Opinion Poll by Median, 27 January–1 February 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 15.6% | 14.2–17.2% | 13.8–17.6% | 13.5–18.0% | 12.8–18.7% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 13.5% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.9–15.4% | 11.5–15.8% | 10.9–16.5% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 13.5% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.9–15.4% | 11.5–15.8% | 10.9–16.5% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 10.6% | 9.5–12.0% | 9.1–12.4% | 8.9–12.7% | 8.4–13.4% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.9–11.5% | 7.4–12.2% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.8–6.7% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.0–7.8% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 5.6% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.2% | 3.9–7.7% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.1–5.1% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.3% | 1.9–4.8% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.0% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 30 | 27–33 | 27–38 | 27–40 | 26–40 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 25 | 24–30 | 23–33 | 23–33 | 21–33 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 29 | 25–32 | 25–34 | 24–34 | 23–34 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 21 | 20–24 | 18–25 | 18–27 | 17–27 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 18 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 15–23 | 15–25 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 12 | 0–14 | 0–14 | 0–14 | 0–15 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 13 | 0–14 | 0–14 | 0–14 | 0–14 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 0 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 9% | 98% | |
| 28 | 11% | 89% | |
| 29 | 14% | 78% | |
| 30 | 42% | 64% | Median |
| 31 | 4% | 22% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 33 | 8% | 17% | |
| 34 | 2% | 9% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 36 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 40 | 4% | 5% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 23 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 24 | 10% | 93% | |
| 25 | 40% | 83% | Median |
| 26 | 4% | 43% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 39% | |
| 28 | 18% | 38% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 20% | |
| 30 | 11% | 19% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 32 | 2% | 7% | |
| 33 | 5% | 5% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 25 | 11% | 97% | |
| 26 | 11% | 86% | |
| 27 | 4% | 75% | |
| 28 | 10% | 71% | |
| 29 | 40% | 61% | Median |
| 30 | 8% | 21% | |
| 31 | 2% | 13% | |
| 32 | 3% | 11% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 34 | 8% | 8% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 20 | 23% | 94% | |
| 21 | 44% | 71% | Median |
| 22 | 9% | 27% | |
| 23 | 8% | 18% | |
| 24 | 4% | 10% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 27 | 5% | 5% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 17 | 43% | 97% | |
| 18 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 19 | 4% | 42% | |
| 20 | 24% | 38% | |
| 21 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 22 | 7% | 13% | |
| 23 | 5% | 6% | |
| 24 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 87% | |
| 2 | 0% | 87% | |
| 3 | 0% | 87% | |
| 4 | 0% | 87% | |
| 5 | 0% | 87% | |
| 6 | 0% | 87% | |
| 7 | 0% | 87% | |
| 8 | 0% | 87% | |
| 9 | 6% | 87% | |
| 10 | 7% | 82% | |
| 11 | 21% | 74% | |
| 12 | 3% | 53% | Median |
| 13 | 9% | 50% | |
| 14 | 40% | 41% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 72% | |
| 2 | 0% | 72% | |
| 3 | 0% | 72% | |
| 4 | 0% | 72% | |
| 5 | 0% | 72% | |
| 6 | 0% | 72% | |
| 7 | 0% | 72% | |
| 8 | 0% | 72% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 72% | |
| 10 | 4% | 71% | |
| 11 | 9% | 68% | |
| 12 | 8% | 59% | |
| 13 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 14 | 39% | 39% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 65% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 35% | |
| 2 | 0% | 35% | |
| 3 | 0% | 35% | |
| 4 | 0% | 35% | |
| 5 | 0% | 35% | |
| 6 | 0% | 35% | |
| 7 | 0% | 35% | |
| 8 | 0% | 35% | |
| 9 | 0.9% | 35% | |
| 10 | 13% | 34% | |
| 11 | 19% | 20% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 8% | |
| 9 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 10 | 4% | 7% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 73 | 14% | 63–80 | 62–80 | 56–81 | 56–81 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 72 | 11% | 63–77 | 56–80 | 56–80 | 55–80 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 72 | 11% | 63–77 | 56–80 | 56–80 | 55–80 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 59 | 0% | 52–66 | 52–67 | 52–67 | 51–67 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 44 | 0% | 38–46 | 36–49 | 28–51 | 28–51 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 34 | 43 | 0% | 32–47 | 26–47 | 26–51 | 26–51 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 41 | 0% | 28–45 | 26–47 | 26–47 | 25–47 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 41 | 0% | 28–45 | 26–47 | 26–47 | 25–47 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 44 | 0% | 38–46 | 29–46 | 28–46 | 28–48 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 44 | 0% | 38–46 | 29–46 | 28–46 | 28–48 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 30 | 0% | 27–33 | 27–38 | 27–40 | 26–40 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 30 | 0% | 27–33 | 27–38 | 27–40 | 26–40 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 29 | 0% | 25–32 | 25–34 | 24–34 | 23–34 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0% | 97% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 0% | 97% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 63 | 10% | 95% | |
| 64 | 6% | 85% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 79% | |
| 66 | 6% | 79% | |
| 67 | 2% | 73% | |
| 68 | 12% | 71% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 59% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 59% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 58% | Median |
| 72 | 3% | 57% | Last Result |
| 73 | 38% | 54% | |
| 74 | 2% | 17% | |
| 75 | 0% | 14% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 14% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.8% | 14% | |
| 78 | 0% | 13% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 80 | 9% | 13% | |
| 81 | 3% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 56 | 3% | 98% | |
| 57 | 0% | 95% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 59 | 0% | 95% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 63 | 12% | 92% | |
| 64 | 6% | 81% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 75% | |
| 66 | 6% | 74% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 68% | |
| 68 | 12% | 68% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 56% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 56% | |
| 71 | 4% | 55% | Median |
| 72 | 2% | 52% | |
| 73 | 37% | 50% | |
| 74 | 2% | 13% | |
| 75 | 0% | 11% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 11% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 78 | 0% | 10% | |
| 79 | 0% | 10% | |
| 80 | 9% | 10% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 56 | 3% | 98% | |
| 57 | 0% | 95% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 59 | 0% | 95% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 63 | 12% | 92% | |
| 64 | 6% | 81% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 75% | |
| 66 | 6% | 74% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 68% | |
| 68 | 12% | 68% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 56% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 56% | |
| 71 | 4% | 55% | Median |
| 72 | 2% | 52% | |
| 73 | 37% | 50% | |
| 74 | 2% | 13% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 11% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 78 | 0% | 10% | |
| 79 | 0% | 10% | |
| 80 | 9% | 10% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 9% | 98% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 89% | |
| 54 | 2% | 88% | |
| 55 | 7% | 86% | |
| 56 | 3% | 79% | |
| 57 | 7% | 75% | |
| 58 | 5% | 68% | |
| 59 | 37% | 62% | Median |
| 60 | 6% | 26% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 20% | |
| 62 | 3% | 19% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 15% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 66 | 6% | 14% | |
| 67 | 8% | 8% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 3% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 33 | 0% | 96% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 38 | 19% | 93% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 74% | |
| 40 | 14% | 74% | |
| 41 | 4% | 60% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 56% | Median |
| 43 | 0.3% | 56% | |
| 44 | 37% | 56% | |
| 45 | 3% | 19% | |
| 46 | 8% | 16% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 48 | 2% | 8% | |
| 49 | 2% | 6% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 51 | 3% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 26 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 28 | 3% | 94% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 31 | 0% | 90% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 90% | Last Result |
| 35 | 5% | 90% | |
| 36 | 9% | 84% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 75% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 74% | |
| 39 | 10% | 72% | |
| 40 | 5% | 63% | |
| 41 | 3% | 58% | Median |
| 42 | 0.1% | 55% | |
| 43 | 40% | 55% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 15% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 14% | |
| 46 | 2% | 13% | |
| 47 | 8% | 11% | |
| 48 | 0% | 4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 4% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 51 | 3% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 26 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 27 | 2% | 94% | |
| 28 | 3% | 92% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 88% | |
| 31 | 0% | 88% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 88% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 87% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 86% | |
| 35 | 6% | 86% | |
| 36 | 9% | 80% | |
| 37 | 1.5% | 70% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 69% | |
| 39 | 8% | 68% | |
| 40 | 5% | 60% | |
| 41 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 42 | 0.1% | 49% | |
| 43 | 39% | 49% | |
| 44 | 0% | 10% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 46 | 2% | 10% | |
| 47 | 8% | 8% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 26 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 27 | 2% | 94% | |
| 28 | 3% | 92% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 88% | |
| 31 | 0% | 88% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 88% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 87% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 86% | |
| 35 | 6% | 86% | |
| 36 | 9% | 80% | |
| 37 | 1.5% | 70% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 69% | |
| 39 | 8% | 68% | |
| 40 | 5% | 60% | |
| 41 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 42 | 0.1% | 49% | |
| 43 | 39% | 49% | |
| 44 | 0% | 10% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 46 | 2% | 10% | |
| 47 | 8% | 8% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 33 | 0% | 94% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 38 | 19% | 91% | |
| 39 | 2% | 72% | |
| 40 | 13% | 70% | |
| 41 | 7% | 57% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 51% | Median |
| 43 | 0.3% | 51% | |
| 44 | 37% | 50% | |
| 45 | 3% | 13% | |
| 46 | 8% | 10% | |
| 47 | 0% | 2% | |
| 48 | 2% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 33 | 0% | 94% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 38 | 19% | 91% | |
| 39 | 2% | 72% | |
| 40 | 13% | 70% | |
| 41 | 7% | 57% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 51% | Median |
| 43 | 0.3% | 51% | |
| 44 | 37% | 50% | |
| 45 | 3% | 13% | |
| 46 | 8% | 10% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 48 | 2% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 9% | 98% | |
| 28 | 11% | 89% | |
| 29 | 14% | 78% | |
| 30 | 42% | 64% | Median |
| 31 | 4% | 22% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 33 | 8% | 17% | |
| 34 | 2% | 9% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 36 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 40 | 4% | 5% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 9% | 98% | |
| 28 | 11% | 89% | |
| 29 | 14% | 78% | |
| 30 | 42% | 64% | Median |
| 31 | 4% | 22% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 33 | 8% | 17% | |
| 34 | 2% | 9% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 36 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 40 | 5% | 5% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 25 | 11% | 97% | |
| 26 | 11% | 86% | |
| 27 | 4% | 75% | |
| 28 | 10% | 71% | |
| 29 | 40% | 61% | Median |
| 30 | 8% | 21% | |
| 31 | 2% | 13% | |
| 32 | 3% | 11% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 34 | 8% | 8% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Median
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 27 January–1 February 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1006
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.62%