Opinion Poll by FOCUS for TV Markíza, 20–27 October 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 19.5% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.6–21.7% | 17.2–22.1% | 16.5–22.9% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 15.5% | 14.1–17.0% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.8% | 12.7–18.6% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 12.2% | 11.0–13.6% | 10.6–14.0% | 10.3–14.4% | 9.7–15.1% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 8.4% | 7.4–9.6% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.9–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.5–7.4% | 5.2–7.8% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.6% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.4% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 5.5% | 4.6–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.6% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.7% | 3.6–7.2% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.8–5.1% | 2.5–5.6% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 36 | 35–40 | 33–42 | 33–42 | 31–42 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 29 | 27–29 | 26–31 | 26–32 | 24–34 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 24 | 20–24 | 19–26 | 19–26 | 19–28 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 16 | 15–16 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 12–20 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 12 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 10–17 | 0–18 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 11 | 10–11 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 0–15 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 10 | 10–12 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 0–15 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 0 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 12 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 6% | 98.8% | |
| 34 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 35 | 6% | 92% | |
| 36 | 70% | 86% | Median |
| 37 | 2% | 16% | |
| 38 | 2% | 14% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 12% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 11% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 42 | 9% | 9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 26 | 7% | 98% | |
| 27 | 3% | 91% | |
| 28 | 14% | 87% | |
| 29 | 66% | 73% | Median |
| 30 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 31 | 2% | 5% | |
| 32 | 2% | 4% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 9% | 99.7% | |
| 20 | 2% | 91% | |
| 21 | 3% | 89% | |
| 22 | 4% | 87% | |
| 23 | 7% | 83% | |
| 24 | 68% | 75% | Median |
| 25 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 26 | 6% | 7% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 3% | 96% | |
| 15 | 21% | 92% | |
| 16 | 65% | 71% | Median |
| 17 | 3% | 6% | |
| 18 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 19 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 10 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 11 | 2% | 97% | |
| 12 | 66% | 95% | Median |
| 13 | 1.2% | 29% | |
| 14 | 9% | 27% | |
| 15 | 15% | 19% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 10 | 20% | 97% | |
| 11 | 68% | 77% | Median |
| 12 | 2% | 9% | |
| 13 | 6% | 7% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 9 | 4% | 98% | |
| 10 | 77% | 94% | Median |
| 11 | 6% | 17% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 14 | 8% | 9% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 73% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 27% | |
| 2 | 0% | 27% | |
| 3 | 0% | 27% | |
| 4 | 0% | 27% | |
| 5 | 0% | 27% | |
| 6 | 0% | 27% | |
| 7 | 0% | 27% | |
| 8 | 0% | 27% | |
| 9 | 6% | 27% | |
| 10 | 5% | 21% | |
| 11 | 12% | 17% | |
| 12 | 4% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 80% | |
| 2 | 0% | 80% | |
| 3 | 0% | 80% | |
| 4 | 0% | 80% | |
| 5 | 0% | 80% | |
| 6 | 0% | 80% | |
| 7 | 0% | 80% | |
| 8 | 0% | 80% | |
| 9 | 4% | 80% | |
| 10 | 5% | 75% | |
| 11 | 4% | 70% | |
| 12 | 65% | 66% | Median |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.6% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 76 | 80% | 74–80 | 69–80 | 69–83 | 64–87 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 76 | 79% | 74–80 | 69–80 | 69–83 | 64–87 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 76 | 79% | 74–80 | 69–80 | 69–83 | 64–87 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 65 | 0% | 61–70 | 60–70 | 59–70 | 57–75 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 34 | 47 | 0% | 46–52 | 43–52 | 43–52 | 35–55 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 47 | 0% | 45–52 | 43–52 | 43–52 | 35–53 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 47 | 0% | 45–52 | 43–52 | 43–52 | 35–53 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 40 | 0% | 38–40 | 36–43 | 35–45 | 29–46 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 40 | 0% | 38–40 | 36–42 | 35–45 | 29–46 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 40 | 0% | 38–40 | 36–42 | 35–45 | 29–46 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 36 | 0% | 35–40 | 33–42 | 33–42 | 31–42 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 29 | 0% | 27–29 | 26–31 | 26–32 | 24–34 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 29 | 0% | 27–29 | 26–31 | 26–32 | 24–34 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 69 | 4% | 98% | |
| 70 | 2% | 94% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 92% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 74 | 9% | 91% | |
| 75 | 2% | 82% | |
| 76 | 65% | 80% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 15% | |
| 79 | 1.5% | 15% | |
| 80 | 9% | 13% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 83 | 2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 69 | 4% | 98% | |
| 70 | 2% | 94% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 74 | 9% | 90% | |
| 75 | 2% | 81% | |
| 76 | 65% | 79% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 15% | |
| 79 | 1.5% | 14% | |
| 80 | 9% | 13% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 83 | 2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 69 | 4% | 98% | |
| 70 | 2% | 94% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 74 | 9% | 90% | |
| 75 | 2% | 81% | |
| 76 | 65% | 79% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 15% | |
| 79 | 1.5% | 15% | |
| 80 | 9% | 13% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 83 | 2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 60 | 3% | 96% | |
| 61 | 4% | 93% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 88% | |
| 64 | 7% | 87% | |
| 65 | 64% | 80% | Median |
| 66 | 0.4% | 16% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 15% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 15% | |
| 69 | 2% | 14% | |
| 70 | 10% | 12% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 43 | 6% | 98% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 46 | 5% | 90% | |
| 47 | 67% | 85% | Median |
| 48 | 4% | 19% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 50 | 2% | 14% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 52 | 9% | 11% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 43 | 6% | 98% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 46 | 5% | 90% | |
| 47 | 67% | 85% | Median |
| 48 | 4% | 18% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 50 | 2% | 14% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 52 | 9% | 10% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 43 | 6% | 98% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 46 | 5% | 90% | |
| 47 | 67% | 85% | Median |
| 48 | 4% | 18% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 50 | 2% | 14% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 52 | 9% | 10% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 98% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 36 | 3% | 97% | |
| 37 | 3% | 93% | |
| 38 | 13% | 90% | |
| 39 | 6% | 77% | |
| 40 | 65% | 71% | Median |
| 41 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 98% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 36 | 3% | 97% | |
| 37 | 3% | 93% | |
| 38 | 13% | 90% | |
| 39 | 6% | 77% | |
| 40 | 65% | 71% | Median |
| 41 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 98% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 36 | 3% | 97% | |
| 37 | 3% | 93% | |
| 38 | 13% | 90% | |
| 39 | 6% | 77% | |
| 40 | 65% | 71% | Median |
| 41 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 6% | 98.8% | |
| 34 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 35 | 6% | 92% | |
| 36 | 70% | 86% | Median |
| 37 | 2% | 16% | |
| 38 | 2% | 14% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 12% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 11% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 42 | 9% | 9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 26 | 7% | 98% | |
| 27 | 3% | 91% | |
| 28 | 14% | 87% | |
| 29 | 66% | 73% | Median |
| 30 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 31 | 2% | 5% | |
| 32 | 2% | 4% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 7% | 98% | |
| 27 | 3% | 91% | |
| 28 | 14% | 87% | |
| 29 | 66% | 73% | Median |
| 30 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 31 | 2% | 6% | |
| 32 | 2% | 4% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: FOCUS
- Commissioner(s): TV Markíza
- Fieldwork period: 20–27 October 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1009
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.48%