Opinion Poll by FOCUS, 2–9 June 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 21.6% | 20.0–23.3% | 19.5–23.8% | 19.1–24.2% | 18.4–25.1% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 12.8% | 11.5–14.2% | 11.1–14.6% | 10.8–15.0% | 10.3–15.7% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 12.0% | 10.7–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.1% | 9.5–14.8% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 8.2% | 7.2–9.4% | 6.9–9.8% | 6.7–10.1% | 6.2–10.7% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.4–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.6% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.5–7.5% | 4.2–8.0% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.3% | 4.1–7.9% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.1–5.8% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.3–6.9% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.1–5.1% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.9% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.4% | 0.7–2.8% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.0% | 0.7–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 39 | 36–45 | 35–45 | 33–45 | 33–47 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 23 | 20–24 | 20–25 | 20–26 | 19–28 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 19 | 18–24 | 17–26 | 17–26 | 17–26 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 15 | 12–16 | 10–17 | 10–17 | 10–19 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 12 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 10–18 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 12 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 0–15 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 0–15 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 10 | 9–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 9 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–13 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–12 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 36 | 6% | 94% | |
| 37 | 22% | 88% | |
| 38 | 8% | 66% | |
| 39 | 27% | 58% | Median |
| 40 | 6% | 31% | |
| 41 | 1.3% | 25% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 24% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 22% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 45 | 18% | 21% | |
| 46 | 0% | 2% | |
| 47 | 2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 12% | 98% | |
| 21 | 5% | 87% | |
| 22 | 16% | 82% | |
| 23 | 32% | 65% | Median |
| 24 | 28% | 33% | |
| 25 | 2% | 5% | |
| 26 | 2% | 4% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 6% | 100% | |
| 18 | 4% | 94% | |
| 19 | 46% | 90% | Median |
| 20 | 2% | 44% | |
| 21 | 7% | 42% | |
| 22 | 22% | 34% | |
| 23 | 2% | 12% | |
| 24 | 2% | 10% | |
| 25 | 3% | 8% | |
| 26 | 5% | 5% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 12 | 2% | 91% | |
| 13 | 20% | 89% | |
| 14 | 4% | 69% | |
| 15 | 44% | 65% | Median |
| 16 | 12% | 22% | |
| 17 | 8% | 10% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 43% | 98.7% | |
| 12 | 20% | 55% | Median |
| 13 | 4% | 35% | |
| 14 | 10% | 31% | |
| 15 | 5% | 21% | |
| 16 | 13% | 17% | |
| 17 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 9 | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 8% | 92% | |
| 11 | 4% | 84% | |
| 12 | 66% | 80% | Median |
| 13 | 11% | 13% | |
| 14 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 15 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 19% | 98% | |
| 10 | 12% | 78% | |
| 11 | 46% | 67% | Median |
| 12 | 16% | 20% | |
| 13 | 2% | 4% | |
| 14 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 93% | |
| 2 | 0% | 93% | |
| 3 | 0% | 93% | |
| 4 | 0% | 93% | |
| 5 | 0% | 93% | |
| 6 | 0% | 93% | |
| 7 | 0% | 93% | |
| 8 | 0% | 93% | |
| 9 | 9% | 93% | |
| 10 | 47% | 83% | Median |
| 11 | 12% | 36% | |
| 12 | 19% | 24% | |
| 13 | 3% | 5% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 69% | |
| 2 | 0% | 69% | |
| 3 | 0% | 69% | |
| 4 | 0% | 69% | |
| 5 | 0% | 69% | |
| 6 | 0% | 69% | |
| 7 | 0% | 69% | |
| 8 | 0% | 69% | |
| 9 | 22% | 69% | Median |
| 10 | 41% | 47% | |
| 11 | 5% | 6% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 83% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 17% | |
| 2 | 0% | 17% | |
| 3 | 0% | 17% | |
| 4 | 0% | 17% | |
| 5 | 0% | 17% | |
| 6 | 0% | 17% | |
| 7 | 0% | 17% | |
| 8 | 0% | 17% | |
| 9 | 14% | 17% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 79 | 91% | 76–84 | 72–87 | 72–88 | 68–90 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 72 | 30% | 67–78 | 67–79 | 63–84 | 63–88 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 72 | 30% | 67–78 | 67–79 | 63–84 | 63–88 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 58 | 0.1% | 55–67 | 53–67 | 51–68 | 51–73 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 34 | 60 | 0% | 56–63 | 54–63 | 50–64 | 47–66 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 51 | 0% | 49–56 | 48–58 | 45–60 | 44–64 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 51 | 0% | 49–56 | 48–58 | 45–60 | 44–64 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 40 | 0% | 33–45 | 33–48 | 33–50 | 31–54 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 39 | 0% | 36–45 | 35–45 | 33–45 | 33–47 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 33 | 0% | 30–37 | 30–40 | 30–41 | 30–42 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 33 | 0% | 30–37 | 30–40 | 30–41 | 30–42 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 19 | 0% | 18–24 | 17–26 | 17–26 | 17–26 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 19 | 0% | 18–24 | 17–26 | 17–26 | 17–27 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 72 | 4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 73 | 2% | 94% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 76 | 6% | 91% | Majority |
| 77 | 8% | 85% | |
| 78 | 20% | 77% | |
| 79 | 26% | 57% | Median |
| 80 | 0.5% | 31% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 30% | |
| 82 | 17% | 30% | |
| 83 | 2% | 13% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 11% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 86 | 3% | 8% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 88 | 4% | 5% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 63 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0% | 97% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 67 | 6% | 95% | |
| 68 | 9% | 90% | |
| 69 | 25% | 81% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 56% | Median |
| 71 | 1.2% | 55% | |
| 72 | 14% | 54% | |
| 73 | 6% | 40% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 34% | |
| 75 | 3% | 33% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 30% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.8% | 29% | |
| 78 | 22% | 28% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 63 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0% | 97% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 67 | 6% | 96% | |
| 68 | 9% | 90% | |
| 69 | 25% | 81% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 56% | Median |
| 71 | 1.2% | 55% | |
| 72 | 14% | 54% | |
| 73 | 6% | 40% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 34% | |
| 75 | 3% | 33% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 30% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.8% | 29% | |
| 78 | 22% | 28% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 53 | 5% | 97% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 56 | 20% | 89% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 69% | |
| 58 | 27% | 68% | Median |
| 59 | 1.1% | 41% | |
| 60 | 2% | 40% | |
| 61 | 6% | 38% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 31% | |
| 63 | 3% | 30% | |
| 64 | 4% | 27% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 23% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 23% | |
| 67 | 19% | 22% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 2% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 54 | 4% | 96% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 56 | 20% | 90% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 70% | |
| 58 | 10% | 70% | |
| 59 | 6% | 60% | |
| 60 | 26% | 53% | Median |
| 61 | 7% | 28% | |
| 62 | 5% | 21% | |
| 63 | 12% | 16% | |
| 64 | 2% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 49 | 10% | 94% | |
| 50 | 34% | 85% | |
| 51 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 52 | 8% | 49% | |
| 53 | 12% | 41% | |
| 54 | 2% | 29% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 27% | |
| 56 | 20% | 25% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 58 | 2% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 2% | |
| 62 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 49 | 10% | 94% | |
| 50 | 34% | 85% | |
| 51 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 52 | 8% | 49% | |
| 53 | 12% | 41% | |
| 54 | 2% | 29% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 27% | |
| 56 | 20% | 25% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 58 | 2% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 2% | |
| 62 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 18% | 98.5% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 80% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 79% | |
| 36 | 2% | 78% | |
| 37 | 2% | 76% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 75% | |
| 39 | 5% | 74% | |
| 40 | 39% | 69% | Median |
| 41 | 2% | 30% | |
| 42 | 5% | 28% | |
| 43 | 1.4% | 22% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 21% | |
| 45 | 12% | 20% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 47 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 48 | 2% | 6% | |
| 49 | 0% | 4% | |
| 50 | 3% | 4% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 36 | 6% | 94% | |
| 37 | 22% | 88% | |
| 38 | 7% | 66% | |
| 39 | 27% | 58% | Median |
| 40 | 6% | 31% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 25% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 24% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 23% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 45 | 18% | 21% | |
| 46 | 0% | 2% | |
| 47 | 2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 28% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 15% | 72% | Median |
| 32 | 2% | 57% | |
| 33 | 24% | 55% | |
| 34 | 2% | 31% | |
| 35 | 12% | 30% | |
| 36 | 4% | 17% | |
| 37 | 5% | 14% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 39 | 2% | 9% | |
| 40 | 4% | 7% | |
| 41 | 2% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 28% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 15% | 72% | Median |
| 32 | 2% | 57% | |
| 33 | 24% | 55% | |
| 34 | 2% | 31% | |
| 35 | 12% | 30% | |
| 36 | 4% | 17% | |
| 37 | 5% | 14% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 39 | 2% | 9% | |
| 40 | 4% | 7% | |
| 41 | 2% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 6% | 100% | |
| 18 | 4% | 94% | |
| 19 | 46% | 90% | Median |
| 20 | 2% | 44% | |
| 21 | 7% | 42% | |
| 22 | 22% | 34% | |
| 23 | 2% | 12% | |
| 24 | 2% | 10% | |
| 25 | 3% | 8% | |
| 26 | 5% | 5% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 6% | 100% | |
| 18 | 4% | 94% | |
| 19 | 46% | 90% | Median |
| 20 | 2% | 44% | |
| 21 | 7% | 42% | |
| 22 | 22% | 34% | |
| 23 | 2% | 13% | |
| 24 | 2% | 10% | |
| 25 | 3% | 9% | |
| 26 | 5% | 5% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: FOCUS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 2–9 June 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1011
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.86%