  
56 0.9% 5%  
57 0.9% 4%  
58 0.7% 3%  
59 0.7% 3%  
60 0.5% 2%  
61 0.4% 1.3%  
62 0.3% 0.9%  
63 0.3% 0.7%  
64 0.1% 0.4%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations