Opinion Poll by CURS for STIRIPESURSE.RO, 24 November–9 December 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 33.0% 31.2–34.9% 30.7–35.4% 30.2–35.9% 29.4–36.8%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 20.0% 18.5–21.6% 18.0–22.1% 17.7–22.5% 17.0–23.3%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.5–13.7% 10.2–14.1% 9.6–14.8%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 7.0–11.5%
PRO România 0.0% 9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 7.0–11.5%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 112 105–120 103–122 102–124 99–128
Partidul Național Liberal 69 68 62–74 61–76 59–78 57–80
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 41 36–46 35–47 34–48 32–51
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 31 27–35 26–36 25–37 23–39
PRO România 0 31 27–34 26–36 25–37 23–39
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 20 17–24 16–25 16–26 14–27
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 16 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–23

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.8%  
98 0.2% 99.7%  
99 0.5% 99.6%  
100 0.8% 99.1%  
101 0.7% 98%  
102 1.2% 98%  
103 3% 96%  
104 2% 94%  
105 2% 91%  
106 4% 89%  
107 6% 85%  
108 5% 79%  
109 6% 74%  
110 7% 69%  
111 8% 62%  
112 6% 54% Median
113 4% 48%  
114 7% 44%  
115 6% 37%  
116 5% 31%  
117 4% 26%  
118 5% 23%  
119 5% 18%  
120 3% 12%  
121 3% 9%  
122 1.5% 6%  
123 2% 5%  
124 1.0% 3%  
125 0.7% 2%  
126 0.5% 1.4%  
127 0.4% 0.9%  
128 0.3% 0.6%  
129 0.1% 0.3%  
130 0.1% 0.2%  
131 0.1% 0.1%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.8%  
57 0.4% 99.6%  
58 0.7% 99.2%  
59 1.2% 98.5%  
60 2% 97%  
61 4% 95%  
62 3% 91%  
63 5% 88%  
64 6% 83%  
65 8% 77%  
66 9% 70%  
67 9% 61%  
68 8% 51% Median
69 8% 44% Last Result
70 6% 35%  
71 6% 30%  
72 6% 24%  
73 5% 18%  
74 4% 12%  
75 3% 8%  
76 1.4% 5%  
77 1.2% 4%  
78 1.1% 3%  
79 0.6% 2%  
80 0.6% 1.0%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100% Last Result
31 0.2% 99.9%  
32 0.4% 99.7%  
33 0.8% 99.3%  
34 2% 98.5%  
35 4% 97%  
36 4% 93%  
37 8% 89%  
38 8% 81%  
39 9% 74%  
40 11% 64%  
41 11% 53% Median
42 11% 42%  
43 8% 31%  
44 8% 23%  
45 5% 15%  
46 4% 10%  
47 3% 6%  
48 1.4% 3%  
49 0.8% 2%  
50 0.5% 1.1%  
51 0.3% 0.5%  
52 0.1% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.2% 99.9%  
23 0.6% 99.8%  
24 1.4% 99.1%  
25 3% 98%  
26 4% 95%  
27 8% 91%  
28 10% 83%  
29 11% 73%  
30 12% 62%  
31 13% 51% Median
32 11% 37%  
33 8% 26%  
34 7% 18%  
35 4% 10%  
36 3% 6%  
37 2% 3%  
38 0.9% 2%  
39 0.4% 0.8%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.2% 99.9%  
23 0.5% 99.8%  
24 1.3% 99.3%  
25 3% 98%  
26 5% 95%  
27 8% 90%  
28 9% 82%  
29 8% 73%  
30 12% 65%  
31 14% 53% Median
32 12% 39%  
33 10% 27%  
34 7% 17%  
35 3% 10%  
36 3% 6%  
37 2% 4%  
38 1.1% 2%  
39 0.5% 0.8%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.5% 99.9%  
15 2% 99.4%  
16 4% 98%  
17 7% 93%  
18 11% 86%  
19 12% 75%  
20 18% 63% Median
21 15% 45% Last Result
22 11% 30%  
23 8% 19%  
24 5% 11%  
25 3% 6%  
26 1.5% 3%  
27 0.7% 1.2%  
28 0.3% 0.5%  
29 0.1% 0.2%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 0% 51%  
5 0% 51%  
6 0% 51%  
7 0% 51%  
8 0% 51%  
9 0% 51%  
10 0% 51%  
11 0% 51%  
12 0% 51%  
13 0% 51%  
14 0% 51%  
15 0% 51%  
16 5% 51% Median
17 16% 46%  
18 13% 30% Last Result
19 9% 17%  
20 4% 8%  
21 2% 4%  
22 1.0% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.6%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 173 90% 164–183 162–185 160–187 157–190
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 169 71% 160–177 159–180 156–182 153–184
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 159 24% 150–170 149–171 148–172 144–176
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 149 0.7% 139–157 137–160 135–162 132–165
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 143 0% 135–152 132–154 131–156 128–159
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 143 0% 135–152 132–153 130–156 128–159
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 139 0% 131–148 129–150 127–152 124–155
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 139 0% 129–148 127–150 125–152 122–155
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 128 0% 118–138 116–140 114–142 111–145
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 129 0% 121–138 119–140 118–141 114–145
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 119 0% 111–127 109–129 108–131 105–134
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 118 0% 108–128 107–130 104–131 101–134
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 108 0% 101–116 99–119 98–120 95–124
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 98 0% 87–107 86–110 84–112 81–114
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 88 0% 81–95 80–97 79–99 75–102
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 78 0% 66–87 65–90 63–91 60–94
Partidul Național Liberal 69 68 0% 62–74 61–76 59–78 57–80
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 51 0% 39–61 38–62 37–64 34–66

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0% 100%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.2% 99.8%  
157 0.2% 99.6%  
158 0.5% 99.4%  
159 0.8% 98.9%  
160 0.8% 98%  
161 2% 97%  
162 1.0% 96%  
163 3% 95%  
164 3% 92%  
165 3% 90% Majority
166 3% 87%  
167 4% 83%  
168 4% 79%  
169 4% 75%  
170 5% 71%  
171 7% 66%  
172 3% 59%  
173 7% 56%  
174 5% 49% Last Result, Median
175 4% 44%  
176 5% 40%  
177 4% 36%  
178 4% 32%  
179 4% 28%  
180 3% 24%  
181 5% 20%  
182 4% 16%  
183 2% 11%  
184 2% 9%  
185 3% 7%  
186 1.2% 4%  
187 1.0% 3%  
188 0.6% 2%  
189 0.7% 2%  
190 0.4% 0.9%  
191 0.2% 0.5%  
192 0.2% 0.3%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0.1% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.3% 99.8%  
153 0.4% 99.5%  
154 0.6% 99.1%  
155 0.8% 98.5%  
156 0.7% 98%  
157 0.9% 97%  
158 0.9% 96% Last Result
159 2% 95%  
160 4% 93%  
161 5% 89%  
162 6% 85%  
163 4% 79%  
164 4% 75%  
165 3% 71% Majority
166 3% 68%  
167 4% 64%  
168 5% 60%  
169 5% 55%  
170 6% 50%  
171 7% 43%  
172 7% 37%  
173 6% 30%  
174 5% 24%  
175 4% 19%  
176 3% 15% Median
177 3% 12%  
178 2% 9%  
179 1.4% 7%  
180 2% 6%  
181 1.4% 4%  
182 1.4% 3%  
183 0.5% 1.3%  
184 0.5% 0.9%  
185 0.2% 0.4%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0.1% 100% Last Result
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.2% 99.7%  
144 0.2% 99.5%  
145 0.2% 99.3%  
146 0.4% 99.2%  
147 1.3% 98.8%  
148 2% 98%  
149 3% 95%  
150 4% 92%  
151 3% 88%  
152 3% 85%  
153 2% 82%  
154 4% 81%  
155 6% 77%  
156 5% 71%  
157 7% 67%  
158 5% 59%  
159 5% 54%  
160 5% 50% Median
161 5% 45%  
162 6% 40%  
163 4% 33%  
164 5% 29%  
165 3% 24% Majority
166 2% 21%  
167 3% 19%  
168 3% 17%  
169 3% 14%  
170 4% 11%  
171 3% 7%  
172 2% 4%  
173 1.1% 2%  
174 0.3% 1.3%  
175 0.3% 1.0%  
176 0.2% 0.7%  
177 0.2% 0.5%  
178 0.1% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0.1% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0.1% 99.9%  
131 0.1% 99.8%  
132 0.3% 99.6%  
133 0.6% 99.3%  
134 0.5% 98.7%  
135 1.0% 98%  
136 1.1% 97%  
137 2% 96% Last Result
138 2% 94%  
139 4% 92%  
140 2% 89%  
141 4% 87%  
142 5% 82%  
143 4% 78%  
144 4% 74%  
145 4% 69%  
146 4% 66%  
147 5% 62%  
148 4% 56%  
149 6% 52%  
150 4% 46%  
151 5% 42%  
152 7% 37%  
153 5% 30%  
154 3% 25%  
155 4% 22%  
156 5% 18% Median
157 3% 13%  
158 2% 10%  
159 2% 8%  
160 2% 6%  
161 1.2% 4%  
162 1.1% 3%  
163 0.8% 2%  
164 0.3% 1.0%  
165 0.3% 0.7% Majority
166 0.2% 0.3%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0.1% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0.2% 99.9%  
127 0.2% 99.7%  
128 0.4% 99.5%  
129 0.4% 99.1%  
130 0.9% 98.7%  
131 1.0% 98%  
132 2% 97%  
133 2% 95%  
134 3% 93%  
135 3% 91%  
136 5% 87%  
137 3% 83%  
138 6% 79%  
139 4% 73%  
140 5% 69%  
141 5% 64%  
142 6% 59%  
143 5% 53% Median
144 5% 47%  
145 6% 43%  
146 5% 37%  
147 5% 31%  
148 4% 26%  
149 4% 22%  
150 4% 18%  
151 4% 14%  
152 2% 11%  
153 2% 8%  
154 2% 6%  
155 1.1% 4%  
156 0.9% 3%  
157 0.6% 2%  
158 0.5% 1.3%  
159 0.3% 0.7%  
160 0.2% 0.4%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0.1% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.2% 99.8%  
128 0.5% 99.6%  
129 0.5% 99.1%  
130 1.4% 98.7%  
131 1.4% 97%  
132 2% 96%  
133 1.4% 94%  
134 2% 93%  
135 3% 91%  
136 3% 88%  
137 4% 85%  
138 5% 81%  
139 6% 76%  
140 7% 70%  
141 7% 63%  
142 6% 57%  
143 5% 50% Median
144 5% 45%  
145 4% 40%  
146 3% 36%  
147 3% 32%  
148 4% 29%  
149 4% 25%  
150 6% 21%  
151 5% 15%  
152 4% 11%  
153 2% 7%  
154 0.9% 5% Last Result
155 0.9% 4%  
156 0.7% 3%  
157 0.8% 2%  
158 0.6% 1.5%  
159 0.4% 0.9%  
160 0.3% 0.5%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0.1% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.8%  
124 0.2% 99.7%  
125 0.3% 99.5%  
126 0.7% 99.1%  
127 1.3% 98%  
128 2% 97%  
129 2% 96%  
130 3% 94%  
131 3% 91%  
132 3% 88%  
133 4% 85%  
134 4% 81%  
135 7% 77%  
136 5% 70%  
137 4% 65%  
138 6% 61%  
139 7% 55%  
140 4% 47% Median
141 7% 43%  
142 6% 37%  
143 4% 31%  
144 5% 27%  
145 4% 22%  
146 3% 19%  
147 3% 15%  
148 3% 12%  
149 2% 9%  
150 2% 7%  
151 1.1% 5%  
152 1.5% 4%  
153 0.8% 2%  
154 0.5% 1.2%  
155 0.3% 0.7%  
156 0.2% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.3%  
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
118 0% 100%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.2% 99.8%  
121 0.2% 99.7%  
122 0.4% 99.5%  
123 0.7% 99.1%  
124 0.6% 98%  
125 1.0% 98%  
126 1.2% 97%  
127 3% 96%  
128 2% 93%  
129 2% 91%  
130 4% 89%  
131 5% 84%  
132 3% 80%  
133 4% 76%  
134 4% 72%  
135 4% 68%  
136 5% 64%  
137 4% 60%  
138 5% 56% Last Result
139 7% 51%  
140 3% 44%  
141 7% 41%  
142 5% 34%  
143 4% 29%  
144 4% 25%  
145 4% 21% Median
146 3% 17%  
147 3% 13%  
148 3% 10%  
149 3% 8%  
150 1.0% 5%  
151 2% 4%  
152 0.8% 3%  
153 0.8% 2%  
154 0.5% 1.1%  
155 0.2% 0.6%  
156 0.2% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0.1% 100%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.2% 99.8%  
111 0.3% 99.6%  
112 0.5% 99.3%  
113 0.4% 98.8%  
114 1.4% 98%  
115 0.9% 97%  
116 2% 96%  
117 2% 95%  
118 3% 92%  
119 5% 89%  
120 3% 85%  
121 4% 82%  
122 4% 78%  
123 3% 74%  
124 4% 70%  
125 4% 67%  
126 4% 63%  
127 5% 58%  
128 4% 54% Last Result
129 5% 49%  
130 6% 45%  
131 3% 39%  
132 6% 35%  
133 4% 30%  
134 4% 26%  
135 6% 22% Median
136 3% 16%  
137 3% 13%  
138 3% 10%  
139 2% 7%  
140 1.0% 5%  
141 1.5% 4%  
142 1.0% 3%  
143 0.6% 2%  
144 0.5% 1.1%  
145 0.3% 0.6%  
146 0.2% 0.3%  
147 0.1% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.8%  
114 0.2% 99.7%  
115 0.4% 99.5%  
116 0.8% 99.1%  
117 0.6% 98%  
118 2% 98%  
119 2% 95%  
120 3% 94% Last Result
121 3% 91%  
122 4% 88%  
123 4% 84%  
124 5% 80%  
125 5% 74%  
126 6% 70%  
127 6% 64%  
128 7% 59%  
129 3% 52% Median
130 8% 48%  
131 6% 40%  
132 4% 34%  
133 5% 30%  
134 4% 25%  
135 4% 21%  
136 3% 17%  
137 4% 14%  
138 3% 11%  
139 3% 8%  
140 0.9% 5%  
141 2% 4%  
142 0.6% 2%  
143 0.8% 2%  
144 0.2% 0.9%  
145 0.3% 0.6%  
146 0.1% 0.3%  
147 0.1% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0.1% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0.1% 100%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.8%  
104 0.2% 99.7%  
105 0.3% 99.5%  
106 0.6% 99.2%  
107 1.0% 98.6%  
108 2% 98%  
109 1.4% 96%  
110 3% 94% Last Result
111 3% 91%  
112 4% 88%  
113 5% 85%  
114 5% 80%  
115 5% 75%  
116 5% 70%  
117 7% 65%  
118 7% 58%  
119 9% 51% Median
120 5% 43%  
121 6% 38%  
122 6% 32%  
123 4% 27%  
124 3% 23%  
125 4% 20%  
126 3% 16%  
127 4% 12%  
128 2% 9%  
129 2% 7%  
130 1.4% 4%  
131 0.9% 3%  
132 0.8% 2%  
133 0.4% 1.0%  
134 0.2% 0.6%  
135 0.2% 0.4%  
136 0.1% 0.2%  
137 0.1% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.2% 99.8%  
101 0.1% 99.6%  
102 0.5% 99.5%  
103 1.1% 99.0%  
104 1.0% 98%  
105 0.8% 97%  
106 1.1% 96%  
107 4% 95%  
108 3% 91%  
109 1.5% 88%  
110 4% 86%  
111 6% 82%  
112 3% 76%  
113 4% 73%  
114 3% 69%  
115 3% 65%  
116 5% 63%  
117 6% 58% Last Result
118 3% 51%  
119 2% 48%  
120 5% 47%  
121 9% 42%  
122 3% 33%  
123 2% 29%  
124 3% 27%  
125 8% 24% Median
126 4% 16%  
127 1.3% 12%  
128 2% 11%  
129 3% 9%  
130 3% 6%  
131 0.6% 3%  
132 0.3% 2%  
133 0.8% 2%  
134 0.9% 1.3%  
135 0.1% 0.4%  
136 0% 0.3%  
137 0.2% 0.3%  
138 0.1% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0.1% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.8%  
95 0.3% 99.7%  
96 0.6% 99.4%  
97 0.7% 98.7%  
98 1.0% 98%  
99 2% 97% Last Result
100 3% 95%  
101 2% 92%  
102 4% 89%  
103 4% 86%  
104 6% 82%  
105 6% 75%  
106 4% 70%  
107 9% 66%  
108 8% 57%  
109 3% 49% Median
110 6% 45%  
111 8% 39%  
112 6% 32%  
113 5% 26%  
114 3% 21%  
115 3% 17%  
116 5% 14%  
117 3% 10%  
118 1.0% 7%  
119 1.0% 6%  
120 3% 5%  
121 0.7% 2%  
122 0.2% 1.3%  
123 0.4% 1.1%  
124 0.4% 0.7%  
125 0.1% 0.3%  
126 0.1% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.7%  
81 0.6% 99.5%  
82 0.5% 98.9%  
83 0.7% 98%  
84 1.3% 98%  
85 1.3% 96%  
86 4% 95%  
87 3% 91%  
88 4% 88%  
89 3% 84%  
90 4% 81%  
91 3% 77%  
92 5% 74%  
93 3% 69%  
94 4% 66%  
95 4% 62%  
96 4% 58%  
97 3% 54%  
98 5% 51%  
99 4% 46%  
100 2% 42%  
101 5% 40%  
102 3% 35%  
103 4% 32%  
104 9% 29% Median
105 3% 19%  
106 3% 16%  
107 4% 13%  
108 2% 9% Last Result
109 2% 7%  
110 2% 6%  
111 1.1% 4%  
112 1.2% 3%  
113 0.8% 1.5%  
114 0.3% 0.7%  
115 0.2% 0.4%  
116 0.1% 0.3%  
117 0.1% 0.2%  
118 0.1% 0.1%  
119 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.3% 99.8%  
76 0.3% 99.5%  
77 0.5% 99.2%  
78 0.9% 98.6%  
79 2% 98%  
80 3% 96%  
81 4% 93%  
82 3% 89%  
83 4% 85%  
84 5% 82%  
85 6% 76%  
86 10% 71%  
87 9% 61%  
88 7% 52% Median
89 5% 45%  
90 7% 40% Last Result
91 5% 33%  
92 6% 28%  
93 4% 22%  
94 5% 18%  
95 4% 13%  
96 3% 9%  
97 1.4% 6%  
98 1.1% 4%  
99 1.2% 3%  
100 0.6% 2%  
101 0.8% 1.4%  
102 0.2% 0.6%  
103 0.2% 0.4%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 0.3% 99.7%  
61 0.5% 99.4%  
62 0.6% 98.9%  
63 1.1% 98%  
64 1.4% 97%  
65 2% 96%  
66 4% 94%  
67 4% 89%  
68 3% 85%  
69 4% 82%  
70 4% 78%  
71 3% 74%  
72 5% 70%  
73 4% 65%  
74 4% 61%  
75 2% 57%  
76 2% 55%  
77 2% 53%  
78 3% 51%  
79 3% 47%  
80 6% 45%  
81 3% 39%  
82 3% 36%  
83 4% 33%  
84 6% 29% Median
85 4% 23%  
86 6% 18%  
87 3% 13% Last Result
88 2% 10%  
89 2% 7%  
90 2% 5%  
91 2% 4%  
92 1.1% 2%  
93 0.5% 1.2%  
94 0.3% 0.7%  
95 0.1% 0.4%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.8%  
57 0.4% 99.6%  
58 0.7% 99.2%  
59 1.2% 98.5%  
60 2% 97%  
61 4% 95%  
62 3% 91%  
63 5% 88%  
64 6% 83%  
65 8% 77%  
66 9% 70%  
67 9% 61%  
68 8% 51% Median
69 8% 44% Last Result
70 6% 35%  
71 6% 30%  
72 6% 24%  
73 5% 18%  
74 4% 12%  
75 3% 8%  
76 1.4% 5%  
77 1.2% 4%  
78 1.1% 3%  
79 0.6% 2%  
80 0.6% 1.0%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.9%  
34 0.3% 99.8%  
35 0.7% 99.4%  
36 1.2% 98.7%  
37 2% 98%  
38 3% 96%  
39 5% 93%  
40 5% 88%  
41 6% 83%  
42 5% 78%  
43 5% 73%  
44 6% 68%  
45 3% 62%  
46 3% 59%  
47 2% 56%  
48 1.2% 53% Last Result
49 0.9% 52%  
50 1.0% 51%  
51 0.8% 50%  
52 2% 50%  
53 3% 48%  
54 5% 45%  
55 4% 40%  
56 4% 36%  
57 4% 32% Median
58 6% 28%  
59 6% 22%  
60 5% 16%  
61 4% 11%  
62 3% 7%  
63 1.2% 4%  
64 1.1% 3%  
65 0.8% 2%  
66 0.5% 1.0%  
67 0.3% 0.5%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations