Opinion Poll by CURS for STIRIPESURSE.RO, 21 January–6 February 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 31.0% 29.2–32.9% 28.7–33.4% 28.3–33.9% 27.5–34.8%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 21.0% 19.4–22.7% 19.0–23.1% 18.7–23.5% 17.9–24.4%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 13.0% 11.8–14.4% 11.4–14.8% 11.1–15.2% 10.6–15.9%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.4–12.0% 7.9–12.6%
PRO România 0.0% 8.0% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.1–10.3%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 107 100–115 98–117 96–118 93–122
Partidul Național Liberal 69 72 66–78 64–80 63–82 61–85
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 45 40–50 39–51 38–53 36–55
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 36 30–38 28–39 27–40 26–44
PRO România 0 27 23–31 23–32 22–33 20–35
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 17 15–20 13–21 13–22 11–24
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–23

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.2% 99.8%  
93 0.3% 99.6%  
94 0.3% 99.3%  
95 1.0% 99.0%  
96 0.9% 98%  
97 1.4% 97%  
98 2% 96%  
99 2% 93%  
100 3% 91%  
101 5% 88%  
102 6% 83%  
103 5% 78%  
104 8% 73%  
105 8% 65%  
106 6% 57%  
107 7% 51% Median
108 6% 44%  
109 6% 38%  
110 4% 33%  
111 6% 29%  
112 3% 23%  
113 3% 19%  
114 5% 16%  
115 2% 11%  
116 3% 9%  
117 3% 6%  
118 0.9% 3%  
119 1.0% 2%  
120 0.5% 1.5%  
121 0.4% 0.9%  
122 0.2% 0.5%  
123 0.1% 0.3%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.3% 99.8%  
61 0.5% 99.5%  
62 0.7% 99.0%  
63 1.2% 98%  
64 2% 97%  
65 3% 95%  
66 3% 92%  
67 6% 88%  
68 6% 82%  
69 7% 76% Last Result
70 9% 69%  
71 7% 60%  
72 6% 53% Median
73 9% 47%  
74 7% 38%  
75 7% 30%  
76 6% 24%  
77 4% 18%  
78 3% 13%  
79 4% 10%  
80 2% 6%  
81 1.3% 4%  
82 1.1% 3%  
83 0.6% 1.5%  
84 0.4% 0.9%  
85 0.2% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 0.3% 99.9%  
36 0.5% 99.6%  
37 1.2% 99.1%  
38 2% 98%  
39 3% 96%  
40 5% 93%  
41 7% 88%  
42 8% 80%  
43 10% 72%  
44 9% 63%  
45 11% 53% Median
46 10% 43%  
47 8% 32%  
48 8% 24%  
49 5% 16%  
50 3% 11%  
51 3% 8%  
52 2% 5%  
53 1.3% 3%  
54 0.7% 1.4%  
55 0.3% 0.7%  
56 0.2% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.2% 100%  
26 0.6% 99.8%  
27 2% 99.2%  
28 3% 97%  
29 3% 95%  
30 2% 92%  
31 1.1% 89%  
32 1.1% 88%  
33 5% 87%  
34 13% 82%  
35 19% 69%  
36 19% 50% Median
37 16% 32%  
38 10% 16%  
39 3% 6%  
40 1.3% 3%  
41 0.3% 1.5%  
42 0.2% 1.2%  
43 0.3% 1.0%  
44 0.3% 0.7%  
45 0.2% 0.4%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.2% 100%  
20 0.5% 99.8%  
21 1.3% 99.3%  
22 3% 98%  
23 6% 95%  
24 8% 89%  
25 10% 81%  
26 14% 71%  
27 14% 57% Median
28 12% 43%  
29 9% 31%  
30 9% 22%  
31 6% 13%  
32 3% 7%  
33 2% 4%  
34 1.2% 2%  
35 0.6% 1.0%  
36 0.2% 0.4%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.9%  
12 0.4% 99.5%  
13 7% 99.1%  
14 2% 92%  
15 24% 91%  
16 2% 67%  
17 32% 65% Median
18 4% 33%  
19 17% 29%  
20 3% 12%  
21 4% 9% Last Result
22 3% 4%  
23 0.7% 2%  
24 0.6% 0.8%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 52% 100% Median
1 0% 48%  
2 0% 48%  
3 0% 48%  
4 0% 48%  
5 0% 48%  
6 0% 48%  
7 0% 48%  
8 0% 48%  
9 0% 48%  
10 0% 48%  
11 0% 48%  
12 0% 48%  
13 0% 48%  
14 0% 48%  
15 0% 48%  
16 1.2% 48%  
17 17% 47%  
18 13% 30% Last Result
19 8% 17%  
20 4% 9%  
21 2% 4%  
22 1.1% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.7%  
24 0.2% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 158 178 98% 169–186 167–188 165–190 162–193
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România 174 169 74% 160–178 158–181 156–183 152–186
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 169 72% 160–178 158–181 156–182 152–185
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 161 31% 152–169 150–172 148–173 145–177
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 152 3% 143–161 141–163 139–165 136–168
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 138 143 0% 134–152 131–154 129–156 126–160
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 142 0% 134–151 131–152 129–154 126–157
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 134 0% 126–143 124–145 122–147 119–150
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 134 0% 126–142 124–145 122–146 119–149
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 128 133 0% 123–142 121–145 120–146 116–150
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 126 0% 116–135 114–137 112–139 109–143
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 124 0% 117–132 114–135 113–136 109–140
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 117 0% 109–125 107–127 105–128 102–132
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 108 98 0% 88–108 86–111 84–112 81–116
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 89 0% 83–96 80–98 79–99 77–102
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 81 0% 70–91 69–94 67–95 65–99
Partidul Național Liberal 69 72 0% 66–78 64–80 63–82 61–85
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 53 0% 43–65 41–66 40–68 38–70

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0.1% 99.9%  
161 0.1% 99.8%  
162 0.4% 99.7%  
163 0.4% 99.3%  
164 0.8% 98.9%  
165 0.8% 98% Majority
166 1.0% 97%  
167 2% 96%  
168 3% 95%  
169 3% 92%  
170 3% 89% Median
171 3% 86%  
172 4% 82%  
173 4% 78%  
174 6% 74%  
175 5% 68%  
176 7% 64%  
177 4% 57%  
178 6% 53%  
179 6% 47%  
180 5% 41%  
181 6% 36%  
182 5% 30%  
183 5% 25%  
184 3% 20%  
185 4% 17%  
186 4% 12%  
187 2% 9%  
188 2% 6%  
189 1.4% 4%  
190 0.6% 3%  
191 1.0% 2%  
192 0.6% 1.2%  
193 0.3% 0.7%  
194 0.2% 0.4%  
195 0.1% 0.2%  
196 0.1% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.8%  
152 0.2% 99.7%  
153 0.3% 99.5%  
154 0.7% 99.2%  
155 0.8% 98.5%  
156 0.8% 98%  
157 1.3% 97%  
158 2% 96%  
159 2% 94%  
160 3% 92%  
161 3% 88%  
162 3% 85%  
163 5% 82%  
164 3% 77%  
165 6% 74% Majority
166 4% 68%  
167 5% 63%  
168 3% 58%  
169 6% 55%  
170 5% 49% Median
171 5% 44%  
172 5% 39%  
173 4% 34%  
174 4% 30% Last Result
175 5% 26%  
176 4% 21%  
177 3% 17%  
178 5% 14%  
179 2% 9%  
180 2% 7%  
181 2% 6%  
182 0.9% 4%  
183 1.1% 3%  
184 0.8% 2%  
185 0.3% 0.8%  
186 0.2% 0.5%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0.1% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.8%  
152 0.2% 99.7%  
153 0.4% 99.5%  
154 0.5% 99.1%  
155 0.7% 98.6%  
156 1.0% 98%  
157 1.5% 97%  
158 2% 95%  
159 2% 93%  
160 2% 91%  
161 5% 89%  
162 3% 84%  
163 4% 81%  
164 6% 77%  
165 5% 72% Majority
166 5% 67%  
167 4% 62%  
168 6% 58%  
169 6% 52%  
170 4% 46% Median
171 5% 42%  
172 5% 38%  
173 4% 33%  
174 5% 29%  
175 4% 24%  
176 5% 20%  
177 3% 15%  
178 3% 12%  
179 2% 9%  
180 2% 7%  
181 2% 5%  
182 1.1% 3%  
183 1.2% 2%  
184 0.4% 1.3%  
185 0.4% 0.8%  
186 0.2% 0.5%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0.1% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.2% 99.7%  
145 0.5% 99.5%  
146 0.5% 99.1%  
147 0.6% 98.6%  
148 0.8% 98%  
149 2% 97%  
150 2% 96%  
151 3% 94%  
152 2% 90%  
153 3% 88% Median
154 5% 85%  
155 4% 80%  
156 4% 77%  
157 5% 72%  
158 6% 67%  
159 5% 61%  
160 4% 56%  
161 5% 52%  
162 5% 47%  
163 6% 42%  
164 5% 36%  
165 4% 31% Majority
166 5% 27%  
167 5% 22%  
168 5% 17%  
169 3% 13%  
170 2% 10%  
171 2% 8%  
172 2% 5%  
173 0.8% 3%  
174 0.8% 2%  
175 0.6% 2%  
176 0.4% 0.9%  
177 0.2% 0.5%  
178 0.1% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0.1% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0.2% 99.7%  
136 0.3% 99.6%  
137 0.3% 99.3%  
138 0.7% 99.0%  
139 1.3% 98%  
140 1.1% 97%  
141 2% 96%  
142 2% 94%  
143 3% 92%  
144 4% 90%  
145 3% 85%  
146 5% 82%  
147 3% 77%  
148 4% 74%  
149 6% 69%  
150 5% 63%  
151 7% 58%  
152 5% 52%  
153 5% 47% Median
154 6% 42%  
155 4% 36%  
156 5% 32%  
157 4% 27%  
158 5% 22%  
159 4% 17%  
160 3% 14%  
161 3% 11%  
162 2% 8%  
163 2% 7%  
164 2% 5%  
165 1.1% 3% Majority
166 0.7% 2%  
167 0.3% 1.2%  
168 0.4% 0.9%  
169 0.2% 0.5%  
170 0.1% 0.3%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0.1% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0% 100%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.8%  
126 0.2% 99.7%  
127 0.3% 99.5%  
128 0.8% 99.2%  
129 1.1% 98%  
130 0.9% 97%  
131 2% 96%  
132 2% 94%  
133 2% 93%  
134 5% 91% Median
135 3% 86%  
136 4% 83%  
137 5% 79%  
138 4% 74% Last Result
139 4% 70%  
140 5% 66%  
141 5% 61%  
142 5% 56%  
143 6% 51%  
144 3% 45%  
145 5% 42%  
146 4% 37%  
147 6% 32%  
148 3% 26%  
149 5% 23%  
150 3% 18%  
151 3% 15%  
152 3% 12%  
153 2% 8%  
154 2% 6%  
155 1.3% 4%  
156 0.8% 3%  
157 0.8% 2%  
158 0.7% 1.5%  
159 0.3% 0.8%  
160 0.2% 0.5%  
161 0.1% 0.3%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0.1% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0% Majority

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0% 100%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.8%  
125 0.2% 99.7%  
126 0.3% 99.5%  
127 0.3% 99.2%  
128 0.9% 98.9%  
129 0.7% 98%  
130 1.4% 97%  
131 1.3% 96%  
132 2% 95%  
133 2% 93%  
134 2% 91%  
135 4% 88%  
136 4% 85%  
137 4% 81%  
138 5% 77%  
139 6% 72%  
140 7% 66%  
141 6% 60%  
142 6% 54%  
143 6% 48% Median
144 6% 42%  
145 4% 35%  
146 6% 31%  
147 4% 26%  
148 4% 22%  
149 4% 18%  
150 4% 14%  
151 2% 10%  
152 3% 8%  
153 0.9% 4%  
154 2% 4%  
155 0.6% 2%  
156 0.7% 1.4%  
157 0.2% 0.7%  
158 0.2% 0.5%  
159 0.1% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
115 0% 100%  
116 0.1% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0.2% 99.8%  
119 0.3% 99.6%  
120 0.6% 99.3%  
121 1.0% 98.8%  
122 0.6% 98%  
123 1.4% 97%  
124 2% 96%  
125 2% 94%  
126 4% 91%  
127 4% 88%  
128 3% 83%  
129 5% 80%  
130 5% 75%  
131 6% 70%  
132 5% 64%  
133 6% 59%  
134 6% 53% Median
135 4% 47%  
136 7% 43%  
137 5% 36%  
138 6% 32%  
139 4% 26%  
140 4% 22%  
141 3% 18%  
142 3% 14%  
143 3% 11%  
144 3% 8%  
145 2% 5%  
146 1.0% 4%  
147 0.8% 3%  
148 0.8% 2%  
149 0.4% 1.1%  
150 0.4% 0.7%  
151 0.1% 0.3%  
152 0.1% 0.2%  
153 0.1% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1% Last Result
155 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
115 0% 100%  
116 0.1% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0.3% 99.8%  
119 0.3% 99.6%  
120 0.6% 99.2% Last Result
121 0.7% 98.7%  
122 0.9% 98%  
123 2% 97%  
124 2% 95%  
125 3% 94%  
126 5% 91%  
127 4% 86%  
128 3% 83%  
129 6% 80%  
130 6% 74%  
131 5% 69%  
132 7% 64%  
133 4% 57%  
134 7% 53% Median
135 6% 47%  
136 5% 41%  
137 6% 35%  
138 4% 29%  
139 4% 25%  
140 5% 20%  
141 3% 16%  
142 4% 12%  
143 2% 9%  
144 1.0% 6%  
145 2% 5%  
146 1.1% 3%  
147 0.9% 2%  
148 0.5% 1.3%  
149 0.3% 0.8%  
150 0.2% 0.5%  
151 0.1% 0.3%  
152 0.1% 0.2%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.2% 99.8%  
116 0.4% 99.6%  
117 0.3% 99.2%  
118 0.3% 98.9%  
119 1.0% 98.7%  
120 2% 98%  
121 2% 96%  
122 3% 93%  
123 1.4% 91%  
124 3% 89%  
125 4% 86% Median
126 5% 83%  
127 4% 77%  
128 2% 73% Last Result
129 3% 71%  
130 8% 68%  
131 6% 60%  
132 3% 54%  
133 2% 51%  
134 2% 49%  
135 6% 46%  
136 6% 40%  
137 5% 34%  
138 3% 28%  
139 3% 26%  
140 8% 23%  
141 4% 16%  
142 2% 12%  
143 1.1% 10%  
144 2% 9%  
145 3% 7%  
146 2% 4%  
147 0.6% 2%  
148 0.4% 1.4%  
149 0.3% 1.0%  
150 0.4% 0.7%  
151 0.2% 0.4%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.8%  
109 0.3% 99.7%  
110 0.4% 99.4%  
111 0.7% 99.0%  
112 0.9% 98%  
113 1.3% 97%  
114 2% 96%  
115 2% 94%  
116 3% 92%  
117 3% 89% Last Result, Median
118 4% 86%  
119 5% 82%  
120 5% 77%  
121 5% 72%  
122 4% 68%  
123 5% 64%  
124 4% 59%  
125 4% 55%  
126 6% 51%  
127 3% 46%  
128 7% 43%  
129 4% 36%  
130 2% 32%  
131 5% 30%  
132 6% 25%  
133 3% 19%  
134 4% 16%  
135 3% 12%  
136 2% 9%  
137 3% 7%  
138 1.2% 4%  
139 0.9% 3%  
140 0.8% 2%  
141 0.5% 2%  
142 0.4% 1.0%  
143 0.2% 0.6%  
144 0.2% 0.4%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.2% 99.9%  
109 0.3% 99.7%  
110 0.3% 99.4% Last Result
111 0.4% 99.1%  
112 1.2% 98.8%  
113 2% 98%  
114 1.5% 96%  
115 1.2% 94%  
116 2% 93%  
117 3% 91%  
118 6% 87%  
119 5% 82%  
120 5% 76%  
121 6% 72%  
122 6% 66%  
123 7% 59%  
124 5% 52%  
125 5% 47% Median
126 7% 42%  
127 5% 35%  
128 4% 30%  
129 4% 26%  
130 7% 22%  
131 5% 16%  
132 3% 11%  
133 1.3% 8%  
134 2% 7%  
135 2% 5%  
136 1.0% 3%  
137 0.8% 2%  
138 0.3% 1.2%  
139 0.3% 0.8%  
140 0.3% 0.6%  
141 0.2% 0.3%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.2% 99.9%  
102 0.2% 99.7%  
103 0.4% 99.5%  
104 0.7% 99.1%  
105 0.9% 98%  
106 1.2% 97%  
107 2% 96%  
108 2% 95%  
109 4% 92%  
110 4% 89%  
111 4% 84%  
112 4% 80%  
113 4% 76%  
114 7% 72%  
115 7% 65%  
116 6% 58%  
117 5% 52% Median
118 6% 46%  
119 6% 40%  
120 6% 34%  
121 5% 27%  
122 4% 22%  
123 4% 18%  
124 3% 14%  
125 3% 11%  
126 2% 8%  
127 1.4% 6%  
128 2% 4%  
129 0.7% 2%  
130 0.8% 2%  
131 0.4% 1.0%  
132 0.2% 0.6%  
133 0.2% 0.4%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0.1% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8%  
81 0.2% 99.7%  
82 0.6% 99.4%  
83 0.9% 98.8%  
84 0.8% 98%  
85 2% 97%  
86 2% 95%  
87 2% 93%  
88 4% 91%  
89 4% 87% Median
90 4% 83%  
91 3% 79%  
92 6% 76%  
93 5% 70%  
94 4% 65%  
95 4% 61%  
96 3% 57%  
97 3% 54%  
98 3% 51%  
99 3% 48%  
100 3% 45%  
101 5% 41%  
102 4% 36%  
103 5% 33%  
104 5% 28%  
105 3% 22%  
106 3% 19%  
107 4% 16%  
108 3% 12% Last Result
109 2% 9%  
110 2% 7%  
111 2% 5%  
112 1.1% 3%  
113 0.7% 2%  
114 0.4% 1.3%  
115 0.3% 0.9%  
116 0.3% 0.6%  
117 0.1% 0.3%  
118 0.1% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.7%  
77 0.5% 99.5%  
78 0.6% 99.1%  
79 1.2% 98%  
80 2% 97%  
81 2% 95%  
82 3% 93%  
83 5% 90%  
84 5% 85%  
85 7% 81%  
86 7% 74%  
87 6% 67%  
88 8% 61%  
89 8% 53% Median
90 6% 46% Last Result
91 5% 39%  
92 8% 34%  
93 6% 26%  
94 5% 20%  
95 5% 15%  
96 3% 11%  
97 2% 8%  
98 2% 6%  
99 1.5% 4%  
100 0.6% 2%  
101 0.7% 2%  
102 0.4% 0.9%  
103 0.2% 0.5%  
104 0.2% 0.3%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.5% 99.5%  
66 0.8% 99.0%  
67 1.2% 98%  
68 1.4% 97%  
69 2% 96%  
70 4% 94%  
71 4% 90%  
72 3% 86% Median
73 5% 83%  
74 5% 78%  
75 6% 73%  
76 4% 67%  
77 3% 63%  
78 3% 59%  
79 4% 56%  
80 3% 53%  
81 2% 50%  
82 3% 48%  
83 3% 45%  
84 4% 42%  
85 3% 38%  
86 5% 34%  
87 5% 29% Last Result
88 4% 25%  
89 4% 20%  
90 4% 17%  
91 3% 13%  
92 3% 10%  
93 2% 7%  
94 2% 5%  
95 1.2% 3%  
96 0.9% 2%  
97 0.5% 1.3%  
98 0.3% 0.8%  
99 0.2% 0.5%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.3% 99.8%  
61 0.5% 99.5%  
62 0.7% 99.0%  
63 1.2% 98%  
64 2% 97%  
65 3% 95%  
66 3% 92%  
67 6% 88%  
68 6% 82%  
69 7% 76% Last Result
70 9% 69%  
71 7% 60%  
72 6% 53% Median
73 9% 47%  
74 7% 38%  
75 7% 30%  
76 6% 24%  
77 4% 18%  
78 3% 13%  
79 4% 10%  
80 2% 6%  
81 1.3% 4%  
82 1.1% 3%  
83 0.6% 1.5%  
84 0.4% 0.9%  
85 0.2% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.9%  
38 0.5% 99.7%  
39 0.7% 99.2%  
40 1.5% 98%  
41 2% 97%  
42 3% 95%  
43 5% 92%  
44 4% 88%  
45 5% 83% Median
46 7% 78%  
47 5% 71%  
48 6% 66% Last Result
49 4% 61%  
50 2% 57%  
51 2% 54%  
52 2% 52%  
53 1.3% 50%  
54 1.3% 49%  
55 1.0% 48%  
56 2% 47%  
57 3% 45%  
58 4% 42%  
59 3% 38%  
60 6% 35%  
61 5% 29%  
62 5% 25%  
63 5% 20%  
64 4% 15%  
65 4% 11%  
66 3% 7%  
67 2% 5%  
68 1.4% 3%  
69 0.6% 2%  
70 0.5% 1.0%  
71 0.2% 0.5%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations