Opinion Poll by Sociopol, 22–27 September 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 36.0% 34.0–37.9% 33.5–38.5% 33.0–39.0% 32.1–39.9%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 20.0% 18.5–21.7% 18.0–22.2% 17.6–22.6% 16.9–23.4%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 12.0% 10.7–13.4% 10.4–13.8% 10.1–14.1% 9.5–14.8%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 11.0% 9.8–12.3% 9.4–12.7% 9.2–13.0% 8.6–13.7%
PRO România 0.0% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.6–5.9%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 125 119–132 117–134 115–135 112–139
Partidul Național Liberal 69 70 64–75 63–77 61–78 59–81
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 41 37–46 36–48 35–49 33–51
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 38 34–43 33–44 32–45 30–47
PRO România 0 24 21–28 20–29 19–30 17–32
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 14 11–17 10–17 10–18 9–20
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0 0 0 0

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0.1% 100%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.2% 99.8%  
112 0.3% 99.6%  
113 0.5% 99.4%  
114 0.8% 98.8%  
115 1.1% 98%  
116 2% 97%  
117 2% 95%  
118 3% 93%  
119 4% 91%  
120 6% 87%  
121 6% 81%  
122 6% 75%  
123 7% 69%  
124 8% 62%  
125 7% 54% Median
126 8% 47%  
127 7% 39%  
128 6% 31%  
129 5% 25%  
130 6% 20%  
131 4% 15%  
132 3% 11%  
133 3% 8%  
134 2% 5%  
135 1.2% 4%  
136 0.9% 2%  
137 0.5% 1.3%  
138 0.3% 0.8%  
139 0.2% 0.5%  
140 0.1% 0.3%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.3% 99.8%  
59 0.4% 99.5%  
60 0.7% 99.2%  
61 2% 98%  
62 2% 97%  
63 3% 95%  
64 4% 93%  
65 6% 88%  
66 6% 82%  
67 8% 76%  
68 9% 68%  
69 8% 59% Last Result
70 9% 51% Median
71 8% 42%  
72 8% 33%  
73 7% 25%  
74 5% 18%  
75 4% 13%  
76 3% 9%  
77 2% 6%  
78 2% 4%  
79 0.9% 2%  
80 0.5% 1.2%  
81 0.3% 0.7%  
82 0.2% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.2% 99.9%  
33 0.5% 99.6%  
34 1.2% 99.2%  
35 2% 98%  
36 4% 96%  
37 6% 92%  
38 7% 87%  
39 9% 80%  
40 11% 71%  
41 11% 59% Median
42 11% 48%  
43 9% 37%  
44 8% 28%  
45 6% 20%  
46 5% 13%  
47 3% 9%  
48 2% 5%  
49 1.3% 3%  
50 0.7% 2%  
51 0.4% 0.8%  
52 0.2% 0.4%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.8%  
30 0.5% 99.6%  
31 1.3% 99.0%  
32 2% 98%  
33 5% 95%  
34 6% 91%  
35 9% 85%  
36 9% 76%  
37 11% 67%  
38 11% 56% Median
39 14% 45%  
40 8% 31%  
41 8% 22%  
42 5% 15%  
43 4% 10%  
44 2% 6%  
45 2% 4%  
46 0.8% 2%  
47 0.5% 0.9%  
48 0.2% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0% 99.7%  
9 0% 99.7%  
10 0% 99.7%  
11 0% 99.7%  
12 0% 99.7%  
13 0% 99.7%  
14 0% 99.7%  
15 0% 99.7%  
16 0% 99.7%  
17 0.2% 99.7%  
18 1.1% 99.5%  
19 3% 98%  
20 5% 95%  
21 8% 91%  
22 11% 83%  
23 13% 72%  
24 15% 59% Median
25 14% 44%  
26 11% 30%  
27 7% 18%  
28 4% 11%  
29 3% 7%  
30 2% 3%  
31 1.0% 2%  
32 0.5% 0.7%  
33 0.2% 0.3%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.3% 100%  
9 1.4% 99.7%  
10 4% 98%  
11 9% 94%  
12 16% 85%  
13 16% 69%  
14 19% 53% Median
15 13% 34%  
16 10% 21%  
17 6% 10%  
18 3% 5%  
19 1.3% 2%  
20 0.5% 0.7%  
21 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România 174 187 100% 181–194 179–196 177–197 174–200
