Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 12–19 October 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 19.5% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.5–21.7% | 17.2–22.1% | 16.4–22.9% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 16.5% | 15.1–18.1% | 14.7–18.5% | 14.3–18.9% | 13.7–19.7% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 11.8% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.2–13.6% | 9.9–14.0% | 9.4–14.6% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 11.5% | 10.3–12.9% | 10.0–13.3% | 9.7–13.6% | 9.1–14.3% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.7–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 34 | 31–37 | 30–37 | 29–38 | 27–40 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 28 | 25–31 | 25–31 | 25–32 | 24–34 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 19 | 18–22 | 16–23 | 16–24 | 15–25 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 20 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 16–23 | 15–25 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 14 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 11–18 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 13 | 12–15 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–18 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 12 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 0–15 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 10 | 9–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–13 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 29 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 30 | 4% | 97% | |
| 31 | 4% | 93% | |
| 32 | 18% | 89% | |
| 33 | 11% | 71% | |
| 34 | 28% | 59% | Median |
| 35 | 8% | 31% | |
| 36 | 12% | 23% | |
| 37 | 8% | 12% | |
| 38 | 2% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 27% | 98% | |
| 26 | 4% | 70% | |
| 27 | 7% | 66% | |
| 28 | 29% | 60% | Median |
| 29 | 13% | 31% | |
| 30 | 5% | 18% | |
| 31 | 8% | 13% | |
| 32 | 3% | 5% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 17 | 4% | 95% | |
| 18 | 33% | 91% | |
| 19 | 19% | 58% | Median |
| 20 | 16% | 39% | |
| 21 | 4% | 23% | |
| 22 | 13% | 19% | |
| 23 | 4% | 6% | |
| 24 | 2% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 16 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 17 | 7% | 96% | |
| 18 | 12% | 89% | |
| 19 | 18% | 77% | |
| 20 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 21 | 19% | 43% | |
| 22 | 2% | 24% | |
| 23 | 21% | 22% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 9% | 95% | |
| 13 | 12% | 86% | |
| 14 | 38% | 74% | Median |
| 15 | 17% | 36% | |
| 16 | 15% | 19% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 12 | 32% | 91% | |
| 13 | 32% | 59% | Median |
| 14 | 10% | 27% | |
| 15 | 9% | 17% | |
| 16 | 6% | 8% | |
| 17 | 1.4% | 2% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 8% | 99.3% | |
| 9 | 3% | 91% | |
| 10 | 11% | 88% | |
| 11 | 16% | 77% | |
| 12 | 46% | 61% | Median |
| 13 | 10% | 15% | |
| 14 | 4% | 5% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 91% | |
| 2 | 0% | 91% | |
| 3 | 0% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0% | 91% | |
| 5 | 0% | 91% | |
| 6 | 0% | 91% | |
| 7 | 0% | 91% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 9 | 39% | 91% | |
| 10 | 25% | 52% | Median |
| 11 | 12% | 27% | |
| 12 | 7% | 15% | |
| 13 | 8% | 9% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 85% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 15% | |
| 2 | 0% | 15% | |
| 3 | 0% | 15% | |
| 4 | 0% | 15% | |
| 5 | 0% | 15% | |
| 6 | 0% | 15% | |
| 7 | 0% | 15% | |
| 8 | 4% | 15% | |
| 9 | 6% | 11% | |
| 10 | 5% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 74 | 40% | 71–81 | 71–83 | 71–87 | 69–87 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 74 | 40% | 71–81 | 71–83 | 71–87 | 69–87 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 74 | 28% | 71–79 | 70–80 | 69–81 | 67–83 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 62 | 0% | 59–68 | 57–70 | 57–74 | 56–74 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 47 | 0% | 45–55 | 44–56 | 43–57 | 41–58 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 47 | 0% | 45–55 | 44–56 | 43–57 | 41–58 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 41 | 0% | 37–49 | 37–50 | 36–54 | 36–54 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 41 | 0% | 37–49 | 37–50 | 36–54 | 36–54 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 46 | 0% | 44–49 | 43–50 | 42–53 | 40–54 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 40 | 0% | 37–44 | 36–46 | 36–46 | 35–48 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 34 | 0% | 32–40 | 31–43 | 29–43 | 27–45 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 28 | 0% | 25–34 | 25–35 | 25–41 | 24–41 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 28 | 0% | 25–31 | 25–31 | 25–32 | 24–34 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 11% | 98% | |
| 72 | 3% | 87% | Last Result |
| 73 | 8% | 84% | |
| 74 | 30% | 76% | |
| 75 | 6% | 46% | Median |
| 76 | 4% | 40% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 35% | |
| 78 | 9% | 33% | |
| 79 | 3% | 24% | |
| 80 | 7% | 21% | |
| 81 | 6% | 14% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 83 | 3% | 7% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 87 | 3% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 11% | 98% | |
| 72 | 3% | 87% | |
| 73 | 8% | 84% | |
| 74 | 30% | 76% | |
| 75 | 6% | 46% | Median |
| 76 | 4% | 40% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 35% | |
| 78 | 9% | 33% | |
| 79 | 3% | 24% | |
| 80 | 7% | 21% | |
| 81 | 6% | 14% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 83 | 3% | 7% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 87 | 3% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 14% | 95% | |
| 72 | 3% | 81% | |
| 73 | 12% | 79% | |
| 74 | 32% | 66% | |
| 75 | 6% | 34% | Median |
| 76 | 4% | 28% | Majority |
| 77 | 5% | 24% | |
| 78 | 9% | 19% | |
| 79 | 2% | 10% | |
| 80 | 4% | 8% | |
| 81 | 2% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 7% | 98% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 59 | 5% | 90% | |
| 60 | 13% | 85% | |
| 61 | 2% | 73% | |
| 62 | 30% | 71% | Median |
| 63 | 6% | 41% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 34% | |
| 65 | 20% | 33% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 13% | |
| 67 | 2% | 12% | |
| 68 | 4% | 11% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 70 | 3% | 6% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 3% | |
| 74 | 3% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 43 | 3% | 98% | |
| 44 | 4% | 95% | |
| 45 | 7% | 92% | |
| 46 | 33% | 84% | |
| 47 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 48 | 4% | 44% | |
| 49 | 17% | 40% | |
| 50 | 4% | 23% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 19% | |
| 52 | 2% | 18% | |
| 53 | 2% | 16% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 55 | 4% | 13% | |
| 56 | 6% | 9% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 43 | 3% | 98% | |
| 44 | 4% | 95% | |
| 45 | 7% | 92% | |
| 46 | 33% | 84% | |
| 47 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 48 | 4% | 44% | |
| 49 | 17% | 40% | |
| 50 | 4% | 23% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 19% | |
| 52 | 2% | 18% | |
| 53 | 2% | 16% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 55 | 4% | 13% | |
| 56 | 6% | 9% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 9% | 96% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 87% | |
| 39 | 5% | 86% | |
| 40 | 27% | 82% | |
| 41 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 42 | 15% | 45% | |
| 43 | 3% | 30% | |
| 44 | 4% | 26% | |
| 45 | 2% | 22% | |
| 46 | 4% | 20% | |
| 47 | 4% | 16% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 49 | 4% | 10% | |
| 50 | 2% | 6% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 54 | 3% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 9% | 96% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 87% | |
| 39 | 5% | 86% | |
| 40 | 27% | 82% | |
| 41 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 42 | 15% | 45% | |
| 43 | 3% | 30% | |
| 44 | 4% | 26% | |
| 45 | 2% | 22% | |
| 46 | 4% | 20% | |
| 47 | 4% | 16% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 49 | 4% | 10% | |
| 50 | 2% | 6% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 54 | 3% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 43 | 4% | 97% | |
| 44 | 4% | 94% | |
| 45 | 9% | 89% | |
| 46 | 38% | 80% | |
| 47 | 8% | 43% | Median |
| 48 | 8% | 34% | |
| 49 | 19% | 27% | |
| 50 | 4% | 8% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 53 | 2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 37 | 9% | 95% | |
| 38 | 4% | 86% | |
| 39 | 5% | 82% | |
| 40 | 30% | 76% | |
| 41 | 13% | 47% | Median |
| 42 | 16% | 34% | |
| 43 | 3% | 18% | |
| 44 | 7% | 15% | |
| 45 | 2% | 8% | |
| 46 | 4% | 6% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 30 | 2% | 97% | |
| 31 | 3% | 95% | |
| 32 | 14% | 92% | |
| 33 | 6% | 78% | |
| 34 | 28% | 72% | Median |
| 35 | 8% | 44% | |
| 36 | 10% | 36% | |
| 37 | 8% | 26% | |
| 38 | 2% | 18% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 16% | |
| 40 | 6% | 15% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 42 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 43 | 4% | 6% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 45 | 2% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 19% | 98.7% | |
| 26 | 3% | 80% | |
| 27 | 6% | 77% | |
| 28 | 29% | 71% | Median |
| 29 | 13% | 43% | |
| 30 | 5% | 29% | |
| 31 | 5% | 25% | |
| 32 | 3% | 20% | |
| 33 | 4% | 17% | |
| 34 | 6% | 12% | |
| 35 | 2% | 7% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 41 | 3% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 27% | 98% | |
| 26 | 4% | 70% | |
| 27 | 7% | 66% | |
| 28 | 29% | 60% | Median |
| 29 | 13% | 31% | |
| 30 | 5% | 18% | |
| 31 | 8% | 13% | |
| 32 | 3% | 5% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): TV JOJ
- Fieldwork period: 12–19 October 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.84%