Opinion Poll by CURS for STIRIPESURSE.RO, 20 September–1 October 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 37.0% 35.1–38.9% 34.6–39.5% 34.2–40.0% 33.3–40.9%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 22.0% 20.5–23.7% 20.0–24.2% 19.6–24.6% 18.9–25.4%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 12.9% 11.7–14.3% 11.3–14.7% 11.1–15.1% 10.5–15.8%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 7.0–11.5%
PRO România 0.0% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 123 115–130 113–133 112–136 108–139
Partidul Național Liberal 69 74 67–80 66–81 64–83 61–87
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 43 38–47 37–49 36–50 34–53
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 30 26–34 25–35 24–36 22–38
PRO România 0 19 17–23 0–24 0–25 0–27
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 15 15–19 12–21 12–21 12–22
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0–19 0–20 0–20 0–22

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0.1% 100%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0.2% 99.7%  
108 0.2% 99.5%  
109 0.4% 99.3%  
110 0.4% 98.9%  
111 0.4% 98%  
112 1.4% 98%  
113 2% 97%  
114 4% 95%  
115 5% 91%  
116 6% 86%  
117 6% 81%  
118 5% 75%  
119 4% 70%  
120 4% 66%  
121 5% 62%  
122 4% 58%  
123 5% 54% Median
124 6% 49%  
125 5% 43%  
126 8% 37%  
127 5% 29%  
128 7% 24%  
129 4% 18%  
130 4% 14%  
131 2% 10%  
132 1.5% 7%  
133 1.3% 6%  
134 0.9% 5%  
135 1.3% 4%  
136 0.9% 3%  
137 0.6% 2%  
138 0.3% 1.1%  
139 0.3% 0.8%  
140 0.1% 0.5%  
141 0.1% 0.4%  
142 0.1% 0.3%  
143 0% 0.2%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.7%  
62 0.5% 99.5%  
63 1.0% 98.9%  
64 1.1% 98%  
65 2% 97%  
66 5% 95%  
67 3% 91%  
68 7% 87%  
69 5% 80% Last Result
70 5% 75%  
71 5% 70%  
72 9% 66%  
73 6% 56%  
74 14% 50% Median
75 9% 36%  
76 6% 27%  
77 5% 21%  
78 3% 16%  
79 3% 13%  
80 4% 11%  
81 3% 7%  
82 1.2% 4%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.3% 1.5%  
85 0.3% 1.2%  
86 0.2% 0.9%  
87 0.4% 0.6%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.9%  
34 0.6% 99.7%  
35 1.0% 99.1%  
36 2% 98%  
37 4% 96%  
38 5% 92%  
39 7% 87%  
40 8% 80%  
41 9% 72%  
42 10% 63%  
43 12% 53% Median
44 10% 40%  
45 7% 31%  
46 7% 23%  
47 7% 17%  
48 4% 10%  
49 2% 6%  
50 2% 4%  
51 0.8% 2%  
52 0.5% 1.2%  
53 0.4% 0.7%  
54 0.2% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.4% 99.8%  
23 1.1% 99.4%  
24 2% 98%  
25 4% 96%  
26 6% 92%  
27 8% 86%  
28 12% 78%  
29 13% 65%  
30 13% 52% Median
31 12% 39%  
32 10% 27%  
33 6% 17%  
34 5% 11%  
35 3% 6%  
36 2% 3%  
37 0.9% 2%  
38 0.4% 0.9%  
39 0.3% 0.4%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 0% 93%  
9 0% 93%  
10 0% 93%  
11 0% 93%  
12 0% 93%  
13 0% 93%  
14 0% 93%  
15 0% 93%  
16 2% 93%  
17 9% 91%  
18 15% 82%  
19 20% 67% Median
20 14% 47%  
21 11% 33%  
22 8% 22%  
23 7% 15%  
24 4% 7%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.7% 1.3%  
27 0.3% 0.5%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 7% 99.9%  
13 0.4% 92%  
14 0.4% 92%  
15 46% 92% Median
16 4% 46%  
17 0.1% 42%  
18 28% 42%  
19 7% 13%  
20 0.6% 6%  
21 3% 5% Last Result
22 2% 2%  
23 0.2% 0.5%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Median
1 0% 49%  
2 0% 49%  
3 0% 49%  
4 0% 49%  
5 0% 49%  
6 0% 49%  
7 0% 49%  
8 0% 49%  
9 0% 49%  
10 0% 49%  
11 0% 49%  
12 0% 49%  
13 0% 49%  
14 0% 49%  
15 0% 49%  
16 12% 49%  
17 15% 38%  
18 10% 23% Last Result
19 7% 13%  
20 4% 6%  
21 1.5% 2%  
22 0.6% 0.9%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 158 170 79% 162–179 160–182 158–186 154–191
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România 174 172 80% 161–181 159–183 156–184 151–188
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 162 34% 152–172 150–174 149–177 145–182
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 154 7% 145–163 143–166 141–169 138–174
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 153 5% 143–162 141–164 140–166 136–172
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 145 0.5% 137–154 134–157 133–160 130–164
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 138 140 0.1% 131–151 129–153 128–156 124–161
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 142 0% 133–150 130–152 126–154 121–158
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 132 0% 124–140 122–143 120–146 117–150
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 128 127 0% 118–138 116–140 114–142 111–147
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 124 0% 115–134 113–137 111–139 107–143
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 119 0% 111–127 109–129 108–131 104–136
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 116 0% 108–124 106–126 104–128 101–133
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 108 98 0% 88–108 86–110 84–113 81–117
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 90 0% 83–96 81–98 79–100 77–104
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 82 0% 72–92 69–94 68–96 65–99
Partidul Național Liberal 69 74 0% 67–80 66–81 64–83 61–87
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 51 0% 41–63 40–63 38–66 36–69

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.3% 99.6%  
155 0.3% 99.3%  
156 0.6% 99.0%  
157 0.6% 98%  
158 0.8% 98% Last Result
159 1.0% 97%  
160 2% 96%  
161 2% 94%  
162 3% 92% Median
163 6% 88%  
164 4% 83%  
165 6% 79% Majority
166 4% 73%  
167 7% 69%  
168 4% 62%  
169 6% 58%  
170 5% 52%  
171 3% 48%  
172 4% 44%  
173 4% 41%  
174 5% 36%  
175 5% 31%  
176 5% 26%  
177 5% 21%  
178 4% 16%  
179 3% 13%  
180 3% 9%  
181 2% 7%  
182 0.9% 5%  
183 0.6% 4%  
184 0.5% 4%  
185 0.5% 3%  
186 0.3% 3%  
187 0.4% 2%  
188 0.4% 2%  
189 0.5% 1.5%  
190 0.3% 1.0%  
191 0.3% 0.6%  
192 0.2% 0.4%  
193 0% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0% 100%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.2% 99.8%  
151 0.2% 99.6%  
152 0.2% 99.4%  
153 0.3% 99.3%  
154 0.5% 98.9%  
155 0.4% 98%  
156 0.6% 98%  
157 0.8% 97%  
158 1.1% 97%  
159 1.4% 95%  
160 1.2% 94%  
161 3% 93%  
162 2% 90%  
163 4% 88%  
164 4% 84%  
165 2% 80% Majority
166 6% 78%  
167 5% 72%  
168 3% 67%  
169 6% 63%  
170 3% 57%  
171 3% 53%  
172 7% 50% Median
173 4% 44%  
174 4% 40% Last Result
175 5% 36%  
176 6% 31%  
177 3% 26%  
178 5% 22%  
179 4% 17%  
180 3% 14%  
181 4% 11%  
182 1.2% 7%  
183 2% 6%  
184 2% 4%  
185 0.7% 2%  
186 0.6% 2%  
187 0.4% 1.0%  
188 0.2% 0.6%  
189 0.1% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.8%  
145 0.3% 99.7%  
146 0.3% 99.5%  
147 0.5% 99.1%  
148 0.8% 98.7%  
149 1.4% 98%  
150 1.5% 96%  
151 3% 95%  
152 3% 92%  
153 3% 89%  
154 3% 86%  
155 3% 83%  
156 4% 80%  
157 4% 76%  
158 4% 72%  
159 4% 68%  
160 5% 63%  
161 6% 58%  
162 5% 52% Median
163 7% 47%  
164 6% 40%  
165 6% 34% Majority
166 3% 28%  
167 5% 25%  
168 2% 19%  
169 3% 17%  
170 2% 14%  
171 2% 12%  
172 2% 10%  
173 1.3% 8%  
174 2% 7%  
175 1.1% 5%  
176 1.2% 4%  
177 0.8% 3%  
178 0.4% 2%  
179 0.4% 1.4%  
180 0.3% 1.0%  
181 0.1% 0.7%  
182 0.1% 0.5%  
183 0.1% 0.4%  
184 0.1% 0.4%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
134 0% 100%  
135 0.1% 99.9%  
136 0.1% 99.8%  
137 0.2% 99.7% Last Result
138 0.3% 99.5%  
139 0.4% 99.2%  
140 0.8% 98.8%  
141 0.8% 98%  
142 1.3% 97%  
143 1.2% 96%  
144 3% 95%  
145 4% 92%  
146 3% 88%  
147 4% 86% Median
148 5% 81%  
149 5% 76%  
150 5% 71%  
151 4% 66%  
152 6% 62%  
153 4% 56%  
154 5% 52%  
155 5% 47%  
156 4% 42%  
157 4% 39%  
158 4% 35%  
159 5% 31%  
160 5% 25%  
161 4% 21%  
162 4% 16%  
163 3% 13%  
164 2% 9%  
165 1.5% 7% Majority
166 1.1% 6%  
167 0.9% 4%  
168 0.6% 3%  
169 0.5% 3%  
170 0.5% 2%  
171 0.4% 2%  
172 0.3% 1.4%  
173 0.4% 1.1%  
174 0.2% 0.7%  
175 0.2% 0.5%  
176 0.1% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0.1% 99.8%  
136 0.2% 99.7%  
137 0.3% 99.5%  
138 0.6% 99.2%  
139 0.6% 98.6%  
140 2% 98%  
141 2% 96%  
142 2% 95%  
143 3% 93%  
144 3% 89%  
145 4% 86%  
146 4% 82%  
147 3% 78%  
148 6% 75%  
149 5% 69%  
150 5% 65%  
151 5% 60%  
152 5% 55%  
153 5% 50% Median
154 6% 45%  
155 4% 40%  
156 6% 36%  
157 5% 30%  
158 4% 24%  
159 4% 20%  
160 3% 16%  
161 3% 13%  
162 4% 11%  
163 1.4% 7%  
164 1.2% 6%  
165 1.1% 5% Majority
166 1.0% 3%  
167 0.5% 2%  
168 0.5% 2%  
169 0.4% 1.4%  
170 0.3% 1.0%  
171 0.2% 0.7%  
172 0.1% 0.5%  
173 0.1% 0.4%  
174 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
175 0% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.7%  
130 0.4% 99.6%  
131 0.5% 99.2%  
132 0.7% 98.6%  
133 1.2% 98%  
134 2% 97%  
135 2% 95%  
136 3% 93%  
137 4% 90%  
138 2% 86%  
139 4% 84%  
140 3% 79%  
141 5% 76%  
142 5% 71%  
143 5% 67%  
144 6% 62%  
145 6% 56%  
146 6% 50%  
147 5% 43% Median
148 6% 38%  
149 5% 32%  
150 5% 27%  
151 3% 22%  
152 4% 19%  
153 2% 15%  
154 3% 12%  
155 2% 10%  
156 2% 8%  
157 2% 6%  
158 0.8% 4%  
159 0.9% 4%  
160 0.9% 3%  
161 0.6% 2%  
162 0.2% 1.2%  
163 0.2% 0.9%  
164 0.2% 0.7%  
165 0.1% 0.5% Majority
166 0.1% 0.4%  
167 0.1% 0.3%  
168 0% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.8%  
124 0.2% 99.6%  
125 0.4% 99.4%  
126 0.6% 99.0%  
127 0.7% 98%  
128 2% 98%  
129 2% 96%  
130 1.2% 94%  
131 4% 93%  
132 3% 89% Median
133 4% 86%  
134 5% 83%  
135 3% 78%  
136 6% 74%  
137 5% 69%  
138 4% 64% Last Result
139 4% 60%  
140 7% 56%  
141 3% 50%  
142 3% 47%  
143 6% 43%  
144 3% 37%  
145 5% 33%  
146 6% 28%  
147 2% 22%  
148 4% 20%  
149 4% 16%  
150 2% 12%  
151 3% 10%  
152 1.2% 7%  
153 1.4% 6%  
154 1.1% 5%  
155 0.8% 3%  
156 0.6% 3%  
157 0.4% 2%  
158 0.5% 2%  
159 0.3% 1.1%  
160 0.2% 0.7%  
161 0.2% 0.6%  
162 0.2% 0.4%  
163 0.1% 0.2%  
164 0.1% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1% Majority
166 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0.2% 99.8%  
121 0.3% 99.6%  
122 0.3% 99.4%  
123 0.5% 99.0%  
124 0.4% 98.5%  
125 0.4% 98%  
126 0.3% 98%  
127 0.5% 97%  
128 0.5% 97%  
129 0.6% 96%  
130 0.9% 96%  
131 2% 95%  
132 3% 93%  
133 3% 91%  
134 4% 87%  
135 5% 84%  
136 5% 79%  
137 5% 74%  
138 5% 69%  
139 4% 64%  
140 4% 59%  
141 3% 56%  
142 5% 52% Median
143 6% 48%  
144 4% 42%  
145 7% 38%  
146 4% 31%  
147 6% 27%  
148 4% 21%  
149 6% 17%  
150 3% 12%  
151 2% 8%  
152 2% 6%  
153 1.0% 4%  
154 0.8% 3% Last Result
155 0.6% 2%  
156 0.6% 2%  
157 0.3% 1.0%  
158 0.3% 0.7%  
159 0.1% 0.4%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0.1% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0% 100%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.2% 99.8%  
117 0.3% 99.6%  
118 0.6% 99.3%  
119 0.7% 98.8%  
120 1.1% 98% Last Result
121 2% 97%  
122 3% 95%  
123 2% 93%  
124 3% 91%  
125 3% 87%  
126 5% 84%  
127 5% 79%  
128 5% 75%  
129 6% 69%  
130 4% 64%  
131 7% 60%  
132 6% 53% Median
133 6% 47%  
134 7% 42%  
135 5% 35%  
136 6% 30%  
137 5% 24%  
138 3% 19%  
139 3% 17%  
140 4% 13%  
141 2% 9%  
142 1.4% 8%  
143 2% 6%  
144 1.0% 5%  
145 0.9% 4%  
146 1.1% 3%  
147 0.3% 2%  
148 0.4% 1.4%  
149 0.2% 1.0%  
150 0.4% 0.8%  
151 0.1% 0.4%  
152 0.1% 0.3%  
153 0.1% 0.2%  
154 0% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.7%  
111 0.3% 99.6%  
112 0.6% 99.3%  
113 0.9% 98.7%  
114 0.7% 98%  
115 0.7% 97%  
116 2% 96%  
117 3% 94%  
118 3% 91%  
119 2% 88% Median
120 4% 87%  
121 8% 83%  
122 6% 75%  
123 3% 69%  
124 2% 66%  
125 3% 64%  
126 5% 60%  
127 6% 55%  
128 2% 49% Last Result
129 3% 47%  
130 6% 44%  
131 6% 38%  
132 3% 32%  
133 3% 29%  
134 3% 26%  
135 6% 23%  
136 4% 17%  
137 1.3% 13%  
138 3% 12%  
139 4% 9%  
140 1.4% 5%  
141 0.8% 4%  
142 0.5% 3%  
143 0.6% 2%  
144 0.4% 2%  
145 0.4% 1.4%  
146 0.4% 1.0%  
147 0.3% 0.7%  
148 0.1% 0.4%  
149 0.1% 0.3%  
150 0.1% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0.2% 99.7%  
108 0.3% 99.5%  
109 0.4% 99.2%  
110 1.0% 98.8%  
111 1.1% 98%  
112 1.1% 97%  
113 2% 96%  
114 2% 93%  
115 3% 91%  
116 4% 88%  
117 4% 84% Last Result, Median
118 4% 80%  
119 5% 76%  
120 3% 71%  
121 6% 68%  
122 5% 62%  
123 3% 57%  
124 4% 54%  
125 5% 50%  
126 3% 45%  
127 3% 41%  
128 6% 38%  
129 3% 31%  
130 5% 28%  
131 5% 23%  
132 1.4% 18%  
133 4% 17%  
134 3% 13%  
135 2% 10%  
136 2% 8%  
137 0.8% 5%  
138 1.0% 4%  
139 1.3% 3%  
140 0.4% 2%  
141 0.5% 2%  
142 0.5% 1.3%  
143 0.4% 0.8%  
144 0.1% 0.5%  
145 0.2% 0.3%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.2% 99.8%  
104 0.2% 99.7%  
105 0.5% 99.5%  
106 0.7% 99.0%  
107 0.7% 98%  
108 1.2% 98%  
109 2% 96%  
110 2% 94% Last Result
111 4% 92%  
112 3% 88%  
113 4% 85%  
114 5% 81%  
115 5% 76%  
116 5% 71%  
117 7% 67%  
118 6% 60%  
119 4% 54% Median
120 6% 49%  
121 10% 43%  
122 8% 33%  
123 5% 26%  
124 3% 21%  
125 3% 18%  
126 4% 15%  
127 3% 11%  
128 1.4% 8%  
129 2% 7%  
130 1.3% 5%  
131 0.9% 3%  
132 0.7% 2%  
133 0.6% 2%  
134 0.4% 1.2%  
135 0.3% 0.9%  
136 0.2% 0.6%  
137 0.1% 0.4%  
138 0.2% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0.1% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.2% 99.7%  
102 0.5% 99.5%  
103 0.6% 99.0%  
104 1.1% 98%  
105 1.4% 97%  
106 2% 96%  
107 3% 94%  
108 3% 91%  
109 4% 88%  
110 4% 84%  
111 6% 80%  
112 5% 74%  
113 6% 69%  
114 6% 63%  
115 5% 58%  
116 7% 52%  
117 7% 45% Median
118 6% 38%  
119 6% 33%  
120 4% 26%  
121 6% 23%  
122 4% 17%  
123 2% 13%  
124 2% 11%  
125 2% 8%  
126 2% 6%  
127 1.2% 4%  
128 0.9% 3%  
129 0.4% 2%  
130 0.6% 2%  
131 0.3% 1.2%  
132 0.2% 0.8%  
133 0.2% 0.6%  
134 0.2% 0.4%  
135 0% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.8%  
81 0.2% 99.7%  
82 0.8% 99.5%  
83 0.4% 98.6%  
84 2% 98%  
85 0.8% 96%  
86 2% 96%  
87 2% 94%  
88 3% 92%  
89 2% 88% Median
90 9% 86%  
91 2% 78%  
92 7% 75%  
93 4% 69%  
94 4% 65%  
95 2% 62%  
96 3% 59%  
97 2% 56%  
98 5% 54%  
99 3% 49%  
100 5% 46%  
101 5% 41%  
102 4% 36%  
103 3% 32%  
104 3% 29%  
105 4% 26%  
106 4% 22%  
107 4% 18%  
108 4% 14% Last Result
109 3% 9%  
110 2% 7%  
111 1.3% 5%  
112 0.7% 3%  
113 0.6% 3%  
114 0.6% 2%  
115 0.6% 1.5%  
116 0.2% 0.8%  
117 0.3% 0.6%  
118 0.1% 0.3%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0.1% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.7%  
77 0.3% 99.5%  
78 0.9% 99.2%  
79 0.9% 98%  
80 1.3% 97%  
81 3% 96%  
82 3% 93%  
83 5% 90%  
84 6% 85%  
85 4% 80%  
86 6% 76%  
87 5% 70%  
88 6% 65%  
89 8% 59% Median
90 11% 51% Last Result
91 6% 40%  
92 10% 34%  
93 4% 24%  
94 4% 20%  
95 2% 16%  
96 3% 13%  
97 2% 10%  
98 4% 8%  
99 1.2% 4%  
100 1.2% 3%  
101 0.6% 2%  
102 0.4% 1.4%  
103 0.4% 1.0%  
104 0.2% 0.6%  
105 0.2% 0.5%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.6%  
66 0.9% 99.5%  
67 0.9% 98.5%  
68 1.0% 98%  
69 2% 97%  
70 1.4% 95%  
71 1.4% 94%  
72 6% 92%  
73 3% 86%  
74 7% 83% Median
75 7% 76%  
76 2% 68%  
77 4% 66%  
78 2% 62%  
79 3% 60%  
80 3% 57%  
81 3% 54%  
82 2% 51%  
83 4% 49%  
84 3% 45%  
85 5% 42%  
86 5% 37%  
87 4% 32% Last Result
88 2% 28%  
89 3% 26%  
90 4% 23%  
91 5% 19%  
92 5% 14%  
93 4% 9%  
94 2% 5%  
95 0.7% 4%  
96 0.5% 3%  
97 0.6% 2%  
98 0.8% 2%  
99 0.6% 1.1%  
100 0.2% 0.5%  
101 0.1% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.7%  
62 0.5% 99.5%  
63 1.0% 98.9%  
64 1.1% 98%  
65 2% 97%  
66 5% 95%  
67 3% 91%  
68 7% 87%  
69 5% 80% Last Result
70 5% 75%  
71 5% 70%  
72 9% 66%  
73 6% 56%  
74 14% 50% Median
75 9% 36%  
76 6% 27%  
77 5% 21%  
78 3% 16%  
79 3% 13%  
80 4% 11%  
81 3% 7%  
82 1.2% 4%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.3% 1.5%  
85 0.3% 1.2%  
86 0.2% 0.9%  
87 0.4% 0.6%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 0.3% 99.7%  
37 0.9% 99.4%  
38 1.4% 98.6%  
39 2% 97%  
40 2% 95%  
41 4% 93%  
42 5% 89%  
43 7% 84% Median
44 6% 77%  
45 5% 70%  
46 4% 66%  
47 5% 62%  
48 3% 57% Last Result
49 1.5% 54%  
50 2% 53%  
51 1.0% 51%  
52 0.6% 50%  
53 3% 49%  
54 3% 46%  
55 0.7% 43%  
56 5% 42%  
57 7% 37%  
58 1.0% 30%  
59 5% 29%  
60 9% 24%  
61 0.6% 15%  
62 4% 14%  
63 6% 10%  
64 0.6% 5%  
65 1.4% 4%  
66 2% 3%  
67 0.3% 1.0%  
68 0.2% 0.7%  
69 0.4% 0.5%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations