Opinion Poll by FOCUS for TV Markíza, 16–23 November 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 19.2% | 17.7–20.9% | 17.3–21.4% | 16.9–21.8% | 16.2–22.6% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 15.0% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 11.5% | 10.3–12.9% | 10.0–13.3% | 9.7–13.7% | 9.2–14.4% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.7–10.1% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 6.8% | 5.8–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.1% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.7% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.1% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.7% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.0% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.3–5.8% | 3.0–6.3% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.7–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 35 | 32–38 | 32–39 | 31–39 | 28–41 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 29 | 25–32 | 24–32 | 24–32 | 23–33 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 23 | 19–25 | 18–25 | 17–25 | 17–27 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 14 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–19 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 13 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 10–18 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 0–17 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 11 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 0–14 | 0–17 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 11 | 9–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 | 0–15 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 28 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 32 | 20% | 97% | |
| 33 | 7% | 77% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 69% | |
| 35 | 41% | 68% | Median |
| 36 | 2% | 27% | |
| 37 | 2% | 25% | |
| 38 | 16% | 23% | |
| 39 | 6% | 8% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 6% | 98% | |
| 25 | 18% | 92% | |
| 26 | 12% | 74% | |
| 27 | 2% | 63% | |
| 28 | 7% | 61% | |
| 29 | 31% | 54% | Median |
| 30 | 3% | 23% | |
| 31 | 3% | 20% | |
| 32 | 16% | 17% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 3% | 95% | |
| 19 | 17% | 92% | |
| 20 | 4% | 75% | |
| 21 | 2% | 71% | |
| 22 | 18% | 69% | |
| 23 | 17% | 51% | Median |
| 24 | 2% | 34% | |
| 25 | 30% | 32% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 13 | 4% | 93% | |
| 14 | 69% | 89% | Median |
| 15 | 7% | 20% | |
| 16 | 8% | 13% | |
| 17 | 4% | 5% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 11 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 12 | 34% | 95% | |
| 13 | 24% | 61% | Median |
| 14 | 24% | 37% | |
| 15 | 3% | 13% | |
| 16 | 4% | 10% | |
| 17 | 4% | 7% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 10 | 10% | 98% | |
| 11 | 10% | 88% | |
| 12 | 21% | 78% | |
| 13 | 49% | 57% | Median |
| 14 | 5% | 8% | |
| 15 | 2% | 4% | |
| 16 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 95% | |
| 2 | 0% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 0% | 95% | |
| 8 | 0% | 95% | |
| 9 | 4% | 95% | |
| 10 | 8% | 91% | |
| 11 | 43% | 84% | Median |
| 12 | 6% | 40% | |
| 13 | 31% | 34% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 93% | |
| 2 | 0% | 93% | |
| 3 | 0% | 93% | |
| 4 | 0% | 93% | |
| 5 | 0% | 93% | |
| 6 | 0% | 93% | |
| 7 | 0% | 93% | |
| 8 | 0% | 93% | |
| 9 | 3% | 93% | |
| 10 | 16% | 90% | |
| 11 | 31% | 74% | Median |
| 12 | 31% | 44% | |
| 13 | 9% | 12% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 79% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 21% | |
| 2 | 0% | 21% | |
| 3 | 0% | 21% | |
| 4 | 0% | 21% | |
| 5 | 0% | 21% | |
| 6 | 0% | 21% | |
| 7 | 0% | 21% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 9 | 14% | 21% | |
| 10 | 4% | 7% | |
| 11 | 3% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 89% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 11% | |
| 2 | 0% | 11% | |
| 3 | 0% | 11% | |
| 4 | 0% | 11% | |
| 5 | 0% | 11% | |
| 6 | 0% | 11% | |
| 7 | 0% | 11% | |
| 8 | 0% | 11% | |
| 9 | 7% | 11% | |
| 10 | 2% | 4% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 2% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 10 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 76 | 56% | 73–81 | 70–83 | 67–83 | 67–86 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 75 | 40% | 69–77 | 67–78 | 61–82 | 61–85 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 75 | 38% | 67–77 | 67–77 | 61–81 | 61–85 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 64 | 1.2% | 59–66 | 56–70 | 56–71 | 52–77 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 34 | 46 | 0% | 45–55 | 43–55 | 43–56 | 40–60 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 46 | 0% | 42–51 | 40–51 | 36–52 | 33–54 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 46 | 0% | 43–51 | 40–51 | 36–52 | 33–54 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 40 | 0% | 38–46 | 35–49 | 35–50 | 32–52 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 40 | 0% | 35–45 | 33–45 | 28–45 | 25–46 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 40 | 0% | 36–45 | 34–45 | 28–45 | 25–47 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 35 | 0% | 32–38 | 32–39 | 31–41 | 28–49 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 29 | 0% | 25–32 | 24–32 | 24–34 | 23–38 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 29 | 0% | 25–32 | 24–32 | 24–32 | 23–33 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 71 | 3% | 94% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 91% | Last Result |
| 73 | 2% | 90% | |
| 74 | 2% | 88% | |
| 75 | 30% | 86% | Median |
| 76 | 17% | 56% | Majority |
| 77 | 18% | 39% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 21% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 20% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 19% | |
| 81 | 10% | 18% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 83 | 5% | 7% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 0% | 96% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 67 | 4% | 96% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 70 | 2% | 90% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 88% | |
| 72 | 10% | 87% | |
| 73 | 2% | 77% | |
| 74 | 6% | 75% | |
| 75 | 29% | 69% | Median |
| 76 | 17% | 40% | Majority |
| 77 | 18% | 23% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 67 | 5% | 95% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 70 | 2% | 88% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 86% | |
| 72 | 10% | 85% | |
| 73 | 2% | 75% | |
| 74 | 6% | 73% | |
| 75 | 29% | 67% | Median |
| 76 | 17% | 38% | Majority |
| 77 | 17% | 21% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 56 | 5% | 98% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 59 | 2% | 92% | |
| 60 | 3% | 90% | |
| 61 | 11% | 87% | |
| 62 | 2% | 76% | |
| 63 | 18% | 74% | |
| 64 | 42% | 56% | Median |
| 65 | 3% | 14% | |
| 66 | 2% | 11% | |
| 67 | 3% | 9% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 70 | 3% | 5% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 1.2% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 43 | 7% | 98% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 45 | 15% | 90% | |
| 46 | 29% | 75% | Median |
| 47 | 1.0% | 47% | |
| 48 | 3% | 46% | |
| 49 | 5% | 42% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 37% | |
| 51 | 19% | 36% | |
| 52 | 2% | 17% | |
| 53 | 2% | 15% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 55 | 9% | 13% | |
| 56 | 2% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 40 | 2% | 95% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 42 | 3% | 93% | |
| 43 | 6% | 89% | |
| 44 | 3% | 84% | |
| 45 | 15% | 81% | |
| 46 | 37% | 66% | Median |
| 47 | 3% | 29% | |
| 48 | 3% | 26% | |
| 49 | 4% | 23% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 19% | |
| 51 | 15% | 18% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 40 | 2% | 97% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 42 | 3% | 95% | |
| 43 | 6% | 91% | |
| 44 | 3% | 86% | |
| 45 | 15% | 83% | |
| 46 | 37% | 68% | Median |
| 47 | 3% | 31% | |
| 48 | 3% | 28% | |
| 49 | 5% | 25% | |
| 50 | 1.5% | 20% | |
| 51 | 15% | 18% | |
| 52 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 37 | 2% | 93% | |
| 38 | 21% | 92% | |
| 39 | 2% | 71% | |
| 40 | 30% | 69% | Median |
| 41 | 3% | 39% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 37% | |
| 43 | 1.4% | 36% | |
| 44 | 2% | 34% | |
| 45 | 14% | 32% | |
| 46 | 10% | 18% | |
| 47 | 3% | 8% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 50 | 3% | 5% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 28 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 35 | 4% | 94% | |
| 36 | 2% | 89% | |
| 37 | 12% | 87% | |
| 38 | 19% | 75% | |
| 39 | 2% | 56% | |
| 40 | 30% | 54% | Median |
| 41 | 5% | 24% | |
| 42 | 2% | 19% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 17% | |
| 44 | 2% | 16% | |
| 45 | 13% | 14% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 35 | 4% | 95% | |
| 36 | 2% | 90% | |
| 37 | 12% | 88% | |
| 38 | 19% | 76% | |
| 39 | 2% | 57% | |
| 40 | 30% | 55% | Median |
| 41 | 5% | 25% | |
| 42 | 2% | 20% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 18% | |
| 44 | 2% | 17% | |
| 45 | 13% | 15% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 28 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 32 | 20% | 97% | |
| 33 | 7% | 78% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 70% | |
| 35 | 41% | 69% | Median |
| 36 | 2% | 28% | |
| 37 | 2% | 26% | |
| 38 | 16% | 25% | |
| 39 | 5% | 9% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 41 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 47 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 24 | 6% | 98% | |
| 25 | 18% | 92% | |
| 26 | 11% | 74% | |
| 27 | 2% | 63% | |
| 28 | 6% | 61% | |
| 29 | 30% | 55% | Median |
| 30 | 3% | 26% | |
| 31 | 3% | 23% | |
| 32 | 16% | 19% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 38 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 6% | 98% | |
| 25 | 18% | 92% | |
| 26 | 12% | 74% | |
| 27 | 2% | 63% | |
| 28 | 7% | 61% | |
| 29 | 31% | 54% | Median |
| 30 | 3% | 23% | |
| 31 | 3% | 20% | |
| 32 | 16% | 17% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: FOCUS
- Commissioner(s): TV Markíza
- Fieldwork period: 16–23 November 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1005
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.96%