Opinion Poll by IMAS for Europa FM, 2–20 May 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 29.3% 27.5–31.2% 27.0–31.7% 26.6–32.2% 25.7–33.1%
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 21.4% 19.8–23.1% 19.3–23.6% 19.0–24.0% 18.2–24.9%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 20.7% 19.1–22.4% 18.7–22.9% 18.3–23.3% 17.6–24.1%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 10.2% 9.1–11.5% 8.7–11.9% 8.5–12.2% 8.0–12.9%
PRO România 0.0% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 5.4% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.0% 3.8–7.6%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6% 2.1–5.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 69 94 88–101 86–103 85–105 82–109
Partidul Social Democrat 154 68 63–75 62–76 61–78 58–80
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 67 61–72 60–74 58–76 56–79
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 33 29–37 28–38 27–39 25–42
PRO România 0 26 22–29 21–31 20–32 19–34
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 17 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–24
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 10 8–13 7–14 7–14 6–16

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.2% 99.8%  
82 0.4% 99.6%  
83 0.8% 99.2%  
84 0.8% 98%  
85 1.0% 98%  
86 2% 97%  
87 3% 95%  
88 3% 92%  
89 6% 89%  
90 7% 82%  
91 6% 75%  
92 5% 69%  
93 7% 64%  
94 6% 56% Median
95 8% 50%  
96 10% 42%  
97 6% 31%  
98 5% 26%  
99 5% 20%  
100 4% 16%  
101 3% 12%  
102 3% 8%  
103 2% 6%  
104 1.1% 4%  
105 0.6% 3%  
106 0.9% 2%  
107 0.6% 1.4%  
108 0.3% 0.8%  
109 0.2% 0.5%  
110 0.2% 0.3%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.2% 99.8%  
58 0.3% 99.7%  
59 0.7% 99.4%  
60 1.1% 98.6%  
61 2% 98%  
62 3% 96%  
63 5% 92%  
64 6% 87%  
65 7% 81%  
66 8% 74%  
67 8% 65%  
68 8% 58% Median
69 8% 50%  
70 7% 42%  
71 7% 35%  
72 5% 28%  
73 5% 23%  
74 6% 18%  
75 4% 13%  
76 3% 8%  
77 2% 5%  
78 1.3% 3%  
79 1.0% 2%  
80 0.5% 1.0%  
81 0.2% 0.5%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.8%  
56 0.3% 99.6%  
57 0.8% 99.3%  
58 1.3% 98%  
59 2% 97%  
60 4% 95%  
61 4% 91%  
62 7% 88%  
63 7% 81%  
64 6% 74%  
65 10% 68%  
66 7% 58%  
67 8% 51% Median
68 11% 43%  
69 7% 32%  
70 7% 25%  
71 6% 18%  
72 3% 13%  
73 3% 9%  
74 2% 6%  
75 2% 4%  
76 1.1% 3%  
77 0.7% 2%  
78 0.4% 1.0%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.2% 99.9%  
25 0.5% 99.7%  
26 1.3% 99.2%  
27 2% 98%  
28 5% 96%  
29 7% 91%  
30 10% 84%  
31 12% 74%  
32 10% 62%  
33 14% 52% Median
34 10% 38%  
35 9% 28%  
36 7% 19%  
37 5% 12%  
38 4% 7%  
39 2% 4%  
40 0.9% 2%  
41 0.6% 1.2%  
42 0.2% 0.5%  
43 0.2% 0.3%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.2% 99.9%  
19 0.6% 99.7%  
20 2% 99.1%  
21 3% 97%  
22 7% 94%  
23 9% 87%  
24 13% 78%  
25 14% 64%  
26 15% 51% Median
27 10% 36%  
28 10% 26%  
29 6% 16%  
30 5% 10%  
31 2% 5%  
32 1.4% 3%  
33 0.7% 1.3%  
34 0.3% 0.6%  
35 0.2% 0.2%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100%  
1 0% 75%  
2 0% 75%  
3 0% 75%  
4 0% 75%  
5 0% 75%  
6 0% 75%  
7 0% 75%  
8 0% 75%  
9 0% 75%  
10 0% 75%  
11 0% 75%  
12 0% 75%  
13 0% 75%  
14 0% 75%  
15 0.1% 75%  
16 15% 75%  
17 18% 60% Median
18 14% 42% Last Result
19 14% 28%  
20 7% 15%  
21 3% 7%  
22 2% 4%  
23 1.2% 2%  
24 0.4% 0.6%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 0.7% 99.9%  
7 4% 99.2%  
8 10% 95%  
9 21% 85%  
10 18% 64% Median
11 22% 46%  
12 11% 24%  
13 7% 13%  
14 4% 6%  
15 1.3% 2%  
16 0.5% 0.7%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 158 218 100% 210–224 208–226 207–227 203–230
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 203 100% 196–214 194–216 192–219 189–223
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 208 100% 199–214 197–216 196–217 193–220
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 193 100% 185–203 184–205 182–209 179–213
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 138 185 100% 176–192 174–194 173–196 169–199
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 175 92% 165–182 163–184 162–185 158–189
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 171 86% 163–180 161–183 160–185 157–190
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 161 28% 153–169 151–172 149–175 146–180
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 128 152 1.0% 142–159 139–161 137–162 133–166
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 137 0% 130–145 128–148 126–150 123–154
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România 174 127 0% 120–136 118–138 116–139 113–143
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 108 119 0% 108–127 105–129 103–130 100–133
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 109 0% 97–116 94–118 93–120 89–123
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 105 0% 98–112 96–114 95–116 92–119
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 101 0% 95–109 93–111 92–113 88–116
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 94 0% 88–102 86–104 85–105 82–109
Partidul Național Liberal 69 94 0% 88–101 86–103 85–105 82–109
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 82 0% 68–89 66–90 64–92 61–95

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 100%  
188 0% 100%  
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 100%  
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 100%  
200 0% 99.9%  
201 0.1% 99.9%  
202 0.1% 99.8%  
203 0.2% 99.7%  
204 0.3% 99.5%  
205 0.5% 99.2%  
206 0.6% 98.7%  
207 2% 98%  
208 2% 96%  
209 2% 94%  
210 3% 92%  
211 4% 90%  
212 4% 85%  
213 4% 81%  
214 5% 77%  
215 5% 71%  
216 6% 66%  
217 6% 60%  
218 9% 54%  
219 7% 45%  
220 6% 38%  
221 6% 32% Median
222 9% 27%  
223 4% 18%  
224 4% 13%  
225 3% 9%  
226 2% 6%  
227 1.4% 3%  
228 0.8% 2%  
229 0.6% 1.3%  
230 0.4% 0.7%  
231 0.1% 0.3%  
232 0.1% 0.2%  
233 0.1% 0.1%  
234 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0.1% 100%  
187 0.1% 99.9%  
188 0.1% 99.8%  
189 0.3% 99.7%  
190 0.4% 99.4%  
191 0.9% 99.0%  
192 1.0% 98%  
193 1.4% 97%  
194 3% 96%  
195 3% 93%  
196 4% 90%  
197 4% 87%  
198 5% 83%  
199 6% 77%  
200 5% 72%  
201 7% 66%  
202 4% 59%  
203 6% 55%  
204 6% 49% Median
205 5% 43%  
206 5% 38%  
207 4% 33%  
208 4% 29%  
209 3% 24%  
210 3% 22%  
211 3% 18%  
212 2% 15%  
213 2% 13%  
214 2% 11%  
215 2% 8%  
216 2% 7%  
217 0.8% 5%  
218 1.3% 4%  
219 0.5% 3%  
220 0.7% 2%  
221 0.4% 2%  
222 0.5% 1.2%  
223 0.3% 0.7%  
224 0.1% 0.4%  
225 0.1% 0.3%  
226 0.1% 0.2%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 100%  
188 0% 100%  
189 0% 100%  
190 0.1% 99.9%  
191 0.1% 99.9%  
192 0.1% 99.7%  
193 0.3% 99.6%  
194 0.5% 99.3%  
195 1.0% 98.8%  
196 0.9% 98%  
197 2% 97%  
198 2% 95%  
199 3% 93%  
200 4% 90%  
201 4% 86%  
202 4% 82%  
203 4% 78%  
204 5% 74%  
205 5% 69%  
206 5% 63%  
207 6% 58%  
208 7% 52%  
209 8% 45%  
210 6% 38%  
211 7% 31% Median
212 5% 24%  
213 7% 19%  
214 3% 12%  
215 3% 8%  
216 2% 5%  
217 1.3% 3%  
218 0.9% 2%  
219 0.5% 1.2%  
220 0.3% 0.7%  
221 0.2% 0.4%  
222 0.1% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.1% 99.8%  
178 0.2% 99.8%  
179 0.5% 99.6%  
180 0.3% 99.1%  
181 0.8% 98.7%  
182 2% 98%  
183 1.0% 96%  
184 2% 95%  
185 5% 93%  
186 2% 88%  
187 4% 86%  
188 5% 81%  
189 3% 76%  
190 8% 73%  
191 6% 64%  
192 3% 58%  
193 7% 55%  
194 6% 48% Median
195 4% 42%  
196 6% 38%  
197 6% 32%  
198 2% 26%  
199 4% 23%  
200 3% 19%  
201 2% 16%  
202 3% 13%  
203 2% 10%  
204 2% 8%  
205 2% 7%  
206 1.0% 5%  
207 0.7% 4%  
208 0.5% 3%  
209 1.0% 3%  
210 0.4% 2%  
211 0.4% 1.4%  
212 0.4% 1.0%  
213 0.3% 0.6%  
214 0.1% 0.3%  
215 0.1% 0.2%  
216 0.1% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100% Last Result
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0.1% 99.9%  
167 0.1% 99.8%  
168 0.1% 99.7%  
169 0.3% 99.6%  
170 0.5% 99.3%  
171 0.6% 98.7%  
172 0.6% 98%  
173 1.3% 98%  
174 2% 96%  
175 3% 94%  
176 3% 92%  
177 2% 89%  
178 3% 87%  
179 5% 84%  
180 3% 79%  
181 4% 76%  
182 5% 72%  
183 6% 67%  
184 5% 61%  
185 7% 56%  
186 6% 50%  
187 7% 44%  
188 6% 36% Median
189 6% 30%  
190 6% 24%  
191 4% 18%  
192 5% 14%  
193 3% 9%  
194 2% 6%  
195 1.5% 4%  
196 0.9% 3%  
197 0.7% 2%  
198 0.4% 1.0%  
199 0.2% 0.5%  
200 0.2% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.2% 99.8%  
158 0.3% 99.6%  
159 0.3% 99.3%  
160 0.5% 99.0%  
161 0.7% 98.5%  
162 1.5% 98%  
163 2% 96%  
164 2% 95%  
165 3% 92% Majority
166 3% 90%  
167 3% 87%  
168 4% 84%  
169 3% 80%  
170 3% 77%  
171 4% 73%  
172 4% 69%  
173 5% 65%  
174 6% 61%  
175 6% 55%  
176 6% 49%  
177 6% 43%  
178 7% 37% Median
179 5% 29%  
180 6% 24%  
181 7% 19%  
182 3% 12%  
183 3% 8%  
184 2% 6%  
185 1.0% 3%  
186 0.8% 2%  
187 0.6% 2%  
188 0.4% 1.0%  
189 0.3% 0.5%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.2% 99.8%  
156 0.2% 99.7%  
157 0.4% 99.5%  
158 0.7% 99.1%  
159 0.9% 98%  
160 1.0% 98%  
161 2% 96%  
162 2% 94%  
163 4% 92%  
164 3% 88%  
165 4% 86% Majority
166 6% 81%  
167 6% 76%  
168 4% 70%  
169 5% 65%  
170 8% 60%  
171 7% 52% Median
172 4% 45%  
173 5% 41%  
174 6% 36%  
175 5% 30%  
176 5% 25%  
177 3% 20%  
178 3% 17%  
179 3% 14%  
180 2% 10%  
181 1.5% 9%  
182 2% 7%  
183 2% 5%  
184 0.9% 4%  
185 0.6% 3%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.6% 2%  
188 0.4% 1.4%  
189 0.4% 1.0%  
190 0.2% 0.5%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0.1% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.2% 99.8%  
146 0.3% 99.7%  
147 0.5% 99.4%  
148 0.5% 98.9%  
149 1.2% 98%  
150 1.3% 97%  
151 2% 96%  
152 3% 94%  
153 3% 91%  
154 4% 88%  
155 5% 84%  
156 5% 80%  
157 5% 75%  
158 6% 70%  
159 6% 64%  
160 5% 58%  
161 8% 53% Median
162 5% 45%  
163 5% 40%  
164 6% 34%  
165 6% 28% Majority
166 4% 22%  
167 4% 18%  
168 3% 14%  
169 2% 11%  
170 2% 8%  
171 1.4% 7%  
172 1.2% 5%  
173 0.9% 4%  
174 0.6% 3%  
175 0.4% 3%  
176 0.7% 2%  
177 0.4% 2%  
178 0.2% 1.1%  
179 0.4% 0.9%  
180 0.3% 0.6%  
181 0.2% 0.3%  
182 0.1% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100% Last Result
129 0% 100%  
130 0.1% 99.9%  
131 0.1% 99.9%  
132 0.1% 99.8%  
133 0.3% 99.7%  
134 0.4% 99.4%  
135 0.5% 99.0%  
136 0.6% 98%  
137 1.0% 98%  
138 1.2% 97%  
139 2% 96%  
140 1.2% 93%  
141 2% 92%  
142 2% 90%  
143 3% 88%  
144 3% 86%  
145 3% 83%  
146 3% 79%  
147 4% 76%  
148 4% 72%  
149 6% 68%  
150 6% 63%  
151 7% 57%  
152 5% 50%  
153 6% 45%  
154 8% 39% Median
155 5% 32%  
156 5% 26%  
157 5% 21%  
158 5% 16%  
159 3% 12%  
160 3% 8%  
161 2% 6%  
162 1.2% 4%  
163 0.7% 2%  
164 0.7% 2%  
165 0.4% 1.0% Majority
166 0.3% 0.6%  
167 0.1% 0.3%  
168 0.1% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0.1% 100%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.2% 99.8%  
123 0.2% 99.6%  
124 0.3% 99.4%  
125 1.0% 99.1%  
126 0.7% 98%  
127 2% 97%  
128 2% 96%  
129 3% 94%  
130 4% 91%  
131 4% 87%  
132 5% 83%  
133 6% 78%  
134 5% 72%  
135 6% 67%  
136 7% 61%  
137 5% 54% Median
138 8% 49%  
139 7% 41%  
140 6% 34%  
141 4% 28%  
142 4% 24%  
143 4% 20%  
144 4% 16%  
145 3% 13%  
146 2% 9%  
147 2% 8%  
148 1.1% 6%  
149 1.3% 4%  
150 0.8% 3%  
151 0.8% 2%  
152 0.6% 1.5%  
153 0.3% 0.9%  
154 0.2% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.4%  
156 0.1% 0.3%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.2% 99.9%  
113 0.2% 99.7%  
114 0.4% 99.5%  
115 0.7% 99.0%  
116 0.9% 98%  
117 1.5% 97%  
118 2% 96%  
119 3% 94%  
120 5% 91%  
121 4% 86%  
122 6% 82%  
123 6% 76%  
124 6% 70%  
125 7% 64%  
126 6% 56%  
127 7% 50% Median
128 5% 44%  
129 6% 39%  
130 5% 33%  
131 4% 28%  
132 3% 24%  
133 5% 21%  
134 3% 16%  
135 2% 13%  
136 3% 11%  
137 3% 8%  
138 2% 6%  
139 1.3% 4%  
140 0.6% 2%  
141 0.6% 2%  
142 0.5% 1.3%  
143 0.3% 0.7%  
144 0.1% 0.4%  
145 0.1% 0.3%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.2% 99.7%  
100 0.5% 99.5%  
101 0.2% 99.0%  
102 1.0% 98.8%  
103 0.7% 98%  
104 2% 97%  
105 2% 96%  
106 1.4% 93%  
107 1.3% 92%  
108 3% 91% Last Result
109 2% 88%  
110 3% 87%  
111 3% 84%  
112 2% 81%  
113 3% 79%  
114 3% 76%  
115 3% 73%  
116 5% 70%  
117 4% 65%  
118 6% 61%  
119 7% 55%  
120 5% 48%  
121 5% 43% Median
122 8% 38%  
123 7% 30%  
124 4% 23%  
125 6% 20%  
126 4% 14%  
127 3% 10%  
128 2% 7%  
129 2% 5%  
130 1.4% 3%  
131 0.7% 2%  
132 0.5% 1.3%  
133 0.4% 0.8%  
134 0.2% 0.4%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
88 0.3% 99.8%  
89 0.2% 99.5%  
90 0.3% 99.3%  
91 0.6% 99.0%  
92 0.9% 98%  
93 2% 98%  
94 2% 96%  
95 2% 94%  
96 1.5% 92%  
97 2% 91%  
98 2% 89%  
99 3% 87%  
100 3% 84%  
101 2% 81%  
102 2% 79%  
103 2% 77%  
104 2% 75%  
105 3% 73%  
106 4% 69%  
107 5% 65%  
108 6% 60%  
109 5% 54%  
110 7% 48%  
111 4% 42% Median
112 7% 37%  
113 8% 31%  
114 6% 23%  
115 4% 17%  
116 4% 13%  
117 3% 9%  
118 2% 6%  
119 2% 5%  
120 1.1% 3%  
121 0.7% 2%  
122 0.4% 1.0%  
123 0.3% 0.6%  
124 0.2% 0.3%  
125 0.1% 0.2%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
91 0.3% 99.8%  
92 0.4% 99.6%  
93 0.6% 99.1%  
94 0.9% 98.5%  
95 2% 98%  
96 2% 96%  
97 2% 94%  
98 4% 92%  
99 5% 88%  
100 6% 83%  
101 7% 77%  
102 6% 70%  
103 5% 64%  
104 6% 59% Median
105 10% 53%  
106 7% 43%  
107 7% 35%  
108 7% 29%  
109 4% 22%  
110 4% 18%  
111 4% 15%  
112 3% 11%  
113 2% 8%  
114 2% 6%  
115 1.3% 4%  
116 0.7% 3%  
117 0.5% 2%  
118 0.7% 1.5%  
119 0.3% 0.8%  
120 0.2% 0.5%  
121 0.1% 0.3%  
122 0.1% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.3% 99.8%  
89 0.3% 99.5%  
90 0.6% 99.2%  
91 0.9% 98.6%  
92 1.3% 98%  
93 3% 96%  
94 3% 94%  
95 4% 90%  
96 6% 86%  
97 6% 80%  
98 6% 74%  
99 7% 67%  
100 7% 60%  
101 6% 53% Median
102 6% 47%  
103 5% 40%  
104 6% 35%  
105 5% 30%  
106 3% 24%  
107 5% 21%  
108 4% 15%  
109 3% 12%  
110 2% 9%  
111 2% 6%  
112 1.4% 4%  
113 1.1% 3%  
114 0.6% 2%  
115 0.4% 1.1%  
116 0.3% 0.7%  
117 0.1% 0.4%  
118 0.1% 0.2%  
119 0.1% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.8%  
82 0.4% 99.7%  
83 0.6% 99.3%  
84 0.8% 98.7%  
85 1.4% 98%  
86 2% 97%  
87 3% 94%  
88 4% 91%  
89 4% 87%  
90 9% 82%  
91 6% 73%  
92 6% 68%  
93 7% 62%  
94 9% 55% Median
95 6% 46%  
96 6% 40%  
97 5% 34%  
98 5% 29%  
99 4% 23%  
100 4% 19%  
101 4% 15%  
102 3% 10%  
103 2% 8%  
104 2% 6%  
105 2% 4%  
106 0.6% 2%  
107 0.5% 1.3%  
108 0.3% 0.8%  
109 0.2% 0.5%  
110 0.1% 0.3%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.2% 99.8%  
82 0.4% 99.6%  
83 0.8% 99.2%  
84 0.8% 98%  
85 1.0% 98%  
86 2% 97%  
87 3% 95%  
88 3% 92%  
89 6% 89%  
90 7% 82%  
91 6% 75%  
92 5% 69%  
93 7% 64%  
94 6% 56% Median
95 8% 50%  
96 10% 42%  
97 6% 31%  
98 5% 26%  
99 5% 20%  
100 4% 16%  
101 3% 12%  
102 3% 8%  
103 2% 6%  
104 1.1% 4%  
105 0.6% 3%  
106 0.9% 2%  
107 0.6% 1.4%  
108 0.3% 0.8%  
109 0.2% 0.5%  
110 0.2% 0.3%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.8%  
61 0.3% 99.7%  
62 0.6% 99.3%  
63 0.9% 98.7%  
64 1.0% 98%  
65 1.5% 97%  
66 2% 95%  
67 2% 94%  
68 3% 92%  
69 2% 89%  
70 2% 87%  
71 3% 85%  
72 2% 82%  
73 2% 81%  
74 2% 79%  
75 2% 77%  
76 2% 75%  
77 3% 74%  
78 3% 70%  
79 4% 67%  
80 5% 63%  
81 5% 58%  
82 8% 53%  
83 5% 45%  
84 7% 40% Median
85 8% 33%  
86 6% 25%  
87 5% 19%  
88 3% 14%  
89 4% 11%  
90 2% 7%  
91 2% 4%  
92 1.1% 3%  
93 0.6% 2%  
94 0.4% 0.9%  
95 0.3% 0.5%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations