Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 7–14 July 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 14.7% | 13.3–16.2% | 13.0–16.7% | 12.6–17.0% | 12.0–17.8% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 14.6% | 13.2–16.1% | 12.9–16.6% | 12.5–16.9% | 11.9–17.7% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.5% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 9.2% | 8.1–10.5% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.6–11.2% | 7.1–11.8% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–9.0% | 5.3–9.6% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 36 | 32–38 | 32–43 | 31–43 | 28–44 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 27 | 23–28 | 22–29 | 21–29 | 21–33 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 25 | 23–30 | 22–30 | 21–30 | 19–31 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 18 | 15–19 | 15–21 | 14–21 | 14–22 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 16 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 12–21 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–16 | 0–16 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 10 | 10–12 | 9–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 9 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 8% | 96% | |
| 33 | 4% | 88% | |
| 34 | 13% | 84% | |
| 35 | 2% | 71% | |
| 36 | 28% | 69% | Median |
| 37 | 10% | 40% | |
| 38 | 21% | 30% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 40 | 3% | 9% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 43 | 4% | 6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 3% | 97% | |
| 23 | 9% | 94% | |
| 24 | 15% | 85% | |
| 25 | 3% | 69% | |
| 26 | 8% | 66% | |
| 27 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 28 | 41% | 47% | |
| 29 | 3% | 5% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 21 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 22 | 3% | 95% | |
| 23 | 28% | 92% | |
| 24 | 6% | 64% | |
| 25 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 26 | 15% | 50% | |
| 27 | 2% | 35% | |
| 28 | 5% | 33% | |
| 29 | 2% | 28% | |
| 30 | 25% | 26% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 15 | 9% | 96% | |
| 16 | 6% | 87% | |
| 17 | 23% | 82% | |
| 18 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 19 | 42% | 50% | |
| 20 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 21 | 6% | 6% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 29% | 99.2% | |
| 14 | 10% | 71% | |
| 15 | 6% | 61% | |
| 16 | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 17 | 10% | 40% | |
| 18 | 12% | 30% | |
| 19 | 16% | 18% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 9 | 3% | 98% | |
| 10 | 10% | 96% | |
| 11 | 4% | 85% | |
| 12 | 60% | 81% | Median |
| 13 | 5% | 21% | |
| 14 | 9% | 16% | |
| 15 | 4% | 6% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0% | 97% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 9 | 3% | 97% | |
| 10 | 52% | 95% | Median |
| 11 | 26% | 42% | |
| 12 | 7% | 16% | |
| 13 | 7% | 9% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 49% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 51% | |
| 2 | 0% | 51% | |
| 3 | 0% | 51% | |
| 4 | 0% | 51% | |
| 5 | 0% | 51% | |
| 6 | 0% | 51% | |
| 7 | 0% | 51% | |
| 8 | 1.3% | 51% | |
| 9 | 30% | 50% | Median |
| 10 | 9% | 20% | |
| 11 | 7% | 11% | |
| 12 | 2% | 4% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 91% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 9% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 9 | 2% | 8% | |
| 10 | 6% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 73 | 34% | 69–78 | 67–80 | 65–81 | 61–81 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 71 | 26% | 68–78 | 67–80 | 65–81 | 60–81 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 73 | 34% | 69–78 | 67–80 | 65–81 | 61–81 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 63 | 0% | 58–68 | 58–69 | 56–70 | 53–71 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 46 | 0% | 45–53 | 42–54 | 41–54 | 36–59 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 46 | 0% | 45–53 | 42–54 | 41–54 | 36–59 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 46 | 0% | 43–50 | 41–54 | 39–54 | 35–54 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 37 | 0% | 33–41 | 33–46 | 31–46 | 25–47 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 37 | 0% | 33–41 | 33–46 | 31–46 | 25–47 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 36 | 0% | 34–42 | 32–43 | 31–44 | 29–46 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 36 | 0% | 33–41 | 32–41 | 30–41 | 24–42 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 26 | 0% | 23–30 | 22–35 | 21–35 | 21–37 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 25 | 0% | 23–30 | 22–30 | 21–30 | 19–31 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 3% | 96% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 69 | 28% | 92% | |
| 70 | 3% | 64% | |
| 71 | 6% | 61% | Median |
| 72 | 4% | 56% | Last Result |
| 73 | 2% | 51% | |
| 74 | 3% | 49% | |
| 75 | 13% | 46% | |
| 76 | 2% | 34% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 32% | |
| 78 | 20% | 30% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 80 | 7% | 10% | |
| 81 | 3% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 3% | 95% | |
| 68 | 6% | 92% | |
| 69 | 29% | 86% | |
| 70 | 4% | 57% | |
| 71 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 72 | 4% | 48% | |
| 73 | 2% | 43% | |
| 74 | 3% | 41% | |
| 75 | 12% | 39% | |
| 76 | 2% | 26% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 25% | |
| 78 | 14% | 23% | |
| 79 | 0% | 9% | |
| 80 | 6% | 9% | |
| 81 | 3% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 3% | 96% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 69 | 28% | 92% | |
| 70 | 3% | 64% | |
| 71 | 6% | 61% | Median |
| 72 | 4% | 56% | |
| 73 | 2% | 51% | |
| 74 | 3% | 49% | |
| 75 | 13% | 46% | |
| 76 | 2% | 34% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 32% | |
| 78 | 20% | 30% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 80 | 7% | 10% | |
| 81 | 3% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 5% | 95% | |
| 59 | 28% | 90% | |
| 60 | 3% | 61% | |
| 61 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 62 | 0.6% | 51% | |
| 63 | 2% | 50% | |
| 64 | 15% | 49% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 34% | |
| 66 | 3% | 32% | |
| 67 | 6% | 29% | |
| 68 | 16% | 24% | |
| 69 | 4% | 7% | |
| 70 | 3% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98% | |
| 42 | 2% | 95% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 45 | 14% | 91% | |
| 46 | 29% | 77% | Median |
| 47 | 5% | 48% | |
| 48 | 17% | 43% | |
| 49 | 5% | 26% | |
| 50 | 3% | 20% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 17% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 53 | 9% | 16% | |
| 54 | 6% | 7% | |
| 55 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98% | |
| 42 | 2% | 95% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 45 | 14% | 91% | |
| 46 | 29% | 77% | Median |
| 47 | 5% | 48% | |
| 48 | 17% | 43% | |
| 49 | 5% | 26% | |
| 50 | 3% | 20% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 17% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 53 | 9% | 16% | |
| 54 | 6% | 7% | |
| 55 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 41 | 2% | 97% | |
| 42 | 2% | 95% | |
| 43 | 7% | 92% | |
| 44 | 2% | 86% | |
| 45 | 14% | 84% | |
| 46 | 29% | 70% | Median |
| 47 | 6% | 41% | |
| 48 | 17% | 36% | |
| 49 | 5% | 18% | |
| 50 | 4% | 13% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 53 | 3% | 8% | |
| 54 | 5% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 33 | 30% | 96% | |
| 34 | 7% | 66% | |
| 35 | 3% | 60% | Median |
| 36 | 6% | 57% | |
| 37 | 6% | 51% | |
| 38 | 2% | 45% | |
| 39 | 4% | 43% | |
| 40 | 15% | 39% | |
| 41 | 17% | 25% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 46 | 5% | 6% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 33 | 30% | 96% | |
| 34 | 7% | 66% | |
| 35 | 3% | 60% | Median |
| 36 | 6% | 57% | |
| 37 | 6% | 51% | |
| 38 | 2% | 45% | |
| 39 | 4% | 43% | |
| 40 | 15% | 39% | |
| 41 | 17% | 25% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 46 | 5% | 6% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 32 | 3% | 97% | |
| 33 | 2% | 94% | |
| 34 | 13% | 91% | |
| 35 | 2% | 79% | |
| 36 | 28% | 76% | Median |
| 37 | 10% | 48% | |
| 38 | 21% | 39% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 40 | 3% | 17% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 42 | 5% | 14% | |
| 43 | 5% | 8% | |
| 44 | 2% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 32 | 2% | 97% | |
| 33 | 30% | 95% | |
| 34 | 7% | 65% | |
| 35 | 3% | 58% | Median |
| 36 | 11% | 55% | |
| 37 | 8% | 44% | |
| 38 | 2% | 37% | |
| 39 | 4% | 35% | |
| 40 | 15% | 31% | |
| 41 | 16% | 16% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 4% | 100% | |
| 22 | 3% | 96% | |
| 23 | 28% | 94% | |
| 24 | 6% | 66% | |
| 25 | 3% | 60% | Median |
| 26 | 14% | 57% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 43% | |
| 28 | 6% | 41% | |
| 29 | 2% | 35% | |
| 30 | 26% | 34% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 35 | 5% | 6% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 21 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 22 | 3% | 95% | |
| 23 | 28% | 92% | |
| 24 | 6% | 64% | |
| 25 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 26 | 15% | 50% | |
| 27 | 2% | 35% | |
| 28 | 5% | 33% | |
| 29 | 2% | 28% | |
| 30 | 25% | 26% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): TV JOJ
- Fieldwork period: 7–14 July 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.27%