Opinion Poll by IMAS for Europa FM, 1–31 October 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 27.6% 25.8–29.5% 25.3–30.0% 24.9–30.5% 24.1–31.4%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 22.7% 21.1–24.5% 20.6–25.0% 20.2–25.4% 19.4–26.3%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 21.9% 20.3–23.7% 19.8–24.1% 19.4–24.6% 18.7–25.4%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 10.6% 9.4–11.9% 9.1–12.3% 8.8–12.7% 8.3–13.3%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 98 91–105 89–106 88–108 85–111
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 80 74–87 73–89 71–90 68–93
Partidul Național Liberal 69 78 72–84 70–86 68–87 66–90
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 37 33–42 32–43 31–45 29–47
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 16 14–20 13–21 12–22 11–23
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–20

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.8%  
84 0.2% 99.7%  
85 0.4% 99.5%  
86 0.6% 99.2%  
87 1.0% 98.6%  
88 1.3% 98%  
89 2% 96%  
90 2% 95%  
91 3% 92%  
92 4% 89%  
93 5% 86%  
94 6% 81%  
95 6% 75%  
96 8% 69%  
97 8% 61%  
98 8% 53% Median
99 7% 45%  
100 7% 38%  
101 6% 31%  
102 5% 25%  
103 5% 19%  
104 4% 14%  
105 3% 10%  
106 2% 7%  
107 2% 5%  
108 1.1% 3%  
109 0.9% 2%  
110 0.5% 1.2%  
111 0.3% 0.7%  
112 0.2% 0.4%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 0.3% 99.7%  
69 0.6% 99.4%  
70 0.7% 98.9%  
71 1.1% 98%  
72 2% 97%  
73 3% 95%  
74 3% 92%  
75 4% 90%  
76 7% 86%  
77 7% 79%  
78 6% 72%  
79 7% 66%  
80 9% 59% Median
81 9% 50%  
82 7% 41%  
83 5% 34%  
84 7% 28%  
85 6% 21%  
86 4% 15%  
87 3% 11%  
88 3% 8%  
89 2% 5%  
90 1.1% 3%  
91 0.6% 2%  
92 0.5% 1.2%  
93 0.3% 0.7%  
94 0.2% 0.4%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.4% 99.5%  
67 0.6% 99.1%  
68 1.1% 98%  
69 2% 97% Last Result
70 2% 96%  
71 4% 94%  
72 4% 90%  
73 5% 86%  
74 6% 81%  
75 6% 75%  
76 7% 68%  
77 9% 61%  
78 8% 52% Median
79 9% 44%  
80 8% 35%  
81 7% 27%  
82 5% 20%  
83 5% 15%  
84 3% 11%  
85 2% 8%  
86 2% 5%  
87 1.2% 3%  
88 0.8% 2%  
89 0.6% 1.3%  
90 0.3% 0.7%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 0.6% 99.7%  
30 0.9% 99.1%  
31 2% 98%  
32 3% 96%  
33 6% 93%  
34 7% 87%  
35 9% 80%  
36 11% 72%  
37 11% 61% Median
38 12% 50%  
39 10% 38%  
40 9% 28%  
41 6% 19%  
42 4% 13%  
43 4% 8%  
44 2% 5%  
45 1.3% 3%  
46 0.7% 1.4%  
47 0.4% 0.7%  
48 0.2% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.8% 99.8%  
12 3% 99.0%  
13 6% 96%  
14 10% 90%  
15 15% 80%  
16 15% 65% Median
17 16% 50%  
18 14% 34%  
19 9% 20%  
20 5% 11%  
21 3% 6% Last Result
22 1.5% 3%  
23 0.7% 1.1%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Median
1 0% 10%  
2 0% 10%  
3 0% 10%  
4 0% 10%  
5 0% 10%  
6 0% 10%  
7 0% 10%  
8 0% 10%  
9 0% 10%  
10 0% 10%  
11 0% 10%  
12 0% 10%  
13 0% 10%  
14 0% 10%  
15 0% 10%  
16 0% 10%  
17 5% 10%  
18 3% 5% Last Result
19 1.4% 2%  
20 0.6% 0.8%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 214 100% 207–221 206–223 204–224 201–227
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 213 100% 204–219 200–221 198–223 193–226
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 197 100% 190–205 189–207 187–208 184–212
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 196 100% 188–203 184–205 182–207 177–210
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 177 98% 170–184 168–185 165–189 163–192
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 176 95% 166–183 164–184 161–185 158–190
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 160 21% 153–168 151–170 149–172 146–176
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal 99 159 13% 150–165 148–168 146–170 142–172
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 133 0% 126–141 124–144 123–147 119–151
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 135 0% 128–142 127–144 123–147 120–149
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 132 0% 124–139 122–141 120–143 116–146
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 96 0% 89–104 87–108 86–110 83–115
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 94 0% 88–101 86–103 84–104 81–107
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 81 0% 76–90 74–94 72–97 69–102
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 79 0% 72–88 71–92 70–95 67–99
Partidul Național Liberal 69 78 0% 72–84 70–86 68–87 66–90

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 100%  
188 0% 100%  
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 100%  
198 0.1% 99.9%  
199 0.1% 99.9%  
200 0.2% 99.8%  
201 0.3% 99.6%  
202 0.5% 99.3%  
203 0.9% 98.8%  
204 1.1% 98%  
205 2% 97%  
206 2% 95%  
207 3% 93%  
208 4% 90%  
209 5% 86%  
210 5% 81%  
211 6% 75% Median
212 7% 69%  
213 7% 62%  
214 8% 55%  
215 8% 47%  
216 8% 39%  
217 6% 31%  
218 6% 25%  
219 5% 19%  
220 4% 14%  
221 3% 11%  
222 2% 8%  
223 2% 5%  
224 1.3% 4%  
225 1.0% 2%  
226 0.6% 1.4%  
227 0.4% 0.8%  
228 0.2% 0.5%  
229 0.1% 0.3%  
230 0.1% 0.2%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 100%  
188 0% 100%  
189 0% 100%  
190 0.1% 99.9%  
191 0.1% 99.9%  
192 0.1% 99.8%  
193 0.2% 99.6%  
194 0.2% 99.4%  
195 0.3% 99.2%  
196 0.5% 99.0%  
197 0.6% 98%  
198 0.7% 98%  
199 1.1% 97%  
200 1.2% 96%  
201 1.1% 95%  
202 1.3% 94%  
203 1.5% 92%  
204 1.5% 91%  
205 3% 90%  
206 3% 87%  
207 4% 84%  
208 4% 81%  
209 5% 76%  
210 5% 71%  
211 6% 66% Median
212 7% 60%  
213 7% 53%  
214 7% 46%  
215 7% 39%  
216 7% 31%  
217 5% 24%  
218 5% 19%  
219 4% 14%  
220 3% 10%  
221 2% 7%  
222 2% 4%  
223 1.0% 3%  
224 0.8% 2%  
225 0.5% 1.0%  
226 0.3% 0.6%  
227 0.2% 0.3%  
228 0.1% 0.2%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0.1% 99.9%  
182 0.1% 99.9%  
183 0.2% 99.7%  
184 0.3% 99.5%  
185 0.5% 99.3%  
186 0.8% 98.8%  
187 1.2% 98%  
188 1.4% 97%  
189 2% 95%  
190 4% 93%  
191 3% 90%  
192 5% 87%  
193 5% 82%  
194 6% 77%  
195 6% 70% Median
196 5% 64%  
197 9% 59%  
198 7% 49%  
199 7% 43%  
200 6% 35%  
201 7% 29%  
202 5% 23%  
203 4% 17%  
204 4% 14%  
205 2% 10%  
206 2% 8%  
207 2% 5%  
208 1.2% 4%  
209 0.9% 2%  
210 0.6% 2%  
211 0.4% 1.0%  
212 0.2% 0.6%  
213 0.1% 0.3%  
214 0.1% 0.2%  
215 0.1% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0.2% 99.8%  
177 0.2% 99.6%  
178 0.2% 99.4%  
179 0.3% 99.2%  
180 0.4% 99.0%  
181 0.6% 98.5%  
182 0.7% 98%  
183 1.2% 97%  
184 1.1% 96%  
185 1.4% 95%  
186 2% 94%  
187 2% 92%  
188 2% 90%  
189 3% 88%  
190 4% 86%  
191 4% 81%  
192 5% 78%  
193 5% 73%  
194 6% 67%  
195 6% 61% Median
196 5% 55%  
197 9% 49%  
198 6% 41%  
199 7% 34%  
200 6% 27%  
201 6% 22%  
202 4% 16%  
203 3% 12%  
204 3% 9%  
205 2% 6%  
206 2% 4%  
207 0.9% 3%  
208 0.7% 2%  
209 0.4% 1.0%  
210 0.2% 0.6%  
211 0.2% 0.3%  
212 0.1% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100% Last Result
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.8%  
162 0.1% 99.8%  
163 0.5% 99.7%  
164 1.2% 99.2%  
165 1.5% 98% Majority
166 1.1% 97%  
167 0.5% 95%  
168 0.5% 95%  
169 2% 95%  
170 6% 93%  
171 9% 86%  
172 8% 78%  
173 4% 70%  
174 1.4% 66% Median
175 2% 65%  
176 6% 63%  
177 12% 57%  
178 13% 45%  
179 8% 31%  
180 3% 23%  
181 0.9% 21%  
182 2% 20%  
183 4% 18%  
184 5% 14%  
185 4% 9%  
186 2% 5%  
187 0.4% 3%  
188 0.2% 3%  
189 0.5% 3%  
190 0.9% 2%  
191 0.7% 1.3%  
192 0.3% 0.6%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0.1% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0.1% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.8%  
156 0.1% 99.7%  
157 0.1% 99.7%  
158 0.2% 99.6%  
159 0.5% 99.3%  
160 0.8% 98.8%  
161 0.7% 98%  
162 0.6% 97%  
163 0.6% 97%  
164 2% 96%  
165 2% 95% Majority
166 3% 92%  
167 2% 90%  
168 1.1% 88%  
169 2% 87%  
170 6% 85%  
171 9% 78%  
172 8% 69%  
173 4% 61%  
174 2% 57% Median
175 2% 55%  
176 6% 54%  
177 12% 47%  
178 12% 36%  
179 7% 24%  
180 3% 16%  
181 0.8% 14%  
182 1.4% 13%  
183 3% 11%  
184 4% 8%  
185 3% 5%  
186 1.1% 2%  
187 0.3% 1.1%  
188 0.1% 0.8%  
189 0.2% 0.7%  
190 0.2% 0.5%  
191 0.2% 0.3%  
192 0.1% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.2% 99.7%  
146 0.3% 99.6%  
147 0.5% 99.2%  
148 0.8% 98.7%  
149 1.1% 98%  
150 2% 97%  
151 2% 95%  
152 3% 93%  
153 4% 90%  
154 4% 86%  
155 4% 82%  
156 5% 78%  
157 6% 72%  
158 6% 67% Median
159 7% 60%  
160 8% 53%  
161 7% 45%  
162 6% 38%  
163 6% 32%  
164 5% 26%  
165 4% 21% Majority
166 3% 16%  
167 2% 13%  
168 2% 11%  
169 2% 8%  
170 2% 6%  
171 1.4% 5%  
172 0.8% 3%  
173 0.6% 2%  
174 0.5% 2%  
175 0.4% 1.2%  
176 0.3% 0.8%  
177 0.2% 0.5%  
178 0.1% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.8%  
141 0.1% 99.7%  
142 0.2% 99.5%  
143 0.4% 99.3%  
144 0.5% 98.8%  
145 0.7% 98%  
146 0.9% 98%  
147 1.2% 97%  
148 2% 96%  
149 2% 94%  
150 3% 92%  
151 3% 90%  
152 4% 87%  
153 5% 83%  
154 5% 78%  
155 5% 74%  
156 5% 69%  
157 6% 64%  
158 7% 57% Median
159 7% 51%  
160 8% 44%  
161 7% 36%  
162 6% 29%  
163 5% 24%  
164 5% 18%  
165 4% 13% Majority
166 3% 10%  
167 2% 7%  
168 2% 5%  
169 1.2% 4%  
170 1.0% 3%  
171 0.7% 2%  
172 0.4% 0.8%  
173 0.2% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.3%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0.2% 99.9%  
119 0.2% 99.7%  
120 0.4% 99.5%  
121 0.6% 99.0%  
122 0.9% 98%  
123 1.4% 98%  
124 2% 96%  
125 2% 94%  
126 4% 92%  
127 4% 88%  
128 5% 85% Last Result
129 6% 80%  
130 6% 74%  
131 6% 68% Median
132 7% 62%  
133 6% 55%  
134 8% 49%  
135 6% 41%  
136 5% 35%  
137 6% 30%  
138 4% 24%  
139 4% 20%  
140 4% 16%  
141 2% 12%  
142 2% 10%  
143 2% 8%  
144 1.2% 6%  
145 1.1% 5%  
146 0.9% 4%  
147 0.7% 3%  
148 0.6% 2%  
149 0.5% 1.4%  
150 0.3% 0.9%  
151 0.2% 0.6%  
152 0.1% 0.4%  
153 0.1% 0.3%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
115 0% 100%  
116 0.1% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0.1% 99.8%  
120 0.3% 99.8%  
121 0.7% 99.4%  
122 0.9% 98.7%  
123 0.5% 98%  
124 0.2% 97%  
125 0.4% 97%  
126 2% 97%  
127 4% 95%  
128 5% 91%  
129 4% 86%  
130 2% 82%  
131 0.9% 80%  
132 3% 79%  
133 8% 77%  
134 13% 69%  
135 12% 55% Median
136 6% 43%  
137 2% 37%  
138 1.4% 35%  
139 4% 34%  
140 8% 30%  
141 9% 22%  
142 6% 14%  
143 2% 7%  
144 0.5% 5%  
145 0.5% 5%  
146 1.1% 5%  
147 1.5% 3%  
148 1.2% 2%  
149 0.5% 0.8%  
150 0.1% 0.3%  
151 0% 0.2%  
152 0% 0.2%  
153 0.1% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.2% 99.8%  
116 0.2% 99.6%  
117 0.3% 99.4%  
118 0.5% 99.1%  
119 0.6% 98.6%  
120 0.9% 98%  
121 1.1% 97%  
122 2% 96%  
123 2% 95%  
124 3% 92%  
125 3% 89%  
126 4% 86%  
127 4% 82%  
128 6% 78%  
129 6% 72%  
130 6% 66%  
131 6% 60% Median
132 7% 53%  
133 6% 46%  
134 8% 40%  
135 6% 32%  
136 5% 25%  
137 6% 21%  
138 4% 15%  
139 3% 12%  
140 3% 8%  
141 2% 6%  
142 1.4% 4%  
143 1.0% 3%  
144 0.6% 2%  
145 0.4% 1.1%  
146 0.2% 0.6%  
147 0.2% 0.4%  
148 0.1% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.8%  
83 0.4% 99.5%  
84 0.6% 99.1%  
85 1.0% 98.5%  
86 1.5% 98%  
87 2% 96%  
88 3% 94%  
89 4% 91%  
90 4% 87%  
91 6% 83%  
92 6% 78%  
93 7% 72%  
94 8% 65% Median
95 6% 57%  
96 8% 50%  
97 7% 42%  
98 6% 35%  
99 5% 29%  
100 4% 24%  
101 3% 20%  
102 3% 17%  
103 2% 14%  
104 2% 11%  
105 2% 9%  
106 1.2% 8%  
107 1.3% 7%  
108 1.1% 5% Last Result
109 0.8% 4%  
110 0.9% 3%  
111 0.8% 2%  
112 0.5% 2%  
113 0.4% 1.3%  
114 0.3% 0.8%  
115 0.2% 0.6%  
116 0.1% 0.4%  
117 0.1% 0.3%  
118 0.1% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8%  
81 0.3% 99.6%  
82 0.5% 99.4%  
83 0.8% 98.8%  
84 1.0% 98%  
85 2% 97%  
86 2% 95%  
87 3% 93%  
88 4% 90%  
89 4% 86%  
90 5% 82% Last Result
91 6% 77%  
92 6% 71%  
93 8% 64%  
94 9% 57% Median
95 7% 48%  
96 8% 41%  
97 7% 33%  
98 6% 26%  
99 5% 20%  
100 4% 15%  
101 3% 11%  
102 2% 8%  
103 2% 5%  
104 1.3% 4%  
105 0.9% 2%  
106 0.6% 1.4%  
107 0.3% 0.8%  
108 0.2% 0.5%  
109 0.1% 0.3%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.7%  
70 0.4% 99.5%  
71 0.7% 99.1%  
72 1.4% 98%  
73 2% 97%  
74 2% 95%  
75 3% 93%  
76 6% 90%  
77 6% 84%  
78 5% 78%  
79 6% 73%  
80 9% 67% Median
81 8% 58%  
82 7% 50%  
83 5% 43%  
84 7% 38%  
85 6% 30%  
86 4% 24%  
87 3% 20%  
88 3% 17%  
89 3% 14%  
90 2% 12%  
91 1.2% 10%  
92 1.3% 8%  
93 1.3% 7%  
94 1.1% 6%  
95 1.0% 5%  
96 0.8% 4%  
97 0.6% 3%  
98 0.7% 2%  
99 0.6% 2%  
100 0.3% 1.1%  
101 0.2% 0.8%  
102 0.3% 0.6%  
103 0.1% 0.3%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.4% 99.6%  
68 0.7% 99.2%  
69 1.0% 98.5%  
70 2% 98%  
71 3% 96%  
72 3% 93%  
73 4% 90%  
74 5% 85%  
75 6% 81%  
76 7% 75%  
77 8% 68%  
78 7% 60% Median
79 8% 53%  
80 7% 44%  
81 7% 37%  
82 5% 30%  
83 5% 25%  
84 3% 20%  
85 3% 17%  
86 2% 14%  
87 2% 12% Last Result
88 1.4% 10%  
89 2% 9%  
90 1.1% 7%  
91 1.0% 6%  
92 1.0% 5%  
93 0.9% 4%  
94 0.8% 3%  
95 0.9% 3%  
96 0.5% 2%  
97 0.4% 1.3%  
98 0.2% 0.8%  
99 0.2% 0.6%  
100 0.1% 0.4%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.4% 99.5%  
67 0.6% 99.1%  
68 1.1% 98%  
69 2% 97% Last Result
70 2% 96%  
71 4% 94%  
72 4% 90%  
73 5% 86%  
74 6% 81%  
75 6% 75%  
76 7% 68%  
77 9% 61%  
78 8% 52% Median
79 9% 44%  
80 8% 35%  
81 7% 27%  
82 5% 20%  
83 5% 15%  
84 3% 11%  
85 2% 8%  
86 2% 5%  
87 1.2% 3%  
88 0.8% 2%  
89 0.6% 1.3%  
90 0.3% 0.7%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations