Opinion Poll by Socio-Data, 26–30 August 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 26.0% 24.3–27.8% 23.8–28.3% 23.4–28.7% 22.6–29.6%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 24.0% 22.4–25.8% 21.9–26.2% 21.6–26.7% 20.8–27.5%
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 22.0% 20.4–23.7% 20.0–24.1% 19.6–24.6% 18.9–25.4%
PRO România 0.0% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.6% 8.3–11.9% 7.8–12.6%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.5% 3.6–7.0%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 69 86 79–93 77–95 76–97 73–101
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 79 73–86 71–88 70–90 67–93
Partidul Social Democrat 154 72 67–79 65–81 64–82 61–86
PRO România 0 33 29–37 28–39 27–40 25–42
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 19 16–23 0–24 0–25 0–26
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 16 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–22
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 13 11–16 10–17 9–17 8–19

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.7%  
74 0.4% 99.4%  
75 0.9% 99.1%  
76 2% 98%  
77 2% 97%  
78 2% 95%  
79 4% 92%  
80 5% 89%  
81 5% 84%  
82 7% 79%  
83 8% 72%  
84 7% 65%  
85 6% 58%  
86 9% 52% Median
87 5% 43%  
88 6% 38%  
89 7% 32%  
90 5% 25%  
91 4% 20%  
92 4% 15%  
93 3% 11%  
94 3% 8%  
95 1.5% 6%  
96 1.1% 4%  
97 1.0% 3%  
98 0.7% 2%  
99 0.6% 1.4%  
100 0.2% 0.8%  
101 0.3% 0.5%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.7%  
68 0.5% 99.4%  
69 0.9% 98.9%  
70 1.0% 98%  
71 3% 97%  
72 3% 94%  
73 4% 91%  
74 4% 87%  
75 5% 83%  
76 7% 78%  
77 7% 71%  
78 10% 64%  
79 9% 54% Median
80 6% 45%  
81 6% 40%  
82 6% 34%  
83 6% 28%  
84 7% 22%  
85 4% 15%  
86 3% 11%  
87 2% 8%  
88 2% 6%  
89 1.2% 5%  
90 2% 3%  
91 0.8% 2%  
92 0.3% 0.9%  
93 0.2% 0.6%  
94 0.1% 0.5%  
95 0.1% 0.4%  
96 0.1% 0.3%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.4% 99.7%  
62 0.7% 99.3%  
63 1.1% 98.6%  
64 2% 98%  
65 2% 96%  
66 3% 94%  
67 5% 91%  
68 6% 86%  
69 8% 80%  
70 8% 72%  
71 8% 65%  
72 8% 57% Median
73 7% 49%  
74 8% 42%  
75 7% 34%  
76 7% 27%  
77 6% 20%  
78 3% 15%  
79 4% 12%  
80 3% 8%  
81 1.5% 5%  
82 1.4% 4%  
83 0.6% 2%  
84 0.9% 2%  
85 0.3% 0.9%  
86 0.2% 0.6%  
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0.2% 99.9%  
25 0.4% 99.8%  
26 0.9% 99.4%  
27 3% 98%  
28 4% 96%  
29 6% 91%  
30 9% 86%  
31 13% 77%  
32 10% 64%  
33 11% 54% Median
34 11% 43%  
35 11% 31%  
36 7% 21%  
37 5% 13%  
38 3% 8%  
39 3% 6%  
40 2% 3%  
41 0.7% 1.4%  
42 0.3% 0.6%  
43 0.2% 0.3%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 0% 93%  
9 0% 93%  
10 0% 93%  
11 0% 93%  
12 0% 93%  
13 0% 93%  
14 0% 93%  
15 0% 93%  
16 3% 93%  
17 10% 90%  
18 16% 80%  
19 15% 64% Median
20 17% 50% Last Result
21 12% 33%  
22 9% 21%  
23 6% 12%  
24 3% 6%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.7% 1.2%  
27 0.3% 0.5%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100%  
1 0% 54%  
2 0% 54%  
3 0% 54%  
4 0% 54%  
5 0% 54%  
6 0% 54%  
7 0% 54%  
8 0% 54%  
9 0% 54%  
10 0% 54%  
11 0% 54%  
12 0% 54%  
13 0% 54%  
14 0% 54%  
15 0% 54%  
16 11% 54% Median
17 16% 43%  
18 12% 27% Last Result
19 7% 14%  
20 4% 7%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.8% 1.3%  
23 0.3% 0.5%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.5% 99.9%  
9 3% 99.4%  
10 6% 97%  
11 13% 90%  
12 17% 77%  
13 20% 61% Median
14 16% 40%  
15 12% 25%  
16 7% 13%  
17 4% 6%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.7% 1.0%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
22 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 158 207 100% 199–214 196–216 194–217 190–220
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 196 100% 187–207 185–209 183–211 178–214
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 194 100% 185–201 183–203 181–205 176–208
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 138 188 100% 180–196 176–200 175–203 173–209
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 183 99.5% 174–194 171–196 170–198 164–201
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 177 98% 169–189 167–191 165–194 162–201
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 175 93% 166–184 163–187 162–189 159–195
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 165 51% 156–175 154–177 152–180 149–187
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 128 127 0% 117–137 114–139 111–141 105–144
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 124 0% 116–132 112–136 109–137 103–139
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 118 0% 109–126 106–129 103–130 97–134
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 108 109 0% 98–118 96–121 94–123 91–127
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 105 0% 98–113 96–116 95–118 92–122
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 99 0% 92–106 90–109 88–111 86–115
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 96 0% 85–106 83–108 81–110 78–113
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 90 0% 78–99 76–102 75–103 72–107
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 91 0% 83–98 79–100 75–102 70–106
Partidul Național Liberal 69 86 0% 79–93 77–95 76–97 73–101

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 99.9%  
187 0% 99.9%  
188 0.1% 99.9%  
189 0.2% 99.8%  
190 0.3% 99.6%  
191 0.2% 99.3%  
192 0.4% 99.1%  
193 0.7% 98.7%  
194 0.6% 98%  
195 0.8% 97%  
196 2% 97%  
197 2% 95%  
198 3% 93%  
199 3% 90%  
200 3% 87%  
201 4% 84%  
202 4% 80%  
203 5% 76%  
204 6% 71%  
205 7% 65%  
206 7% 59%  
207 7% 52%  
208 6% 45%  
209 8% 39%  
210 5% 31%  
211 6% 26%  
212 6% 20%  
213 3% 14% Median
214 3% 11%  
215 3% 8%  
216 2% 5%  
217 1.3% 4%  
218 1.1% 2%  
219 0.5% 1.3%  
220 0.4% 0.8%  
221 0.2% 0.4%  
222 0.1% 0.2%  
223 0.1% 0.1%  
224 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.1% 99.8%  
178 0.2% 99.7%  
179 0.3% 99.4%  
180 0.2% 99.2%  
181 0.6% 98.9%  
182 0.7% 98%  
183 0.8% 98%  
184 2% 97%  
185 1.3% 95%  
186 2% 94%  
187 3% 92%  
188 3% 89%  
189 5% 86%  
190 4% 82%  
191 4% 78%  
192 6% 75%  
193 5% 69%  
194 5% 63%  
195 6% 59%  
196 4% 53%  
197 4% 49% Median
198 4% 45%  
199 4% 41%  
200 4% 37%  
201 4% 34%  
202 3% 30%  
203 3% 26%  
204 3% 23%  
205 4% 20%  
206 3% 16%  
207 3% 12%  
208 2% 9%  
209 2% 7%  
210 2% 5%  
211 1.1% 3%  
212 0.6% 2%  
213 0.6% 1.2%  
214 0.2% 0.7%  
215 0.2% 0.4%  
216 0.1% 0.2%  
217 0.1% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.8%  
175 0.1% 99.8%  
176 0.3% 99.7%  
177 0.4% 99.4%  
178 0.3% 98.9%  
179 0.6% 98.6%  
180 0.4% 98%  
181 1.0% 98%  
182 1.0% 97%  
183 2% 96%  
184 2% 94%  
185 3% 91%  
186 4% 89%  
187 3% 85%  
188 4% 82%  
189 4% 77%  
190 4% 73%  
191 5% 69%  
192 6% 64%  
193 5% 58%  
194 7% 53%  
195 7% 46%  
196 7% 39%  
197 5% 31%  
198 6% 26%  
199 4% 20%  
200 4% 16% Median
201 2% 12%  
202 3% 9%  
203 2% 7%  
204 1.2% 4%  
205 1.4% 3%  
206 0.7% 2%  
207 0.5% 1.1%  
208 0.3% 0.6%  
209 0.2% 0.3%  
210 0.1% 0.2%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100% Last Result
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.8%  
172 0.1% 99.7%  
173 0.3% 99.5%  
174 0.7% 99.3%  
175 2% 98.6%  
176 2% 97%  
177 1.2% 95%  
178 2% 94%  
179 1.1% 92%  
180 3% 91%  
181 3% 88%  
182 7% 85%  
183 4% 78%  
184 5% 74%  
185 3% 69%  
186 4% 66%  
187 7% 62%  
188 10% 55%  
189 8% 45%  
190 5% 36%  
191 3% 32%  
192 3% 29%  
193 5% 26%  
194 5% 21% Median
195 4% 15%  
196 3% 12%  
197 1.5% 9%  
198 0.7% 8%  
199 0.9% 7%  
200 1.3% 6%  
201 0.9% 5%  
202 1.2% 4%  
203 0.6% 3%  
204 0.6% 2%  
205 0.4% 1.5%  
206 0.2% 1.1%  
207 0.1% 0.9%  
208 0.2% 0.8%  
209 0.1% 0.6%  
210 0.2% 0.5%  
211 0.1% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0.1% 99.9%  
162 0.1% 99.8%  
163 0.1% 99.8%  
164 0.2% 99.7%  
165 0.1% 99.5% Majority
166 0.2% 99.4%  
167 0.5% 99.1%  
168 0.4% 98.7%  
169 0.7% 98%  
170 1.0% 98%  
171 2% 97%  
172 1.4% 95%  
173 2% 93%  
174 2% 92%  
175 2% 89%  
176 4% 87%  
177 4% 83%  
178 5% 80%  
179 7% 75%  
180 5% 69%  
181 6% 64%  
182 4% 58%  
183 6% 54%  
184 4% 48% Median
185 4% 44%  
186 4% 40%  
187 4% 36%  
188 4% 32%  
189 4% 28%  
190 3% 25%  
191 3% 21%  
192 4% 18%  
193 3% 15%  
194 4% 12%  
195 2% 8%  
196 2% 6%  
197 1.0% 4%  
198 1.2% 3%  
199 0.6% 2%  
200 0.2% 1.0%  
201 0.3% 0.7%  
202 0.2% 0.4%  
203 0.1% 0.2%  
204 0.1% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0.1% 99.9%  
161 0.2% 99.8%  
162 0.4% 99.6%  
163 0.8% 99.2%  
164 0.9% 98%  
165 1.0% 98% Majority
166 1.2% 97%  
167 1.3% 95%  
168 2% 94%  
169 4% 92%  
170 4% 88%  
171 5% 85%  
172 7% 80%  
173 4% 73%  
174 4% 70%  
175 4% 66%  
176 6% 61%  
177 6% 55%  
178 3% 50% Median
179 2% 46%  
180 4% 44%  
181 4% 40%  
182 6% 37%  
183 4% 30%  
184 5% 26%  
185 3% 21%  
186 2% 18%  
187 2% 16%  
188 3% 14%  
189 3% 11%  
190 2% 8%  
191 1.3% 5%  
192 0.7% 4%  
193 0.6% 3%  
194 0.4% 3%  
195 0.3% 2%  
196 0.3% 2%  
197 0.4% 2%  
198 0.4% 1.4%  
199 0.2% 1.1%  
200 0.3% 0.8%  
201 0.1% 0.5%  
202 0.1% 0.5%  
203 0.1% 0.3%  
204 0% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.2%  
206 0.1% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.9%  
158 0.2% 99.8%  
159 0.3% 99.6%  
160 0.5% 99.3%  
161 0.8% 98.8%  
162 1.4% 98%  
163 2% 97%  
164 2% 95%  
165 2% 93% Majority
166 3% 91%  
167 3% 88%  
168 3% 85%  
169 5% 82%  
170 3% 76%  
171 4% 73%  
172 5% 70%  
173 6% 65%  
174 7% 59%  
175 5% 52%  
176 7% 47%  
177 7% 40%  
178 6% 33%  
179 3% 27%  
180 4% 24%  
181 3% 21% Median
182 4% 17%  
183 3% 13%  
184 2% 10%  
185 2% 8%  
186 1.1% 7%  
187 1.4% 6%  
188 1.0% 4%  
189 0.9% 3%  
190 0.5% 2%  
191 0.5% 2%  
192 0.5% 1.4%  
193 0.1% 0.9%  
194 0.1% 0.8%  
195 0.1% 0.6%  
196 0.1% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.3%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0.1% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.2% 99.8%  
149 0.3% 99.6%  
150 0.5% 99.3%  
151 1.2% 98.8%  
152 0.7% 98%  
153 1.1% 97%  
154 2% 96%  
155 2% 94%  
156 2% 92%  
157 4% 90%  
158 5% 86%  
159 5% 81%  
160 6% 77%  
161 6% 71%  
162 4% 65%  
163 4% 60%  
164 5% 56%  
165 4% 51% Median, Majority
166 5% 47%  
167 5% 42%  
168 3% 38%  
169 6% 34%  
170 3% 28%  
171 4% 25%  
172 3% 22%  
173 4% 18%  
174 4% 15%  
175 2% 11%  
176 3% 9%  
177 2% 7%  
178 1.0% 5%  
179 0.9% 4%  
180 0.4% 3%  
181 0.4% 2%  
182 0.3% 2%  
183 0.6% 2%  
184 0.1% 1.2%  
185 0.1% 1.1%  
186 0.2% 0.9%  
187 0.3% 0.7%  
188 0.1% 0.4%  
189 0.1% 0.3%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0.1% 99.7%  
104 0.1% 99.7%  
105 0.3% 99.6%  
106 0.3% 99.3%  
107 0.3% 99.0%  
108 0.2% 98.7%  
109 0.7% 98.5%  
110 0.2% 98%  
111 0.4% 98%  
112 0.6% 97%  
113 1.0% 97%  
114 2% 96%  
115 1.4% 94%  
116 1.0% 92%  
117 2% 91%  
118 3% 90%  
119 5% 87%  
120 4% 82%  
121 3% 78%  
122 3% 75%  
123 3% 72%  
124 6% 69%  
125 5% 63%  
126 5% 58%  
127 3% 53%  
128 3% 50% Last Result
129 5% 47%  
130 4% 42%  
131 7% 38%  
132 3% 31%  
133 5% 27%  
134 4% 23% Median
135 3% 19%  
136 4% 16%  
137 3% 12%  
138 3% 8%  
139 2% 6%  
140 1.1% 4%  
141 1.2% 3%  
142 0.7% 2%  
143 0.4% 1.0%  
144 0.3% 0.6%  
145 0.1% 0.3%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0.1% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.2% 99.8%  
103 0.1% 99.5%  
104 0.2% 99.4%  
105 0.1% 99.2%  
106 0.2% 99.1%  
107 0.4% 98.9%  
108 0.6% 98.5%  
109 0.6% 98%  
110 1.2% 97%  
111 0.9% 96%  
112 1.3% 95%  
113 0.9% 94%  
114 0.7% 93%  
115 1.5% 92%  
116 3% 91%  
117 4% 88%  
118 5% 85%  
119 5% 79%  
120 3% 74%  
121 3% 71%  
122 5% 68%  
123 8% 64%  
124 10% 55% Median
125 7% 45%  
126 4% 38%  
127 3% 34%  
128 5% 31%  
129 4% 26%  
130 7% 22%  
131 3% 15%  
132 3% 12%  
133 1.1% 9%  
134 2% 8%  
135 1.2% 6%  
136 2% 5%  
137 2% 3%  
138 0.7% 1.4%  
139 0.3% 0.7%  
140 0.1% 0.5%  
141 0.1% 0.3%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0.1% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.8%  
96 0.1% 99.7%  
97 0.2% 99.6%  
98 0.1% 99.4%  
99 0.3% 99.3%  
100 0.6% 99.0%  
101 0.4% 98%  
102 0.4% 98%  
103 0.4% 98%  
104 0.7% 97%  
105 1.0% 97%  
106 2% 95%  
107 0.8% 94%  
108 1.2% 93%  
109 3% 92%  
110 5% 89% Last Result
111 3% 84%  
112 2% 81%  
113 4% 80%  
114 8% 75%  
115 7% 68%  
116 5% 61%  
117 3% 56%  
118 5% 53% Median
119 8% 48%  
120 9% 40%  
121 4% 31%  
122 3% 27%  
123 3% 24%  
124 6% 21%  
125 5% 15%  
126 3% 10%  
127 1.2% 8%  
128 1.4% 6%  
129 2% 5%  
130 1.2% 3%  
131 1.2% 2%  
132 0.3% 1.0%  
133 0.1% 0.6%  
134 0.2% 0.5%  
135 0.2% 0.3%  
136 0.1% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.1% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.2% 99.8%  
91 0.2% 99.7%  
92 0.4% 99.5%  
93 1.0% 99.1%  
94 0.7% 98%  
95 2% 97%  
96 2% 96%  
97 2% 94%  
98 2% 92%  
99 4% 90%  
100 3% 85%  
101 2% 83%  
102 4% 80%  
103 4% 76%  
104 3% 72%  
105 4% 69%  
106 6% 65%  
107 3% 59%  
108 3% 57% Last Result
109 6% 53%  
110 4% 47%  
111 4% 43%  
112 5% 38%  
113 4% 34%  
114 5% 30%  
115 4% 25% Median
116 4% 20%  
117 3% 16%  
118 3% 13%  
119 2% 10%  
120 2% 8%  
121 2% 6%  
122 1.1% 4%  
123 1.0% 3%  
124 0.8% 2%  
125 0.5% 1.4%  
126 0.3% 0.9%  
127 0.2% 0.5%  
128 0.1% 0.3%  
129 0.1% 0.3%  
130 0.1% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.2% 99.8%  
92 0.4% 99.6%  
93 0.5% 99.2%  
94 1.1% 98.7%  
95 1.3% 98%  
96 2% 96%  
97 3% 95%  
98 3% 92%  
99 3% 89%  
100 6% 86%  
101 6% 80%  
102 5% 74%  
103 8% 69%  
104 6% 61%  
105 7% 55% Median
106 7% 48%  
107 7% 41%  
108 6% 35%  
109 5% 29%  
110 4% 24%  
111 4% 20%  
112 3% 16%  
113 3% 13%  
114 3% 10%  
115 2% 7%  
116 2% 5%  
117 0.8% 3%  
118 0.6% 3%  
119 0.7% 2%  
120 0.4% 1.3%  
121 0.2% 0.9%  
122 0.3% 0.7%  
123 0.2% 0.4%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.3% 99.8%  
86 0.3% 99.5%  
87 0.7% 99.2%  
88 1.2% 98%  
89 1.3% 97%  
90 2% 96% Last Result
91 3% 94%  
92 3% 90%  
93 6% 87%  
94 6% 82%  
95 4% 76%  
96 5% 71%  
97 8% 66%  
98 6% 58%  
99 7% 52% Median
100 7% 45%  
101 5% 38%  
102 6% 34%  
103 5% 28%  
104 4% 23%  
105 4% 19%  
106 5% 15%  
107 2% 9%  
108 2% 8%  
109 2% 6%  
110 1.1% 4%  
111 0.8% 3%  
112 0.6% 2%  
113 0.4% 1.3%  
114 0.2% 0.9%  
115 0.2% 0.6%  
116 0.3% 0.5%  
117 0.1% 0.2%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.3% 99.7%  
79 0.4% 99.4%  
80 0.8% 98.9%  
81 0.8% 98%  
82 1.4% 97%  
83 2% 96%  
84 3% 94%  
85 2% 91%  
86 4% 89%  
87 2% 85% Last Result
88 4% 82%  
89 5% 79%  
90 4% 74%  
91 3% 70%  
92 4% 67%  
93 4% 62%  
94 3% 59%  
95 3% 56%  
96 5% 53%  
97 4% 48%  
98 4% 44%  
99 5% 40%  
100 5% 35%  
101 4% 30%  
102 4% 25% Median
103 6% 22%  
104 3% 16%  
105 3% 13%  
106 2% 10%  
107 2% 8%  
108 2% 6%  
109 0.8% 4%  
110 0.9% 3%  
111 1.0% 2%  
112 0.6% 1.1%  
113 0.1% 0.6%  
114 0.1% 0.4%  
115 0.1% 0.3%  
116 0.1% 0.2%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.8%  
72 0.4% 99.5%  
73 0.5% 99.1%  
74 1.0% 98.7%  
75 1.2% 98%  
76 3% 96%  
77 3% 94%  
78 4% 91%  
79 3% 88%  
80 3% 85%  
81 3% 82%  
82 4% 79%  
83 5% 75%  
84 5% 70%  
85 3% 66%  
86 3% 63%  
87 2% 60%  
88 4% 58%  
89 3% 54%  
90 4% 51%  
91 5% 47%  
92 4% 42%  
93 3% 38%  
94 5% 35%  
95 6% 31% Median
96 5% 24%  
97 4% 19%  
98 4% 15%  
99 2% 12%  
100 2% 9%  
101 2% 7%  
102 2% 5%  
103 1.0% 3%  
104 0.8% 2%  
105 0.4% 1.2%  
106 0.3% 0.8%  
107 0.2% 0.5%  
108 0.1% 0.4%  
109 0.1% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.7%  
70 0.3% 99.6%  
71 0.2% 99.2%  
72 0.4% 99.0%  
73 0.5% 98.6%  
74 0.5% 98%  
75 0.3% 98%  
76 0.7% 97%  
77 0.6% 97%  
78 0.6% 96%  
79 0.9% 95%  
80 0.9% 95%  
81 0.8% 94%  
82 1.2% 93%  
83 2% 92%  
84 2% 90%  
85 3% 88%  
86 3% 85%  
87 6% 82%  
88 5% 76%  
89 9% 71%  
90 7% 63%  
91 7% 56% Median
92 7% 49%  
93 6% 42%  
94 5% 36%  
95 7% 31%  
96 6% 24%  
97 5% 19%  
98 4% 13%  
99 3% 10%  
100 2% 7%  
101 1.2% 5%  
102 2% 4%  
103 0.8% 2%  
104 0.6% 1.4%  
105 0.3% 0.8%  
106 0.2% 0.5%  
107 0.2% 0.3%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.7%  
74 0.4% 99.4%  
75 0.9% 99.1%  
76 2% 98%  
77 2% 97%  
78 2% 95%  
79 4% 92%  
80 5% 89%  
81 5% 84%  
82 7% 79%  
83 8% 72%  
84 7% 65%  
85 6% 58%  
86 9% 52% Median
87 5% 43%  
88 6% 38%  
89 7% 32%  
90 5% 25%  
91 4% 20%  
92 4% 15%  
93 3% 11%  
94 3% 8%  
95 1.5% 6%  
96 1.1% 4%  
97 1.0% 3%  
98 0.7% 2%  
99 0.6% 1.4%  
100 0.2% 0.8%  
101 0.3% 0.5%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations