Opinion Poll by Sociopol, 7–20 August 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 35.0% 33.1–37.0% 32.6–37.6% 32.1–38.0% 31.2–39.0%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 21.0% 19.4–22.7% 19.0–23.2% 18.6–23.6% 17.8–24.5%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 19.0% 17.5–20.7% 17.1–21.1% 16.7–21.6% 16.0–22.4%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 10.0% 8.9–11.4% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.1% 7.8–12.7%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.6–5.9%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.7%
PRO România 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 123 116–129 114–131 113–133 110–136
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 73 68–79 66–81 65–82 62–85
Partidul Național Liberal 69 67 61–72 60–74 58–75 56–78
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 35 31–39 30–41 29–42 27–44
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 14 11–17 10–18 10–18 9–20
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0 0 0 0
PRO România 0 0 0 0 0 0

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.2% 99.8%  
110 0.3% 99.6%  
111 0.6% 99.3%  
112 0.9% 98.7%  
113 1.3% 98%  
114 2% 97%  
115 2% 95%  
116 3% 93%  
117 4% 90%  
118 6% 86%  
119 5% 80%  
120 6% 74%  
121 7% 68%  
122 7% 62%  
123 9% 54% Median
124 7% 45%  
125 6% 37%  
126 8% 31%  
127 5% 23%  
128 5% 18%  
129 3% 13%  
130 3% 10%  
131 2% 6%  
132 1.4% 4%  
133 0.8% 3%  
134 0.8% 2%  
135 0.5% 1.3%  
136 0.4% 0.8%  
137 0.1% 0.4%  
138 0.1% 0.2%  
139 0.1% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.8%  
63 0.4% 99.5%  
64 0.8% 99.0%  
65 1.3% 98%  
66 2% 97%  
67 3% 95%  
68 4% 92%  
69 6% 87%  
70 6% 81%  
71 9% 75%  
72 8% 66%  
73 10% 58% Median
74 8% 48%  
75 9% 40%  
76 7% 31%  
77 5% 24%  
78 5% 18%  
79 4% 13%  
80 3% 9%  
81 2% 6%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.0% 2%  
84 0.6% 1.4%  
85 0.4% 0.9%  
86 0.2% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.8%  
56 0.4% 99.6%  
57 0.6% 99.2%  
58 1.2% 98.6%  
59 2% 97%  
60 3% 95%  
61 5% 92%  
62 5% 88%  
63 5% 83%  
64 9% 78%  
65 9% 69%  
66 9% 60%  
67 10% 51% Median
68 7% 41%  
69 11% 34% Last Result
70 6% 23%  
71 6% 18%  
72 4% 12%  
73 3% 8%  
74 2% 6%  
75 1.4% 4%  
76 0.8% 2%  
77 0.6% 1.3%  
78 0.4% 0.7%  
79 0.2% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.5% 99.7%  
28 1.2% 99.2%  
29 2% 98%  
30 4% 96%  
31 6% 92%  
32 8% 86%  
33 10% 78%  
34 11% 68%  
35 13% 57% Median
36 10% 44%  
37 11% 34%  
38 7% 23%  
39 6% 15%  
40 4% 10%  
41 2% 5%  
42 1.4% 3%  
43 0.9% 2%  
44 0.4% 0.8%  
45 0.2% 0.4%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 1.3% 99.7%  
10 4% 98%  
11 8% 95%  
12 14% 87%  
13 19% 73%  
14 17% 54% Median
15 15% 37%  
16 10% 22%  
17 7% 12%  
18 3% 5%  
19 1.4% 2%  
20 0.7% 1.0%  
21 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 189 100% 183–196 181–198 179–199 176–202
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 189 100% 183–196 181–198 179–199 176–202
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 176 98% 168–182 167–184 165–185 162–189
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 176 98% 168–182 167–184 165–185 162–188
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România 174 158 11% 151–165 149–167 148–168 145–172
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 158 11% 151–165 149–167 148–168 144–172
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 154 2% 147–161 145–163 144–164 140–167
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 154 2% 147–161 145–163 144–164 140–167
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 140 0% 134–147 132–149 130–150 127–154
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal 99 140 0% 134–147 132–149 130–150 127–154
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 123 0% 116–129 114–131 113–133 110–136
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 116 0% 109–122 107–124 106–126 103–129
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 116 0% 109–122 107–124 106–126 103–129
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 81 0% 74–86 73–88 72–90 69–93
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 81 0% 74–86 73–88 72–90 69–93
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 73 0% 68–79 66–81 65–83 62–86
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 67 0% 61–72 60–74 58–75 56–78
Partidul Național Liberal 69 67 0% 61–72 60–74 58–75 56–78

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.8%  
175 0.1% 99.7%  
176 0.4% 99.6%  
177 0.5% 99.2%  
178 0.8% 98.7%  
179 0.8% 98%  
180 1.4% 97%  
181 2% 96%  
182 3% 94%  
183 3% 90%  
184 5% 87%  
185 5% 82%  
186 8% 77%  
187 6% 69%  
188 7% 63%  
189 9% 55% Median
190 7% 46%  
191 7% 38%  
192 6% 31%  
193 5% 26%  
194 6% 20%  
195 4% 14%  
196 3% 10%  
197 2% 7%  
198 2% 5%  
199 1.3% 3%  
200 0.9% 2%  
201 0.5% 1.3%  
202 0.3% 0.7%  
203 0.2% 0.4%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0.1% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.8%  
175 0.2% 99.7%  
176 0.4% 99.6%  
177 0.5% 99.1%  
178 0.8% 98.6%  
179 0.8% 98%  
180 1.4% 97%  
181 2% 96%  
182 3% 94%  
183 3% 90%  
184 5% 87%  
185 5% 82%  
186 8% 76%  
187 6% 69%  
188 7% 62%  
189 9% 55% Median
190 7% 46%  
191 7% 38%  
192 6% 31%  
193 5% 26%  
194 6% 20%  
195 4% 14%  
196 3% 10%  
197 2% 7%  
198 2% 5%  
199 1.3% 3%  
200 0.9% 2%  
201 0.5% 1.2%  
202 0.3% 0.7%  
203 0.2% 0.4%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.8%  
161 0.2% 99.8%  
162 0.5% 99.6%  
163 0.2% 99.1%  
164 0.9% 99.0%  
165 2% 98% Majority
166 0.5% 97%  
167 3% 96%  
168 4% 93%  
169 1.0% 90%  
170 7% 89%  
171 7% 82%  
172 2% 75%  
173 11% 73%  
174 7% 61%  
175 3% 54% Median
176 14% 51%  
177 5% 37%  
178 3% 32%  
179 10% 29%  
180 4% 19%  
181 2% 15%  
182 5% 13%  
183 2% 7%  
184 0.9% 6%  
185 2% 5%  
186 0.9% 2%  
187 0.3% 1.5%  
188 0.6% 1.1%  
189 0.2% 0.5%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.8%  
161 0.2% 99.8%  
162 0.5% 99.5%  
163 0.2% 99.1%  
164 0.9% 98.9%  
165 2% 98% Majority
166 0.5% 96%  
167 3% 96%  
168 4% 93%  
169 1.0% 90%  
170 7% 89%  
171 7% 82%  
172 2% 75%  
173 11% 73%  
174 7% 61%  
175 3% 54% Median
176 14% 51%  
177 5% 37%  
178 3% 31%  
179 10% 29%  
180 4% 19%  
181 2% 15%  
182 5% 13%  
183 2% 7%  
184 0.9% 5%  
185 2% 5%  
186 0.9% 2%  
187 0.3% 1.4%  
188 0.6% 1.1%  
189 0.2% 0.5%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
141 0% 100%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.8%  
144 0.2% 99.7%  
145 0.4% 99.5%  
146 0.7% 99.1%  
147 0.7% 98%  
148 1.3% 98%  
149 2% 96%  
150 2% 95%  
151 3% 93%  
152 4% 90%  
153 5% 86%  
154 6% 81%  
155 7% 75%  
156 6% 68%  
157 8% 62%  
158 7% 54% Median
159 9% 47%  
160 7% 38%  
161 7% 31%  
162 6% 24%  
163 4% 19%  
164 4% 15%  
165 3% 11% Majority
166 2% 8%  
167 2% 5%  
168 1.1% 3%  
169 0.8% 2%  
170 0.5% 1.4%  
171 0.3% 0.9%  
172 0.3% 0.6%  
173 0.1% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.8%  
144 0.2% 99.7%  
145 0.4% 99.5%  
146 0.7% 99.1%  
147 0.7% 98%  
148 1.3% 98%  
149 2% 96%  
150 2% 95%  
151 3% 93%  
152 4% 90%  
153 5% 86%  
154 6% 81%  
155 7% 75%  
156 6% 68%  
157 8% 62%  
158 7% 54% Median
159 9% 47%  
160 7% 38%  
161 7% 31%  
162 6% 24%  
163 4% 18%  
164 4% 15%  
165 3% 11% Majority
166 2% 8%  
167 2% 5%  
168 1.1% 3%  
169 0.8% 2%  
170 0.5% 1.4%  
171 0.3% 0.9%  
172 0.3% 0.6%  
173 0.1% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100%  
138 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
139 0.1% 99.8%  
140 0.3% 99.7%  
141 0.3% 99.4%  
142 0.5% 99.1%  
143 0.8% 98.6%  
144 1.1% 98%  
145 2% 97%  
146 2% 95%  
147 3% 92%  
148 4% 89%  
149 4% 85%  
150 6% 81%  
151 7% 76%  
152 7% 69%  
153 9% 62%  
154 7% 53% Median
155 8% 46%  
156 6% 38%  
157 7% 32%  
158 6% 25%  
159 5% 19%  
160 4% 14%  
161 3% 10%  
162 2% 7%  
163 2% 5%  
164 1.3% 4%  
165 0.7% 2% Majority
166 0.7% 2%  
167 0.4% 0.9%  
168 0.2% 0.5%  
169 0.1% 0.3%  
170 0.1% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.8%  
140 0.3% 99.7%  
141 0.4% 99.4%  
142 0.5% 99.0%  
143 0.8% 98.6%  
144 1.1% 98%  
145 2% 97%  
146 3% 95%  
147 3% 92%  
148 4% 89%  
149 4% 85%  
150 6% 81%  
151 7% 76%  
152 7% 69%  
153 9% 61%  
154 7% 53% Median
155 8% 46%  
156 6% 38%  
157 7% 31%  
158 6% 25%  
159 5% 19%  
160 4% 14%  
161 3% 10%  
162 2% 7%  
163 2% 5%  
164 1.3% 3%  
165 0.7% 2% Majority
166 0.7% 1.5%  
167 0.3% 0.8%  
168 0.2% 0.5%  
169 0.1% 0.3%  
170 0.1% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0.2% 99.8%  
127 0.2% 99.5%  
128 0.6% 99.3%  
129 0.5% 98.7%  
130 1.4% 98%  
131 2% 97%  
132 3% 95%  
133 2% 93%  
134 5% 91%  
135 3% 86%  
136 7% 82%  
137 5% 76%  
138 8% 70%  
139 8% 62%  
140 9% 55% Median
141 6% 46%  
142 9% 39%  
143 5% 31%  
144 7% 26%  
145 4% 19%  
146 4% 15%  
147 3% 11%  
148 2% 8%  
149 2% 6%  
150 1.3% 4%  
151 1.0% 2%  
152 0.5% 1.5%  
153 0.4% 0.9%  
154 0.2% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0.1% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.8%  
126 0.2% 99.8%  
127 0.2% 99.5%  
128 0.6% 99.3%  
129 0.5% 98.7%  
130 1.5% 98%  
131 2% 97%  
132 3% 95%  
133 2% 93%  
134 5% 90%  
135 3% 86%  
136 7% 82%  
137 5% 76%  
138 8% 70%  
139 8% 62%  
140 9% 55% Median
141 6% 46%  
142 9% 39%  
143 5% 30%  
144 7% 25%  
145 4% 19%  
146 4% 15%  
147 3% 11%  
148 2% 8%  
149 2% 6%  
150 1.3% 4%  
151 1.0% 2%  
152 0.5% 1.4%  
153 0.4% 0.9%  
154 0.2% 0.5%  
155 0.1% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0.1% 0.1%  
158 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.2% 99.8%  
110 0.3% 99.6%  
111 0.5% 99.3%  
112 0.9% 98.7%  
113 1.3% 98%  
114 2% 97%  
115 2% 95%  
116 3% 93%  
117 4% 90%  
118 6% 86%  
119 5% 80%  
120 6% 74%  
121 7% 69%  
122 7% 62%  
123 9% 54% Median
124 7% 45%  
125 6% 37%  
126 8% 31%  
127 5% 23%  
128 5% 18%  
129 3% 13%  
130 3% 10%  
131 2% 6%  
132 1.4% 4%  
133 0.8% 3%  
134 0.8% 2%  
135 0.5% 1.3%  
136 0.4% 0.8%  
137 0.1% 0.4%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.2% 99.7%  
103 0.4% 99.6%  
104 0.5% 99.2%  
105 0.8% 98.6%  
106 2% 98%  
107 2% 96%  
108 2% 95%  
109 3% 92%  
110 4% 89%  
111 5% 84%  
112 6% 79%  
113 6% 73%  
114 9% 67%  
115 6% 58%  
116 10% 52% Median
117 6% 42%  
118 8% 36%  
119 6% 28%  
120 5% 22%  
121 5% 17%  
122 3% 12%  
123 2% 8%  
124 2% 6%  
125 1.3% 4%  
126 1.1% 3%  
127 0.6% 2%  
128 0.5% 1.1% Last Result
129 0.3% 0.6%  
130 0.1% 0.3%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.2% 99.7%  
103 0.4% 99.6%  
104 0.6% 99.2%  
105 0.8% 98.6%  
106 2% 98%  
107 2% 96%  
108 2% 94%  
109 3% 92%  
110 5% 89% Last Result
111 5% 84%  
112 6% 79%  
113 6% 73%  
114 9% 67%  
115 6% 58%  
116 10% 52% Median
117 6% 42%  
118 8% 36%  
119 6% 28%  
120 5% 22%  
121 5% 17%  
122 3% 12%  
123 2% 8%  
124 2% 6%  
125 1.3% 4%  
126 1.1% 3%  
127 0.6% 2%  
128 0.5% 1.0%  
129 0.3% 0.6%  
130 0.1% 0.3%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.3% 99.6%  
70 0.7% 99.3%  
71 0.9% 98.6%  
72 1.5% 98%  
73 3% 96%  
74 4% 94%  
75 4% 90%  
76 5% 86%  
77 7% 81%  
78 6% 74%  
79 9% 67%  
80 7% 59%  
81 8% 52% Median
82 12% 44%  
83 7% 32%  
84 7% 26%  
85 6% 19%  
86 4% 13%  
87 3% 9%  
88 2% 6%  
89 1.1% 4%  
90 0.9% 3%  
91 0.8% 2%  
92 0.4% 1.0%  
93 0.3% 0.6%  
94 0.2% 0.4%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.3% 99.6%  
70 0.7% 99.3%  
71 0.9% 98.6%  
72 1.5% 98%  
73 3% 96%  
74 4% 94%  
75 4% 89%  
76 5% 86%  
77 7% 81%  
78 6% 73%  
79 9% 67%  
80 7% 59%  
81 8% 52% Median
82 12% 44%  
83 7% 32%  
84 7% 26%  
85 6% 19%  
86 4% 12%  
87 3% 9%  
88 2% 6%  
89 1.1% 4%  
90 0.9% 3% Last Result
91 0.7% 2%  
92 0.4% 0.9%  
93 0.3% 0.5%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.8%  
63 0.4% 99.5%  
64 0.8% 99.0%  
65 1.3% 98%  
66 2% 97%  
67 3% 95%  
68 4% 92%  
69 6% 87%  
70 6% 81%  
71 9% 75%  
72 8% 66%  
73 10% 58% Median
74 8% 48%  
75 9% 40%  
76 7% 31%  
77 5% 24%  
78 5% 19%  
79 4% 13%  
80 3% 10%  
81 2% 6%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.0% 3%  
84 0.6% 2%  
85 0.4% 1.0%  
86 0.2% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.8%  
56 0.4% 99.6%  
57 0.6% 99.2%  
58 1.2% 98.7%  
59 2% 97%  
60 3% 95%  
61 5% 92%  
62 5% 88%  
63 5% 83%  
64 9% 78%  
65 9% 69%  
66 9% 60%  
67 10% 51% Median
68 7% 41%  
69 11% 34%  
70 6% 24%  
71 6% 18%  
72 4% 12%  
73 3% 8%  
74 2% 6%  
75 1.4% 4%  
76 0.8% 2%  
77 0.6% 1.4%  
78 0.4% 0.8%  
79 0.2% 0.4%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.8%  
56 0.4% 99.6%  
57 0.6% 99.2%  
58 1.2% 98.6%  
59 2% 97%  
60 3% 95%  
61 5% 92%  
62 5% 88%  
63 5% 83%  
64 9% 78%  
65 9% 69%  
66 9% 60%  
67 10% 51% Median
68 7% 41%  
69 11% 34% Last Result
70 6% 23%  
71 6% 18%  
72 4% 12%  
73 3% 8%  
74 2% 6%  
75 1.4% 4%  
76 0.8% 2%  
77 0.6% 1.3%  
78 0.4% 0.7%  
79 0.2% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations