Opinion Poll by IPSOS for Denník N, 14–20 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
HLAS–sociálna demokracia 0.0% 18.3% 16.8–20.0% 16.4–20.5% 16.1–20.9% 15.4–21.7%
SMER–sociálna demokracia 18.3% 15.5% 14.1–17.0% 13.7–17.5% 13.3–17.8% 12.7–18.6%
Progresívne Slovensko 7.0% 11.6% 10.3–13.0% 10.0–13.4% 9.7–13.7% 9.2–14.4%
Sloboda a Solidarita 6.2% 9.3% 8.2–10.5% 7.9–10.9% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.9%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 25.0% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
SME RODINA 8.2% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
REPUBLIKA 0.0% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.6% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.7%
Slovenská národná strana 3.2% 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 1.9–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 3.9% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Za ľudí 5.8% 1.7% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
HLAS–sociálna demokracia 0 33 31–35 29–37 29–38 28–38
SMER–sociálna demokracia 38 29 26–30 25–31 24–32 22–33
Progresívne Slovensko 0 20 19–22 18–23 18–24 17–26
Sloboda a Solidarita 13 18 15–19 14–19 14–20 13–21
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 53 14 13–16 12–17 11–17 10–19
SME RODINA 17 14 11–15 10–16 10–16 10–18
REPUBLIKA 0 10 10–14 10–14 10–15 10–17
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 12 10–13 10–14 0–14 0–15
Slovenská národná strana 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 17 0 0 0 0 0
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí 12 0 0 0 0 0

HLAS–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 1.2% 99.8%  
29 4% 98.6%  
30 2% 95%  
31 15% 93%  
32 6% 78%  
33 50% 72% Median
34 7% 22%  
35 6% 14%  
36 1.1% 9%  
37 3% 7%  
38 4% 4%  
39 0.1% 0.4%  
40 0.2% 0.2%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.7% 100%  
23 1.2% 99.3%  
24 1.2% 98%  
25 3% 97%  
26 12% 94%  
27 5% 82%  
28 11% 77%  
29 52% 66% Median
30 6% 14%  
31 4% 8%  
32 4% 4%  
33 0.5% 0.8%  
34 0.3% 0.4%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Progresívne Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.4% 99.9%  
17 2% 99.6%  
18 5% 98%  
19 6% 92%  
20 51% 86% Median
21 16% 35%  
22 10% 19%  
23 3% 8%  
24 3% 5%  
25 1.0% 2%  
26 0.1% 0.6%  
27 0.4% 0.5%  
28 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 2% 99.9% Last Result
14 4% 98%  
15 7% 94%  
16 14% 88%  
17 8% 74%  
18 54% 65% Median
19 8% 11%  
20 3% 3%  
21 0.5% 0.8%  
22 0.2% 0.3%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.6% 100%  
11 2% 99.4%  
12 5% 97%  
13 11% 92%  
14 52% 82% Median
15 11% 30%  
16 13% 18%  
17 3% 5%  
18 1.2% 2%  
19 0.7% 0.7%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0% Last Result

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100%  
10 6% 99.9%  
11 9% 94%  
12 3% 85%  
13 10% 83%  
14 55% 73% Median
15 12% 18%  
16 5% 6%  
17 0.2% 0.8% Last Result
18 0.2% 0.5%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0% 99.7%  
9 0.2% 99.7%  
10 50% 99.5% Median
11 6% 49%  
12 15% 43%  
13 18% 29%  
14 6% 11%  
15 4% 5%  
16 0.7% 1.3%  
17 0.4% 0.6%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0% 97%  
9 0.9% 97%  
10 10% 96%  
11 7% 86%  
12 61% 80% Median
13 11% 19%  
14 7% 8%  
15 1.0% 1.3%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0% Last Result

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 72 76 65% 70–77 70–81 69–81 68–83
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 55 76 65% 70–77 70–81 69–81 68–83
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 55 76 65% 70–77 70–81 69–81 68–83
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 38 62 0% 58–64 57–65 55–66 54–67
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 34 47 0% 42–49 42–51 41–53 39–53
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 17 47 0% 42–49 42–51 41–53 39–53
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 17 47 0% 42–49 42–51 41–53 39–53
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 72 43 0% 39–44 37–46 36–47 36–48
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 55 43 0% 39–44 37–46 36–47 36–48
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 55 43 0% 39–44 37–46 36–47 36–48
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 0 33 0% 31–35 29–37 29–38 28–38
SMER–sociálna demokracia 38 29 0% 26–30 25–31 24–32 22–33
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 38 29 0% 26–30 25–31 24–32 22–33

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.8%  
68 1.2% 99.5%  
69 3% 98%  
70 8% 96%  
71 9% 88%  
72 4% 79% Last Result
73 2% 75%  
74 2% 73%  
75 6% 71%  
76 48% 65% Median, Majority
77 9% 18%  
78 2% 9%  
79 0.4% 7%  
80 2% 7%  
81 3% 5%  
82 0.3% 2%  
83 1.3% 2%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100% Last Result
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.8%  
68 1.2% 99.5%  
69 3% 98%  
70 8% 96%  
71 9% 88%  
72 4% 79%  
73 2% 75%  
74 2% 73%  
75 6% 71%  
76 48% 65% Median, Majority
77 9% 18%  
78 2% 9%  
79 0.4% 7%  
80 2% 7%  
81 3% 5%  
82 0.3% 2%  
83 1.3% 2%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100% Last Result
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.8%  
68 1.2% 99.5%  
69 3% 98%  
70 8% 96%  
71 9% 88%  
72 4% 79%  
73 2% 75%  
74 2% 73%  
75 6% 71%  
76 48% 65% Median, Majority
77 9% 18%  
78 2% 9%  
79 0.4% 7%  
80 2% 7%  
81 3% 5%  
82 0.3% 2%  
83 1.3% 2%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 100%  
54 1.5% 99.9%  
55 1.0% 98%  
56 1.1% 97%  
57 6% 96%  
58 4% 90%  
59 7% 86%  
60 4% 79%  
61 7% 75%  
62 53% 68% Median
63 4% 15%  
64 4% 11%  
65 3% 7%  
66 2% 5%  
67 2% 2%  
68 0.1% 0.4%  
69 0% 0.3%  
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100% Last Result
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0.8% 99.9%  
40 1.3% 99.1%  
41 0.8% 98%  
42 7% 97%  
43 2% 90%  
44 3% 87%  
45 13% 84%  
46 4% 72%  
47 49% 68% Median
48 4% 19%  
49 6% 15%  
50 1.4% 9%  
51 4% 8%  
52 1.4% 4%  
53 3% 3%  
54 0.1% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0.8% 99.9%  
40 1.3% 99.1%  
41 0.8% 98%  
42 7% 97%  
43 2% 90%  
44 3% 87%  
45 13% 84%  
46 4% 71%  
47 49% 68% Median
48 4% 19%  
49 6% 15%  
50 1.4% 9%  
51 4% 8%  
52 1.4% 4%  
53 3% 3%  
54 0.1% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0.8% 99.9%  
40 1.3% 99.1%  
41 0.8% 98%  
42 7% 97%  
43 2% 90%  
44 3% 87%  
45 13% 84%  
46 4% 71%  
47 49% 68% Median
48 4% 19%  
49 6% 15%  
50 1.4% 9%  
51 4% 8%  
52 1.4% 4%  
53 3% 3%  
54 0.1% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.3% 99.9%  
36 4% 99.6%  
37 2% 95%  
38 2% 93%  
39 9% 91%  
40 9% 82%  
41 5% 73%  
42 4% 68%  
43 51% 64% Median
44 4% 13%  
45 4% 9%  
46 2% 6%  
47 2% 4%  
48 2% 2%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.3% 99.9%  
36 4% 99.6%  
37 2% 95%  
38 2% 93%  
39 9% 91%  
40 9% 82%  
41 5% 73%  
42 4% 68%  
43 51% 64% Median
44 4% 13%  
45 4% 9%  
46 2% 6%  
47 2% 4%  
48 2% 2%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.3% 99.9%  
36 4% 99.6%  
37 2% 95%  
38 2% 93%  
39 9% 91%  
40 9% 82%  
41 5% 73%  
42 4% 68%  
43 51% 64% Median
44 4% 13%  
45 4% 9%  
46 2% 6%  
47 2% 4%  
48 2% 2%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 1.2% 99.8%  
29 4% 98.6%  
30 2% 95%  
31 15% 93%  
32 6% 78%  
33 50% 72% Median
34 7% 22%  
35 6% 14%  
36 1.1% 9%  
37 3% 7%  
38 4% 4%  
39 0.1% 0.4%  
40 0.2% 0.2%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.7% 100%  
23 1.2% 99.3%  
24 1.2% 98%  
25 3% 97%  
26 12% 94%  
27 5% 82%  
28 11% 77%  
29 52% 66% Median
30 6% 14%  
31 4% 8%  
32 4% 4%  
33 0.5% 0.8%  
34 0.3% 0.4%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.7% 100%  
23 1.2% 99.3%  
24 1.2% 98%  
25 3% 97%  
26 12% 94%  
27 5% 82%  
28 11% 77%  
29 52% 66% Median
30 6% 14%  
31 4% 8%  
32 4% 4%  
33 0.5% 0.8%  
34 0.3% 0.4%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations