Opinion Poll by Sociopol, 28 January–4 February 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 33.0% 31.1–34.9% 30.6–35.5% 30.1–36.0% 29.3–36.9%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 20.0% 18.5–21.7% 18.0–22.2% 17.7–22.6% 16.9–23.5%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 15.0% 13.6–16.5% 13.2–16.9% 12.9–17.3% 12.3–18.1%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 11.0% 9.8–12.3% 9.4–12.7% 9.2–13.1% 8.6–13.7%
PRO România 0.0% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.6–5.9%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 113 107–120 105–122 104–123 101–126
Partidul Național Liberal 69 69 63–74 62–76 61–77 58–80
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 51 46–56 45–58 44–59 42–62
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 38 33–42 32–43 31–45 29–47
PRO România 0 27 23–31 22–32 22–33 20–36
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 13 11–16 10–17 10–18 9–20
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0 0 0 0

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.2% 99.8%  
101 0.3% 99.6%  
102 0.6% 99.3%  
103 1.0% 98.7%  
104 2% 98%  
105 2% 96%  
106 2% 94%  
107 3% 92%  
108 5% 89%  
109 7% 84%  
110 7% 77%  
111 6% 70%  
112 6% 65%  
113 9% 58% Median
114 9% 49%  
115 9% 41%  
116 5% 32%  
117 5% 26%  
118 5% 21%  
119 5% 17%  
120 4% 12%  
121 2% 8%  
122 2% 5%  
123 1.1% 3%  
124 0.8% 2%  
125 0.6% 2%  
126 0.5% 1.0%  
127 0.2% 0.5%  
128 0.1% 0.3%  
129 0.1% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.4% 99.7%  
59 0.7% 99.3%  
60 0.9% 98.6%  
61 2% 98%  
62 3% 96%  
63 4% 93%  
64 5% 89%  
65 7% 83%  
66 6% 76%  
67 8% 71%  
68 8% 62%  
69 11% 54% Last Result, Median
70 10% 43%  
71 7% 33%  
72 5% 26%  
73 6% 20%  
74 6% 15%  
75 3% 9%  
76 3% 6%  
77 1.4% 4%  
78 1.0% 2%  
79 0.7% 1.5%  
80 0.4% 0.8%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.6% 99.7%  
43 0.8% 99.1%  
44 1.2% 98%  
45 3% 97%  
46 5% 94%  
47 5% 88%  
48 6% 84%  
49 10% 78%  
50 11% 67%  
51 8% 56% Median
52 11% 48%  
53 11% 38%  
54 7% 27%  
55 5% 20%  
56 6% 15%  
57 4% 9%  
58 2% 5%  
59 2% 4%  
60 1.1% 2%  
61 0.4% 1.0%  
62 0.2% 0.5%  
63 0.2% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.4% 99.8%  
30 0.7% 99.4%  
31 2% 98.7%  
32 3% 96%  
33 4% 93%  
34 5% 89%  
35 11% 84%  
36 14% 73%  
37 8% 59%  
38 12% 51% Median
39 8% 39%  
40 12% 31%  
41 8% 19%  
42 4% 11%  
43 3% 7%  
44 2% 5%  
45 1.5% 3%  
46 0.6% 1.2%  
47 0.4% 0.6%  
48 0.1% 0.3%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.5% 99.8%  
21 1.2% 99.4%  
22 3% 98%  
23 5% 95%  
24 7% 90%  
25 11% 83%  
26 11% 72%  
27 12% 61% Median
28 16% 49%  
29 11% 33%  
30 8% 22%  
31 6% 14%  
32 4% 8%  
33 2% 4%  
34 1.1% 2%  
35 0.7% 1.3%  
36 0.3% 0.5%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.4% 100%  
9 2% 99.6%  
10 5% 98%  
11 9% 93%  
12 17% 83%  
13 18% 67% Median
14 18% 49%  
15 12% 31%  
16 10% 19%  
17 5% 9%  
18 2% 4%  
19 1.1% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.6%  
21 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România 174 178 99.6% 172–185 170–187 168–188 165–191
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 171 89% 164–178 163–180 161–182 158–185
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 171 89% 164–178 163–180 161–182 158–185
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 158 10% 151–164 149–166 148–168 144–171
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 158 10% 151–164 149–166 148–168 144–171
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 150 0.7% 144–157 143–160 140–161 138–165
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 141 0% 134–148 132–149 130–151 127–154
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 134 0% 127–140 125–142 124–144 121–147
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 134 0% 127–140 125–142 124–144 121–147
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 120 0% 114–127 112–129 110–130 107–133
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 120 0% 114–127 112–129 110–130 107–133
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 120 0% 113–127 112–128 110–130 107–133
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 120 0% 113–127 112–128 110–130 107–133
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 82 0% 77–88 75–90 73–91 71–94
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 82 0% 77–88 75–90 73–91 71–94
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 69 0% 63–74 62–76 61–77 58–80
Partidul Național Liberal 69 69 0% 63–74 62–76 61–77 58–80
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 51 0% 46–56 45–58 44–59 42–62

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
161 0% 100%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.1% 99.9%  
164 0.2% 99.8%  
165 0.3% 99.6% Majority
166 0.5% 99.3%  
167 0.9% 98.9%  
168 1.2% 98%  
169 1.5% 97%  
170 1.1% 95%  
171 4% 94%  
172 3% 91%  
173 5% 87%  
174 5% 82% Last Result
175 6% 77%  
176 7% 70%  
177 5% 63%  
178 9% 58% Median
179 8% 49%  
180 8% 41%  
181 5% 33%  
182 6% 28%  
183 6% 22%  
184 5% 16%  
185 3% 11%  
186 3% 8%  
187 2% 5%  
188 1.0% 3%  
189 0.7% 2%  
190 0.7% 2%  
191 0.4% 0.9%  
192 0.2% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0.1% 0.1%  
195 0.1% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0% 100%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.2% 99.8%  
158 0.3% 99.6% Last Result
159 0.5% 99.3%  
160 0.8% 98.8%  
161 1.1% 98%  
162 2% 97%  
163 2% 95%  
164 4% 93%  
165 3% 89% Majority
166 5% 87%  
167 7% 82%  
168 5% 75%  
169 6% 70%  
170 8% 64%  
171 7% 56% Median
172 8% 49%  
173 8% 41%  
174 6% 33%  
175 5% 27%  
176 6% 22%  
177 5% 16%  
178 3% 11%  
179 3% 8%  
180 2% 6%  
181 1.1% 4%  
182 1.2% 3%  
183 0.5% 1.4%  
184 0.3% 0.9%  
185 0.2% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0.1% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.2% 99.8%  
158 0.3% 99.6%  
159 0.5% 99.3%  
160 0.8% 98.8%  
161 1.1% 98%  
162 2% 97%  
163 2% 95%  
164 4% 93%  
165 3% 89% Majority
166 5% 87%  
167 7% 82%  
168 5% 75%  
169 6% 70%  
170 8% 64%  
171 7% 56% Median
172 8% 49%  
173 8% 41%  
174 6% 33%  
175 5% 27%  
176 6% 22%  
177 5% 16%  
178 3% 11%  
179 3% 8%  
180 2% 6%  
181 1.1% 4%  
182 1.2% 3%  
183 0.5% 1.4%  
184 0.3% 0.9%  
185 0.2% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0.1% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.2% 99.8%  
144 0.2% 99.7%  
145 0.4% 99.5%  
146 0.6% 99.1%  
147 0.9% 98%  
148 2% 98%  
149 2% 96%  
150 3% 94%  
151 4% 92%  
152 4% 88%  
153 5% 84%  
154 6% 79%  
155 6% 73%  
156 7% 67%  
157 8% 60%  
158 7% 52% Median
159 7% 44%  
160 8% 38%  
161 5% 30%  
162 7% 25%  
163 4% 17%  
164 4% 13%  
165 3% 10% Majority
166 2% 6%  
167 1.3% 5%  
168 1.4% 3%  
169 0.8% 2%  
170 0.5% 1.2%  
171 0.2% 0.7%  
172 0.2% 0.4%  
173 0.1% 0.2%  
174 0.1% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.2% 99.8%  
144 0.2% 99.7%  
145 0.4% 99.5%  
146 0.6% 99.1%  
147 0.9% 98%  
148 2% 98%  
149 2% 96%  
150 3% 94%  
151 4% 92%  
152 4% 88%  
153 5% 84%  
154 6% 79%  
155 6% 73%  
156 7% 67%  
157 8% 60%  
158 7% 52% Median
159 7% 44%  
160 8% 38%  
161 5% 30%  
162 7% 25%  
163 4% 17%  
164 4% 13%  
165 3% 10% Majority
166 2% 6%  
167 1.3% 5%  
168 1.4% 3%  
169 0.8% 2%  
170 0.5% 1.2%  
171 0.2% 0.7%  
172 0.2% 0.4%  
173 0.1% 0.2%  
174 0.1% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
134 0.1% 100%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0.1% 99.8%  
138 0.6% 99.7%  
139 1.0% 99.1%  
140 0.8% 98%  
141 0.3% 97%  
142 0.5% 97%  
143 3% 97%  
144 6% 94%  
145 6% 87%  
146 2% 81%  
147 0.6% 80%  
148 5% 79%  
149 12% 74%  
150 16% 62%  
151 5% 47% Median
152 1.1% 41%  
153 3% 40%  
154 9% 37%  
155 12% 29%  
156 6% 17%  
157 0.7% 11%  
158 0.6% 10%  
159 3% 9%  
160 4% 7%  
161 2% 3%  
162 0.3% 1.3%  
163 0.1% 1.0%  
164 0.2% 0.9%  
165 0.4% 0.7% Majority
166 0.3% 0.4%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.2% 99.7%  
128 0.3% 99.5%  
129 0.5% 99.1%  
130 1.2% 98.6%  
131 1.1% 97%  
132 2% 96%  
133 3% 94%  
134 3% 92%  
135 5% 89%  
136 6% 84%  
137 5% 78%  
138 6% 73%  
139 8% 67%  
140 8% 59% Median
141 7% 51%  
142 8% 44%  
143 6% 36%  
144 5% 30%  
145 7% 25%  
146 5% 18%  
147 3% 13%  
148 4% 11%  
149 2% 7%  
150 2% 5%  
151 1.1% 3%  
152 0.8% 2%  
153 0.5% 1.2%  
154 0.3% 0.7% Last Result
155 0.2% 0.4%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0.1% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0.1% 100%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.2% 99.8%  
121 0.4% 99.5%  
122 0.7% 99.1%  
123 0.7% 98%  
124 1.0% 98%  
125 2% 97%  
126 3% 95%  
127 3% 92%  
128 5% 89%  
129 6% 84%  
130 6% 78%  
131 5% 72%  
132 8% 67%  
133 8% 59% Median
134 9% 51%  
135 5% 42%  
136 7% 37%  
137 6% 30%  
138 5% 23% Last Result
139 5% 18%  
140 3% 13%  
141 4% 9%  
142 1.1% 6%  
143 1.5% 5%  
144 1.2% 3%  
145 0.9% 2%  
146 0.5% 1.1%  
147 0.3% 0.7%  
148 0.2% 0.4%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0.1% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0.1% 100%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.2% 99.8% Last Result
121 0.4% 99.5%  
122 0.7% 99.1%  
123 0.7% 98%  
124 1.0% 98%  
125 2% 97%  
126 3% 95%  
127 3% 92%  
128 5% 89%  
129 6% 84%  
130 6% 78%  
131 5% 72%  
132 8% 67%  
133 8% 59% Median
134 9% 51%  
135 5% 42%  
136 7% 37%  
137 6% 30%  
138 5% 23%  
139 5% 18%  
140 3% 13%  
141 4% 9%  
142 1.1% 6%  
143 1.5% 5%  
144 1.2% 3%  
145 0.9% 2%  
146 0.5% 1.1%  
147 0.3% 0.7%  
148 0.2% 0.4%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0.1% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.2% 99.8%  
107 0.3% 99.7%  
108 0.4% 99.4%  
109 0.7% 99.0%  
110 1.0% 98%  
111 2% 97%  
112 2% 95%  
113 3% 94%  
114 5% 91%  
115 4% 86%  
116 5% 82%  
117 7% 76% Last Result
118 8% 69%  
119 6% 62%  
120 9% 56% Median
121 9% 47%  
122 7% 38%  
123 5% 31%  
124 7% 26%  
125 4% 19%  
126 4% 15%  
127 3% 11%  
128 2% 8%  
129 2% 5%  
130 1.0% 3%  
131 1.0% 2%  
132 0.4% 1.2%  
133 0.4% 0.8%  
134 0.2% 0.5%  
135 0.1% 0.3%  
136 0.1% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.2% 99.8%  
107 0.3% 99.7%  
108 0.4% 99.4%  
109 0.7% 99.0%  
110 1.0% 98%  
111 2% 97%  
112 2% 95%  
113 3% 94%  
114 5% 91%  
115 4% 86%  
116 5% 82%  
117 7% 76%  
118 8% 69%  
119 6% 62%  
120 9% 56% Median
121 9% 47%  
122 7% 38%  
123 5% 31%  
124 7% 26%  
125 4% 19%  
126 4% 15%  
127 3% 11%  
128 2% 8%  
129 2% 5%  
130 1.0% 3%  
131 1.0% 2%  
132 0.4% 1.2%  
133 0.4% 0.8%  
134 0.2% 0.5%  
135 0.1% 0.3%  
136 0.1% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.8%  
107 0.2% 99.6%  
108 0.4% 99.4%  
109 0.7% 99.0%  
110 0.9% 98%  
111 2% 97%  
112 3% 96%  
113 3% 92%  
114 4% 89%  
115 7% 85%  
116 6% 78%  
117 4% 72%  
118 4% 68%  
119 8% 64%  
120 9% 56% Median
121 8% 47%  
122 6% 39%  
123 9% 33%  
124 6% 24%  
125 5% 18%  
126 3% 13%  
127 4% 10%  
128 2% 6% Last Result
129 1.1% 5%  
130 1.1% 4%  
131 1.1% 2%  
132 0.5% 1.3%  
133 0.3% 0.8%  
134 0.3% 0.5%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.8%  
107 0.2% 99.6%  
108 0.4% 99.4%  
109 0.7% 99.0%  
110 0.9% 98% Last Result
111 2% 97%  
112 3% 96%  
113 3% 92%  
114 4% 89%  
115 7% 85%  
116 6% 78%  
117 4% 72%  
118 4% 68%  
119 8% 64%  
120 9% 56% Median
121 8% 47%  
122 6% 39%  
123 9% 33%  
124 6% 24%  
125 5% 18%  
126 3% 13%  
127 4% 10%  
128 2% 6%  
129 1.1% 5%  
130 1.1% 4%  
131 1.1% 2%  
132 0.5% 1.3%  
133 0.3% 0.8%  
134 0.3% 0.5%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 0.7% 99.7%  
72 0.5% 99.0%  
73 1.1% 98.5%  
74 2% 97%  
75 2% 96%  
76 3% 93%  
77 6% 90%  
78 4% 84%  
79 6% 80%  
80 11% 74%  
81 5% 64%  
82 10% 58% Median
83 9% 48%  
84 8% 39%  
85 7% 31%  
86 5% 24%  
87 4% 19%  
88 7% 15%  
89 2% 9%  
90 2% 6%  
91 2% 4%  
92 0.9% 2%  
93 0.6% 2%  
94 0.5% 0.9%  
95 0.1% 0.5%  
96 0.2% 0.3%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 0.7% 99.7%  
72 0.5% 99.0%  
73 1.1% 98.5%  
74 2% 97%  
75 2% 96%  
76 3% 93%  
77 6% 90%  
78 4% 84%  
79 6% 80%  
80 11% 74%  
81 5% 64%  
82 10% 58% Median
83 9% 48%  
84 8% 39%  
85 7% 31%  
86 5% 24%  
87 4% 19%  
88 7% 15%  
89 2% 9%  
90 2% 6% Last Result
91 2% 4%  
92 0.9% 2%  
93 0.6% 2%  
94 0.5% 0.9%  
95 0.1% 0.5%  
96 0.2% 0.3%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.4% 99.7%  
59 0.7% 99.3%  
60 0.9% 98.6%  
61 2% 98%  
62 3% 96%  
63 4% 93%  
64 5% 89%  
65 7% 83%  
66 6% 76%  
67 8% 71%  
68 8% 62%  
69 11% 54% Median
70 10% 43%  
71 7% 33%  
72 5% 26%  
73 6% 20%  
74 6% 15%  
75 3% 9%  
76 3% 6%  
77 1.4% 4%  
78 1.0% 2%  
79 0.7% 1.5%  
80 0.4% 0.8%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.4% 99.7%  
59 0.7% 99.3%  
60 0.9% 98.6%  
61 2% 98%  
62 3% 96%  
63 4% 93%  
64 5% 89%  
65 7% 83%  
66 6% 76%  
67 8% 71%  
68 8% 62%  
69 11% 54% Last Result, Median
70 10% 43%  
71 7% 33%  
72 5% 26%  
73 6% 20%  
74 6% 15%  
75 3% 9%  
76 3% 6%  
77 1.4% 4%  
78 1.0% 2%  
79 0.7% 1.5%  
80 0.4% 0.8%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.6% 99.7%  
43 0.8% 99.1%  
44 1.2% 98%  
45 3% 97%  
46 5% 94%  
47 5% 88%  
48 6% 84% Last Result
49 10% 78%  
50 11% 67%  
51 8% 56% Median
52 11% 48%  
53 11% 38%  
54 7% 27%  
55 5% 20%  
56 6% 15%  
57 4% 9%  
58 2% 5%  
59 2% 4%  
60 1.1% 2%  
61 0.4% 1.0%  
62 0.2% 0.5%  
63 0.2% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations