Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 10–17 January 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.0–21.3% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 14.2% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.1% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.6–17.3% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.8% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5–9.7% | 7.2–10.1% | 6.9–10.4% | 6.4–11.0% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.8% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 33 | 30–37 | 30–37 | 28–39 | 26–39 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 23 | 23–29 | 22–29 | 22–29 | 21–33 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 24 | 23–27 | 22–30 | 21–30 | 20–31 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 17 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 13–21 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 15 | 14–18 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 11–20 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 12 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 0–16 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 13 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 0–14 | 0–15 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 11 | 0–13 | 0–14 | 0–14 | 0–16 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 28 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 29 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 30 | 18% | 95% | |
| 31 | 2% | 77% | |
| 32 | 8% | 76% | |
| 33 | 25% | 68% | Median |
| 34 | 2% | 43% | |
| 35 | 5% | 41% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 36% | |
| 37 | 32% | 36% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 39 | 3% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 23 | 54% | 95% | Median |
| 24 | 2% | 41% | |
| 25 | 7% | 38% | |
| 26 | 4% | 31% | |
| 27 | 4% | 27% | |
| 28 | 5% | 22% | |
| 29 | 15% | 17% | |
| 30 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 22 | 7% | 97% | |
| 23 | 31% | 90% | |
| 24 | 24% | 60% | Median |
| 25 | 2% | 35% | |
| 26 | 6% | 33% | |
| 27 | 18% | 27% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 29 | 2% | 8% | |
| 30 | 5% | 6% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 15 | 9% | 94% | |
| 16 | 7% | 86% | |
| 17 | 33% | 78% | Median |
| 18 | 17% | 46% | |
| 19 | 25% | 29% | |
| 20 | 3% | 4% | |
| 21 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 13 | 5% | 96% | |
| 14 | 28% | 91% | |
| 15 | 36% | 63% | Median |
| 16 | 3% | 27% | |
| 17 | 8% | 24% | |
| 18 | 14% | 16% | |
| 19 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 5% | 98% | |
| 10 | 3% | 93% | |
| 11 | 36% | 90% | |
| 12 | 30% | 54% | Median |
| 13 | 6% | 24% | |
| 14 | 14% | 18% | |
| 15 | 3% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0% | 97% | |
| 8 | 0% | 97% | |
| 9 | 7% | 97% | |
| 10 | 5% | 90% | |
| 11 | 4% | 85% | |
| 12 | 11% | 81% | |
| 13 | 54% | 70% | Median |
| 14 | 15% | 16% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 84% | |
| 2 | 0% | 84% | |
| 3 | 0% | 84% | |
| 4 | 0% | 84% | |
| 5 | 0% | 84% | |
| 6 | 0% | 84% | |
| 7 | 0% | 84% | |
| 8 | 0% | 84% | |
| 9 | 3% | 84% | |
| 10 | 10% | 81% | |
| 11 | 37% | 71% | Median |
| 12 | 23% | 34% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 14 | 8% | 9% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 8% | |
| 9 | 3% | 8% | |
| 10 | 4% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.2% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 71 | 2% | 68–73 | 66–74 | 62–75 | 57–77 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 71 | 2% | 67–72 | 65–74 | 62–75 | 57–77 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 71 | 2% | 68–73 | 66–74 | 62–75 | 57–77 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 58 | 0.1% | 56–62 | 54–63 | 53–64 | 50–66 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 45 | 0% | 42–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 32–54 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 45 | 0% | 42–48 | 40–48 | 39–50 | 31–53 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 45 | 0% | 42–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 32–54 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 36 | 0% | 34–41 | 33–41 | 31–42 | 27–46 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 36 | 0% | 34–41 | 33–41 | 31–42 | 27–45 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 36 | 0% | 34–41 | 33–41 | 31–42 | 27–46 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 33 | 0% | 30–37 | 30–37 | 28–39 | 26–41 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 24 | 0% | 23–27 | 22–30 | 21–30 | 20–31 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 24 | 0% | 23–27 | 22–30 | 21–30 | 20–32 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 66 | 4% | 95% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 68 | 4% | 90% | |
| 69 | 22% | 87% | Median |
| 70 | 3% | 65% | |
| 71 | 49% | 62% | |
| 72 | 2% | 12% | Last Result |
| 73 | 3% | 10% | |
| 74 | 3% | 7% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 76 | 2% | 2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 66 | 4% | 95% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 68 | 4% | 90% | |
| 69 | 22% | 86% | Median |
| 70 | 3% | 65% | |
| 71 | 49% | 61% | |
| 72 | 2% | 12% | |
| 73 | 3% | 10% | |
| 74 | 3% | 7% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 66 | 4% | 95% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 68 | 4% | 90% | |
| 69 | 22% | 87% | Median |
| 70 | 3% | 65% | |
| 71 | 49% | 62% | |
| 72 | 2% | 12% | |
| 73 | 3% | 10% | |
| 74 | 3% | 7% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 76 | 2% | 2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 55 | 5% | 95% | |
| 56 | 3% | 90% | |
| 57 | 35% | 88% | Median |
| 58 | 4% | 52% | |
| 59 | 3% | 49% | |
| 60 | 32% | 46% | |
| 61 | 2% | 13% | |
| 62 | 6% | 11% | |
| 63 | 2% | 5% | |
| 64 | 2% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 98% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 41 | 4% | 95% | |
| 42 | 3% | 91% | |
| 43 | 1.5% | 88% | |
| 44 | 19% | 86% | |
| 45 | 25% | 68% | Median |
| 46 | 3% | 43% | |
| 47 | 2% | 40% | |
| 48 | 32% | 38% | |
| 49 | 2% | 5% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 41 | 4% | 94% | |
| 42 | 3% | 90% | |
| 43 | 2% | 87% | |
| 44 | 19% | 86% | |
| 45 | 25% | 67% | Median |
| 46 | 3% | 42% | |
| 47 | 2% | 39% | |
| 48 | 32% | 37% | |
| 49 | 2% | 5% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 98% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 41 | 4% | 95% | |
| 42 | 3% | 91% | |
| 43 | 1.5% | 88% | |
| 44 | 19% | 86% | |
| 45 | 25% | 68% | Median |
| 46 | 3% | 43% | |
| 47 | 2% | 40% | |
| 48 | 32% | 38% | |
| 49 | 2% | 5% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0% | 98% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 31 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 33 | 3% | 96% | |
| 34 | 32% | 93% | |
| 35 | 4% | 60% | |
| 36 | 22% | 56% | Median |
| 37 | 2% | 34% | |
| 38 | 4% | 32% | |
| 39 | 6% | 28% | |
| 40 | 2% | 21% | |
| 41 | 16% | 20% | |
| 42 | 2% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 31 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 33 | 3% | 96% | |
| 34 | 32% | 92% | |
| 35 | 4% | 60% | |
| 36 | 22% | 56% | Median |
| 37 | 2% | 33% | |
| 38 | 4% | 31% | |
| 39 | 6% | 27% | |
| 40 | 2% | 21% | |
| 41 | 15% | 19% | |
| 42 | 2% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0% | 98% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 31 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 33 | 3% | 96% | |
| 34 | 32% | 93% | |
| 35 | 4% | 60% | |
| 36 | 22% | 56% | Median |
| 37 | 2% | 34% | |
| 38 | 4% | 32% | |
| 39 | 6% | 28% | |
| 40 | 2% | 21% | |
| 41 | 16% | 20% | |
| 42 | 2% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 28 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 29 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 30 | 18% | 95% | |
| 31 | 2% | 78% | |
| 32 | 7% | 76% | |
| 33 | 25% | 69% | Median |
| 34 | 2% | 43% | |
| 35 | 5% | 42% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 37% | |
| 37 | 32% | 36% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 39 | 3% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 22 | 7% | 97% | |
| 23 | 31% | 90% | |
| 24 | 24% | 60% | Median |
| 25 | 2% | 35% | |
| 26 | 6% | 33% | |
| 27 | 18% | 27% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 29 | 2% | 8% | |
| 30 | 5% | 6% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 22 | 7% | 97% | |
| 23 | 31% | 91% | |
| 24 | 24% | 60% | Median |
| 25 | 2% | 36% | |
| 26 | 6% | 34% | |
| 27 | 18% | 28% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 29 | 2% | 9% | |
| 30 | 5% | 7% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): TV JOJ
- Fieldwork period: 10–17 January 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 5.17%