Opinion Poll by INSCOP for Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung, 21 January–5 February 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 27.8% 26.1–29.6% 25.6–30.1% 25.2–30.5% 24.4–31.4%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 26.7% 25.0–28.5% 24.5–29.0% 24.1–29.4% 23.3–30.3%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 17.0% 15.6–18.6% 15.2–19.0% 14.9–19.4% 14.3–20.2%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 9.2% 8.1–10.4% 7.8–10.7% 7.6–11.1% 7.1–11.7%
PRO România 0.0% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.2% 4.8–8.8%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.1%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 4.4% 3.7–5.4% 3.5–5.6% 3.4–5.9% 3.0–6.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 93 87–99 85–101 83–103 80–106
Partidul Național Liberal 69 89 83–95 81–97 79–99 77–102
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 57 52–62 51–64 49–65 47–68
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 31 27–35 26–36 25–37 23–39
PRO România 0 22 18–25 18–26 17–27 0–29
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 17 14–20 13–21 13–22 12–23
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0.3% 99.7%  
81 0.5% 99.4%  
82 0.5% 98.9%  
83 1.5% 98%  
84 2% 97%  
85 2% 95%  
86 3% 93%  
87 4% 90%  
88 4% 86%  
89 7% 82%  
90 7% 75%  
91 5% 68%  
92 7% 63%  
93 10% 56% Median
94 8% 45%  
95 7% 38%  
96 7% 31%  
97 5% 23%  
98 4% 19%  
99 5% 15%  
100 3% 10%  
101 2% 7%  
102 1.2% 4%  
103 1.2% 3%  
104 0.6% 2%  
105 0.4% 1.2%  
106 0.4% 0.8%  
107 0.2% 0.4%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 0.5% 99.7%  
78 1.1% 99.2%  
79 0.9% 98%  
80 0.8% 97%  
81 1.5% 96%  
82 3% 95%  
83 4% 92%  
84 4% 87%  
85 6% 83%  
86 6% 78%  
87 7% 71%  
88 8% 64%  
89 10% 57% Median
90 7% 47%  
91 9% 40%  
92 5% 31%  
93 5% 27%  
94 6% 21%  
95 6% 15%  
96 3% 9%  
97 2% 7%  
98 2% 5%  
99 1.3% 3%  
100 1.0% 2%  
101 0.5% 1.1%  
102 0.2% 0.6%  
103 0.2% 0.4%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.2% 99.9%  
47 0.4% 99.6%  
48 0.7% 99.3%  
49 2% 98.5%  
50 2% 97%  
51 4% 95%  
52 6% 91%  
53 5% 86%  
54 7% 81%  
55 10% 74%  
56 8% 64%  
57 10% 56% Median
58 11% 45%  
59 7% 34%  
60 8% 28%  
61 7% 20%  
62 4% 13%  
63 3% 9%  
64 2% 6%  
65 1.1% 3%  
66 1.0% 2%  
67 0.6% 1.2%  
68 0.3% 0.6%  
69 0.2% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0.2% 99.9%  
23 0.4% 99.8%  
24 1.2% 99.4%  
25 3% 98%  
26 4% 95%  
27 6% 91%  
28 9% 85%  
29 13% 76%  
30 13% 63%  
31 12% 50% Median
32 10% 38%  
33 11% 27%  
34 6% 17%  
35 5% 11%  
36 3% 6%  
37 1.5% 3%  
38 0.7% 2%  
39 0.5% 0.8%  
40 0.2% 0.3%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.1% 100% Last Result
1 0% 98.9%  
2 0% 98.9%  
3 0% 98.9%  
4 0% 98.9%  
5 0% 98.9%  
6 0% 98.9%  
7 0% 98.9%  
8 0% 98.9%  
9 0% 98.9%  
10 0% 98.9%  
11 0% 98.9%  
12 0% 98.9%  
13 0% 98.9%  
14 0% 98.9%  
15 0% 98.9%  
16 0.4% 98.9%  
17 3% 98%  
18 6% 96%  
19 8% 90%  
20 14% 82%  
21 15% 68%  
22 15% 53% Median
23 13% 38%  
24 10% 25%  
25 6% 14%  
26 5% 8%  
27 2% 4%  
28 1.1% 2%  
29 0.4% 0.8%  
30 0.2% 0.3%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.5%  
13 4% 98%  
14 9% 94%  
15 13% 84%  
16 17% 71%  
17 16% 54% Median
18 14% 38%  
19 10% 24%  
20 7% 13%  
21 4% 7% Last Result
22 2% 3%  
23 0.7% 1.2%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Median
1 0% 21%  
2 0% 21%  
3 0% 21%  
4 0% 21%  
5 0% 21%  
6 0% 21%  
7 0% 21%  
8 0% 21%  
9 0% 21%  
10 0% 21%  
11 0% 21%  
12 0% 21%  
13 0% 21%  
14 0% 21%  
15 0% 21%  
16 8% 21%  
17 7% 13%  
18 4% 6% Last Result
19 2% 3%  
20 0.6% 0.8%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 197 100% 190–205 189–207 187–209 184–213
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 194 100% 185–202 182–203 180–206 176–210
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 180 99.8% 173–188 171–191 170–192 166–197
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 177 96% 168–185 165–187 163–189 160–193
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 166 63% 159–175 157–177 156–179 153–184
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 164 44% 155–171 152–173 150–175 146–179
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 149 1.4% 142–158 140–161 139–163 136–167
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 147 0.1% 138–154 136–156 134–158 130–161
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România 174 146 0% 137–153 135–155 133–156 128–159
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 140 0% 133–149 131–151 129–154 126–158
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 137 0% 129–144 127–146 125–148 121–152
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 124 0% 116–131 114–133 112–134 109–138
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 115 0% 107–122 105–123 103–125 99–128
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 109 0% 102–119 100–122 99–124 96–128
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 106 0% 99–113 98–115 96–117 92–120
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 92 0% 85–103 84–105 82–108 79–111
Partidul Național Liberal 69 89 0% 83–95 81–97 79–99 77–102
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 59 0% 53–72 52–74 51–76 49–79

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0.1% 99.9%  
182 0.2% 99.9%  
183 0.1% 99.7%  
184 0.3% 99.6%  
185 0.5% 99.3%  
186 0.8% 98.8%  
187 1.2% 98%  
188 2% 97%  
189 3% 95%  
190 3% 92%  
191 3% 90%  
192 5% 86%  
193 6% 81%  
194 6% 75% Median
195 7% 69%  
196 8% 62%  
197 6% 54%  
198 6% 48%  
199 8% 41%  
200 6% 33%  
201 5% 28%  
202 5% 23%  
203 5% 18%  
204 3% 13%  
205 2% 10%  
206 2% 8%  
207 2% 6%  
208 1.4% 4%  
209 0.9% 3%  
210 0.6% 2%  
211 0.4% 1.3%  
212 0.2% 0.9%  
213 0.2% 0.7%  
214 0.1% 0.5%  
215 0.1% 0.4%  
216 0.1% 0.3%  
217 0.1% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.2%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.2% 99.8%  
176 0.3% 99.5%  
177 0.3% 99.3%  
178 0.5% 98.9%  
179 0.8% 98%  
180 1.2% 98%  
181 1.1% 96%  
182 1.5% 95%  
183 2% 94%  
184 2% 92%  
185 2% 90%  
186 3% 88%  
187 3% 85%  
188 3% 82%  
189 4% 80%  
190 4% 75%  
191 4% 72%  
192 6% 68%  
193 6% 62%  
194 6% 56% Median
195 7% 50%  
196 8% 43%  
197 5% 35%  
198 5% 30%  
199 6% 25%  
200 5% 19%  
201 3% 14%  
202 3% 11%  
203 3% 8%  
204 1.4% 5%  
205 0.9% 4%  
206 0.9% 3%  
207 0.5% 2%  
208 0.3% 1.2%  
209 0.2% 0.9%  
210 0.2% 0.7%  
211 0.1% 0.5%  
212 0.1% 0.4%  
213 0.1% 0.3%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0.1% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0.1% 99.9%  
165 0.1% 99.8% Majority
166 0.2% 99.7%  
167 0.4% 99.5%  
168 0.6% 99.1%  
169 0.8% 98.5%  
170 1.4% 98%  
171 2% 96%  
172 2% 94%  
173 3% 92%  
174 4% 89%  
175 4% 85%  
176 6% 81%  
177 5% 74% Median
178 8% 69%  
179 6% 61%  
180 7% 55%  
181 7% 48%  
182 6% 41%  
183 5% 35%  
184 5% 30%  
185 4% 25%  
186 4% 20%  
187 4% 16%  
188 3% 12%  
189 2% 9%  
190 2% 7%  
191 1.3% 6%  
192 2% 4%  
193 0.8% 2%  
194 0.4% 2%  
195 0.4% 1.2%  
196 0.3% 0.8%  
197 0.2% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0.1% 100%  
157 0.1% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.8%  
159 0.1% 99.7%  
160 0.3% 99.6%  
161 0.5% 99.2%  
162 0.7% 98.7%  
163 1.1% 98%  
164 1.1% 97%  
165 0.9% 96% Majority
166 2% 95%  
167 2% 93%  
168 2% 91%  
169 3% 89%  
170 3% 87%  
171 4% 84%  
172 3% 80%  
173 4% 77%  
174 5% 72%  
175 5% 67%  
176 7% 62%  
177 6% 55% Median
178 8% 50%  
179 6% 42%  
180 6% 36%  
181 6% 30%  
182 5% 24%  
183 4% 19%  
184 3% 15%  
185 3% 11%  
186 2% 8%  
187 3% 6%  
188 1.2% 4%  
189 0.8% 3%  
190 0.4% 2%  
191 0.4% 1.3%  
192 0.4% 0.9%  
193 0.1% 0.6%  
194 0.1% 0.4%  
195 0.1% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100% Last Result
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.2% 99.8%  
153 0.4% 99.6%  
154 0.5% 99.1%  
155 0.8% 98.6%  
156 1.3% 98%  
157 2% 97%  
158 2% 95%  
159 3% 92%  
160 5% 90%  
161 4% 85%  
162 5% 81%  
163 7% 76% Median
164 6% 69%  
165 6% 63% Majority
166 8% 57%  
167 6% 49%  
168 7% 43%  
169 6% 36%  
170 5% 31%  
171 5% 26%  
172 4% 21%  
173 3% 17%  
174 2% 13%  
175 3% 11%  
176 1.4% 8%  
177 2% 7%  
178 1.4% 5%  
179 0.8% 3%  
180 0.9% 2%  
181 0.4% 2%  
182 0.4% 1.2%  
183 0.3% 0.8%  
184 0.2% 0.5%  
185 0.1% 0.4%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.8%  
146 0.3% 99.7%  
147 0.4% 99.4%  
148 0.4% 99.1%  
149 0.7% 98.6%  
150 0.7% 98%  
151 1.1% 97%  
152 2% 96%  
153 2% 94%  
154 2% 93%  
155 3% 91%  
156 3% 88%  
157 3% 85%  
158 3% 81%  
159 4% 78%  
160 5% 74%  
161 5% 68%  
162 6% 63%  
163 7% 57% Median
164 7% 50%  
165 6% 44% Majority
166 7% 38%  
167 5% 30%  
168 6% 25%  
169 4% 19%  
170 4% 15%  
171 3% 11%  
172 2% 8%  
173 2% 6%  
174 1.4% 4%  
175 1.0% 3%  
176 0.5% 2%  
177 0.5% 1.2%  
178 0.2% 0.8%  
179 0.2% 0.5%  
180 0.1% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.3%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0.2% 99.7%  
136 0.4% 99.5%  
137 0.5% 99.1%  
138 0.8% 98.6%  
139 1.2% 98%  
140 2% 97%  
141 3% 95%  
142 3% 92%  
143 5% 89%  
144 4% 85%  
145 6% 81%  
146 6% 75% Median
147 6% 69%  
148 8% 63%  
149 5% 55%  
150 8% 50%  
151 4% 42%  
152 6% 38%  
153 4% 32%  
154 5% 28%  
155 4% 23%  
156 4% 19%  
157 3% 15%  
158 3% 12%  
159 2% 10%  
160 2% 8%  
161 2% 6%  
162 1.3% 4%  
163 0.9% 3%  
164 0.7% 2%  
165 0.4% 1.4% Majority
166 0.2% 0.9%  
167 0.3% 0.7%  
168 0.1% 0.4%  
169 0.1% 0.3%  
170 0.1% 0.2%  
171 0.1% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.2% 99.8%  
130 0.2% 99.7%  
131 0.4% 99.5%  
132 0.5% 99.1%  
133 0.7% 98.6%  
134 1.1% 98%  
135 1.2% 97%  
136 1.4% 96%  
137 2% 94%  
138 2% 92%  
139 3% 90%  
140 4% 87%  
141 4% 82%  
142 4% 79%  
143 6% 75%  
144 5% 69%  
145 7% 64%  
146 7% 57% Median
147 7% 50%  
148 8% 44%  
149 5% 36%  
150 7% 31%  
151 4% 24%  
152 5% 20%  
153 3% 15%  
154 3% 12%  
155 2% 8%  
156 2% 6%  
157 1.4% 4%  
158 0.9% 3%  
159 0.6% 2%  
160 0.4% 1.1%  
161 0.3% 0.7%  
162 0.2% 0.5%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1% Majority
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.8%  
127 0.1% 99.7%  
128 0.2% 99.6%  
129 0.3% 99.5%  
130 0.4% 99.2%  
131 0.4% 98.8%  
132 0.9% 98%  
133 0.8% 98%  
134 1.4% 97%  
135 2% 95%  
136 1.4% 93%  
137 3% 92%  
138 2% 89%  
139 3% 87%  
140 4% 83%  
141 5% 79%  
142 5% 74%  
143 6% 69%  
144 7% 64%  
145 6% 57%  
146 8% 51% Median
147 6% 43%  
148 6% 37%  
149 7% 31%  
150 5% 24%  
151 4% 19%  
152 5% 15%  
153 3% 10%  
154 2% 8%  
155 2% 5%  
156 1.3% 3%  
157 0.8% 2%  
158 0.5% 1.4%  
159 0.4% 0.9%  
160 0.2% 0.4%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0.1% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0% 100%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.8%  
126 0.3% 99.7%  
127 0.5% 99.3%  
128 0.7% 98.8% Last Result
129 0.8% 98%  
130 1.4% 97%  
131 2% 96%  
132 3% 93%  
133 3% 90%  
134 6% 87%  
135 6% 82%  
136 5% 76%  
137 5% 72% Median
138 7% 66%  
139 8% 59%  
140 5% 51%  
141 6% 46%  
142 6% 40%  
143 5% 34%  
144 3% 29%  
145 4% 25%  
146 4% 21%  
147 3% 17%  
148 2% 14%  
149 4% 12%  
150 2% 8%  
151 1.4% 6%  
152 1.4% 5%  
153 1.0% 4%  
154 0.6% 3%  
155 0.6% 2%  
156 0.4% 1.3%  
157 0.3% 0.9%  
158 0.2% 0.6%  
159 0.1% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0.1% 100%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0.3% 99.7%  
122 0.4% 99.4%  
123 0.4% 99.0%  
124 1.0% 98.5%  
125 1.2% 98%  
126 1.1% 96%  
127 1.2% 95%  
128 3% 94%  
129 3% 91%  
130 2% 89%  
131 5% 87%  
132 5% 82%  
133 5% 77%  
134 7% 72%  
135 7% 65%  
136 6% 58%  
137 5% 53% Median
138 8% 47%  
139 8% 40%  
140 5% 32%  
141 5% 27%  
142 5% 22%  
143 5% 16%  
144 2% 12%  
145 3% 9%  
146 2% 7%  
147 1.5% 4%  
148 0.8% 3%  
149 0.8% 2%  
150 0.5% 1.3%  
151 0.2% 0.8%  
152 0.2% 0.6%  
153 0.2% 0.4%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.2%  
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0.1% 99.7%  
109 0.2% 99.6%  
110 0.5% 99.4%  
111 0.8% 98.9%  
112 0.9% 98%  
113 1.1% 97%  
114 2% 96%  
115 2% 94%  
116 3% 92%  
117 2% 89%  
118 4% 86%  
119 4% 82%  
120 7% 78%  
121 6% 71%  
122 7% 65%  
123 5% 58%  
124 9% 53% Median
125 7% 44%  
126 7% 38%  
127 5% 30%  
128 7% 25%  
129 3% 19%  
130 5% 15%  
131 3% 10%  
132 3% 8%  
133 1.2% 5%  
134 1.5% 4%  
135 0.6% 2%  
136 0.7% 2%  
137 0.4% 1.1%  
138 0.3% 0.7%  
139 0.1% 0.4%  
140 0.2% 0.3%  
141 0% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.8%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.1% 99.7%  
98 0.1% 99.6%  
99 0.2% 99.5%  
100 0.2% 99.3%  
101 0.4% 99.1%  
102 0.6% 98.7%  
103 0.9% 98%  
104 1.4% 97%  
105 2% 96%  
106 2% 94%  
107 2% 92%  
108 3% 90%  
109 5% 87%  
110 5% 82%  
111 5% 77%  
112 6% 72%  
113 8% 67%  
114 6% 59%  
115 6% 52% Median
116 8% 46%  
117 7% 38%  
118 6% 31%  
119 6% 25%  
120 5% 19%  
121 3% 14%  
122 3% 10%  
123 3% 8%  
124 2% 5%  
125 1.2% 3%  
126 0.8% 2%  
127 0.5% 1.2%  
128 0.3% 0.7%  
129 0.1% 0.4%  
130 0.2% 0.3%  
131 0.1% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0.1% 100%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.2% 99.7%  
96 0.3% 99.5%  
97 0.5% 99.3%  
98 1.1% 98.8%  
99 1.4% 98%  
100 2% 96%  
101 3% 95%  
102 5% 92%  
103 4% 87%  
104 4% 83%  
105 6% 79%  
106 8% 72% Median
107 7% 64%  
108 4% 58% Last Result
109 7% 54%  
110 6% 47%  
111 6% 40%  
112 4% 34%  
113 4% 31%  
114 4% 27%  
115 4% 23%  
116 3% 19%  
117 3% 17%  
118 2% 14%  
119 3% 12%  
120 2% 9%  
121 2% 7%  
122 1.2% 5%  
123 1.0% 4%  
124 1.0% 3%  
125 0.6% 2%  
126 0.4% 1.4%  
127 0.3% 1.0%  
128 0.4% 0.7%  
129 0.1% 0.3%  
130 0.1% 0.2%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.4% 99.8%  
93 0.4% 99.3%  
94 0.6% 98.9%  
95 0.8% 98%  
96 1.2% 98%  
97 1.3% 96%  
98 3% 95%  
99 3% 92%  
100 3% 89%  
101 4% 86%  
102 6% 82%  
103 7% 76%  
104 6% 69%  
105 7% 63%  
106 9% 55% Median
107 7% 46%  
108 5% 39%  
109 7% 34%  
110 7% 27%  
111 6% 21%  
112 3% 15%  
113 3% 12%  
114 3% 9%  
115 2% 6%  
116 0.8% 4%  
117 1.2% 3%  
118 0.7% 2%  
119 0.4% 0.9%  
120 0.1% 0.5%  
121 0.1% 0.4%  
122 0.2% 0.3%  
123 0.1% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.4% 99.8%  
80 0.7% 99.4%  
81 0.8% 98.7%  
82 0.7% 98%  
83 2% 97%  
84 3% 96%  
85 5% 93%  
86 5% 87%  
87 3% 82% Last Result
88 5% 79%  
89 9% 74% Median
90 7% 65%  
91 8% 58%  
92 4% 50%  
93 5% 47%  
94 6% 41%  
95 6% 35%  
96 3% 29%  
97 2% 26%  
98 3% 23%  
99 3% 20%  
100 3% 18%  
101 1.5% 15%  
102 1.3% 13%  
103 4% 12%  
104 2% 8%  
105 2% 6%  
106 1.1% 5%  
107 1.0% 4%  
108 1.0% 3%  
109 0.8% 2%  
110 0.3% 1.1%  
111 0.3% 0.7%  
112 0.2% 0.5%  
113 0.1% 0.3%  
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 0.5% 99.7%  
78 1.1% 99.2%  
79 0.9% 98%  
80 0.8% 97%  
81 1.5% 96%  
82 3% 95%  
83 4% 92%  
84 4% 87%  
85 6% 83%  
86 6% 78%  
87 7% 71%  
88 8% 64%  
89 10% 57% Median
90 7% 47%  
91 9% 40%  
92 5% 31%  
93 5% 27%  
94 6% 21%  
95 6% 15%  
96 3% 9%  
97 2% 7%  
98 2% 5%  
99 1.3% 3%  
100 1.0% 2%  
101 0.5% 1.1%  
102 0.2% 0.6%  
103 0.2% 0.4%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.8% Last Result
49 0.8% 99.5%  
50 0.8% 98.7%  
51 2% 98%  
52 3% 96%  
53 3% 92%  
54 5% 89%  
55 8% 84%  
56 6% 77%  
57 8% 70% Median
58 9% 62%  
59 6% 52%  
60 7% 46%  
61 7% 40%  
62 4% 33%  
63 3% 29%  
64 3% 26%  
65 1.5% 24%  
66 2% 22%  
67 2% 20%  
68 3% 19%  
69 2% 16%  
70 2% 14%  
71 2% 13%  
72 2% 11%  
73 2% 9%  
74 2% 7%  
75 2% 5%  
76 1.2% 3%  
77 0.7% 2%  
78 0.5% 1.3%  
79 0.4% 0.8%  
80 0.1% 0.4%  
81 0.2% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations