Opinion Poll by Socio-Data, 16–20 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 28.0% 26.3–29.9% 25.8–30.4% 25.4–30.8% 24.6–31.7%
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 25.0% 23.4–26.8% 22.9–27.3% 22.5–27.7% 21.8–28.6%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 22.0% 20.4–23.7% 20.0–24.1% 19.6–24.6% 18.9–25.4%
PRO România 0.0% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.7–10.5% 7.4–10.8% 6.9–11.4%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.5% 3.6–7.0%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.5% 3.6–7.0%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 69 95 88–102 86–104 84–106 81–109
Partidul Social Democrat 154 84 78–92 76–94 75–95 72–98
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 74 68–81 66–82 65–84 62–87
PRO România 0 30 26–34 25–36 24–37 23–39
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 17 14–20 13–22 13–22 12–23
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 16 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–23
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 0 0 0–16 0–17 0–19

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8%  
81 0.2% 99.7%  
82 0.4% 99.5%  
83 0.7% 99.0%  
84 1.0% 98%  
85 1.4% 97%  
86 2% 96%  
87 3% 94%  
88 5% 90%  
89 4% 86%  
90 6% 82%  
91 6% 76%  
92 6% 71%  
93 6% 64%  
94 7% 58%  
95 7% 51% Median
96 5% 43%  
97 7% 38%  
98 5% 31%  
99 6% 26%  
100 4% 20%  
101 4% 16%  
102 3% 12%  
103 2% 9%  
104 2% 7%  
105 1.3% 5%  
106 2% 3%  
107 0.5% 2%  
108 0.5% 1.2%  
109 0.3% 0.7%  
110 0.3% 0.5%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.3% 99.6%  
73 0.5% 99.3%  
74 1.0% 98.8%  
75 1.1% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 3% 95%  
78 3% 92%  
79 5% 88%  
80 6% 84%  
81 7% 78%  
82 6% 71%  
83 8% 65%  
84 9% 57% Median
85 5% 48%  
86 7% 43%  
87 6% 36%  
88 6% 29%  
89 6% 24%  
90 4% 18%  
91 3% 14%  
92 3% 11%  
93 3% 8%  
94 2% 5%  
95 1.0% 3%  
96 0.8% 2%  
97 0.4% 1.1%  
98 0.3% 0.7%  
99 0.2% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.7%  
63 0.7% 99.4%  
64 0.8% 98.7%  
65 1.4% 98%  
66 2% 97%  
67 3% 94%  
68 3% 92%  
69 4% 88%  
70 7% 84%  
71 7% 77%  
72 9% 70%  
73 8% 61%  
74 7% 53% Median
75 8% 46%  
76 7% 38%  
77 6% 31%  
78 5% 25%  
79 5% 20%  
80 4% 15%  
81 4% 11%  
82 2% 7%  
83 2% 5%  
84 1.3% 3%  
85 0.7% 2%  
86 0.4% 1.0%  
87 0.2% 0.6%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.3% 99.9%  
23 0.7% 99.6%  
24 2% 98.9%  
25 3% 97%  
26 5% 94%  
27 8% 88%  
28 11% 80%  
29 11% 69%  
30 12% 58% Median
31 12% 46%  
32 11% 35%  
33 8% 24%  
34 7% 15%  
35 3% 9%  
36 2% 5%  
37 2% 3%  
38 0.8% 1.3%  
39 0.3% 0.6%  
40 0.1% 0.3%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.2% 99.9%  
12 1.0% 99.7%  
13 8% 98.7%  
14 10% 91%  
15 8% 80%  
16 8% 73%  
17 22% 65% Median
18 26% 43%  
19 6% 17%  
20 3% 11%  
21 3% 8% Last Result
22 4% 5%  
23 1.2% 1.5%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 45% 100%  
1 0% 55%  
2 0% 55%  
3 0% 55%  
4 0% 55%  
5 0% 55%  
6 0% 55%  
7 0% 55%  
8 0% 55%  
9 0% 55%  
10 0% 55%  
11 0% 55%  
12 0% 55%  
13 0% 55%  
14 0% 55%  
15 0% 55%  
16 7% 55% Median
17 17% 48%  
18 13% 32% Last Result
19 9% 19%  
20 5% 10%  
21 3% 5%  
22 1.2% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.7%  
24 0.2% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 0% 7%  
5 0% 7%  
6 0% 7%  
7 0% 7%  
8 0% 7%  
9 0% 7%  
10 0% 7%  
11 0% 7%  
12 0% 7%  
13 0% 7%  
14 0% 7%  
15 0% 7%  
16 3% 7%  
17 3% 5%  
18 1.1% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.6%  
20 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
21 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 158 197 100% 189–205 187–207 185–208 182–212
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 138 196 100% 187–204 185–206 182–207 177–210
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 140 187 100% 177–197 175–200 173–202 170–206
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 185 99.8% 176–196 173–199 172–200 167–204
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 137 180 99.3% 171–189 169–191 167–192 164–196
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 179 98% 170–187 167–190 165–192 160–195
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 170 76% 161–180 158–183 157–185 154–189
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 168 71% 159–179 157–182 155–183 151–186
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 128 123 0% 113–133 110–136 108–137 105–142
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 108 122 0% 111–132 109–133 107–135 103–139
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 116 0% 108–125 106–127 105–130 102–135
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 115 0% 107–123 105–125 104–127 100–130
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 110 113 0% 105–122 103–124 101–127 98–132
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 112 0% 104–120 102–122 100–124 97–127
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 105 0% 94–115 92–117 90–118 87–122
Partidul Național Liberal 69 95 0% 88–102 86–104 84–106 81–109
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 85 0% 79–94 77–96 76–100 73–105
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 85 0% 73–94 71–96 70–98 66–101

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0.1% 100%  
179 0.1% 99.9%  
180 0.1% 99.8%  
181 0.1% 99.7%  
182 0.3% 99.6%  
183 0.2% 99.3%  
184 1.0% 99.1%  
185 3% 98%  
186 0.6% 96%  
187 2% 95%  
188 2% 93%  
189 1.0% 90%  
190 3% 89%  
191 4% 86%  
192 4% 82%  
193 5% 77%  
194 7% 73%  
195 6% 66%  
196 4% 60%  
197 7% 56%  
198 6% 49%  
199 5% 42%  
200 8% 37%  
201 7% 29%  
202 2% 22% Median
203 4% 20%  
204 3% 16%  
205 3% 12%  
206 3% 9%  
207 2% 6%  
208 2% 4%  
209 0.9% 2%  
210 0.6% 1.5%  
211 0.3% 0.9%  
212 0.2% 0.7%  
213 0.2% 0.5%  
214 0.1% 0.3%  
215 0.1% 0.2%  
216 0.1% 0.1%  
217 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100% Last Result
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0.1% 99.8%  
176 0.1% 99.7%  
177 0.2% 99.7%  
178 0.5% 99.4%  
179 0.3% 98.9%  
180 0.3% 98.7%  
181 0.4% 98%  
182 0.6% 98%  
183 0.5% 97%  
184 2% 97%  
185 3% 95%  
186 0.8% 92%  
187 3% 91%  
188 3% 88%  
189 1.4% 86%  
190 3% 84%  
191 5% 81%  
192 5% 75%  
193 5% 71%  
194 7% 66%  
195 6% 59%  
196 4% 53%  
197 7% 50%  
198 6% 43%  
199 5% 37%  
200 8% 31%  
201 6% 24%  
202 2% 17% Median
203 4% 16%  
204 3% 12%  
205 3% 9%  
206 3% 6%  
207 1.2% 4%  
208 1.1% 2%  
209 0.5% 1.3%  
210 0.4% 0.8%  
211 0.1% 0.5%  
212 0.1% 0.3%  
213 0.1% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0.1% 100%  
168 0.1% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.8%  
170 0.2% 99.7%  
171 0.3% 99.5%  
172 0.8% 99.1%  
173 1.1% 98%  
174 1.4% 97%  
175 2% 96%  
176 2% 94%  
177 3% 93%  
178 3% 90%  
179 4% 87%  
180 4% 83%  
181 6% 79%  
182 4% 73%  
183 6% 70%  
184 5% 64%  
185 5% 60%  
186 3% 54% Median
187 5% 51%  
188 5% 46%  
189 3% 41%  
190 4% 38%  
191 3% 34%  
192 3% 31%  
193 4% 28%  
194 5% 24%  
195 5% 18%  
196 2% 14%  
197 3% 12%  
198 1.2% 9%  
199 1.2% 8%  
200 2% 6%  
201 1.2% 4%  
202 0.9% 3%  
203 0.5% 2%  
204 0.5% 1.3%  
205 0.2% 0.7%  
206 0.1% 0.5%  
207 0.2% 0.4%  
208 0.1% 0.2%  
209 0.1% 0.2%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0.1% 99.9%  
165 0.1% 99.8% Majority
166 0.1% 99.7%  
167 0.2% 99.5%  
168 0.5% 99.3%  
169 0.3% 98.9%  
170 0.5% 98.6%  
171 0.5% 98%  
172 1.3% 98%  
173 2% 96%  
174 2% 95%  
175 2% 93%  
176 2% 91%  
177 3% 89%  
178 3% 85%  
179 4% 82%  
180 4% 78%  
181 6% 74%  
182 4% 68%  
183 6% 64%  
184 5% 59%  
185 5% 54%  
186 3% 49% Median
187 5% 45%  
188 5% 40%  
189 2% 36%  
190 4% 34%  
191 3% 30%  
192 3% 27%  
193 4% 24%  
194 5% 20%  
195 4% 15%  
196 1.5% 11%  
197 3% 9%  
198 0.9% 7%  
199 1.0% 6%  
200 2% 5%  
201 0.8% 2%  
202 0.6% 2%  
203 0.4% 0.9%  
204 0.3% 0.5%  
205 0.1% 0.2%  
206 0.1% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.1% 99.8%  
164 0.3% 99.6%  
165 0.3% 99.3% Majority
166 0.4% 99.0%  
167 1.5% 98.6%  
168 2% 97%  
169 1.4% 96%  
170 3% 94%  
171 1.4% 91%  
172 3% 90%  
173 4% 87%  
174 4% 83%  
175 3% 79%  
176 5% 77%  
177 6% 71%  
178 5% 65%  
179 6% 61%  
180 7% 55%  
181 4% 49%  
182 7% 44%  
183 7% 37%  
184 4% 30%  
185 6% 26% Median
186 3% 20%  
187 3% 17%  
188 3% 14%  
189 2% 11%  
190 2% 8%  
191 2% 6%  
192 2% 4%  
193 0.8% 2%  
194 0.6% 2%  
195 0.4% 1.0%  
196 0.2% 0.6%  
197 0.2% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.8%  
159 0.1% 99.7%  
160 0.2% 99.6%  
161 0.3% 99.5%  
162 0.5% 99.2%  
163 0.4% 98.7%  
164 0.4% 98%  
165 0.6% 98% Majority
166 0.7% 97%  
167 2% 97%  
168 2% 95%  
169 2% 93%  
170 3% 91%  
171 2% 88%  
172 3% 86%  
173 4% 83%  
174 4% 78%  
175 3% 74%  
176 6% 71%  
177 6% 65%  
178 5% 59%  
179 5% 55%  
180 6% 49%  
181 4% 43%  
182 7% 39%  
183 7% 32%  
184 3% 25%  
185 6% 22% Median
186 3% 16%  
187 3% 13%  
188 2% 10%  
189 2% 7%  
190 1.2% 5%  
191 1.5% 4%  
192 2% 3%  
193 0.4% 1.2%  
194 0.3% 0.8%  
195 0.3% 0.5%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.2% 99.8%  
154 0.4% 99.6%  
155 0.6% 99.2%  
156 0.6% 98.6%  
157 1.4% 98%  
158 2% 97%  
159 2% 95%  
160 2% 93%  
161 3% 91%  
162 3% 88%  
163 5% 85%  
164 4% 80%  
165 6% 76% Majority
166 4% 71%  
167 6% 66%  
168 5% 60%  
169 4% 55% Median
170 5% 51%  
171 3% 46%  
172 5% 43%  
173 5% 38%  
174 4% 33%  
175 3% 29%  
176 4% 26%  
177 4% 22%  
178 3% 17%  
179 3% 14%  
180 3% 11%  
181 1.3% 8%  
182 2% 7%  
183 2% 5%  
184 1.1% 4%  
185 0.8% 3%  
186 0.6% 2%  
187 0.4% 1.3%  
188 0.2% 0.8%  
189 0.2% 0.6%  
190 0.2% 0.4%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0.1% 99.8%  
150 0.2% 99.7%  
151 0.2% 99.6%  
152 0.3% 99.4%  
153 0.4% 99.0%  
154 0.5% 98.6%  
155 1.1% 98%  
156 1.0% 97%  
157 2% 96%  
158 2% 94%  
159 2% 92%  
160 3% 90%  
161 3% 87%  
162 4% 84%  
163 5% 80%  
164 4% 75%  
165 6% 71% Majority
166 4% 65%  
167 6% 61%  
168 5% 55%  
169 4% 50% Median
170 5% 45%  
171 3% 40%  
172 4% 37%  
173 4% 33%  
174 4% 28%  
175 3% 25%  
176 4% 22%  
177 4% 18%  
178 3% 14%  
179 3% 11%  
180 2% 8%  
181 1.1% 6%  
182 1.5% 5%  
183 1.5% 4%  
184 0.8% 2%  
185 0.5% 1.3%  
186 0.3% 0.8%  
187 0.2% 0.5%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0.1% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.2% 99.8%  
105 0.3% 99.6%  
106 0.4% 99.3%  
107 0.6% 98.9%  
108 1.1% 98%  
109 2% 97%  
110 1.4% 95%  
111 2% 94%  
112 2% 92%  
113 3% 90%  
114 3% 87%  
115 3% 83%  
116 3% 80%  
117 5% 77%  
118 4% 72%  
119 3% 69%  
120 4% 65%  
121 3% 62%  
122 5% 59%  
123 6% 54%  
124 4% 48%  
125 5% 44%  
126 3% 39%  
127 6% 36%  
128 4% 30% Last Result, Median
129 4% 26%  
130 4% 22%  
131 4% 18%  
132 3% 14%  
133 3% 11%  
134 2% 8%  
135 2% 7%  
136 1.1% 5%  
137 2% 4%  
138 0.5% 2%  
139 0.8% 2%  
140 0.3% 1.1%  
141 0.2% 0.8%  
142 0.2% 0.7%  
143 0.1% 0.5%  
144 0.1% 0.3%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0.1% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.8%  
103 0.2% 99.7%  
104 0.4% 99.5%  
105 0.5% 99.1%  
106 0.8% 98.6%  
107 0.8% 98%  
108 1.3% 97% Last Result
109 2% 96%  
110 2% 94%  
111 2% 92%  
112 2% 90%  
113 4% 87%  
114 4% 84%  
115 4% 80%  
116 3% 77%  
117 5% 73%  
118 4% 68%  
119 4% 64%  
120 4% 61%  
121 3% 57%  
122 5% 53%  
123 6% 49%  
124 4% 43%  
125 5% 39%  
126 3% 34%  
127 6% 31%  
128 4% 25% Median
129 3% 21%  
130 4% 17%  
131 3% 14%  
132 3% 10%  
133 2% 7%  
134 1.4% 5%  
135 1.3% 3%  
136 0.7% 2%  
137 0.4% 1.3%  
138 0.3% 0.9%  
139 0.3% 0.6%  
140 0.2% 0.3%  
141 0.1% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.1% 99.7%  
102 0.4% 99.5%  
103 0.5% 99.2%  
104 1.1% 98.7%  
105 1.2% 98%  
106 3% 96%  
107 3% 94%  
108 3% 91%  
109 4% 88%  
110 2% 84%  
111 6% 83%  
112 8% 76%  
113 5% 69%  
114 6% 63% Median
115 7% 57%  
116 4% 50%  
117 6% 47%  
118 7% 41%  
119 5% 34%  
120 5% 29%  
121 5% 25%  
122 3% 19%  
123 1.4% 16%  
124 3% 14%  
125 3% 12%  
126 0.8% 9%  
127 3% 8%  
128 2% 5%  
129 0.5% 3%  
130 0.6% 3%  
131 0.4% 2%  
132 0.3% 2%  
133 0.3% 1.3%  
134 0.5% 1.1%  
135 0.2% 0.6%  
136 0.1% 0.3%  
137 0.1% 0.3%  
138 0% 0.2%  
139 0.1% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0.1% 100%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.2% 99.7%  
100 0.2% 99.5%  
101 0.3% 99.3%  
102 0.6% 99.1%  
103 0.9% 98.5%  
104 2% 98%  
105 2% 96%  
106 3% 94%  
107 3% 91%  
108 3% 88%  
109 4% 84%  
110 2% 80%  
111 7% 78%  
112 8% 71%  
113 5% 63%  
114 6% 58% Median
115 7% 51%  
116 4% 44%  
117 6% 40%  
118 7% 34%  
119 5% 27%  
120 4% 23%  
121 4% 18%  
122 3% 14%  
123 1.0% 11%  
124 2% 10%  
125 2% 7%  
126 0.6% 5%  
127 3% 4%  
128 1.0% 2%  
129 0.2% 0.9%  
130 0.3% 0.7%  
131 0.1% 0.4%  
132 0.1% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0.1% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.2% 99.8%  
98 0.3% 99.6%  
99 0.4% 99.4%  
100 0.8% 99.0%  
101 1.0% 98%  
102 1.3% 97%  
103 2% 96%  
104 3% 94%  
105 3% 91%  
106 5% 89%  
107 4% 84%  
108 6% 80%  
109 5% 73%  
110 6% 69% Last Result
111 5% 62%  
112 6% 57% Median
113 6% 51%  
114 6% 44%  
115 5% 38%  
116 5% 33%  
117 5% 28%  
118 4% 23%  
119 3% 19%  
120 3% 16%  
121 2% 12%  
122 2% 10%  
123 2% 8%  
124 1.5% 6%  
125 0.8% 4%  
126 0.7% 3%  
127 0.7% 3%  
128 0.3% 2%  
129 0.4% 2%  
130 0.3% 1.2%  
131 0.3% 0.9%  
132 0.2% 0.6%  
133 0.2% 0.4%  
134 0.1% 0.3%  
135 0% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100% Last Result
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.2% 99.8%  
97 0.4% 99.6%  
98 0.4% 99.2%  
99 0.7% 98.8%  
100 1.0% 98%  
101 1.3% 97%  
102 2% 96%  
103 2% 94%  
104 4% 92%  
105 3% 88%  
106 5% 85%  
107 5% 79%  
108 7% 75%  
109 5% 68%  
110 7% 63%  
111 6% 57%  
112 6% 51% Median
113 6% 44%  
114 6% 38%  
115 5% 32%  
116 5% 27%  
117 5% 22%  
118 4% 17%  
119 3% 13%  
120 3% 11%  
121 2% 8%  
122 2% 6%  
123 1.4% 4%  
124 1.1% 3%  
125 0.5% 1.5%  
126 0.4% 1.0%  
127 0.2% 0.6%  
128 0.1% 0.4%  
129 0.1% 0.2%  
130 0.1% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0.2% 99.7%  
87 0.3% 99.5% Last Result
88 0.5% 99.2%  
89 0.6% 98.7%  
90 1.1% 98%  
91 2% 97%  
92 2% 95%  
93 2% 94%  
94 2% 92%  
95 4% 89%  
96 2% 85%  
97 5% 83%  
98 3% 78%  
99 5% 75%  
100 3% 71%  
101 4% 68%  
102 3% 64%  
103 4% 61%  
104 4% 57%  
105 5% 54%  
106 4% 49%  
107 5% 45%  
108 4% 40%  
109 4% 36%  
110 5% 32%  
111 5% 27% Median
112 3% 22%  
113 4% 18%  
114 3% 15%  
115 4% 12%  
116 2% 8%  
117 1.4% 6%  
118 2% 4%  
119 1.0% 2%  
120 0.5% 2%  
121 0.5% 1.0%  
122 0.3% 0.6%  
123 0.2% 0.3%  
124 0.1% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8%  
81 0.2% 99.7%  
82 0.4% 99.5%  
83 0.7% 99.0%  
84 1.0% 98%  
85 1.4% 97%  
86 2% 96%  
87 3% 94%  
88 5% 90%  
89 4% 86%  
90 6% 82%  
91 6% 76%  
92 6% 71%  
93 6% 64%  
94 7% 58%  
95 7% 51% Median
96 5% 43%  
97 7% 38%  
98 5% 31%  
99 6% 26%  
100 4% 20%  
101 4% 16%  
102 3% 12%  
103 2% 9%  
104 2% 7%  
105 1.3% 5%  
106 2% 3%  
107 0.5% 2%  
108 0.5% 1.2%  
109 0.3% 0.7%  
110 0.3% 0.5%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.3% 99.6%  
74 0.8% 99.2%  
75 0.8% 98%  
76 1.3% 98%  
77 2% 96%  
78 3% 94%  
79 4% 91%  
80 5% 87%  
81 6% 82%  
82 6% 76%  
83 8% 70%  
84 9% 63% Median
85 5% 54%  
86 7% 49%  
87 6% 42%  
88 5% 36%  
89 6% 31%  
90 4% 25%  
91 4% 21%  
92 3% 17%  
93 4% 14%  
94 3% 11%  
95 1.4% 8%  
96 1.4% 6%  
97 1.0% 5%  
98 0.7% 4%  
99 0.6% 3%  
100 0.6% 3%  
101 0.5% 2%  
102 0.4% 2%  
103 0.2% 1.2%  
104 0.3% 0.9%  
105 0.1% 0.6%  
106 0.2% 0.5%  
107 0.1% 0.3%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 0.2% 99.7%  
67 0.3% 99.4%  
68 0.5% 99.2%  
69 0.8% 98.6%  
70 2% 98%  
71 2% 96%  
72 3% 95%  
73 3% 91%  
74 4% 88%  
75 3% 85%  
76 3% 81%  
77 4% 78%  
78 3% 74%  
79 4% 71%  
80 3% 67%  
81 4% 64%  
82 3% 60%  
83 2% 57%  
84 3% 55%  
85 3% 52%  
86 3% 49%  
87 4% 46%  
88 6% 42%  
89 5% 36%  
90 6% 31% Median
91 4% 25%  
92 6% 21%  
93 3% 15%  
94 3% 13%  
95 3% 10%  
96 2% 7%  
97 1.5% 5%  
98 1.5% 3%  
99 0.6% 2%  
100 0.5% 1.1%  
101 0.3% 0.6%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations