Opinion Poll by CURS for STIRIPESURSE.RO, 12–17 December 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 35.0% 33.1–36.9% 32.6–37.4% 32.1–37.9% 31.3–38.8%
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 31.0% 29.2–32.9% 28.7–33.4% 28.3–33.9% 27.5–34.8%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 14.0% 12.7–15.4% 12.3–15.8% 12.0–16.2% 11.4–16.9%
PRO România 0.0% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 69 118 110–127 108–129 106–131 103–136
Partidul Social Democrat 154 104 97–113 95–115 93–117 90–121
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 47 42–52 41–54 40–56 38–58
PRO România 0 20 17–24 0–24 0–25 0–27
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 16 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–23
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 0 0 0 0–17 0–18
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 13 11–16 10–17 9–18 9–20

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.2% 99.8%  
103 0.3% 99.6%  
104 0.4% 99.4%  
105 0.6% 98.9%  
106 1.0% 98%  
107 1.4% 97%  
108 2% 96%  
109 2% 94%  
110 3% 92%  
111 4% 89%  
112 5% 85%  
113 5% 80%  
114 4% 76%  
115 7% 71%  
116 6% 64%  
117 6% 58%  
118 5% 52% Median
119 5% 47%  
120 8% 42%  
121 5% 34%  
122 4% 29%  
123 4% 25%  
124 6% 22%  
125 3% 16%  
126 3% 13%  
127 2% 10%  
128 2% 8%  
129 2% 6%  
130 0.8% 4%  
131 0.8% 3%  
132 0.5% 2%  
133 0.5% 2%  
134 0.4% 1.4%  
135 0.2% 0.9%  
136 0.3% 0.7%  
137 0.2% 0.4%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.2% 99.8%  
90 0.3% 99.6%  
91 0.4% 99.3%  
92 0.8% 98.9%  
93 1.2% 98%  
94 2% 97%  
95 2% 95%  
96 3% 94%  
97 4% 91%  
98 3% 87%  
99 4% 84%  
100 5% 80%  
101 6% 74%  
102 6% 69%  
103 7% 63%  
104 5% 55% Median
105 7% 50%  
106 6% 43%  
107 6% 36%  
108 4% 30%  
109 5% 26%  
110 5% 21%  
111 3% 16%  
112 3% 13%  
113 2% 10%  
114 2% 8%  
115 2% 5%  
116 0.9% 4%  
117 0.9% 3%  
118 0.5% 2%  
119 0.5% 1.3%  
120 0.2% 0.8%  
121 0.1% 0.6%  
122 0.2% 0.4%  
123 0.1% 0.2%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.2% 99.8%  
38 0.5% 99.6%  
39 1.2% 99.1%  
40 2% 98%  
41 3% 96%  
42 3% 93%  
43 5% 90%  
44 9% 85%  
45 11% 76%  
46 9% 65%  
47 9% 56% Median
48 8% 46%  
49 9% 39%  
50 9% 29%  
51 7% 20%  
52 3% 13%  
53 3% 10%  
54 2% 7%  
55 2% 4%  
56 1.1% 3%  
57 0.7% 1.4%  
58 0.4% 0.8%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 0% 92%  
9 0% 92%  
10 0% 92%  
11 0% 92%  
12 0% 92%  
13 0% 92%  
14 0% 92%  
15 0% 92%  
16 1.4% 92%  
17 7% 91%  
18 10% 84%  
19 16% 74%  
20 19% 58% Median
21 12% 38%  
22 10% 27%  
23 6% 17%  
24 6% 10%  
25 2% 4%  
26 1.0% 2%  
27 0.6% 1.0%  
28 0.2% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100%  
1 0% 52%  
2 0% 52%  
3 0% 52%  
4 0% 52%  
5 0% 52%  
6 0% 52%  
7 0% 52%  
8 0% 52%  
9 0% 52%  
10 0% 52%  
11 0% 52%  
12 0% 52%  
13 0% 52%  
14 0% 52%  
15 0% 52%  
16 7% 52% Median
17 14% 45%  
18 13% 30% Last Result
19 9% 17%  
20 5% 9%  
21 2% 4%  
22 1.2% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.5%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0% 3%  
7 0% 3%  
8 0% 3%  
9 0% 3%  
10 0% 3%  
11 0% 3%  
12 0% 3%  
13 0% 3%  
14 0% 3%  
15 0% 3%  
16 0.1% 3%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.6% 1.0%  
19 0.1% 0.4%  
20 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.4% 99.9%  
9 2% 99.5%  
10 6% 97%  
11 13% 92%  
12 17% 79%  
13 19% 62% Median
14 16% 44%  
15 11% 27%  
16 9% 16%  
17 4% 7%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.8% 1.3%  
20 0.3% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 158 188 100% 180–198 177–201 176–205 172–210
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 138 188 99.9% 179–197 177–201 175–204 171–210
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 179 98% 169–189 167–192 165–196 162–203
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 178 97% 169–189 167–192 164–195 161–203
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 137 175 94% 166–185 164–188 162–192 158–196
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 175 93% 166–184 164–187 162–191 156–196
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 166 55% 156–176 154–179 152–182 149–189
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 165 53% 156–175 154–178 152–181 148–188
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 128 141 0.2% 131–152 129–154 127–156 124–161
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 108 141 0.1% 131–151 129–153 127–156 123–160
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 132 0% 123–141 121–144 120–147 117–152
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 131 0% 123–140 121–143 119–145 115–151
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 128 0% 117–138 115–140 113–143 109–146
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 124 0% 115–133 111–135 108–137 102–141
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 124 0% 114–132 111–135 107–136 102–140
Partidul Național Liberal 69 118 0% 110–127 108–129 106–131 103–136
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 105 0% 97–113 95–115 94–118 91–123
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 58 0% 45–67 44–69 43–71 40–74

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.2% 99.8%  
172 0.2% 99.6%  
173 0.3% 99.4%  
174 0.6% 99.1%  
175 0.8% 98%  
176 1.3% 98%  
177 2% 96%  
178 2% 95%  
179 2% 92%  
180 3% 91%  
181 4% 88%  
182 4% 84%  
183 5% 80%  
184 4% 76%  
185 5% 71%  
186 7% 67%  
187 5% 59%  
188 6% 55%  
189 6% 49%  
190 4% 42%  
191 6% 38%  
192 4% 32%  
193 5% 28%  
194 4% 23% Median
195 2% 19%  
196 3% 17%  
197 2% 14%  
198 2% 11%  
199 2% 9%  
200 1.2% 7%  
201 1.1% 6%  
202 0.9% 5%  
203 0.6% 4%  
204 0.7% 3%  
205 0.4% 3%  
206 0.5% 2%  
207 0.7% 2%  
208 0.3% 1.1%  
209 0.1% 0.8%  
210 0.3% 0.7%  
211 0.2% 0.4%  
212 0.1% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100% Last Result
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 99.9% Majority
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0.1% 99.9%  
168 0.1% 99.8%  
169 0.1% 99.7%  
170 0.1% 99.6%  
171 0.3% 99.5%  
172 0.3% 99.2%  
173 0.4% 99.0%  
174 0.7% 98.6%  
175 0.9% 98%  
176 1.4% 97%  
177 2% 96%  
178 2% 94%  
179 2% 91%  
180 3% 89%  
181 4% 87%  
182 4% 83%  
183 5% 79%  
184 4% 74%  
185 5% 70%  
186 7% 65%  
187 5% 57%  
188 6% 53%  
189 6% 47%  
190 4% 40%  
191 6% 36%  
192 4% 30%  
193 5% 26%  
194 4% 21% Median
195 2% 17%  
196 3% 15%  
197 2% 12%  
198 2% 10%  
199 2% 8%  
200 1.0% 6%  
201 1.0% 5%  
202 0.8% 4%  
203 0.5% 3%  
204 0.6% 3%  
205 0.3% 2%  
206 0.4% 2%  
207 0.6% 2%  
208 0.3% 0.9%  
209 0.1% 0.7%  
210 0.3% 0.6%  
211 0.2% 0.3%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0.1% 99.9%  
161 0.1% 99.8%  
162 0.3% 99.7%  
163 0.5% 99.3%  
164 0.8% 98.9%  
165 0.6% 98% Majority
166 1.2% 97%  
167 2% 96%  
168 2% 94%  
169 3% 92%  
170 4% 89%  
171 3% 85%  
172 5% 82%  
173 4% 78%  
174 5% 74%  
175 4% 69%  
176 5% 65%  
177 4% 60%  
178 5% 56% Median
179 3% 51%  
180 4% 48%  
181 4% 44%  
182 4% 39%  
183 5% 35%  
184 4% 30%  
185 4% 26%  
186 4% 22%  
187 3% 19%  
188 4% 16%  
189 2% 12%  
190 2% 9%  
191 1.4% 8%  
192 1.4% 6%  
193 0.7% 5%  
194 0.6% 4%  
195 0.6% 3%  
196 0.6% 3%  
197 0.2% 2%  
198 0.5% 2%  
199 0.3% 1.4%  
200 0.3% 1.1%  
201 0.1% 0.9%  
202 0.1% 0.7%  
203 0.1% 0.6%  
204 0.2% 0.5%  
205 0.1% 0.3%  
206 0% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.8%  
160 0.2% 99.7%  
161 0.2% 99.5%  
162 0.5% 99.3%  
163 0.7% 98.9%  
164 1.0% 98%  
165 0.7% 97% Majority
166 1.4% 96%  
167 2% 95%  
168 2% 93%  
169 3% 91%  
170 4% 88%  
171 3% 84%  
172 5% 81%  
173 4% 76%  
174 5% 72%  
175 4% 67%  
176 5% 63%  
177 4% 58%  
178 5% 54% Median
179 3% 49%  
180 4% 46%  
181 4% 42%  
182 4% 38%  
183 5% 33%  
184 4% 28%  
185 4% 25%  
186 4% 21%  
187 3% 17%  
188 4% 15%  
189 2% 11%  
190 2% 9%  
191 1.3% 7%  
192 1.3% 6%  
193 0.7% 4%  
194 0.6% 4%  
195 0.5% 3%  
196 0.6% 2%  
197 0.2% 2%  
198 0.5% 2%  
199 0.2% 1.2%  
200 0.3% 1.0%  
201 0.1% 0.7%  
202 0.1% 0.6%  
203 0.1% 0.5%  
204 0.2% 0.4%  
205 0.1% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.8%  
158 0.2% 99.7%  
159 0.4% 99.5%  
160 0.4% 99.0%  
161 0.6% 98.7%  
162 1.2% 98%  
163 1.1% 97%  
164 2% 96%  
165 2% 94% Majority
166 3% 91%  
167 4% 89%  
168 4% 85%  
169 3% 81%  
170 6% 78%  
171 5% 73%  
172 5% 68%  
173 6% 63%  
174 3% 57%  
175 6% 53%  
176 4% 47%  
177 5% 43%  
178 5% 38%  
179 5% 33%  
180 4% 28%  
181 4% 25% Median
182 4% 20%  
183 3% 16%  
184 3% 14%  
185 2% 11%  
186 1.5% 8%  
187 1.0% 7%  
188 1.2% 6%  
189 0.7% 5%  
190 0.5% 4%  
191 0.7% 3%  
192 0.5% 3%  
193 0.4% 2%  
194 0.6% 2%  
195 0.4% 1.2%  
196 0.4% 0.8%  
197 0.2% 0.5%  
198 0% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.8%  
154 0.1% 99.8%  
155 0.1% 99.7%  
156 0.1% 99.6%  
157 0.1% 99.5%  
158 0.3% 99.4%  
159 0.5% 99.1%  
160 0.4% 98.6%  
161 0.6% 98%  
162 1.3% 98%  
163 1.2% 96%  
164 2% 95%  
165 2% 93% Majority
166 3% 91%  
167 4% 88%  
168 4% 84%  
169 3% 80%  
170 6% 77%  
171 5% 71%  
172 5% 66%  
173 6% 61%  
174 3% 55%  
175 7% 52%  
176 4% 45%  
177 5% 41%  
178 5% 36%  
179 5% 31%  
180 4% 26%  
181 4% 23% Median
182 4% 18%  
183 3% 14%  
184 3% 12%  
185 2% 9%  
186 1.3% 7%  
187 0.8% 5%  
188 1.0% 5%  
189 0.5% 4%  
190 0.4% 3%  
191 0.6% 3%  
192 0.3% 2%  
193 0.4% 2%  
194 0.5% 1.5%  
195 0.4% 1.0%  
196 0.3% 0.6%  
197 0.2% 0.3%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0.1% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.3% 99.7%  
150 0.5% 99.4%  
151 0.6% 98.8%  
152 0.8% 98%  
153 2% 97%  
154 1.5% 96%  
155 2% 94%  
156 3% 92%  
157 3% 89%  
158 3% 86%  
159 4% 83%  
160 5% 79%  
161 4% 74%  
162 4% 70%  
163 4% 65%  
164 6% 61%  
165 4% 55% Median, Majority
166 5% 51%  
167 5% 46%  
168 5% 41%  
169 4% 36%  
170 5% 33%  
171 4% 27%  
172 5% 23%  
173 3% 19%  
174 2% 16%  
175 4% 14%  
176 2% 11%  
177 2% 9%  
178 2% 7%  
179 1.4% 6%  
180 0.8% 4%  
181 0.7% 3%  
182 0.5% 3%  
183 0.5% 2%  
184 0.4% 2%  
185 0.2% 1.3%  
186 0.2% 1.0%  
187 0.2% 0.9%  
188 0.1% 0.7%  
189 0.1% 0.5%  
190 0.1% 0.5%  
191 0.2% 0.4%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0.2% 99.8%  
148 0.2% 99.6%  
149 0.3% 99.5%  
150 0.7% 99.1%  
151 0.7% 98%  
152 1.0% 98%  
153 2% 97%  
154 2% 95%  
155 3% 93%  
156 3% 91%  
157 3% 87%  
158 3% 84%  
159 4% 81%  
160 5% 77%  
161 4% 72%  
162 5% 68%  
163 4% 63%  
164 6% 59%  
165 4% 53% Median, Majority
166 5% 49%  
167 5% 44%  
168 4% 39%  
169 4% 34%  
170 5% 31%  
171 4% 26%  
172 4% 22%  
173 3% 17%  
174 2% 15%  
175 4% 13%  
176 2% 10%  
177 1.5% 8%  
178 2% 6%  
179 1.4% 5%  
180 0.8% 3%  
181 0.6% 3%  
182 0.4% 2%  
183 0.5% 2%  
184 0.3% 1.2%  
185 0.2% 0.9%  
186 0.1% 0.8%  
187 0.1% 0.6%  
188 0.1% 0.5%  
189 0% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.4%  
191 0.2% 0.3%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.8%  
123 0.2% 99.7%  
124 0.2% 99.5%  
125 0.5% 99.4%  
126 0.8% 98.8%  
127 0.7% 98%  
128 1.1% 97% Last Result
129 2% 96%  
130 2% 94%  
131 2% 92%  
132 3% 90%  
133 4% 86%  
134 4% 83%  
135 4% 79%  
136 4% 75%  
137 3% 72%  
138 6% 68%  
139 4% 62%  
140 3% 58%  
141 7% 56%  
142 6% 49%  
143 2% 43%  
144 5% 41%  
145 8% 37%  
146 3% 28%  
147 2% 26% Median
148 5% 23%  
149 3% 18%  
150 2% 15%  
151 3% 13%  
152 3% 10%  
153 2% 7%  
154 0.8% 6%  
155 0.9% 5%  
156 2% 4%  
157 0.7% 2%  
158 0.3% 2%  
159 0.2% 1.3%  
160 0.5% 1.1%  
161 0.2% 0.6%  
162 0.1% 0.4%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2% Majority
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100% Last Result
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.8%  
122 0.1% 99.7%  
123 0.3% 99.6%  
124 0.2% 99.3%  
125 0.6% 99.1%  
126 0.9% 98%  
127 0.8% 98%  
128 1.2% 97%  
129 3% 96%  
130 2% 93%  
131 2% 91%  
132 3% 89%  
133 4% 85%  
134 4% 81%  
135 4% 78%  
136 4% 74%  
137 3% 70%  
138 6% 67%  
139 4% 60%  
140 3% 56%  
141 7% 53%  
142 6% 46%  
143 2% 41%  
144 5% 39%  
145 8% 34%  
146 3% 26%  
147 2% 24% Median
148 5% 21%  
149 3% 16%  
150 2% 13%  
151 3% 12%  
152 3% 9%  
153 1.4% 6%  
154 0.6% 5%  
155 0.8% 4%  
156 2% 3%  
157 0.5% 2%  
158 0.1% 1.1%  
159 0.2% 0.9%  
160 0.4% 0.7%  
161 0.1% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1% Majority
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.8%  
116 0.2% 99.7%  
117 0.4% 99.6%  
118 0.7% 99.2%  
119 0.5% 98%  
120 1.5% 98%  
121 2% 96%  
122 2% 95%  
123 4% 93%  
124 4% 89%  
125 3% 85%  
126 5% 82%  
127 5% 77%  
128 4% 72%  
129 7% 68%  
130 6% 62%  
131 4% 56% Median
132 6% 51%  
133 6% 46%  
134 5% 39%  
135 4% 34%  
136 5% 30%  
137 3% 25%  
138 5% 22%  
139 3% 17%  
140 2% 14%  
141 3% 11%  
142 2% 8%  
143 1.1% 6%  
144 1.2% 5%  
145 0.9% 4%  
146 0.5% 3%  
147 0.4% 3%  
148 0.6% 2%  
149 0.6% 2%  
150 0.3% 1.0%  
151 0.1% 0.8%  
152 0.2% 0.6%  
153 0.2% 0.4%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.2%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100% Last Result
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.2% 99.8%  
115 0.2% 99.6%  
116 0.3% 99.4%  
117 0.6% 99.2%  
118 0.9% 98.6%  
119 0.7% 98%  
120 2% 97%  
121 2% 95%  
122 2% 93%  
123 4% 92%  
124 4% 88%  
125 3% 84%  
126 5% 80%  
127 5% 75%  
128 4% 70%  
129 7% 66%  
130 6% 60%  
131 4% 53% Median
132 6% 49%  
133 6% 43%  
134 5% 37%  
135 4% 32%  
136 5% 28%  
137 3% 23%  
138 5% 20%  
139 3% 15%  
140 2% 12%  
141 3% 10%  
142 2% 7%  
143 1.0% 5%  
144 1.1% 4%  
145 0.8% 3%  
146 0.4% 2%  
147 0.3% 2%  
148 0.6% 2%  
149 0.5% 1.3%  
150 0.2% 0.8%  
151 0.1% 0.6%  
152 0.2% 0.5%  
153 0.1% 0.3%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100% Last Result
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0.1% 100%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.8%  
109 0.2% 99.7%  
110 0.3% 99.5%  
111 0.5% 99.2%  
112 0.6% 98.7%  
113 1.0% 98%  
114 0.9% 97%  
115 2% 96%  
116 2% 94%  
117 3% 92%  
118 2% 89%  
119 3% 87%  
120 5% 84%  
121 3% 79%  
122 3% 76%  
123 3% 72%  
124 6% 69%  
125 3% 63%  
126 4% 59%  
127 4% 56%  
128 6% 52%  
129 4% 46%  
130 4% 42%  
131 5% 37%  
132 4% 33%  
133 5% 29%  
134 4% 24% Median
135 3% 20%  
136 3% 16%  
137 2% 13%  
138 2% 11%  
139 2% 8%  
140 2% 6%  
141 0.7% 4%  
142 0.9% 4%  
143 1.0% 3%  
144 0.7% 2%  
145 0.3% 1.1%  
146 0.3% 0.8%  
147 0.1% 0.5%  
148 0.2% 0.4%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0.2% 99.9%  
102 0.3% 99.7%  
103 0.1% 99.4%  
104 0.3% 99.3%  
105 0.6% 99.1%  
106 0.4% 98%  
107 0.3% 98%  
108 0.6% 98%  
109 0.5% 97%  
110 0.8% 97%  
111 1.0% 96%  
112 1.0% 95%  
113 2% 94%  
114 2% 92%  
115 2% 90%  
116 3% 88%  
117 2% 85%  
118 4% 83%  
119 5% 79%  
120 4% 74%  
121 6% 70%  
122 4% 64%  
123 6% 60%  
124 6% 53% Median
125 5% 47%  
126 7% 43%  
127 5% 35%  
128 4% 30%  
129 5% 26%  
130 4% 21%  
131 4% 17%  
132 3% 13%  
133 2% 11%  
134 2% 9%  
135 2% 6%  
136 1.4% 4%  
137 0.9% 3%  
138 0.7% 2%  
139 0.4% 1.4%  
140 0.3% 1.0%  
141 0.3% 0.8%  
142 0.1% 0.5%  
143 0.1% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.3%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.2% 99.8%  
102 0.3% 99.6%  
103 0.1% 99.3%  
104 0.3% 99.2%  
105 0.7% 98.9%  
106 0.5% 98%  
107 0.4% 98%  
108 0.7% 97%  
109 0.6% 97%  
110 0.9% 96%  
111 1.1% 95%  
112 1.2% 94%  
113 2% 93%  
114 2% 91%  
115 2% 89%  
116 3% 86%  
117 2% 83%  
118 4% 81%  
119 5% 77%  
120 4% 72%  
121 6% 68%  
122 4% 62%  
123 6% 58%  
124 6% 51% Median
125 5% 45%  
126 7% 41%  
127 5% 33%  
128 4% 29%  
129 5% 24%  
130 4% 20%  
131 4% 16%  
132 3% 12%  
133 2% 9%  
134 2% 8%  
135 2% 5%  
136 1.3% 4%  
137 0.8% 2%  
138 0.6% 2%  
139 0.3% 0.9%  
140 0.2% 0.6%  
141 0.2% 0.4%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0.1% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.2% 99.8%  
103 0.3% 99.6%  
104 0.4% 99.4%  
105 0.6% 98.9%  
106 1.0% 98%  
107 1.4% 97%  
108 2% 96%  
109 2% 94%  
110 3% 92%  
111 4% 89%  
112 5% 85%  
113 5% 80%  
114 4% 76%  
115 7% 71%  
116 6% 64%  
117 6% 58%  
118 5% 52% Median
119 5% 47%  
120 8% 42%  
121 5% 34%  
122 4% 29%  
123 4% 25%  
124 6% 22%  
125 3% 16%  
126 3% 13%  
127 2% 10%  
128 2% 8%  
129 2% 6%  
130 0.8% 4%  
131 0.8% 3%  
132 0.5% 2%  
133 0.5% 2%  
134 0.4% 1.4%  
135 0.2% 0.9%  
136 0.3% 0.7%  
137 0.2% 0.4%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.1% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.2% 99.8%  
91 0.3% 99.6%  
92 0.6% 99.3%  
93 1.1% 98.7%  
94 1.4% 98%  
95 1.4% 96%  
96 3% 95%  
97 3% 92%  
98 3% 89%  
99 4% 86%  
100 5% 82%  
101 5% 76%  
102 6% 71%  
103 7% 65%  
104 5% 57% Median
105 7% 52%  
106 6% 45%  
107 6% 38%  
108 4% 32%  
109 5% 28%  
110 5% 23%  
111 3% 18%  
112 3% 15%  
113 3% 12%  
114 2% 9%  
115 2% 6%  
116 1.0% 5%  
117 1.0% 4%  
118 0.6% 3%  
119 0.6% 2%  
120 0.3% 1.3%  
121 0.2% 1.0%  
122 0.3% 0.9%  
123 0.1% 0.6%  
124 0.1% 0.4%  
125 0.1% 0.3%  
126 0.1% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.9%  
40 0.3% 99.6%  
41 0.5% 99.3%  
42 0.9% 98.8%  
43 2% 98%  
44 2% 96%  
45 4% 94%  
46 4% 90%  
47 5% 86%  
48 3% 81% Last Result
49 5% 77%  
50 6% 72%  
51 4% 66%  
52 2% 62%  
53 2% 60%  
54 2% 58%  
55 2% 56%  
56 1.5% 54%  
57 2% 52%  
58 2% 50%  
59 2% 49%  
60 5% 47%  
61 3% 42%  
62 6% 39%  
63 4% 33% Median
64 4% 29%  
65 5% 25%  
66 6% 20%  
67 4% 14%  
68 4% 10%  
69 2% 6%  
70 1.3% 4%  
71 0.9% 3%  
72 1.1% 2%  
73 0.2% 0.7%  
74 0.3% 0.6%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations