Opinion Poll by CURS for STIRIPESURSE.RO, 19 July–5 August 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 31.0% 29.5–32.5% 29.1–33.0% 28.8–33.3% 28.1–34.0%
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 24.0% 22.7–25.4% 22.3–25.8% 22.0–26.2% 21.3–26.8%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 20.0% 18.8–21.3% 18.4–21.7% 18.1–22.0% 17.5–22.7%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.4% 6.4–9.9%
PRO România 0.0% 7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.8%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 69 100 94–106 93–108 92–109 89–112
Partidul Social Democrat 154 78 73–83 71–84 70–86 68–88
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 65 60–69 59–70 58–72 56–74
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 26 23–29 22–30 22–30 20–32
PRO România 0 22 20–25 19–26 18–27 17–28
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0–18 0–18 0–19 0–20
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 13 11–15 10–15 10–16 9–17

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.2% 99.9%  
89 0.3% 99.7%  
90 0.5% 99.5%  
91 1.0% 99.0%  
92 2% 98%  
93 3% 96%  
94 4% 94%  
95 5% 90%  
96 5% 85%  
97 9% 80%  
98 8% 71%  
99 7% 63%  
100 7% 56% Median
101 9% 49%  
102 8% 40%  
103 7% 32%  
104 4% 24%  
105 6% 20%  
106 5% 14%  
107 3% 9%  
108 2% 6%  
109 2% 4%  
110 0.9% 2%  
111 0.5% 1.1%  
112 0.3% 0.6%  
113 0.2% 0.3%  
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0.1% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.5% 99.6%  
69 0.9% 99.1%  
70 2% 98%  
71 2% 96%  
72 4% 94%  
73 5% 90%  
74 7% 85%  
75 10% 78%  
76 8% 68%  
77 8% 59%  
78 8% 51% Median
79 10% 43%  
80 6% 33%  
81 12% 27%  
82 4% 15%  
83 4% 11%  
84 4% 8%  
85 1.2% 4%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.5% 1.1%  
88 0.3% 0.6%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.8%  
56 0.4% 99.6%  
57 0.7% 99.2%  
58 2% 98%  
59 5% 97%  
60 8% 92%  
61 9% 84%  
62 8% 74%  
63 6% 66%  
64 5% 60%  
65 7% 54% Median
66 8% 47%  
67 9% 39%  
68 14% 30%  
69 8% 16%  
70 5% 9%  
71 2% 4%  
72 0.7% 3%  
73 0.7% 2%  
74 0.8% 1.3%  
75 0.3% 0.5%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.2% 100%  
20 0.6% 99.8% Last Result
21 2% 99.2%  
22 5% 98%  
23 7% 92%  
24 12% 85%  
25 19% 73%  
26 20% 53% Median
27 14% 33%  
28 8% 19%  
29 6% 12%  
30 4% 6%  
31 1.2% 2%  
32 0.5% 0.7%  
33 0.2% 0.2%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.6% 99.9%  
18 2% 99.3%  
19 5% 97%  
20 11% 92%  
21 15% 81%  
22 19% 66% Median
23 17% 47%  
24 14% 30%  
25 8% 16%  
26 5% 8%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.9% 1.3%  
29 0.3% 0.4%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100% Median
1 0% 50%  
2 0% 50%  
3 0% 50%  
4 0% 50%  
5 0% 50%  
6 0% 50%  
7 0% 50%  
8 0% 50%  
9 0% 50%  
10 0% 50%  
11 0% 50%  
12 0% 50%  
13 0% 50%  
14 0% 50%  
15 1.4% 50%  
16 20% 48%  
17 14% 28%  
18 10% 15% Last Result
19 3% 4%  
20 1.2% 2%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 2% 99.8%  
10 6% 98%  
11 16% 92%  
12 23% 76%  
13 23% 53% Median
14 18% 30%  
15 8% 13%  
16 3% 5%  
17 1.2% 2%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 158 212 100% 206–218 204–219 203–221 201–223
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 203 100% 194–212 193–214 192–216 189–218
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 199 100% 193–206 191–207 190–208 187–211
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 191 100% 182–200 180–201 179–202 176–205
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 138 186 100% 179–193 178–194 177–196 174–198
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 178 99.1% 169–186 168–188 166–190 164–192
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 174 96% 167–180 165–182 163–184 161–186
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 165 53% 157–173 155–175 154–176 151–179
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 128 147 0% 139–155 137–157 136–158 134–161
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 139 0% 132–146 130–148 129–149 126–152
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România 174 126 0% 119–133 118–134 116–135 114–138
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 108 122 0% 113–130 111–132 109–133 107–136
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 113 0% 107–120 105–121 104–122 102–125
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 109 0% 100–118 98–120 97–121 94–123
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 103 0% 97–109 96–111 94–112 92–115
Partidul Național Liberal 69 100 0% 94–106 93–108 92–109 89–112
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 100 0% 94–106 93–108 91–109 89–111
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 73 0% 65–82 63–84 61–85 59–87

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 100%  
188 0% 100%  
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 100%  
198 0.1% 99.9%  
199 0.2% 99.9%  
200 0.2% 99.7%  
201 0.4% 99.5%  
202 0.5% 99.1%  
203 2% 98.6%  
204 2% 97% Median
205 3% 94%  
206 3% 91%  
207 4% 88%  
208 6% 84%  
209 8% 78%  
210 9% 70%  
211 10% 62%  
212 8% 52%  
213 5% 44%  
214 7% 38%  
215 7% 31%  
216 8% 24%  
217 5% 16%  
218 4% 11%  
219 3% 7%  
220 2% 4%  
221 1.4% 3%  
222 0.6% 1.3%  
223 0.4% 0.7%  
224 0.2% 0.3%  
225 0.1% 0.2%  
226 0.1% 0.1%  
227 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 100%  
187 0.1% 99.9%  
188 0.2% 99.9%  
189 0.3% 99.6%  
190 0.6% 99.3%  
191 0.8% 98.7%  
192 2% 98%  
193 3% 96%  
194 4% 93%  
195 4% 89%  
196 4% 85%  
197 6% 81%  
198 4% 76%  
199 7% 72%  
200 6% 65%  
201 2% 59%  
202 4% 57%  
203 3% 53%  
204 3% 50% Median
205 4% 47%  
206 4% 43%  
207 3% 39%  
208 5% 36%  
209 5% 31%  
210 6% 25%  
211 6% 20%  
212 4% 14%  
213 2% 9%  
214 2% 7%  
215 2% 5%  
216 1.3% 3%  
217 0.7% 1.3%  
218 0.3% 0.7%  
219 0.2% 0.3%  
220 0.1% 0.2%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0.1% 99.9%  
186 0.1% 99.8%  
187 0.2% 99.7%  
188 0.6% 99.5%  
189 0.8% 98.8%  
190 1.2% 98%  
191 2% 97% Median
192 3% 95%  
193 3% 92%  
194 6% 89%  
195 7% 83%  
196 5% 76%  
197 6% 71%  
198 8% 65%  
199 9% 56%  
200 7% 48%  
201 7% 40%  
202 7% 33%  
203 7% 26%  
204 3% 19%  
205 5% 15%  
206 4% 10%  
207 2% 6%  
208 2% 4%  
209 1.1% 2%  
210 0.6% 1.2%  
211 0.3% 0.7%  
212 0.2% 0.4%  
213 0.1% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0.1% 100%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0.3% 99.8%  
177 0.3% 99.5%  
178 1.0% 99.2%  
179 1.3% 98%  
180 2% 97%  
181 3% 95%  
182 3% 92%  
183 5% 88%  
184 6% 84%  
185 4% 77%  
186 5% 73%  
187 5% 68%  
188 3% 63%  
189 6% 60%  
190 3% 54%  
191 4% 51% Median
192 4% 48%  
193 3% 44%  
194 6% 40%  
195 5% 35%  
196 4% 29%  
197 5% 26%  
198 6% 21%  
199 4% 15%  
200 3% 11%  
201 3% 7%  
202 2% 4%  
203 0.5% 2%  
204 0.9% 2%  
205 0.3% 0.7%  
206 0.1% 0.3%  
207 0.1% 0.2%  
208 0.1% 0.1%  
209 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100% Last Result
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 99.9%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.2% 99.8%  
174 0.5% 99.6%  
175 0.6% 99.1%  
176 0.9% 98%  
177 2% 98%  
178 2% 95% Median
179 3% 93%  
180 4% 90%  
181 4% 86%  
182 6% 82%  
183 6% 76%  
184 7% 69%  
185 9% 62%  
186 7% 53%  
187 6% 46%  
188 5% 41%  
189 7% 35%  
190 6% 28%  
191 7% 22%  
192 3% 15%  
193 3% 12%  
194 3% 8%  
195 2% 5%  
196 1.3% 3%  
197 0.8% 2%  
198 0.5% 0.9%  
199 0.2% 0.5%  
200 0.1% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0.1% 100%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.2% 99.8%  
164 0.4% 99.6%  
165 0.6% 99.1% Majority
166 1.2% 98%  
167 2% 97%  
168 3% 95%  
169 4% 92%  
170 4% 88%  
171 4% 84%  
172 4% 80%  
173 7% 76%  
174 4% 69%  
175 5% 65%  
176 3% 59%  
177 5% 56%  
178 4% 51% Median
179 4% 46%  
180 4% 42%  
181 4% 38%  
182 5% 34%  
183 5% 28%  
184 4% 23%  
185 6% 19%  
186 4% 13%  
187 3% 9%  
188 2% 6%  
189 2% 4%  
190 1.1% 3%  
191 0.7% 2%  
192 0.4% 0.8%  
193 0.3% 0.4%  
194 0.1% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0.1% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0.2% 99.7%  
161 0.4% 99.5%  
162 0.8% 99.1%  
163 1.0% 98%  
164 1.3% 97%  
165 3% 96% Median, Majority
166 3% 93%  
167 5% 90%  
168 4% 86%  
169 5% 81%  
170 4% 76%  
171 9% 72%  
172 6% 63%  
173 6% 57%  
174 8% 51%  
175 7% 42%  
176 5% 35%  
177 6% 31%  
178 6% 25%  
179 4% 19%  
180 5% 15%  
181 3% 10%  
182 3% 7%  
183 2% 4%  
184 1.3% 3%  
185 0.7% 2%  
186 0.4% 0.9%  
187 0.2% 0.4%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.3% 99.7%  
152 0.8% 99.5%  
153 0.6% 98.7%  
154 1.3% 98%  
155 2% 97%  
156 3% 94%  
157 4% 91%  
158 5% 87%  
159 4% 82%  
160 7% 79%  
161 4% 71%  
162 5% 68%  
163 5% 63%  
164 5% 58%  
165 5% 53% Median, Majority
166 4% 48%  
167 6% 43%  
168 5% 38%  
169 5% 33%  
170 3% 28%  
171 7% 25%  
172 4% 18%  
173 4% 13%  
174 4% 10%  
175 2% 6%  
176 1.5% 4%  
177 0.9% 2%  
178 0.5% 1.3%  
179 0.5% 0.9%  
180 0.2% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100% Last Result
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0.1% 99.9%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.2% 99.7%  
134 0.4% 99.6%  
135 1.5% 99.1%  
136 2% 98%  
137 1.3% 95%  
138 1.5% 94%  
139 4% 93% Median
140 5% 89%  
141 5% 84%  
142 5% 79%  
143 6% 73%  
144 4% 67%  
145 4% 63%  
146 6% 59%  
147 4% 53%  
148 5% 49%  
149 6% 44%  
150 6% 38%  
151 6% 33%  
152 3% 27%  
153 7% 24%  
154 3% 17%  
155 6% 14%  
156 3% 9%  
157 2% 6%  
158 1.4% 4%  
159 1.1% 2%  
160 0.7% 1.3%  
161 0.3% 0.6%  
162 0.2% 0.3%  
163 0.1% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0% Majority

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.2% 99.9%  
126 0.6% 99.6%  
127 0.5% 99.1%  
128 0.8% 98.6%  
129 2% 98%  
130 2% 96%  
131 4% 94%  
132 3% 90%  
133 3% 87%  
134 6% 84%  
135 8% 78%  
136 7% 69%  
137 4% 62%  
138 4% 58%  
139 8% 53% Median
140 8% 46%  
141 6% 38%  
142 6% 31%  
143 6% 25%  
144 4% 19%  
145 3% 15%  
146 4% 12%  
147 2% 8%  
148 2% 5%  
149 1.0% 4%  
150 1.4% 2%  
151 0.5% 1.1%  
152 0.3% 0.6%  
153 0.1% 0.3%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.2% 99.7%  
114 0.5% 99.5%  
115 0.8% 99.1%  
116 1.3% 98%  
117 2% 97%  
118 3% 95%  
119 3% 92%  
120 3% 88%  
121 7% 85%  
122 6% 78%  
123 7% 72%  
124 5% 65%  
125 6% 59%  
126 7% 54% Median
127 9% 47%  
128 7% 38%  
129 6% 31%  
130 6% 24%  
131 4% 18%  
132 4% 14%  
133 3% 10%  
134 2% 7%  
135 2% 5%  
136 0.9% 2%  
137 0.6% 2%  
138 0.5% 0.9%  
139 0.2% 0.4%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0.2% 99.7%  
108 0.9% 99.5% Last Result
109 2% 98.6%  
110 1.0% 97%  
111 2% 96%  
112 2% 94%  
113 3% 91% Median
114 4% 88%  
115 9% 84%  
116 4% 75%  
117 5% 71%  
118 4% 65%  
119 3% 62%  
120 4% 59%  
121 5% 55%  
122 4% 50%  
123 4% 47%  
124 4% 42%  
125 7% 38%  
126 4% 32%  
127 6% 27%  
128 3% 21%  
129 5% 18%  
130 4% 13%  
131 3% 9%  
132 2% 6%  
133 2% 4%  
134 1.1% 2%  
135 0.4% 1.0%  
136 0.3% 0.6%  
137 0.1% 0.2%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100% Last Result
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.2% 99.8%  
102 0.4% 99.5%  
103 1.0% 99.1%  
104 2% 98%  
105 2% 96%  
106 2% 94%  
107 4% 92%  
108 5% 88%  
109 8% 82%  
110 6% 74%  
111 7% 67%  
112 5% 60%  
113 7% 55% Median
114 7% 48%  
115 12% 40%  
116 5% 29%  
117 6% 23%  
118 4% 17%  
119 2% 13%  
120 3% 10%  
121 3% 7%  
122 1.4% 4%  
123 1.2% 2%  
124 0.6% 1.3%  
125 0.4% 0.7%  
126 0.1% 0.3%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0.1% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100% Last Result
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0.1% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.3% 99.8%  
95 0.5% 99.5%  
96 0.7% 99.0%  
97 2% 98%  
98 2% 96%  
99 3% 94%  
100 4% 91% Median
101 5% 87%  
102 5% 81%  
103 5% 77%  
104 4% 71%  
105 5% 67%  
106 4% 62%  
107 4% 58%  
108 3% 54%  
109 3% 51%  
110 4% 48%  
111 3% 44%  
112 4% 41%  
113 5% 37%  
114 8% 32%  
115 3% 23%  
116 5% 20%  
117 4% 15%  
118 4% 11%  
119 2% 7%  
120 2% 5%  
121 2% 3%  
122 1.1% 2%  
123 0.2% 0.6%  
124 0.2% 0.4%  
125 0.1% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.2% 99.8%  
92 0.5% 99.7%  
93 0.6% 99.2%  
94 1.2% 98.6%  
95 2% 97%  
96 2% 95%  
97 4% 94%  
98 5% 90%  
99 8% 85%  
100 5% 77%  
101 9% 72%  
102 7% 63%  
103 6% 56%  
104 8% 50% Median
105 8% 42%  
106 7% 33%  
107 5% 27%  
108 7% 21%  
109 5% 14%  
110 3% 9%  
111 2% 6%  
112 2% 4%  
113 1.1% 2%  
114 0.5% 1.1%  
115 0.2% 0.7%  
116 0.3% 0.4%  
117 0.1% 0.2%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.2% 99.9%  
89 0.3% 99.7%  
90 0.5% 99.5%  
91 1.0% 99.0%  
92 2% 98%  
93 3% 96%  
94 4% 94%  
95 5% 90%  
96 5% 85%  
97 9% 80%  
98 8% 71%  
99 7% 63%  
100 7% 56% Median
101 9% 49%  
102 8% 40%  
103 7% 32%  
104 4% 24%  
105 6% 20%  
106 5% 14%  
107 3% 9%  
108 2% 6%  
109 2% 4%  
110 0.9% 2%  
111 0.5% 1.1%  
112 0.3% 0.6%  
113 0.2% 0.3%  
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0.1% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.2% 99.8%  
89 0.4% 99.7%  
90 0.6% 99.3%  
91 1.4% 98.7%  
92 2% 97%  
93 3% 96%  
94 4% 93%  
95 5% 89%  
96 8% 84%  
97 7% 76%  
98 7% 69%  
99 5% 62%  
100 8% 56% Median
101 10% 48%  
102 9% 38%  
103 8% 30%  
104 6% 22%  
105 4% 16%  
106 3% 12%  
107 3% 9%  
108 2% 6%  
109 2% 3%  
110 0.5% 1.4%  
111 0.4% 0.9%  
112 0.2% 0.5%  
113 0.2% 0.3%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.7% 99.7%  
60 1.1% 99.0%  
61 2% 98%  
62 1.2% 96%  
63 1.1% 95%  
64 2% 94%  
65 5% 92% Median
66 4% 86%  
67 7% 82%  
68 11% 75%  
69 6% 64%  
70 4% 58%  
71 2% 54%  
72 0.8% 52%  
73 1.2% 51%  
74 2% 50%  
75 5% 48%  
76 6% 44%  
77 5% 38%  
78 5% 32%  
79 3% 28%  
80 6% 24%  
81 4% 18%  
82 5% 15%  
83 3% 10%  
84 2% 7%  
85 2% 5%  
86 1.2% 2%  
87 0.6% 1.0%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations