Opinion Poll by USR, 25 October–3 November 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partidul Național Liberal |
20.0% |
38.2% |
36.4–40.0% |
35.9–40.5% |
35.5–41.0% |
34.7–41.8% |
Partidul Social Democrat |
45.5% |
24.0% |
22.5–25.6% |
22.1–26.1% |
21.7–26.5% |
21.0–27.3% |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
8.9% |
20.0% |
18.6–21.5% |
18.2–22.0% |
17.8–22.3% |
17.2–23.1% |
PRO România |
0.0% |
4.8% |
4.1–5.7% |
3.9–5.9% |
3.7–6.2% |
3.4–6.6% |
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
6.2% |
4.5% |
3.8–5.3% |
3.6–5.6% |
3.5–5.8% |
3.2–6.2% |
Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
5.4% |
4.3% |
3.7–5.2% |
3.5–5.4% |
3.3–5.6% |
3.0–6.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
|
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0% |
100% |
|
96 |
0% |
100% |
|
97 |
0% |
100% |
|
98 |
0% |
100% |
|
99 |
0% |
100% |
|
100 |
0% |
100% |
|
101 |
0% |
100% |
|
102 |
0% |
100% |
|
103 |
0% |
100% |
|
104 |
0% |
100% |
|
105 |
0% |
100% |
|
106 |
0% |
100% |
|
107 |
0% |
100% |
|
108 |
0% |
100% |
|
109 |
0% |
100% |
|
110 |
0% |
100% |
|
111 |
0% |
100% |
|
112 |
0% |
100% |
|
113 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
115 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
117 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
118 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
119 |
0.7% |
98.7% |
|
120 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
121 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
122 |
2% |
96% |
|
123 |
2% |
95% |
|
124 |
2% |
93% |
|
125 |
3% |
91% |
|
126 |
3% |
88% |
|
127 |
3% |
85% |
|
128 |
4% |
81% |
|
129 |
4% |
77% |
|
130 |
5% |
73% |
|
131 |
5% |
68% |
|
132 |
5% |
63% |
|
133 |
6% |
57% |
|
134 |
6% |
52% |
Median |
135 |
6% |
45% |
|
136 |
6% |
40% |
|
137 |
5% |
33% |
|
138 |
6% |
28% |
|
139 |
5% |
23% |
|
140 |
4% |
18% |
|
141 |
3% |
14% |
|
142 |
3% |
10% |
|
143 |
2% |
8% |
|
144 |
2% |
5% |
|
145 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
146 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
147 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
148 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
149 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
150 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
151 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
152 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
73 |
0.9% |
98.7% |
|
74 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
75 |
2% |
97% |
|
76 |
2% |
95% |
|
77 |
4% |
92% |
|
78 |
5% |
88% |
|
79 |
7% |
83% |
|
80 |
5% |
76% |
|
81 |
6% |
71% |
|
82 |
5% |
65% |
|
83 |
6% |
60% |
|
84 |
7% |
54% |
Median |
85 |
8% |
47% |
|
86 |
8% |
39% |
|
87 |
8% |
31% |
|
88 |
7% |
23% |
|
89 |
5% |
16% |
|
90 |
3% |
10% |
|
91 |
2% |
7% |
|
92 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
94 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
96 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
97 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
119 |
0% |
0% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
|
139 |
0% |
0% |
|
140 |
0% |
0% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
|
149 |
0% |
0% |
|
150 |
0% |
0% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
60 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
61 |
2% |
98% |
|
62 |
2% |
96% |
|
63 |
3% |
94% |
|
64 |
5% |
92% |
|
65 |
5% |
87% |
|
66 |
6% |
81% |
|
67 |
7% |
75% |
|
68 |
9% |
68% |
|
69 |
7% |
59% |
|
70 |
9% |
52% |
Median |
71 |
9% |
43% |
|
72 |
6% |
34% |
|
73 |
5% |
28% |
|
74 |
7% |
23% |
|
75 |
6% |
16% |
|
76 |
2% |
10% |
|
77 |
3% |
8% |
|
78 |
2% |
5% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
PRO România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
61% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
39% |
|
2 |
0% |
39% |
|
3 |
0% |
39% |
|
4 |
0% |
39% |
|
5 |
0% |
39% |
|
6 |
0% |
39% |
|
7 |
0% |
39% |
|
8 |
0% |
39% |
|
9 |
0% |
39% |
|
10 |
0% |
39% |
|
11 |
0% |
39% |
|
12 |
0% |
39% |
|
13 |
0% |
39% |
|
14 |
0% |
39% |
|
15 |
0% |
39% |
|
16 |
2% |
39% |
|
17 |
12% |
37% |
|
18 |
13% |
25% |
|
19 |
6% |
12% |
|
20 |
3% |
6% |
|
21 |
2% |
3% |
|
22 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
12 |
5% |
98% |
|
13 |
10% |
93% |
|
14 |
15% |
83% |
|
15 |
19% |
68% |
Median |
16 |
18% |
49% |
|
17 |
14% |
31% |
|
18 |
9% |
16% |
|
19 |
4% |
8% |
|
20 |
2% |
4% |
|
21 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
Last Result |
22 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
24 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Mișcarea Populară
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
86% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
14% |
|
2 |
0% |
14% |
|
3 |
0% |
14% |
|
4 |
0% |
14% |
|
5 |
0% |
14% |
|
6 |
0% |
14% |
|
7 |
0% |
14% |
|
8 |
0% |
14% |
|
9 |
0% |
14% |
|
10 |
0% |
14% |
|
11 |
0% |
14% |
|
12 |
0% |
14% |
|
13 |
0% |
14% |
|
14 |
0% |
14% |
|
15 |
0% |
14% |
|
16 |
2% |
14% |
|
17 |
6% |
12% |
|
18 |
4% |
6% |
Last Result |
19 |
2% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
138 |
223 |
100% |
210–230 |
207–233 |
206–234 |
204–238 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
120 |
219 |
100% |
207–228 |
204–230 |
201–233 |
195–236 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
117 |
206 |
100% |
195–215 |
193–217 |
191–219 |
188–222 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
99 |
204 |
100% |
192–213 |
189–215 |
185–217 |
181–220 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
108 |
152 |
4% |
142–161 |
140–164 |
138–166 |
135–170 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
90 |
149 |
0.7% |
140–157 |
137–159 |
135–161 |
131–165 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
87 |
136 |
0% |
127–145 |
125–148 |
123–151 |
120–155 |
Partidul Național Liberal |
69 |
134 |
0% |
125–142 |
122–144 |
120–145 |
116–149 |
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România |
154 |
89 |
0% |
82–102 |
79–105 |
78–106 |
74–108 |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
48 |
71 |
0% |
65–82 |
64–86 |
62–88 |
60–92 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
138 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
139 |
0% |
100% |
|
140 |
0% |
100% |
|
141 |
0% |
100% |
|
142 |
0% |
100% |
|
143 |
0% |
100% |
|
144 |
0% |
100% |
|
145 |
0% |
100% |
|
146 |
0% |
100% |
|
147 |
0% |
100% |
|
148 |
0% |
100% |
|
149 |
0% |
100% |
|
150 |
0% |
100% |
|
151 |
0% |
100% |
|
152 |
0% |
100% |
|
153 |
0% |
100% |
|
154 |
0% |
100% |
|
155 |
0% |
100% |
|
156 |
0% |
100% |
|
157 |
0% |
100% |
|
158 |
0% |
100% |
|
159 |
0% |
100% |
|
160 |
0% |
100% |
|
161 |
0% |
100% |
|
162 |
0% |
100% |
|
163 |
0% |
100% |
|
164 |
0% |
100% |
|
165 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
166 |
0% |
100% |
|
167 |
0% |
100% |
|
168 |
0% |
100% |
|
169 |
0% |
100% |
|
170 |
0% |
100% |
|
171 |
0% |
100% |
|
172 |
0% |
100% |
|
173 |
0% |
100% |
|
174 |
0% |
100% |
|
175 |
0% |
100% |
|
176 |
0% |
100% |
|
177 |
0% |
100% |
|
178 |
0% |
100% |
|
179 |
0% |
100% |
|
180 |
0% |
100% |
|
181 |
0% |
100% |
|
182 |
0% |
100% |
|
183 |
0% |
100% |
|
184 |
0% |
100% |
|
185 |
0% |
100% |
|
186 |
0% |
100% |
|
187 |
0% |
100% |
|
188 |
0% |
100% |
|
189 |
0% |
100% |
|
190 |
0% |
100% |
|
191 |
0% |
100% |
|
192 |
0% |
100% |
|
193 |
0% |
100% |
|
194 |
0% |
100% |
|
195 |
0% |
100% |
|
196 |
0% |
100% |
|
197 |
0% |
100% |
|
198 |
0% |
100% |
|
199 |
0% |
100% |
|
200 |
0% |
100% |
|
201 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
202 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
203 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
204 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
205 |
1.1% |
99.0% |
|
206 |
2% |
98% |
|
207 |
2% |
96% |
|
208 |
2% |
94% |
|
209 |
2% |
92% |
|
210 |
1.4% |
91% |
|
211 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
212 |
2% |
88% |
|
213 |
3% |
86% |
|
214 |
4% |
83% |
|
215 |
5% |
79% |
|
216 |
5% |
74% |
|
217 |
4% |
69% |
|
218 |
3% |
65% |
|
219 |
2% |
62% |
Median |
220 |
2% |
60% |
|
221 |
2% |
58% |
|
222 |
3% |
56% |
|
223 |
5% |
52% |
|
224 |
6% |
47% |
|
225 |
7% |
41% |
|
226 |
7% |
34% |
|
227 |
6% |
28% |
|
228 |
5% |
21% |
|
229 |
4% |
16% |
|
230 |
3% |
13% |
|
231 |
3% |
10% |
|
232 |
2% |
7% |
|
233 |
2% |
5% |
|
234 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
235 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
236 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
237 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
238 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
239 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
240 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
241 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
120 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
121 |
0% |
100% |
|
122 |
0% |
100% |
|
123 |
0% |
100% |
|
124 |
0% |
100% |
|
125 |
0% |
100% |
|
126 |
0% |
100% |
|
127 |
0% |
100% |
|
128 |
0% |
100% |
|
129 |
0% |
100% |
|
130 |
0% |
100% |
|
131 |
0% |
100% |
|
132 |
0% |
100% |
|
133 |
0% |
100% |
|
134 |
0% |
100% |
|
135 |
0% |
100% |
|
136 |
0% |
100% |
|
137 |
0% |
100% |
|
138 |
0% |
100% |
|
139 |
0% |
100% |
|
140 |
0% |
100% |
|
141 |
0% |
100% |
|
142 |
0% |
100% |
|
143 |
0% |
100% |
|
144 |
0% |
100% |
|
145 |
0% |
100% |
|
146 |
0% |
100% |
|
147 |
0% |
100% |
|
148 |
0% |
100% |
|
149 |
0% |
100% |
|
150 |
0% |
100% |
|
151 |
0% |
100% |
|
152 |
0% |
100% |
|
153 |
0% |
100% |
|
154 |
0% |
100% |
|
155 |
0% |
100% |
|
156 |
0% |
100% |
|
157 |
0% |
100% |
|
158 |
0% |
100% |
|
159 |
0% |
100% |
|
160 |
0% |
100% |
|
161 |
0% |
100% |
|
162 |
0% |
100% |
|
163 |
0% |
100% |
|
164 |
0% |
100% |
|
165 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
166 |
0% |
100% |
|
167 |
0% |
100% |
|
168 |
0% |
100% |
|
169 |
0% |
100% |
|
170 |
0% |
100% |
|
171 |
0% |
100% |
|
172 |
0% |
100% |
|
173 |
0% |
100% |
|
174 |
0% |
100% |
|
175 |
0% |
100% |
|
176 |
0% |
100% |
|
177 |
0% |
100% |
|
178 |
0% |
100% |
|
179 |
0% |
100% |
|
180 |
0% |
100% |
|
181 |
0% |
100% |
|
182 |
0% |
100% |
|
183 |
0% |
100% |
|
184 |
0% |
100% |
|
185 |
0% |
100% |
|
186 |
0% |
100% |
|
187 |
0% |
100% |
|
188 |
0% |
100% |
|
189 |
0% |
100% |
|
190 |
0% |
100% |
|
191 |
0% |
100% |
|
192 |
0% |
100% |
|
193 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
194 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
195 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
196 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
197 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
198 |
0.3% |
98.5% |
|
199 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
200 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
201 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
202 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
203 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
204 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
205 |
2% |
94% |
|
206 |
2% |
93% |
|
207 |
3% |
91% |
|
208 |
2% |
88% |
|
209 |
2% |
86% |
|
210 |
2% |
84% |
|
211 |
2% |
82% |
|
212 |
3% |
80% |
|
213 |
4% |
77% |
|
214 |
5% |
73% |
|
215 |
6% |
68% |
|
216 |
5% |
63% |
|
217 |
4% |
58% |
|
218 |
3% |
54% |
|
219 |
2% |
51% |
Median |
220 |
2% |
49% |
|
221 |
2% |
48% |
|
222 |
3% |
46% |
|
223 |
4% |
43% |
|
224 |
6% |
38% |
|
225 |
7% |
33% |
|
226 |
6% |
26% |
|
227 |
6% |
20% |
|
228 |
4% |
14% |
|
229 |
3% |
9% |
|
230 |
2% |
7% |
|
231 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
232 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
233 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
234 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
235 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
236 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
237 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
238 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
239 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
240 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
117 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
118 |
0% |
100% |
|
119 |
0% |
100% |
|
120 |
0% |
100% |
|
121 |
0% |
100% |
|
122 |
0% |
100% |
|
123 |
0% |
100% |
|
124 |
0% |
100% |
|
125 |
0% |
100% |
|
126 |
0% |
100% |
|
127 |
0% |
100% |
|
128 |
0% |
100% |
|
129 |
0% |
100% |
|
130 |
0% |
100% |
|
131 |
0% |
100% |
|
132 |
0% |
100% |
|
133 |
0% |
100% |
|
134 |
0% |
100% |
|
135 |
0% |
100% |
|
136 |
0% |
100% |
|
137 |
0% |
100% |
|
138 |
0% |
100% |
|
139 |
0% |
100% |
|
140 |
0% |
100% |
|
141 |
0% |
100% |
|
142 |
0% |
100% |
|
143 |
0% |
100% |
|
144 |
0% |
100% |
|
145 |
0% |
100% |
|
146 |
0% |
100% |
|
147 |
0% |
100% |
|
148 |
0% |
100% |
|
149 |
0% |
100% |
|
150 |
0% |
100% |
|
151 |
0% |
100% |
|
152 |
0% |
100% |
|
153 |
0% |
100% |
|
154 |
0% |
100% |
|
155 |
0% |
100% |
|
156 |
0% |
100% |
|
157 |
0% |
100% |
|
158 |
0% |
100% |
|
159 |
0% |
100% |
|
160 |
0% |
100% |
|
161 |
0% |
100% |
|
162 |
0% |
100% |
|
163 |
0% |
100% |
|
164 |
0% |
100% |
|
165 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
166 |
0% |
100% |
|
167 |
0% |
100% |
|
168 |
0% |
100% |
|
169 |
0% |
100% |
|
170 |
0% |
100% |
|
171 |
0% |
100% |
|
172 |
0% |
100% |
|
173 |
0% |
100% |
|
174 |
0% |
100% |
|
175 |
0% |
100% |
|
176 |
0% |
100% |
|
177 |
0% |
100% |
|
178 |
0% |
100% |
|
179 |
0% |
100% |
|
180 |
0% |
100% |
|
181 |
0% |
100% |
|
182 |
0% |
100% |
|
183 |
0% |
100% |
|
184 |
0% |
100% |
|
185 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
186 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
187 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
188 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
189 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
190 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
191 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
192 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
193 |
2% |
95% |
|
194 |
2% |
93% |
|
195 |
2% |
91% |
|
196 |
3% |
89% |
|
197 |
2% |
86% |
|
198 |
3% |
83% |
|
199 |
3% |
80% |
|
200 |
3% |
76% |
|
201 |
4% |
73% |
|
202 |
3% |
69% |
|
203 |
3% |
66% |
|
204 |
4% |
62% |
Median |
205 |
4% |
58% |
|
206 |
5% |
54% |
|
207 |
4% |
50% |
|
208 |
5% |
46% |
|
209 |
5% |
40% |
|
210 |
5% |
35% |
|
211 |
6% |
30% |
|
212 |
4% |
24% |
|
213 |
4% |
20% |
|
214 |
4% |
16% |
|
215 |
3% |
12% |
|
216 |
3% |
9% |
|
217 |
2% |
6% |
|
218 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
219 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
220 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
221 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
222 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
223 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
224 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
225 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
226 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
227 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
99 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
100 |
0% |
100% |
|
101 |
0% |
100% |
|
102 |
0% |
100% |
|
103 |
0% |
100% |
|
104 |
0% |
100% |
|
105 |
0% |
100% |
|
106 |
0% |
100% |
|
107 |
0% |
100% |
|
108 |
0% |
100% |
|
109 |
0% |
100% |
|
110 |
0% |
100% |
|
111 |
0% |
100% |
|
112 |
0% |
100% |
|
113 |
0% |
100% |
|
114 |
0% |
100% |
|
115 |
0% |
100% |
|
116 |
0% |
100% |
|
117 |
0% |
100% |
|
118 |
0% |
100% |
|
119 |
0% |
100% |
|
120 |
0% |
100% |
|
121 |
0% |
100% |
|
122 |
0% |
100% |
|
123 |
0% |
100% |
|
124 |
0% |
100% |
|
125 |
0% |
100% |
|
126 |
0% |
100% |
|
127 |
0% |
100% |
|
128 |
0% |
100% |
|
129 |
0% |
100% |
|
130 |
0% |
100% |
|
131 |
0% |
100% |
|
132 |
0% |
100% |
|
133 |
0% |
100% |
|
134 |
0% |
100% |
|
135 |
0% |
100% |
|
136 |
0% |
100% |
|
137 |
0% |
100% |
|
138 |
0% |
100% |
|
139 |
0% |
100% |
|
140 |
0% |
100% |
|
141 |
0% |
100% |
|
142 |
0% |
100% |
|
143 |
0% |
100% |
|
144 |
0% |
100% |
|
145 |
0% |
100% |
|
146 |
0% |
100% |
|
147 |
0% |
100% |
|
148 |
0% |
100% |
|
149 |
0% |
100% |
|
150 |
0% |
100% |
|
151 |
0% |
100% |
|
152 |
0% |
100% |
|
153 |
0% |
100% |
|
154 |
0% |
100% |
|
155 |
0% |
100% |
|
156 |
0% |
100% |
|
157 |
0% |
100% |
|
158 |
0% |
100% |
|
159 |
0% |
100% |
|
160 |
0% |
100% |
|
161 |
0% |
100% |
|
162 |
0% |
100% |
|
163 |
0% |
100% |
|
164 |
0% |
100% |
|
165 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
166 |
0% |
100% |
|
167 |
0% |
100% |
|
168 |
0% |
100% |
|
169 |
0% |
100% |
|
170 |
0% |
100% |
|
171 |
0% |
100% |
|
172 |
0% |
100% |
|
173 |
0% |
100% |
|
174 |
0% |
100% |
|
175 |
0% |
100% |
|
176 |
0% |
100% |
|
177 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
178 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
179 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
180 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
181 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
182 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
183 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
184 |
0.5% |
98.7% |
|
185 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
186 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
187 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
188 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
189 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
190 |
1.3% |
94% |
|
191 |
2% |
93% |
|
192 |
2% |
91% |
|
193 |
2% |
90% |
|
194 |
3% |
87% |
|
195 |
3% |
84% |
|
196 |
4% |
81% |
|
197 |
3% |
77% |
|
198 |
4% |
74% |
|
199 |
4% |
70% |
|
200 |
4% |
66% |
|
201 |
4% |
62% |
|
202 |
3% |
58% |
|
203 |
3% |
55% |
|
204 |
4% |
51% |
Median |
205 |
4% |
48% |
|
206 |
4% |
44% |
|
207 |
4% |
40% |
|
208 |
5% |
36% |
|
209 |
5% |
31% |
|
210 |
5% |
26% |
|
211 |
5% |
22% |
|
212 |
4% |
17% |
|
213 |
3% |
13% |
|
214 |
3% |
10% |
|
215 |
2% |
6% |
|
216 |
2% |
4% |
|
217 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
218 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
219 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
220 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
221 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
222 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
223 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
224 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
108 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
109 |
0% |
100% |
|
110 |
0% |
100% |
|
111 |
0% |
100% |
|
112 |
0% |
100% |
|
113 |
0% |
100% |
|
114 |
0% |
100% |
|
115 |
0% |
100% |
|
116 |
0% |
100% |
|
117 |
0% |
100% |
|
118 |
0% |
100% |
|
119 |
0% |
100% |
|
120 |
0% |
100% |
|
121 |
0% |
100% |
|
122 |
0% |
100% |
|
123 |
0% |
100% |
|
124 |
0% |
100% |
|
125 |
0% |
100% |
|
126 |
0% |
100% |
|
127 |
0% |
100% |
|
128 |
0% |
100% |
|
129 |
0% |
100% |
|
130 |
0% |
100% |
|
131 |
0% |
100% |
|
132 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
133 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
134 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
135 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
136 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
137 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
138 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
139 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
140 |
2% |
95% |
|
141 |
2% |
93% |
|
142 |
2% |
92% |
|
143 |
3% |
89% |
|
144 |
3% |
87% |
|
145 |
4% |
84% |
|
146 |
4% |
80% |
|
147 |
5% |
77% |
|
148 |
5% |
72% |
|
149 |
5% |
67% |
Median |
150 |
6% |
62% |
|
151 |
6% |
56% |
|
152 |
6% |
51% |
|
153 |
6% |
44% |
|
154 |
7% |
39% |
|
155 |
5% |
32% |
|
156 |
5% |
27% |
|
157 |
4% |
22% |
|
158 |
3% |
18% |
|
159 |
2% |
15% |
|
160 |
2% |
13% |
|
161 |
2% |
10% |
|
162 |
2% |
8% |
|
163 |
1.5% |
7% |
|
164 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
165 |
1.1% |
4% |
Majority |
166 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
167 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
168 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
169 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
170 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
171 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
172 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
173 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
174 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
175 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
90 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0% |
100% |
|
96 |
0% |
100% |
|
97 |
0% |
100% |
|
98 |
0% |
100% |
|
99 |
0% |
100% |
|
100 |
0% |
100% |
|
101 |
0% |
100% |
|
102 |
0% |
100% |
|
103 |
0% |
100% |
|
104 |
0% |
100% |
|
105 |
0% |
100% |
|
106 |
0% |
100% |
|
107 |
0% |
100% |
|
108 |
0% |
100% |
|
109 |
0% |
100% |
|
110 |
0% |
100% |
|
111 |
0% |
100% |
|
112 |
0% |
100% |
|
113 |
0% |
100% |
|
114 |
0% |
100% |
|
115 |
0% |
100% |
|
116 |
0% |
100% |
|
117 |
0% |
100% |
|
118 |
0% |
100% |
|
119 |
0% |
100% |
|
120 |
0% |
100% |
|
121 |
0% |
100% |
|
122 |
0% |
100% |
|
123 |
0% |
100% |
|
124 |
0% |
100% |
|
125 |
0% |
100% |
|
126 |
0% |
100% |
|
127 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
128 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
129 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
130 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
131 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
132 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
133 |
0.4% |
98.8% |
|
134 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
135 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
136 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
137 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
138 |
2% |
94% |
|
139 |
2% |
92% |
|
140 |
3% |
90% |
|
141 |
3% |
88% |
|
142 |
3% |
85% |
|
143 |
3% |
82% |
|
144 |
4% |
78% |
|
145 |
5% |
75% |
|
146 |
4% |
70% |
|
147 |
5% |
66% |
|
148 |
5% |
61% |
|
149 |
5% |
55% |
Median |
150 |
6% |
50% |
|
151 |
6% |
44% |
|
152 |
6% |
38% |
|
153 |
5% |
32% |
|
154 |
6% |
27% |
|
155 |
4% |
21% |
|
156 |
4% |
17% |
|
157 |
3% |
13% |
|
158 |
3% |
9% |
|
159 |
2% |
7% |
|
160 |
1.5% |
5% |
|
161 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
162 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
163 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
164 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
165 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
Majority |
166 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
167 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
168 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
169 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
170 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
87 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0% |
100% |
|
96 |
0% |
100% |
|
97 |
0% |
100% |
|
98 |
0% |
100% |
|
99 |
0% |
100% |
|
100 |
0% |
100% |
|
101 |
0% |
100% |
|
102 |
0% |
100% |
|
103 |
0% |
100% |
|
104 |
0% |
100% |
|
105 |
0% |
100% |
|
106 |
0% |
100% |
|
107 |
0% |
100% |
|
108 |
0% |
100% |
|
109 |
0% |
100% |
|
110 |
0% |
100% |
|
111 |
0% |
100% |
|
112 |
0% |
100% |
|
113 |
0% |
100% |
|
114 |
0% |
100% |
|
115 |
0% |
100% |
|
116 |
0% |
100% |
|
117 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
118 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
119 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
120 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
121 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
122 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
123 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
124 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
125 |
2% |
96% |
|
126 |
2% |
94% |
|
127 |
3% |
91% |
|
128 |
3% |
89% |
|
129 |
3% |
85% |
|
130 |
4% |
82% |
|
131 |
5% |
78% |
|
132 |
5% |
73% |
|
133 |
5% |
69% |
|
134 |
6% |
63% |
Median |
135 |
6% |
58% |
|
136 |
6% |
52% |
|
137 |
5% |
46% |
|
138 |
6% |
41% |
|
139 |
5% |
35% |
|
140 |
5% |
29% |
|
141 |
4% |
24% |
|
142 |
3% |
20% |
|
143 |
3% |
17% |
|
144 |
2% |
14% |
|
145 |
2% |
11% |
|
146 |
2% |
9% |
|
147 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
148 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
149 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
150 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
151 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
152 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
153 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
154 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
155 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
156 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
157 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
158 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
159 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
|
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0% |
100% |
|
96 |
0% |
100% |
|
97 |
0% |
100% |
|
98 |
0% |
100% |
|
99 |
0% |
100% |
|
100 |
0% |
100% |
|
101 |
0% |
100% |
|
102 |
0% |
100% |
|
103 |
0% |
100% |
|
104 |
0% |
100% |
|
105 |
0% |
100% |
|
106 |
0% |
100% |
|
107 |
0% |
100% |
|
108 |
0% |
100% |
|
109 |
0% |
100% |
|
110 |
0% |
100% |
|
111 |
0% |
100% |
|
112 |
0% |
100% |
|
113 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
115 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
117 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
118 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
119 |
0.7% |
98.7% |
|
120 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
121 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
122 |
2% |
96% |
|
123 |
2% |
95% |
|
124 |
2% |
93% |
|
125 |
3% |
91% |
|
126 |
3% |
88% |
|
127 |
3% |
85% |
|
128 |
4% |
81% |
|
129 |
4% |
77% |
|
130 |
5% |
73% |
|
131 |
5% |
68% |
|
132 |
5% |
63% |
|
133 |
6% |
57% |
|
134 |
6% |
52% |
Median |
135 |
6% |
45% |
|
136 |
6% |
40% |
|
137 |
5% |
33% |
|
138 |
6% |
28% |
|
139 |
5% |
23% |
|
140 |
4% |
18% |
|
141 |
3% |
14% |
|
142 |
3% |
10% |
|
143 |
2% |
8% |
|
144 |
2% |
5% |
|
145 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
146 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
147 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
148 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
149 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
150 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
151 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
152 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
77 |
1.0% |
98.7% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
79 |
2% |
97% |
|
80 |
2% |
95% |
|
81 |
3% |
93% |
|
82 |
3% |
90% |
|
83 |
4% |
87% |
|
84 |
5% |
84% |
Median |
85 |
6% |
79% |
|
86 |
7% |
72% |
|
87 |
7% |
66% |
|
88 |
6% |
59% |
|
89 |
5% |
53% |
|
90 |
3% |
48% |
|
91 |
2% |
44% |
|
92 |
2% |
42% |
|
93 |
2% |
40% |
|
94 |
3% |
38% |
|
95 |
4% |
35% |
|
96 |
5% |
31% |
|
97 |
5% |
26% |
|
98 |
4% |
21% |
|
99 |
3% |
17% |
|
100 |
2% |
14% |
|
101 |
1.4% |
12% |
|
102 |
1.4% |
11% |
|
103 |
2% |
9% |
|
104 |
2% |
8% |
|
105 |
2% |
6% |
|
106 |
2% |
4% |
|
107 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
108 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
109 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
111 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
119 |
0% |
0% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
|
139 |
0% |
0% |
|
140 |
0% |
0% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
|
149 |
0% |
0% |
|
150 |
0% |
0% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
99.1% |
|
62 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
63 |
2% |
97% |
|
64 |
4% |
95% |
|
65 |
4% |
91% |
|
66 |
4% |
87% |
|
67 |
6% |
83% |
|
68 |
8% |
77% |
|
69 |
6% |
69% |
|
70 |
8% |
63% |
Median |
71 |
9% |
55% |
|
72 |
5% |
47% |
|
73 |
5% |
41% |
|
74 |
7% |
37% |
|
75 |
6% |
30% |
|
76 |
3% |
24% |
|
77 |
3% |
22% |
|
78 |
3% |
18% |
|
79 |
2% |
16% |
|
80 |
2% |
14% |
|
81 |
1.5% |
12% |
|
82 |
1.2% |
11% |
|
83 |
2% |
10% |
|
84 |
1.5% |
8% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
86 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
87 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
88 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: USR
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 25 October–3 November 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1225
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.30%