Opinion Poll by AKO, 7–11 June 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 13.9% | 12.6–15.4% | 12.2–15.8% | 11.9–16.2% | 11.3–16.9% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 10.6% | 9.4–11.9% | 9.1–12.3% | 8.8–12.7% | 8.3–13.3% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.7–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.4% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 42 | 38–42 | 37–44 | 36–44 | 34–48 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 28 | 24–30 | 23–31 | 23–31 | 22–32 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 22 | 20–24 | 19–24 | 17–24 | 17–27 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 18 | 14–22 | 14–22 | 14–22 | 13–22 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 17 | 15–19 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 12–20 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 16 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 0 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–13 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 9 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–13 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 2% | 96% | |
| 38 | 5% | 94% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 40 | 35% | 89% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 54% | |
| 42 | 44% | 53% | Median |
| 43 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 44 | 7% | 8% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 24 | 2% | 92% | |
| 25 | 5% | 90% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 85% | |
| 27 | 25% | 84% | |
| 28 | 40% | 59% | Median |
| 29 | 3% | 19% | |
| 30 | 10% | 16% | |
| 31 | 4% | 6% | |
| 32 | 2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 19 | 3% | 96% | |
| 20 | 11% | 93% | |
| 21 | 6% | 83% | |
| 22 | 31% | 77% | Median |
| 23 | 5% | 46% | |
| 24 | 40% | 42% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 10% | 99.4% | |
| 15 | 4% | 90% | |
| 16 | 5% | 86% | |
| 17 | 6% | 81% | |
| 18 | 26% | 75% | Median |
| 19 | 6% | 49% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 42% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 41% | |
| 22 | 41% | 41% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 7% | 98% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 15 | 3% | 90% | |
| 16 | 25% | 87% | |
| 17 | 47% | 62% | Median |
| 18 | 3% | 15% | |
| 19 | 11% | 12% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 7% | 98% | |
| 14 | 8% | 90% | |
| 15 | 27% | 83% | |
| 16 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 17 | 41% | 47% | Last Result |
| 18 | 5% | 6% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 83% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 17% | |
| 2 | 0% | 17% | |
| 3 | 0% | 17% | |
| 4 | 0% | 17% | |
| 5 | 0% | 17% | |
| 6 | 0% | 17% | |
| 7 | 0% | 17% | |
| 8 | 0% | 17% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 17% | |
| 10 | 6% | 17% | |
| 11 | 9% | 11% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 50% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 50% | |
| 2 | 0% | 50% | |
| 3 | 0% | 50% | |
| 4 | 0% | 50% | |
| 5 | 0% | 50% | |
| 6 | 0% | 50% | |
| 7 | 0% | 50% | |
| 8 | 0% | 50% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 50% | Median |
| 10 | 10% | 50% | |
| 11 | 7% | 40% | |
| 12 | 25% | 33% | |
| 13 | 8% | 8% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.5% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 79 | 86% | 75–83 | 72–83 | 72–83 | 67–87 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 79 | 86% | 75–83 | 72–83 | 72–83 | 67–87 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 79 | 86% | 75–83 | 72–83 | 72–83 | 67–87 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 63 | 0% | 60–66 | 58–66 | 57–67 | 53–70 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 57 | 0% | 52–59 | 52–60 | 50–60 | 49–65 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 57 | 0% | 52–59 | 52–60 | 50–60 | 49–65 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 57 | 0% | 52–59 | 52–60 | 50–60 | 49–65 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 42 | 0% | 38–42 | 37–44 | 36–44 | 34–48 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 37 | 0% | 35–41 | 33–41 | 33–41 | 30–41 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 37 | 0% | 35–41 | 33–41 | 33–41 | 30–41 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 37 | 0% | 35–41 | 33–41 | 33–41 | 30–41 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 22 | 0% | 20–24 | 19–24 | 17–24 | 17–27 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 22 | 0% | 20–24 | 19–24 | 17–24 | 17–27 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98% | Last Result |
| 73 | 3% | 95% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 75 | 5% | 91% | |
| 76 | 8% | 86% | Majority |
| 77 | 26% | 78% | |
| 78 | 2% | 53% | |
| 79 | 5% | 51% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 46% | Median |
| 81 | 4% | 45% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 41% | |
| 83 | 39% | 41% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98% | |
| 73 | 3% | 95% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 75 | 5% | 91% | |
| 76 | 8% | 86% | Majority |
| 77 | 26% | 78% | |
| 78 | 2% | 53% | |
| 79 | 5% | 51% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 46% | Median |
| 81 | 4% | 45% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 41% | |
| 83 | 39% | 41% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98% | |
| 73 | 3% | 95% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 75 | 5% | 91% | |
| 76 | 8% | 86% | Majority |
| 77 | 26% | 78% | |
| 78 | 2% | 53% | |
| 79 | 5% | 51% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 46% | Median |
| 81 | 4% | 45% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 41% | |
| 83 | 39% | 41% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 3% | 97% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 60 | 10% | 92% | |
| 61 | 6% | 83% | |
| 62 | 24% | 77% | |
| 63 | 6% | 53% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 47% | Median |
| 65 | 0.6% | 46% | |
| 66 | 43% | 45% | |
| 67 | 2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 52 | 6% | 96% | |
| 53 | 3% | 90% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 55 | 25% | 86% | |
| 56 | 8% | 61% | |
| 57 | 5% | 53% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 49% | Median |
| 59 | 41% | 49% | |
| 60 | 6% | 7% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 63 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 52 | 6% | 96% | |
| 53 | 3% | 90% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 55 | 25% | 86% | |
| 56 | 8% | 61% | |
| 57 | 5% | 53% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 49% | Median |
| 59 | 41% | 48% | |
| 60 | 6% | 7% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 52 | 6% | 96% | |
| 53 | 3% | 90% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 55 | 25% | 86% | |
| 56 | 8% | 61% | |
| 57 | 5% | 53% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 49% | Median |
| 59 | 41% | 48% | |
| 60 | 6% | 7% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 2% | 96% | |
| 38 | 5% | 94% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 40 | 35% | 89% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 54% | |
| 42 | 44% | 53% | Median |
| 43 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 44 | 7% | 8% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0% | 98% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 33 | 4% | 98% | |
| 34 | 2% | 94% | |
| 35 | 5% | 92% | |
| 36 | 9% | 87% | |
| 37 | 29% | 78% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 49% | Median |
| 39 | 8% | 48% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 40% | |
| 41 | 39% | 40% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 0% | 98% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 33 | 4% | 98% | |
| 34 | 2% | 94% | |
| 35 | 5% | 92% | |
| 36 | 9% | 87% | |
| 37 | 29% | 78% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 49% | Median |
| 39 | 8% | 48% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 40% | |
| 41 | 39% | 40% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0% | 98% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 33 | 4% | 98% | |
| 34 | 2% | 94% | |
| 35 | 5% | 92% | |
| 36 | 9% | 87% | |
| 37 | 29% | 78% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 49% | Median |
| 39 | 8% | 48% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 40% | |
| 41 | 39% | 40% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 19 | 3% | 96% | |
| 20 | 11% | 93% | |
| 21 | 6% | 83% | |
| 22 | 31% | 77% | Median |
| 23 | 5% | 46% | |
| 24 | 40% | 42% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 19 | 3% | 96% | |
| 20 | 11% | 93% | |
| 21 | 6% | 83% | |
| 22 | 31% | 77% | Median |
| 23 | 5% | 46% | |
| 24 | 40% | 42% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 7–11 June 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.45%