Opinion Poll by CURS for STIRIPESURSE.RO, 28 June–8 July 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 29.0% 27.2–30.8% 26.7–31.3% 26.3–31.8% 25.5–32.6%
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 26.0% 24.3–27.7% 23.8–28.2% 23.4–28.7% 22.6–29.6%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 22.0% 20.5–23.7% 20.0–24.2% 19.6–24.6% 18.9–25.4%
PRO România 0.0% 8.0% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.1–10.3%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 69 98 91–106 89–107 87–109 84–113
Partidul Social Democrat 154 88 81–95 79–96 77–99 75–102
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 75 68–83 66–84 65–85 63–88
PRO România 0 27 23–31 22–32 21–33 20–35
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 0 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–23
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 14 11–16 11–16 10–18 10–20
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–19

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.8%  
84 0.3% 99.7%  
85 0.5% 99.4%  
86 0.7% 98.9%  
87 0.8% 98%  
88 1.4% 97%  
89 2% 96%  
90 2% 94%  
91 3% 92%  
92 4% 88%  
93 4% 84%  
94 5% 79%  
95 6% 74%  
96 7% 68%  
97 7% 62%  
98 7% 55% Median
99 7% 48%  
100 6% 41%  
101 5% 35%  
102 7% 30%  
103 4% 23%  
104 4% 18%  
105 4% 14%  
106 3% 11%  
107 3% 7%  
108 1.1% 5%  
109 1.3% 4%  
110 0.9% 2%  
111 0.7% 2%  
112 0.3% 0.9%  
113 0.3% 0.6%  
114 0.1% 0.3%  
115 0.1% 0.2%  
116 0.1% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.7%  
75 0.4% 99.6%  
76 0.7% 99.2%  
77 1.2% 98.5%  
78 2% 97%  
79 2% 96%  
80 3% 94%  
81 4% 91%  
82 4% 87%  
83 4% 83%  
84 5% 78%  
85 7% 73%  
86 7% 66%  
87 7% 60%  
88 10% 53% Median
89 7% 43%  
90 6% 36%  
91 7% 31%  
92 6% 24%  
93 3% 18%  
94 4% 15%  
95 4% 11%  
96 2% 7%  
97 0.9% 5%  
98 1.5% 4%  
99 1.0% 3%  
100 0.5% 2%  
101 0.2% 1.0%  
102 0.4% 0.9%  
103 0.2% 0.4%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.8%  
63 0.3% 99.6%  
64 0.8% 99.3%  
65 2% 98%  
66 3% 97%  
67 3% 94%  
68 3% 91%  
69 5% 88%  
70 6% 83%  
71 5% 78%  
72 4% 73%  
73 5% 68%  
74 6% 63%  
75 7% 57% Median
76 5% 50%  
77 5% 45%  
78 8% 40%  
79 9% 33%  
80 6% 24%  
81 4% 18%  
82 4% 14%  
83 5% 10%  
84 3% 6%  
85 1.4% 3%  
86 0.5% 1.4%  
87 0.4% 0.9%  
88 0.3% 0.5%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.3% 99.9%  
20 0.8% 99.6%  
21 2% 98.8%  
22 4% 97%  
23 7% 93%  
24 9% 86%  
25 11% 77%  
26 13% 66%  
27 15% 53% Median
28 11% 38%  
29 8% 27%  
30 8% 19%  
31 4% 11%  
32 3% 6%  
33 1.4% 3%  
34 0.8% 2%  
35 0.5% 0.9%  
36 0.2% 0.4%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 53% 100% Median
1 0% 47%  
2 0% 47%  
3 0% 47%  
4 0% 47%  
5 0% 47%  
6 0% 47%  
7 0% 47%  
8 0% 47%  
9 0% 47%  
10 0% 47%  
11 0% 47%  
12 0% 47%  
13 0% 47%  
14 0% 47%  
15 0% 47%  
16 4% 47%  
17 16% 43%  
18 12% 27%  
19 7% 15%  
20 4% 8% Last Result
21 2% 4%  
22 0.9% 1.5%  
23 0.4% 0.6%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.2% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.7%  
10 3% 99.7%  
11 24% 97%  
12 21% 73%  
13 0.1% 52%  
14 5% 52% Median
15 22% 47%  
16 22% 25%  
17 1.1% 4%  
18 0.2% 3%  
19 1.2% 2%  
20 1.2% 1.3%  
21 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
22 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Median
1 0% 10%  
2 0% 10%  
3 0% 10%  
4 0% 10%  
5 0% 10%  
6 0% 10%  
7 0% 10%  
8 0% 10%  
9 0% 10%  
10 0% 10%  
11 0% 10%  
12 0% 10%  
13 0% 10%  
14 0% 10%  
15 0% 10%  
16 3% 10%  
17 4% 7%  
18 2% 2% Last Result
19 0.5% 0.8%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 158 197 100% 190–206 187–207 184–209 181–212
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 196 100% 187–205 183–207 180–208 177–211
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 138 190 100% 177–199 175–201 173–202 170–205
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 188 99.9% 175–198 173–200 171–201 168–204
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 184 99.9% 176–192 173–195 171–197 167–200
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 183 99.1% 173–191 170–193 167–195 163–198
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 176 90% 165–185 162–188 160–189 157–193
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 174 85% 163–184 160–186 158–188 154–191
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 122 0% 113–135 111–137 110–139 107–142
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 128 122 0% 112–132 110–135 108–138 105–143
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 120 0% 110–131 108–133 106–134 103–138
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 115 0% 106–122 105–125 103–128 100–131
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 108 113 0% 105–122 103–125 101–128 98–133
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 112 0% 104–120 102–122 100–124 96–127
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 99 0% 92–109 90–112 89–114 86–120
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 96 0% 86–107 84–110 83–112 80–115
Partidul Național Liberal 69 98 0% 91–106 89–107 87–109 84–113
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 78 0% 68–85 66–88 65–91 63–94

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0.1% 99.9%  
179 0.1% 99.8%  
180 0.1% 99.7%  
181 0.2% 99.6%  
182 0.6% 99.4%  
183 0.7% 98.8%  
184 0.7% 98%  
185 0.8% 97%  
186 0.6% 97%  
187 1.3% 96% Median
188 2% 95%  
189 2% 93%  
190 3% 91%  
191 3% 88%  
192 4% 84%  
193 5% 81%  
194 6% 76%  
195 8% 70%  
196 7% 62%  
197 7% 55%  
198 5% 48%  
199 6% 42%  
200 6% 37%  
201 6% 31%  
202 5% 25%  
203 3% 20%  
204 3% 18%  
205 4% 15%  
206 3% 11%  
207 3% 8%  
208 2% 5%  
209 1.0% 3%  
210 0.9% 2%  
211 0.7% 2%  
212 0.5% 0.8%  
213 0.2% 0.3%  
214 0.1% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.1% 99.8%  
176 0.2% 99.7%  
177 0.4% 99.5%  
178 0.4% 99.1%  
179 0.8% 98.7%  
180 0.5% 98%  
181 0.9% 97%  
182 1.0% 96%  
183 2% 95%  
184 1.3% 94%  
185 1.1% 92%  
186 1.0% 91%  
187 2% 90% Median
188 2% 88%  
189 3% 86%  
190 4% 83%  
191 4% 80%  
192 4% 76%  
193 5% 72%  
194 6% 67%  
195 8% 61%  
196 6% 53%  
197 7% 47%  
198 5% 40%  
199 5% 35%  
200 5% 30%  
201 5% 25%  
202 4% 20%  
203 2% 15%  
204 3% 13%  
205 3% 10%  
206 3% 8%  
207 2% 5%  
208 1.3% 3%  
209 0.8% 2%  
210 0.5% 1.3%  
211 0.4% 0.8%  
212 0.3% 0.4%  
213 0.1% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100% Last Result
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0.1% 99.9%  
169 0.2% 99.8%  
170 0.3% 99.6%  
171 0.5% 99.3%  
172 0.8% 98.8%  
173 1.2% 98%  
174 1.3% 97%  
175 2% 96%  
176 2% 94%  
177 2% 92%  
178 3% 89%  
179 2% 86%  
180 2% 84%  
181 3% 82%  
182 3% 79%  
183 3% 77%  
184 4% 73%  
185 3% 69%  
186 3% 66%  
187 4% 63% Median
188 4% 59%  
189 5% 55%  
190 4% 50%  
191 4% 46%  
192 4% 42%  
193 4% 39%  
194 4% 35%  
195 6% 31%  
196 5% 25%  
197 5% 20%  
198 3% 15%  
199 3% 12%  
200 3% 9%  
201 2% 6%  
202 1.5% 3%  
203 0.6% 2%  
204 0.4% 1.2%  
205 0.4% 0.8%  
206 0.2% 0.5%  
207 0.1% 0.3%  
208 0.1% 0.2%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0.1% 99.9% Majority
166 0.1% 99.8%  
167 0.2% 99.7%  
168 0.2% 99.5%  
169 0.5% 99.3%  
170 0.7% 98.9%  
171 1.0% 98%  
172 1.3% 97%  
173 2% 96%  
174 2% 94%  
175 2% 92%  
176 3% 90%  
177 3% 87%  
178 4% 84%  
179 3% 81%  
180 3% 78%  
181 4% 75%  
182 3% 72%  
183 4% 69%  
184 5% 64%  
185 3% 60%  
186 3% 57%  
187 3% 54% Median
188 4% 51%  
189 3% 46%  
190 4% 43%  
191 3% 39%  
192 3% 36%  
193 4% 33%  
194 4% 29%  
195 5% 26%  
196 4% 20%  
197 5% 16%  
198 3% 11%  
199 2% 9%  
200 2% 6%  
201 2% 4%  
202 1.3% 2%  
203 0.4% 1.2%  
204 0.3% 0.7%  
205 0.1% 0.4%  
206 0.1% 0.2%  
207 0.1% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0.1% 99.9%  
165 0.2% 99.9% Majority
166 0.1% 99.7%  
167 0.3% 99.6%  
168 0.2% 99.4%  
169 0.4% 99.1%  
170 0.6% 98.7%  
171 0.7% 98%  
172 2% 97%  
173 2% 96% Median
174 2% 94%  
175 2% 92%  
176 2% 91%  
177 4% 88%  
178 5% 84%  
179 6% 79%  
180 4% 73%  
181 5% 69%  
182 4% 64%  
183 8% 60%  
184 8% 52%  
185 7% 45%  
186 4% 37%  
187 4% 33%  
188 4% 30%  
189 4% 25%  
190 5% 21%  
191 4% 16%  
192 2% 12%  
193 2% 10%  
194 2% 8%  
195 2% 6%  
196 2% 4%  
197 0.8% 3%  
198 0.6% 2%  
199 0.4% 1.2%  
200 0.4% 0.8%  
201 0.2% 0.4%  
202 0.1% 0.2%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0.1% 99.9%  
161 0.2% 99.8%  
162 0.1% 99.6%  
163 0.1% 99.5%  
164 0.3% 99.4%  
165 0.6% 99.1% Majority
166 0.6% 98%  
167 1.0% 98%  
168 0.6% 97%  
169 0.9% 96%  
170 0.9% 95%  
171 2% 95%  
172 3% 93%  
173 2% 90% Median
174 2% 88%  
175 2% 86%  
176 3% 84%  
177 4% 81%  
178 6% 77%  
179 6% 71%  
180 5% 65%  
181 5% 60%  
182 4% 56%  
183 7% 51%  
184 7% 44%  
185 7% 37%  
186 4% 30%  
187 3% 26%  
188 3% 23%  
189 4% 20%  
190 4% 16%  
191 4% 12%  
192 2% 8%  
193 1.4% 6%  
194 1.2% 5%  
195 1.1% 3%  
196 0.9% 2%  
197 0.7% 1.5%  
198 0.4% 0.7%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0.1% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.2% 99.8%  
157 0.2% 99.6%  
158 0.5% 99.3%  
159 0.8% 98.8%  
160 1.0% 98%  
161 1.4% 97%  
162 2% 96%  
163 2% 94%  
164 2% 93%  
165 3% 90% Majority
166 3% 88%  
167 4% 85%  
168 3% 81%  
169 3% 78%  
170 3% 75%  
171 3% 72%  
172 4% 69%  
173 5% 64% Median
174 4% 59%  
175 3% 55%  
176 4% 52%  
177 5% 48%  
178 6% 43%  
179 6% 38%  
180 3% 32%  
181 4% 29%  
182 3% 25%  
183 5% 22%  
184 4% 17%  
185 4% 13%  
186 1.5% 8%  
187 2% 7%  
188 2% 5%  
189 1.1% 3%  
190 0.8% 2%  
191 0.3% 1.1%  
192 0.2% 0.8%  
193 0.3% 0.6%  
194 0.1% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.3% 99.7%  
155 0.2% 99.5%  
156 0.5% 99.3%  
157 0.5% 98.8%  
158 0.9% 98%  
159 1.2% 97%  
160 2% 96%  
161 2% 94%  
162 2% 93%  
163 2% 90%  
164 3% 88%  
165 3% 85% Majority
166 4% 82%  
167 5% 79%  
168 3% 74%  
169 3% 71%  
170 3% 67%  
171 4% 64%  
172 5% 60%  
173 5% 55% Median
174 4% 50%  
175 3% 47%  
176 3% 43%  
177 4% 40%  
178 5% 36%  
179 5% 31%  
180 3% 26%  
181 4% 23%  
182 2% 19%  
183 4% 17%  
184 3% 13%  
185 4% 9%  
186 1.4% 6%  
187 1.5% 4%  
188 1.0% 3%  
189 0.6% 2%  
190 0.6% 1.3%  
191 0.3% 0.6%  
192 0.2% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.2% 99.7%  
107 0.4% 99.5%  
108 0.4% 99.2%  
109 0.6% 98.8%  
110 1.5% 98%  
111 2% 97%  
112 3% 94%  
113 3% 91%  
114 3% 88%  
115 5% 85% Median
116 5% 80%  
117 6% 75%  
118 4% 69%  
119 4% 65%  
120 4% 61%  
121 4% 58%  
122 4% 54%  
123 5% 50%  
124 4% 45%  
125 4% 41%  
126 3% 37%  
127 3% 34%  
128 4% 31%  
129 3% 27%  
130 3% 23%  
131 3% 21%  
132 2% 18%  
133 2% 16%  
134 3% 14%  
135 2% 11%  
136 2% 8%  
137 2% 6%  
138 1.3% 4%  
139 1.2% 3%  
140 0.8% 2%  
141 0.5% 1.2%  
142 0.3% 0.7%  
143 0.2% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.2% 99.9%  
104 0.2% 99.7%  
105 0.4% 99.5%  
106 0.5% 99.1%  
107 0.8% 98.6%  
108 1.0% 98%  
109 2% 97%  
110 2% 95%  
111 2% 93%  
112 3% 91% Median
113 4% 88%  
114 4% 84%  
115 4% 80%  
116 3% 76%  
117 4% 73%  
118 5% 69%  
119 4% 65%  
120 4% 61%  
121 4% 57%  
122 5% 53%  
123 4% 48%  
124 4% 44%  
125 5% 40%  
126 5% 36%  
127 5% 31%  
128 3% 26% Last Result
129 4% 23%  
130 3% 19%  
131 3% 16%  
132 3% 12%  
133 2% 10%  
134 2% 8%  
135 1.3% 6%  
136 1.0% 5%  
137 1.0% 4%  
138 0.7% 3%  
139 0.4% 2%  
140 0.4% 2%  
141 0.4% 1.2%  
142 0.3% 0.9%  
143 0.2% 0.6%  
144 0.1% 0.4%  
145 0.1% 0.3%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.8%  
102 0.2% 99.7%  
103 0.5% 99.5%  
104 0.5% 99.0%  
105 0.9% 98.5%  
106 0.9% 98%  
107 1.0% 97%  
108 2% 96%  
109 2% 94%  
110 2% 92% Last Result
111 3% 90%  
112 3% 87% Median
113 5% 84%  
114 5% 79%  
115 4% 74%  
116 3% 70%  
117 4% 67%  
118 5% 63%  
119 4% 58%  
120 4% 54%  
121 4% 50%  
122 4% 45%  
123 4% 41%  
124 4% 37%  
125 5% 33%  
126 4% 28%  
127 4% 24%  
128 3% 20%  
129 4% 17%  
130 3% 14%  
131 3% 10%  
132 2% 8%  
133 1.4% 5%  
134 2% 4%  
135 0.7% 2%  
136 0.6% 2%  
137 0.4% 1.0%  
138 0.3% 0.7%  
139 0.1% 0.4%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.2% 99.8%  
100 0.5% 99.7%  
101 0.7% 99.2%  
102 0.9% 98%  
103 1.0% 98%  
104 2% 97%  
105 3% 95%  
106 3% 92%  
107 4% 89%  
108 3% 85%  
109 3% 82%  
110 5% 80%  
111 6% 75%  
112 6% 69%  
113 6% 63%  
114 5% 58%  
115 7% 52% Median
116 7% 45%  
117 8% 38%  
118 6% 30%  
119 5% 24%  
120 4% 19%  
121 3% 16%  
122 3% 12%  
123 2% 9%  
124 2% 7%  
125 1.3% 5%  
126 0.6% 4%  
127 0.8% 3%  
128 0.7% 3%  
129 0.7% 2%  
130 0.6% 1.2%  
131 0.2% 0.6%  
132 0.1% 0.4%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.2% 99.8%  
98 0.3% 99.6%  
99 0.4% 99.4%  
100 0.6% 99.0%  
101 1.0% 98%  
102 1.1% 97%  
103 2% 96%  
104 2% 94%  
105 3% 92%  
106 3% 89%  
107 5% 86%  
108 4% 81% Last Result
109 5% 77%  
110 6% 72%  
111 5% 66%  
112 5% 61% Median
113 7% 55%  
114 6% 48%  
115 6% 42%  
116 4% 36%  
117 4% 32%  
118 5% 28%  
119 4% 23%  
120 3% 19%  
121 3% 15%  
122 3% 12%  
123 2% 9%  
124 2% 8%  
125 1.4% 6%  
126 1.2% 5%  
127 0.9% 4%  
128 0.6% 3%  
129 0.6% 2%  
130 0.4% 1.4%  
131 0.2% 1.0%  
132 0.2% 0.8%  
133 0.2% 0.6%  
134 0.1% 0.4%  
135 0.1% 0.3%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100% Last Result
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.3% 99.7%  
97 0.3% 99.4%  
98 0.4% 99.1%  
99 0.8% 98.7%  
100 1.0% 98%  
101 1.4% 97%  
102 2% 96%  
103 3% 94%  
104 3% 91%  
105 4% 88%  
106 4% 84%  
107 5% 80%  
108 6% 75%  
109 6% 70%  
110 6% 64%  
111 6% 58%  
112 6% 52% Median
113 7% 46%  
114 6% 39%  
115 6% 33%  
116 4% 27%  
117 4% 23%  
118 5% 19%  
119 3% 15%  
120 3% 11%  
121 3% 9%  
122 2% 6%  
123 1.3% 4%  
124 0.9% 3%  
125 0.6% 2%  
126 0.6% 1.3%  
127 0.3% 0.7%  
128 0.2% 0.5%  
129 0.1% 0.3%  
130 0.1% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.2% 99.7%  
86 0.4% 99.5%  
87 0.5% 99.1% Last Result
88 0.9% 98.5%  
89 2% 98%  
90 2% 96%  
91 2% 94%  
92 3% 92%  
93 4% 88%  
94 5% 85%  
95 5% 80%  
96 6% 75%  
97 6% 69%  
98 6% 63% Median
99 7% 57%  
100 6% 50%  
101 5% 44%  
102 7% 39%  
103 4% 32%  
104 4% 28%  
105 4% 23%  
106 4% 19%  
107 3% 15%  
108 2% 12%  
109 2% 10%  
110 2% 8%  
111 1.4% 7%  
112 0.8% 5%  
113 1.2% 4%  
114 0.8% 3%  
115 0.6% 2%  
116 0.6% 2%  
117 0.3% 1.3%  
118 0.3% 1.0%  
119 0.2% 0.7%  
120 0.1% 0.5%  
121 0.2% 0.4%  
122 0% 0.2%  
123 0.1% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.5% 99.6%  
81 0.7% 99.1%  
82 0.7% 98%  
83 2% 98%  
84 3% 96%  
85 3% 93%  
86 2% 90%  
87 3% 88%  
88 6% 85% Median
89 3% 78%  
90 4% 75%  
91 5% 71%  
92 4% 66%  
93 3% 61%  
94 4% 58%  
95 5% 55%  
96 3% 50%  
97 2% 47%  
98 4% 45%  
99 5% 42%  
100 3% 36%  
101 2% 33%  
102 3% 31%  
103 6% 28%  
104 3% 22%  
105 2% 19%  
106 3% 17%  
107 4% 13%  
108 2% 10%  
109 2% 8%  
110 1.3% 6%  
111 2% 5%  
112 0.8% 3%  
113 0.7% 2%  
114 0.6% 1.3%  
115 0.2% 0.7%  
116 0.2% 0.4%  
117 0.1% 0.2%  
118 0.1% 0.1%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.8%  
84 0.3% 99.7%  
85 0.5% 99.4%  
86 0.7% 98.9%  
87 0.8% 98%  
88 1.4% 97%  
89 2% 96%  
90 2% 94%  
91 3% 92%  
92 4% 88%  
93 4% 84%  
94 5% 79%  
95 6% 74%  
96 7% 68%  
97 7% 62%  
98 7% 55% Median
99 7% 48%  
100 6% 41%  
101 5% 35%  
102 7% 30%  
103 4% 23%  
104 4% 18%  
105 4% 14%  
106 3% 11%  
107 3% 7%  
108 1.1% 5%  
109 1.3% 4%  
110 0.9% 2%  
111 0.7% 2%  
112 0.3% 0.9%  
113 0.3% 0.6%  
114 0.1% 0.3%  
115 0.1% 0.2%  
116 0.1% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.8%  
63 0.3% 99.7%  
64 0.8% 99.4%  
65 2% 98.6%  
66 3% 97%  
67 2% 95%  
68 2% 92%  
69 3% 90%  
70 4% 86%  
71 4% 82%  
72 3% 78%  
73 4% 75%  
74 5% 71%  
75 6% 66% Median
76 4% 60%  
77 5% 55%  
78 8% 50%  
79 9% 42%  
80 6% 34%  
81 4% 28%  
82 4% 24%  
83 5% 20%  
84 3% 15%  
85 2% 12%  
86 2% 10%  
87 2% 8%  
88 1.1% 6%  
89 1.5% 5%  
90 0.8% 3%  
91 1.2% 3%  
92 0.8% 2%  
93 0.2% 0.8%  
94 0.2% 0.5%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations