Opinion Poll by AKO, 6–12 July 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 20.8% | 19.2–22.5% | 18.8–23.0% | 18.4–23.4% | 17.7–24.3% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.8% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 10.9% | 9.7–12.3% | 9.4–12.7% | 9.1–13.0% | 8.6–13.7% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 8.8% | 7.7–10.1% | 7.4–10.4% | 7.2–10.7% | 6.7–11.4% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4–9.6% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.8–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.0–3.3% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.0–3.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 39 | 36–44 | 35–47 | 34–47 | 32–47 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 26 | 24–30 | 23–31 | 22–31 | 21–33 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 22 | 19–25 | 18–25 | 17–25 | 16–26 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 17 | 13–20 | 13–20 | 13–21 | 13–23 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 18 | 14–19 | 13–19 | 13–20 | 13–21 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 15 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 12 | 10–13 | 0–14 | 0–15 | 0–16 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–11 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 35 | 2% | 97% | |
| 36 | 25% | 95% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 70% | |
| 38 | 11% | 68% | |
| 39 | 28% | 57% | Median |
| 40 | 8% | 29% | |
| 41 | 2% | 21% | |
| 42 | 3% | 18% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 15% | |
| 44 | 5% | 14% | |
| 45 | 4% | 9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 47 | 5% | 6% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 22 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 23 | 2% | 96% | |
| 24 | 5% | 94% | |
| 25 | 14% | 88% | |
| 26 | 39% | 75% | Median |
| 27 | 6% | 36% | |
| 28 | 10% | 30% | |
| 29 | 10% | 20% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 31 | 7% | 10% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 18 | 2% | 95% | |
| 19 | 10% | 94% | |
| 20 | 11% | 84% | |
| 21 | 12% | 72% | |
| 22 | 20% | 60% | Median |
| 23 | 7% | 40% | |
| 24 | 11% | 33% | |
| 25 | 21% | 22% | |
| 26 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 10% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 6% | 90% | |
| 15 | 8% | 84% | |
| 16 | 12% | 76% | |
| 17 | 30% | 64% | Median |
| 18 | 3% | 34% | |
| 19 | 17% | 30% | |
| 20 | 10% | 13% | |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 14 | 14% | 93% | |
| 15 | 9% | 79% | |
| 16 | 3% | 70% | |
| 17 | 10% | 67% | |
| 18 | 34% | 58% | Median |
| 19 | 21% | 24% | |
| 20 | 2% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 10% | 98% | |
| 13 | 6% | 88% | |
| 14 | 23% | 82% | |
| 15 | 30% | 59% | Median |
| 16 | 7% | 30% | |
| 17 | 4% | 23% | Last Result |
| 18 | 15% | 18% | |
| 19 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 92% | |
| 2 | 0% | 92% | |
| 3 | 0% | 92% | |
| 4 | 0% | 92% | |
| 5 | 0% | 92% | |
| 6 | 0% | 92% | |
| 7 | 0% | 92% | |
| 8 | 0% | 92% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 10 | 6% | 92% | |
| 11 | 30% | 85% | |
| 12 | 14% | 55% | Median |
| 13 | 32% | 41% | |
| 14 | 4% | 9% | |
| 15 | 4% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 84% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 16% | |
| 2 | 0% | 16% | |
| 3 | 0% | 16% | |
| 4 | 0% | 16% | |
| 5 | 0% | 16% | |
| 6 | 0% | 16% | |
| 7 | 0% | 16% | |
| 8 | 0% | 16% | |
| 9 | 5% | 16% | |
| 10 | 7% | 12% | |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 4% | |
| 9 | 2% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.4% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.5% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 76 | 59% | 72–82 | 71–82 | 68–89 | 66–90 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 76 | 58% | 72–81 | 70–82 | 68–89 | 65–90 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 76 | 59% | 72–81 | 71–82 | 68–89 | 65–90 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 61 | 0% | 57–66 | 56–69 | 55–71 | 51–72 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 34 | 53 | 0% | 50–59 | 49–63 | 49–65 | 47–66 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 53 | 0% | 50–59 | 49–62 | 48–65 | 45–65 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 53 | 0% | 50–59 | 49–62 | 48–65 | 45–66 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 39 | 0% | 36–45 | 35–47 | 34–47 | 32–50 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 38 | 0% | 33–40 | 31–42 | 30–43 | 30–45 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 37 | 0% | 33–40 | 31–42 | 30–43 | 30–45 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 37 | 0% | 33–40 | 31–42 | 30–42 | 30–43 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 22 | 0% | 19–25 | 18–25 | 17–26 | 16–30 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 22 | 0% | 19–25 | 18–25 | 17–25 | 16–26 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 71 | 3% | 95% | |
| 72 | 9% | 93% | Last Result |
| 73 | 6% | 83% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 78% | |
| 75 | 17% | 76% | |
| 76 | 21% | 59% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 7% | 39% | |
| 78 | 15% | 31% | |
| 79 | 2% | 16% | |
| 80 | 2% | 14% | |
| 81 | 2% | 12% | |
| 82 | 5% | 10% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 86 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 3% | 95% | |
| 72 | 9% | 92% | |
| 73 | 6% | 82% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 77% | |
| 75 | 17% | 75% | |
| 76 | 21% | 58% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 7% | 37% | |
| 78 | 15% | 30% | |
| 79 | 2% | 15% | |
| 80 | 2% | 13% | |
| 81 | 2% | 11% | |
| 82 | 5% | 9% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 86 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 3% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 71 | 3% | 95% | |
| 72 | 9% | 92% | |
| 73 | 6% | 83% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 77% | |
| 75 | 17% | 76% | |
| 76 | 21% | 59% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 7% | 38% | |
| 78 | 15% | 31% | |
| 79 | 2% | 16% | |
| 80 | 2% | 14% | |
| 81 | 2% | 12% | |
| 82 | 5% | 10% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 86 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 96% | |
| 57 | 4% | 93% | |
| 58 | 5% | 88% | |
| 59 | 3% | 83% | |
| 60 | 18% | 80% | |
| 61 | 33% | 62% | Median |
| 62 | 3% | 29% | |
| 63 | 12% | 26% | |
| 64 | 2% | 14% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 12% | |
| 66 | 2% | 11% | |
| 67 | 3% | 9% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 49 | 5% | 98% | |
| 50 | 6% | 93% | |
| 51 | 20% | 86% | |
| 52 | 3% | 66% | |
| 53 | 20% | 63% | |
| 54 | 3% | 43% | Median |
| 55 | 4% | 40% | |
| 56 | 7% | 37% | |
| 57 | 11% | 29% | |
| 58 | 7% | 18% | |
| 59 | 2% | 12% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 62 | 3% | 8% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 65 | 3% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 47 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 49 | 5% | 97% | |
| 50 | 6% | 92% | |
| 51 | 20% | 86% | |
| 52 | 3% | 65% | |
| 53 | 20% | 63% | |
| 54 | 3% | 42% | Median |
| 55 | 3% | 39% | |
| 56 | 7% | 35% | |
| 57 | 11% | 28% | |
| 58 | 7% | 17% | |
| 59 | 2% | 10% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 62 | 3% | 7% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 65 | 3% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 49 | 5% | 97% | |
| 50 | 6% | 92% | |
| 51 | 20% | 86% | |
| 52 | 3% | 66% | |
| 53 | 20% | 63% | |
| 54 | 3% | 43% | Median |
| 55 | 3% | 40% | |
| 56 | 7% | 36% | |
| 57 | 11% | 29% | |
| 58 | 7% | 18% | |
| 59 | 2% | 11% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 62 | 3% | 8% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 65 | 3% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 35 | 2% | 97% | |
| 36 | 25% | 95% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 70% | |
| 38 | 11% | 69% | |
| 39 | 28% | 57% | Median |
| 40 | 8% | 29% | |
| 41 | 2% | 22% | |
| 42 | 3% | 19% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 16% | |
| 44 | 5% | 15% | |
| 45 | 4% | 11% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 47 | 6% | 7% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 4% | 97% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 33 | 4% | 92% | |
| 34 | 6% | 89% | |
| 35 | 10% | 83% | |
| 36 | 19% | 73% | |
| 37 | 4% | 54% | Median |
| 38 | 11% | 50% | |
| 39 | 9% | 39% | |
| 40 | 22% | 30% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 42 | 3% | 7% | |
| 43 | 2% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 4% | 97% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 33 | 4% | 92% | |
| 34 | 6% | 88% | |
| 35 | 10% | 82% | |
| 36 | 19% | 72% | |
| 37 | 4% | 53% | Median |
| 38 | 11% | 49% | |
| 39 | 9% | 38% | |
| 40 | 22% | 29% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 42 | 3% | 6% | |
| 43 | 2% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 4% | 97% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 33 | 4% | 92% | |
| 34 | 6% | 88% | |
| 35 | 11% | 82% | |
| 36 | 19% | 71% | |
| 37 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 38 | 11% | 48% | |
| 39 | 9% | 37% | |
| 40 | 22% | 28% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 42 | 3% | 5% | |
| 43 | 2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 18 | 2% | 96% | |
| 19 | 10% | 94% | |
| 20 | 11% | 84% | |
| 21 | 12% | 73% | |
| 22 | 20% | 61% | Median |
| 23 | 7% | 41% | |
| 24 | 11% | 34% | |
| 25 | 21% | 24% | |
| 26 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 28 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 18 | 2% | 95% | |
| 19 | 10% | 94% | |
| 20 | 11% | 84% | |
| 21 | 12% | 72% | |
| 22 | 20% | 60% | Median |
| 23 | 7% | 40% | |
| 24 | 11% | 33% | |
| 25 | 21% | 22% | |
| 26 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 6–12 July 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.39%