Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 8–14 February 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 17.5% | 16.0–19.1% | 15.6–19.6% | 15.3–20.0% | 14.6–20.8% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 14.5% | 13.2–16.0% | 12.8–16.4% | 12.5–16.8% | 11.8–17.6% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 14.2% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.1% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.6–17.3% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.3–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–9.0% | 5.3–9.6% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.5–2.4% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.5–2.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 35 | 30–35 | 30–36 | 29–37 | 25–37 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 26 | 25–28 | 24–28 | 24–28 | 22–30 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 24 | 22–24 | 22–26 | 22–29 | 21–31 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 15 | 15 | 14–17 | 14–18 | 12–19 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 14 | 14–18 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 11–18 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 12 | 12 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 9–15 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 13 | 12–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–15 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 11 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 11–13 | 10–15 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 30 | 16% | 97% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 80% | |
| 32 | 4% | 80% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 76% | |
| 34 | 3% | 76% | |
| 35 | 67% | 73% | Median |
| 36 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 37 | 5% | 5% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 24 | 8% | 99.0% | |
| 25 | 2% | 91% | |
| 26 | 70% | 89% | Median |
| 27 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 28 | 17% | 19% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 16% | 98% | |
| 23 | 2% | 82% | |
| 24 | 74% | 80% | Median |
| 25 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 29 | 3% | 4% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 15 | 85% | 93% | Median |
| 16 | 2% | 8% | |
| 17 | 3% | 7% | |
| 18 | 3% | 4% | |
| 19 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 13 | 2% | 96% | |
| 14 | 69% | 93% | Median |
| 15 | 7% | 24% | |
| 16 | 1.5% | 17% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 16% | |
| 18 | 15% | 15% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 11 | 3% | 98% | |
| 12 | 87% | 95% | Median |
| 13 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 14 | 2% | 7% | |
| 15 | 5% | 5% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 8% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 2% | 92% | |
| 12 | 3% | 90% | |
| 13 | 85% | 87% | Median |
| 14 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 74% | 98% | Median |
| 12 | 20% | 24% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 2% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.6% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 74 | 0.3% | 71–74 | 68–74 | 67–74 | 63–75 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 74 | 0.3% | 71–74 | 68–74 | 67–74 | 63–75 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 74 | 0.1% | 71–74 | 68–74 | 66–74 | 63–75 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 61 | 0% | 58–61 | 58–61 | 54–61 | 50–62 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 48 | 0% | 43–48 | 43–48 | 41–48 | 38–50 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 48 | 0% | 43–48 | 43–48 | 41–48 | 38–48 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 48 | 0% | 43–48 | 43–48 | 41–48 | 38–50 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 39 | 0% | 37–41 | 34–41 | 34–41 | 34–44 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 39 | 0% | 37–41 | 34–41 | 34–41 | 34–44 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 39 | 0% | 37–41 | 34–41 | 34–41 | 34–44 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 35 | 0% | 30–35 | 30–37 | 29–37 | 25–37 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 26 | 0% | 25–28 | 24–28 | 24–28 | 22–30 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 26 | 0% | 25–28 | 24–28 | 24–28 | 22–30 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 71 | 21% | 92% | |
| 72 | 2% | 71% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.8% | 69% | |
| 74 | 68% | 69% | Median |
| 75 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 71 | 21% | 92% | |
| 72 | 2% | 71% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 69% | |
| 74 | 68% | 69% | Median |
| 75 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 68 | 3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 71 | 20% | 92% | |
| 72 | 2% | 71% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 69% | |
| 74 | 68% | 68% | Median |
| 75 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 58 | 20% | 96% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 76% | |
| 60 | 3% | 76% | |
| 61 | 72% | 73% | Median |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 43 | 17% | 97% | |
| 44 | 5% | 79% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 75% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 74% | |
| 47 | 5% | 73% | |
| 48 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 43 | 17% | 97% | |
| 44 | 5% | 79% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 74% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 74% | |
| 47 | 5% | 73% | |
| 48 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 43 | 17% | 97% | |
| 44 | 5% | 79% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 75% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 74% | |
| 47 | 5% | 73% | |
| 48 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 38 | 2% | 90% | |
| 39 | 68% | 87% | Median |
| 40 | 2% | 19% | |
| 41 | 16% | 18% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 38 | 3% | 90% | |
| 39 | 68% | 87% | Median |
| 40 | 2% | 19% | |
| 41 | 16% | 17% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 38 | 2% | 90% | |
| 39 | 68% | 87% | Median |
| 40 | 2% | 19% | |
| 41 | 16% | 18% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 30 | 16% | 97% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 81% | |
| 32 | 4% | 80% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 76% | |
| 34 | 3% | 76% | |
| 35 | 68% | 73% | Median |
| 36 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 37 | 5% | 5% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 24 | 8% | 99.0% | |
| 25 | 2% | 91% | |
| 26 | 70% | 89% | Median |
| 27 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 28 | 17% | 19% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 8% | 99.0% | |
| 25 | 2% | 91% | |
| 26 | 70% | 90% | Median |
| 27 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 28 | 17% | 19% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): TV JOJ
- Fieldwork period: 8–14 February 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.74%