Opinion Poll by Avangarde, 15–26 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 35.0% 33.1–37.0% 32.6–37.5% 32.1–38.0% 31.2–39.0%
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 29.0% 27.2–30.9% 26.7–31.4% 26.3–31.9% 25.4–32.8%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 13.0% 11.7–14.5% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.2% 10.5–16.0%
PRO România 0.0% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.1%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 69 123 117–129 116–134 112–136 110–142
Partidul Social Democrat 154 103 96–109 94–111 92–113 89–118
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 46 42–51 40–52 39–54 36–57
PRO România 0 22 18–24 0–25 0–26 0–28
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 18 15–21 14–22 13–23 12–25
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 0 0 0 0 0–20
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0 0–17 0–18 0–19

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0.1% 100%  
106 0.2% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.7%  
108 0% 99.6%  
109 0% 99.6%  
110 0.4% 99.5%  
111 1.4% 99.1%  
112 2% 98%  
113 0.4% 96%  
114 0.1% 96%  
115 0.6% 96%  
116 3% 95%  
117 10% 92%  
118 8% 82%  
119 1.2% 75%  
120 0.3% 73%  
121 2% 73%  
122 13% 71%  
123 20% 58% Median
124 9% 38%  
125 1.2% 28%  
126 0.6% 27%  
127 3% 27%  
128 8% 23%  
129 7% 16%  
130 2% 9%  
131 0.2% 8%  
132 0.4% 7%  
133 1.3% 7%  
134 2% 6%  
135 1.1% 4%  
136 0.7% 3%  
137 0.1% 2%  
138 0.2% 2%  
139 0.3% 2%  
140 0.3% 2%  
141 0.6% 1.3%  
142 0.4% 0.7%  
143 0.1% 0.3%  
144 0% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.2% 99.7%  
89 0.3% 99.5%  
90 0.5% 99.2%  
91 0.7% 98.7%  
92 1.2% 98%  
93 2% 97%  
94 2% 95%  
95 3% 93%  
96 4% 90%  
97 5% 86%  
98 5% 82%  
99 6% 77%  
100 7% 72%  
101 7% 65%  
102 8% 58%  
103 8% 50% Median
104 8% 42%  
105 7% 34%  
106 6% 28%  
107 5% 22%  
108 4% 17%  
109 3% 13%  
110 2% 10%  
111 2% 7%  
112 1.4% 5%  
113 1.1% 4%  
114 0.8% 2%  
115 0.6% 2%  
116 0.4% 1.1%  
117 0.2% 0.7%  
118 0.2% 0.5%  
119 0.1% 0.3%  
120 0.1% 0.2%  
121 0.1% 0.2%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 0.3% 99.8%  
37 0.6% 99.5%  
38 0.8% 98.9%  
39 2% 98%  
40 3% 96%  
41 3% 94%  
42 6% 91%  
43 7% 85%  
44 7% 77%  
45 10% 70%  
46 12% 60% Median
47 9% 48%  
48 11% 39%  
49 9% 28%  
50 5% 18%  
51 5% 13%  
52 3% 8%  
53 2% 5%  
54 1.1% 3%  
55 0.8% 2%  
56 0.4% 1.0%  
57 0.3% 0.6%  
58 0.1% 0.3%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0% 94%  
6 0% 94%  
7 0% 94%  
8 0% 94%  
9 0% 94%  
10 0% 94%  
11 0% 94%  
12 0% 94%  
13 0% 94%  
14 0% 94%  
15 0% 94%  
16 0% 94%  
17 1.2% 94%  
18 5% 93%  
19 8% 89%  
20 12% 80%  
21 17% 69%  
22 17% 52% Median
23 15% 35%  
24 10% 20%  
25 6% 10%  
26 2% 4%  
27 1.0% 2%  
28 0.4% 0.7%  
29 0.2% 0.3%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 0.3% 99.9%  
12 1.0% 99.7%  
13 3% 98.7%  
14 6% 96%  
15 9% 90%  
16 14% 81%  
17 16% 68%  
18 16% 52% Median
19 13% 35%  
20 11% 23%  
21 6% 12% Last Result
22 3% 6%  
23 2% 3%  
24 0.8% 1.5%  
25 0.4% 0.6%  
26 0.2% 0.2%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0% 2%  
7 0% 2%  
8 0% 2%  
9 0% 2%  
10 0% 2%  
11 0% 2%  
12 0% 2%  
13 0% 2%  
14 0% 2%  
15 0% 2%  
16 0.1% 2%  
17 0% 2%  
18 0.1% 2%  
19 1.2% 2%  
20 0.9% 1.1% Last Result
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 0% 7%  
5 0% 7%  
6 0% 7%  
7 0% 7%  
8 0% 7%  
9 0% 7%  
10 0% 7%  
11 0% 7%  
12 0% 7%  
13 0% 7%  
14 0% 7%  
15 0% 7%  
16 0.3% 7%  
17 4% 7%  
18 2% 3% Last Result
19 0.9% 1.3%  
20 0.3% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 188 100% 181–197 180–200 178–204 174–210
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 188 100% 181–196 179–200 177–204 172–210
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 140 187 100% 180–196 177–199 175–202 169–209
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 187 99.9% 179–195 176–198 173–201 168–208
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 171 87% 164–180 162–183 160–187 157–192
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 170 85% 163–179 161–182 159–186 155–191
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 170 82% 162–178 160–181 158–184 153–190
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 169 80% 162–178 159–180 157–183 152–190
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 142 0.6% 135–151 133–155 132–159 129–165
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 141 0.5% 135–150 133–154 132–158 128–164
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 110 141 0.2% 134–149 132–153 130–157 126–162
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 141 0.1% 133–148 131–151 129–155 125–161
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 123 0% 117–133 117–136 116–140 111–146
Partidul Național Liberal 69 123 0% 117–129 116–134 112–136 110–142
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 124 0% 116–131 112–133 108–135 102–140
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 124 0% 115–131 112–132 108–134 102–138
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 103 0% 96–110 94–113 92–115 89–121
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 47 0% 42–54 41–60 39–64 37–67

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0.1% 100%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.1% 99.8%  
174 0.2% 99.7%  
175 0.3% 99.5%  
176 0.5% 99.2%  
177 0.9% 98.7%  
178 1.1% 98%  
179 1.3% 97%  
180 2% 95%  
181 4% 93%  
182 4% 89%  
183 5% 86%  
184 6% 81%  
185 6% 75%  
186 7% 69%  
187 8% 62% Median
188 6% 55%  
189 7% 49%  
190 6% 42%  
191 5% 36%  
192 6% 30%  
193 4% 25%  
194 3% 21%  
195 4% 17%  
196 2% 13%  
197 2% 11%  
198 2% 9%  
199 1.3% 7%  
200 1.1% 6%  
201 0.9% 5%  
202 0.7% 4%  
203 0.5% 3%  
204 0.5% 3%  
205 0.4% 2%  
206 0.4% 2%  
207 0.3% 2%  
208 0.3% 1.3%  
209 0.3% 1.0%  
210 0.2% 0.7%  
211 0.1% 0.5%  
212 0.1% 0.4%  
213 0.1% 0.3%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0.1% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100% Last Result
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.8%  
171 0.1% 99.7%  
172 0.2% 99.6%  
173 0.3% 99.4%  
174 0.4% 99.2%  
175 0.5% 98.8%  
176 0.7% 98%  
177 1.0% 98%  
178 1.3% 97%  
179 1.4% 95%  
180 3% 94%  
181 4% 91%  
182 4% 88%  
183 5% 84%  
184 6% 79%  
185 6% 73%  
186 7% 67%  
187 8% 60% Median
188 6% 53%  
189 7% 46%  
190 6% 40%  
191 5% 34%  
192 5% 28%  
193 4% 23%  
194 3% 19%  
195 4% 16%  
196 2% 12%  
197 2% 10%  
198 2% 8%  
199 1.1% 6%  
200 1.0% 5%  
201 0.7% 4%  
202 0.6% 4%  
203 0.4% 3%  
204 0.5% 3%  
205 0.4% 2%  
206 0.4% 2%  
207 0.3% 1.4%  
208 0.3% 1.1%  
209 0.3% 0.8%  
210 0.2% 0.5%  
211 0.1% 0.4%  
212 0.1% 0.3%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0.1% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0.1% 99.9%  
167 0.1% 99.9%  
168 0.1% 99.8%  
169 0.2% 99.7%  
170 0.2% 99.5%  
171 0.2% 99.3%  
172 0.4% 99.1%  
173 0.6% 98.7%  
174 0.6% 98%  
175 0.7% 98%  
176 1.1% 97%  
177 1.2% 96%  
178 2% 95%  
179 2% 93%  
180 3% 91%  
181 4% 88%  
182 4% 84%  
183 5% 80%  
184 6% 75%  
185 6% 69%  
186 7% 63%  
187 8% 56% Median
188 6% 49%  
189 7% 43%  
190 6% 36%  
191 5% 30%  
192 5% 25%  
193 4% 20%  
194 3% 16%  
195 3% 13%  
196 2% 10%  
197 1.5% 8%  
198 1.3% 7%  
199 1.0% 5%  
200 0.9% 4%  
201 0.7% 4%  
202 0.5% 3%  
203 0.3% 2%  
204 0.4% 2%  
205 0.3% 2%  
206 0.3% 1.3%  
207 0.2% 1.0%  
208 0.2% 0.8%  
209 0.2% 0.6%  
210 0.1% 0.4%  
211 0.1% 0.3%  
212 0.1% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0.1% 99.9% Majority
166 0.1% 99.8%  
167 0.1% 99.8%  
168 0.2% 99.6%  
169 0.2% 99.5%  
170 0.3% 99.2%  
171 0.2% 99.0%  
172 0.5% 98.7%  
173 0.8% 98%  
174 0.7% 97%  
175 0.9% 97%  
176 1.3% 96%  
177 1.4% 95%  
178 2% 93%  
179 2% 91%  
180 3% 89%  
181 4% 86%  
182 4% 82%  
183 5% 78%  
184 6% 73%  
185 6% 67%  
186 7% 61%  
187 7% 54% Median
188 6% 47%  
189 6% 41%  
190 6% 34%  
191 5% 28%  
192 5% 23%  
193 3% 18%  
194 3% 15%  
195 3% 12%  
196 2% 9%  
197 1.3% 7%  
198 1.1% 6%  
199 0.8% 5%  
200 0.8% 4%  
201 0.5% 3%  
202 0.4% 2%  
203 0.3% 2%  
204 0.4% 2%  
205 0.3% 1.4%  
206 0.2% 1.1%  
207 0.2% 0.8%  
208 0.2% 0.6%  
209 0.1% 0.4%  
210 0.1% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.2% 99.7%  
157 0.3% 99.6%  
158 0.5% 99.2%  
159 0.7% 98.7%  
160 1.2% 98%  
161 1.2% 97%  
162 2% 96%  
163 2% 93%  
164 4% 91%  
165 5% 87% Majority
166 5% 82%  
167 5% 77%  
168 8% 72%  
169 6% 64% Median
170 7% 58%  
171 7% 51%  
172 5% 43%  
173 6% 38%  
174 5% 32%  
175 4% 26%  
176 4% 23%  
177 3% 18%  
178 3% 16%  
179 2% 13%  
180 2% 10%  
181 2% 8%  
182 1.4% 7%  
183 1.0% 5%  
184 0.8% 4%  
185 0.5% 4%  
186 0.4% 3%  
187 0.5% 3%  
188 0.3% 2%  
189 0.5% 2%  
190 0.4% 1.3%  
191 0.3% 0.9%  
192 0.2% 0.6%  
193 0.1% 0.4%  
194 0.1% 0.3%  
195 0% 0.3%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.1% 99.7%  
155 0.2% 99.6%  
156 0.3% 99.4%  
157 0.5% 99.1%  
158 0.7% 98.6%  
159 0.9% 98%  
160 1.4% 97%  
161 1.3% 96%  
162 3% 94%  
163 3% 92%  
164 4% 89%  
165 5% 85% Majority
166 5% 80%  
167 5% 75%  
168 8% 70%  
169 6% 62% Median
170 7% 56%  
171 7% 49%  
172 5% 41%  
173 6% 36%  
174 5% 30%  
175 4% 24%  
176 4% 21%  
177 2% 16%  
178 3% 14%  
179 2% 11%  
180 2% 9%  
181 1.4% 7%  
182 1.3% 6%  
183 0.8% 5%  
184 0.7% 4%  
185 0.5% 3%  
186 0.3% 3%  
187 0.4% 2%  
188 0.2% 2%  
189 0.5% 2%  
190 0.4% 1.1%  
191 0.2% 0.7%  
192 0.2% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.8%  
152 0.2% 99.7%  
153 0.2% 99.5%  
154 0.3% 99.3%  
155 0.4% 99.0%  
156 0.4% 98.5%  
157 0.6% 98%  
158 1.1% 98%  
159 1.4% 96%  
160 2% 95%  
161 2% 93%  
162 3% 92%  
163 3% 89%  
164 4% 86%  
165 5% 82% Majority
166 5% 76%  
167 5% 71%  
168 8% 66%  
169 6% 57% Median
170 7% 52%  
171 7% 45%  
172 5% 38%  
173 6% 32%  
174 5% 26%  
175 3% 21%  
176 4% 18%  
177 2% 14%  
178 2% 12%  
179 2% 9%  
180 2% 7%  
181 1.2% 6%  
182 1.1% 5%  
183 0.6% 4%  
184 0.5% 3%  
185 0.3% 2%  
186 0.3% 2%  
187 0.4% 2%  
188 0.2% 1.3%  
189 0.3% 1.1%  
190 0.3% 0.8%  
191 0.2% 0.5%  
192 0.1% 0.3%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.8%  
151 0.2% 99.7%  
152 0.2% 99.5%  
153 0.3% 99.3%  
154 0.4% 99.0%  
155 0.5% 98.6%  
156 0.5% 98%  
157 0.8% 98%  
158 1.3% 97%  
159 2% 96%  
160 2% 94%  
161 2% 92%  
162 3% 90%  
163 3% 87%  
164 4% 84%  
165 5% 80% Majority
166 5% 75%  
167 5% 69%  
168 8% 64%  
169 6% 55% Median
170 7% 50%  
171 7% 43%  
172 5% 36%  
173 6% 30%  
174 5% 24%  
175 3% 19%  
176 4% 16%  
177 2% 12%  
178 2% 10%  
179 2% 8%  
180 1.4% 6%  
181 1.0% 5%  
182 0.9% 4%  
183 0.5% 3%  
184 0.4% 2%  
185 0.3% 2%  
186 0.2% 2%  
187 0.4% 1.4%  
188 0.2% 1.1%  
189 0.3% 0.9%  
190 0.2% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
125 0% 100%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
129 0.3% 99.7%  
130 0.5% 99.3%  
131 0.7% 98.8%  
132 1.1% 98%  
133 2% 97%  
134 2% 95%  
135 4% 93%  
136 4% 89%  
137 5% 84%  
138 7% 79%  
139 6% 72%  
140 7% 66%  
141 8% 59% Median
142 6% 51%  
143 6% 44%  
144 7% 38%  
145 5% 31%  
146 4% 26%  
147 4% 22%  
148 3% 18%  
149 2% 16%  
150 2% 13%  
151 1.4% 11%  
152 2% 10%  
153 1.4% 8%  
154 1.0% 7%  
155 1.0% 6%  
156 0.7% 5%  
157 0.8% 4%  
158 0.6% 3%  
159 0.5% 3%  
160 0.5% 2%  
161 0.4% 2%  
162 0.3% 1.3%  
163 0.3% 1.1%  
164 0.2% 0.7%  
165 0.1% 0.6% Majority
166 0.2% 0.4%  
167 0.1% 0.3%  
168 0.1% 0.2%  
169 0.1% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100% Last Result
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.2% 99.6%  
129 0.4% 99.4%  
130 0.6% 99.0%  
131 0.8% 98%  
132 1.2% 98%  
133 2% 96%  
134 2% 94%  
135 4% 92%  
136 4% 87%  
137 5% 83%  
138 7% 78%  
139 6% 71%  
140 7% 64%  
141 8% 57% Median
142 6% 48%  
143 6% 42%  
144 7% 36%  
145 5% 29%  
146 4% 24%  
147 4% 20%  
148 3% 16%  
149 2% 13%  
150 2% 11%  
151 1.3% 9%  
152 1.5% 8%  
153 1.1% 7%  
154 0.8% 5%  
155 0.9% 5%  
156 0.5% 4%  
157 0.7% 3%  
158 0.5% 3%  
159 0.3% 2%  
160 0.4% 2%  
161 0.3% 1.4%  
162 0.2% 1.1%  
163 0.3% 0.9%  
164 0.1% 0.6%  
165 0.1% 0.5% Majority
166 0.1% 0.4%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0.1% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.8%  
125 0.2% 99.7%  
126 0.3% 99.5%  
127 0.4% 99.2%  
128 0.4% 98.8%  
129 0.7% 98%  
130 1.0% 98%  
131 1.1% 97%  
132 2% 96%  
133 3% 94%  
134 2% 91%  
135 5% 88%  
136 5% 84%  
137 5% 79%  
138 7% 74%  
139 6% 67%  
140 8% 60%  
141 8% 53% Median
142 6% 45%  
143 6% 38%  
144 7% 32%  
145 5% 25%  
146 3% 20%  
147 4% 17%  
148 2% 13%  
149 2% 11%  
150 2% 9%  
151 1.1% 8%  
152 1.0% 7%  
153 1.0% 6%  
154 0.7% 5%  
155 0.7% 4%  
156 0.6% 3%  
157 0.6% 3%  
158 0.4% 2%  
159 0.4% 2%  
160 0.3% 1.1%  
161 0.3% 0.8%  
162 0.2% 0.5%  
163 0.1% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.3%  
165 0.1% 0.2% Majority
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100% Last Result
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.8%  
124 0.2% 99.7%  
125 0.2% 99.6%  
126 0.3% 99.3%  
127 0.5% 99.0%  
128 0.5% 98.6%  
129 0.8% 98%  
130 1.1% 97%  
131 1.2% 96%  
132 2% 95%  
133 3% 93%  
134 3% 90%  
135 5% 87%  
136 5% 83%  
137 6% 78%  
138 7% 72%  
139 6% 65%  
140 8% 58%  
141 8% 51% Median
142 6% 42%  
143 6% 36%  
144 7% 30%  
145 5% 23%  
146 3% 18%  
147 4% 15%  
148 2% 11%  
149 2% 9%  
150 1.4% 7%  
151 1.0% 6%  
152 0.9% 5%  
153 0.7% 4%  
154 0.6% 3%  
155 0.6% 3%  
156 0.3% 2%  
157 0.4% 2%  
158 0.3% 1.4%  
159 0.2% 1.0%  
160 0.3% 0.8%  
161 0.2% 0.6%  
162 0.1% 0.4%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1% Majority
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100% Last Result
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.5% 99.8%  
112 0.8% 99.3%  
113 0.3% 98%  
114 0% 98%  
115 0.3% 98%  
116 2% 98%  
117 8% 96%  
118 8% 87%  
119 1.2% 80%  
120 0.3% 78%  
121 2% 78%  
122 13% 76%  
123 20% 64% Median
124 9% 44%  
125 1.2% 34%  
126 0.4% 33%  
127 3% 33%  
128 8% 30%  
129 7% 22%  
130 2% 15%  
131 0.4% 12%  
132 0.5% 12%  
133 2% 12%  
134 3% 10%  
135 2% 7%  
136 0.9% 5%  
137 0.2% 4%  
138 0.3% 4%  
139 0.6% 4%  
140 0.7% 3%  
141 0.7% 2%  
142 0.5% 2%  
143 0.2% 1.3%  
144 0.2% 1.1%  
145 0.1% 0.9%  
146 0.3% 0.8%  
147 0.1% 0.5%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0.1% 100%  
106 0.2% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.7%  
108 0% 99.6%  
109 0% 99.6%  
110 0.4% 99.5%  
111 1.4% 99.1%  
112 2% 98%  
113 0.4% 96%  
114 0.1% 96%  
115 0.6% 96%  
116 3% 95%  
117 10% 92%  
118 8% 82%  
119 1.2% 75%  
120 0.3% 73%  
121 2% 73%  
122 13% 71%  
123 20% 58% Median
124 9% 38%  
125 1.2% 28%  
126 0.6% 27%  
127 3% 27%  
128 8% 23%  
129 7% 16%  
130 2% 9%  
131 0.2% 8%  
132 0.4% 7%  
133 1.3% 7%  
134 2% 6%  
135 1.1% 4%  
136 0.7% 3%  
137 0.1% 2%  
138 0.2% 2%  
139 0.3% 2%  
140 0.3% 2%  
141 0.6% 1.3%  
142 0.4% 0.7%  
143 0.1% 0.3%  
144 0% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.8%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.1% 99.7%  
102 0.2% 99.6%  
103 0.3% 99.5%  
104 0.3% 99.2%  
105 0.3% 98.9%  
106 0.4% 98.6%  
107 0.4% 98%  
108 0.5% 98%  
109 0.4% 97%  
110 0.6% 97%  
111 0.7% 96%  
112 1.0% 96%  
113 1.1% 95%  
114 2% 94%  
115 2% 92%  
116 2% 90%  
117 4% 88%  
118 3% 84%  
119 4% 81%  
120 5% 77%  
121 5% 72%  
122 6% 66%  
123 7% 60%  
124 6% 54%  
125 8% 47% Median
126 7% 40%  
127 6% 33%  
128 6% 27%  
129 5% 21%  
130 4% 16%  
131 4% 12%  
132 3% 9%  
133 1.4% 6%  
134 1.3% 5%  
135 1.0% 3%  
136 0.7% 2%  
137 0.5% 2%  
138 0.4% 1.2%  
139 0.3% 0.8%  
140 0.2% 0.6%  
141 0.1% 0.4%  
142 0.1% 0.3%  
143 0.1% 0.2%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0.1% 99.7%  
101 0.1% 99.6%  
102 0.2% 99.5%  
103 0.3% 99.3%  
104 0.3% 99.0%  
105 0.3% 98.7%  
106 0.4% 98%  
107 0.4% 98%  
108 0.5% 98%  
109 0.5% 97%  
110 0.7% 97%  
111 0.9% 96%  
112 1.1% 95%  
113 1.3% 94%  
114 2% 93%  
115 2% 91%  
116 2% 89%  
117 4% 87%  
118 3% 83%  
119 4% 79%  
120 6% 75%  
121 5% 70%  
122 6% 64%  
123 7% 58%  
124 6% 51%  
125 8% 45% Median
126 7% 38%  
127 6% 31%  
128 6% 25%  
129 5% 19%  
130 4% 14%  
131 4% 11%  
132 2% 7%  
133 1.3% 5%  
134 1.1% 3%  
135 0.9% 2%  
136 0.5% 1.3%  
137 0.3% 0.8%  
138 0.2% 0.5%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0.1% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.2% 99.8%  
89 0.2% 99.6%  
90 0.5% 99.4%  
91 0.6% 98.9%  
92 1.1% 98%  
93 1.5% 97%  
94 2% 96%  
95 3% 94%  
96 3% 91%  
97 4% 88%  
98 4% 83%  
99 5% 79%  
100 7% 73%  
101 7% 67%  
102 7% 60%  
103 8% 52% Median
104 8% 45%  
105 6% 37%  
106 6% 30%  
107 5% 24%  
108 4% 19%  
109 3% 15%  
110 3% 12%  
111 2% 9%  
112 1.5% 7%  
113 1.2% 5%  
114 0.9% 4%  
115 0.8% 3%  
116 0.6% 2%  
117 0.4% 2%  
118 0.3% 2%  
119 0.3% 1.2%  
120 0.2% 0.9%  
121 0.2% 0.7%  
122 0.1% 0.5%  
123 0.1% 0.4%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0.1% 0.2%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.1% 99.9%  
36 0.2% 99.9%  
37 0.4% 99.7%  
38 0.6% 99.2%  
39 1.4% 98.6%  
40 2% 97%  
41 3% 95%  
42 5% 92%  
43 6% 87%  
44 7% 81%  
45 10% 74%  
46 12% 64% Median
47 8% 53%  
48 11% 45% Last Result
49 9% 34%  
50 5% 25%  
51 5% 20%  
52 3% 15%  
53 2% 12%  
54 1.2% 10%  
55 1.0% 9%  
56 0.6% 8%  
57 0.6% 7%  
58 0.6% 7%  
59 0.7% 6%  
60 1.0% 5%  
61 0.5% 4%  
62 0.6% 4%  
63 0.8% 3%  
64 0.7% 3%  
65 0.5% 2%  
66 0.5% 1.3%  
67 0.3% 0.8%  
68 0.2% 0.5%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations