Opinion Poll by FOCUS, 31 March–7 April 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 22.3% | 20.7–24.0% | 20.2–24.5% | 19.8–25.0% | 19.1–25.8% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 11.2% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.7–13.0% | 9.4–13.3% | 8.8–14.0% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 10.9% | 9.7–12.3% | 9.4–12.6% | 9.1–13.0% | 8.6–13.7% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 9.2% | 8.1–10.5% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.5–11.1% | 7.1–11.8% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8–6.8% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.0–7.8% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.2–2.7% | 1.1–2.8% | 1.0–3.2% |
| VLASŤ | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 44 | 38–49 | 37–51 | 35–51 | 30–51 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 19 | 18–25 | 18–25 | 18–25 | 16–26 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 19 | 17–22 | 17–24 | 16–26 | 15–26 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 18 | 15–20 | 14–21 | 13–21 | 13–23 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 14 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 10–19 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 | 0–16 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 0 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 | 0–15 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 10 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–13 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 0 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 9 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VLASŤ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 36 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 38 | 8% | 94% | |
| 39 | 5% | 86% | |
| 40 | 6% | 81% | |
| 41 | 3% | 75% | |
| 42 | 3% | 72% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 69% | |
| 44 | 35% | 68% | Median |
| 45 | 6% | 34% | |
| 46 | 7% | 28% | |
| 47 | 6% | 21% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 15% | |
| 49 | 8% | 14% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 51 | 5% | 5% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 18 | 8% | 98% | |
| 19 | 47% | 90% | Median |
| 20 | 4% | 43% | |
| 21 | 7% | 38% | |
| 22 | 5% | 31% | |
| 23 | 6% | 25% | |
| 24 | 7% | 20% | |
| 25 | 11% | 12% | |
| 26 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 98% | |
| 17 | 14% | 95% | |
| 18 | 3% | 81% | |
| 19 | 38% | 78% | Median |
| 20 | 12% | 40% | |
| 21 | 12% | 28% | |
| 22 | 8% | 16% | |
| 23 | 2% | 8% | |
| 24 | 3% | 6% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 4% | 97% | |
| 15 | 8% | 93% | |
| 16 | 11% | 86% | |
| 17 | 10% | 75% | |
| 18 | 39% | 64% | Median |
| 19 | 13% | 25% | |
| 20 | 2% | 12% | |
| 21 | 8% | 9% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 12 | 10% | 97% | |
| 13 | 21% | 88% | |
| 14 | 26% | 66% | Median |
| 15 | 3% | 41% | |
| 16 | 34% | 38% | |
| 17 | 1.3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 85% | |
| 2 | 0% | 85% | |
| 3 | 0% | 85% | |
| 4 | 0% | 85% | |
| 5 | 0% | 85% | |
| 6 | 0% | 85% | |
| 7 | 0% | 85% | |
| 8 | 0% | 85% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 85% | |
| 10 | 6% | 84% | |
| 11 | 22% | 78% | |
| 12 | 46% | 56% | Median |
| 13 | 8% | 11% | |
| 14 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 59% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 41% | |
| 2 | 0% | 41% | |
| 3 | 0% | 41% | |
| 4 | 0% | 41% | |
| 5 | 0% | 41% | |
| 6 | 0% | 41% | |
| 7 | 0% | 41% | |
| 8 | 0% | 41% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 41% | |
| 10 | 7% | 41% | |
| 11 | 12% | 34% | |
| 12 | 10% | 22% | |
| 13 | 9% | 12% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 59% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 41% | |
| 2 | 0% | 41% | |
| 3 | 0% | 41% | |
| 4 | 0% | 41% | |
| 5 | 0% | 41% | |
| 6 | 0% | 41% | |
| 7 | 0% | 41% | |
| 8 | 0% | 41% | |
| 9 | 4% | 41% | |
| 10 | 11% | 37% | |
| 11 | 12% | 26% | |
| 12 | 12% | 14% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 37% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 63% | |
| 2 | 0% | 63% | |
| 3 | 0% | 63% | |
| 4 | 0% | 63% | |
| 5 | 0% | 63% | |
| 6 | 0% | 63% | |
