Opinion Poll by Focus for TV Markíza, 21–27 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia |
0.0% |
20.4% |
18.9–22.1% |
18.4–22.6% |
18.0–23.0% |
17.3–23.9% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
18.3% |
15.4% |
14.0–16.9% |
13.6–17.3% |
13.3–17.7% |
12.6–18.5% |
Progresívne Slovensko |
7.0% |
9.7% |
8.6–11.0% |
8.3–11.4% |
8.0–11.7% |
7.5–12.3% |
Sloboda a Solidarita |
6.2% |
8.2% |
7.2–9.4% |
6.9–9.8% |
6.7–10.1% |
6.2–10.7% |
REPUBLIKA |
0.0% |
7.8% |
6.8–9.0% |
6.6–9.4% |
6.3–9.7% |
5.9–10.3% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti |
25.0% |
7.2% |
6.3–8.4% |
6.0–8.7% |
5.8–9.0% |
5.4–9.6% |
SME RODINA |
8.2% |
7.0% |
6.1–8.2% |
5.8–8.5% |
5.6–8.8% |
5.2–9.4% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie |
4.6% |
6.2% |
5.4–7.3% |
5.1–7.7% |
4.9–7.9% |
4.5–8.5% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
3.9% |
4.7% |
3.9–5.6% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.5–6.1% |
3.2–6.6% |
Slovenská národná strana |
3.2% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.1% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.6–5.8% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
8.0% |
2.9% |
2.3–3.7% |
2.1–3.9% |
2.0–4.1% |
1.8–4.5% |
Za ľudí |
5.8% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.1% |
1.7–3.3% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.4–3.9% |
Dobrá voľba |
3.1% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.3% |
0.9–2.4% |
0.7–2.8% |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia |
7.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
31 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
32 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
33 |
4% |
97% |
|
34 |
7% |
94% |
|
35 |
15% |
86% |
|
36 |
3% |
71% |
|
37 |
17% |
68% |
|
38 |
3% |
51% |
Median |
39 |
38% |
48% |
|
40 |
9% |
10% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
24 |
2% |
97% |
|
25 |
3% |
95% |
|
26 |
3% |
92% |
|
27 |
52% |
89% |
Median |
28 |
3% |
37% |
|
29 |
6% |
34% |
|
30 |
3% |
29% |
|
31 |
9% |
25% |
|
32 |
1.1% |
16% |
|
33 |
4% |
15% |
|
34 |
11% |
11% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
14 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
6% |
98.7% |
|
16 |
19% |
93% |
|
17 |
6% |
74% |
|
18 |
14% |
68% |
|
19 |
37% |
54% |
Median |
20 |
13% |
17% |
|
21 |
3% |
4% |
|
22 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
2% |
100% |
|
12 |
2% |
98% |
|
13 |
15% |
95% |
Last Result |
14 |
23% |
80% |
|
15 |
40% |
57% |
Median |
16 |
2% |
17% |
|
17 |
12% |
15% |
|
18 |
2% |
4% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
12 |
39% |
97% |
|
13 |
16% |
57% |
Median |
14 |
30% |
41% |
|
15 |
6% |
11% |
|
16 |
3% |
5% |
|
17 |
2% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
11 |
13% |
97% |
|
12 |
11% |
83% |
|
13 |
41% |
72% |
Median |
14 |
17% |
31% |
|
15 |
11% |
14% |
|
16 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
7% |
99.3% |
|
11 |
20% |
93% |
|
12 |
8% |
73% |
|
13 |
51% |
64% |
Median |
14 |
6% |
14% |
|
15 |
3% |
8% |
|
16 |
3% |
5% |
|
17 |
1.4% |
2% |
Last Result |
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
98% |
|
2 |
0% |
98% |
|
3 |
0% |
98% |
|
4 |
0% |
98% |
|
5 |
0% |
98% |
|
6 |
0% |
98% |
|
7 |
0% |
98% |
|
8 |
0% |
98% |
|
9 |
3% |
98% |
|
10 |
13% |
95% |
|
11 |
20% |
81% |
|
12 |
41% |
61% |
Median |
13 |
6% |
20% |
|
14 |
11% |
14% |
|
15 |
2% |
3% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
88% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
12% |
|
2 |
0% |
12% |
|
3 |
0% |
12% |
|
4 |
0% |
12% |
|
5 |
0% |
12% |
|
6 |
0% |
12% |
|
7 |
0% |
12% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
12% |
|
9 |
7% |
12% |
|
10 |
3% |
5% |
|
11 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
2% |
|
2 |
0% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
2% |
|
4 |
0% |
2% |
|
5 |
0% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
9 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
10 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
72 |
79 |
78% |
73–84 |
73–84 |
71–84 |
68–87 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
55 |
79 |
78% |
73–84 |
73–84 |
71–84 |
68–87 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
55 |
79 |
76% |
73–84 |
72–84 |
70–84 |
67–86 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
66 |
0.2% |
62–71 |
60–71 |
59–71 |
57–75 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
34 |
51 |
0% |
46–52 |
45–54 |
44–55 |
41–62 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
17 |
51 |
0% |
46–52 |
45–54 |
44–55 |
41–62 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
17 |
51 |
0% |
46–52 |
44–52 |
44–54 |
41–55 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
72 |
40 |
0% |
38–47 |
37–47 |
36–47 |
35–48 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
55 |
40 |
0% |
38–47 |
37–47 |
36–47 |
34–47 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
55 |
40 |
0% |
38–47 |
37–47 |
36–47 |
35–48 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
0 |
38 |
0% |
34–40 |
33–40 |
33–41 |
31–50 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
27 |
0% |
27–34 |
25–34 |
24–34 |
23–36 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
38 |
27 |
0% |
26–34 |
25–34 |
23–34 |
23–34 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
97% |
Last Result |
73 |
11% |
96% |
|
74 |
5% |
85% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
79% |
|
76 |
5% |
78% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
73% |
|
78 |
2% |
69% |
Median |
79 |
42% |
67% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
26% |
|
81 |
3% |
25% |
|
82 |
9% |
22% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
13% |
|
84 |
11% |
13% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
73 |
11% |
96% |
|
74 |
5% |
85% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
79% |
|
76 |
5% |
78% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
73% |
|
78 |
2% |
69% |
Median |
79 |
42% |
67% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
26% |
|
81 |
3% |
25% |
|
82 |
9% |
22% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
13% |
|
84 |
11% |
13% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
|
70 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
72 |
1.5% |
96% |
|
73 |
11% |
94% |
|
74 |
5% |
83% |
|
75 |
1.2% |
78% |
|
76 |
4% |
76% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
72% |
|
78 |
1.4% |
67% |
Median |
79 |
41% |
65% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
24% |
|
81 |
3% |
24% |
|
82 |
9% |
21% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
12% |
|
84 |
11% |
12% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
86 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
60 |
4% |
97% |
|
61 |
1.5% |
93% |
|
62 |
11% |
91% |
|
63 |
4% |
81% |
|
64 |
7% |
77% |
|
65 |
3% |
69% |
Median |
66 |
39% |
66% |
|
67 |
5% |
27% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
22% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
22% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
21% |
|
71 |
19% |
20% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
75 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
44 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
45 |
3% |
96% |
|
46 |
14% |
93% |
|
47 |
3% |
79% |
|
48 |
5% |
76% |
|
49 |
1.3% |
71% |
|
50 |
15% |
70% |
|
51 |
10% |
55% |
Median |
52 |
38% |
44% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
54 |
3% |
6% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
56 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
44 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
45 |
3% |
96% |
|
46 |
14% |
93% |
|
47 |
3% |
79% |
|
48 |
5% |
76% |
|
49 |
1.3% |
71% |
|
50 |
15% |
70% |
|
51 |
10% |
55% |
Median |
52 |
38% |
44% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
54 |
3% |
6% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
56 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
99.0% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
44 |
3% |
98% |
|
45 |
3% |
95% |
|
46 |
14% |
92% |
|
47 |
3% |
78% |
|
48 |
5% |
75% |
|
49 |
1.4% |
70% |
|
50 |
15% |
69% |
|
51 |
10% |
53% |
Median |
52 |
39% |
43% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
54 |
3% |
4% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
35 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
36 |
1.3% |
98.6% |
|
37 |
3% |
97% |
|
38 |
11% |
94% |
|
39 |
2% |
83% |
|
40 |
40% |
80% |
Median |
41 |
4% |
40% |
|
42 |
13% |
37% |
|
43 |
4% |
24% |
|
44 |
2% |
20% |
|
45 |
5% |
18% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
13% |
|
47 |
12% |
13% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
1.4% |
99.3% |
|
36 |
2% |
98% |
|
37 |
4% |
96% |
|
38 |
11% |
92% |
|
39 |
3% |
81% |
|
40 |
40% |
78% |
Median |
41 |
4% |
38% |
|
42 |
13% |
34% |
|
43 |
4% |
21% |
|
44 |
1.5% |
18% |
|
45 |
4% |
16% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
12% |
|
47 |
11% |
12% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
35 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
36 |
1.3% |
98.6% |
|
37 |
3% |
97% |
|
38 |
11% |
94% |
|
39 |
2% |
83% |
|
40 |
40% |
80% |
Median |
41 |
4% |
40% |
|
42 |
13% |
37% |
|
43 |
4% |
24% |
|
44 |
2% |
20% |
|
45 |
5% |
18% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
13% |
|
47 |
12% |
13% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
32 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
33 |
3% |
98% |
|
34 |
7% |
94% |
|
35 |
15% |
87% |
|
36 |
3% |
72% |
|
37 |
17% |
69% |
|
38 |
3% |
52% |
Median |
39 |
38% |
49% |
|
40 |
8% |
11% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
50 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
23 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
24 |
2% |
98% |
|
25 |
2% |
96% |
|
26 |
3% |
94% |
|
27 |
52% |
91% |
Median |
28 |
3% |
39% |
|
29 |
6% |
37% |
|
30 |
3% |
31% |
|
31 |
9% |
28% |
|
32 |
2% |
18% |
|
33 |
4% |
17% |
|
34 |
11% |
13% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
24 |
2% |
97% |
|
25 |
3% |
95% |
|
26 |
3% |
92% |
|
27 |
52% |
89% |
Median |
28 |
3% |
37% |
|
29 |
6% |
34% |
|
30 |
3% |
29% |
|
31 |
9% |
25% |
|
32 |
1.1% |
16% |
|
33 |
4% |
15% |
|
34 |
11% |
11% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Focus
- Commissioner(s): TV Markíza
- Fieldwork period: 21–27 September 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1009
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.76%