Opinion Poll by IPSOS for Denník N, 29 July–8 August 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
HLAS–sociálna demokracia 0.0% 17.2% 15.8–18.8% 15.4–19.3% 15.1–19.7% 14.4–20.5%
SMER–sociálna demokracia 18.3% 15.5% 14.1–17.0% 13.8–17.5% 13.4–17.8% 12.8–18.6%
Sloboda a Solidarita 6.2% 12.2% 11.0–13.6% 10.7–14.0% 10.4–14.4% 9.8–15.1%
Progresívne Slovensko 7.0% 11.4% 10.2–12.7% 9.9–13.1% 9.6–13.5% 9.0–14.1%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 25.0% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.6–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.2%
REPUBLIKA 0.0% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.6%
SME RODINA 8.2% 6.4% 5.5–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.6%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.6% 6.3% 5.4–7.3% 5.2–7.6% 4.9–7.9% 4.6–8.5%
Za ľudí 5.8% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.5%
Slovenská národná strana 3.2% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.7–3.2% 1.6–3.4% 1.3–3.8%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 3.9% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
HLAS–sociálna demokracia 0 30 28–33 28–35 27–36 26–36
SMER–sociálna demokracia 38 27 25–30 24–31 24–31 24–32
Sloboda a Solidarita 13 23 20–24 20–25 19–25 18–27
Progresívne Slovensko 0 20 18–22 18–24 18–25 17–25
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 53 13 12–16 11–17 11–17 10–18
REPUBLIKA 0 13 12–16 11–16 11–16 10–17
SME RODINA 17 12 10–13 0–13 0–14 0–15
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 12 10–12 9–14 0–14 0–15
Za ľudí 12 0 0 0 0 0
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 17 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenská národná strana 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0 0 0

HLAS–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 100%  
26 2% 99.9%  
27 3% 98%  
28 6% 95%  
29 38% 89%  
30 17% 51% Median
31 13% 34%  
32 9% 21%  
33 4% 13%  
34 2% 9%  
35 2% 6%  
36 4% 4%  
37 0.1% 0.3%  
38 0.2% 0.2%  
39 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 6% 99.8%  
25 6% 94%  
26 5% 88%  
27 42% 83% Median
28 18% 41%  
29 8% 23%  
30 9% 15%  
31 4% 6%  
32 2% 2%  
33 0.3% 0.4%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0% 100% Last Result
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.3% 99.9%  
18 1.2% 99.6%  
19 2% 98%  
20 21% 96%  
21 8% 75%  
22 16% 67%  
23 6% 51% Median
24 40% 45%  
25 4% 5%  
26 0.3% 1.2%  
27 0.5% 0.9%  
28 0.3% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.3% 100%  
17 2% 99.7%  
18 8% 98%  
19 9% 90%  
20 54% 81% Median
21 8% 27%  
22 10% 19%  
23 4% 9%  
24 2% 5%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.2% 0.4%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.6% 99.9%  
11 5% 99.4%  
12 4% 94%  
13 54% 90% Median
14 11% 36%  
15 10% 25%  
16 10% 15%  
17 4% 5%  
18 0.9% 1.2%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0% Last Result

REPUBLIKA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.2% 100%  
10 2% 99.7%  
11 8% 98%  
12 7% 90%  
13 43% 83% Median
14 18% 40%  
15 2% 21%  
16 18% 19%  
17 0.6% 0.8%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 0% 95%  
8 0% 95%  
9 2% 95%  
10 7% 93%  
11 22% 86%  
12 53% 64% Median
13 8% 11%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.9% 1.0%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0% Last Result

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0% 97%  
9 2% 97%  
10 14% 94%  
11 18% 80%  
12 53% 62% Median
13 3% 9%  
14 4% 6%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0% Last Result

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana 72 68 0.9% 66–72 64–74 64–74 62–77
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 55 68 0.8% 66–72 64–74 64–74 62–77
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 55 68 0.8% 66–72 64–74 64–74 62–77
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 38 56 0% 54–62 53–64 53–66 52–66
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana 34 41 0% 39–44 36–45 36–45 33–48
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 17 41 0% 39–44 36–45 36–45 33–48
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 17 41 0% 39–44 36–45 36–45 33–48
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana 72 39 0% 36–42 32–42 30–43 27–44
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 55 39 0% 36–42 32–42 30–43 27–44
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 55 39 0% 36–42 32–42 30–43 27–44
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 0 30 0% 28–33 28–35 27–36 26–36
SMER–sociálna demokracia 38 27 0% 25–30 24–31 24–31 24–32
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 38 27 0% 25–30 24–31 24–31 24–32

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.3% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.7%  
61 0.1% 99.6%  
62 1.1% 99.5%  
63 0.7% 98%  
64 3% 98%  
65 2% 95%  
66 9% 92%  
67 2% 83%  
68 38% 81%  
69 9% 43% Median
70 13% 34%  
71 2% 21%  
72 9% 19% Last Result
73 0.4% 9%  
74 7% 9%  
75 1.2% 2%  
76 0.3% 0.9% Majority
77 0.2% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.4%  
79 0.2% 0.3%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100% Last Result
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0.3% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.7%  
61 0.1% 99.6%  
62 1.1% 99.5%  
63 0.7% 98%  
64 3% 98%  
65 2% 95%  
66 9% 92%  
67 2% 83%  
68 38% 81%  
69 9% 43% Median
70 13% 34%  
71 2% 21%  
72 9% 19%  
73 0.4% 9%  
74 7% 9%  
75 1.2% 2%  
76 0.3% 0.8% Majority
77 0.2% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.4%  
79 0.2% 0.3%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100% Last Result
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0.3% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.7%  
61 0.1% 99.6%  
62 1.1% 99.5%  
63 0.7% 98%  
64 3% 98%  
65 2% 95%  
66 9% 92%  
67 2% 83%  
68 38% 81%  
69 9% 43% Median
70 13% 34%  
71 2% 21%  
72 9% 19%  
73 0.4% 9%  
74 7% 9%  
75 1.2% 2%  
76 0.3% 0.8% Majority
77 0.2% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.4%  
79 0.2% 0.3%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 100%  
52 1.1% 99.8%  
53 4% 98.7%  
54 6% 95%  
55 4% 89%  
56 38% 85%  
57 2% 47% Median
58 8% 45%  
59 15% 38%  
60 7% 23%  
61 3% 16%  
62 4% 13%  
63 2% 9%  
64 3% 7%  
65 2% 5%  
66 2% 3%  
67 0.1% 0.5%  
68 0.4% 0.4%  
69 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.1% 99.9%  
32 0.2% 99.8%  
33 0.1% 99.5%  
34 1.5% 99.5% Last Result
35 0% 98%  
36 3% 98%  
37 4% 95%  
38 1.1% 91%  
39 0.9% 90%  
40 4% 89%  
41 42% 85%  
42 23% 43% Median
43 6% 20%  
44 6% 14%  
45 6% 8%  
46 0.6% 2%  
47 0.6% 1.5%  
48 0.5% 0.9%  
49 0.2% 0.4%  
50 0.2% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.1% 99.9%  
32 0.2% 99.8%  
33 0.1% 99.5%  
34 1.5% 99.5%  
35 0% 98%  
36 3% 98%  
37 4% 95%  
38 1.1% 91%  
39 0.9% 90%  
40 4% 89%  
41 42% 85%  
42 23% 43% Median
43 6% 20%  
44 6% 14%  
45 6% 8%  
46 0.6% 2%  
47 0.6% 1.5%  
48 0.5% 0.9%  
49 0.1% 0.4%  
50 0.2% 0.2%  
51 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.1% 99.9%  
32 0.2% 99.8%  
33 0.1% 99.5%  
34 1.5% 99.5%  
35 0% 98%  
36 3% 98%  
37 4% 95%  
38 1.1% 91%  
39 0.9% 90%  
40 4% 89%  
41 42% 85%  
42 23% 43% Median
43 6% 20%  
44 6% 14%  
45 6% 8%  
46 0.6% 2%  
47 0.6% 1.5%  
48 0.5% 0.9%  
49 0.1% 0.4%  
50 0.2% 0.2%  
51 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.7% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.3%  
29 0.1% 99.1%  
30 2% 99.0%  
31 1.5% 97%  
32 0.1% 95%  
33 0.2% 95%  
34 0.3% 95%  
35 1.5% 95%  
36 7% 93%  
37 5% 86%  
38 6% 81%  
39 53% 75% Median
40 4% 22%  
41 8% 19%  
42 7% 11%  
43 2% 4%  
44 2% 2%  
45 0.2% 0.5%  
46 0.2% 0.3%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.7% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.3%  
29 0.1% 99.1%  
30 2% 99.0%  
31 1.5% 97%  
32 0.1% 95%  
33 0.2% 95%  
34 0.3% 95%  
35 1.5% 95%  
36 7% 93%  
37 5% 86%  
38 6% 81%  
39 53% 75% Median
40 4% 22%  
41 8% 19%  
42 7% 11%  
43 2% 4%  
44 2% 2%  
45 0.2% 0.5%  
46 0.2% 0.3%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.7% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.3%  
29 0.1% 99.1%  
30 2% 99.0%  
31 1.5% 97%  
32 0.1% 95%  
33 0.2% 95%  
34 0.3% 95%  
35 1.5% 95%  
36 7% 93%  
37 5% 86%  
38 6% 81%  
39 53% 75% Median
40 4% 22%  
41 8% 19%  
42 7% 11%  
43 2% 4%  
44 2% 2%  
45 0.2% 0.5%  
46 0.2% 0.3%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 100%  
26 2% 99.9%  
27 3% 98%  
28 6% 95%  
29 38% 89%  
30 17% 51% Median
31 13% 34%  
32 9% 21%  
33 4% 13%  
34 2% 9%  
35 2% 6%  
36 4% 4%  
37 0.1% 0.3%  
38 0.2% 0.2%  
39 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 6% 99.8%  
25 6% 94%  
26 5% 88%  
27 42% 83% Median
28 18% 41%  
29 8% 23%  
30 9% 15%  
31 4% 6%  
32 2% 2%  
33 0.3% 0.4%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 6% 99.8%  
25 6% 94%  
26 5% 88%  
27 42% 83% Median
28 18% 41%  
29 8% 23%  
30 9% 15%  
31 4% 6%  
32 2% 2%  
33 0.3% 0.4%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations