Opinion Poll by PNL, 1–31 January 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Social Democrat | 45.5% | 30.2% | 29.8–30.6% | 29.7–30.7% | 29.6–30.8% | 29.5–30.9% |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 20.0% | 27.0% | 26.6–27.4% | 26.5–27.5% | 26.5–27.6% | 26.3–27.7% |
| Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 8.9% | 15.2% | 14.9–15.5% | 14.8–15.6% | 14.8–15.7% | 14.6–15.8% |
| Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților | 5.6% | 11.6% | 11.3–11.9% | 11.3–11.9% | 11.2–12.0% | 11.1–12.1% |
| PRO România | 0.0% | 5.5% | 5.3–5.7% | 5.3–5.7% | 5.2–5.8% | 5.1–5.9% |
| Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8–5.2% | 4.8–5.2% | 4.7–5.3% | 4.6–5.4% |
| Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0–4.4% | 4.0–4.4% | 4.0–4.5% | 3.9–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Social Democrat | 154 | 100 | 99–101 | 99–102 | 98–102 | 98–103 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 69 | 89 | 88–91 | 88–91 | 88–91 | 87–92 |
| Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 30 | 50 | 49–51 | 49–51 | 49–52 | 48–52 |
| Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților | 20 | 38 | 37–39 | 37–39 | 37–39 | 36–40 |
| PRO România | 0 | 18 | 17–18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–19 |
| Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 21 | 16 | 16–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 |
| Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 98 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 99 | 20% | 96% | |
| 100 | 42% | 77% | Median |
| 101 | 28% | 35% | |
| 102 | 6% | 7% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 14% | 98.7% | |
| 89 | 35% | 84% | Median |
| 90 | 36% | 49% | |
| 91 | 12% | 13% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 18% | 98.8% | |
| 50 | 49% | 81% | Median |
| 51 | 28% | 31% | |
| 52 | 4% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 37 | 14% | 99.5% | |
| 38 | 54% | 86% | Median |
| 39 | 29% | 31% | |
| 40 | 2% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
PRO România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 21% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 70% | 78% | Median |
| 19 | 8% | 8% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 6% | 100% | |
| 16 | 69% | 94% | Median |
| 17 | 24% | 25% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Mișcarea Populară
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 158 | 194 | 100% | 193–195 | 192–196 | 192–196 | 192–197 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 140 | 194 | 100% | 193–195 | 192–196 | 192–196 | 192–197 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 137 | 178 | 100% | 177–179 | 176–180 | 176–180 | 175–180 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților | 119 | 178 | 100% | 177–179 | 176–180 | 176–180 | 175–180 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 138 | 156 | 0% | 154–157 | 154–157 | 154–158 | 153–158 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 120 | 156 | 0% | 154–157 | 154–157 | 154–158 | 153–158 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România | 174 | 156 | 0% | 155–158 | 155–158 | 154–158 | 154–159 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 128 | 144 | 0% | 142–145 | 142–146 | 142–146 | 141–147 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 110 | 144 | 0% | 142–145 | 142–146 | 142–146 | 141–147 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 117 | 140 | 0% | 138–141 | 138–141 | 138–142 | 137–142 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 99 | 140 | 0% | 138–141 | 138–141 | 138–142 | 137–142 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților | 174 | 138 | 0% | 137–140 | 137–140 | 136–140 | 136–141 |
| Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România | 154 | 118 | 0% | 117–119 | 116–120 | 116–120 | 115–120 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 108 | 106 | 0% | 104–107 | 104–107 | 104–107 | 103–108 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 90 | 106 | 0% | 104–107 | 104–107 | 104–107 | 103–108 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 87 | 89 | 0% | 88–91 | 88–91 | 88–91 | 87–92 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 69 | 89 | 0% | 88–91 | 88–91 | 88–91 | 87–92 |
| Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 48 | 50 | 0% | 49–51 | 49–51 | 49–52 | 48–52 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0% | 100% | |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 192 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 193 | 24% | 94% | Median |
| 194 | 41% | 69% | |
| 195 | 22% | 29% | |
| 196 | 7% | 7% | |
| 197 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0% | 100% | |
| 189 | 0% | 100% | |
| 190 | 0% | 100% | |
| 191 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 192 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 193 | 24% | 94% | Median |
| 194 | 41% | 69% | |
| 195 | 22% | 29% | |
| 196 | 7% | 7% | |
| 197 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 176 | 8% | 99.0% | |
| 177 | 29% | 91% | Median |
| 178 | 39% | 62% | |
| 179 | 18% | 23% | |
| 180 | 5% | 5% | |
| 181 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 176 | 8% | 99.0% | |
| 177 | 29% | 91% | Median |
| 178 | 39% | 62% | |
| 179 | 18% | 23% | |
| 180 | 5% | 5% | |
| 181 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 153 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 9% | 98.7% | |
| 155 | 28% | 90% | Median |
| 156 | 38% | 62% | |
| 157 | 20% | 24% | |
| 158 | 4% | 5% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 153 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 9% | 98.7% | |
| 155 | 28% | 90% | Median |
| 156 | 38% | 62% | |
| 157 | 20% | 24% | |
| 158 | 4% | 5% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 153 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 154 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 155 | 20% | 95% | |
| 156 | 38% | 76% | Median |
| 157 | 28% | 38% | |
| 158 | 9% | 10% | |
| 159 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 141 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 9% | 98.8% | |
| 143 | 27% | 90% | Median |
| 144 | 36% | 63% | |
| 145 | 22% | 27% | |
| 146 | 5% | 5% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 141 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 9% | 98.8% | |
| 143 | 27% | 90% | Median |
| 144 | 36% | 63% | |
| 145 | 22% | 27% | |
| 146 | 5% | 5% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 137 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 12% | 98% | |
| 139 | 31% | 86% | Median |
| 140 | 37% | 56% | |
| 141 | 15% | 18% | |
| 142 | 3% | 3% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 137 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 12% | 98% | |
| 139 | 31% | 86% | Median |
| 140 | 37% | 56% | |
| 141 | 15% | 18% | |
| 142 | 3% | 3% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 136 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 137 | 17% | 97% | |
| 138 | 37% | 80% | Median |
| 139 | 31% | 43% | |
| 140 | 10% | 12% | |
| 141 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 116 | 7% | 99.5% | |
| 117 | 22% | 93% | |
| 118 | 41% | 71% | Median |
| 119 | 24% | 31% | |
| 120 | 6% | 6% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 13% | 98.8% | |
| 105 | 28% | 86% | Median |
| 106 | 39% | 59% | |
| 107 | 17% | 20% | |
| 108 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 13% | 98.8% | |
| 105 | 28% | 86% | Median |
| 106 | 39% | 59% | |
| 107 | 17% | 20% | |
| 108 | 2% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 88 | 14% | 98.7% | |
| 89 | 35% | 84% | Median |
| 90 | 36% | 49% | |
| 91 | 12% | 13% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 14% | 98.7% | |
| 89 | 35% | 84% | Median |
| 90 | 36% | 49% | |
| 91 | 12% | 13% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 1.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 49 | 18% | 98.8% | |
| 50 | 49% | 81% | Median |
| 51 | 28% | 31% | |
| 52 | 4% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: PNL
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 1–31 January 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 26000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.27%