Opinion Poll by IMAS for Europa FM, 5–28 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 29.2% 27.4–31.1% 26.9–31.6% 26.5–32.1% 25.6–33.0%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 24.3% 22.6–26.0% 22.1–26.6% 21.7–27.0% 20.9–27.9%
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 20.5% 18.9–22.2% 18.5–22.7% 18.1–23.1% 17.4–23.9%
PRO România 0.0% 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.2% 7.8–11.5% 7.3–12.1%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.7%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 5.5% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.7%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 3.4% 2.7–4.2% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.1–5.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 69 96 90–102 88–104 86–105 84–109
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 79 73–85 72–87 71–89 68–92
Partidul Social Democrat 154 67 62–73 60–74 59–76 57–78
PRO România 0 31 27–35 26–36 25–37 24–39
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 21 18–24 17–25 16–26 0–28
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 18 15–21 14–22 14–23 12–25
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0 0 0 0–16

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.8%  
84 0.3% 99.6%  
85 0.7% 99.2%  
86 2% 98.6%  
87 1.4% 97%  
88 3% 96%  
89 3% 93%  
90 4% 90%  
91 7% 86%  
92 5% 79%  
93 7% 75%  
94 7% 68%  
95 8% 61%  
96 8% 52% Median
97 8% 44%  
98 8% 36%  
99 6% 28%  
100 7% 23%  
101 4% 15%  
102 3% 11%  
103 3% 8%  
104 2% 6%  
105 2% 4%  
106 0.9% 2%  
107 0.4% 1.4%  
108 0.4% 0.9%  
109 0.2% 0.6%  
110 0.1% 0.4%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.4% 99.8%  
69 0.6% 99.4%  
70 0.8% 98.8%  
71 2% 98%  
72 3% 96%  
73 4% 93%  
74 5% 89%  
75 6% 85%  
76 9% 79%  
77 7% 70%  
78 8% 63%  
79 8% 55% Median
80 9% 47%  
81 5% 38%  
82 6% 32%  
83 8% 27%  
84 4% 19%  
85 5% 15%  
86 2% 10%  
87 3% 7%  
88 1.3% 4%  
89 0.9% 3%  
90 0.8% 2%  
91 0.4% 1.1%  
92 0.3% 0.7%  
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.3% 99.8%  
57 0.5% 99.5%  
58 0.8% 99.0%  
59 1.4% 98%  
60 2% 97%  
61 4% 94%  
62 5% 91%  
63 5% 86%  
64 7% 80%  
65 9% 73%  
66 9% 65%  
67 10% 56% Median
68 10% 46%  
69 8% 36%  
70 8% 29%  
71 5% 20%  
72 5% 15%  
73 3% 10%  
74 2% 7%  
75 2% 5%  
76 1.4% 3%  
77 0.8% 2%  
78 0.4% 0.9%  
79 0.2% 0.5%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.3% 99.9%  
24 0.9% 99.6%  
25 2% 98.7%  
26 3% 97%  
27 6% 94%  
28 9% 88%  
29 11% 79%  
30 12% 68%  
31 12% 56% Median
32 13% 44%  
33 11% 31%  
34 7% 20%  
35 5% 13%  
36 4% 8%  
37 2% 4%  
38 1.3% 2%  
39 0.5% 1.0%  
40 0.3% 0.5%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0% 98%  
9 0% 98%  
10 0% 98%  
11 0% 98%  
12 0% 98%  
13 0% 98%  
14 0% 98%  
15 0% 98%  
16 1.2% 98%  
17 5% 97%  
18 8% 92%  
19 14% 83%  
20 16% 70% Last Result
21 14% 54% Median
22 14% 40%  
23 9% 26%  
24 9% 17%  
25 4% 8%  
26 3% 4%  
27 1.0% 2%  
28 0.5% 0.8%  
29 0.2% 0.3%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.9%  
13 2% 99.4%  
14 5% 98%  
15 8% 93%  
16 12% 84%  
17 15% 72%  
18 16% 57% Median
19 13% 41%  
20 11% 28%  
21 8% 17% Last Result
22 4% 9%  
23 2% 4%  
24 1.1% 2%  
25 0.4% 0.6%  
26 0.2% 0.2%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0% 0.6%  
4 0% 0.6%  
5 0% 0.6%  
6 0% 0.6%  
7 0% 0.6%  
8 0% 0.6%  
9 0% 0.6%  
10 0% 0.6%  
11 0% 0.6%  
12 0% 0.6%  
13 0% 0.6%  
14 0% 0.6%  
15 0% 0.6%  
16 0.4% 0.5%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0.1% Last Result
19 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 214 100% 208–220 206–222 204–223 201–226
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 214 100% 207–220 205–222 203–223 200–226
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 196 100% 189–202 187–204 186–206 182–209
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 196 100% 189–202 187–204 185–206 181–209
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 193 100% 187–200 185–202 183–204 180–211
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 193 100% 187–200 184–202 183–204 179–211
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 175 98% 168–182 166–184 165–186 162–192
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 175 98% 168–182 166–184 165–186 161–191
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 135 0% 128–141 126–143 123–145 117–148
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 135 0% 127–141 126–143 123–145 117–148
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 119 0% 112–125 110–127 108–129 101–132
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 114 0% 107–120 105–122 104–124 101–129
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 114 0% 107–120 105–122 104–124 101–128
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 98 0% 92–104 90–106 89–108 86–111
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 96 0% 90–102 88–104 86–106 84–110
Partidul Național Liberal 69 96 0% 90–102 88–104 86–105 84–109
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 88 0% 82–94 80–96 77–97 69–100
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 79 0% 73–86 72–87 71–89 68–93

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 100%  
188 0% 100%  
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 100%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 0.1% 99.9%  
200 0.2% 99.8%  
201 0.4% 99.6%  
202 0.5% 99.2%  
203 0.9% 98.7%  
204 1.3% 98%  
205 1.4% 97%  
206 2% 95%  
207 3% 93%  
208 3% 90%  
209 5% 87%  
210 8% 82%  
211 5% 74%  
212 7% 70%  
213 10% 62%  
214 10% 53% Median
215 6% 43%  
216 8% 37%  
217 6% 29%  
218 5% 23%  
219 6% 18%  
220 4% 12%  
221 2% 8%  
222 2% 6%  
223 2% 4%  
224 0.9% 2%  
225 0.4% 1.1%  
226 0.4% 0.7%  
227 0.2% 0.4%  
228 0.1% 0.2%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 100%  
188 0% 100%  
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 99.9%  
197 0.1% 99.9%  
198 0.1% 99.9%  
199 0.1% 99.8%  
200 0.3% 99.6%  
201 0.4% 99.4%  
202 0.5% 99.0%  
203 1.0% 98%  
204 1.3% 97%  
205 1.4% 96%  
206 2% 95%  
207 3% 93%  
208 3% 90%  
209 5% 87%  
210 8% 82%  
211 5% 74%  
212 7% 69%  
213 9% 62%  
214 10% 52% Median
215 6% 43%  
216 8% 37%  
217 6% 29%  
218 5% 22%  
219 6% 18%  
220 4% 12%  
221 2% 8%  
222 2% 6%  
223 2% 4%  
224 0.9% 2%  
225 0.4% 1.1%  
226 0.4% 0.7%  
227 0.2% 0.3%  
228 0.1% 0.2%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 99.9%  
179 0.1% 99.9%  
180 0.1% 99.8%  
181 0.2% 99.7%  
182 0.3% 99.5%  
183 0.5% 99.3%  
184 0.5% 98.8%  
185 0.7% 98%  
186 1.1% 98%  
187 2% 96%  
188 3% 94%  
189 3% 92%  
190 3% 89%  
191 5% 86%  
192 7% 81%  
193 8% 74%  
194 6% 67%  
195 7% 60%  
196 7% 53% Median
197 10% 46%  
198 6% 36%  
199 6% 29%  
200 5% 23%  
201 6% 19%  
202 5% 13%  
203 2% 9%  
204 2% 6%  
205 1.4% 4%  
206 1.1% 3%  
207 0.8% 2%  
208 0.4% 1.0%  
209 0.3% 0.6%  
210 0.1% 0.3%  
211 0.1% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 99.9%  
178 0.1% 99.9%  
179 0.1% 99.8%  
180 0.1% 99.7%  
181 0.2% 99.6%  
182 0.3% 99.4%  
183 0.5% 99.1%  
184 0.6% 98.6%  
185 0.8% 98%  
186 1.1% 97%  
187 2% 96%  
188 3% 94%  
189 3% 91%  
190 3% 88%  
191 5% 85%  
192 7% 81%  
193 8% 74%  
194 6% 66%  
195 7% 60%  
196 7% 52% Median
197 10% 45%  
198 6% 35%  
199 6% 29%  
200 5% 23%  
201 5% 18%  
202 5% 13%  
203 2% 8%  
204 2% 6%  
205 1.4% 4%  
206 1.0% 3%  
207 0.8% 2%  
208 0.4% 0.9%  
209 0.3% 0.5%  
210 0.1% 0.3%  
211 0.1% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100% Last Result
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0.1% 99.9%  
179 0.2% 99.8%  
180 0.2% 99.6%  
181 0.4% 99.3%  
182 0.5% 98.9%  
183 2% 98%  
184 2% 97%  
185 2% 95%  
186 2% 93%  
187 5% 91%  
188 5% 86%  
189 6% 81%  
190 6% 75%  
191 5% 69%  
192 7% 64%  
193 10% 57% Median
194 10% 47%  
195 6% 38%  
196 5% 32%  
197 7% 27%  
198 5% 19%  
199 3% 14%  
200 3% 11%  
201 2% 8%  
202 2% 6%  
203 1.4% 4%  
204 0.6% 3%  
205 0.6% 2%  
206 0.4% 1.5%  
207 0.3% 1.1%  
208 0.1% 0.8%  
209 0.1% 0.7%  
210 0.1% 0.6%  
211 0.1% 0.6%  
212 0.1% 0.5%  
213 0.1% 0.4%  
214 0.1% 0.4%  
215 0.1% 0.3%  
216 0.1% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 99.9%  
177 0.1% 99.9%  
178 0.2% 99.8%  
179 0.2% 99.7%  
180 0.3% 99.4%  
181 0.5% 99.2%  
182 0.6% 98.7%  
183 2% 98%  
184 2% 97%  
185 2% 95%  
186 2% 93%  
187 5% 91%  
188 5% 86%  
189 6% 81%  
190 6% 74%  
191 5% 68%  
192 7% 63%  
193 10% 57% Median
194 9% 47%  
195 6% 37%  
196 5% 31%  
197 7% 26%  
198 5% 19%  
199 3% 14%  
200 3% 11%  
201 2% 8%  
202 2% 6%  
203 1.3% 4%  
204 0.5% 3%  
205 0.6% 2%  
206 0.4% 1.4%  
207 0.3% 1.0%  
208 0.1% 0.8%  
209 0.1% 0.7%  
210 0.1% 0.6%  
211 0.1% 0.6%  
212 0.1% 0.5%  
213 0.1% 0.4%  
214 0.1% 0.4%  
215 0.1% 0.2%  
216 0.1% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0.1% 99.9%  
161 0.2% 99.8%  
162 0.3% 99.5%  
163 0.6% 99.2%  
164 0.8% 98.7%  
165 1.1% 98% Majority
166 2% 97%  
167 2% 95%  
168 3% 93%  
169 4% 89%  
170 5% 85%  
171 6% 81%  
172 6% 75%  
173 7% 69%  
174 8% 62%  
175 7% 54% Median
176 8% 47%  
177 6% 39%  
178 8% 33%  
179 6% 25%  
180 4% 19%  
181 3% 15%  
182 3% 12%  
183 2% 9%  
184 2% 6%  
185 1.3% 4%  
186 0.8% 3%  
187 0.7% 2%  
188 0.4% 2%  
189 0.3% 1.2%  
190 0.2% 0.9%  
191 0.2% 0.7%  
192 0.1% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.4%  
194 0.1% 0.3%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0.1% 99.8%  
161 0.3% 99.7%  
162 0.3% 99.4%  
163 0.6% 99.1%  
164 0.8% 98%  
165 1.1% 98% Majority
166 2% 97%  
167 2% 95%  
168 3% 92%  
169 4% 89%  
170 5% 85%  
171 6% 80%  
172 6% 75%  
173 7% 68%  
174 8% 61%  
175 7% 54% Median
176 8% 47%  
177 6% 38%  
178 8% 32%  
179 6% 25%  
180 4% 19%  
181 3% 14%  
182 3% 11%  
183 2% 8%  
184 2% 6%  
185 1.3% 4%  
186 0.8% 3%  
187 0.7% 2%  
188 0.4% 1.5%  
189 0.3% 1.1%  
190 0.2% 0.8%  
191 0.1% 0.6%  
192 0.1% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.4%  
194 0% 0.3%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
112 0.1% 100%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0.1% 99.7%  
117 0.1% 99.6%  
118 0.2% 99.5%  
119 0.1% 99.3%  
120 0.3% 99.2%  
121 0.4% 98.9%  
122 0.5% 98.5%  
123 0.6% 98%  
124 1.0% 97%  
125 1.2% 97%  
126 2% 95%  
127 3% 93%  
128 3% 90% Last Result
129 4% 87%  
130 5% 83%  
131 7% 78%  
132 6% 71%  
133 7% 65%  
134 7% 58%  
135 7% 51% Median
136 8% 44%  
137 6% 36%  
138 5% 29%  
139 6% 24%  
140 6% 18%  
141 3% 13%  
142 3% 10%  
143 2% 6%  
144 1.4% 4%  
145 1.0% 3%  
146 0.7% 2%  
147 0.6% 1.2%  
148 0.2% 0.6%  
149 0.2% 0.4%  
150 0.1% 0.2%  
151 0.1% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0.1% 100%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0.1% 99.7%  
117 0.1% 99.6%  
118 0.2% 99.5%  
119 0.1% 99.3%  
120 0.3% 99.1%  
121 0.4% 98.8%  
122 0.5% 98%  
123 0.6% 98%  
124 1.0% 97%  
125 1.3% 96%  
126 2% 95%  
127 3% 93%  
128 3% 90%  
129 4% 87%  
130 5% 83%  
131 7% 78%  
132 6% 71%  
133 7% 65%  
134 7% 58%  
135 7% 51% Median
136 8% 44%  
137 6% 35%  
138 5% 29%  
139 6% 24%  
140 6% 18%  
141 3% 12%  
142 3% 9%  
143 2% 6%  
144 1.4% 4%  
145 1.0% 3%  
146 0.7% 2%  
147 0.5% 1.0%  
148 0.2% 0.5%  
149 0.1% 0.3%  
150 0.1% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.7%  
99 0.1% 99.6%  
100 0.1% 99.6%  
101 0.1% 99.5%  
102 0.1% 99.4%  
103 0.1% 99.4%  
104 0.1% 99.3%  
105 0.3% 99.2%  
106 0.4% 98.9%  
107 0.6% 98.5%  
108 0.6% 98%  
109 1.4% 97%  
110 2% 96%  
111 2% 94%  
112 3% 92%  
113 3% 89%  
114 5% 86%  
115 7% 81%  
116 5% 73%  
117 6% 68%  
118 10% 62%  
119 10% 53% Median
120 7% 43%  
121 5% 36%  
122 6% 31%  
123 6% 25%  
124 5% 19%  
125 5% 14%  
126 2% 9%  
127 2% 7%  
128 2% 5%  
129 2% 3%  
130 0.5% 2%  
131 0.4% 1.1%  
132 0.2% 0.7%  
133 0.2% 0.4%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.4% 99.7%  
102 0.4% 99.3%  
103 0.8% 98.9%  
104 2% 98%  
105 2% 97%  
106 3% 94%  
107 3% 92%  
108 4% 89% Last Result
109 5% 85%  
110 6% 80%  
111 7% 74%  
112 6% 67%  
113 7% 61%  
114 9% 54% Median
115 7% 45%  
116 6% 38%  
117 8% 32%  
118 6% 24%  
119 4% 18%  
120 4% 13%  
121 2% 9%  
122 3% 7%  
123 1.4% 5%  
124 1.2% 3%  
125 0.7% 2%  
126 0.4% 1.4%  
127 0.3% 1.0%  
128 0.2% 0.7%  
129 0.1% 0.5%  
130 0.1% 0.4%  
131 0.1% 0.3%  
132 0.1% 0.2%  
133 0.1% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100% Last Result
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.4% 99.7%  
102 0.5% 99.3%  
103 0.8% 98.8%  
104 2% 98%  
105 2% 96%  
106 3% 94%  
107 3% 91%  
108 4% 89%  
109 5% 84%  
110 6% 80%  
111 7% 74%  
112 6% 66%  
113 7% 61%  
114 9% 54% Median
115 7% 45%  
116 6% 38%  
117 8% 31%  
118 6% 23%  
119 4% 17%  
120 4% 13%  
121 2% 9%  
122 3% 7%  
123 1.3% 4%  
124 1.1% 3%  
125 0.6% 2%  
126 0.3% 1.1%  
127 0.2% 0.8%  
128 0.2% 0.6%  
129 0.1% 0.4%  
130 0.1% 0.3%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.2% 99.8%  
86 0.4% 99.6%  
87 0.4% 99.3%  
88 0.9% 98.9%  
89 2% 98%  
90 2% 96%  
91 2% 94%  
92 4% 92%  
93 6% 88%  
94 5% 82%  
95 6% 77%  
96 8% 71%  
97 6% 63%  
98 10% 57% Median
99 10% 47%  
100 7% 38%  
101 5% 30%  
102 8% 26%  
103 5% 18%  
104 3% 13%  
105 3% 10%  
106 2% 7%  
107 1.4% 5%  
108 1.3% 3%  
109 0.9% 2%  
110 0.5% 1.3%  
111 0.4% 0.8%  
112 0.2% 0.4%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.8%  
84 0.3% 99.6%  
85 0.6% 99.3%  
86 2% 98.6%  
87 1.3% 97% Last Result
88 3% 96%  
89 3% 93%  
90 4% 90%  
91 7% 86%  
92 5% 79%  
93 7% 75%  
94 7% 68%  
95 8% 61%  
96 8% 53% Median
97 8% 45%  
98 8% 37%  
99 6% 29%  
100 7% 23%  
101 4% 16%  
102 3% 12%  
103 3% 9%  
104 2% 6%  
105 2% 4%  
106 0.9% 3%  
107 0.5% 2%  
108 0.4% 1.2%  
109 0.3% 0.8%  
110 0.2% 0.6%  
111 0.1% 0.4%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.8%  
84 0.3% 99.6%  
85 0.7% 99.2%  
86 2% 98.6%  
87 1.4% 97%  
88 3% 96%  
89 3% 93%  
90 4% 90%  
91 7% 86%  
92 5% 79%  
93 7% 75%  
94 7% 68%  
95 8% 61%  
96 8% 52% Median
97 8% 44%  
98 8% 36%  
99 6% 28%  
100 7% 23%  
101 4% 15%  
102 3% 11%  
103 3% 8%  
104 2% 6%  
105 2% 4%  
106 0.9% 2%  
107 0.4% 1.4%  
108 0.4% 0.9%  
109 0.2% 0.6%  
110 0.1% 0.4%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 0.1% 99.7%  
69 0.2% 99.6%  
70 0.1% 99.4%  
71 0.2% 99.2%  
72 0.2% 99.0%  
73 0.1% 98.8%  
74 0.2% 98.6%  
75 0.2% 98%  
76 0.4% 98%  
77 0.6% 98%  
78 0.7% 97%  
79 1.3% 97%  
80 2% 95%  
81 3% 94%  
82 4% 91%  
83 5% 87%  
84 6% 82%  
85 6% 76%  
86 8% 70%  
87 10% 62%  
88 8% 52% Median
89 8% 45%  
90 7% 37%  
91 7% 29%  
92 6% 23%  
93 5% 17%  
94 3% 11%  
95 3% 8%  
96 2% 5%  
97 1.3% 3%  
98 0.9% 2%  
99 0.5% 1.2%  
100 0.3% 0.7%  
101 0.2% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.4% 99.8%  
69 0.6% 99.4%  
70 0.7% 98.9%  
71 2% 98%  
72 3% 96%  
73 4% 93%  
74 5% 90%  
75 6% 85%  
76 9% 79%  
77 7% 70%  
78 8% 63%  
79 8% 55% Median
80 9% 47%  
81 5% 38%  
82 6% 33%  
83 8% 27%  
84 4% 19%  
85 5% 15%  
86 3% 10%  
87 3% 8%  
88 1.4% 4%  
89 1.0% 3%  
90 0.8% 2%  
91 0.4% 1.4%  
92 0.3% 0.9%  
93 0.2% 0.6%  
94 0.1% 0.4%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations