Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 8–16 November 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 18.5% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.6–20.6% | 16.2–21.0% | 15.5–21.8% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 13.6% | 12.3–15.1% | 11.9–15.5% | 11.6–15.9% | 11.0–16.6% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.5–16.0% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 9.7% | 8.6–11.0% | 8.3–11.4% | 8.0–11.7% | 7.5–12.3% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.3–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 36 | 31–39 | 30–44 | 29–44 | 28–44 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 24 | 22–28 | 21–30 | 21–32 | 20–32 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 24 | 21–26 | 20–27 | 20–28 | 19–33 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 17 | 16–23 | 16–23 | 15–23 | 14–25 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 15 | 14–19 | 13–19 | 13–20 | 12–22 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 13 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 0–18 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 11 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 | 0–15 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 10 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 28 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 2% | 98% | |
| 30 | 3% | 97% | |
| 31 | 5% | 94% | |
| 32 | 11% | 89% | |
| 33 | 4% | 77% | |
| 34 | 8% | 73% | |
| 35 | 10% | 65% | |
| 36 | 24% | 55% | Median |
| 37 | 8% | 32% | |
| 38 | 13% | 23% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 40 | 2% | 10% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 44 | 6% | 6% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 6% | 99.2% | |
| 22 | 5% | 93% | |
| 23 | 25% | 88% | |
| 24 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 25 | 7% | 46% | |
| 26 | 15% | 39% | |
| 27 | 9% | 24% | |
| 28 | 4% | 14% | |
| 29 | 4% | 10% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 31 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 32 | 3% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 6% | 99.3% | |
| 21 | 7% | 93% | |
| 22 | 8% | 87% | |
| 23 | 17% | 79% | |
| 24 | 27% | 62% | Median |
| 25 | 14% | 35% | |
| 26 | 13% | 21% | |
| 27 | 4% | 8% | |
| 28 | 2% | 4% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 15 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 16 | 26% | 97% | |
| 17 | 22% | 70% | Median |
| 18 | 9% | 49% | |
| 19 | 11% | 40% | |
| 20 | 7% | 29% | |
| 21 | 9% | 22% | |
| 22 | 2% | 13% | |
| 23 | 10% | 11% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 14 | 17% | 93% | |
| 15 | 34% | 76% | Median |
| 16 | 6% | 42% | |
| 17 | 18% | 36% | |
| 18 | 7% | 19% | |
| 19 | 8% | 11% | |
| 20 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 10 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 11 | 9% | 94% | |
| 12 | 13% | 84% | |
| 13 | 40% | 72% | Median |
| 14 | 10% | 31% | |
| 15 | 13% | 21% | |
| 16 | 6% | 8% | |
| 17 | 1.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 86% | |
| 2 | 0% | 86% | |
| 3 | 0% | 86% | |
| 4 | 0% | 86% | |
| 5 | 0% | 86% | |
| 6 | 0% | 86% | |
| 7 | 0% | 86% | |
| 8 | 0% | 86% | |
| 9 | 6% | 86% | |
| 10 | 17% | 81% | |
| 11 | 34% | 64% | Median |
| 12 | 6% | 30% | |
| 13 | 20% | 24% | |
| 14 | 2% | 4% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 35% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 65% | |
| 2 | 0% | 65% | |
| 3 | 0% | 65% | |
| 4 | 0% | 65% | |
| 5 | 0% | 65% | |
| 6 | 0% | 65% | |
| 7 | 0% | 65% | |
| 8 | 0% | 65% | |
| 9 | 4% | 65% | |
| 10 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 11 | 11% | 47% | |
| 12 | 26% | 36% | |
| 13 | 8% | 10% | |
| 14 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 91% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 9% | |
| 9 | 5% | 9% | |
| 10 | 3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 2% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 73 | 24% | 66–79 | 65–82 | 64–82 | 60–84 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 73 | 23% | 66–79 | 65–82 | 64–82 | 60–84 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 73 | 23% | 65–79 | 65–82 | 63–82 | 60–84 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 60 | 0% | 53–64 | 53–69 | 51–69 | 49–72 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 49 | 0% | 44–54 | 43–57 | 41–57 | 39–59 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 49 | 0% | 44–53 | 43–57 | 41–57 | 39–57 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 49 | 0% | 44–53 | 43–57 | 40–57 | 39–57 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 36 | 0% | 31–40 | 30–44 | 29–44 | 28–44 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 37 | 0% | 33–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 29–47 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 37 | 0% | 33–41 | 33–41 | 32–43 | 29–45 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 37 | 0% | 33–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 29–46 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 24 | 0% | 21–27 | 20–28 | 20–29 | 19–33 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 24 | 0% | 21–26 | 20–27 | 20–28 | 19–33 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 6% | 97% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 67 | 1.5% | 89% | |
| 68 | 5% | 88% | |
| 69 | 2% | 83% | |
| 70 | 11% | 81% | |
| 71 | 4% | 70% | |
| 72 | 9% | 66% | Last Result |
| 73 | 27% | 57% | Median |
| 74 | 4% | 30% | |
| 75 | 2% | 26% | |
| 76 | 2% | 24% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.2% | 22% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 21% | |
| 79 | 10% | 19% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 82 | 7% | 8% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 6% | 96% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 90% | |
| 67 | 2% | 89% | |
| 68 | 5% | 87% | |
| 69 | 2% | 82% | |
| 70 | 11% | 80% | |
| 71 | 5% | 70% | |
| 72 | 9% | 65% | |
| 73 | 27% | 56% | Median |
| 74 | 4% | 29% | |
| 75 | 2% | 25% | |
| 76 | 2% | 23% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.1% | 21% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 20% | |
| 79 | 10% | 19% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 82 | 6% | 8% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 7% | 96% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 88% | |
| 67 | 2% | 87% | |
| 68 | 5% | 85% | |
| 69 | 2% | 80% | |
| 70 | 11% | 78% | |
| 71 | 5% | 68% | |
| 72 | 9% | 63% | |
| 73 | 27% | 54% | Median |
| 74 | 3% | 28% | |
| 75 | 2% | 25% | |
| 76 | 2% | 23% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.0% | 21% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 20% | |
| 79 | 10% | 19% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 82 | 6% | 7% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 52 | 2% | 97% | |
| 53 | 7% | 95% | |
| 54 | 3% | 88% | |
| 55 | 2% | 85% | |
| 56 | 6% | 83% | |
| 57 | 8% | 77% | |
| 58 | 4% | 69% | |
| 59 | 2% | 64% | |
| 60 | 30% | 62% | Median |
| 61 | 4% | 32% | |
| 62 | 5% | 28% | |
| 63 | 3% | 23% | |
| 64 | 10% | 20% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 69 | 7% | 8% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 43 | 2% | 96% | |
| 44 | 7% | 95% | |
| 45 | 6% | 88% | |
| 46 | 8% | 82% | |
| 47 | 12% | 74% | |
| 48 | 3% | 62% | |
| 49 | 27% | 59% | Median |
| 50 | 5% | 32% | |
| 51 | 4% | 27% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 23% | |
| 53 | 12% | 22% | |
| 54 | 2% | 10% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 57 | 7% | 7% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 43 | 2% | 96% | |
| 44 | 7% | 94% | |
| 45 | 6% | 87% | |
| 46 | 8% | 81% | |
| 47 | 12% | 73% | |
| 48 | 3% | 62% | |
| 49 | 27% | 58% | Median |
| 50 | 5% | 31% | |
| 51 | 3% | 26% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 22% | |
| 53 | 12% | 22% | |
| 54 | 2% | 9% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 57 | 6% | 7% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 43 | 2% | 95% | |
| 44 | 7% | 94% | |
| 45 | 7% | 86% | |
| 46 | 8% | 79% | |
| 47 | 12% | 71% | |
| 48 | 3% | 60% | |
| 49 | 27% | 56% | Median |
| 50 | 5% | 30% | |
| 51 | 3% | 24% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 53 | 12% | 20% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 57 | 6% | 7% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 28 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 2% | 98% | |
| 30 | 3% | 97% | |
| 31 | 4% | 94% | |
| 32 | 10% | 90% | |
| 33 | 4% | 79% | |
| 34 | 8% | 75% | |
| 35 | 10% | 67% | |
| 36 | 23% | 57% | Median |
| 37 | 8% | 34% | |
| 38 | 13% | 25% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 40 | 3% | 12% | |
| 41 | 2% | 9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 44 | 6% | 7% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 33 | 11% | 97% | |
| 34 | 4% | 86% | |
| 35 | 5% | 83% | |
| 36 | 8% | 78% | |
| 37 | 28% | 70% | Median |
| 38 | 17% | 43% | |
| 39 | 6% | 26% | |
| 40 | 2% | 20% | |
| 41 | 12% | 18% | |
| 42 | 2% | 6% | |
| 43 | 2% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 32 | 2% | 98% | |
| 33 | 12% | 96% | |
| 34 | 4% | 84% | |
| 35 | 5% | 80% | |
| 36 | 8% | 75% | |
| 37 | 28% | 67% | Median |
| 38 | 17% | 40% | |
| 39 | 6% | 23% | |
| 40 | 2% | 17% | |
| 41 | 11% | 15% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 43 | 2% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 33 | 11% | 97% | |
| 34 | 4% | 86% | |
| 35 | 5% | 82% | |
| 36 | 8% | 77% | |
| 37 | 28% | 69% | Median |
| 38 | 17% | 42% | |
| 39 | 6% | 25% | |
| 40 | 2% | 19% | |
| 41 | 11% | 17% | |
| 42 | 2% | 5% | |
| 43 | 2% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 21 | 7% | 95% | |
| 22 | 8% | 88% | |
| 23 | 16% | 80% | |
| 24 | 27% | 64% | Median |
| 25 | 14% | 37% | |
| 26 | 13% | 23% | |
| 27 | 4% | 10% | |
| 28 | 2% | 6% | |
| 29 | 2% | 4% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 6% | 99.3% | |
| 21 | 7% | 93% | |
| 22 | 8% | 87% | |
| 23 | 17% | 79% | |
| 24 | 27% | 62% | Median |
| 25 | 14% | 35% | |
| 26 | 13% | 21% | |
| 27 | 4% | 8% | |
| 28 | 2% | 4% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): TV JOJ
- Fieldwork period: 8–16 November 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.24%