Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 15–18 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 19.2% | 17.7–20.9% | 17.2–21.4% | 16.9–21.8% | 16.2–22.6% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 14.9% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.8–17.3% | 12.2–18.0% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.6–16.1% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.6% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 8.4% | 7.4–9.6% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.8–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.4% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.5–2.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 35 | 32–38 | 32–39 | 32–39 | 28–41 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 28 | 25–30 | 23–31 | 23–31 | 21–33 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 25 | 21–26 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 19–30 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 17 | 15–20 | 14–21 | 14–21 | 14–23 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 11–18 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–16 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 11 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 0–16 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 10 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 32 | 11% | 98% | |
| 33 | 6% | 87% | |
| 34 | 16% | 80% | |
| 35 | 38% | 64% | Median |
| 36 | 6% | 26% | |
| 37 | 10% | 21% | |
| 38 | 5% | 11% | |
| 39 | 5% | 6% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 23 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 24 | 2% | 95% | |
| 25 | 6% | 93% | |
| 26 | 26% | 87% | |
| 27 | 10% | 61% | |
| 28 | 25% | 51% | Median |
| 29 | 10% | 26% | |
| 30 | 10% | 16% | |
| 31 | 5% | 6% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 7% | 99.5% | |
| 21 | 3% | 92% | |
| 22 | 8% | 89% | |
| 23 | 26% | 81% | |
| 24 | 3% | 55% | |
| 25 | 30% | 52% | Median |
| 26 | 17% | 22% | |
| 27 | 4% | 5% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 9% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 11% | 90% | |
| 16 | 29% | 79% | |
| 17 | 3% | 51% | Median |
| 18 | 8% | 48% | |
| 19 | 27% | 39% | |
| 20 | 5% | 12% | |
| 21 | 5% | 6% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 7% | 97% | |
| 13 | 12% | 90% | |
| 14 | 9% | 78% | |
| 15 | 20% | 69% | Median |
| 16 | 21% | 49% | |
| 17 | 23% | 28% | |
| 18 | 4% | 5% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 12% | 99.5% | |
| 11 | 22% | 88% | |
| 12 | 25% | 66% | Median |
| 13 | 24% | 41% | |
| 14 | 15% | 18% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 35% | 98% | |
| 11 | 15% | 63% | Median |
| 12 | 14% | 48% | |
| 13 | 23% | 35% | |
| 14 | 8% | 12% | |
| 15 | 3% | 4% | |
| 16 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 34% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 66% | |
| 2 | 0% | 66% | |
| 3 | 0% | 66% | |
| 4 | 0% | 66% | |
| 5 | 0% | 66% | |
| 6 | 0% | 66% | |
| 7 | 0% | 66% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 66% | |
| 9 | 12% | 65% | |
| 10 | 23% | 53% | Median |
| 11 | 6% | 30% | |
| 12 | 23% | 24% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 93% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 7% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 10 | 7% | 7% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 74 | 38% | 71–80 | 71–80 | 69–81 | 67–82 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 74 | 38% | 71–80 | 71–80 | 69–81 | 67–82 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 74 | 31% | 70–79 | 70–80 | 68–81 | 60–82 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 63 | 0% | 61–66 | 58–70 | 57–70 | 54–70 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 48 | 0% | 42–52 | 42–54 | 42–54 | 37–55 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 48 | 0% | 42–52 | 42–54 | 42–54 | 37–55 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 46 | 0% | 42–50 | 42–52 | 42–53 | 32–54 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 40 | 0% | 36–43 | 36–46 | 34–46 | 31–47 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 40 | 0% | 36–43 | 36–46 | 34–46 | 31–47 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 39 | 0% | 36–42 | 35–43 | 33–44 | 28–46 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 35 | 0% | 32–39 | 32–44 | 32–44 | 29–44 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 28 | 0% | 25–31 | 23–36 | 23–36 | 21–38 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 28 | 0% | 25–30 | 23–31 | 23–31 | 21–33 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 71 | 28% | 96% | |
| 72 | 3% | 68% | Last Result |
| 73 | 5% | 66% | |
| 74 | 17% | 61% | Median |
| 75 | 6% | 44% | |
| 76 | 16% | 38% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.4% | 22% | |
| 78 | 4% | 22% | |
| 79 | 7% | 18% | |
| 80 | 7% | 11% | |
| 81 | 3% | 4% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 71 | 28% | 96% | |
| 72 | 3% | 68% | |
| 73 | 5% | 66% | |
| 74 | 17% | 61% | Median |
| 75 | 6% | 44% | |
| 76 | 16% | 38% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.4% | 22% | |
| 78 | 4% | 22% | |
| 79 | 7% | 18% | |
| 80 | 7% | 11% | |
| 81 | 3% | 4% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 6% | 96% | |
| 71 | 28% | 90% | |
| 72 | 3% | 62% | |
| 73 | 5% | 59% | |
| 74 | 17% | 54% | Median |
| 75 | 6% | 37% | |
| 76 | 16% | 31% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.4% | 16% | |
| 78 | 4% | 15% | |
| 79 | 6% | 12% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 81 | 3% | 4% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 57 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 58 | 2% | 96% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 61 | 26% | 93% | |
| 62 | 16% | 67% | |
| 63 | 21% | 51% | Median |
| 64 | 10% | 30% | |
| 65 | 2% | 21% | |
| 66 | 9% | 19% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 70 | 7% | 8% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 42 | 10% | 98.6% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 88% | |
| 44 | 6% | 87% | |
| 45 | 18% | 81% | |
| 46 | 7% | 63% | Median |
| 47 | 5% | 56% | |
| 48 | 22% | 51% | |
| 49 | 11% | 28% | |
| 50 | 2% | 18% | |
| 51 | 4% | 15% | |
| 52 | 2% | 12% | |
| 53 | 2% | 10% | |
| 54 | 7% | 8% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 42 | 10% | 98.6% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 88% | |
| 44 | 6% | 87% | |
| 45 | 18% | 81% | |
| 46 | 7% | 63% | Median |
| 47 | 5% | 56% | |
| 48 | 22% | 51% | |
| 49 | 11% | 28% | |
| 50 | 2% | 18% | |
| 51 | 4% | 15% | |
| 52 | 2% | 12% | |
| 53 | 2% | 10% | |
| 54 | 7% | 8% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 42 | 10% | 98% | |
| 43 | 1.4% | 88% | |
| 44 | 12% | 86% | |
| 45 | 18% | 75% | |
| 46 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 47 | 5% | 49% | |
| 48 | 22% | 44% | |
| 49 | 11% | 22% | |
| 50 | 2% | 11% | |
| 51 | 4% | 9% | |
| 52 | 2% | 5% | |
| 53 | 2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 35 | 2% | 97% | |
| 36 | 20% | 95% | |
| 37 | 7% | 76% | |
| 38 | 2% | 69% | |
| 39 | 14% | 66% | Median |
| 40 | 8% | 52% | |
| 41 | 23% | 44% | |
| 42 | 6% | 20% | |
| 43 | 5% | 14% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 45 | 2% | 8% | |
| 46 | 6% | 7% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 35 | 2% | 97% | |
| 36 | 20% | 95% | |
| 37 | 7% | 76% | |
| 38 | 2% | 69% | |
| 39 | 14% | 66% | Median |
| 40 | 8% | 52% | |
| 41 | 23% | 44% | |
| 42 | 6% | 20% | |
| 43 | 5% | 14% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 45 | 2% | 8% | |
| 46 | 6% | 7% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 35 | 2% | 96% | |
| 36 | 25% | 94% | |
| 37 | 7% | 69% | |
| 38 | 2% | 62% | |
| 39 | 14% | 60% | Median |
| 40 | 8% | 46% | |
| 41 | 23% | 37% | |
| 42 | 6% | 14% | |
| 43 | 5% | 8% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 45 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 10% | 98% | |
| 33 | 6% | 88% | |
| 34 | 11% | 82% | |
| 35 | 38% | 71% | Median |
| 36 | 6% | 33% | |
| 37 | 10% | 28% | |
| 38 | 5% | 18% | |
| 39 | 5% | 13% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 41 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 44 | 6% | 6% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 23 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 24 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 25 | 6% | 93% | |
| 26 | 20% | 88% | |
| 27 | 10% | 68% | |
| 28 | 24% | 57% | Median |
| 29 | 10% | 33% | |
| 30 | 10% | 23% | |
| 31 | 5% | 13% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 36 | 5% | 6% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 23 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 24 | 2% | 95% | |
| 25 | 6% | 93% | |
| 26 | 26% | 87% | |
| 27 | 10% | 61% | |
| 28 | 25% | 51% | Median |
| 29 | 10% | 26% | |
| 30 | 10% | 16% | |
| 31 | 5% | 6% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): TV JOJ
- Fieldwork period: 15–18 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.91%