Opinion Poll by AKO, 6–13 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 18.8% | 17.3–20.5% | 16.9–20.9% | 16.5–21.4% | 15.8–22.2% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 14.5% | 13.2–16.0% | 12.8–16.4% | 12.5–16.8% | 11.8–17.6% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 13.9% | 12.6–15.4% | 12.2–15.8% | 11.9–16.2% | 11.3–16.9% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.6% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.3–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.1% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 37 | 34–39 | 31–39 | 31–40 | 29–42 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 28 | 24–30 | 23–30 | 23–30 | 20–32 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 24 | 21–29 | 21–29 | 21–29 | 21–30 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 20 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 14–22 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 14 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 12 | 11–12 | 11–14 | 9–15 | 0–17 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 12 | 11–12 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 0–16 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–12 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 31 | 5% | 98% | |
| 32 | 1.5% | 94% | |
| 33 | 1.5% | 92% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 35 | 2% | 90% | |
| 36 | 32% | 88% | |
| 37 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 38 | 0.4% | 46% | |
| 39 | 43% | 46% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 22 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 23 | 3% | 98% | |
| 24 | 30% | 94% | |
| 25 | 2% | 65% | |
| 26 | 1.1% | 62% | |
| 27 | 3% | 61% | |
| 28 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 29 | 1.0% | 46% | |
| 30 | 44% | 45% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 26% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 74% | |
| 23 | 1.0% | 73% | |
| 24 | 46% | 72% | Median |
| 25 | 5% | 26% | |
| 26 | 8% | 21% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 14% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 29 | 11% | 12% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 10% | 98.5% | |
| 17 | 3% | 88% | |
| 18 | 32% | 86% | |
| 19 | 4% | 54% | |
| 20 | 48% | 50% | Median |
| 21 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 13 | 44% | 96% | |
| 14 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 15 | 4% | 49% | |
| 16 | 7% | 45% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 38% | |
| 18 | 36% | 37% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 11 | 14% | 96% | |
| 12 | 73% | 83% | Median |
| 13 | 4% | 10% | |
| 14 | 2% | 6% | |
| 15 | 2% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 9 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 10 | 3% | 96% | |
| 11 | 38% | 93% | |
| 12 | 45% | 54% | Median |
| 13 | 5% | 9% | |
| 14 | 2% | 4% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 60% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 40% | |
| 2 | 0% | 40% | |
| 3 | 0% | 40% | |
| 4 | 0% | 40% | |
| 5 | 0% | 40% | |
| 6 | 0% | 40% | |
| 7 | 0% | 40% | |
| 8 | 0% | 40% | |
| 9 | 6% | 40% | |
| 10 | 33% | 34% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.0% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 75 | 15% | 69–77 | 69–77 | 67–78 | 63–82 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 75 | 15% | 69–77 | 69–77 | 67–78 | 63–82 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 75 | 14% | 69–77 | 69–77 | 66–77 | 63–82 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 63 | 0% | 57–66 | 57–66 | 57–66 | 53–68 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 48 | 0% | 47–51 | 44–51 | 42–52 | 39–58 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 48 | 0% | 47–51 | 44–51 | 42–52 | 39–58 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 48 | 0% | 46–51 | 44–51 | 41–52 | 39–58 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 36 | 0% | 33–40 | 33–41 | 33–42 | 24–45 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 36 | 0% | 33–40 | 33–41 | 33–42 | 24–45 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 36 | 0% | 33–40 | 33–40 | 33–41 | 24–43 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 37 | 0% | 35–39 | 31–39 | 31–41 | 29–42 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 24 | 0% | 21–29 | 21–29 | 21–29 | 21–30 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 24 | 0% | 21–29 | 21–29 | 21–29 | 21–33 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 69 | 26% | 96% | |
| 70 | 2% | 70% | |
| 71 | 2% | 69% | |
| 72 | 2% | 67% | Last Result |
| 73 | 6% | 65% | Median |
| 74 | 1.4% | 59% | |
| 75 | 43% | 58% | |
| 76 | 2% | 15% | Majority |
| 77 | 10% | 13% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 69 | 26% | 96% | |
| 70 | 2% | 70% | |
| 71 | 2% | 69% | |
| 72 | 2% | 67% | |
| 73 | 6% | 65% | Median |
| 74 | 1.4% | 59% | |
| 75 | 43% | 58% | |
| 76 | 2% | 15% | Majority |
| 77 | 10% | 13% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 69 | 26% | 95% | |
| 70 | 2% | 70% | |
| 71 | 2% | 68% | |
| 72 | 2% | 66% | |
| 73 | 6% | 64% | Median |
| 74 | 0.7% | 58% | |
| 75 | 43% | 58% | |
| 76 | 2% | 14% | Majority |
| 77 | 10% | 13% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 30% | 98% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 68% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 67% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 66% | |
| 61 | 5% | 65% | Median |
| 62 | 2% | 60% | |
| 63 | 44% | 58% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 65 | 2% | 13% | |
| 66 | 11% | 12% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 44 | 2% | 96% | |
| 45 | 2% | 94% | |
| 46 | 1.5% | 92% | |
| 47 | 2% | 90% | |
| 48 | 38% | 88% | |
| 49 | 2% | 50% | Median |
| 50 | 2% | 48% | |
| 51 | 43% | 46% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 44 | 2% | 96% | |
| 45 | 2% | 94% | |
| 46 | 1.5% | 92% | |
| 47 | 2% | 90% | |
| 48 | 38% | 88% | |
| 49 | 2% | 50% | Median |
| 50 | 2% | 48% | |
| 51 | 43% | 46% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 44 | 2% | 95% | |
| 45 | 2% | 93% | |
| 46 | 1.5% | 91% | |
| 47 | 2% | 89% | |
| 48 | 38% | 87% | |
| 49 | 2% | 49% | Median |
| 50 | 1.4% | 47% | |
| 51 | 43% | 46% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 32 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 33 | 26% | 98.6% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 73% | |
| 35 | 2% | 72% | |
| 36 | 43% | 70% | Median |
| 37 | 7% | 28% | |
| 38 | 2% | 21% | |
| 39 | 2% | 19% | |
| 40 | 11% | 17% | |
| 41 | 3% | 6% | |
| 42 | 2% | 3% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 32 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 33 | 26% | 98.6% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 73% | |
| 35 | 2% | 72% | |
| 36 | 43% | 70% | Median |
| 37 | 7% | 28% | |
| 38 | 2% | 21% | |
| 39 | 2% | 19% | |
| 40 | 11% | 17% | |
| 41 | 3% | 6% | |
| 42 | 2% | 3% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 32 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 33 | 27% | 98.6% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 72% | |
| 35 | 2% | 72% | |
| 36 | 43% | 70% | Median |
| 37 | 7% | 27% | |
| 38 | 2% | 20% | |
| 39 | 2% | 19% | |
| 40 | 11% | 16% | |
| 41 | 3% | 5% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 31 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 33 | 1.5% | 93% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 35 | 2% | 91% | |
| 36 | 32% | 89% | |
| 37 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 38 | 0.4% | 47% | |
| 39 | 43% | 47% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 41 | 2% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 26% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 74% | |
| 23 | 1.0% | 73% | |
| 24 | 46% | 72% | Median |
| 25 | 5% | 26% | |
| 26 | 8% | 21% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 14% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 29 | 11% | 12% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 26% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 74% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 73% | |
| 24 | 45% | 72% | Median |
| 25 | 5% | 27% | |
| 26 | 8% | 22% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 15% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 29 | 11% | 13% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 6–13 September 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.17%