Opinion Poll by Actly for Zoznam/Topky, 17–20 October 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 18.9–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.4% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 17.7% | 16.2–19.3% | 15.8–19.8% | 15.5–20.2% | 14.8–21.0% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 10.5% | 9.4–11.9% | 9.1–12.3% | 8.8–12.6% | 8.3–13.3% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.4–10.7% | 8.0–11.1% | 7.8–11.4% | 7.3–12.1% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 6.8% | 5.8–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.0% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.0% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.5–5.7% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.3% | 1.9–4.8% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 35 | 35–38 | 35–41 | 35–41 | 35–44 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 36 | 32–36 | 29–36 | 29–36 | 29–39 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 21 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 15–22 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 16 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 16–23 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–15 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 9 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–12 | 0–14 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 10 | 10 | 9–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 88% | 99.7% | Median |
| 36 | 0% | 12% | |
| 37 | 2% | 12% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 40 | 2% | 9% | |
| 41 | 6% | 7% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 2% | 93% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 32 | 4% | 90% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 34 | 2% | 86% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 36 | 82% | 84% | Median |
| 37 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 18 | 9% | 98% | |
| 19 | 1.1% | 89% | |
| 20 | 2% | 88% | |
| 21 | 85% | 86% | Median |
| 22 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 82% | 99.7% | Median |
| 17 | 2% | 17% | Last Result |
| 18 | 10% | 16% | |
| 19 | 3% | 6% | |
| 20 | 2% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 10% | 99.0% | |
| 12 | 2% | 89% | |
| 13 | 86% | 87% | Median |
| 14 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 82% | 99.5% | Median |
| 10 | 1.2% | 17% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 16% | |
| 12 | 8% | 15% | |
| 13 | 7% | 7% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 10 | 84% | 99.1% | Median |
| 11 | 12% | 15% | |
| 12 | 2% | 4% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0% | 97% | |
| 8 | 0% | 97% | |
| 9 | 5% | 97% | |
| 10 | 85% | 91% | Median |
| 11 | 6% | 6% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.4% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 87 | 100% | 87–88 | 85–88 | 85–94 | 84–102 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 87 | 100% | 87–88 | 85–88 | 85–94 | 84–102 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 87 | 100% | 87–88 | 85–88 | 85–94 | 84–102 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 71 | 1.4% | 70–71 | 67–71 | 67–74 | 65–82 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 51 | 0% | 51–56 | 51–59 | 51–60 | 51–63 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 51 | 0% | 51–56 | 51–59 | 51–60 | 51–63 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 51 | 0% | 51–56 | 51–59 | 51–60 | 51–63 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 52 | 0% | 50–52 | 47–52 | 47–54 | 46–58 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 52 | 0% | 50–52 | 47–52 | 47–54 | 46–58 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 52 | 0% | 50–52 | 47–52 | 47–54 | 46–58 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 35 | 0% | 35–38 | 35–41 | 35–41 | 35–44 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 36 | 0% | 32–36 | 29–36 | 29–36 | 29–39 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 36 | 0% | 32–36 | 29–36 | 29–36 | 29–39 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 4% | 98% | |
| 86 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 87 | 82% | 93% | Median |
| 88 | 6% | 10% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 94 | 2% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 97 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 4% | 98% | |
| 86 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 87 | 82% | 93% | Median |
| 88 | 6% | 10% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 94 | 2% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 97 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 4% | 98% | |
| 86 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 87 | 82% | 93% | Median |
| 88 | 6% | 10% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 94 | 2% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 97 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 67 | 5% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 70 | 6% | 92% | |
| 71 | 82% | 86% | Median |
| 72 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 74 | 2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 1.4% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 82% | 99.8% | Median |
| 52 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 53 | 4% | 17% | |
| 54 | 2% | 13% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 56 | 2% | 12% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 59 | 6% | 10% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 82% | 99.8% | Median |
| 52 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 53 | 4% | 17% | |
| 54 | 2% | 13% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 56 | 2% | 12% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 59 | 6% | 10% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 82% | 99.8% | Median |
| 52 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 53 | 4% | 17% | |
| 54 | 2% | 13% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 56 | 2% | 12% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 59 | 6% | 10% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 93% | |
| 49 | 3% | 93% | |
| 50 | 4% | 91% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 52 | 83% | 86% | Median |
| 53 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 54 | 2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 93% | |
| 49 | 3% | 93% | |
| 50 | 4% | 90% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 52 | 83% | 86% | Median |
| 53 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 54 | 2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 93% | |
| 49 | 3% | 93% | |
| 50 | 4% | 91% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 52 | 83% | 86% | Median |
| 53 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 54 | 2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 88% | 99.7% | Median |
| 36 | 0% | 12% | |
| 37 | 2% | 12% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 40 | 2% | 9% | |
| 41 | 6% | 7% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 2% | 93% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 32 | 4% | 90% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 34 | 2% | 86% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 36 | 82% | 84% | Median |
| 37 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 2% | 93% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 32 | 4% | 90% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 34 | 2% | 86% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 36 | 82% | 84% | Median |
| 37 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Actly
- Commissioner(s): Zoznam/Topky
- Fieldwork period: 17–20 October 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1006
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.13%