Opinion Poll by IMAS for Europa FM, 1–21 February 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 23.6% 21.9–25.3% 21.4–25.8% 21.0–26.3% 20.3–27.2%
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 23.4% 21.7–25.1% 21.2–25.7% 20.9–26.1% 20.1–26.9%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 18.5% 17.0–20.2% 16.6–20.6% 16.2–21.0% 15.5–21.8%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 12.4% 11.1–13.8% 10.8–14.2% 10.5–14.6% 9.9–15.3%
PRO România 0.0% 11.1% 9.9–12.5% 9.6–12.8% 9.3–13.2% 8.7–13.9%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 5.0% 4.3–6.1% 4.0–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 3.5% 2.8–4.3% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 69 78 72–84 71–86 70–87 67–90
Partidul Social Democrat 154 77 72–83 70–85 69–86 66–89
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 62 56–67 55–69 54–70 51–73
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 41 37–46 36–47 35–48 33–51
PRO România 0 37 33–41 31–43 31–44 29–46
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 16 14–20 13–21 12–22 11–23
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0 0 0 0–16

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.3% 99.6%  
68 0.6% 99.3%  
69 1.2% 98.7% Last Result
70 2% 98%  
71 2% 96%  
72 4% 93%  
73 6% 90%  
74 6% 84%  
75 7% 77%  
76 8% 70%  
77 10% 62%  
78 8% 52% Median
79 8% 45%  
80 7% 37%  
81 7% 30%  
82 6% 23%  
83 5% 17%  
84 4% 12%  
85 3% 8%  
86 2% 5%  
87 1.4% 3%  
88 0.7% 2%  
89 0.5% 1.2%  
90 0.3% 0.6%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.7%  
67 0.6% 99.5%  
68 0.9% 98.9%  
69 1.4% 98%  
70 2% 97%  
71 3% 94%  
72 4% 91%  
73 6% 87%  
74 7% 81%  
75 8% 74%  
76 8% 66%  
77 10% 58% Median
78 8% 48%  
79 9% 40%  
80 7% 31%  
81 7% 24%  
82 5% 18%  
83 3% 12%  
84 3% 9%  
85 2% 6%  
86 1.3% 4%  
87 0.9% 2%  
88 0.6% 1.4%  
89 0.4% 0.8%  
90 0.2% 0.4%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 99.7%  
52 0.6% 99.4%  
53 1.0% 98.8%  
54 2% 98%  
55 3% 96%  
56 4% 93%  
57 5% 89%  
58 6% 85%  
59 8% 78%  
60 9% 70%  
61 8% 61%  
62 10% 53% Median
63 9% 42%  
64 8% 33%  
65 6% 25%  
66 6% 19%  
67 4% 13%  
68 3% 8%  
69 2% 5%  
70 1.3% 3%  
71 0.9% 2%  
72 0.4% 1.0%  
73 0.3% 0.6%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0.1% 99.9%  
32 0.3% 99.8%  
33 0.8% 99.5%  
34 1.2% 98.8%  
35 3% 98%  
36 4% 95%  
37 6% 91%  
38 7% 85%  
39 9% 78%  
40 11% 69%  
41 12% 58% Median
42 11% 46%  
43 10% 35%  
44 8% 25%  
45 6% 18%  
46 5% 12%  
47 3% 7%  
48 2% 4%  
49 1.1% 2%  
50 0.6% 1.1%  
51 0.3% 0.5%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.3% 99.9%  
29 0.6% 99.6%  
30 1.3% 98.9%  
31 3% 98%  
32 4% 95%  
33 6% 91%  
34 9% 85%  
35 10% 76%  
36 12% 66%  
37 11% 54% Median
38 11% 43%  
39 10% 32%  
40 7% 22%  
41 5% 15%  
42 4% 9%  
43 2% 5%  
44 1.2% 3%  
45 0.7% 1.5%  
46 0.4% 0.7%  
47 0.2% 0.3%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.8%  
12 3% 99.1%  
13 6% 96%  
14 12% 90%  
15 15% 78%  
16 17% 63% Median
17 15% 46%  
18 11% 31%  
19 8% 20%  
20 6% 12%  
21 3% 6% Last Result
22 2% 3%  
23 0.8% 1.2%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Median
1 0% 1.3%  
2 0% 1.3%  
3 0% 1.3%  
4 0% 1.3%  
5 0% 1.3%  
6 0% 1.3%  
7 0% 1.3%  
8 0% 1.3%  
9 0% 1.3%  
10 0% 1.3%  
11 0% 1.3%  
12 0% 1.3%  
13 0% 1.3%  
14 0% 1.3%  
15 0% 1.3%  
16 0.8% 1.3%  
17 0.3% 0.5%  
18 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
19 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 198 100% 191–204 190–206 188–207 185–210
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 198 100% 191–204 189–205 187–207 183–210
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 181 99.9% 174–188 173–189 172–191 168–194
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 181 99.8% 174–188 173–189 170–190 167–194
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 156 6% 150–163 148–165 146–167 143–170
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 156 5% 149–163 148–165 146–166 142–170
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România 174 156 4% 149–162 147–164 145–166 142–169
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 140 0% 134–147 131–149 130–150 127–154
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 140 0% 133–146 131–148 130–150 126–153
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 136 0% 129–143 127–145 126–146 123–150
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 136 0% 129–142 127–144 126–146 122–149
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 119 0% 112–125 111–127 109–128 106–132
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 114 0% 108–121 106–122 105–124 102–127
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 94 0% 89–101 87–104 86–105 83–109
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 94 0% 88–101 87–103 86–105 83–108
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 78 0% 73–84 71–86 70–88 67–93
Partidul Național Liberal 69 78 0% 72–84 71–86 70–87 67–90
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 62 0% 56–67 55–69 54–71 51–76

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0.1% 99.9%  
183 0.1% 99.9%  
184 0.2% 99.8%  
185 0.3% 99.6%  
186 0.5% 99.3%  
187 0.9% 98.7%  
188 1.1% 98%  
189 1.5% 97%  
190 3% 95%  
191 3% 93%  
192 5% 89%  
193 4% 85%  
194 7% 80%  
195 7% 74%  
196 8% 67%  
197 7% 59% Median
198 9% 52%  
199 9% 43%  
200 6% 35%  
201 6% 28%  
202 6% 23%  
203 5% 17%  
204 3% 12%  
205 3% 9%  
206 2% 5%  
207 1.3% 4%  
208 0.9% 2%  
209 0.6% 1.4%  
210 0.4% 0.9%  
211 0.2% 0.5%  
212 0.1% 0.3%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0.1% 99.9%  
181 0.1% 99.9%  
182 0.1% 99.8%  
183 0.2% 99.7%  
184 0.2% 99.5%  
185 0.4% 99.2%  
186 0.6% 98.8%  
187 1.0% 98%  
188 1.2% 97%  
189 2% 96%  
190 3% 94%  
191 3% 92%  
192 5% 88%  
193 5% 84%  
194 7% 79%  
195 7% 73%  
196 8% 66%  
197 7% 58% Median
198 9% 51%  
199 9% 42%  
200 6% 34%  
201 6% 27%  
202 6% 22%  
203 4% 16%  
204 3% 11%  
205 3% 8%  
206 2% 5%  
207 1.2% 3%  
208 0.9% 2%  
209 0.5% 1.2%  
210 0.4% 0.7%  
211 0.2% 0.4%  
212 0.1% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 99.9% Majority
166 0.1% 99.9%  
167 0.2% 99.8%  
168 0.4% 99.7%  
169 0.7% 99.2%  
170 0.6% 98.6%  
171 0.4% 98%  
172 1.4% 98%  
173 3% 96%  
174 4% 93%  
175 3% 89%  
176 1.5% 85%  
177 4% 84%  
178 11% 80%  
179 8% 69%  
180 8% 61%  
181 3% 52% Median
182 4% 50%  
183 11% 45%  
184 12% 35%  
185 6% 23%  
186 2% 17%  
187 2% 15%  
188 4% 13%  
189 4% 9%  
190 2% 5%  
191 0.6% 3%  
192 0.3% 2%  
193 0.6% 2%  
194 0.7% 1.1%  
195 0.3% 0.5%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0.1% 99.9%  
164 0.1% 99.9%  
165 0.1% 99.8% Majority
166 0.1% 99.8%  
167 0.3% 99.7%  
168 0.5% 99.4%  
169 0.7% 98.9%  
170 0.6% 98%  
171 0.5% 97%  
172 2% 97%  
173 3% 95%  
174 4% 92%  
175 3% 88%  
176 2% 84%  
177 4% 83%  
178 11% 79%  
179 8% 68%  
180 8% 60%  
181 3% 51% Median
182 4% 49%  
183 10% 44%  
184 12% 34%  
185 6% 22%  
186 2% 16%  
187 2% 15%  
188 4% 13%  
189 4% 8%  
190 2% 4%  
191 0.5% 2%  
192 0.3% 2%  
193 0.4% 1.4%  
194 0.6% 1.0%  
195 0.3% 0.4%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100% Last Result
139 0% 100%  
140 0.1% 100%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.2% 99.8%  
143 0.2% 99.6%  
144 0.4% 99.4%  
145 0.6% 99.0%  
146 1.0% 98%  
147 1.4% 97%  
148 2% 96%  
149 3% 94%  
150 3% 91%  
151 4% 88%  
152 5% 83%  
153 7% 78%  
154 6% 71%  
155 8% 65%  
156 8% 57% Median
157 9% 49%  
158 6% 40%  
159 6% 34%  
160 6% 28%  
161 5% 22%  
162 5% 17%  
163 3% 12%  
164 3% 9%  
165 2% 6% Majority
166 2% 4%  
167 0.9% 3%  
168 0.6% 2%  
169 0.4% 1.2%  
170 0.4% 0.8%  
171 0.2% 0.4%  
172 0.1% 0.2%  
173 0.1% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.2% 99.7%  
143 0.3% 99.5%  
144 0.5% 99.2%  
145 0.7% 98.7%  
146 1.1% 98%  
147 2% 97%  
148 2% 95%  
149 3% 93%  
150 3% 90%  
151 5% 87%  
152 5% 82%  
153 7% 77%  
154 6% 70%  
155 8% 63%  
156 8% 56% Median
157 9% 48%  
158 6% 39%  
159 6% 33%  
160 6% 27%  
161 5% 21%  
162 5% 16%  
163 3% 11%  
164 3% 8%  
165 2% 5% Majority
166 2% 4%  
167 0.8% 2%  
168 0.5% 1.4%  
169 0.3% 0.9%  
170 0.3% 0.6%  
171 0.1% 0.3%  
172 0.1% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.2% 99.8%  
142 0.4% 99.6%  
143 0.4% 99.2%  
144 0.6% 98.8%  
145 0.9% 98%  
146 2% 97%  
147 2% 96%  
148 3% 94%  
149 3% 91%  
150 5% 88%  
151 5% 83%  
152 6% 78%  
153 6% 72%  
154 6% 66%  
155 9% 60% Median
156 8% 51%  
157 8% 43%  
158 6% 35%  
159 7% 29%  
160 5% 22%  
161 4% 17%  
162 3% 12%  
163 3% 9%  
164 2% 6%  
165 1.4% 4% Majority
166 1.0% 3%  
167 0.6% 2%  
168 0.4% 1.0%  
169 0.2% 0.6%  
170 0.2% 0.4%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0.1% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0.2% 99.8%  
127 0.2% 99.6%  
128 0.4% 99.3%  
129 0.8% 99.0%  
130 2% 98%  
131 1.4% 96%  
132 2% 95%  
133 3% 93%  
134 4% 90%  
135 5% 86%  
136 6% 81%  
137 9% 75%  
138 7% 67%  
139 6% 59%  
140 5% 53% Median
141 9% 48%  
142 8% 39%  
143 6% 30%  
144 6% 25%  
145 5% 19%  
146 4% 14%  
147 2% 10%  
148 3% 8%  
149 2% 5%  
150 1.0% 3%  
151 0.7% 2%  
152 0.5% 1.5%  
153 0.4% 1.0%  
154 0.2% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.4%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.2% 99.8%  
126 0.2% 99.7%  
127 0.3% 99.5%  
128 0.4% 99.1%  
129 0.9% 98.7%  
130 2% 98%  
131 2% 96%  
132 2% 94%  
133 3% 92%  
134 4% 90%  
135 5% 85%  
136 6% 80%  
137 9% 74%  
138 8% 66%  
139 6% 58%  
140 5% 52% Median
141 9% 47%  
142 8% 37%  
143 6% 29%  
144 6% 23%  
145 5% 18%  
146 4% 13%  
147 2% 9%  
148 3% 7%  
149 2% 5%  
150 1.0% 3%  
151 0.6% 2%  
152 0.4% 1.1%  
153 0.3% 0.7%  
154 0.1% 0.4%  
155 0.1% 0.2%  
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.2% 99.8%  
123 0.4% 99.6%  
124 0.5% 99.2%  
125 0.9% 98.8%  
126 0.9% 98%  
127 2% 97%  
128 2% 95% Last Result
129 4% 93%  
130 4% 89%  
131 6% 85%  
132 6% 80%  
133 7% 74%  
134 6% 67%  
135 9% 61% Median
136 7% 52%  
137 8% 45%  
138 7% 38%  
139 6% 31%  
140 5% 25%  
141 4% 19%  
142 4% 15%  
143 3% 11%  
144 2% 8%  
145 2% 5%  
146 1.1% 3%  
147 0.8% 2%  
148 0.6% 2%  
149 0.4% 1.0%  
150 0.2% 0.6%  
151 0.1% 0.4%  
152 0.1% 0.3%  
153 0.1% 0.2%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.8%  
122 0.2% 99.7%  
123 0.4% 99.5%  
124 0.5% 99.1%  
125 1.0% 98.6%  
126 1.0% 98%  
127 2% 97%  
128 2% 94%  
129 4% 92%  
130 4% 89%  
131 6% 85%  
132 6% 79%  
133 7% 73%  
134 6% 66%  
135 9% 60% Median
136 7% 51%  
137 8% 44%  
138 7% 37%  
139 6% 30%  
140 5% 24%  
141 4% 18%  
142 4% 14%  
143 3% 10%  
144 2% 7%  
145 2% 5%  
146 0.9% 3%  
147 0.7% 2%  
148 0.5% 1.2%  
149 0.3% 0.7%  
150 0.2% 0.4%  
151 0.1% 0.2%  
152 0.1% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.2% 99.8%  
106 0.3% 99.6%  
107 0.5% 99.2%  
108 0.8% 98.7%  
109 1.1% 98%  
110 2% 97%  
111 3% 95%  
112 4% 92%  
113 4% 88%  
114 5% 84%  
115 6% 80%  
116 7% 73%  
117 7% 66%  
118 8% 59% Median
119 8% 52%  
120 7% 43%  
121 7% 36%  
122 7% 29%  
123 5% 22%  
124 5% 16%  
125 3% 12%  
126 3% 8%  
127 2% 6%  
128 1.4% 4%  
129 0.9% 2%  
130 0.6% 2%  
131 0.4% 0.9%  
132 0.2% 0.5%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.2% 99.7%  
102 0.4% 99.5%  
103 0.6% 99.1%  
104 0.9% 98.6%  
105 1.3% 98%  
106 2% 96%  
107 3% 95%  
108 3% 91%  
109 5% 88%  
110 6% 83%  
111 6% 77%  
112 6% 72%  
113 9% 65%  
114 9% 57% Median
115 7% 48%  
116 8% 41%  
117 7% 33%  
118 7% 26%  
119 4% 20%  
120 5% 15%  
121 3% 11%  
122 3% 7%  
123 1.5% 5%  
124 1.1% 3%  
125 0.9% 2%  
126 0.5% 1.3%  
127 0.3% 0.7%  
128 0.2% 0.4%  
129 0.1% 0.2%  
130 0.1% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.8%  
83 0.4% 99.7%  
84 0.7% 99.3%  
85 0.7% 98.5%  
86 2% 98%  
87 3% 96%  
88 3% 93%  
89 5% 90%  
90 7% 85%  
91 5% 78%  
92 8% 73%  
93 8% 65%  
94 7% 57% Median
95 8% 50%  
96 7% 42%  
97 7% 35%  
98 6% 28%  
99 5% 22%  
100 4% 17%  
101 3% 13%  
102 3% 10%  
103 2% 7%  
104 2% 5%  
105 1.2% 4%  
106 0.6% 2%  
107 0.7% 2%  
108 0.3% 1.0% Last Result
109 0.2% 0.7%  
110 0.2% 0.5%  
111 0.1% 0.3%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.8%  
83 0.4% 99.6%  
84 0.8% 99.2%  
85 0.8% 98%  
86 2% 98%  
87 3% 96%  
88 3% 93%  
89 5% 90%  
90 7% 84% Last Result
91 5% 77%  
92 8% 72%  
93 8% 64%  
94 7% 56% Median
95 8% 49%  
96 7% 41%  
97 7% 33%  
98 6% 27%  
99 5% 21%  
100 4% 16%  
101 3% 12%  
102 3% 9%  
103 2% 6%  
104 2% 4%  
105 1.1% 3%  
106 0.5% 2%  
107 0.5% 1.1%  
108 0.2% 0.5%  
109 0.1% 0.3%  
110 0.1% 0.2%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.3% 99.7%  
68 0.6% 99.4%  
69 1.1% 98.8%  
70 2% 98%  
71 2% 96%  
72 4% 94%  
73 6% 90%  
74 6% 84%  
75 7% 78%  
76 8% 71%  
77 10% 63%  
78 7% 53% Median
79 8% 46%  
80 7% 38%  
81 7% 31%  
82 6% 24%  
83 5% 18%  
84 4% 13%  
85 3% 9%  
86 2% 7%  
87 1.5% 4% Last Result
88 0.8% 3%  
89 0.7% 2%  
90 0.4% 1.4%  
91 0.3% 1.0%  
92 0.2% 0.7%  
93 0.2% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.3% 99.6%  
68 0.6% 99.3%  
69 1.2% 98.7% Last Result
70 2% 98%  
71 2% 96%  
72 4% 93%  
73 6% 90%  
74 6% 84%  
75 7% 77%  
76 8% 70%  
77 10% 62%  
78 8% 52% Median
79 8% 45%  
80 7% 37%  
81 7% 30%  
82 6% 23%  
83 5% 17%  
84 4% 12%  
85 3% 8%  
86 2% 5%  
87 1.4% 3%  
88 0.7% 2%  
89 0.5% 1.2%  
90 0.3% 0.6%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 99.8%  
52 0.6% 99.5%  
53 0.9% 98.9%  
54 2% 98%  
55 3% 96%  
56 4% 94%  
57 4% 90%  
58 6% 85%  
59 8% 79%  
60 9% 71%  
61 8% 62%  
62 10% 54% Median
63 9% 43%  
64 8% 34%  
65 6% 26%  
66 6% 20%  
67 4% 14%  
68 3% 10%  
69 2% 6%  
70 1.3% 4%  
71 0.9% 3%  
72 0.5% 2%  
73 0.4% 1.5%  
74 0.2% 1.0%  
75 0.2% 0.8%  
76 0.1% 0.5%  
77 0.1% 0.4%  
78 0.1% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations