Opinion Poll by Sociopol, 3–4 October 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 38.0% 36.0–40.2% 35.4–40.8% 34.9–41.3% 33.9–42.3%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 23.0% 21.3–24.9% 20.8–25.5% 20.3–25.9% 19.5–26.9%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 11.0% 9.7–12.5% 9.4–12.9% 9.1–13.3% 8.5–14.0%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 10.0% 8.8–11.4% 8.4–11.8% 8.1–12.1% 7.6–12.8%
PRO România 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.1% 4.0–6.4% 3.8–6.7% 3.4–7.3%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 4.0% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.3% 2.9–5.5% 2.6–6.1%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0% 0.4–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 132 123–144 121–147 120–149 117–152
Partidul Național Liberal 69 81 74–88 72–91 70–93 67–96
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 38 33–44 32–45 31–47 29–49
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 35 30–40 29–41 28–43 26–45
PRO România 0 17 0–21 0–22 0–23 0–25
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 14 11–17 10–18 10–19 9–21
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0 0 0 0

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.2% 99.8%  
117 0.3% 99.6%  
118 0.5% 99.3%  
119 0.9% 98.8%  
120 1.4% 98%  
121 2% 97%  
122 3% 95%  
123 3% 92%  
124 4% 89%  
125 4% 85%  
126 5% 81%  
127 5% 76%  
128 5% 71%  
129 4% 65%  
130 5% 62%  
131 4% 57%  
132 4% 53% Median
133 4% 49%  
134 3% 45%  
135 3% 42%  
136 4% 39%  
137 4% 35%  
138 3% 31%  
139 3% 28%  
140 5% 25%  
141 3% 21%  
142 3% 18%  
143 2% 14%  
144 2% 12%  
145 3% 10%  
146 2% 7%  
147 1.5% 5%  
148 1.2% 4%  
149 1.0% 3%  
150 0.5% 2%  
151 0.5% 1.0%  
152 0.2% 0.5%  
153 0.1% 0.3%  
154 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.3% 99.6%  
68 0.6% 99.3%  
69 0.7% 98.7% Last Result
70 1.5% 98%  
71 1.4% 97%  
72 2% 95%  
73 3% 93%  
74 3% 90%  
75 4% 87%  
76 5% 83%  
77 6% 78%  
78 6% 72%  
79 6% 66%  
80 8% 60%  
81 7% 52% Median
82 8% 45%  
83 6% 38%  
84 6% 31%  
85 5% 26%  
86 4% 20%  
87 4% 17%  
88 3% 13%  
89 2% 10%  
90 2% 7%  
91 1.5% 6%  
92 1.2% 4%  
93 1.0% 3%  
94 0.7% 2%  
95 0.5% 1.2%  
96 0.3% 0.7%  
97 0.2% 0.5%  
98 0.1% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 0.3% 99.6%  
30 0.8% 99.3% Last Result
31 1.5% 98.5%  
32 3% 97%  
33 4% 94%  
34 6% 90%  
35 8% 84%  
36 10% 76%  
37 9% 66%  
38 9% 57% Median
39 10% 48%  
40 10% 38%  
41 7% 28%  
42 5% 21%  
43 5% 16%  
44 4% 11%  
45 3% 7%  
46 2% 4%  
47 1.3% 3%  
48 0.8% 2%  
49 0.3% 0.8%  
50 0.2% 0.5%  
51 0.1% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.2% 99.9%  
26 0.4% 99.7%  
27 1.0% 99.3%  
28 2% 98%  
29 3% 96%  
30 5% 93%  
31 6% 89%  
32 9% 82%  
33 9% 73%  
34 11% 64%  
35 10% 53% Median
36 11% 42%  
37 8% 32%  
38 6% 23%  
39 6% 17%  
40 4% 11%  
41 3% 7%  
42 2% 4%  
43 1.3% 3%  
44 0.5% 1.3%  
45 0.4% 0.8%  
46 0.1% 0.4%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100% Last Result
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0% 56%  
4 0% 56%  
5 0% 56%  
6 0% 56%  
7 0% 56%  
8 0% 56%  
9 0% 56%  
10 0% 56%  
11 0% 56%  
12 0% 56%  
13 0% 56%  
14 0% 56%  
15 0% 56%  
16 0% 56%  
17 11% 56% Median
18 13% 45%  
19 12% 32%  
20 7% 20%  
21 6% 12%  
22 3% 7%  
23 2% 3%  
24 0.9% 1.5%  
25 0.3% 0.6%  
26 0.2% 0.3%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.4% 99.9%  
9 2% 99.5%  
10 5% 98%  
11 8% 93%  
12 15% 85%  
13 15% 70%  
14 14% 55% Median
15 14% 41%  
16 10% 27%  
17 8% 16%  
18 4% 9%  
19 2% 5%  
20 1.3% 2%  
21 0.5% 0.8% Last Result
22 0.2% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România 174 178 97% 169–188 166–190 164–192 160–196
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 168 70% 158–179 155–182 154–184 149–188
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 168 70% 158–179 155–182 154–184 149–188
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 167 60% 157–180 155–183 154–184 150–188
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 154 9% 145–164 142–167 141–170 136–173
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 154 9% 145–164 142–167 141–170 136–173
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 144 0.2% 133–154 130–157 128–158 124–163
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 134 0% 124–143 122–146 120–148 116–152
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 134 0% 124–143 122–146 120–148 116–152
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 130 0% 120–141 118–143 116–145 112–148
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 130 0% 120–141 118–143 116–145 112–148
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 119 0% 111–128 109–131 107–133 103–137
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 119 0% 111–128 109–131 107–133 103–137
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 95 0% 87–104 84–106 83–108 80–111
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 95 0% 87–104 84–106 83–108 80–111
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 81 0% 74–88 72–91 70–93 67–96
Partidul Național Liberal 69 81 0% 74–88 72–91 70–93 67–96
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 38 0% 33–44 32–45 31–47 29–49

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.8%  
160 0.2% 99.6%  
161 0.3% 99.5%  
162 0.6% 99.2%  
163 0.7% 98.6%  
164 1.1% 98%  
165 1.1% 97% Majority
166 0.9% 96%  
167 1.5% 95%  
168 2% 93%  
169 2% 92%  
170 3% 90%  
171 3% 87%  
172 3% 84%  
173 3% 81%  
174 3% 78% Last Result
175 4% 75%  
176 7% 72%  
177 8% 65%  
178 8% 57%  
179 4% 49%  
180 5% 45%  
181 4% 41%  
182 6% 37%  
183 8% 31%  
184 4% 23% Median
185 3% 19%  
186 2% 15%  
187 3% 13%  
188 2% 10%  
189 3% 9%  
190 2% 6%  
191 1.2% 4%  
192 0.7% 3%  
193 0.4% 2%  
194 0.4% 2%  
195 0.5% 1.3%  
196 0.3% 0.7%  
197 0.2% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.2% 99.7%  
150 0.3% 99.5%  
151 0.4% 99.2%  
152 0.6% 98.8%  
153 0.6% 98%  
154 1.1% 98%  
155 2% 96%  
156 1.4% 95%  
157 1.4% 93%  
158 2% 92% Last Result
159 2% 90%  
160 3% 87%  
161 2% 84%  
162 4% 82%  
163 4% 78%  
164 4% 74%  
165 5% 70% Majority
166 6% 65%  
167 7% 59%  
168 5% 52% Median
169 5% 46%  
170 5% 41%  
171 5% 36%  
172 5% 31%  
173 3% 26%  
174 3% 22%  
175 3% 20%  
176 2% 17%  
177 2% 15%  
178 2% 13%  
179 2% 11%  
180 2% 9%  
181 1.5% 7%  
182 2% 6%  
183 1.1% 4%  
184 1.0% 3%  
185 0.7% 2%  
186 0.6% 2%  
187 0.4% 1.0%  
188 0.2% 0.6%  
189 0.1% 0.3%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0.1% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.2% 99.7%  
150 0.3% 99.5%  
151 0.4% 99.2%  
152 0.6% 98.8%  
153 0.6% 98%  
154 1.1% 98%  
155 2% 96%  
156 1.4% 95%  
157 1.4% 93%  
158 2% 92%  
159 2% 90%  
160 3% 87%  
161 2% 84%  
162 4% 82%  
163 4% 78%  
164 4% 74%  
165 5% 70% Majority
166 6% 65%  
167 7% 59%  
168 5% 52% Median
169 5% 46%  
170 5% 41%  
171 5% 36%  
172 5% 31%  
173 3% 26%  
174 3% 22%  
175 3% 20%  
176 2% 17%  
177 2% 15%  
178 2% 13%  
179 2% 11%  
180 2% 9%  
181 1.5% 7%  
182 2% 6%  
183 1.1% 4%  
184 1.0% 3%  
185 0.7% 2%  
186 0.6% 2%  
187 0.4% 1.0%  
188 0.2% 0.6%  
189 0.1% 0.3%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0.1% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0% 100%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0.2% 99.8%  
150 0.2% 99.7%  
151 0.4% 99.5%  
152 0.7% 99.1%  
153 0.7% 98%  
154 1.4% 98%  
155 2% 96%  
156 2% 95%  
157 3% 92%  
158 3% 90%  
159 5% 86%  
160 3% 81%  
161 5% 78%  
162 4% 73%  
163 4% 70%  
164 6% 66%  
165 3% 60% Majority
166 4% 57%  
167 3% 53% Median
168 3% 50%  
169 4% 46%  
170 5% 43%  
171 3% 38%  
172 4% 35%  
173 3% 31%  
174 2% 28% Last Result
175 3% 26%  
176 4% 23%  
177 4% 19%  
178 3% 15%  
179 2% 12%  
180 2% 11%  
181 2% 9%  
182 2% 7%  
183 2% 5%  
184 1.1% 3%  
185 0.4% 2%  
186 0.5% 2%  
187 0.2% 1.1%  
188 0.3% 0.8%  
189 0.2% 0.5%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.8%  
135 0.1% 99.7%  
136 0.3% 99.6%  
137 0.4% 99.4% Last Result
138 0.3% 99.0%  
139 0.3% 98.6%  
140 0.7% 98%  
141 2% 98%  
142 2% 96%  
143 1.5% 94%  
144 1.4% 93%  
145 2% 91%  
146 3% 89%  
147 5% 86%  
148 4% 81%  
149 4% 77%  
150 3% 73%  
151 4% 70%  
152 8% 66%  
153 7% 58%  
154 6% 51% Median
155 4% 46%  
156 3% 42%  
157 6% 38%  
158 6% 32%  
159 4% 26%  
160 4% 22%  
161 2% 18%  
162 3% 17%  
163 2% 14%  
164 3% 11%  
165 2% 9% Majority
166 1.2% 7%  
167 0.9% 5%  
168 0.9% 4%  
169 1.0% 4%  
170 1.0% 3%  
171 0.6% 2%  
172 0.3% 0.9%  
173 0.2% 0.6%  
174 0.1% 0.4%  
175 0.1% 0.3%  
176 0% 0.2%  
177 0.1% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.8%  
135 0.1% 99.7%  
136 0.3% 99.6%  
137 0.4% 99.4%  
138 0.3% 99.0%  
139 0.3% 98.6%  
140 0.7% 98%  
141 2% 98%  
142 2% 96%  
143 1.5% 94%  
144 1.4% 93%  
145 2% 91%  
146 3% 89%  
147 5% 86%  
148 4% 81%  
149 4% 77%  
150 3% 73%  
151 4% 70%  
152 8% 66%  
153 7% 58%  
154 6% 51% Median
155 4% 46%  
156 3% 42%  
157 6% 38%  
158 6% 32%  
159 4% 26%  
160 4% 22%  
161 2% 18%  
162 3% 17%  
163 2% 14%  
164 3% 11%  
165 2% 9% Majority
166 1.2% 7%  
167 0.9% 5%  
168 0.9% 4%  
169 1.0% 4%  
170 1.0% 3%  
171 0.6% 2%  
172 0.3% 0.9%  
173 0.2% 0.6%  
174 0.1% 0.4%  
175 0.1% 0.3%  
176 0% 0.2%  
177 0.1% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
121 0.1% 100%  
122 0.1% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.8%  
124 0.2% 99.7%  
125 0.4% 99.4%  
126 0.6% 99.0%  
127 0.7% 98%  
128 1.0% 98%  
129 1.1% 97%  
130 2% 96%  
131 1.5% 94%  
132 2% 93%  
133 2% 91%  
134 2% 89%  
135 2% 87%  
136 2% 85%  
137 3% 83%  
138 3% 80%  
139 3% 78%  
140 5% 74%  
141 5% 69%  
142 5% 64%  
143 5% 59%  
144 5% 54%  
145 7% 48%  
146 6% 41%  
147 5% 35%  
148 4% 30%  
149 4% 26% Median
150 4% 22%  
151 2% 18%  
152 3% 16%  
153 2% 13%  
154 2% 10% Last Result
155 1.4% 8%  
156 1.4% 7%  
157 2% 5%  
158 1.1% 4%  
159 0.6% 2%  
160 0.6% 2%  
161 0.4% 1.2%  
162 0.3% 0.8%  
163 0.2% 0.5%  
164 0.1% 0.3%  
165 0.1% 0.2% Majority
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0.2% 99.8%  
116 0.3% 99.6%  
117 0.5% 99.3%  
118 0.4% 98.7%  
119 0.4% 98%  
120 0.7% 98%  
121 1.2% 97%  
122 2% 96%  
123 3% 94%  
124 2% 91%  
125 3% 90%  
126 2% 87%  
127 3% 85%  
128 4% 81%  
129 8% 77%  
130 6% 69%  
131 4% 63%  
132 5% 59%  
133 4% 55% Median
134 8% 51%  
135 8% 43%  
136 7% 35%  
137 4% 28%  
138 3% 25% Last Result
139 3% 22%  
140 3% 19%  
141 3% 16%  
142 3% 13%  
143 2% 10%  
144 2% 8%  
145 1.5% 7%  
146 0.9% 5%  
147 1.1% 4%  
148 1.1% 3%  
149 0.7% 2%  
150 0.6% 1.4%  
151 0.3% 0.8%  
152 0.2% 0.5%  
153 0.1% 0.4%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0.2% 99.8%  
116 0.3% 99.6%  
117 0.5% 99.3%  
118 0.4% 98.7%  
119 0.4% 98%  
120 0.7% 98% Last Result
121 1.2% 97%  
122 2% 96%  
123 3% 94%  
124 2% 91%  
125 3% 90%  
126 2% 87%  
127 3% 85%  
128 4% 81%  
129 8% 77%  
130 6% 69%  
131 4% 63%  
132 5% 59%  
133 4% 55% Median
134 8% 51%  
135 8% 43%  
136 7% 35%  
137 4% 28%  
138 3% 25%  
139 3% 22%  
140 3% 19%  
141 3% 16%  
142 3% 13%  
143 2% 10%  
144 2% 8%  
145 1.5% 7%  
146 0.9% 5%  
147 1.1% 4%  
148 1.1% 3%  
149 0.7% 2%  
150 0.6% 1.4%  
151 0.3% 0.8%  
152 0.2% 0.5%  
153 0.1% 0.4%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.2% 99.7%  
113 0.3% 99.5%  
114 0.5% 99.2%  
115 0.9% 98.7%  
116 1.2% 98%  
117 1.4% 97%  
118 2% 95%  
119 2% 93%  
120 2% 92%  
121 2% 90%  
122 3% 87%  
123 2% 84%  
124 3% 82%  
125 3% 79%  
126 5% 77%  
127 6% 72%  
128 6% 66% Last Result
129 8% 60%  
130 9% 52% Median
131 7% 43%  
132 7% 36%  
133 4% 29%  
134 4% 25%  
135 2% 21%  
136 2% 19%  
137 2% 17%  
138 1.4% 15%  
139 2% 14%  
140 2% 12%  
141 3% 10%  
142 2% 7%  
143 2% 6%  
144 1.1% 4%  
145 1.1% 3%  
146 0.6% 2%  
147 0.5% 1.2%  
148 0.3% 0.7%  
149 0.2% 0.4%  
150 0.1% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.2% 99.7%  
113 0.3% 99.5%  
114 0.5% 99.2%  
115 0.9% 98.7%  
116 1.2% 98%  
117 1.4% 97%  
118 2% 95%  
119 2% 93%  
120 2% 92%  
121 2% 90%  
122 3% 87%  
123 2% 84%  
124 3% 82%  
125 3% 79%  
126 5% 77%  
127 6% 72%  
128 6% 66%  
129 8% 60%  
130 9% 52% Median
131 7% 43%  
132 7% 36%  
133 4% 29%  
134 4% 25%  
135 2% 21%  
136 2% 19%  
137 2% 17%  
138 1.4% 15%  
139 2% 14%  
140 2% 12%  
141 3% 10%  
142 2% 7%  
143 2% 6%  
144 1.1% 4%  
145 1.1% 3%  
146 0.6% 2%  
147 0.5% 1.2%  
148 0.3% 0.7%  
149 0.2% 0.4%  
150 0.1% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.8%  
101 0.1% 99.8%  
102 0.1% 99.7%  
103 0.2% 99.5%  
104 0.3% 99.3%  
105 0.6% 99.1%  
106 0.9% 98.5%  
107 0.9% 98%  
108 0.9% 97%  
109 2% 96%  
110 2% 94%  
111 3% 91%  
112 4% 89%  
113 5% 85%  
114 4% 80%  
115 4% 76%  
116 5% 72%  
117 8% 67% Last Result
118 7% 60%  
119 5% 53% Median
120 6% 48%  
121 6% 42%  
122 5% 36%  
123 6% 32%  
124 5% 26%  
125 5% 20%  
126 2% 16%  
127 2% 13%  
128 2% 11%  
129 2% 9%  
130 2% 7%  
131 1.4% 5%  
132 0.8% 4%  
133 0.9% 3%  
134 0.6% 2%  
135 0.3% 1.3%  
136 0.5% 1.0%  
137 0.2% 0.5%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.2%  
140 0.1% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9% Last Result
100 0% 99.8%  
101 0.1% 99.8%  
102 0.1% 99.7%  
103 0.2% 99.5%  
104 0.3% 99.3%  
105 0.6% 99.1%  
106 0.9% 98.5%  
107 0.9% 98%  
108 0.9% 97%  
109 2% 96%  
110 2% 94%  
111 3% 91%  
112 4% 89%  
113 5% 85%  
114 4% 80%  
115 4% 76%  
116 5% 72%  
117 8% 67%  
118 7% 60%  
119 5% 53% Median
120 6% 48%  
121 6% 42%  
122 5% 36%  
123 6% 32%  
124 5% 26%  
125 5% 20%  
126 2% 16%  
127 2% 13%  
128 2% 11%  
129 2% 9%  
130 2% 7%  
131 1.4% 5%  
132 0.8% 4%  
133 0.9% 3%  
134 0.6% 2%  
135 0.3% 1.3%  
136 0.5% 1.0%  
137 0.2% 0.5%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.2%  
140 0.1% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 0.4% 99.6%  
81 0.7% 99.2%  
82 0.7% 98%  
83 1.3% 98%  
84 2% 96%  
85 2% 95%  
86 2% 93%  
87 2% 90%  
88 4% 88%  
89 3% 84%  
90 3% 81%  
91 6% 78%  
92 6% 72%  
93 7% 66%  
94 7% 60%  
95 9% 53% Median
96 7% 44%  
97 7% 37%  
98 5% 31%  
99 4% 26%  
100 4% 22%  
101 3% 18%  
102 3% 16%  
103 2% 13%  
104 3% 11%  
105 2% 8%  
106 1.3% 6%  
107 2% 5%  
108 1.2% 3% Last Result
109 0.8% 2%  
110 0.4% 1.2%  
111 0.3% 0.7%  
112 0.3% 0.5%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 0.4% 99.6%  
81 0.7% 99.2%  
82 0.7% 98%  
83 1.3% 98%  
84 2% 96%  
85 2% 95%  
86 2% 93%  
87 2% 90%  
88 4% 88%  
89 3% 84%  
90 3% 81% Last Result
91 6% 78%  
92 6% 72%  
93 7% 66%  
94 7% 60%  
95 9% 53% Median
96 7% 44%  
97 7% 37%  
98 5% 31%  
99 4% 26%  
100 4% 22%  
101 3% 18%  
102 3% 16%  
103 2% 13%  
104 3% 11%  
105 2% 8%  
106 1.3% 6%  
107 2% 5%  
108 1.2% 3%  
109 0.8% 2%  
110 0.4% 1.2%  
111 0.3% 0.7%  
112 0.3% 0.5%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.3% 99.6%  
68 0.6% 99.3%  
69 0.7% 98.7%  
70 1.5% 98%  
71 1.4% 97%  
72 2% 95%  
73 3% 93%  
74 3% 90%  
75 4% 87%  
76 5% 83%  
77 6% 78%  
78 6% 72%  
79 6% 66%  
80 8% 60%  
81 7% 52% Median
82 8% 45%  
83 6% 38%  
84 6% 31%  
85 5% 26%  
86 4% 20%  
87 4% 17% Last Result
88 3% 13%  
89 2% 10%  
90 2% 7%  
91 1.5% 6%  
92 1.2% 4%  
93 1.0% 3%  
94 0.7% 2%  
95 0.5% 1.2%  
96 0.3% 0.7%  
97 0.2% 0.5%  
98 0.1% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.3% 99.6%  
68 0.6% 99.3%  
69 0.7% 98.7% Last Result
70 1.5% 98%  
71 1.4% 97%  
72 2% 95%  
73 3% 93%  
74 3% 90%  
75 4% 87%  
76 5% 83%  
77 6% 78%  
78 6% 72%  
79 6% 66%  
80 8% 60%  
81 7% 52% Median
82 8% 45%  
83 6% 38%  
84 6% 31%  
85 5% 26%  
86 4% 20%  
87 4% 17%  
88 3% 13%  
89 2% 10%  
90 2% 7%  
91 1.5% 6%  
92 1.2% 4%  
93 1.0% 3%  
94 0.7% 2%  
95 0.5% 1.2%  
96 0.3% 0.7%  
97 0.2% 0.5%  
98 0.1% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 0.3% 99.6%  
30 0.8% 99.3%  
31 1.5% 98.5%  
32 3% 97%  
33 4% 94%  
34 6% 90%  
35 8% 84%  
36 10% 76%  
37 9% 66%  
38 9% 57% Median
39 10% 48%  
40 10% 38%  
41 7% 28%  
42 5% 21%  
43 5% 16%  
44 4% 11%  
45 3% 7%  
46 2% 4%  
47 1.3% 3%  
48 0.8% 2% Last Result
49 0.3% 0.8%  
50 0.2% 0.5%  
51 0.1% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations