Opinion Poll by IMAS for Europa FM, 4–20 December 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 26.1% 24.4–28.0% 23.9–28.5% 23.5–28.9% 22.7–29.8%
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 25.2% 23.5–27.1% 23.1–27.6% 22.7–28.0% 21.9–28.9%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 19.6% 18.1–21.3% 17.6–21.8% 17.3–22.2% 16.6–23.0%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 9.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.2–11.3% 7.9–11.6% 7.4–12.2%
PRO România 0.0% 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.5%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 4.6% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.5–4.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 69 89 84–96 82–98 80–99 78–103
Partidul Social Democrat 154 86 81–93 79–95 77–96 75–100
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 67 62–73 60–74 59–76 56–79
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 33 29–37 28–38 27–39 25–42
PRO România 0 21 18–25 17–26 0–27 0–28
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 15 13–18 12–19 11–20 10–22
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0 0 0 0

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.5% 99.5%  
79 0.7% 99.1%  
80 1.0% 98%  
81 1.4% 97%  
82 3% 96%  
83 3% 93%  
84 5% 90%  
85 5% 85%  
86 8% 81%  
87 7% 73%  
88 8% 66%  
89 9% 58% Median
90 7% 48%  
91 7% 41%  
92 7% 34%  
93 6% 26%  
94 5% 20%  
95 5% 15%  
96 3% 10%  
97 2% 8%  
98 2% 5%  
99 1.0% 3%  
100 0.8% 2%  
101 0.6% 2%  
102 0.3% 1.0%  
103 0.3% 0.7%  
104 0.2% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.3% 99.8%  
75 0.3% 99.5%  
76 0.8% 99.2%  
77 1.0% 98%  
78 2% 97%  
79 3% 96%  
80 3% 93%  
81 4% 90%  
82 6% 86%  
83 7% 80%  
84 8% 73%  
85 8% 65%  
86 8% 57% Median
87 7% 49%  
88 9% 42%  
89 7% 33%  
90 7% 26%  
91 5% 19%  
92 5% 15%  
93 3% 10%  
94 2% 7%  
95 2% 5%  
96 2% 4%  
97 0.7% 2%  
98 0.4% 1.4%  
99 0.3% 1.0%  
100 0.3% 0.7%  
101 0.1% 0.3%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.3% 99.8%  
57 0.5% 99.5%  
58 1.1% 98.9%  
59 1.4% 98%  
60 2% 96%  
61 4% 94%  
62 5% 91%  
63 6% 86%  
64 7% 80%  
65 9% 73%  
66 9% 63%  
67 10% 54% Median
68 8% 44%  
69 8% 36%  
70 7% 28%  
71 5% 21%  
72 5% 16%  
73 3% 11%  
74 3% 7%  
75 2% 5%  
76 1.1% 3%  
77 0.9% 2%  
78 0.6% 1.2%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.2% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.2% 99.9%  
25 0.5% 99.7%  
26 1.3% 99.2%  
27 2% 98%  
28 4% 96%  
29 7% 91%  
30 9% 85%  
31 12% 76%  
32 13% 64%  
33 12% 52% Median
34 11% 40%  
35 9% 29%  
36 6% 20%  
37 5% 14%  
38 4% 8%  
39 2% 4%  
40 1.1% 2%  
41 0.6% 1.1%  
42 0.3% 0.5%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 0% 96%  
9 0% 96%  
10 0% 96%  
11 0% 96%  
12 0% 96%  
13 0% 96%  
14 0% 96%  
15 0% 96%  
16 0% 96%  
17 3% 96%  
18 8% 93%  
19 12% 85%  
20 15% 73%  
21 15% 59% Median
22 14% 44%  
23 11% 30%  
24 9% 19%  
25 5% 10%  
26 3% 5%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.9% 1.3%  
29 0.3% 0.5%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.7% 99.9%  
11 2% 99.2%  
12 6% 97%  
13 11% 91%  
14 16% 81%  
15 17% 65% Median
16 16% 48%  
17 13% 31%  
18 9% 18%  
19 5% 10%  
20 3% 5%  
21 1.2% 2% Last Result
22 0.5% 0.8%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 205 100% 198–212 196–214 195–218 192–225
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 205 100% 198–212 196–214 195–218 192–225
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 189 100% 182–196 181–199 179–202 176–209
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 189 100% 182–196 181–199 179–202 176–209
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 172 92% 165–179 163–182 162–184 159–190
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 172 92% 165–179 163–182 162–184 159–190
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 156 7% 150–164 148–166 146–169 143–173
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 156 7% 150–164 148–166 146–169 143–173
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România 174 140 0% 133–147 130–149 128–150 122–153
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 138 0% 131–145 129–147 127–149 124–154
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 138 0% 131–145 129–147 127–149 124–154
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 119 0% 113–126 111–128 109–131 106–134
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 107 0% 100–114 98–116 94–117 87–120
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 105 0% 99–111 97–114 95–115 92–119
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 105 0% 99–111 97–114 95–115 92–119
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 89 0% 84–96 82–98 80–99 78–103
Partidul Național Liberal 69 89 0% 84–96 82–98 80–99 78–103
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 67 0% 62–73 60–74 59–76 56–79

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 100%  
188 0% 100%  
189 0.1% 99.9%  
190 0.1% 99.9%  
191 0.2% 99.7%  
192 0.4% 99.6%  
193 0.6% 99.2%  
194 0.8% 98.6%  
195 1.4% 98%  
196 2% 96%  
197 2% 95%  
198 4% 92%  
199 5% 88%  
200 5% 84%  
201 6% 79%  
202 7% 74%  
203 8% 66%  
204 6% 58% Median
205 8% 52%  
206 9% 44%  
207 5% 35%  
208 6% 29%  
209 6% 23%  
210 4% 17%  
211 3% 14%  
212 3% 10%  
213 2% 8%  
214 1.3% 6%  
215 0.9% 5%  
216 0.8% 4%  
217 0.4% 3%  
218 0.5% 3%  
219 0.4% 2%  
220 0.3% 2%  
221 0.3% 2%  
222 0.3% 1.4%  
223 0.2% 1.0%  
224 0.2% 0.8%  
225 0.2% 0.7%  
226 0.1% 0.4%  
227 0.1% 0.3%  
228 0.1% 0.2%  
229 0.1% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 100%  
188 0% 100%  
189 0.1% 99.9%  
190 0.1% 99.9%  
191 0.2% 99.7%  
192 0.4% 99.6%  
193 0.6% 99.2%  
194 0.8% 98.6%  
195 1.4% 98%  
196 2% 96%  
197 2% 95%  
198 4% 92%  
199 5% 88%  
200 5% 84%  
201 6% 79%  
202 7% 74%  
203 8% 66%  
204 6% 58% Median
205 8% 52%  
206 9% 44%  
207 5% 35%  
208 6% 29%  
209 6% 23%  
210 4% 17%  
211 3% 14%  
212 3% 10%  
213 2% 8%  
214 1.3% 6%  
215 0.9% 5%  
216 0.8% 4%  
217 0.4% 3%  
218 0.5% 3%  
219 0.4% 2%  
220 0.3% 2%  
221 0.3% 2%  
222 0.3% 1.4%  
223 0.2% 1.0%  
224 0.2% 0.8%  
225 0.2% 0.7%  
226 0.1% 0.4%  
227 0.1% 0.3%  
228 0.1% 0.2%  
229 0.1% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.2% 99.8%  
176 0.3% 99.6%  
177 0.5% 99.3%  
178 0.7% 98.8%  
179 1.1% 98%  
180 2% 97%  
181 2% 95%  
182 3% 93%  
183 3% 90%  
184 5% 87%  
185 5% 81%  
186 6% 76%  
187 7% 70%  
188 7% 63%  
189 7% 56% Median
190 10% 49%  
191 6% 39%  
192 6% 33%  
193 6% 27%  
194 4% 21%  
195 4% 16%  
196 3% 13%  
197 2% 10%  
198 2% 7%  
199 1.1% 5%  
200 0.9% 4%  
201 0.6% 4%  
202 0.6% 3%  
203 0.4% 2%  
204 0.3% 2%  
205 0.4% 2%  
206 0.2% 1.2%  
207 0.3% 1.0%  
208 0.1% 0.7%  
209 0.2% 0.6%  
210 0.1% 0.4%  
211 0.1% 0.3%  
212 0.1% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.2% 99.8%  
176 0.3% 99.6%  
177 0.5% 99.3%  
178 0.7% 98.8%  
179 1.1% 98%  
180 2% 97%  
181 2% 95%  
182 3% 93%  
183 3% 90%  
184 5% 87%  
185 5% 81%  
186 6% 76%  
187 7% 70%  
188 7% 63%  
189 7% 56% Median
190 10% 49%  
191 6% 39%  
192 6% 33%  
193 6% 27%  
194 4% 21%  
195 4% 16%  
196 3% 13%  
197 2% 10%  
198 2% 7%  
199 1.1% 5%  
200 0.9% 4%  
201 0.6% 4%  
202 0.6% 3%  
203 0.4% 2%  
204 0.3% 2%  
205 0.4% 2%  
206 0.2% 1.2%  
207 0.3% 1.0%  
208 0.1% 0.7%  
209 0.2% 0.6%  
210 0.1% 0.4%  
211 0.1% 0.3%  
212 0.1% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100% Last Result
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.8%  
158 0.2% 99.7%  
159 0.5% 99.5%  
160 0.7% 99.1%  
161 0.9% 98%  
162 1.1% 98%  
163 2% 96%  
164 2% 95%  
165 3% 92% Majority
166 3% 89%  
167 5% 85%  
168 7% 80%  
169 6% 73%  
170 7% 67%  
171 6% 60% Median
172 9% 54%  
173 7% 45%  
174 7% 38%  
175 6% 31%  
176 4% 25%  
177 5% 21%  
178 4% 16%  
179 3% 12%  
180 2% 9%  
181 2% 7%  
182 1.4% 5%  
183 0.8% 4%  
184 0.6% 3%  
185 0.4% 2%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.5% 2%  
188 0.4% 1.2%  
189 0.2% 0.8%  
190 0.2% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.4%  
192 0.1% 0.3%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.8%  
158 0.2% 99.7%  
159 0.5% 99.5%  
160 0.7% 99.1%  
161 0.9% 98%  
162 1.1% 98%  
163 2% 96%  
164 2% 95%  
165 3% 92% Majority
166 3% 89%  
167 5% 85%  
168 7% 80%  
169 6% 73%  
170 7% 67%  
171 6% 60% Median
172 9% 54%  
173 7% 45%  
174 7% 38%  
175 6% 31%  
176 4% 25%  
177 5% 21%  
178 4% 16%  
179 3% 12%  
180 2% 9%  
181 2% 7%  
182 1.4% 5%  
183 0.8% 4%  
184 0.6% 3%  
185 0.4% 2%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.5% 2%  
188 0.4% 1.2%  
189 0.2% 0.8%  
190 0.2% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.4%  
192 0.1% 0.3%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.3% 99.6%  
144 0.5% 99.4%  
145 0.8% 98.9%  
146 0.9% 98%  
147 1.5% 97%  
148 2% 96%  
149 3% 94%  
150 3% 90%  
151 5% 88%  
152 5% 83%  
153 6% 78%  
154 8% 72%  
155 7% 64%  
156 8% 57% Median
157 7% 49%  
158 7% 42%  
159 6% 35%  
160 6% 29%  
161 4% 23%  
162 5% 18%  
163 3% 14%  
164 3% 10%  
165 2% 7% Majority
166 2% 6%  
167 1.0% 4%  
168 0.8% 3%  
169 0.5% 3%  
170 0.5% 2%  
171 0.4% 2%  
172 0.4% 1.2%  
173 0.3% 0.8%  
174 0.1% 0.5%  
175 0.1% 0.3%  
176 0.1% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.3% 99.6%  
144 0.5% 99.4%  
145 0.8% 98.9%  
146 0.9% 98%  
147 1.5% 97%  
148 2% 96%  
149 3% 94%  
150 3% 90%  
151 5% 88%  
152 5% 83%  
153 6% 78%  
154 8% 72%  
155 7% 64%  
156 8% 57% Median
157 7% 49%  
158 7% 42%  
159 6% 35%  
160 6% 29%  
161 4% 23%  
162 5% 18%  
163 3% 14%  
164 3% 10%  
165 2% 7% Majority
166 2% 6%  
167 1.0% 4%  
168 0.8% 3%  
169 0.5% 3%  
170 0.5% 2%  
171 0.4% 2%  
172 0.4% 1.2%  
173 0.3% 0.8%  
174 0.1% 0.5%  
175 0.1% 0.3%  
176 0.1% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0.1% 99.7%  
122 0.2% 99.6%  
123 0.2% 99.4%  
124 0.4% 99.2%  
125 0.5% 98.8%  
126 0.4% 98%  
127 0.4% 98%  
128 0.6% 98%  
129 0.8% 97%  
130 1.4% 96%  
131 2% 95%  
132 2% 93%  
133 3% 91%  
134 4% 88%  
135 5% 84%  
136 4% 79%  
137 6% 75%  
138 7% 69%  
139 7% 62%  
140 9% 55% Median
141 6% 46%  
142 7% 40%  
143 6% 33%  
144 7% 27%  
145 5% 20%  
146 3% 15%  
147 3% 11%  
148 2% 8%  
149 2% 5%  
150 1.1% 4%  
151 0.9% 2%  
152 0.7% 2%  
153 0.5% 0.9%  
154 0.2% 0.5%  
155 0.1% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
121 0% 100%  
122 0.1% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.3% 99.7%  
125 0.4% 99.4%  
126 0.5% 99.0%  
127 1.1% 98.5%  
128 1.3% 97% Last Result
129 1.4% 96%  
130 3% 95%  
131 4% 91%  
132 4% 88%  
133 5% 83%  
134 6% 78%  
135 5% 72%  
136 8% 66%  
137 7% 59% Median
138 9% 52%  
139 6% 43%  
140 7% 37%  
141 6% 30%  
142 5% 24%  
143 4% 19%  
144 4% 15%  
145 3% 11%  
146 2% 8%  
147 2% 6%  
148 0.8% 4%  
149 1.1% 3%  
150 0.6% 2%  
151 0.4% 2%  
152 0.3% 1.3%  
153 0.4% 0.9%  
154 0.1% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.4%  
156 0.1% 0.3%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0.1% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.3% 99.7%  
125 0.4% 99.4%  
126 0.5% 99.0%  
127 1.1% 98.5%  
128 1.3% 97%  
129 1.4% 96%  
130 3% 95%  
131 4% 91%  
132 4% 88%  
133 5% 83%  
134 6% 78%  
135 5% 72%  
136 8% 66%  
137 7% 59% Median
138 9% 52%  
139 6% 43%  
140 7% 37%  
141 6% 30%  
142 5% 24%  
143 4% 19%  
144 4% 15%  
145 3% 11%  
146 2% 8%  
147 2% 6%  
148 0.8% 4%  
149 1.1% 3%  
150 0.6% 2%  
151 0.4% 2%  
152 0.3% 1.3%  
153 0.4% 0.9%  
154 0.1% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.4%  
156 0.1% 0.3%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.3% 99.7%  
107 0.5% 99.4%  
108 0.6% 99.0%  
109 1.2% 98%  
110 2% 97%  
111 2% 96%  
112 2% 93%  
113 4% 91%  
114 5% 87%  
115 6% 82%  
116 6% 76%  
117 7% 70%  
118 8% 63%  
119 8% 55% Median
120 6% 47%  
121 7% 41%  
122 8% 34%  
123 7% 26%  
124 4% 19%  
125 4% 15%  
126 3% 12%  
127 2% 9%  
128 2% 7%  
129 1.3% 5%  
130 0.9% 3%  
131 0.8% 3%  
132 0.5% 2%  
133 0.4% 1.3%  
134 0.4% 0.8%  
135 0.1% 0.4%  
136 0.1% 0.3%  
137 0.1% 0.2%  
138 0.1% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0.1% 99.7%  
87 0.2% 99.6%  
88 0.2% 99.3%  
89 0.2% 99.2%  
90 0.3% 99.0%  
91 0.3% 98.6%  
92 0.3% 98%  
93 0.4% 98%  
94 0.5% 98%  
95 0.4% 97%  
96 0.8% 97%  
97 0.9% 96%  
98 1.3% 95%  
99 2% 94%  
100 3% 92%  
101 3% 90%  
102 4% 86%  
103 6% 83%  
104 6% 77%  
105 5% 71%  
106 9% 65%  
107 8% 56% Median
108 6% 48%  
109 8% 42%  
110 7% 34%  
111 6% 26%  
112 5% 21%  
113 5% 16%  
114 4% 12%  
115 2% 8%  
116 2% 5%  
117 1.4% 4%  
118 0.8% 2%  
119 0.6% 1.4%  
120 0.4% 0.8%  
121 0.2% 0.4%  
122 0.1% 0.3%  
123 0.1% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.2% 99.7%  
93 0.4% 99.5%  
94 0.7% 99.1%  
95 1.1% 98%  
96 1.4% 97%  
97 2% 96%  
98 3% 94%  
99 4% 91%  
100 6% 86%  
101 6% 81%  
102 6% 75%  
103 8% 68%  
104 7% 61% Median
105 9% 54%  
106 7% 44%  
107 7% 37%  
108 6% 31% Last Result
109 5% 24%  
110 5% 19%  
111 4% 14%  
112 2% 9%  
113 2% 7%  
114 2% 5%  
115 1.2% 4%  
116 0.8% 2%  
117 0.5% 2%  
118 0.5% 1.1%  
119 0.2% 0.6%  
120 0.2% 0.5%  
121 0.1% 0.3%  
122 0.1% 0.2%  
123 0.1% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.2% 99.7%  
93 0.4% 99.5%  
94 0.7% 99.1%  
95 1.1% 98%  
96 1.4% 97%  
97 2% 96%  
98 3% 94%  
99 4% 91%  
100 6% 86%  
101 6% 81%  
102 6% 75%  
103 8% 68%  
104 7% 61% Median
105 9% 54%  
106 7% 44%  
107 7% 37%  
108 6% 31%  
109 5% 24%  
110 5% 19%  
111 4% 14%  
112 2% 9%  
113 2% 7%  
114 2% 5%  
115 1.2% 4%  
116 0.8% 2%  
117 0.5% 2%  
118 0.5% 1.1%  
119 0.2% 0.6%  
120 0.2% 0.5%  
121 0.1% 0.3%  
122 0.1% 0.2%  
123 0.1% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.5% 99.5%  
79 0.7% 99.1%  
80 1.0% 98%  
81 1.4% 97%  
82 3% 96%  
83 3% 93%  
84 5% 90%  
85 5% 85%  
86 8% 81%  
87 7% 73% Last Result
88 8% 66%  
89 9% 58% Median
90 7% 48%  
91 7% 41%  
92 7% 34%  
93 6% 26%  
94 5% 20%  
95 5% 15%  
96 3% 10%  
97 2% 8%  
98 2% 5%  
99 1.0% 3%  
100 0.8% 2%  
101 0.6% 2%  
102 0.3% 1.0%  
103 0.3% 0.7%  
104 0.2% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.5% 99.5%  
79 0.7% 99.1%  
80 1.0% 98%  
81 1.4% 97%  
82 3% 96%  
83 3% 93%  
84 5% 90%  
85 5% 85%  
86 8% 81%  
87 7% 73%  
88 8% 66%  
89 9% 58% Median
90 7% 48%  
91 7% 41%  
92 7% 34%  
93 6% 26%  
94 5% 20%  
95 5% 15%  
96 3% 10%  
97 2% 8%  
98 2% 5%  
99 1.0% 3%  
100 0.8% 2%  
101 0.6% 2%  
102 0.3% 1.0%  
103 0.3% 0.7%  
104 0.2% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.3% 99.8%  
57 0.5% 99.5%  
58 1.1% 98.9%  
59 1.4% 98%  
60 2% 96%  
61 4% 94%  
62 5% 91%  
63 6% 86%  
64 7% 80%  
65 9% 73%  
66 9% 63%  
67 10% 54% Median
68 8% 44%  
69 8% 36%  
70 7% 28%  
71 5% 21%  
72 5% 16%  
73 3% 11%  
74 3% 7%  
75 2% 5%  
76 1.1% 3%  
77 0.9% 2%  
78 0.6% 1.2%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.2% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations