Opinion Poll by Actly, 27–31 March 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 22.7% | 21.1–24.5% | 20.6–25.0% | 20.2–25.4% | 19.4–26.3% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 10.5% | 9.3–11.8% | 9.0–12.2% | 8.7–12.6% | 8.2–13.2% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 10.3% | 9.2–11.6% | 8.8–12.0% | 8.6–12.3% | 8.0–13.0% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.3% | 7.9–11.6% | 7.4–12.2% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.8–11.5% | 7.3–12.1% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.5% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| VLASŤ | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 40 | 39–50 | 37–51 | 37–51 | 35–51 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 21 | 18–23 | 16–24 | 16–24 | 16–26 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 20 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 16–23 | 16–29 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 18 | 18–23 | 17–23 | 16–25 | 15–25 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 19 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 16–23 | 14–23 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 14 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–17 | 11–19 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–14 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–11 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VLASŤ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 38 | 4% | 95% | |
| 39 | 26% | 91% | |
| 40 | 24% | 65% | Median |
| 41 | 0.9% | 41% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 40% | |
| 43 | 7% | 39% | |
| 44 | 6% | 32% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 46 | 2% | 26% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 24% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 22% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 22% | |
| 50 | 14% | 22% | |
| 51 | 8% | 8% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 17 | 2% | 95% | |
| 18 | 35% | 93% | |
| 19 | 2% | 59% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 56% | |
| 21 | 22% | 56% | Median |
| 22 | 17% | 34% | |
| 23 | 8% | 16% | |
| 24 | 7% | 9% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 18 | 22% | 95% | |
| 19 | 15% | 73% | |
| 20 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 21 | 11% | 45% | |
| 22 | 19% | 34% | |
| 23 | 14% | 15% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 17 | 5% | 97% | |
| 18 | 42% | 92% | Median |
| 19 | 25% | 50% | |
| 20 | 12% | 25% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 22 | 2% | 12% | |
| 23 | 7% | 10% | |
| 24 | 0% | 3% | |
| 25 | 3% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 16 | 18% | 98% | |
| 17 | 1.3% | 80% | Last Result |
| 18 | 27% | 79% | |
| 19 | 29% | 53% | Median |
| 20 | 1.4% | 24% | |
| 21 | 10% | 22% | |
| 22 | 5% | 12% | |
| 23 | 7% | 7% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 18% | 96% | |
| 13 | 22% | 78% | |
| 14 | 13% | 56% | Median |
| 15 | 7% | 43% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 36% | |
| 17 | 34% | 35% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 26% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 74% | |
| 2 | 0% | 74% | |
| 3 | 0% | 74% | |
| 4 | 0% | 74% | |
| 5 | 0% | 74% | |
| 6 | 0% | 74% | |
| 7 | 0% | 74% | |
| 8 | 0% | 74% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 74% | |
| 10 | 22% | 73% | |
| 11 | 41% | 52% | Median |
| 12 | 9% | 11% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 41% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 59% | |
| 2 | 0% | 59% | |
| 3 | 0% | 59% | |
| 4 | 0% | 59% | |
| 5 | 0% | 59% | |
| 6 | 0% | 59% | |
| 7 | 0% | 59% | |
| 8 | 0% | 59% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 59% | |
| 10 | 52% | 58% | Median |
| 11 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 12 | 5% | 5% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 94% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 6% | |
| 9 | 4% | 6% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 79 | 93% | 76–91 | 74–98 | 73–98 | 70–98 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 79 | 93% | 76–91 | 73–98 | 73–98 | 70–98 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 79 | 93% | 76–91 | 73–98 | 73–98 | 70–98 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 61 | 0% | 58–73 | 56–75 | 54–75 | 54–75 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 58 | 0% | 55–69 | 55–74 | 55–74 | 51–74 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 58 | 0% | 55–69 | 55–74 | 55–74 | 51–74 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 58 | 0% | 55–69 | 55–74 | 55–74 | 51–74 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 40 | 0% | 39–50 | 38–51 | 37–51 | 35–51 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 39 | 0% | 36–42 | 35–47 | 34–47 | 32–47 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 39 | 0% | 36–42 | 35–47 | 34–47 | 32–47 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 39 | 0% | 36–42 | 35–47 | 34–47 | 32–47 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 21 | 0% | 18–23 | 16–24 | 16–24 | 16–26 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 21 | 0% | 18–23 | 16–24 | 16–24 | 16–26 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 73 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 76 | 22% | 93% | Majority |
| 77 | 17% | 72% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 55% | |
| 79 | 13% | 54% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 41% | Median |
| 81 | 1.3% | 40% | |
| 82 | 9% | 39% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 30% | |
| 84 | 4% | 30% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 25% | |
| 86 | 1.0% | 25% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 24% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 24% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 23% | |
| 90 | 10% | 22% | |
| 91 | 4% | 12% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 93 | 0% | 7% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 96 | 0% | 7% | |
| 97 | 0% | 7% | |
| 98 | 7% | 7% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 76 | 22% | 93% | Majority |
| 77 | 17% | 72% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 55% | |
| 79 | 13% | 54% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 41% | Median |
| 81 | 1.3% | 40% | |
| 82 | 9% | 39% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 30% | |
| 84 | 4% | 30% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 25% | |
| 86 | 1.0% | 25% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 24% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 24% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 23% | |
| 90 | 10% | 22% | |
| 91 | 4% | 12% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 93 | 0% | 7% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 95 | 0% | 7% | |
| 96 | 0% | 7% | |
| 97 | 0% | 7% | |
| 98 | 7% | 7% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 76 | 22% | 93% | Majority |
| 77 | 17% | 72% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 55% | |
| 79 | 13% | 54% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 41% | Median |
| 81 | 1.3% | 40% | |
| 82 | 9% | 39% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 30% | |
| 84 | 4% | 30% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 25% | |
| 86 | 1.0% | 25% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 24% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 24% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 23% | |
| 90 | 10% | 22% | |
| 91 | 4% | 12% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 93 | 0% | 7% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 95 | 0% | 7% | |
| 96 | 0% | 7% | |
| 97 | 0% | 7% | |
| 98 | 7% | 7% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 58 | 23% | 95% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 71% | |
| 60 | 13% | 71% | |
| 61 | 26% | 58% | Median |
| 62 | 6% | 32% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 27% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 26% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 26% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 25% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 24% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 71 | 10% | 22% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 12% | |
| 73 | 4% | 11% | |
| 74 | 0% | 7% | |
| 75 | 7% | 7% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 55 | 17% | 98.9% | |
| 56 | 4% | 82% | |
| 57 | 4% | 78% | |
| 58 | 31% | 74% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 42% | Median |
| 60 | 0.9% | 42% | |
| 61 | 2% | 41% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 38% | |
| 63 | 2% | 38% | |
| 64 | 7% | 36% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 29% | |
| 66 | 5% | 29% | |
| 67 | 2% | 24% | |
| 68 | 4% | 22% | |
| 69 | 11% | 18% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 73 | 0% | 7% | |
| 74 | 7% | 7% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 55 | 17% | 98.9% | |
| 56 | 4% | 82% | |
| 57 | 4% | 78% | |
| 58 | 31% | 73% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 42% | Median |
| 60 | 0.9% | 42% | |
| 61 | 2% | 41% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 38% | |
| 63 | 2% | 38% | |
| 64 | 7% | 36% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 29% | |
| 66 | 5% | 29% | |
| 67 | 2% | 24% | |
| 68 | 4% | 22% | |
| 69 | 11% | 18% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 73 | 0% | 7% | |
| 74 | 7% | 7% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 55 | 17% | 98.9% | |
| 56 | 4% | 82% | |
| 57 | 4% | 78% | |
| 58 | 31% | 73% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 42% | Median |
| 60 | 0.9% | 42% | |
| 61 | 2% | 41% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 38% | |
| 63 | 2% | 38% | |
| 64 | 7% | 36% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 29% | |
| 66 | 5% | 29% | |
| 67 | 2% | 24% | |
| 68 | 4% | 22% | |
| 69 | 11% | 18% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 73 | 0% | 7% | |
| 74 | 7% | 7% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 38 | 4% | 95% | |
| 39 | 26% | 91% | |
| 40 | 24% | 65% | Median |
| 41 | 0.9% | 41% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 40% | |
| 43 | 7% | 39% | |
| 44 | 6% | 32% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 46 | 2% | 26% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 24% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 23% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 22% | |
| 50 | 14% | 22% | |
| 51 | 8% | 8% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 35 | 5% | 97% | |
| 36 | 22% | 92% | |
| 37 | 2% | 70% | |
| 38 | 17% | 68% | |
| 39 | 7% | 50% | |
| 40 | 24% | 43% | Median |
| 41 | 3% | 19% | |
| 42 | 6% | 16% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 47 | 7% | 7% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 34 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 35 | 5% | 97% | |
| 36 | 22% | 92% | |
| 37 | 2% | 70% | |
| 38 | 17% | 67% | |
| 39 | 7% | 50% | |
| 40 | 24% | 43% | Median |
| 41 | 3% | 19% | |
| 42 | 6% | 16% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 47 | 7% | 7% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 34 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 35 | 5% | 97% | |
| 36 | 22% | 92% | |
| 37 | 2% | 70% | |
| 38 | 17% | 68% | |
| 39 | 7% | 50% | |
| 40 | 24% | 43% | Median |
| 41 | 3% | 19% | |
| 42 | 6% | 16% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 47 | 7% | 7% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 17 | 2% | 95% | |
| 18 | 35% | 93% | |
| 19 | 2% | 59% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 56% | |
| 21 | 22% | 56% | Median |
| 22 | 17% | 34% | |
| 23 | 8% | 16% | |
| 24 | 7% | 9% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 16 | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 17 | 2% | 95% | |
| 18 | 35% | 93% | |
| 19 | 2% | 59% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 57% | |
| 21 | 22% | 56% | Median |
| 22 | 17% | 34% | |
| 23 | 8% | 17% | |
| 24 | 7% | 9% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Actly
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 27–31 March 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.12%