| 7 | 0% | 63% | |
| 8 | 0% | 63% | |
| 9 | 3% | 63% | |
| 10 | 11% | 61% | Median |
| 11 | 48% | 50% | |
| 12 | 1.0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 77% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 23% | |
| 2 | 0% | 23% | |
| 3 | 0% | 23% | |
| 4 | 0% | 23% | |
| 5 | 0% | 23% | |
| 6 | 0% | 23% | |
| 7 | 0% | 23% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 23% | |
| 9 | 2% | 23% | |
| 10 | 4% | 21% | |
| 11 | 10% | 17% | |
| 12 | 6% | 6% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 48% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 52% | |
| 2 | 0% | 52% | |
| 3 | 0% | 52% | |
| 4 | 0% | 52% | |
| 5 | 0% | 52% | |
| 6 | 0% | 52% | |
| 7 | 0% | 52% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 52% | |
| 9 | 3% | 51% | Median |
| 10 | 10% | 48% | |
| 11 | 38% | 39% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.6% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 82 | 81% | 72–90 | 72–92 | 69–92 | 66–93 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 79 | 76% | 71–82 | 68–83 | 65–86 | 61–92 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 79 | 76% | 71–82 | 68–82 | 64–84 | 61–90 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 34 | 65 | 0% | 52–71 | 52–72 | 50–72 | 48–74 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 63 | 1.1% | 58–68 | 55–68 | 53–71 | 47–79 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 60 | 0% | 52–61 | 50–65 | 47–65 | 44–66 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 60 | 0% | 52–61 | 50–65 | 47–65 | 44–68 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 44 | 0% | 38–49 | 37–51 | 35–51 | 30–55 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 41 | 0% | 31–46 | 29–46 | 29–46 | 29–47 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 35 | 0% | 29–36 | 29–39 | 29–41 | 25–47 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 35 | 0% | 29–36 | 29–39 | 29–39 | 25–42 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 19 | 0% | 17–22 | 17–24 | 16–26 | 15–26 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 19 | 0% | 17–22 | 17–24 | 16–26 | 15–34 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 71 | 2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 8% | 95% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.9% | 87% | |
| 74 | 2% | 86% | |
| 75 | 4% | 85% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 81% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.0% | 80% | |
| 78 | 11% | 79% | |
| 79 | 6% | 68% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 62% | |
| 81 | 8% | 62% | |
| 82 | 6% | 54% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 48% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 47% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 47% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 46% | Median |
| 87 | 2% | 46% | |
| 88 | 0% | 44% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 44% | |
| 90 | 36% | 44% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 92 | 6% | 7% | |
| 93 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 71 | 4% | 94% | |
| 72 | 8% | 89% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 81% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 80% | |
| 75 | 4% | 79% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 76% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 75% | Median |
| 78 | 11% | 73% | |
| 79 | 39% | 62% | |
| 80 | 3% | 23% | |
| 81 | 9% | 20% | |
| 82 | 6% | 11% | |
| 83 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 71 | 4% | 94% | |
| 72 | 8% | 89% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 81% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 80% | |
| 75 | 4% | 79% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 76% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 75% | Median |
| 78 | 11% | 73% | |
| 79 | 39% | 61% | |
| 80 | 3% | 22% | |
| 81 | 9% | 19% | |
| 82 | 7% | 11% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 52 | 8% | 95% | |
| 53 | 5% | 87% | |
| 54 | 2% | 83% | |
| 55 | 2% | 81% | |
| 56 | 2% | 79% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 77% | |
| 58 | 5% | 77% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 71% | |
| 60 | 5% | 70% | |
| 61 | 8% | 65% | |
| 62 | 3% | 57% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 54% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 53% | |
| 65 | 8% | 53% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 44% | |
| 67 | 0% | 44% | Median |
| 68 | 1.4% | 43% | |
| 69 | 3% | 42% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 39% | |
| 71 | 34% | 39% | |
| 72 | 5% | 6% | |
| 73 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 98% | |
| 50 | 0% | 98% | |
| 51 | 0% | 98% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 58 | 9% | 93% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 84% | |
| 60 | 3% | 83% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 80% | |
| 62 | 4% | 79% | |
| 63 | 37% | 75% | Median |
| 64 | 0.7% | 38% | |
| 65 | 4% | 37% | |
| 66 | 12% | 34% | |
| 67 | 12% | 22% | |
| 68 | 7% | 10% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 1.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 50 | 4% | 96% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 52 | 10% | 92% | |
| 53 | 5% | 82% | |
| 54 | 3% | 77% | |
| 55 | 5% | 74% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 70% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 70% | |
| 58 | 6% | 69% | Median |
| 59 | 3% | 63% | |
| 60 | 39% | 60% | |
| 61 | 13% | 21% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 65 | 5% | 7% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 50 | 4% | 96% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 52 | 10% | 92% | |
| 53 | 5% | 82% | |
| 54 | 3% | 77% | |
| 55 | 5% | 75% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 70% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 70% | |
| 58 | 5% | 69% | Median |
| 59 | 3% | 64% | |
| 60 | 39% | 61% | |
| 61 | 13% | 22% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 65 | 5% | 8% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 2% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 36 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 38 | 8% | 94% | |
| 39 | 5% | 87% | |
| 40 | 6% | 81% | |
| 41 | 3% | 75% | |
| 42 | 3% | 72% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 69% | |
| 44 | 35% | 69% | Median |
| 45 | 5% | 34% | |
| 46 | 7% | 29% | |
| 47 | 6% | 22% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 16% | |
| 49 | 8% | 15% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 51 | 5% | 7% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 53 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 7% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 31 | 7% | 92% | |
| 32 | 2% | 85% | |
| 33 | 1.1% | 83% | |
| 34 | 14% | 82% | |
| 35 | 7% | 68% | |
| 36 | 1.2% | 61% | |
| 37 | 1.1% | 60% | |
| 38 | 2% | 59% | |
| 39 | 6% | 56% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 51% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 50% | |
| 42 | 3% | 49% | Median |
| 43 | 1.0% | 46% | |
| 44 | 4% | 45% | |
| 45 | 5% | 41% | |
| 46 | 35% | 37% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 29 | 10% | 98% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 31 | 8% | 88% | |
| 32 | 4% | 80% | |
| 33 | 3% | 76% | Median |
| 34 | 21% | 74% | |
| 35 | 41% | 52% | |
| 36 | 3% | 12% | |
| 37 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 39 | 4% | 7% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 29 | 10% | 98% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 88% | |
| 31 | 8% | 88% | |
| 32 | 4% | 80% | |
| 33 | 3% | 76% | Median |
| 34 | 21% | 74% | |
| 35 | 41% | 52% | |
| 36 | 3% | 11% | |
| 37 | 2% | 8% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 39 | 4% | 6% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 98% | |
| 17 | 14% | 95% | |
| 18 | 3% | 81% | |
| 19 | 38% | 78% | Median |
| 20 | 12% | 40% | |
| 21 | 12% | 28% | |
| 22 | 8% | 16% | |
| 23 | 2% | 8% | |
| 24 | 3% | 6% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 98% | |
| 17 | 14% | 95% | |
| 18 | 3% | 81% | |
| 19 | 38% | 78% | Median |
| 20 | 12% | 40% | |
| 21 | 12% | 28% | |
| 22 | 8% | 16% | |
| 23 | 2% | 8% | |
| 24 | 2% | 6% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 26 | 2% | 4% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 29 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: FOCUS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 31 March–7 April 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.80%