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 163 39% 156–169 154–171 153–173 149–177
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 163 39% 156–169 154–171 153–173 149–177
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 163 39% 156–170 155–172 153–173 150–177
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 149 0.2% 142–156 140–158 139–160 136–163
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 149 0.2% 142–156 140–158 139–160 136–163
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 149 0.2% 143–156 141–158 139–159 135–163
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 125 0% 118–131 116–133 115–135 112–138
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 125 0% 118–131 116–133 115–135 112–138
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 121 0% 115–128 113–130 111–131 109–135
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 121 0% 115–128 113–130 111–131 109–135
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 111 0% 105–117 103–120 102–121 98–124
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 111 0% 105–117 103–120 102–121 98–124
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 83 0% 77–89 76–91 75–93 72–96
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 83 0% 77–89 76–91 75–93 72–96
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 70 0% 64–75 63–77 61–78 59–81
Partidul Național Liberal 69 70 0% 64–75 63–77 61–78 59–81
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 41 0% 37–46 36–48 35–49 33–51

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0.1% 99.8%  
173 0.2% 99.7%  
174 0.3% 99.5% Last Result
175 0.5% 99.2%  
176 0.8% 98.7%  
177 1.2% 98%  
178 1.3% 97%  
179 2% 95%  
180 3% 93%  
181 4% 90%  
182 4% 87%  
183 5% 83%  
184 8% 78%  
185 7% 70%  
186 7% 63%  
187 9% 56% Median
188 8% 47%  
189 7% 40%  
190 6% 32%  
191 6% 27%  
192 5% 21%  
193 5% 16%  
194 3% 11%  
195 3% 8%  
196 2% 5%  
197 1.3% 3%  
198 0.7% 2%  
199 0.6% 1.4%  
200 0.4% 0.8%  
201 0.1% 0.4%  
202 0.1% 0.2%  
203 0.1% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0% 100%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.2% 99.7%  
150 0.3% 99.5%  
151 0.6% 99.1%  
152 1.0% 98.5%  
153 1.2% 98%  
154 2% 96%  
155 3% 94%  
156 4% 92%  
157 4% 88%  
158 4% 84% Last Result
159 7% 80%  
160 7% 73%  
161 6% 66%  
162 7% 60%  
163 9% 54% Median
164 6% 44%  
165 9% 39% Majority
166 6% 30%  
167 6% 24%  
168 5% 18%  
169 4% 14%  
170 3% 9%  
171 2% 7%  
172 1.3% 5%  
173 1.1% 3%  
174 0.9% 2%  
175 0.5% 1.4%  
176 0.3% 0.9%  
177 0.2% 0.6%  
178 0.1% 0.4%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.2% 99.7%  
150 0.3% 99.5%  
151 0.6% 99.1%  
152 1.0% 98.5%  
153 1.2% 98%  
154 2% 96%  
155 3% 94%  
156 4% 92%  
157 4% 88%  
158 4% 84%  
159 7% 80%  
160 7% 73%  
161 6% 66%  
162 7% 60%  
163 9% 54% Median
164 6% 44%  
165 9% 39% Majority
166 6% 30%  
167 6% 24%  
168 5% 18%  
169 4% 14%  
170 3% 9%  
171 2% 7%  
172 1.3% 5%  
173 1.1% 3%  
174 0.9% 2%  
175 0.5% 1.4%  
176 0.3% 0.9%  
177 0.2% 0.6%  
178 0.1% 0.4%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0% 100%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.2% 99.8%  
150 0.4% 99.5%  
151 0.5% 99.2%  
152 0.9% 98.7%  
153 1.3% 98%  
154 1.3% 97%  
155 2% 95%  
156 4% 93%  
157 4% 89%  
158 4% 86%  
159 7% 82%  
160 7% 75%  
161 5% 68%  
162 8% 63%  
163 8% 54% Median
164 7% 46%  
165 7% 39% Majority
166 6% 32%  
167 6% 26%  
168 5% 20%  
169 3% 15%  
170 4% 12%  
171 2% 8%  
172 2% 6%  
173 2% 4%  
174 0.8% 2% Last Result
175 0.5% 2%  
176 0.4% 1.0%  
177 0.2% 0.6%  
178 0.1% 0.4%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0.1% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0.2% 99.7%  
136 0.3% 99.6%  
137 0.6% 99.2% Last Result
138 0.9% 98.6%  
139 0.9% 98%  
140 2% 97%  
141 2% 95%  
142 3% 93%  
143 4% 89%  
144 5% 85%  
145 5% 81%  
146 7% 76%  
147 8% 69%  
148 7% 61%  
149 8% 55% Median
150 8% 47%  
151 7% 39%  
152 6% 32%  
153 7% 27%  
154 5% 20%  
155 4% 15%  
156 3% 10%  
157 2% 8%  
158 2% 5%  
159 1.3% 4%  
160 0.9% 3%  
161 0.6% 2%  
162 0.3% 1.0%  
163 0.3% 0.7%  
164 0.2% 0.4%  
165 0.1% 0.2% Majority
166 0.1% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0.2% 99.7%  
136 0.3% 99.6%  
137 0.6% 99.2%  
138 0.9% 98.6%  
139 0.9% 98%  
140 2% 97%  
141 2% 95%  
142 3% 93%  
143 4% 89%  
144 5% 85%  
145 5% 81%  
146 7% 76%  
147 8% 69%  
148 7% 61%  
149 8% 55% Median
150 8% 47%  
151 7% 39%  
152 6% 32%  
153 7% 27%  
154 5% 20%  
155 4% 15%  
156 3% 10%  
157 2% 8%  
158 2% 5%  
159 1.3% 4%  
160 0.9% 3%  
161 0.6% 2%  
162 0.3% 1.0%  
163 0.3% 0.7%  
164 0.2% 0.4%  
165 0.1% 0.2% Majority
166 0.1% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.8%  
135 0.2% 99.6%  
136 0.3% 99.4%  
137 0.5% 99.1%  
138 0.9% 98.6%  
139 1.1% 98%  
140 1.3% 97%  
141 2% 95%  
142 3% 93%  
143 4% 91%  
144 5% 86%  
145 6% 82%  
146 6% 76%  
147 9% 70%  
148 6% 61%  
149 9% 56% Median
150 7% 46%  
151 6% 40%  
152 7% 34%  
153 7% 27%  
154 4% 20% Last Result
155 4% 16%  
156 4% 12%  
157 3% 8%  
158 2% 6%  
159 1.2% 4%  
160 1.0% 2%  
161 0.6% 1.5%  
162 0.3% 0.9%  
163 0.2% 0.5%  
164 0.1% 0.3%  
165 0.1% 0.2% Majority
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.8%  
112 0.4% 99.6%  
113 0.6% 99.2%  
114 0.7% 98.6%  
115 1.3% 98%  
116 2% 97%  
117 3% 95%  
118 3% 92%  
119 5% 89%  
120 5% 84%  
121 6% 79%  
122 6% 73%  
123 7% 68%  
124 8% 60%  
125 9% 53% Median
126 7% 44%  
127 7% 37%  
128 8% 30%  
129 5% 22%  
130 4% 17%  
131 4% 13%  
132 3% 10%  
133 2% 7%  
134 1.3% 5%  
135 1.2% 3%  
136 0.8% 2%  
137 0.5% 1.3%  
138 0.3% 0.8% Last Result
139 0.2% 0.5%  
140 0.1% 0.3%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.8%  
112 0.4% 99.6%  
113 0.6% 99.2%  
114 0.7% 98.6%  
115 1.3% 98%  
116 2% 97%  
117 3% 95%  
118 3% 92%  
119 5% 89%  
120 5% 84% Last Result
121 6% 79%  
122 6% 73%  
123 7% 68%  
124 8% 60%  
125 9% 53% Median
126 7% 44%  
127 7% 37%  
128 8% 30%  
129 5% 22%  
130 4% 17%  
131 4% 13%  
132 3% 10%  
133 2% 7%  
134 1.3% 5%  
135 1.2% 3%  
136 0.8% 2%  
137 0.5% 1.3%  
138 0.3% 0.8%  
139 0.2% 0.5%  
140 0.1% 0.3%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0.2% 99.7%  
109 0.5% 99.5%  
110 0.7% 99.0%  
111 0.9% 98%  
112 2% 97%  
113 2% 96%  
114 3% 94%  
115 3% 91%  
116 5% 88%  
117 5% 83%  
118 5% 77%  
119 10% 72%  
120 7% 63%  
121 8% 56%  
122 7% 48% Median
123 8% 41%  
124 6% 33%  
125 6% 27%  
126 5% 21%  
127 5% 16%  
128 3% 11% Last Result
129 3% 8%  
130 2% 6%  
131 1.5% 4%  
132 0.8% 2%  
133 0.7% 2%  
134 0.3% 0.9%  
135 0.2% 0.6%  
136 0.2% 0.4%  
137 0.1% 0.2%  
138 0.1% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0.2% 99.7%  
109 0.5% 99.5%  
110 0.7% 99.0% Last Result
111 0.9% 98%  
112 2% 97%  
113 2% 96%  
114 3% 94%  
115 3% 91%  
116 5% 88%  
117 5% 83%  
118 5% 77%  
119 10% 72%  
120 7% 63%  
121 8% 56%  
122 7% 48% Median
123 8% 41%  
124 6% 33%  
125 6% 27%  
126 5% 21%  
127 5% 16%  
128 3% 11%  
129 3% 8%  
130 2% 6%  
131 1.5% 4%  
132 0.8% 2%  
133 0.7% 2%  
134 0.3% 0.9%  
135 0.2% 0.6%  
136 0.2% 0.4%  
137 0.1% 0.2%  
138 0.1% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.8%  
98 0.3% 99.7%  
99 0.4% 99.4%  
100 0.6% 99.0%  
101 1.0% 98%  
102 1.4% 98%  
103 2% 96%  
104 3% 94%  
105 4% 90%  
106 5% 86%  
107 5% 81%  
108 6% 75%  
109 5% 69%  
110 9% 64%  
111 8% 55% Median
112 7% 48%  
113 10% 41%  
114 7% 30%  
115 5% 23%  
116 5% 18%  
117 3% 13% Last Result
118 2% 10%  
119 2% 8%  
120 2% 5%  
121 1.2% 3%  
122 0.9% 2%  
123 0.6% 1.3%  
124 0.3% 0.7%  
125 0.2% 0.4%  
126 0.1% 0.2%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.8%  
98 0.3% 99.7%  
99 0.4% 99.4% Last Result
100 0.6% 99.0%  
101 1.0% 98%  
102 1.4% 98%  
103 2% 96%  
104 3% 94%  
105 4% 90%  
106 5% 86%  
107 5% 81%  
108 6% 75%  
109 5% 69%  
110 9% 64%  
111 8% 55% Median
112 7% 48%  
113 10% 41%  
114 7% 30%  
115 5% 23%  
116 5% 18%  
117 3% 13%  
118 2% 10%  
119 2% 8%  
120 2% 5%  
121 1.2% 3%  
122 0.9% 2%  
123 0.6% 1.3%  
124 0.3% 0.7%  
125 0.2% 0.4%  
126 0.1% 0.2%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.4% 99.6%  
73 0.7% 99.2%  
74 0.9% 98%  
75 2% 98%  
76 3% 96%  
77 3% 93%  
78 4% 90%  
79 7% 85%  
80 5% 79%  
81 8% 73%  
82 8% 65%  
83 7% 57%  
84 11% 50% Median
85 7% 39%  
86 7% 31%  
87 6% 24%  
88 6% 18%  
89 4% 13%  
90 3% 9%  
91 2% 6%  
92 1.4% 4%  
93 1.1% 3%  
94 0.6% 2%  
95 0.4% 0.9%  
96 0.2% 0.5%  
97 0.2% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.4% 99.6%  
73 0.7% 99.2%  
74 0.9% 98%  
75 2% 98%  
76 3% 96%  
77 3% 93%  
78 4% 90%  
79 7% 85%  
80 5% 79%  
81 8% 73%  
82 8% 65%  
83 7% 57%  
84 11% 50% Median
85 7% 39%  
86 7% 31%  
87 6% 24%  
88 6% 18%  
89 4% 13%  
90 3% 9% Last Result
91 2% 6%  
92 1.4% 4%  
93 1.1% 3%  
94 0.6% 2%  
95 0.4% 0.9%  
96 0.2% 0.5%  
97 0.2% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.3% 99.8%  
59 0.4% 99.5%  
60 0.7% 99.2%  
61 2% 98%  
62 2% 97%  
63 3% 95%  
64 4% 93%  
65 6% 88%  
66 6% 82%  
67 8% 76%  
68 9% 68%  
69 8% 59%  
70 9% 51% Median
71 8% 42%  
72 8% 33%  
73 7% 25%  
74 5% 18%  
75 4% 13%  
76 3% 9%  
77 2% 6%  
78 2% 4%  
79 0.9% 2%  
80 0.5% 1.2%  
81 0.3% 0.7%  
82 0.2% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.3% 99.8%  
59 0.4% 99.5%  
60 0.7% 99.2%  
61 2% 98%  
62 2% 97%  
63 3% 95%  
64 4% 93%  
65 6% 88%  
66 6% 82%  
67 8% 76%  
68 9% 68%  
69 8% 59% Last Result
70 9% 51% Median
71 8% 42%  
72 8% 33%  
73 7% 25%  
74 5% 18%  
75 4% 13%  
76 3% 9%  
77 2% 6%  
78 2% 4%  
79 0.9% 2%  
80 0.5% 1.2%  
81 0.3% 0.7%  
82 0.2% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.2% 99.9%  
33 0.5% 99.6%  
34 1.2% 99.2%  
35 2% 98%  
36 4% 96%  
37 6% 92%  
38 7% 87%  
39 9% 80%  
40 11% 71%  
41 11% 59% Median
42 11% 48%  
43 9% 37%  
44 8% 28%  
45 6% 20%  
46 5% 13%  
47 3% 9%  
48 2% 5% Last Result
49 1.3% 3%  
50 0.7% 2%  
51 0.4% 0.8%  
52 0.2% 0.4%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations