Opinion Poll by CURS for STIRIPESURSE.RO, 19–30 June 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 32.0% 30.2–33.9% 29.7–34.4% 29.3–34.8% 28.5–35.7%
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 28.0% 26.3–29.8% 25.8–30.3% 25.4–30.7% 24.6–31.6%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 16.0% 14.6–17.5% 14.3–17.9% 13.9–18.3% 13.3–19.0%
PRO România 0.0% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.9–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.2%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.5–7.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal 69 106 98–113 96–116 95–118 92–121
Partidul Social Democrat 154 92 86–99 84–101 83–103 79–107
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 53 48–58 46–59 45–61 43–64
PRO România 0 23 20–26 19–27 18–28 17–30
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 18 0–19 0–19 0–19 0–23
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 17 14–19 13–20 12–20 11–24
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–23

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.2% 99.8%  
92 0.3% 99.5%  
93 0.7% 99.2%  
94 0.8% 98%  
95 2% 98%  
96 2% 96%  
97 3% 94%  
98 3% 92%  
99 5% 88%  
100 5% 84%  
101 4% 79%  
102 6% 76%  
103 5% 69%  
104 6% 64%  
105 6% 58%  
106 6% 51% Median
107 7% 45%  
108 5% 38%  
109 5% 33%  
110 5% 27%  
111 5% 22%  
112 5% 17%  
113 4% 12%  
114 2% 9%  
115 2% 7%  
116 2% 5%  
117 1.2% 4%  
118 0.9% 3%  
119 0.5% 2%  
120 0.4% 1.1%  
121 0.2% 0.7%  
122 0.2% 0.5%  
123 0.1% 0.3%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0.1% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 0.2% 99.6%  
80 0.6% 99.4%  
81 0.6% 98.8%  
82 0.6% 98%  
83 2% 98%  
84 2% 96%  
85 2% 93%  
86 5% 92%  
87 4% 86%  
88 6% 82%  
89 7% 76%  
90 9% 69%  
91 5% 60%  
92 9% 55% Median
93 9% 46%  
94 4% 37%  
95 7% 33%  
96 5% 26%  
97 5% 22%  
98 3% 16%  
99 4% 13%  
100 3% 9%  
101 2% 7%  
102 2% 5%  
103 0.8% 3%  
104 0.8% 2%  
105 0.4% 1.5%  
106 0.4% 1.1%  
107 0.2% 0.7%  
108 0.2% 0.4%  
109 0.1% 0.3%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.2% 99.8%  
43 0.5% 99.6%  
44 1.1% 99.1%  
45 2% 98%  
46 2% 96%  
47 3% 95%  
48 6% 92%  
49 6% 85%  
50 10% 79%  
51 10% 69%  
52 8% 60%  
53 12% 52% Median
54 7% 40%  
55 8% 32%  
56 7% 24%  
57 5% 17%  
58 4% 12%  
59 2% 7%  
60 2% 5%  
61 1.3% 3%  
62 0.8% 2%  
63 0.5% 1.1%  
64 0.3% 0.6%  
65 0.2% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0% 99.8%  
10 0% 99.8%  
11 0% 99.8%  
12 0% 99.8%  
13 0% 99.8%  
14 0% 99.8%  
15 0% 99.8%  
16 0.3% 99.8%  
17 0.7% 99.6%  
18 3% 98.8%  
19 3% 96%  
20 11% 92%  
21 11% 81%  
22 17% 70%  
23 16% 53% Median
24 10% 37%  
25 12% 27%  
26 6% 15%  
27 5% 9%  
28 2% 4%  
29 1.1% 2%  
30 0.6% 1.0%  
31 0.3% 0.5%  
32 0.1% 0.2%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 27% 100%  
1 0% 73%  
2 0% 73%  
3 0% 73%  
4 0% 73%  
5 0% 73%  
6 0% 73%  
7 0% 73%  
8 0% 73%  
9 0% 73%  
10 0% 73%  
11 0% 73%  
12 0% 73%  
13 0% 73%  
14 0% 73%  
15 0% 73%  
16 0.2% 73%  
17 0.1% 73%  
18 59% 73% Median
19 13% 14%  
20 0.5% 1.2% Last Result
21 0% 0.8%  
22 0.2% 0.8%  
23 0.2% 0.6%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.2%  
13 5% 97%  
14 5% 91%  
15 9% 86%  
16 22% 77%  
17 35% 55% Median
18 8% 20%  
19 5% 12%  
20 5% 7%  
21 0.8% 2% Last Result
22 0.2% 1.1%  
23 0.2% 0.9%  
24 0.4% 0.8%  
25 0.4% 0.4%  
26 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Median
1 0% 49%  
2 0% 49%  
3 0% 49%  
4 0% 49%  
5 0% 49%  
6 0% 49%  
7 0% 49%  
8 0% 49%  
9 0% 49%  
10 0% 49%  
11 0% 49%  
12 0% 49%  
13 0% 49%  
14 0% 49%  
15 0% 49%  
16 17% 49%  
17 12% 32%  
18 7% 20% Last Result
19 4% 13%  
20 4% 9%  
21 3% 5%  
22 1.3% 2%  
23 0.6% 0.9%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 158 197 100% 189–204 187–206 185–208 180–212
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 188 99.8% 176–199 173–201 171–202 166–205
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 138 183 99.8% 174–196 171–198 170–200 166–204
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 181 98.6% 172–187 169–190 167–191 161–195
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 175 94% 166–184 164–188 162–191 158–196
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 172 79% 160–183 158–184 155–186 151–189
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 166 59% 158–180 155–183 153–185 150–189
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 159 21% 149–167 146–170 145–173 141–178
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 128 144 0.1% 135–154 132–156 129–158 124–161
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 137 0% 123–146 119–147 117–149 113–152
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 108 131 0% 121–142 118–145 116–147 113–151
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 129 0% 116–138 114–141 112–142 108–146
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 122 0% 115–130 113–133 112–136 108–140
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 114 0% 104–126 102–129 100–131 97–135
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 154 115 0% 108–123 106–125 104–127 100–132
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 107 0% 93–115 91–118 89–119 85–122
Partidul Național Liberal 69 106 0% 98–113 96–116 95–118 92–121
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 61 0% 50–73 49–75 48–77 45–80

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0.1% 100%  
177 0.1% 99.9%  
178 0.1% 99.8%  
179 0.1% 99.8%  
180 0.3% 99.7%  
181 0.3% 99.4%  
182 0.4% 99.0%  
183 0.4% 98.6%  
184 0.7% 98%  
185 0.9% 98%  
186 2% 97%  
187 2% 95%  
188 2% 94%  
189 3% 91%  
190 4% 89%  
191 3% 85%  
192 4% 82%  
193 4% 78%  
194 6% 73% Median
195 6% 67%  
196 6% 61%  
197 6% 55%  
198 6% 49%  
199 8% 42%  
200 8% 35%  
201 5% 27%  
202 4% 22%  
203 4% 17%  
204 5% 13%  
205 2% 8%  
206 2% 6%  
207 0.9% 5%  
208 2% 4%  
209 0.5% 2%  
210 0.4% 1.3%  
211 0.2% 0.9%  
212 0.2% 0.7%  
213 0.2% 0.5%  
214 0.1% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0.1% 99.9%  
165 0.1% 99.8% Majority
166 0.2% 99.7%  
167 0.3% 99.5%  
168 0.4% 99.2%  
169 0.5% 98.7%  
170 0.6% 98%  
171 1.1% 98%  
172 1.4% 97%  
173 1.1% 95%  
174 1.0% 94%  
175 2% 93%  
176 2% 91%  
177 2% 89%  
178 2% 87%  
179 2% 85%  
180 3% 83%  
181 2% 80%  
182 2% 78%  
183 4% 76%  
184 6% 72%  
185 3% 66%  
186 4% 63%  
187 4% 59%  
188 6% 55%  
189 3% 49%  
190 4% 46%  
191 3% 42%  
192 3% 39%  
193 3% 35%  
194 5% 32% Median
195 5% 27%  
196 2% 22%  
197 4% 20%  
198 5% 17%  
199 5% 12%  
200 1.2% 7%  
201 2% 6%  
202 2% 4%  
203 0.6% 2%  
204 0.5% 1.2%  
205 0.2% 0.7%  
206 0.2% 0.5%  
207 0.1% 0.3%  
208 0.1% 0.2%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100% Last Result
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0.1% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0.1% 99.8% Majority
166 0.3% 99.8%  
167 0.6% 99.4%  
168 0.5% 98.9%  
169 0.6% 98%  
170 1.4% 98%  
171 3% 96%  
172 2% 94%  
173 1.4% 92%  
174 1.4% 91%  
175 6% 89%  
176 3% 84% Median
177 4% 81%  
178 3% 77%  
179 5% 74%  
180 6% 69%  
181 6% 63%  
182 7% 57%  
183 5% 50%  
184 4% 45%  
185 4% 41%  
186 6% 37%  
187 3% 31%  
188 2% 28%  
189 2% 26%  
190 3% 24%  
191 3% 21%  
192 3% 19%  
193 2% 16%  
194 2% 14%  
195 2% 12%  
196 3% 10%  
197 2% 7%  
198 1.1% 5%  
199 0.8% 4%  
200 1.2% 3%  
201 0.8% 2%  
202 0.3% 1.2%  
203 0.3% 0.9%  
204 0.2% 0.6%  
205 0.2% 0.4%  
206 0.1% 0.2%  
207 0.1% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100% Last Result
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0.1% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0.1% 99.8%  
161 0.2% 99.7%  
162 0.2% 99.5%  
163 0.3% 99.3%  
164 0.3% 99.0%  
165 0.4% 98.6% Majority
166 0.8% 98%  
167 0.9% 98%  
168 0.8% 97%  
169 1.0% 96%  
170 1.4% 95%  
171 2% 93%  
172 2% 92%  
173 4% 89%  
174 3% 86%  
175 3% 83%  
176 3% 80%  
177 7% 77% Median
178 6% 71%  
179 6% 65%  
180 4% 59%  
181 6% 55%  
182 8% 48%  
183 9% 40%  
184 7% 31%  
185 5% 24%  
186 5% 20%  
187 5% 15%  
188 3% 10%  
189 2% 7%  
190 1.1% 5%  
191 2% 4%  
192 0.9% 2%  
193 0.4% 1.3%  
194 0.3% 0.9%  
195 0.2% 0.7%  
196 0.2% 0.4%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100% Last Result
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.2% 99.8%  
158 0.2% 99.7%  
159 0.2% 99.4%  
160 0.5% 99.2%  
161 0.9% 98.7%  
162 1.4% 98%  
163 1.1% 96%  
164 1.4% 95%  
165 3% 94% Majority
166 5% 91%  
167 3% 85%  
168 3% 82%  
169 4% 79%  
170 6% 75%  
171 5% 69%  
172 4% 64%  
173 3% 60%  
174 3% 57%  
175 8% 53%  
176 5% 46% Median
177 5% 41%  
178 3% 36%  
179 6% 33%  
180 6% 27%  
181 5% 21%  
182 2% 16%  
183 3% 14%  
184 2% 11%  
185 1.2% 9%  
186 2% 8%  
187 0.8% 6%  
188 0.7% 6%  
189 0.7% 5%  
190 1.0% 4%  
191 0.9% 3%  
192 0.5% 2%  
193 0.3% 2%  
194 0.5% 2%  
195 0.4% 1.1%  
196 0.2% 0.7%  
197 0.1% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.8%  
151 0.2% 99.7%  
152 0.3% 99.5%  
153 0.4% 99.1%  
154 0.5% 98.8%  
155 0.7% 98%  
156 1.1% 97%  
157 1.4% 96%  
158 2% 95%  
159 2% 93%  
160 2% 91%  
161 2% 90%  
162 3% 88%  
163 3% 85%  
164 3% 82%  
165 3% 79% Majority
166 4% 76%  
167 5% 72%  
168 6% 67%  
169 3% 62%  
170 4% 59%  
171 5% 55%  
172 4% 50%  
173 4% 46%  
174 3% 42%  
175 3% 39%  
176 2% 36%  
177 6% 34% Median
178 4% 28%  
179 3% 25%  
180 2% 21%  
181 4% 19%  
182 5% 15%  
183 3% 10%  
184 2% 7%  
185 2% 5%  
186 1.2% 3%  
187 0.7% 2%  
188 0.5% 1.2%  
189 0.3% 0.7%  
190 0.2% 0.4%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100% Last Result
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0.2% 99.8%  
150 0.3% 99.6%  
151 0.4% 99.3%  
152 0.5% 98.9%  
153 1.0% 98%  
154 2% 97%  
155 2% 95%  
156 2% 94%  
157 1.4% 92%  
158 4% 90%  
159 4% 86% Median
160 3% 82%  
161 5% 79%  
162 4% 75%  
163 6% 71%  
164 6% 65%  
165 7% 59% Majority
166 7% 52%  
167 4% 45%  
168 4% 41%  
169 5% 37%  
170 4% 32%  
171 2% 28%  
172 2% 26%  
173 3% 24%  
174 2% 21%  
175 2% 19%  
176 1.4% 17%  
177 2% 16%  
178 2% 14%  
179 2% 12%  
180 1.3% 10%  
181 1.3% 9%  
182 2% 8%  
183 2% 6%  
184 1.1% 4%  
185 0.7% 3%  
186 0.8% 2%  
187 0.7% 2%  
188 0.3% 0.9%  
189 0.2% 0.6%  
190 0.1% 0.4%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.2% 99.8%  
141 0.3% 99.7%  
142 0.3% 99.4%  
143 0.5% 99.1%  
144 0.9% 98.6%  
145 1.3% 98%  
146 1.5% 96%  
147 2% 95%  
148 2% 93%  
149 4% 91%  
150 5% 87%  
151 2% 82%  
152 4% 80%  
153 4% 76%  
154 4% 72%  
155 4% 68%  
156 4% 64%  
157 4% 61%  
158 6% 57%  
159 5% 51% Median
160 4% 45%  
161 5% 42%  
162 5% 37%  
163 6% 32%  
164 5% 26%  
165 5% 21% Majority
166 4% 16%  
167 3% 13%  
168 2% 10%  
169 1.4% 8%  
170 2% 6%  
171 1.1% 5%  
172 1.0% 4%  
173 0.6% 3%  
174 0.5% 2%  
175 0.5% 2%  
176 0.4% 1.1%  
177 0.2% 0.8%  
178 0.2% 0.6%  
179 0.1% 0.4%  
180 0.1% 0.3%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.8%  
123 0.1% 99.7%  
124 0.2% 99.6%  
125 0.2% 99.4%  
126 0.3% 99.2%  
127 0.5% 98.8%  
128 0.4% 98% Last Result
129 0.5% 98%  
130 0.7% 97%  
131 1.2% 97%  
132 1.2% 95%  
133 1.3% 94%  
134 2% 93%  
135 3% 91%  
136 3% 89%  
137 3% 86%  
138 3% 82%  
139 3% 79%  
140 5% 76%  
141 6% 70% Median
142 7% 64%  
143 5% 57%  
144 3% 52%  
145 6% 49%  
146 6% 43%  
147 5% 38%  
148 3% 33%  
149 6% 30%  
150 4% 24%  
151 3% 20%  
152 2% 17%  
153 4% 15%  
154 4% 11%  
155 2% 7%  
156 0.9% 5%  
157 1.1% 4%  
158 1.2% 3%  
159 0.5% 2%  
160 0.7% 1.3%  
161 0.2% 0.6%  
162 0.1% 0.4%  
163 0.2% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0.1% 0.1% Majority
166 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.8%  
113 0.3% 99.7%  
114 0.3% 99.4%  
115 0.4% 99.1%  
116 0.8% 98.6%  
117 0.9% 98%  
118 0.9% 97%  
119 1.2% 96%  
120 2% 95%  
121 2% 93%  
122 2% 92%  
123 2% 90%  
124 2% 88%  
125 2% 86%  
126 1.4% 85%  
127 2% 83%  
128 2% 82%  
129 2% 80%  
130 2% 78%  
131 3% 76%  
132 3% 73%  
133 5% 70%  
134 4% 65%  
135 4% 60%  
136 5% 56%  
137 5% 51%  
138 5% 46%  
139 5% 40%  
140 4% 36%  
141 5% 32% Median
142 6% 27%  
143 4% 21%  
144 2% 17%  
145 4% 15%  
146 4% 11%  
147 3% 7%  
148 1.0% 4%  
149 0.8% 3%  
150 0.7% 2%  
151 0.4% 1.3%  
152 0.5% 0.9%  
153 0.2% 0.4%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100% Last Result
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.2% 99.8%  
113 0.4% 99.6%  
114 0.3% 99.3%  
115 0.6% 98.9%  
116 0.9% 98%  
117 1.5% 97%  
118 2% 96%  
119 2% 94%  
120 2% 92%  
121 2% 90%  
122 4% 88%  
123 4% 83% Median
124 5% 80%  
125 3% 75%  
126 3% 71%  
127 4% 68%  
128 5% 64%  
129 4% 59%  
130 3% 55%  
131 6% 52%  
132 4% 46%  
133 4% 42%  
134 3% 38%  
135 5% 35%  
136 6% 31%  
137 4% 25%  
138 2% 21%  
139 2% 19%  
140 4% 17%  
141 3% 13%  
142 2% 10%  
143 2% 8%  
144 1.1% 7%  
145 2% 6%  
146 1.2% 4%  
147 0.8% 3%  
148 0.5% 2%  
149 0.3% 1.2%  
150 0.3% 0.9%  
151 0.2% 0.6%  
152 0.2% 0.3%  
153 0.1% 0.2%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0.2% 99.8%  
108 0.2% 99.6%  
109 0.3% 99.4%  
110 0.3% 99.1%  
111 0.8% 98.8%  
112 1.2% 98%  
113 0.8% 97%  
114 1.1% 96%  
115 2% 95%  
116 3% 93%  
117 2% 90%  
118 2% 88%  
119 2% 86%  
120 3% 84%  
121 3% 81%  
122 3% 79%  
123 2% 76%  
124 2% 74%  
125 3% 72%  
126 6% 69%  
127 4% 63%  
128 4% 59%  
129 5% 55%  
130 7% 50%  
131 6% 43%  
132 6% 37%  
133 5% 31% Median
134 3% 26%  
135 4% 23%  
136 3% 19%  
137 6% 16%  
138 1.4% 11%  
139 1.4% 9%  
140 2% 8%  
141 3% 6%  
142 1.4% 4%  
143 0.6% 2%  
144 0.5% 2%  
145 0.6% 1.1%  
146 0.3% 0.6%  
147 0.1% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.2%  
149 0.1% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100% Last Result
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.3% 99.7%  
109 0.4% 99.5%  
110 0.6% 99.0%  
111 0.8% 98%  
112 1.4% 98%  
113 2% 96%  
114 3% 94%  
115 5% 91%  
116 5% 86%  
117 5% 82%  
118 5% 77%  
119 6% 72%  
120 7% 65%  
121 6% 59%  
122 7% 53%  
123 6% 46% Median
124 8% 40%  
125 4% 33%  
126 4% 28%  
127 5% 24%  
128 5% 20%  
129 4% 15%  
130 2% 11%  
131 2% 9%  
132 2% 7%  
133 1.3% 6%  
134 1.2% 4%  
135 0.6% 3%  
136 0.6% 3%  
137 0.7% 2%  
138 0.4% 1.4%  
139 0.4% 1.0%  
140 0.2% 0.6%  
141 0.2% 0.4%  
142 0.1% 0.3%  
143 0.1% 0.2%  
144 0.1% 0.1%  
145 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100% Last Result
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0.1% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.2% 99.8%  
97 0.3% 99.6%  
98 0.5% 99.3%  
99 0.7% 98.9%  
100 1.2% 98%  
101 1.0% 97%  
102 2% 96%  
103 2% 94%  
104 2% 92%  
105 4% 89%  
106 4% 86% Median
107 5% 82%  
108 3% 77%  
109 4% 74%  
110 4% 70%  
111 4% 65%  
112 5% 61%  
113 5% 56%  
114 5% 51%  
115 4% 46%  
116 4% 42%  
117 3% 38%  
118 5% 35%  
119 3% 29%  
120 4% 26%  
121 3% 23%  
122 2% 20%  
123 2% 18%  
124 2% 16%  
125 2% 14%  
126 2% 12%  
127 2% 10%  
128 1.5% 8%  
129 1.4% 6%  
130 1.4% 5%  
131 1.1% 3%  
132 0.6% 2%  
133 0.5% 2%  
134 0.4% 1.2%  
135 0.3% 0.8%  
136 0.2% 0.5%  
137 0.1% 0.3%  
138 0.1% 0.2%  
139 0.1% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.2% 99.8%  
100 0.2% 99.5%  
101 0.2% 99.3%  
102 0.4% 99.1%  
103 0.5% 98.7%  
104 2% 98%  
105 0.9% 96%  
106 2% 95%  
107 2% 94%  
108 5% 92%  
109 4% 87%  
110 4% 83%  
111 5% 78%  
112 8% 73%  
113 8% 65%  
114 6% 58%  
115 6% 51% Median
116 6% 45%  
117 6% 39%  
118 6% 33%  
119 4% 27%  
120 4% 22%  
121 3% 18%  
122 4% 15%  
123 3% 11%  
124 2% 9%  
125 2% 6%  
126 2% 5%  
127 0.9% 3%  
128 0.7% 2%  
129 0.4% 2%  
130 0.4% 1.4%  
131 0.3% 1.0%  
132 0.3% 0.6%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.2% 99.6%  
86 0.5% 99.4%  
87 0.5% 99.0%  
88 0.5% 98%  
89 0.9% 98%  
90 1.4% 97%  
91 2% 96%  
92 2% 94%  
93 3% 93%  
94 2% 89%  
95 3% 88%  
96 2% 85%  
97 2% 83%  
98 2% 81%  
99 2% 79%  
100 2% 77%  
101 3% 75%  
102 3% 72%  
103 2% 69%  
104 5% 67%  
105 4% 62%  
106 6% 58%  
107 6% 52%  
108 7% 46%  
109 4% 39%  
110 6% 35% Median
111 6% 28%  
112 4% 22%  
113 2% 19%  
114 4% 16%  
115 3% 12%  
116 3% 9%  
117 2% 7%  
118 2% 5%  
119 1.2% 3%  
120 0.6% 2%  
121 0.6% 1.2%  
122 0.3% 0.6%  
123 0.2% 0.4%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0.1% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.2% 99.8%  
92 0.3% 99.5%  
93 0.7% 99.2%  
94 0.8% 98%  
95 2% 98%  
96 2% 96%  
97 3% 94%  
98 3% 92%  
99 5% 88%  
100 5% 84%  
101 4% 79%  
102 6% 76%  
103 5% 69%  
104 6% 64%  
105 6% 58%  
106 6% 51% Median
107 7% 45%  
108 5% 38%  
109 5% 33%  
110 5% 27%  
111 5% 22%  
112 5% 17%  
113 4% 12%  
114 2% 9%  
115 2% 7%  
116 2% 5%  
117 1.2% 4%  
118 0.9% 3%  
119 0.5% 2%  
120 0.4% 1.1%  
121 0.2% 0.7%  
122 0.2% 0.5%  
123 0.1% 0.3%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0.1% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.3% 99.8%  
46 0.5% 99.4%  
47 1.0% 98.9%  
48 1.4% 98% Last Result
49 2% 97%  
50 5% 94%  
51 4% 89%  
52 4% 86%  
53 7% 82% Median
54 4% 75%  
55 5% 71%  
56 5% 67%  
57 4% 61%  
58 3% 57%  
59 2% 54%  
60 2% 53%  
61 2% 51%  
62 2% 49%  
63 2% 47%  
64 3% 45%  
65 4% 42%  
66 4% 38%  
67 5% 34%  
68 4% 30%  
69 5% 26%  
70 4% 21%  
71 3% 17%  
72 3% 14%  
73 2% 11%  
74 2% 9%  
75 2% 7%  
76 1.5% 5%  
77 1.1% 3%  
78 0.8% 2%  
79 0.6% 1.4%  
80 0.4% 0.9%  
81 0.2% 0.5%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations