Opinion Poll by IMAS for Europa FM, 11–30 January 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 25.2% 23.5–27.0% 23.0–27.6% 22.6–28.0% 21.8–28.9%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 22.1% 20.4–23.8% 20.0–24.3% 19.6–24.7% 18.9–25.6%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 19.9% 18.3–21.6% 17.9–22.0% 17.5–22.5% 16.8–23.3%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 13.4% 12.1–14.8% 11.7–15.2% 11.4–15.6% 10.8–16.3%
PRO România 0.0% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.1–10.6%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 4.4% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.6% 3.3–5.8% 2.9–6.3%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 3.8% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.9% 2.7–5.1% 2.5–5.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 86 79–92 77–94 75–95 73–97
Partidul Național Liberal 69 73 68–79 66–81 65–82 62–86
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 67 61–72 60–74 58–75 56–78
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 46 40–50 39–52 38–53 36–55
PRO România 0 27 23–30 22–32 21–33 20–35
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 13 11–18 11–19 10–20 9–21
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0 0 0–17 0–18

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.5% 99.6%  
74 0.6% 99.1%  
75 1.1% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 2% 96%  
78 3% 94%  
79 3% 91%  
80 4% 88%  
81 5% 84%  
82 5% 79%  
83 6% 74%  
84 7% 68%  
85 9% 61%  
86 6% 52% Median
87 9% 46%  
88 8% 37%  
89 7% 29%  
90 7% 22%  
91 4% 16%  
92 4% 12%  
93 2% 7%  
94 2% 5%  
95 1.1% 3%  
96 0.7% 2%  
97 0.4% 0.8%  
98 0.2% 0.4%  
99 0.2% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.7%  
63 0.5% 99.4%  
64 0.9% 98.9%  
65 2% 98%  
66 2% 96%  
67 4% 94%  
68 5% 90%  
69 7% 85% Last Result
70 8% 78%  
71 7% 70%  
72 8% 63%  
73 11% 54% Median
74 9% 44%  
75 8% 35%  
76 6% 27%  
77 5% 21%  
78 4% 16%  
79 3% 11%  
80 2% 8%  
81 2% 6%  
82 1.3% 4%  
83 1.0% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.5%  
85 0.4% 1.0%  
86 0.2% 0.6%  
87 0.2% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.8%  
56 0.4% 99.6%  
57 0.6% 99.2%  
58 1.2% 98.6%  
59 2% 97%  
60 3% 96%  
61 4% 93%  
62 5% 89%  
63 7% 84%  
64 8% 77%  
65 9% 70%  
66 10% 61%  
67 9% 51% Median
68 10% 42%  
69 7% 31%  
70 7% 24%  
71 5% 17%  
72 4% 12%  
73 3% 8%  
74 2% 5%  
75 2% 3%  
76 0.7% 2%  
77 0.5% 1.2%  
78 0.3% 0.6%  
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 0.2% 99.8%  
36 0.5% 99.6%  
37 1.0% 99.1%  
38 2% 98%  
39 3% 97%  
40 4% 94%  
41 5% 90%  
42 6% 84%  
43 8% 78%  
44 10% 70%  
45 10% 60%  
46 9% 50% Median
47 11% 41%  
48 8% 30%  
49 8% 21%  
50 5% 14%  
51 3% 9%  
52 2% 5%  
53 1.3% 3%  
54 0.8% 2%  
55 0.4% 0.7%  
56 0.2% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.3% 99.9%  
20 0.7% 99.6%  
21 2% 98.9%  
22 4% 97%  
23 7% 93%  
24 11% 86%  
25 12% 75%  
26 13% 63%  
27 15% 50% Median
28 11% 35%  
29 9% 25%  
30 6% 16%  
31 4% 10%  
32 3% 6%  
33 1.5% 3%  
34 0.8% 2%  
35 0.4% 0.8%  
36 0.2% 0.4%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.7% 99.9%  
10 4% 99.2%  
11 9% 95%  
12 18% 86%  
13 20% 68% Median
14 15% 47%  
15 10% 32%  
16 6% 22%  
17 6% 16%  
18 4% 10%  
19 3% 6%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.9% 1.2% Last Result
22 0.2% 0.3%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0% 5%  
4 0% 5%  
5 0% 5%  
6 0% 5%  
7 0% 5%  
8 0% 5%  
9 0% 5%  
10 0% 5%  
11 0% 5%  
12 0% 5%  
13 0% 5%  
14 0% 5%  
15 0% 5%  
16 2% 5%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.7% 0.9% Last Result
19 0.2% 0.3%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 200 100% 193–206 191–208 190–210 187–214
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 199 100% 192–206 190–208 187–209 183–212
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 186 100% 179–193 177–195 176–196 173–200
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 185 100% 178–192 176–194 174–195 169–198
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România 174 159 10% 149–165 147–166 145–168 142–171
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 153 6% 147–163 146–165 144–167 141–170
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 153 4% 147–161 145–164 143–166 140–169
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 140 0% 134–148 132–150 130–152 127–157
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 140 0% 133–147 131–148 129–150 126–154
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 133 0% 126–140 124–143 123–145 119–149
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 132 0% 125–139 123–141 122–143 118–147
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 132 0% 122–138 120–139 118–140 115–142
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 112 0% 106–119 104–121 102–122 98–125
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 86 0% 81–96 80–99 79–101 77–105
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 86 0% 81–95 80–97 78–99 76–102
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 73 0% 68–81 67–84 65–87 63–92
Partidul Național Liberal 69 73 0% 68–79 66–81 65–82 62–86
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 67 0% 62–74 60–77 59–80 56–85

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0.1% 99.9%  
185 0.1% 99.9%  
186 0.2% 99.8%  
187 0.3% 99.6%  
188 0.5% 99.2%  
189 0.7% 98.7%  
190 1.4% 98%  
191 2% 97%  
192 2% 95%  
193 3% 92%  
194 4% 89%  
195 5% 85%  
196 6% 80%  
197 6% 73%  
198 8% 67%  
199 8% 59% Median
200 8% 52%  
201 7% 44%  
202 6% 37%  
203 7% 30%  
204 5% 23%  
205 4% 18%  
206 4% 14%  
207 3% 10%  
208 2% 7%  
209 1.5% 5%  
210 1.1% 3%  
211 0.8% 2%  
212 0.5% 1.3%  
213 0.4% 0.9%  
214 0.2% 0.5%  
215 0.1% 0.3%  
216 0.1% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 99.9%  
180 0.1% 99.9%  
181 0.1% 99.8%  
182 0.2% 99.8%  
183 0.2% 99.6%  
184 0.3% 99.4%  
185 0.4% 99.1%  
186 0.7% 98.8%  
187 0.6% 98%  
188 1.1% 97%  
189 0.9% 96%  
190 2% 95%  
191 2% 93%  
192 3% 91%  
193 3% 88%  
194 5% 85%  
195 5% 80%  
196 6% 75%  
197 6% 69%  
198 8% 62%  
199 8% 55% Median
200 8% 47%  
201 7% 39%  
202 6% 32%  
203 7% 26%  
204 5% 20%  
205 4% 15%  
206 3% 11%  
207 3% 8%  
208 2% 5%  
209 1.2% 3%  
210 0.8% 2%  
211 0.6% 1.4%  
212 0.3% 0.8%  
213 0.2% 0.5%  
214 0.1% 0.3%  
215 0.1% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0.2% 99.7%  
173 0.3% 99.6%  
174 0.5% 99.2%  
175 0.8% 98.7%  
176 1.2% 98%  
177 2% 97%  
178 2% 95%  
179 3% 93%  
180 4% 89%  
181 5% 86%  
182 6% 81%  
183 6% 74%  
184 7% 68%  
185 8% 61%  
186 8% 53% Median
187 8% 45%  
188 7% 37%  
189 5% 30%  
190 6% 25%  
191 5% 19%  
192 4% 14%  
193 2% 10%  
194 2% 8%  
195 2% 5%  
196 1.1% 4%  
197 0.9% 2%  
198 0.5% 2%  
199 0.4% 1.0%  
200 0.2% 0.6%  
201 0.2% 0.4%  
202 0.1% 0.2%  
203 0.1% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0.1% 99.9%  
167 0.1% 99.8%  
168 0.1% 99.8%  
169 0.2% 99.6%  
170 0.2% 99.5%  
171 0.3% 99.2%  
172 0.5% 98.9%  
173 0.8% 98%  
174 1.0% 98%  
175 1.1% 97%  
176 2% 96%  
177 2% 94%  
178 3% 92%  
179 4% 89%  
180 4% 86%  
181 5% 81%  
182 6% 76%  
183 6% 70%  
184 7% 64%  
185 8% 56%  
186 8% 48% Median
187 8% 41%  
188 7% 33%  
189 5% 26%  
190 5% 21%  
191 5% 16%  
192 4% 11%  
193 2% 7%  
194 2% 6%  
195 1.2% 4%  
196 0.9% 2%  
197 0.6% 1.4%  
198 0.4% 0.8%  
199 0.2% 0.4%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0.1% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.2% 99.7%  
142 0.3% 99.5%  
143 0.5% 99.2%  
144 0.6% 98.7%  
145 0.9% 98%  
146 1.2% 97%  
147 2% 96%  
148 2% 94%  
149 2% 92%  
150 3% 90%  
151 3% 87%  
152 4% 84%  
153 5% 80%  
154 3% 76%  
155 6% 72%  
156 5% 67%  
157 5% 62%  
158 6% 57%  
159 8% 50% Median
160 7% 42%  
161 8% 34%  
162 6% 26%  
163 5% 20%  
164 5% 15%  
165 4% 10% Majority
166 2% 7%  
167 2% 5%  
168 1.2% 3%  
169 0.7% 2%  
170 0.4% 1.0%  
171 0.3% 0.5%  
172 0.2% 0.3%  
173 0.1% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1% Last Result
175 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100% Last Result
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.2% 99.9%  
141 0.3% 99.7%  
142 0.4% 99.5%  
143 0.7% 99.0%  
144 1.2% 98%  
145 2% 97%  
146 2% 95%  
147 4% 93%  
148 5% 90%  
149 5% 85%  
150 6% 80%  
151 8% 74%  
152 7% 66%  
153 8% 58% Median
154 6% 50%  
155 5% 43%  
156 5% 38%  
157 6% 33%  
158 3% 28%  
159 5% 24%  
160 4% 20%  
161 3% 16%  
162 3% 13%  
163 2% 10%  
164 2% 8%  
165 2% 6% Majority
166 1.2% 4%  
167 0.9% 3%  
168 0.6% 2%  
169 0.5% 1.3%  
170 0.3% 0.8%  
171 0.2% 0.5%  
172 0.1% 0.3%  
173 0.1% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.2% 99.8%  
140 0.3% 99.6%  
141 0.5% 99.3%  
142 0.6% 98.9%  
143 1.1% 98%  
144 2% 97%  
145 2% 95%  
146 3% 93%  
147 4% 91%  
148 5% 86%  
149 6% 81%  
150 6% 76%  
151 8% 69%  
152 8% 61%  
153 8% 54% Median
154 6% 45%  
155 5% 39%  
156 5% 34%  
157 5% 29%  
158 3% 23%  
159 4% 20%  
160 3% 16%  
161 3% 12%  
162 2% 10%  
163 2% 7%  
164 2% 5%  
165 1.2% 4% Majority
166 0.9% 3%  
167 0.7% 2%  
168 0.4% 1.1%  
169 0.3% 0.7%  
170 0.2% 0.5%  
171 0.1% 0.3%  
172 0.1% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0.1% 100%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.8%  
127 0.2% 99.7%  
128 0.6% 99.5%  
129 0.8% 98.9%  
130 1.1% 98%  
131 1.4% 97%  
132 2% 96%  
133 3% 94%  
134 4% 91%  
135 5% 87%  
136 5% 82%  
137 7% 77%  
138 7% 70%  
139 6% 63%  
140 10% 57% Median
141 6% 46%  
142 7% 40%  
143 6% 34%  
144 5% 28%  
145 5% 23%  
146 4% 18%  
147 4% 14%  
148 2% 10%  
149 2% 8%  
150 1.5% 6%  
151 1.3% 4%  
152 0.9% 3%  
153 0.7% 2%  
154 0.4% 2%  
155 0.4% 1.2%  
156 0.2% 0.8%  
157 0.2% 0.5%  
158 0.1% 0.3%  
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.7%  
126 0.3% 99.6%  
127 0.3% 99.3%  
128 0.8% 99.0%  
129 1.2% 98%  
130 1.4% 97%  
131 2% 96%  
132 2% 94%  
133 4% 92%  
134 4% 88%  
135 6% 84%  
136 6% 78%  
137 7% 73%  
138 7% 66%  
139 6% 59%  
140 11% 52% Median
141 6% 42%  
142 7% 36%  
143 5% 29%  
144 5% 24%  
145 5% 19%  
146 4% 14%  
147 4% 10%  
148 2% 7%  
149 1.5% 5%  
150 1.0% 3%  
151 0.9% 2%  
152 0.5% 1.4%  
153 0.4% 0.9%  
154 0.2% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.3% 99.8%  
120 0.3% 99.5%  
121 0.5% 99.1%  
122 0.7% 98.6%  
123 2% 98%  
124 2% 96%  
125 3% 94%  
126 2% 91%  
127 3% 90%  
128 7% 86% Last Result
129 7% 80%  
130 7% 73%  
131 5% 66%  
132 7% 61% Median
133 9% 54%  
134 9% 46%  
135 5% 36%  
136 4% 31%  
137 5% 28%  
138 7% 23%  
139 4% 16%  
140 2% 12%  
141 2% 10%  
142 2% 8%  
143 2% 6%  
144 1.3% 4%  
145 0.7% 3%  
146 0.4% 2%  
147 0.5% 2%  
148 0.4% 1.0%  
149 0.2% 0.6%  
150 0.1% 0.4%  
151 0.1% 0.3%  
152 0.1% 0.2%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0.1% 100%  
116 0.1% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.8%  
118 0.2% 99.7%  
119 0.4% 99.5%  
120 0.5% 99.1%  
121 0.9% 98.6%  
122 1.2% 98%  
123 2% 96%  
124 2% 94%  
125 4% 92%  
126 2% 89%  
127 4% 87%  
128 7% 83%  
129 7% 76%  
130 7% 69%  
131 5% 62%  
132 7% 57% Median
133 9% 50%  
134 9% 41%  
135 5% 32%  
136 4% 27%  
137 5% 23%  
138 6% 19%  
139 4% 12%  
140 2% 9%  
141 2% 7%  
142 2% 5%  
143 1.2% 3%  
144 0.9% 2%  
145 0.4% 1.1%  
146 0.2% 0.7%  
147 0.2% 0.5%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
112 0% 100%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.2% 99.9%  
115 0.2% 99.7%  
116 0.4% 99.5%  
117 0.8% 99.1%  
118 1.2% 98%  
119 2% 97%  
120 2% 96%  
121 3% 94%  
122 3% 91%  
123 3% 88%  
124 3% 85%  
125 2% 81%  
126 3% 79%  
127 2% 76%  
128 3% 74%  
129 3% 71%  
130 5% 68%  
131 5% 63%  
132 9% 58% Median
133 7% 49%  
134 9% 42%  
135 10% 33%  
136 7% 24%  
137 6% 17%  
138 5% 11%  
139 3% 6%  
140 2% 4%  
141 1.3% 2%  
142 0.4% 0.8%  
143 0.3% 0.5%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.2% 99.7%  
99 0.4% 99.5%  
100 0.5% 99.1%  
101 0.8% 98.7%  
102 1.1% 98%  
103 1.5% 97%  
104 2% 95%  
105 3% 93%  
106 4% 90%  
107 4% 86%  
108 5% 82%  
109 7% 77%  
110 6% 70%  
111 7% 63%  
112 8% 56%  
113 8% 48% Median
114 8% 41%  
115 6% 33%  
116 6% 27%  
117 5% 20%  
118 4% 15%  
119 3% 11%  
120 2% 8%  
121 2% 5%  
122 1.4% 3%  
123 0.7% 2%  
124 0.5% 1.3%  
125 0.3% 0.8%  
126 0.2% 0.4%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0.1% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.6% 99.6%  
78 1.1% 99.0%  
79 2% 98%  
80 3% 96%  
81 5% 94%  
82 6% 89%  
83 8% 83%  
84 7% 75%  
85 9% 68%  
86 9% 59% Median
87 8% 50%  
88 7% 42%  
89 4% 35%  
90 4% 31%  
91 3% 27%  
92 3% 24%  
93 3% 21%  
94 3% 18%  
95 2% 15%  
96 3% 12%  
97 2% 10%  
98 2% 8%  
99 2% 6%  
100 1.2% 4%  
101 0.9% 3%  
102 0.6% 2%  
103 0.5% 1.4%  
104 0.4% 0.9%  
105 0.2% 0.5%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1% Last Result
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.3% 99.7%  
77 0.7% 99.4%  
78 1.3% 98.7%  
79 2% 97%  
80 3% 96%  
81 5% 92%  
82 6% 87%  
83 9% 81%  
84 8% 72%  
85 9% 64%  
86 10% 55% Median
87 8% 45%  
88 7% 37%  
89 4% 30%  
90 4% 26% Last Result
91 3% 22%  
92 3% 19%  
93 3% 16%  
94 3% 13%  
95 2% 10%  
96 2% 8%  
97 2% 6%  
98 1.3% 4%  
99 1.2% 3%  
100 0.7% 2%  
101 0.4% 1.0%  
102 0.3% 0.6%  
103 0.2% 0.3%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.8%  
63 0.4% 99.6%  
64 0.8% 99.2%  
65 1.3% 98%  
66 2% 97%  
67 4% 95%  
68 5% 91%  
69 6% 87%  
70 7% 80%  
71 7% 73%  
72 8% 66%  
73 10% 58% Median
74 9% 48%  
75 8% 39%  
76 6% 31%  
77 5% 25%  
78 4% 20%  
79 3% 16%  
80 2% 13%  
81 2% 10%  
82 2% 8%  
83 1.3% 7%  
84 1.0% 5%  
85 0.8% 4%  
86 0.9% 4%  
87 0.6% 3% Last Result
88 0.4% 2%  
89 0.6% 2%  
90 0.3% 1.1%  
91 0.2% 0.8%  
92 0.2% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.7%  
63 0.5% 99.4%  
64 0.9% 98.9%  
65 2% 98%  
66 2% 96%  
67 4% 94%  
68 5% 90%  
69 7% 85% Last Result
70 8% 78%  
71 7% 70%  
72 8% 63%  
73 11% 54% Median
74 9% 44%  
75 8% 35%  
76 6% 27%  
77 5% 21%  
78 4% 16%  
79 3% 11%  
80 2% 8%  
81 2% 6%  
82 1.3% 4%  
83 1.0% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.5%  
85 0.4% 1.0%  
86 0.2% 0.6%  
87 0.2% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.3% 99.7%  
57 0.5% 99.5%  
58 1.0% 98.9%  
59 2% 98%  
60 2% 96%  
61 3% 94%  
62 5% 91%  
63 6% 86%  
64 7% 80%  
65 9% 73%  
66 9% 64%  
67 9% 55% Median
68 10% 46%  
69 7% 36%  
70 7% 29%  
71 5% 22%  
72 4% 17%  
73 3% 13%  
74 2% 10%  
75 2% 8%  
76 1.0% 6%  
77 1.0% 5%  
78 0.7% 4%  
79 0.5% 4%  
80 0.6% 3%  
81 0.6% 2%  
82 0.4% 2%  
83 0.4% 1.4%  
84 0.3% 1.0%  
85 0.2% 0.7%  
86 0.2% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations